Pub Date : 2026-01-20eCollection Date: 2026-01-01DOI: 10.1371/journal.pcbi.1013209
Moustafa Hamada, Atte S A Eskelinen, Joonas P Kosonen, Cristina Florea, Alan J Grodzinsky, Petri Tanska, Rami K Korhonen
Collagen damage in articular cartilage plays a key role in post-traumatic osteoarthritis, but the underlying mechanobiological pathways leading to collagen fibril degeneration after injury remain incompletely understood. We hypothesized that mechanical injurious loading induces localized cellular damage in cartilage, which in turn triggers the release of collagen-degrading matrix metalloproteinases (MMPs) and depth-wise collagen loss. To investigate this, we developed a computational mechano-signaling model for injured bovine cartilage, in which injury-induced cell damage is caused by excessive localized shear strains, leading to downstream MMP release, and spatially heterogeneous collagen degradation. The model predictions were compared to ex vivo cartilage explant experiments over 12 days post-injury. By day 12, the simulated bulk and depth-wise collagen loss aligned with our experimental findings quantified via Fourier-transform infrared microspectroscopy imaging (~30% average loss in the model vs. ~ 35% in the experiment). The results suggest that injury-induced cell damage and the downstream MMP activity can partly explain the depth-wise collagen content loss observed in the early days after cartilage injury. Ultimately, combining the current mechanistic approach with joint-level computational models could enhance the prediction of the onset and progression of cartilage degeneration following joint trauma.
{"title":"MMP release following cartilage injury leads to collagen loss in intact tissue: A computational study.","authors":"Moustafa Hamada, Atte S A Eskelinen, Joonas P Kosonen, Cristina Florea, Alan J Grodzinsky, Petri Tanska, Rami K Korhonen","doi":"10.1371/journal.pcbi.1013209","DOIUrl":"10.1371/journal.pcbi.1013209","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>Collagen damage in articular cartilage plays a key role in post-traumatic osteoarthritis, but the underlying mechanobiological pathways leading to collagen fibril degeneration after injury remain incompletely understood. We hypothesized that mechanical injurious loading induces localized cellular damage in cartilage, which in turn triggers the release of collagen-degrading matrix metalloproteinases (MMPs) and depth-wise collagen loss. To investigate this, we developed a computational mechano-signaling model for injured bovine cartilage, in which injury-induced cell damage is caused by excessive localized shear strains, leading to downstream MMP release, and spatially heterogeneous collagen degradation. The model predictions were compared to ex vivo cartilage explant experiments over 12 days post-injury. By day 12, the simulated bulk and depth-wise collagen loss aligned with our experimental findings quantified via Fourier-transform infrared microspectroscopy imaging (~30% average loss in the model vs. ~ 35% in the experiment). The results suggest that injury-induced cell damage and the downstream MMP activity can partly explain the depth-wise collagen content loss observed in the early days after cartilage injury. Ultimately, combining the current mechanistic approach with joint-level computational models could enhance the prediction of the onset and progression of cartilage degeneration following joint trauma.</p>","PeriodicalId":20241,"journal":{"name":"PLoS Computational Biology","volume":"22 1","pages":"e1013209"},"PeriodicalIF":3.6,"publicationDate":"2026-01-20","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC12851498/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"146011915","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"生物学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2026-01-20eCollection Date: 2026-01-01DOI: 10.1371/journal.pcbi.1013273
Georgia R Weatherley, Robyn P Araujo, Samantha J Dando, Adrianne L Jenner
Multiple sclerosis (MS) is a neurodegenerative disease in which misdirected, persistent activity of the immune system degrades the protective myelin sheaths of nerve axons. Historically, treatment of MS has relied on disease-modifying therapies that involve immunosuppression, such as targeting of the blood-brain barrier (BBB) to restrict lymphocyte movement. New therapeutic ideas in the development pipeline are instead designed to promote populations of myelin producing cells, oligodendrocytes, by exploiting their innate resilience to the stressors of MS or restoring their numbers. Given the significant advancements made in immunological disease understanding due to mathematical and computational modelling, we sought to develop a platform to (1) interrogate our understanding of the neuroimmunological mechanisms driving MS development and (2) examine the impact of different therapeutic strategies. To this end we propose a novel, open-source, agent-based model of lesion development in the CNS. Our model includes crucial populations of T cells, perivascular macrophages, and oligodendrocytes. We examine the sensitivity of the model to key parameters related to disease targets and conclude that lesion stabilisation can be achieved when targeting the integrated stress response of oligodendrocytes. Most significantly, complete prevention of lesion formation is observed when a combination of approved BBB-permeability targeting therapies and integrated-stress response targeting therapies is administered, suggesting the potential to strike a balance between a patient's immune inflammation and their reparative capacity. Given that there are many open questions surrounding the etiology and treatment of MS, we hope that this malleable platform serves as a tool for experimentalists and modellers to test and generate further hypotheses regarding this disease.
{"title":"Therapeutic targeting of oligodendrocytes in an agent-based model of multiple sclerosis.","authors":"Georgia R Weatherley, Robyn P Araujo, Samantha J Dando, Adrianne L Jenner","doi":"10.1371/journal.pcbi.1013273","DOIUrl":"10.1371/journal.pcbi.1013273","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>Multiple sclerosis (MS) is a neurodegenerative disease in which misdirected, persistent activity of the immune system degrades the protective myelin sheaths of nerve axons. Historically, treatment of MS has relied on disease-modifying therapies that involve immunosuppression, such as targeting of the blood-brain barrier (BBB) to restrict lymphocyte movement. New therapeutic ideas in the development pipeline are instead designed to promote populations of myelin producing cells, oligodendrocytes, by exploiting their innate resilience to the stressors of MS or restoring their numbers. Given the significant advancements made in immunological disease understanding due to mathematical and computational modelling, we sought to develop a platform to (1) interrogate our understanding of the neuroimmunological mechanisms driving MS development and (2) examine the impact of different therapeutic strategies. To this end we propose a novel, open-source, agent-based model of lesion development in the CNS. Our model includes crucial populations of T cells, perivascular macrophages, and oligodendrocytes. We examine the sensitivity of the model to key parameters related to disease targets and conclude that lesion stabilisation can be achieved when targeting the integrated stress response of oligodendrocytes. Most significantly, complete prevention of lesion formation is observed when a combination of approved BBB-permeability targeting therapies and integrated-stress response targeting therapies is administered, suggesting the potential to strike a balance between a patient's immune inflammation and their reparative capacity. Given that there are many open questions surrounding the etiology and treatment of MS, we hope that this malleable platform serves as a tool for experimentalists and modellers to test and generate further hypotheses regarding this disease.</p>","PeriodicalId":20241,"journal":{"name":"PLoS Computational Biology","volume":"22 1","pages":"e1013273"},"PeriodicalIF":3.6,"publicationDate":"2026-01-20","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"146011958","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"生物学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2026-01-20eCollection Date: 2026-01-01DOI: 10.1371/journal.pcbi.1013136
Micha Heilbron, Floris P de Lange
Theories of predictive processing propose that sensory systems constantly predict incoming signals, based on spatial and temporal context. However, evidence for prediction in sensory cortex largely comes from artificial experiments using simple, highly predictable stimuli, that arguably encourage prediction. Here, we test for sensory prediction during natural scene perception. Specifically, we use deep generative modelling to quantify the spatial predictability of receptive field (RF) patches in natural images, and compared those predictability estimates to brain responses in the mouse visual cortex-while rigorously accounting for established tuning to a rich set of low-level image features and their local statistical context-in a large scale survey of high-density recordings from the Allen Institute Brain Observatory. This revealed four insights. First, cortical responses across the mouse visual system are shaped by sensory predictability, with more predictable image patches evoking weaker responses. Secondly, visual cortical neurons are primarily sensitive to the predictability of higher-level image features, even in neurons in the primary visual areas that are preferentially tuned to low-level visual features. Third, unpredictability sensitivity is stronger in the superficial layers of primary visual cortex, in line with predictive coding models. Finally, these spatial prediction effects are independent of recent experience, suggesting that they rely on long-term priors about the structure of the visual world. Together, these results suggest visual cortex might predominantly predict sensory information at higher levels of abstraction-a pattern bearing striking similarities to recent, successful techniques from artificial intelligence for predictive self-supervised learning.
{"title":"Higher-level spatial prediction in natural vision across mouse visual cortex.","authors":"Micha Heilbron, Floris P de Lange","doi":"10.1371/journal.pcbi.1013136","DOIUrl":"10.1371/journal.pcbi.1013136","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>Theories of predictive processing propose that sensory systems constantly predict incoming signals, based on spatial and temporal context. However, evidence for prediction in sensory cortex largely comes from artificial experiments using simple, highly predictable stimuli, that arguably encourage prediction. Here, we test for sensory prediction during natural scene perception. Specifically, we use deep generative modelling to quantify the spatial predictability of receptive field (RF) patches in natural images, and compared those predictability estimates to brain responses in the mouse visual cortex-while rigorously accounting for established tuning to a rich set of low-level image features and their local statistical context-in a large scale survey of high-density recordings from the Allen Institute Brain Observatory. This revealed four insights. First, cortical responses across the mouse visual system are shaped by sensory predictability, with more predictable image patches evoking weaker responses. Secondly, visual cortical neurons are primarily sensitive to the predictability of higher-level image features, even in neurons in the primary visual areas that are preferentially tuned to low-level visual features. Third, unpredictability sensitivity is stronger in the superficial layers of primary visual cortex, in line with predictive coding models. Finally, these spatial prediction effects are independent of recent experience, suggesting that they rely on long-term priors about the structure of the visual world. Together, these results suggest visual cortex might predominantly predict sensory information at higher levels of abstraction-a pattern bearing striking similarities to recent, successful techniques from artificial intelligence for predictive self-supervised learning.</p>","PeriodicalId":20241,"journal":{"name":"PLoS Computational Biology","volume":"22 1","pages":"e1013136"},"PeriodicalIF":3.6,"publicationDate":"2026-01-20","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC12829946/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"146011923","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"生物学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2026-01-20eCollection Date: 2026-01-01DOI: 10.1371/journal.pcbi.1013887
Ryan Pellow, Josep M Comeron
Eukaryotic genomes are organized within nuclei in three-dimensional space, forming structures such as loops, topologically associating domains (TADs), and chromosome territories. This 3D architecture impacts gene regulation and development, stress responses, and disease. However, current methods to infer these 3D structures from genomic data have multiple drawbacks, including varying outcomes depending on the resolution of the analysis and sequencing depth, qualitative outputs that limit statistical comparisons, and insufficient insight into structure frequency within samples. These challenges hinder rigorous comparisons of 3D properties across genomes, conditions, or species. To overcome these issues, we developed WaveTAD, a wavelet transform-based method that provides a resolution-free, probabilistic, and hierarchical description of 3D organization. WaveTAD generates TAD strengths, capturing the variable frequency of intrachromosomal interactions within samples, and shows increased accuracy and sensitivity over existing methods. We applied WaveTAD to multiple datasets from Drosophila, mouse, and humans to illustrate new biological insights that our more sensitive and quantitative approach provides, such as the widespread presence of embryonic 3D organization before zygotic genome activation, the effect of multiple CTCF units on the stability of loops and TADs, and the association between gene expression and TAD structures in COVID-19 patients or sex-specific transcription in Drosophila.
{"title":"A wavelet-based approach generates quantitative, scale-free and hierarchical descriptions of 3D genome structures and new biological insights.","authors":"Ryan Pellow, Josep M Comeron","doi":"10.1371/journal.pcbi.1013887","DOIUrl":"10.1371/journal.pcbi.1013887","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>Eukaryotic genomes are organized within nuclei in three-dimensional space, forming structures such as loops, topologically associating domains (TADs), and chromosome territories. This 3D architecture impacts gene regulation and development, stress responses, and disease. However, current methods to infer these 3D structures from genomic data have multiple drawbacks, including varying outcomes depending on the resolution of the analysis and sequencing depth, qualitative outputs that limit statistical comparisons, and insufficient insight into structure frequency within samples. These challenges hinder rigorous comparisons of 3D properties across genomes, conditions, or species. To overcome these issues, we developed WaveTAD, a wavelet transform-based method that provides a resolution-free, probabilistic, and hierarchical description of 3D organization. WaveTAD generates TAD strengths, capturing the variable frequency of intrachromosomal interactions within samples, and shows increased accuracy and sensitivity over existing methods. We applied WaveTAD to multiple datasets from Drosophila, mouse, and humans to illustrate new biological insights that our more sensitive and quantitative approach provides, such as the widespread presence of embryonic 3D organization before zygotic genome activation, the effect of multiple CTCF units on the stability of loops and TADs, and the association between gene expression and TAD structures in COVID-19 patients or sex-specific transcription in Drosophila.</p>","PeriodicalId":20241,"journal":{"name":"PLoS Computational Biology","volume":"22 1","pages":"e1013887"},"PeriodicalIF":3.6,"publicationDate":"2026-01-20","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC12829961/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"146011922","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"生物学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2026-01-20eCollection Date: 2026-01-01DOI: 10.1371/journal.pcbi.1013831
Adam A Malik, Cecilia Krona, Soumi Kundu, Philip Gerlee, Sven Nelander
Patient-derived cells (PDC) mouse xenografts are increasingly important tools in glioblastoma (GBM) research, essential to investigate case-specific growth patterns and treatment responses. Despite the central role of xenograft models in the field, few good simulation models are available to probe the dynamics of tumor growth and to support therapy design. We therefore propose a new framework for the patient-specific simulation of GBM in the mouse brain. Unlike existing methods, our simulations leverage a high-resolution map of the mouse brain anatomy to yield patient-specific results that are in good agreement with experimental observations. To facilitate the fitting of our model to histological data, we use Approximate Bayesian Computation. Because our model uses few parameters, reflecting growth, invasion and niche dependencies, it is well suited for case comparisons and for probing treatment effects. We demonstrate how our model can be used to simulate different treatment by perturbing the different model parameters. We expect in silico replicates of mouse xenograft tumors can improve the assessment of therapeutic outcomes and boost the statistical power of preclinical GBM studies.
{"title":"Anatomically aware simulation of patient-specific glioblastoma xenografts.","authors":"Adam A Malik, Cecilia Krona, Soumi Kundu, Philip Gerlee, Sven Nelander","doi":"10.1371/journal.pcbi.1013831","DOIUrl":"10.1371/journal.pcbi.1013831","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>Patient-derived cells (PDC) mouse xenografts are increasingly important tools in glioblastoma (GBM) research, essential to investigate case-specific growth patterns and treatment responses. Despite the central role of xenograft models in the field, few good simulation models are available to probe the dynamics of tumor growth and to support therapy design. We therefore propose a new framework for the patient-specific simulation of GBM in the mouse brain. Unlike existing methods, our simulations leverage a high-resolution map of the mouse brain anatomy to yield patient-specific results that are in good agreement with experimental observations. To facilitate the fitting of our model to histological data, we use Approximate Bayesian Computation. Because our model uses few parameters, reflecting growth, invasion and niche dependencies, it is well suited for case comparisons and for probing treatment effects. We demonstrate how our model can be used to simulate different treatment by perturbing the different model parameters. We expect in silico replicates of mouse xenograft tumors can improve the assessment of therapeutic outcomes and boost the statistical power of preclinical GBM studies.</p>","PeriodicalId":20241,"journal":{"name":"PLoS Computational Biology","volume":"22 1","pages":"e1013831"},"PeriodicalIF":3.6,"publicationDate":"2026-01-20","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC12851450/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"146011959","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"生物学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2026-01-20eCollection Date: 2026-01-01DOI: 10.1371/journal.pcbi.1013896
Zhijian Hu, Yuzhen Wu, Tomas Freire, Erida Gjini, Kevin Wood
Drugs play a central role in limiting bacterial population spread, yet laboratory studies typically assume well-mixed environments when assessing microbial drug responses. In contrast, bacteria in the human body often occupy spatially structured habitats where drug concentrations vary. Understanding how this heterogeneity shapes growth and decline is therefore essential for controlling infections and mitigating resistance evolution. Here, we developed a minimal robot-automated system to study how spatial drug heterogeneity affects short-term population dynamics in E. faecalis, a Gram-positive opportunistic pathogen. This system was combined with a theoretical framework to interpret and explain the observed outcomes. We first recapitulated the classic critical-patch-size model result: in a spatially homogeneous environment, a population persists in a finite domain only when growth outpaces diffusive losses at the boundaries. In heterogeneous environments, we found certain conditions that population persistence can depend critically on the spatial arrangement of the drug, even when its total amount is fixed. Using theoretical and experimental approaches, we identified the arrangements that produce the strongest growth and the fastest decline, revealing the range of possible outcomes under drug heterogeneity. We further tested this framework in more complex environments, including ring-shaped communities, and observed consistent arrangement-dependent behavior. Overall, our results extend the classical growth-condition framework to general heterogeneous environments and demonstrate that spatial drug arrangement - not only total dose - can strongly influence bacterial population dynamics. These findings highlight the importance of spatially structured dosing strategies and motivate further theoretical and experimental investigation.
{"title":"Linking spatial drug heterogeneity to microbial growth dynamics in theory and experiment.","authors":"Zhijian Hu, Yuzhen Wu, Tomas Freire, Erida Gjini, Kevin Wood","doi":"10.1371/journal.pcbi.1013896","DOIUrl":"10.1371/journal.pcbi.1013896","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>Drugs play a central role in limiting bacterial population spread, yet laboratory studies typically assume well-mixed environments when assessing microbial drug responses. In contrast, bacteria in the human body often occupy spatially structured habitats where drug concentrations vary. Understanding how this heterogeneity shapes growth and decline is therefore essential for controlling infections and mitigating resistance evolution. Here, we developed a minimal robot-automated system to study how spatial drug heterogeneity affects short-term population dynamics in E. faecalis, a Gram-positive opportunistic pathogen. This system was combined with a theoretical framework to interpret and explain the observed outcomes. We first recapitulated the classic critical-patch-size model result: in a spatially homogeneous environment, a population persists in a finite domain only when growth outpaces diffusive losses at the boundaries. In heterogeneous environments, we found certain conditions that population persistence can depend critically on the spatial arrangement of the drug, even when its total amount is fixed. Using theoretical and experimental approaches, we identified the arrangements that produce the strongest growth and the fastest decline, revealing the range of possible outcomes under drug heterogeneity. We further tested this framework in more complex environments, including ring-shaped communities, and observed consistent arrangement-dependent behavior. Overall, our results extend the classical growth-condition framework to general heterogeneous environments and demonstrate that spatial drug arrangement - not only total dose - can strongly influence bacterial population dynamics. These findings highlight the importance of spatially structured dosing strategies and motivate further theoretical and experimental investigation.</p>","PeriodicalId":20241,"journal":{"name":"PLoS Computational Biology","volume":"22 1","pages":"e1013896"},"PeriodicalIF":3.6,"publicationDate":"2026-01-20","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC12863682/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"146011964","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"生物学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2026-01-20eCollection Date: 2026-01-01DOI: 10.1371/journal.pcbi.1013902
[This corrects the article DOI: 10.1371/journal.pcbi.1013452.].
[这更正了文章DOI: 10.1371/journal.pcbi.1013452.]。
{"title":"Correction: Simulation insights on the compound action potential in multifascicular nerves.","authors":"","doi":"10.1371/journal.pcbi.1013902","DOIUrl":"10.1371/journal.pcbi.1013902","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>[This corrects the article DOI: 10.1371/journal.pcbi.1013452.].</p>","PeriodicalId":20241,"journal":{"name":"PLoS Computational Biology","volume":"22 1","pages":"e1013902"},"PeriodicalIF":3.6,"publicationDate":"2026-01-20","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC12818681/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"146011955","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"生物学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2026-01-16eCollection Date: 2026-01-01DOI: 10.1371/journal.pcbi.1012987
Janis Shin, James M Carothers, Herbert M Sauro
Bayesian Metabolic Control Analysis (BMCA) is a promising framework for inferring metabolic control coefficients in data-limited scenarios, combining Bayesian inference with linear-logarithmic (lin-log) rate laws. These metabolic control coefficients quantify how changes in enzyme activities affect steady-state fluxes and metabolite concentrations across a metabolic network. However, its predictive accuracy and limitations remain underexplored. This study systematically evaluates BMCA's ability to infer elasticity values, flux control coefficients (FCC), and concentration control coefficients (CCC) under varying data availability conditions using three synthetic metabolic network models. We demonstrate that BMCA predictions are highly dependent on the inclusion of flux and enzyme concentration data, with the omission of these datasets leading to severe inaccuracies. In our synthetic, enzyme-perturbation datasets, external metabolite concentrations had minimal impact and, in some cases, their exclusion improved predictions; when external-nutrient perturbations were introduced and those concentrations were observed, gains were at most modest. Additionally, we find that posterior estimation with both ADVI and HMC can underestimate large-magnitude elasticities in our synthetic settings, with ADVI showing somewhat higher variance under strong up-regulation; thus, recovering |elasticity| [Formula: see text]1.5 remains challenging regardless of the inference engine. ADVI also fails to accurately infer allosteric interactions, even when regulatory effects are strong. While BMCA maintains reasonable accuracy in partially recovering the rankings of the highest FCC values, its estimates of absolute values remain constrained by prior assumptions and data limitations. Our findings reveal the BMCA algorithm's strengths and weaknesses, providing guidance on its application in metabolic engineering, and highlighting the need for methodological refinements to enhance its predictive capabilities.
{"title":"Evaluating the limitations of Bayesian metabolic control analysis.","authors":"Janis Shin, James M Carothers, Herbert M Sauro","doi":"10.1371/journal.pcbi.1012987","DOIUrl":"10.1371/journal.pcbi.1012987","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>Bayesian Metabolic Control Analysis (BMCA) is a promising framework for inferring metabolic control coefficients in data-limited scenarios, combining Bayesian inference with linear-logarithmic (lin-log) rate laws. These metabolic control coefficients quantify how changes in enzyme activities affect steady-state fluxes and metabolite concentrations across a metabolic network. However, its predictive accuracy and limitations remain underexplored. This study systematically evaluates BMCA's ability to infer elasticity values, flux control coefficients (FCC), and concentration control coefficients (CCC) under varying data availability conditions using three synthetic metabolic network models. We demonstrate that BMCA predictions are highly dependent on the inclusion of flux and enzyme concentration data, with the omission of these datasets leading to severe inaccuracies. In our synthetic, enzyme-perturbation datasets, external metabolite concentrations had minimal impact and, in some cases, their exclusion improved predictions; when external-nutrient perturbations were introduced and those concentrations were observed, gains were at most modest. Additionally, we find that posterior estimation with both ADVI and HMC can underestimate large-magnitude elasticities in our synthetic settings, with ADVI showing somewhat higher variance under strong up-regulation; thus, recovering |elasticity| [Formula: see text]1.5 remains challenging regardless of the inference engine. ADVI also fails to accurately infer allosteric interactions, even when regulatory effects are strong. While BMCA maintains reasonable accuracy in partially recovering the rankings of the highest FCC values, its estimates of absolute values remain constrained by prior assumptions and data limitations. Our findings reveal the BMCA algorithm's strengths and weaknesses, providing guidance on its application in metabolic engineering, and highlighting the need for methodological refinements to enhance its predictive capabilities.</p>","PeriodicalId":20241,"journal":{"name":"PLoS Computational Biology","volume":"22 1","pages":"e1012987"},"PeriodicalIF":3.6,"publicationDate":"2026-01-16","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC12844504/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145990164","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"生物学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2026-01-16eCollection Date: 2026-01-01DOI: 10.1371/journal.pcbi.1013903
Muyiwa S Adegbaju, Oluwabuyikunmi Owo-Odusi, Eden T Wirtz, Olanrewaju B Morenikeji, Olusola Ojurongbe, Bolaji N Thomas
<p><p>The concern regarding H5N1 outbreak, particularly the accelerated mutagenesis of its core genomic elements, underscores the persistent threat of influenza to global health. Neuraminidase (NA), a pivotal sialidase integral to virion egress and propagation, comprises nine distinct isoforms, exhibiting unique evolutionary trajectories and structural adaptations. Despite extensive characterization of hemagglutinin subtypes, the functional divergence of the nine NA subtypes remains inadequately understood. To address this gap, we conducted a structural analysis of NA subtypes, employing structural superimposition and motif-guided sequence alignment to delineate subtype-specific residues. Hierarchical clustering stratified the nine NA subtypes into four distinct subgroups: NA2 (subgroup I), NA1 and NA4 (subgroup II), NA9/NA7/NA6/NA3 (subgroup III), and NA8/NA5 (subgroup 4). We identified 40 highly conserved and functionally significant amino acid loci, likely modulating enzymatic activity and substrate specificity across subtypes. To investigate the structural basis of adaptation in H5N1, we generated NA1 mutants by swapping family specific position (FSP) residues and analyzed their dynamics using Molecular Dynamics (MD) simulations, complemented by a deep phylogenetic analysis across six host reservoirs. MD simulation parameters reveal a dynamic paradox: the Wild-Type (WT) NA1 maintains a conserved global compactness Rg, which masks a complex, bi-modal switching mechanism essential for its catalytic function, validated by multi-basin free energy landscape (FEL) topography. We identify Lysine-207 (K207) as the master determinant of this switching mechanism and the enzyme's dynamic fate. Substitutions at this conserved nexus produced diametrically opposite outcomes: K207W imposed structural rigidification (abolishing the switch), K207H achieved dynamic preservation, and K207I drove expanded disorder and collapse. Furthermore, dynamic correlation analysis shows that these single-point substitutions function as molecular switches that significantly re-wire the enzyme's allosteric communication networks, extending far beyond the active site. To assess the role of NA1 in host tropism and adaptive evolution, we conducted a phylogenetic analysis of NA1 genes from H5N1 isolates across multiple host reservoirs; H. sapiens, G. gallus, Anser anser domesticus, M. gallopavo, B. taurus, and C. olor. Notably, we observed opposing selection pressures and diversification patterns: G. gallus isolates showed signatures of positive selection consistent with hyper-reassortment, while human isolates displayed highly diverse, sporadic spillover events. We conclude that the evolutionary contribution of NA1 to H5N1 host adaptation is not encoded in static structure, but certain residues such as K207 defines a pivotal mechanism for regulating the enzyme's function through dynamic states. Our MD data thus proposes a novel strategy for next-generation antivirals by targetin
{"title":"Structural analysis of antigenic variation and adaptive evolution of the H5N1 neuraminidase gene.","authors":"Muyiwa S Adegbaju, Oluwabuyikunmi Owo-Odusi, Eden T Wirtz, Olanrewaju B Morenikeji, Olusola Ojurongbe, Bolaji N Thomas","doi":"10.1371/journal.pcbi.1013903","DOIUrl":"10.1371/journal.pcbi.1013903","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>The concern regarding H5N1 outbreak, particularly the accelerated mutagenesis of its core genomic elements, underscores the persistent threat of influenza to global health. Neuraminidase (NA), a pivotal sialidase integral to virion egress and propagation, comprises nine distinct isoforms, exhibiting unique evolutionary trajectories and structural adaptations. Despite extensive characterization of hemagglutinin subtypes, the functional divergence of the nine NA subtypes remains inadequately understood. To address this gap, we conducted a structural analysis of NA subtypes, employing structural superimposition and motif-guided sequence alignment to delineate subtype-specific residues. Hierarchical clustering stratified the nine NA subtypes into four distinct subgroups: NA2 (subgroup I), NA1 and NA4 (subgroup II), NA9/NA7/NA6/NA3 (subgroup III), and NA8/NA5 (subgroup 4). We identified 40 highly conserved and functionally significant amino acid loci, likely modulating enzymatic activity and substrate specificity across subtypes. To investigate the structural basis of adaptation in H5N1, we generated NA1 mutants by swapping family specific position (FSP) residues and analyzed their dynamics using Molecular Dynamics (MD) simulations, complemented by a deep phylogenetic analysis across six host reservoirs. MD simulation parameters reveal a dynamic paradox: the Wild-Type (WT) NA1 maintains a conserved global compactness Rg, which masks a complex, bi-modal switching mechanism essential for its catalytic function, validated by multi-basin free energy landscape (FEL) topography. We identify Lysine-207 (K207) as the master determinant of this switching mechanism and the enzyme's dynamic fate. Substitutions at this conserved nexus produced diametrically opposite outcomes: K207W imposed structural rigidification (abolishing the switch), K207H achieved dynamic preservation, and K207I drove expanded disorder and collapse. Furthermore, dynamic correlation analysis shows that these single-point substitutions function as molecular switches that significantly re-wire the enzyme's allosteric communication networks, extending far beyond the active site. To assess the role of NA1 in host tropism and adaptive evolution, we conducted a phylogenetic analysis of NA1 genes from H5N1 isolates across multiple host reservoirs; H. sapiens, G. gallus, Anser anser domesticus, M. gallopavo, B. taurus, and C. olor. Notably, we observed opposing selection pressures and diversification patterns: G. gallus isolates showed signatures of positive selection consistent with hyper-reassortment, while human isolates displayed highly diverse, sporadic spillover events. We conclude that the evolutionary contribution of NA1 to H5N1 host adaptation is not encoded in static structure, but certain residues such as K207 defines a pivotal mechanism for regulating the enzyme's function through dynamic states. Our MD data thus proposes a novel strategy for next-generation antivirals by targetin","PeriodicalId":20241,"journal":{"name":"PLoS Computational Biology","volume":"22 1","pages":"e1013903"},"PeriodicalIF":3.6,"publicationDate":"2026-01-16","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC12826504/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145990204","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"生物学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2026-01-16eCollection Date: 2026-01-01DOI: 10.1371/journal.pcbi.1013844
Gaspar Cano, Richard Kempter
From cortical synfire chains to hippocampal replay, the idea that neural populations can be activated sequentially with precise spike timing is thought to be essential for several brain functions. It has been shown that neuronal sequences with weak feedforward connectivity can be replayed due to amplification via intra-assembly recurrent connections. However, the mechanisms behind this phenomenon are still unclear. Here, we simulate spiking networks with different excitatory and inhibitory connectivity and find that an exclusively excitatory network is sufficient for this amplification to occur. To explain the spiking network behavior, we introduce a population model of membrane-potential distributions, and we analytically describe how different connectivity structures determine replay speed, with weaker feedforward connectivity generating slower and wider pulses that can be sustained by recurrent connections. Pulse propagation is facilitated if the neuronal membrane time constant is large compared to the pulse width. Together, our simulations and analytical results predict the conditions for replay of neuronal assemblies.
{"title":"Conditions for replay of neuronal assemblies.","authors":"Gaspar Cano, Richard Kempter","doi":"10.1371/journal.pcbi.1013844","DOIUrl":"10.1371/journal.pcbi.1013844","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>From cortical synfire chains to hippocampal replay, the idea that neural populations can be activated sequentially with precise spike timing is thought to be essential for several brain functions. It has been shown that neuronal sequences with weak feedforward connectivity can be replayed due to amplification via intra-assembly recurrent connections. However, the mechanisms behind this phenomenon are still unclear. Here, we simulate spiking networks with different excitatory and inhibitory connectivity and find that an exclusively excitatory network is sufficient for this amplification to occur. To explain the spiking network behavior, we introduce a population model of membrane-potential distributions, and we analytically describe how different connectivity structures determine replay speed, with weaker feedforward connectivity generating slower and wider pulses that can be sustained by recurrent connections. Pulse propagation is facilitated if the neuronal membrane time constant is large compared to the pulse width. Together, our simulations and analytical results predict the conditions for replay of neuronal assemblies.</p>","PeriodicalId":20241,"journal":{"name":"PLoS Computational Biology","volume":"22 1","pages":"e1013844"},"PeriodicalIF":3.6,"publicationDate":"2026-01-16","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC12829973/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145990194","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"生物学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}