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Getting Rid of Issuer-Pay Will Not Improve Credit Ratings 摆脱发行人支付不会提高信用评级
Pub Date : 2020-09-15 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3710178
Douglas J. Lucas
Critics of credit rating agencies’ issuer-pay revenue practice say that it allows debt issuers and arrangers to shop among agencies for the highest rating. They allege that such “rating shopping” incents rating agencies to win business by rating debt higher than warranted by actual credit risk. To eliminate inflated ratings, issuer-pay critics suggest barring debt issuers from selecting and paying rating agencies.

Issuer-pay critics assume that ratings would be accurate if only the issuer-pay incentive for inflated ratings was extinguished. But we document a historical test of this assumption, an instance when issuer-pay and rating shopping were irrelevant concerns and ratings were still inappropriately high. With issuance effectively zero in 2007-09, S&P had no commercial incentive to maintain inflated ratings on subprime mortgage-backed securities and collateralized debt obligations backed by subprime mortgage-backed securities.

Yet, S&P’s ratings were severely inflated when compared to market prices and the credit analyses of market observers. Because 2007-09 conditions still produced inflated subprime ratings, getting rid of issuer pay will also not be sufficient to improve rating agency accuracy. But if issuer-pay critics succeed in abolishing the revenue practice, it would only be the latest in a long history of ineffectual and counter-productive rating agency regulations.
批评信用评级机构“发行者支付收入”做法的人士表示,这种做法允许债券发行者和安排者在评级机构中挑选最高评级。他们声称,这种“评级购物”激励评级机构通过将债务评级高于实际信用风险担保的水平来赢得业务。为了消除虚高的评级,批评“发行者付费”的人士建议,禁止债券发行者选择并支付评级机构的费用。批评“发行者付费”的人认为,只有消除了“发行者付费”对夸大评级的激励,评级才会准确。但我们记录了对这一假设的历史测试,当发行者支付和评级购买是无关紧要的问题时,评级仍然高得不合适。由于2007-09年的发行量实际上为零,标普没有商业动机维持对次级抵押贷款支持证券和由次级抵押贷款支持证券支持的债务抵押债券的过高评级。然而,与市场价格和市场观察人士的信用分析相比,标普的评级被严重夸大了。由于2007-09年的情况仍导致次级债评级虚高,取消发行人薪酬也不足以提高评级机构的准确性。但是,如果“发行者付费”的批评者成功地废除了税收惯例,这将只是评级机构监管无效和适得其反的漫长历史中的最新一例。
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引用次数: 0
Shielding Firm Value: Employment Protection and Process Innovation 屏蔽企业价值:就业保护与流程创新
Pub Date : 2020-09-03 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3223176
J. Beňa, Hernán Ortiz-Molina, Elena Simintzi
Following state-level legal changes that increase labor dismissal costs, firms increase their innovation in new processes that facilitate the adoption of cost-saving production methods, especially in industries with a large share of labor costs in total costs. Firms with high innovation ability exhibit larger increases in process innovation and capital intensity, and larger decreases in employment and employment growth. This allows them to increase labor productivity, operating performance, and to mitigate value losses. Our evidence highlights that, by facilitating the adjustment of the input mix when conditions in input markets change, innovation ability is a key driver of firm performance.
随着国家层面的法律变化增加了劳动力解雇成本,企业增加了对新工艺的创新,以促进采用节省成本的生产方法,特别是在劳动力成本在总成本中占很大份额的行业。创新能力高的企业在工艺创新和资本密集度上的增长幅度较大,而在就业和就业增长上的下降幅度较大。这使他们能够提高劳动生产率,操作性能,并减少价值损失。我们的证据表明,当投入市场条件发生变化时,创新能力会促进投入结构的调整,从而成为企业绩效的关键驱动因素。
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引用次数: 44
Corporate Risk: CEO Overconfidence and Incentive Compensation 企业风险:CEO过度自信与激励薪酬
Pub Date : 2020-08-05 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3733106
T. Aabo, Nicholai Theodor Hvistendahl, Jacob Kring
PurposeThe purpose of this study is to investigate the association between corporate risk and the interaction between CEO incentive compensation and CEO overconfidence.Design/methodology/approachThis empirical study performs random and fixed effect (FE) regression analysis. It uses option-implied measures of CEO overconfidence.FindingsThe authors contribute to the existing literature by showing (1) that the positive association between high CEO incentive compensation and corporate risk only exists in the sphere of overconfident CEOs and (2) that the positive association between overconfident CEOs and corporate risk only exists in the sphere of high CEO incentive compensation. The authors show that the combination of high CEO incentive compensation and CEO overconfidence is associated with an increase in corporate risk of approximately 6% while the individual effects are for all practical reasons negligible. The results imply that only the combination of high CEO incentive compensation and CEO overconfidence is associated with a significantly elevated level of corporate risk.Research limitations/implicationsThe findings are based on S&P 1500 non-financial firms in the period 2007–2016.Practical implicationsThe findings have important implications in terms of CEO selection and compensation.Originality/valueThis study provides empirical evidence on the importance of the dual presence of high CEO incentive compensation and CEO overconfidence for corporate risk. The previous literature has primarily investigated these phenomena in isolation.
目的探讨企业风险与CEO激励薪酬与CEO过度自信的互动关系。设计/方法/方法本实证研究采用随机固定效应(FE)回归分析。它使用期权隐含的衡量CEO过度自信的指标。研究结果表明:(1)CEO高激励薪酬与公司风险之间的正相关关系只存在于CEO过度自信的领域;(2)CEO过度自信与公司风险之间的正相关关系只存在于CEO高激励薪酬的领域。作者表明,高CEO激励薪酬和CEO过度自信的组合与公司风险增加约6%相关,而个人影响出于所有实际原因可以忽略不计。研究结果表明,只有CEO高激励薪酬和CEO过度自信的组合与显著升高的公司风险水平相关。研究局限/启示研究结果基于2007-2016年期间标准普尔1500非金融公司。研究结果对CEO的选择和薪酬具有重要的启示意义。原创性/价值本研究为CEO高激励薪酬和CEO过度自信的双重存在对企业风险的重要性提供了实证证据。以前的文献主要是孤立地研究这些现象。
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引用次数: 9
Merger Rhetoric and the Credibility of Managerial Synergy Forecasts 并购修辞与管理协同预测的可信度
Pub Date : 2020-08-05 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3667797
Désirée-Jessica Pély, D. Schoch
Managers frequently project high synergistic gains when announcing M&As. This paper analyzes when promised synergies are value-relevant. Using text analytical methods, we only find a positive relationship between synergy projections and announcement returns when promised numerical projections are credible, e.g., when accompanied by thorough verbal explanations and low impression management. Further, credibility increases when concrete instead of embellishing language is used. Hence, the more precise the information that firms disclose, the more it fosters trust in the underlying logic of the deal. Generally, investors seem to see through vacuous statements and value substance over form and verboseness of M&A announcements.
在宣布并购时,管理者经常会预测高协同收益。本文分析了承诺的协同效应何时与价值相关。使用文本分析方法,我们发现只有当承诺的数字预测是可信的,例如,当伴随着彻底的口头解释和低印象管理时,协同预测和公告回报之间才存在正相关关系。此外,当使用具体的而不是修饰的语言时,可信度会增加。因此,公司披露的信息越精确,就越能培养人们对交易背后逻辑的信任。总的来说,投资者似乎看穿了空洞的声明,重视实质,而不是形式和冗长的并购公告。
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引用次数: 0
Financial Media, Price Discovery, and Merger Arbitrage 金融媒体、价格发现与并购套利
Pub Date : 2020-07-17 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.2858999
M. Buehlmaier, J. Zechner
Using merger announcements and applying methods from computational linguistics we find strong evidence that stock prices underreact to information in financial media. A one standard deviation increase in the media-implied probability of merger completion increases the subsequent 12-day return of a long-short merger strategy by 1.2 percentage points. Filtering out the 28% of announced deals with the lowest media-implied completion probability increases the annualized alpha from merger arbitrage by 9.3 percentage points. Our results are particularly pronounced when high-yield spreads are large and on days when only few merger deals are announced. We also document that financial media information is orthogonal to announcement day returns.
利用合并公告和计算语言学的方法,我们发现了股票价格对金融媒体信息反应不足的有力证据。媒体暗示的并购完成概率每增加一个标准差,多空并购策略随后12天的回报就会增加1.2个百分点。过滤掉28%的媒体暗示完成概率最低的已公布交易,合并套利的年化alpha将增加9.3个百分点。我们的结果在高收益息差较大、并购交易宣布较少的日子尤为明显。我们还证明了金融媒体信息与公告日收益是正交的。
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引用次数: 11
All on Board? New Evidence on Board Characteristics from a Large Panel of UK FTSE Indices 都上船了吗?来自英国富时指数大面板的董事会特征的新证据
Pub Date : 2020-07-01 DOI: 10.3390/su12135328
Abdelrhman Yusuf, Mohamed Sherif
This study analyses whether the board characteristics (diversity attributes, competitive capital, time commitment) of companies listed on the Financial Times Stock Exchange FTSE100 exhibit a different performance compared to those associated with conventional benchmark indices (FTSE250, FTSE SMALLCAP (small capitalisation), FTSE Fledgling, and FTSE All-Shar). Using multivariate analysis and unbalanced panel data over the period 2000−2014, we provide novel evidence on how the UK stock market indices react to diversity in board characteristics. Our findings reveal that different aspects of board characteristics are significantly correlated with the performance of FTSE indices. This study further confirms that boards with high levels of diversity maintain better and more effective levels of governance, in particular for companies listed on FTSE100 and FTSE250. Interestingly, we report that the competitive capital and busyness associated with boards of companies listed on FTSE100 have professional, well-educated, and socially connected boards, and show a clear pattern whereby boards become significantly less competitive as firm size decreases.
本研究分析了在金融时报证券交易所FTSE100上市的公司的董事会特征(多样性属性、竞争资本、时间承诺)是否与传统基准指数(FTSE250、FTSE SMALLCAP(小市值)、FTSE羽翼未丰和FTSE all - share)相关的公司表现不同。利用2000 - 2014年期间的多变量分析和不平衡面板数据,我们提供了关于英国股票市场指数如何对董事会特征多样性作出反应的新证据。我们的研究结果表明,董事会特征的不同方面与富时指数的表现显著相关。这项研究进一步证实,高度多元化的董事会保持更好和更有效的治理水平,特别是在FTSE100和FTSE250上市的公司。有趣的是,我们报告说,与富时100指数上市公司的董事会相关的竞争性资本和繁忙程度有专业的、受过良好教育的和有社会联系的董事会,并显示出一个清晰的模式,即随着公司规模的缩小,董事会的竞争力显著降低。
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引用次数: 1
The Economics of Deferral and Clawback Requirements 延期和收回要求的经济学
Pub Date : 2020-07-01 DOI: 10.1111/jofi.13160
Florian Hoffmann, R. Inderst, Marcus M. Opp
We analyze the effects of regulatory interference in compensation contracts, focusing on recent mandatory deferral and clawback requirements restricting (incentive) compensation of material risk-takers in the financial sector. Moderate deferral requirements have a robustly positive effect on equilibrium risk-management effort only if the bank manager's outside option is sufficiently high, else, their effectiveness depends on the dynamics of information arrival. Stringent deferral requirements unambiguously backfire. We characterize when regulators should not impose any deferral regulation at all, when it can achieve second-best welfare, when additional clawback requirements are of value, and highlight the interaction with capital regulation.
我们分析了监管干预对薪酬合同的影响,重点关注了最近限制金融部门重大风险承担者(激励性)薪酬的强制性延期和追回要求。适度延期要求只有在银行经理的外部选择足够高的情况下才会对均衡风险管理努力产生稳健的正影响,否则,其有效性取决于信息到达的动态。严格的延期要求无疑会适得其反。我们描述了监管机构在什么时候根本不应该实施任何延期监管,什么时候它可以实现次优福利,什么时候额外的追回要求是有价值的,并强调了与资本监管的相互作用。
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引用次数: 3
Does Mandatory Recognition of Off-Balance Sheet Liabilities Affect Capital Structure Choice? Evidence from SFAS 158 强制确认表外负债是否影响资本结构选择?来自SFAS 158的证据
Pub Date : 2020-06-26 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3331061
Michael Axenrod, M. Kisser
We investigate whether mandatory recognition of previously disclosed off-balance sheet items affects corporate capital structure decisions. Specifically, we use the introduction of the Statement of Financial Accounting Standards No. 158 as a quasi-exogenous shock to financial reporting decisions as it requires sponsors of defined benefit (DB) pension plans to recognize the level of pension and healthcare plan funding explicitly on the balance sheet. Our findings show that DB plan sponsors did not actively decrease financial leverage following the new accounting standard. This also obtains for subsamples of plan sponsors with tight or violated financial covenants or plan sponsors with unrated debt or low analyst following. The results suggest that the mandatory recognition did not involve sufficient costs to warrant a change in corporate funding decisions.
我们研究强制确认先前披露的资产负债表外项目是否会影响公司资本结构决策。具体而言,我们将第158号财务会计准则的引入作为财务报告决策的准外生冲击,因为它要求固定收益(DB)养老金计划的发起人在资产负债表上明确确认养老金和医疗保健计划的资金水平。我们的研究结果表明,在新会计准则下,固定收益计划发起人并没有主动降低财务杠杆。这也适用于有严格或违反财务契约的计划发起人或有未评级债务或低分析师追随的计划发起人的子样本。结果表明,强制承认并不涉及足够的成本,以保证改变公司的融资决策。
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引用次数: 1
A Dark Side of Industry Tournament Incentives 行业竞赛激励机制的阴暗面
Pub Date : 2020-06-26 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3478660
Qianqian Huang, Feng Jiang, Feixue Xie
Top executives’ reputation and rewards from the managerial labor market are at least partly determined by the financial information their firms convey to the capital markets. We thus examine whether managerial labor market incentives influence firms’ choices in such information transmission and whether these choices subsequently affect future outcomes in the managerial labor market. Our findings are consistent with a strategic information distortion hypothesis. Specifically, CEOs facing greater labor market incentives are more likely to engage in strategic financial disclosure choices to inflate their firms’ reported performance and to meet or narrowly beat earnings benchmarks, thereby enhancing their reputation and upward mobility in the labor market. At the same time, these CEOs are more careful not to commit disclosure maneuvers that trigger financial fraud and restatements, which will severely damage their reputation and undermine their future career prospects. These empirical patterns portray a nuanced picture of how CEOs respond strategically to labor market incentives and career concerns in making financial disclosure decisions. We further show that these decisions affect managerial labor market outcomes; consistent marginal benchmark beating leads to higher compensation and greater mobility in the labor market for CEOs.
高管在管理劳动力市场上的声誉和报酬至少部分取决于他们公司向资本市场传达的财务信息。因此,我们研究了管理层劳动力市场激励是否会影响企业在这种信息传递中的选择,以及这些选择是否会随后影响管理层劳动力市场的未来结果。我们的研究结果与战略信息扭曲假说一致。具体来说,面临更大劳动力市场激励的首席执行官更有可能参与战略性财务披露的选择,以夸大公司报告的业绩,达到或略微超过收入基准,从而提高他们在劳动力市场的声誉和向上流动性。与此同时,这些ceo更加谨慎,不会采取引发财务欺诈和重述的披露策略,这将严重损害他们的声誉,损害他们未来的职业前景。这些经验模式描绘了ceo们在做出财务披露决策时,如何对劳动力市场激励和职业关注做出战略性回应的微妙图景。我们进一步表明,这些决策影响管理劳动力市场的结果;对于首席执行官来说,持续的边际基准优势会导致更高的薪酬和更大的劳动力市场流动性。
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引用次数: 3
Do Analysts’ Recommendations Reflect Co-Opted Boards? 分析师的建议是否反映了增选董事会的情况?
Pub Date : 2020-06-21 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3632267
Suwongrat Papangkorn, Pattanaporn Chatjuthamard, P. Jiraporn, Piyachart Phiromswad
PurposeThis study aims to examine whether co-opted directors influence analysts’ recommendations. As information intermediaries, financial analysts should incorporate the quality of corporate governance into their valuation because well-governed firms are associated with lower agency costs and better performance. Co-opted directors are those appointed after the incumbent chief executive officer assumes office. The authors investigate whether board co-option has an effect on analyst recommendations.Design/methodology/approachThe present study uses univariate analysis, multi-variate regression analysis and conduct a natural experiment using the Sarbanes-Oxley as an exogenous shock.FindingsThe results show that firms with fewer co-opted directors tend to receive more favorable recommendations, suggesting that analysts favor firms with strong corporate governance. The results hold even after controlling for various firm characteristics, including the traditional measures of board quality, i.e. board size and independent directors.Originality/valueThe paper is the first of its kind and offers evidence on the effect of co-opted directors on analyst recommendations. The results contribute to the literature both in corporate governance and in financial intermediaries, where analysts play a crucial role in providing information to the various participants in financial markets.
目的研究增选董事是否会影响分析师的建议。作为信息中介,金融分析师应将公司治理的质量纳入其估值,因为治理良好的公司与较低的代理成本和较好的绩效相关联。增选董事是指在现任首席执行官就职后任命的董事。作者调查了董事会增选是否对分析师的建议有影响。设计/方法/方法本研究采用单因素分析、多因素回归分析,并以萨班斯-奥克斯利法案作为外生冲击进行自然实验。结果表明,增选董事较少的公司往往会得到更多有利的推荐,这表明分析师更青睐公司治理较强的公司。即使在控制了各种公司特征(包括董事会质量的传统衡量标准,即董事会规模和独立董事)之后,结果仍然成立。这篇论文是同类论文中的第一篇,为增选董事对分析师建议的影响提供了证据。研究结果有助于公司治理和金融中介机构的研究,在这些领域,分析师在向金融市场的各种参与者提供信息方面发挥着至关重要的作用。
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引用次数: 6
期刊
Corporate Governance & Finance eJournal
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