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Assessing intra- and inter-individual reliabilities in intensive longitudinal studies: A two-level random dynamic model-based approach. 在密集的纵向研究中评估个体内部和个体之间的可靠性:一种基于两级随机动态模型的方法。
IF 7 1区 心理学 Q1 PSYCHOLOGY, MULTIDISCIPLINARY Pub Date : 2023-08-10 DOI: 10.1037/met0000608
Yue Xiao, Pujue Wang, Hongyun Liu

Intensive longitudinal studies are becoming increasingly popular because of their potential for studying the individual dynamics of psychological processes. However, measures used in such studies are quite susceptible to measurement error due to the short lengths and therefore their psychometric properties, such as reliability, are of great concern. Most existing approaches for assessing reliability are not appropriate for the intensive longitudinal data (ILD) because of the conflation of inter- and intra-individual variations or the difficulty in handling interindividual differences. In addition, measurement models are always relegated or omitted in the ILD modeling approaches. Therefore, in this article, we introduce a two-level random dynamic measurement (2RDM) model for ILD, which takes into account measurement models for key variables of interest. Then we discuss how to derive the within-person and between-person reliabilities for items and scales in the context of the 2RDM model. A small simulation study is presented to illustrate the implementation of the 2RDM model and reliability estimation. An empirical study is then provided to demonstrate the application of the proposed approach for multidimensional scales, in which we calculated the within- and between-person reliabilities for both items and subscales of a short version of the Perceived Stress Scale and found large individual differences in the within-person reliabilities. We conclude by discussing the advantages and considerations of the proposed approach in practice. (PsycInfo Database Record (c) 2023 APA, all rights reserved).

深入的纵向研究正变得越来越受欢迎,因为它们在研究心理过程的个体动态方面具有潜力。然而,这些研究中使用的测量方法由于长度较短,很容易产生测量误差,因此它们的心理测量特性,如可靠性,是非常值得关注的。大多数现有的评估可靠性的方法都不适合密集的纵向数据(ILD),因为个体间和个体内变化的合并或难以处理个体间差异。此外,在ILD建模方法中,度量模型总是被降级或省略。因此,在本文中,我们介绍了ILD的两级随机动态测量(2RDM)模型,该模型考虑了感兴趣的关键变量的测量模型。然后,我们讨论了如何在2RDM模型的背景下推导项目和量表的人内信度和人间信度。通过一个小型仿真研究来说明2RDM模型的实现和可靠性估计。然后提供了一项实证研究来证明所提出的方法在多维量表中的应用,其中我们计算了感知压力量表的短版本的项目和子量表的内部和人与人之间的信度,并发现人与人之间的信度存在很大的个体差异。最后,我们讨论了所提出的方法在实践中的优点和注意事项。(PsycInfo数据库记录(c) 2023 APA,版权所有)。
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引用次数: 0
Examining individual differences in how interaction behaviors change over time: A dyadic multinomial logistic growth modeling approach. 在相互作用行为如何随时间变化中检查个体差异:一种二元多项式逻辑增长建模方法。
IF 7 1区 心理学 Q1 PSYCHOLOGY, MULTIDISCIPLINARY Pub Date : 2023-08-10 DOI: 10.1037/met0000605
Miriam Brinberg, Graham D Bodie, Denise H Solomon, Susanne M Jones, Nilam Ram

Several theoretical perspectives suggest that dyadic experiences are distinguished by patterns of behavioral change that emerge during interactions. Methods for examining change in behavior over time are well elaborated for the study of change along continuous dimensions. Extensions for charting increases and decreases in individuals' use of specific, categorically defined behaviors, however, are rarely invoked. Greater accessibility of Bayesian frameworks that facilitate formulation and estimation of the requisite models is opening new possibilities. This article provides a primer on how multinomial logistic growth models can be used to examine between-dyad differences in within-dyad behavioral change over the course of an interaction. We describe and illustrate how these models are implemented in the Bayesian framework using data from support conversations between strangers (N = 118 dyads) to examine (RQ1) how six types of listeners' and disclosers' behaviors change as support conversations unfold and (RQ2) how the disclosers' preconversation distress moderates the change in conversation behaviors. The primer concludes with a series of notes on (a) implications of modeling choices, (b) flexibility in modeling nonlinear change, (c) necessity for theory that specifies how and why change trajectories differ, and (d) how multinomial logistic growth models can help refine current theory about dyadic interaction. (PsycInfo Database Record (c) 2023 APA, all rights reserved).

一些理论观点认为,二元体验是通过互动过程中出现的行为变化模式来区分的。研究行为随时间变化的方法在研究连续维度的变化方面得到了很好的阐述。然而,在个人使用特定的、分类定义的行为时,图表扩展的增减很少被调用。贝叶斯框架的更大可及性,促进了必要模型的制定和估计,正在开辟新的可能性。本文提供了如何使用多项逻辑增长模型来检查在相互作用过程中对内行为变化的对间差异的入门。我们描述并说明了这些模型是如何在贝叶斯框架中实现的,使用陌生人之间的支持对话(N = 118对)的数据来检查(RQ1)六种类型的听者和披露者的行为如何随着支持对话的展开而变化,(RQ2)披露者的谈话前痛苦如何调节谈话行为的变化。本导论以一系列关于(a)建模选择的含义,(b)建模非线性变化的灵活性,(c)指定变化轨迹如何以及为什么不同的理论的必要性,以及(d)多项逻辑增长模型如何帮助完善关于二元相互作用的当前理论。(PsycInfo数据库记录(c) 2023 APA,版权所有)。
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引用次数: 1
Everything has its price: Foundations of cost-sensitive machine learning and its application in psychology. 凡事皆有代价:成本敏感型机器学习的基础及其在心理学中的应用。
IF 7 1区 心理学 Q1 PSYCHOLOGY, MULTIDISCIPLINARY Pub Date : 2023-08-10 DOI: 10.1037/met0000586
Philipp Sterner, David Goretzko, Florian Pargent

Psychology has seen an increase in the use of machine learning (ML) methods. In many applications, observations are classified into one of two groups (binary classification). Off-the-shelf classification algorithms assume that the costs of a misclassification (false positive or false negative) are equal. Because this is often not reasonable (e.g., in clinical psychology), cost-sensitive machine learning (CSL) methods can take different cost ratios into account. We present the mathematical foundations and introduce a taxonomy of the most commonly used CSL methods, before demonstrating their application and usefulness on psychological data, that is, the drug consumption data set (N = 1, 885) from the University of California Irvine ML Repository. In our example, all demonstrated CSL methods noticeably reduced mean misclassification costs compared to regular ML algorithms. We discuss the necessity for researchers to perform small benchmarks of CSL methods for their own practical application. Thus, our open materials provide R code, demonstrating how CSL methods can be applied within the mlr3 framework (https://osf.io/cvks7/). (PsycInfo Database Record (c) 2023 APA, all rights reserved).

在心理学中,机器学习(ML)方法的使用有所增加。在许多应用中,观测值被分为两组(二元分类)之一。现成的分类算法假设错误分类(假阳性或假阴性)的代价是相等的。因为这通常是不合理的(例如,在临床心理学中),成本敏感机器学习(CSL)方法可以考虑不同的成本比率。我们介绍了数学基础,并介绍了最常用的CSL方法的分类,然后展示了它们在心理数据上的应用和有用性,即来自加州大学欧文分校ML存储库的药物消费数据集(N = 1,885)。在我们的示例中,与常规ML算法相比,所有演示的CSL方法都显著降低了平均误分类成本。我们讨论了研究人员为了自己的实际应用而对CSL方法进行小型基准测试的必要性。因此,我们的开放材料提供了R代码,演示了如何在mlr3框架中应用CSL方法(https://osf.io/cvks7/)。(PsycInfo数据库记录(c) 2023 APA,版权所有)。
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引用次数: 1
Bayesian approaches to designing replication studies. 设计复制研究的贝叶斯方法。
IF 7 1区 心理学 Q1 PSYCHOLOGY, MULTIDISCIPLINARY Pub Date : 2023-08-10 DOI: 10.1037/met0000604
Samuel Pawel, Guido Consonni, Leonhard Held

Replication studies are essential for assessing the credibility of claims from original studies. A critical aspect of designing replication studies is determining their sample size; a too-small sample size may lead to inconclusive studies whereas a too-large sample size may waste resources that could be allocated better in other studies. Here, we show how Bayesian approaches can be used for tackling this problem. The Bayesian framework allows researchers to combine the original data and external knowledge in a design prior distribution for the underlying parameters. Based on a design prior, predictions about the replication data can be made, and the replication sample size can be chosen to ensure a sufficiently high probability of replication success. Replication success may be defined by Bayesian or non-Bayesian criteria and different criteria may also be combined to meet distinct stakeholders and enable conclusive inferences based on multiple analysis approaches. We investigate sample size determination in the normal-normal hierarchical model where analytical results are available and traditional sample size determination is a special case where the uncertainty on parameter values is not accounted for. We use data from a multisite replication project of social-behavioral experiments to illustrate how Bayesian approaches can help design informative and cost-effective replication studies. Our methods can be used through the R package BayesRepDesign. (PsycInfo Database Record (c) 2023 APA, all rights reserved).

复制研究对于评估原始研究的可信度至关重要。设计重复性研究的一个关键方面是确定样本量;过小的样本量可能导致不确定的研究,而过大的样本量可能浪费本可以更好地分配在其他研究中的资源。在这里,我们将展示如何使用贝叶斯方法来解决这个问题。贝叶斯框架允许研究人员将原始数据和外部知识结合在设计基础参数的先验分布中。基于先验设计,可以对复制数据进行预测,并选择复制样本大小,以确保复制成功的概率足够高。复制成功可以由贝叶斯或非贝叶斯标准定义,也可以结合不同的标准来满足不同的利益相关者,并基于多种分析方法进行结论性推断。我们研究了正态-正态层次模型中样本大小的确定,其中分析结果是可用的,而传统的样本大小确定是一种特殊情况,其中参数值的不确定性没有考虑在内。我们使用来自社会行为实验的多站点复制项目的数据来说明贝叶斯方法如何帮助设计信息丰富且具有成本效益的复制研究。我们的方法可以通过R包BayesRepDesign来使用。(PsycInfo数据库记录(c) 2023 APA,版权所有)。
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引用次数: 4
Equivalence testing to judge model fit: A Monte Carlo simulation. 等效检验判断模型拟合:蒙特卡罗模拟。
IF 7 1区 心理学 Q1 PSYCHOLOGY, MULTIDISCIPLINARY Pub Date : 2023-08-10 DOI: 10.1037/met0000591
James L Peugh, Kaylee Litson, David F Feldon

Decades of published methodological research have shown the chi-square test of model fit performs inconsistently and unreliably as a determinant of structural equation model (SEM) fit. Likewise, SEM indices of model fit, such as comparative fit index (CFI) and root-mean-square error of approximation (RMSEA) also perform inconsistently and unreliably. Despite rather unreliable ways to statistically assess model fit, researchers commonly rely on these methods for lack of a suitable inferential alternative. Marcoulides and Yuan (2017) have proposed the first inferential test of SEM fit in many years: an equivalence test adaptation of the RMSEA and CFI indices (i.e., RMSEAt and CFIt). However, the ability of this equivalence testing approach to accurately judge acceptable and unacceptable model fit has not been empirically tested. This fully crossed Monte Carlo simulation evaluated the accuracy of equivalence testing combining many of the same independent variable (IV) conditions used in previous fit index simulation studies, including sample size (N = 100-1,000), model specification (correctly specified or misspecified), model type (confirmatory factor analysis [CFA], path analysis, or SEM), number of variables analyzed (low or high), data distribution (normal or skewed), and missing data (none, 10%, or 25%). Results show equivalence testing performs rather inconsistently and unreliably across IV conditions, with acceptable or unacceptable RMSEAt and CFIt model fit index values often being contingent on complex interactions among conditions. Proportional z-tests and logistic regression analyses indicated that equivalence tests of model fit are problematic under multiple conditions, especially those where models are mildly misspecified. Recommendations for researchers are offered, but with the provision that they be used with caution until more research and development is available. (PsycInfo Database Record (c) 2023 APA, all rights reserved).

几十年发表的方法学研究表明,模型拟合的卡方检验作为结构方程模型(SEM)拟合的决定因素表现得不一致和不可靠。同样,模型拟合的SEM指标,如比较拟合指数(CFI)和近似均方根误差(RMSEA)也表现不一致和不可靠。尽管统计评估模型拟合的方法相当不可靠,但由于缺乏合适的推断替代方法,研究人员通常依赖这些方法。Marcoulides和Yuan(2017)提出了多年来第一个SEM拟合的推理检验:RMSEA和CFI指数(即RMSEAt和CFIt)的等效检验。然而,这种等效检验方法准确判断可接受和不可接受模型拟合的能力尚未得到实证检验。这个完全交叉的蒙特卡罗模拟评估了等效检验的准确性,结合了许多在以前的拟合指数模拟研究中使用的相同的自变量(IV)条件,包括样本量(N = 100- 1000)、模型规格(正确指定或错误指定)、模型类型(验证性因子分析[CFA]、路径分析或SEM)、分析的变量数量(低或高)、数据分布(正态或偏态)和缺失数据(无、10%或25%)。结果表明,等效性测试在IV条件下执行得相当不一致和不可靠,RMSEAt和CFIt模型拟合指数值通常取决于条件之间的复杂相互作用。比例z检验和逻辑回归分析表明,在多种条件下,模型拟合的等效检验存在问题,特别是在模型轻度错误指定的情况下。为研究人员提供了建议,但规定在有更多的研究和发展可用之前,要谨慎使用这些建议。(PsycInfo数据库记录(c) 2023 APA,版权所有)。
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引用次数: 0
Detecting gender as a moderator in meta-analysis: The problem of restricted between-study variance. 检测性别在meta分析中的调节作用:研究间差异受限的问题。
IF 7 1区 心理学 Q1 PSYCHOLOGY, MULTIDISCIPLINARY Pub Date : 2023-08-10 DOI: 10.1037/met0000603
Lydia Craig Aulisi, Hannah M Markell-Goldstein, Jose M Cortina, Carol M Wong, Xue Lei, Cyrus K Foroughi

Meta-analyses in the psychological sciences typically examine moderators that may explain heterogeneity in effect sizes. One of the most commonly examined moderators is gender. Overall, tests of gender as a moderator are rarely significant, which may be because effects rarely differ substantially between men and women. While this may be true in some cases, we also suggest that the lack of significant findings may be attributable to the way in which gender is examined as a meta-analytic moderator, such that detecting moderating effects is very unlikely even when such effects are substantial in magnitude. More specifically, we suggest that lack of between-primary study variance in gender composition makes it exceedingly difficult to detect moderation. That is, because primary studies tend to have similar male-to-female ratios, there is very little variance in gender composition between primaries, making it nearly impossible to detect between-study differences in the relationship of interest as a function of gender. In the present article, we report results from two studies: (a) a meta-meta-analysis in which we demonstrate the magnitude of this problem by computing the between-study variance in gender composition across 286 meta-analytic moderation tests from 50 meta-analyses, and (b) a Monte Carlo simulation study in which we show that this lack of variance results in near-zero moderator effects even when male-female differences in correlations are quite large. Our simulations are also used to show the value of single-gender studies for detecting moderating effects. (PsycInfo Database Record (c) 2023 APA, all rights reserved).

心理科学的荟萃分析通常检查可能解释效应大小异质性的调节因子。最常被检查的调节因素之一是性别。总的来说,性别作为调节因素的测试很少有意义,这可能是因为男性和女性之间的影响很少有实质性差异。虽然这在某些情况下可能是正确的,但我们也认为,缺乏重大发现可能归因于性别作为元分析调节因素的检验方式,这样即使在这种影响很大的情况下,也不太可能检测到调节作用。更具体地说,我们认为缺乏性别构成的主要研究之间的差异使得很难检测到适度。也就是说,由于初级研究往往有相似的男女比例,初级研究之间的性别构成差异很小,因此几乎不可能检测到兴趣关系作为性别函数的研究之间的差异。在本文中,我们报告了两项研究的结果:(a)一项荟萃分析,我们通过计算来自50项荟萃分析的286项荟萃分析调节测试的性别组成的研究间方差来证明这个问题的严重性;(b)一项蒙特卡罗模拟研究,我们表明,即使在男女相关性差异相当大的情况下,这种方差的缺乏也会导致接近零的调节效应。我们的模拟也被用来显示单性别研究在检测调节效应方面的价值。(PsycInfo数据库记录(c) 2023 APA,版权所有)。
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引用次数: 0
Supplemental Material for Assessing Intra- and Inter-Individual Reliabilities in Intensive Longitudinal Studies: A Two-Level Random Dynamic Model-Based Approach 强化纵向研究中评估个体内部和个体间可靠性的补充材料:基于两级随机动态模型的方法
IF 7 1区 心理学 Q1 PSYCHOLOGY, MULTIDISCIPLINARY Pub Date : 2023-08-07 DOI: 10.1037/met0000608.supp
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引用次数: 0
Supplemental Material for Multilevel Modeling in Single-Case Studies With Count and Proportion Data: A Demonstration and Evaluation 具有计数和比例数据的单个案例研究中多层次建模的补充材料:演示和评估
IF 7 1区 心理学 Q1 PSYCHOLOGY, MULTIDISCIPLINARY Pub Date : 2023-08-07 DOI: 10.1037/met0000607.supp
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引用次数: 0
Supplemental Material for Examining Individual Differences in How Interaction Behaviors Change Over Time: A Dyadic Multinomial Logistic Growth Modeling Approach 补充材料检查个体差异如何相互作用的行为改变随时间:一个二元多项式逻辑增长建模方法
IF 7 1区 心理学 Q1 PSYCHOLOGY, MULTIDISCIPLINARY Pub Date : 2023-08-07 DOI: 10.1037/met0000605.supp
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引用次数: 0
Supplemental Material for Mixture Multilevel Vector-Autoregressive Modeling 混合多层次向量自回归模型的补充材料
IF 7 1区 心理学 Q1 PSYCHOLOGY, MULTIDISCIPLINARY Pub Date : 2023-08-07 DOI: 10.1037/met0000551.supp
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引用次数: 0
期刊
Psychological methods
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