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Infection-Independent Effect of the COVID-19 Pandemic on Diabetes and Cardiovascular Disease Mortality: An Illinois Vital Records System Analysis, 2019-2021. 2019-2021年伊利诺伊州生命记录系统分析:COVID-19大流行对糖尿病和心血管疾病死亡率的感染无关性影响
IF 2.5 4区 医学 Q2 PUBLIC, ENVIRONMENTAL & OCCUPATIONAL HEALTH Pub Date : 2026-01-12 DOI: 10.1177/00333549251403367
Jon E Niederhauser, Patrick C Harper, Philip Pittman

Objectives: Infection mitigation practices and health care infrastructure challenges during the COVID-19 pandemic caused delays in medical care and chronic disease detection and management. These challenges also hindered healthy lifestyle choices. We analyzed diabetes and cardiovascular disease (CVD) mortality independent of COVID-19 comorbidity to assess the effect of the COVID-19 pandemic on chronic disease mortality.

Methods: We obtained Illinois Vital Records System death records for calendar year 2019 (January 1 through December 1, 2019) and COVID-19 year 1 (March 16, 2020, through March 15, 2021). We included Illinois residents with causes of death recorded as diabetes or CVD and the absence of COVID-19 infection. We calculated age-adjusted mortality rates for diabetes and CVD as underlying causes of death. We examined data by age, sex, race and ethnicity, education, geography, and CVD subtypes.

Results: The infection-independent, all-cause mortality rate per 100 000 population in Illinois increased 3.6% from January 1, 2019, through March 15, 2021 (765.8 [95% CI, 761.2-770.3] vs 793.2 [95% CI, 788.6-797.8]). The overall diabetes mortality rate increased 19.9% (19.6 [95% CI, 18.9-20.3] vs 23.5 [95% CI, 22.7-24.3]). The overall CVD mortality rate change (3.9%; 239.2 [95% CI, 236.7-241.7] vs 248.5 [95% CI, 245.9-251.1]) was similar to the all-cause mortality rate change. Sex, minority race, ethnicity, those with high school diplomas or some college education, middle to older age, and urban residence influenced mortality rate increases among people with diabetes and CVD.

Conclusion: The COVID-19 pandemic had an infection-independent effect on chronic disease mortality. This knowledge may help public health officials guide policy that protects chronic disease management during future public health emergencies.

目标:2019冠状病毒病大流行期间的缓解感染做法和卫生保健基础设施挑战导致医疗保健和慢性病检测和管理方面的延误。这些挑战也阻碍了健康生活方式的选择。我们分析了独立于COVID-19合并症的糖尿病和心血管疾病(CVD)死亡率,以评估COVID-19大流行对慢性疾病死亡率的影响。方法:我们获得伊利诺斯州生命记录系统2019日历年(2019年1月1日至12月1日)和COVID-19第一年(2020年3月16日至2021年3月15日)的死亡记录。我们纳入了死亡原因记录为糖尿病或心血管疾病且没有COVID-19感染的伊利诺伊州居民。我们计算了糖尿病和心血管疾病作为潜在死亡原因的年龄调整死亡率。我们按年龄、性别、种族和民族、教育程度、地理位置和心血管疾病亚型检查了数据。结果:从2019年1月1日至2021年3月15日,伊利诺伊州每10万人中与感染无关的全因死亡率增加了3.6% (765.8 [95% CI, 761.2-770.3] vs 793.2 [95% CI, 788.6-797.8])。糖尿病总死亡率增加19.9% (19.6 [95% CI, 18.9-20.3] vs 23.5 [95% CI, 22.7-24.3])。总的心血管疾病死亡率变化(3.9%;239.2 [95% CI, 236.7-241.7] vs 248.5 [95% CI, 245.9-251.1])与全因死亡率变化相似。性别、少数民族、民族、高中文凭或大学学历、中老年和城市居住影响糖尿病和心血管疾病患者死亡率的增加。结论:COVID-19大流行对慢性疾病死亡率具有感染无关的影响。这些知识可以帮助公共卫生官员指导政策,在未来突发公共卫生事件中保护慢性病管理。
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引用次数: 0
High and Increased Positive Public Opinions About Supports for Breastfeeding, United States, 2015-2024. 2015-2024年,美国公众对母乳喂养支持的正面意见高且增加。
IF 2.5 4区 医学 Q2 PUBLIC, ENVIRONMENTAL & OCCUPATIONAL HEALTH Pub Date : 2026-01-12 DOI: 10.1177/00333549251405742
Kristin J Marks, Mary Ellen Grap, Jian Chen, Dallas S Shi, Ruowei Li

Because breastfeeding behaviors are influenced by social norms, we examined public opinions toward societal supports for breastfeeding using data from the 2015 and 2024 SummerStyles surveys (N = 4127 and N = 4371, respectively, from the noninstitutionalized US population). In 2024, 81.9% of respondents agreed "there should be paid maternity leave for workers," 73.5% believed "women should have the right to breastfeed in public places," 66.9% agreed "women should be encouraged to breastfeed," and 65.9% agreed "a mother needs a lot of support to breastfeed her baby"-up 12, 11, 5, and 17 percentage points, respectively, from 2015. High and increased positive public opinions about supports for breastfeeding suggest heightened approval for breastfeeding-supportive programs and policies.

由于母乳喂养行为受到社会规范的影响,我们使用2015年和2024年SummerStyles调查的数据(分别来自美国非机构人口的N = 4127和N = 4371)来调查公众对母乳喂养社会支持的意见。2024年,81.9%的受访者认为“应该为工人提供带薪产假”,73.5%的受访者认为“女性应该有权利在公共场所母乳喂养”,66.9%的受访者认为“应该鼓励女性母乳喂养”,65.9%的受访者认为“母亲需要很多支持才能母乳喂养孩子”,分别比2015年上升了12、11、5和17个百分点。公众对支持母乳喂养的积极意见越来越多,表明支持母乳喂养的计划和政策得到了更多的认可。
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引用次数: 0
The Unregulated Rise of Kratom Drinks: Emerging Challenges and Policy Recommendations. 不受管制的Kratom饮料的崛起:新出现的挑战和政策建议。
IF 2.5 4区 医学 Q2 PUBLIC, ENVIRONMENTAL & OCCUPATIONAL HEALTH Pub Date : 2026-01-12 DOI: 10.1177/00333549251403378
Teresa Perry, Sayorn Chin
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引用次数: 0
Response to Letter on Exploring Neighborhood Opportunity as a Factor in Pediatric Asthma Visits to the Emergency Department. 对探索邻里机会作为儿童哮喘就诊急诊科因素的信函的回应。
IF 2.5 4区 医学 Q2 PUBLIC, ENVIRONMENTAL & OCCUPATIONAL HEALTH Pub Date : 2026-01-08 DOI: 10.1177/00333549251403369
Nima Khodakarami, Marvellous Akinlotan, Alva O Ferdinand
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引用次数: 0
A Place to Stay: Building a Centralized Public Map of Lodging Resources for Patients and Caregivers Traveling for Care. 住宿地点:为外出就医的患者和护理人员建立集中的住宿资源公共地图。
IF 2.5 4区 医学 Q2 PUBLIC, ENVIRONMENTAL & OCCUPATIONAL HEALTH Pub Date : 2026-01-01 Epub Date: 2025-10-30 DOI: 10.1177/00333549251382522
Jennifer A Owens, Victoria Ezeji, Victoria Williams, Godwin Okoye, Flavius R W Lilly, Roger J Ward

Access to specialized health care often requires patients and caregivers to travel long distances, imposing logistical and financial burdens. Temporary lodging near hospitals is essential for health care access, yet information is fragmented, forcing patients and caregivers to search across multiple websites to see all options available. We conducted a cross-sectional review (April 2023-May 2024) of publicly available data, cataloging US organizations that offer temporary lodging near health care facilities. We geocoded and integrated data into the Healthcare Housing Navigator, an interactive map built with ArcGIS Experience Builder. Our review identified 510 lodging organizations. The tool uses geographic information systems for interactive filtering and displays key details, such as organization name, location, cost, and eligibility criteria. By centralizing fragmented information on medical lodging, the Healthcare Housing Navigator addresses an overlooked health-related social need and equips patients, caregivers, and care teams with timely, accessible information.

要获得专门的保健服务,患者和护理人员往往需要长途跋涉,造成后勤和财政负担。医院附近的临时住宿对于获得医疗服务至关重要,但信息分散,迫使患者和护理人员在多个网站上搜索,以查看所有可用的选择。我们对公开数据进行了横断面审查(2023年4月至2024年5月),对在卫生保健设施附近提供临时住宿的美国组织进行了编目。我们对数据进行了地理编码,并将其集成到医疗保健住房导航器中,这是一个使用ArcGIS Experience Builder构建的交互式地图。我们的审查确定了510家住宿组织。该工具使用地理信息系统进行交互式过滤,并显示关键细节,如组织名称、位置、成本和资格标准。通过集中医疗住宿的碎片信息,医疗住房导航解决了被忽视的与健康相关的社会需求,并为患者、护理人员和护理团队提供了及时、可访问的信息。
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引用次数: 0
Integrating Human-Animal Care Through a Public Health-Driven One Health Clinic Model in Pima County, Arizona, October 2023-February 2024. 2023年10月至2024年2月,在亚利桑那州皮马县,通过公共卫生驱动的一个健康诊所模式整合人类-动物护理。
IF 2.5 4区 医学 Q2 PUBLIC, ENVIRONMENTAL & OCCUPATIONAL HEALTH Pub Date : 2026-01-01 Epub Date: 2025-11-03 DOI: 10.1177/00333549251367579
Cedar L Mitchell, Vickie Ramirez, Ellen Santos, Danielle Noumeh, Shayla VerSchave, Haley Escheman, Nellie Goetz, Michele Figueroa, Karl Wagner, Mariana Singletary, Lindsay N Kohler, Katherine D Ellingson, Jennifer Wagner, Kristen Pogreba-Brown, Theresa A Cullen

One Health clinics integrate human, animal, and environmental health to provide interdisciplinary health care and community resources to people experiencing homelessness (PEH). Five mobile, public health-led One Health clinics were newly implemented in Pima County, Arizona, during October 2023-February 2024. Clinic locations included parks, libraries, and homeless shelters to reduce transportation-related barriers and integrate public health, veterinary, and housing services. Originally designed for PEH and their pets, Pima County One Health clinics were open to everyone in neighborhoods where clinics were hosted to promote community engagement with clinics and strengthen relationships with public health. We evaluated the performance of these clinics by describing service patterns, client perceptions, and lessons learned to support development of clinics by other jurisdictions. During clinic visits, basic demographic information was collected for people and pets, along with data on housing status, environmental and resource concerns, use of clinic services, and perceptions of clinics. The first 5 monthly mobile community clinics served 108 clients and 93 pets; 44% of clients were unhoused or unstably housed, 36% of clients were housed, and housing status was unknown for 20% of clients. Clinics facilitated partnership among service providers and with housed and unhoused community members. Clinics supported vaccine uptake among people and their pets and identified 3 cases of sexually transmitted infections that might otherwise have remained undetected. By implementing a One Health Clinic framework, our local health department helped address gaps in human and veterinary health care services. Other public health agencies might consider implementing similar models to enhance public health engagement with local communities.

“一个健康”诊所整合了人类、动物和环境卫生,向无家可归者提供跨学科的保健和社区资源。2023年10月至2024年2月期间,在亚利桑那州皮马县新设立了5个以公共卫生为主导的流动“一个健康”诊所。诊所地点包括公园、图书馆和无家可归者收容所,以减少与交通有关的障碍,并整合公共卫生、兽医和住房服务。最初是为PEH和他们的宠物设计的,皮马县第一健康诊所向社区的每个人开放,以促进社区与诊所的参与,并加强与公共卫生的关系。我们通过描述服务模式、客户看法和经验教训来评估这些诊所的表现,以支持其他司法管辖区的诊所发展。在诊所访问期间,收集了人和宠物的基本人口统计信息,以及关于住房状况、环境和资源问题、诊所服务使用情况和对诊所的看法的数据。前5个月的流动社区诊所服务了108名客户和93只宠物;44%的客户没有住房或住房不稳定,36%的客户有住房,20%的客户住房状况不明。诊所促进了服务提供者之间以及与有住房和无住房社区成员之间的伙伴关系。诊所支持人们及其宠物接种疫苗,并确定了3例性传播感染病例,否则这些病例可能不会被发现。通过实施“一个健康诊所”框架,我们当地的卫生部门帮助解决了人类和兽医卫生保健服务方面的差距。其他公共卫生机构可能考虑实施类似的模式,以加强与当地社区的公共卫生参与。
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引用次数: 0
Wastewater Monitoring: Improving Public Awareness and Understanding in the United States, May 2024. 废水监测:提高美国公众的认识和理解,2024年5月。
IF 2.5 4区 医学 Q2 PUBLIC, ENVIRONMENTAL & OCCUPATIONAL HEALTH Pub Date : 2026-01-01 Epub Date: 2025-09-07 DOI: 10.1177/00333549251359177
Matthew W Kreuter, Rachel Garg, Alexis K Marsh, Ayokunle Olagoke, Olivia Weng, Victoria De La Vega, Cameron Dunn, Kimberly J Johnson

Objectives: Although wastewater monitoring for virus detection has increased in communities worldwide, public awareness, understanding, questions, and concerns about wastewater monitoring are largely unknown. We assessed awareness, knowledge, and support for wastewater monitoring for detection of viruses and bacteria among US residents and elicited questions and concerns from residents about its use.

Methods: We conducted a survey among a racially and ethnically diverse sample of residents in Colorado, Maryland, Missouri, Nebraska, and Texas to assess awareness, knowledge, and support of wastewater monitoring. We also asked an open-ended question to elicit further questions and concerns from survey participants about wastewater monitoring. Two independent reviewers coded the responses to the open-ended question.

Results: Among 516 survey participants (52% White, 31% Black, 27% Hispanic ethnicity), 289 (56%) were aware that local public health departments and federal health agencies tested sewer water yet 334 (65%) knew "little or nothing" about wastewater monitoring. After participants were exposed to a brief description of the wastewater monitoring process, 80% "supported" or "strongly supported" wastewater monitoring to detect viruses and bacteria. When we analyzed responses to the open-ended question on wastewater monitoring, 3 broad categories and 9 subcategories of questions and concerns about wastewater monitoring emerged: (1) how wastewater monitoring works (mechanics, accuracy, cost, safety), (2) what is done with the findings generated by wastewater monitoring (public accessibility, government trust, public health response), and (3) what protections were in place against misuse of findings (privacy, fairness).

Conclusions: Proactive public education is needed to increase understanding, build support, and prevent disinformation about wastewater monitoring. Local systems are needed to share findings rapidly, clearly, and simply.

目的:尽管在世界各地的社区中对废水进行病毒检测的监测有所增加,但公众对废水监测的认识、理解、问题和关注在很大程度上是未知的。我们评估了美国居民对废水监测检测病毒和细菌的认识、知识和支持,并从居民中引出了有关其使用的问题和担忧。方法:我们在科罗拉多州、马里兰州、密苏里州、内布拉斯加州和德克萨斯州的不同种族和民族的居民样本中进行了一项调查,以评估对废水监测的认识、知识和支持。我们还问了一个开放式问题,以引出调查参与者对废水监测的进一步问题和关注。两位独立的审稿人对这个开放式问题的回答进行了编码。结果:在516名调查参与者(52%白人,31%黑人,27%西班牙裔)中,289人(56%)知道当地公共卫生部门和联邦卫生机构对污水进行了检测,而334人(65%)对废水监测“知之甚少或一无所知”。在参与者接触到废水监测过程的简要描述后,80%的人“支持”或“强烈支持”废水监测以检测病毒和细菌。当我们分析对关于废水监测的开放式问题的回答时,出现了关于废水监测的3大类和9个子类别的问题和关注:(1)废水监测如何工作(机制、准确性、成本、安全性),(2)如何处理废水监测产生的结果(公众可及性、政府信任、公共卫生响应),以及(3)对滥用调查结果的保护措施(隐私、公平)。结论:需要积极的公众教育,以增加对废水监测的理解,建立支持并防止虚假信息。需要地方系统快速、清晰、简单地分享发现。
{"title":"Wastewater Monitoring: Improving Public Awareness and Understanding in the United States, May 2024.","authors":"Matthew W Kreuter, Rachel Garg, Alexis K Marsh, Ayokunle Olagoke, Olivia Weng, Victoria De La Vega, Cameron Dunn, Kimberly J Johnson","doi":"10.1177/00333549251359177","DOIUrl":"10.1177/00333549251359177","url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>Objectives: </strong>Although wastewater monitoring for virus detection has increased in communities worldwide, public awareness, understanding, questions, and concerns about wastewater monitoring are largely unknown. We assessed awareness, knowledge, and support for wastewater monitoring for detection of viruses and bacteria among US residents and elicited questions and concerns from residents about its use.</p><p><strong>Methods: </strong>We conducted a survey among a racially and ethnically diverse sample of residents in Colorado, Maryland, Missouri, Nebraska, and Texas to assess awareness, knowledge, and support of wastewater monitoring. We also asked an open-ended question to elicit further questions and concerns from survey participants about wastewater monitoring. Two independent reviewers coded the responses to the open-ended question.</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>Among 516 survey participants (52% White, 31% Black, 27% Hispanic ethnicity), 289 (56%) were aware that local public health departments and federal health agencies tested sewer water yet 334 (65%) knew \"little or nothing\" about wastewater monitoring. After participants were exposed to a brief description of the wastewater monitoring process, 80% \"supported\" or \"strongly supported\" wastewater monitoring to detect viruses and bacteria. When we analyzed responses to the open-ended question on wastewater monitoring, 3 broad categories and 9 subcategories of questions and concerns about wastewater monitoring emerged: (1) how wastewater monitoring works (mechanics, accuracy, cost, safety), (2) what is done with the findings generated by wastewater monitoring (public accessibility, government trust, public health response), and (3) what protections were in place against misuse of findings (privacy, fairness).</p><p><strong>Conclusions: </strong>Proactive public education is needed to increase understanding, build support, and prevent disinformation about wastewater monitoring. Local systems are needed to share findings rapidly, clearly, and simply.</p>","PeriodicalId":20793,"journal":{"name":"Public Health Reports","volume":" ","pages":"114-121"},"PeriodicalIF":2.5,"publicationDate":"2026-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC12414978/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145008477","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Prevalence of Post-COVID-19 Condition and the Potential of Tribal Public Health Capacity. covid -19后疾病的流行和部落公共卫生能力的潜力。
IF 2.5 4区 医学 Q2 PUBLIC, ENVIRONMENTAL & OCCUPATIONAL HEALTH Pub Date : 2026-01-01 Epub Date: 2025-11-09 DOI: 10.1177/00333549251378104
Eric Coles, Krista Locke, John Egbo, Nicamer Tolentino, Mare Schumacher

Objective: COVID-19 exacerbated health inequities for American Indian/Alaska Native (AI/AN) populations. Tribal public health departments and Tribal Epidemiology Centers are critical in addressing these challenges, particularly among people on or near tribally owned land. In this study, we described an example of the value of Tribal Epidemiology Centers and tribal public health departments and estimated the prevalence of post-COVID-19 condition (PCC), defined as symptoms persisting ≥90 days postinfection, in a tribal community.

Methods: This retrospective cohort study evaluated the prevalence of PCC and functional limitations among adults diagnosed with COVID-19 on the Tule River Reservation from July 2020 through February 2023. Tule River Indian Health Center, Inc staff conducted telephone surveys to assess symptoms at 30 and 90 days postinfection and functional outcomes using the Post-COVID-19 Functional Status scale. We stratified prevalence rates by age and sex and compared functional limitations before and after infection.

Results: We estimated PCC prevalence at 21% (15 of 76). We also found that 37% (24 of 65) of survey participants reported more functional limitations after COVID-19 infection than before.

Conclusions: Our study highlights the need for further research and inclusion of AI/AN communities in PCC research and new vertical policy solutions such as those used for diabetes. AI/AN communities have had inequitably higher rates of COVID-19 and appear poised to also have inequitably higher rates of PCC.

目的:2019冠状病毒病加剧了美国印第安人/阿拉斯加原住民(AI/AN)人群的卫生不平等。部落公共卫生部门和部落流行病学中心在应对这些挑战方面至关重要,特别是在部落拥有的土地上或附近的人们中。在这项研究中,我们描述了部落流行病学中心和部落公共卫生部门价值的一个例子,并估计了部落社区中covid -19后病症(PCC)的患病率,PCC定义为感染后症状持续≥90天。方法:本回顾性队列研究评估了2020年7月至2023年2月在图勒河保留地诊断为COVID-19的成人PCC患病率和功能限制。图勒河印第安人健康中心公司的工作人员进行了电话调查,以评估感染后30天和90天的症状和使用后covid -19功能状态量表的功能结果。我们将患病率按年龄和性别分层,并比较了感染前后的功能限制。结果:我们估计PCC患病率为21%(76人中有15人)。我们还发现,37%(65人中有24人)的调查参与者在COVID-19感染后报告的功能限制比之前更多。结论:我们的研究强调了进一步研究和将AI/AN社区纳入PCC研究和新的垂直政策解决方案(如用于糖尿病的政策解决方案)的必要性。AI/AN社区的COVID-19发病率高得不公平,而且PCC的发病率似乎也会高得不公平。
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引用次数: 0
The Experiences of Black Men Who Survived a Gunshot Wound and Were Treated With a Colostomy. 黑人枪伤幸存者接受结肠造口术的经历。
IF 2.5 4区 医学 Q2 PUBLIC, ENVIRONMENTAL & OCCUPATIONAL HEALTH Pub Date : 2026-01-01 Epub Date: 2025-04-12 DOI: 10.1177/00333549251316808
William Wical, Bethany Strong, Joseph B Richardson

In the United States, rates of fatal and nonfatal firearm injuries differ substantially by race and sex, with Black men being more likely than any other group to be shot. Many people who survive a gunshot wound have complex physical, psychological, and social challenges during their recovery. Public health programs, including hospital-based violence intervention programs (HVIPs), have been designed to reduce the likelihood of reinjury for their participants and to support their well-being. However, little is known about how Black men who survive a gunshot wound and receive care from these programs conceptualize the best ways to support their healing and the barriers they experience in achieving their health-related goals. This case study, drawing from ethnographic research conducted during 2013-2023 at the second busiest HVIP in Maryland, examines the experiences of 6 Black men who were treated with a colostomy after surviving a gunshot wound. Emergent themes included increased psychological stress from being treated with a colostomy and wearing a waste collection pouch, disruptions to everyday life, and insufficient access to colostomy care and education. The findings from this case study highlight the importance of providing access to psychological services, colostomy education, and health care supplies to meet the needs of HVIP participants and improve health outcomes for this population.

在美国,致命和非致命枪支伤害的比率因种族和性别而有很大差异,黑人男性比其他任何群体更容易被枪击。许多枪伤幸存者在康复过程中面临着复杂的生理、心理和社会挑战。公共卫生方案,包括以医院为基础的暴力干预方案(HVIPs),旨在减少参与者再次受伤的可能性,并支持他们的福祉。然而,对于那些从枪伤中幸存下来并接受这些项目护理的黑人男性如何概念化支持他们康复的最佳方式以及他们在实现与健康相关的目标时遇到的障碍,人们知之甚少。本案例研究来自2013-2023年在马里兰州第二繁忙的HVIP进行的人种学研究,研究了6名黑人在枪伤后接受结肠造口术治疗的经历。出现的主题包括接受结肠造口术治疗和佩戴废物收集袋带来的心理压力增加,日常生活受到干扰,以及获得结肠造口术护理和教育的机会不足。本案例研究的结果强调了提供心理服务、结肠造口教育和卫生保健用品的重要性,以满足HVIP参与者的需求,并改善这一人群的健康结果。
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引用次数: 0
Uncovering Patterns in Overdose Deaths: An Analysis of Spike Identification in Fatal Drug Overdose Data in Massachusetts, 2017-2023. 揭示过量死亡模式:2017-2023年马萨诸塞州致命药物过量数据的尖峰识别分析。
IF 2.5 4区 医学 Q2 PUBLIC, ENVIRONMENTAL & OCCUPATIONAL HEALTH Pub Date : 2026-01-01 Epub Date: 2024-12-24 DOI: 10.1177/00333549241299613
Hannah Lee, Daniel Otero-Leon, Huiru Dong, Erin J Stringfellow, Mohammad S Jalali

Objectives: Yearly rolling aggregate trends or rates are commonly used to analyze trends in overdose deaths, but focusing on long-term trends can obscure short-term fluctuations (eg, daily spikes). We analyzed data on spikes in daily fatal overdoses and how various spike detection thresholds influence the identification of spikes.

Materials and methods: We used a spike detection algorithm to identify spikes among 16 660 drug-related overdose deaths (from any drug) reported in Massachusetts' vital statistics from 2017 through 2023. We adjusted the parameters of the algorithm to define spikes in 3 distinct scenarios: deaths exceeding 2 adjusted moving SDs above the 7-, 30-, and 90-day adjusted moving average.

Results: Our results confirmed the on-the-ground observation that there are days when many more people die of overdoses than would be expected based on fluctuations due to differences among people alone. We identified spikes on 5.8% to 20.6% of the days across the 3 scenarios, annually, constituting 11.1% to 31.6% of all overdose deaths. The absolute difference in percentage points of days identified as spikes varied from 5.2 to 11.5 between 7- and 30-day lags and from 0 to 4.6 between 30- and 90-day lags across years. When compared with the adjusted moving average across the 3 scenarios, in 2017 an average of 3.9 to 5.5 additional deaths occurred on spike days, while in 2023 the range was 3.7 to 6.0.

Practice implications: A substantial percentage of deaths occurred annually on spike days, highlighting the need for effectively monitoring short-term overdose trends. Moreover, our study serves as a foundational analysis for future research into exogenous events that may contribute to spikes in overdose deaths, aiming to prevent future deaths.

目的:每年滚动汇总趋势或比率通常用于分析过量死亡的趋势,但侧重于长期趋势可能会掩盖短期波动(例如每日峰值)。我们分析了每日致命过量的尖峰数据,以及不同的尖峰检测阈值如何影响尖峰的识别。材料和方法:我们使用峰值检测算法来识别2017年至2023年马萨诸塞州生命统计数据中报告的16660例与药物相关的过量死亡(来自任何药物)中的峰值。我们调整了算法的参数,以定义3种不同情况下的峰值:死亡人数超过2个调整后移动标准差,高于7天、30天和90天调整后移动平均线。结果:我们的研究结果证实了实地观察结果,即有时会有更多的人死于过量服用,而不是由于人与人之间的差异而产生的波动。我们发现,在这三种情况下,每年有5.8%至20.6%的天数出现峰值,占所有过量死亡人数的11.1%至31.6%。在滞后7天和30天的年份中,确定为峰值的天数百分比的绝对差异从5.2到11.5不等,在滞后30天和90天的年份中从0到4.6不等。与这三种情况的调整后移动平均值相比,2017年高峰日平均增加3.9至5.5人死亡,而2023年这一范围为3.7至6.0人。实践影响:每年高峰日发生的死亡占很大比例,突出表明需要有效监测短期过量用药趋势。此外,我们的研究为未来研究可能导致过量死亡激增的外源性事件提供了基础分析,旨在预防未来的死亡。
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引用次数: 0
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