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Providing complimentarity for the main components of macroeconomic dynamics 为宏观经济动态的主要组成部分提供互补
Pub Date : 2020-12-30 DOI: 10.15407/ETET2020.04.078
O. Bandura
We propose a new way to provide complementarities of main macroeconomic indicators — economic growth, employment and inflation. It is shown at the example of monetary policy of world’s main central banks that, while officially the banks mainly have one purpose mandate, which is inflation (except of the U.S. where the central bank are officially to control both inflation and employment, unofficially they try to control all three main macroeconomic values, to provide their complementarities. It is difficult to provide complementarities of three main macroeconomic indicators in the absence of an economic model that connects both the three integrated indicators, and numerous intermediate ones, which determine each of the three main indicators. Finally, choice of any regulation instrument is determined by the model chosen by regulator to provide interconnection between integrated values and intermediate indicators. Analyzing the history of monetary policy for world’s main central banks, we revealed changing efficiency for their regulation instruments in terms of their effect on economic growth, employment and inflation. It varies from maximum efficiency in the optimum point in time to minimum efficiency, which requires a change of the regulation instrument for a new one to provide a more stable and forecastable cause-result connection between final and intermediate indicators. At the base of author’s CMI-model of macroeconomic dynamics we grounded the formula that connects as three main macroeconomic values so numerous intermediate indicators. It allows us, targeting only one integrated indicator (cumulative market imperfections) to control economic growth, employment and inflation at the same time. For that purpose we can chose all possible instruments both of monetary policy and of other policies (fiscal, antitrust, innovation ones etc.). Besides, we would be able to control efficiency of the action of the applied regulation instruments on the main macroeconomic indicators to determine the quantitative criterion of optimum efficiency for regulation instruments.
我们提出了一种新的方式来提供主要宏观经济指标-经济增长,就业和通货膨胀的互补。世界主要中央银行货币政策的例子表明,虽然官方上银行主要有一个目的任务,即通货膨胀(除了美国,中央银行官方控制通货膨胀和就业),但非官方上他们试图控制所有三个主要的宏观经济价值,以提供它们的互补性。如果没有一种经济模型将三个综合指标和决定三个主要指标的众多中间指标联系起来,就很难提供三个主要宏观经济指标的互补性。最后,任何调节工具的选择都取决于监管者选择的模型,以提供综合值与中间指标之间的互连。通过分析世界主要央行的货币政策历史,我们揭示了其监管工具在经济增长、就业和通胀方面的效率变化。它从最佳时间点的最高效率到最低效率不等,这就需要更换一个新的调节工具,以便在最终指标和中间指标之间提供更稳定和可预测的因果关系。在作者的宏观经济动力学cmi模型的基础上,我们建立了将三个主要的宏观经济价值与众多中间指标联系起来的公式。它使我们能够仅以一个综合指标(累积市场缺陷)为目标,同时控制经济增长、就业和通货膨胀。为此目的,我们可以选择所有可能的货币政策工具和其他政策工具(财政、反垄断、创新等)。此外,我们还可以控制所应用的调控工具对主要宏观经济指标的作用效率,从而确定调控工具最优效率的定量标准。
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引用次数: 0
Ancient civilization: Mycenaean evolution and the revolution of Dark Ages 古代文明:迈锡尼人的进化和黑暗时代的革命
Pub Date : 2020-12-30 DOI: 10.15407/ETET2020.04.025
V. Tarasevych
This article continues the series of publications devoted to the universum evolution of ancient civilization and its sub-civilizations. The author analyzes the evolution of the Mycenaean civilizational area and the revolutionary changes of the dark ages. It is shown that the Mycenaean civilizational range, like Crete-Cyclades, belongs to the Middle subtype of the Eastern type of social evolution; however, unlike the latter, the coastal and inland continental subareas are quite clearly identified. With the prevalence of their common Middle-East-West (MEW) characteristics, the first component has a comparatively high significance of the Western type, and therefore, the Middle-Western subtype of the Eastern type is inherent in it, while the Middle subtype prevails in the second component, which is typical for the Middle-Middle subtype of the Eastern type of evolution. The Dorian conquests of the Sub-Mycenaean period interrupted the dominance of the Eastern line of social evolution in Ancient Greece. The palace farms were destroyed, and so were the corresponding social forms. The "Iron Revolution" of the X-XI centuries catalyzed the processes immanent to the Middle type of social evolution. In the Homeric era, on the one hand, the components of the universal Middle ground “declared their claims to dominance”, in particular, in the form of technological patterns of non-irrigated agriculture, cattle breeding, river and sea fishing, community military democracy, collective-individual community appropriation of indivisible land, basic tools and proto-ins titles. On the other hand, components of a new, special Middle type appear, for example, collective-clan (family) private exo-appropriation of land and tools, and collective-clan (family) personal endo-appropriation of essential human powers and institutions. Unfortunately, the shortage of historical data prevents accurate definition of the evolution subtype of Homer's society.
本文是致力于古代文明及其次文明的宇宙演化的系列出版物的延续。作者分析了迈锡尼文明区的演变和黑暗时代的革命性变化。结果表明,迈锡尼文明范围与克里特-基克拉迪斯一样,属于东方社会进化类型的中间亚型;然而,与后者不同的是,沿海和内陆大陆分区是相当明确的。随着它们共同的中东-西方(Middle- east - west, MEW)特征的普遍存在,第一个分量具有较高的西方型显著性,因此,东方型的中西部亚型是其固有的,而第二个分量以中部亚型为主,这是东方型进化的典型中-中部亚型。亚迈锡尼时期多里安人的征服打断了古希腊社会进化的东方路线的主导地位。宫殿的农场被摧毁了,相应的社会形态也被摧毁了。x - 11世纪的“铁器革命”催化了中间类型社会演变的内在过程。在荷马时代,一方面,普遍中间地带的组成部分“宣布了他们的统治主张”,特别是以非灌溉农业、养牛、河海捕鱼、社区军事民主、集体-个人社区占有不可分割的土地、基本工具和原始所有权的技术模式的形式。另一方面,出现了一种新的、特殊的中间类型的组成部分,例如,集体氏族(家庭)对土地和工具的私人外部占有,以及集体氏族(家庭)对人类基本权力和制度的个人内部占有。不幸的是,历史资料的缺乏阻碍了对荷马社会进化亚型的准确定义。
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引用次数: 0
Possibility of the transformation of reciprocal exchange into manifestations of corruptive behaviour 互惠交换转化为腐败行为表现的可能性
Pub Date : 2020-12-30 DOI: 10.15407/ETET2020.04.065
Y. Ivashuk
Despite all “non-market” nature of reciprocal interactions, it would be excessive to deny the invisible calculation of network transfers, that is, the accountability of the given and the received. In this paper, by combining the historical and the logical, the author establishes that there is a rather fine line between the reciprocal exchange and the types of corruptive behavior. The common components relate to the quality of the basis and the background, which indicates the nature and origin of corruptive practices. The exceptional and unique is manifested in different forms of manifestation of the general. The relations of trust, whose meaning is revealed based on the presented tree of the game, act as the general. The forms of manifestation of corruptive behavior have been distinguished by the method of classification. It has been noted that a reliable "safeguard" of opportunistic behavior in reciprocal exchange is a system of strict social standards. If market agreements are ensured by formal sanctions or informal forcible methods, violation of unwritten rules of conduct in the economy of gift exchange is punishable by deprivation of trust, which means excluding the entity that has not lived up to expectations from the network of reciprocal interactions. It has been noted that transaction costs under the conditions of reciprocity are quite low, because the exchange relations are personalized, and the importance of the gift is determined by its subjective value to those to whom the gift is offered. It has been established that on the one hand, the exchange of gifts and incentives within reasonable limits can be a socially acceptable component of successful business relations. However, on the other hand, if a person is authorized to perform state functions, a gift may be offered to him/her for the purpose of bribery and/or incitement to abuse of power. Since the top-down fight against corruption, as a rule, does not affect those stable and dominant stereotypes of public consciousness, standards and values that have been nurtured for decades and even hundreds of years. Thus, when developing policies to minimize corruption, it is recommended to use the methodology and results of research in the field of behavioral economics, which determines the promising areas for research on this issue.
尽管互惠互动的所有“非市场”性质,否认网络转移的无形计算,即给予和接受的责任,将是过度的。本文结合历史与逻辑,确立了互惠交换与腐败行为类型之间的微妙界限。共同组成部分涉及基础和背景的质量,这表明了腐败行为的性质和起源。例外和独特的表现形式是不同的,一般的表现形式。信任关系是博弈的一般关系,其意义是根据博弈的树状图来揭示的。用分类的方法对腐败行为的表现形式进行了区分。有人指出,在互惠交换中,对机会主义行为的可靠“保障”是一种严格的社会标准制度。如果市场协议是通过正式制裁或非正式的强制手段来确保的,那么在礼品交换经济中违反不成文的行为规则将受到剥夺信任的惩罚,这意味着将没有达到期望的实体排除在相互作用的网络之外。有人指出,互惠条件下的交易成本很低,因为交换关系是个性化的,礼物的重要性是由礼物对受赠者的主观价值决定的。人们已经确定,一方面,在合理范围内交换礼物和奖励可以成为成功商业关系的社会可接受的组成部分。但是,另一方面,如果一个人被授权执行国家职能,则可以向他/她提供礼物,目的是贿赂和/或煽动滥用权力。由于自上而下的反腐败斗争,通常不会影响几十年甚至几百年来形成的那些稳定的、占主导地位的公众意识、标准和价值观。因此,在制定最小化腐败的政策时,建议使用行为经济学领域的研究方法和结果,这决定了该问题的研究前景。
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引用次数: 0
Institutional risks of financial inclusion 普惠金融的制度风险
Pub Date : 2020-12-30 DOI: 10.15407/ETET2020.04.045
V. Kornivska
The article presents the results of a research on the current processes of financial inclusion, substantiates the concept of financial inclusion and its world level, and systematizes the existing theoretical-methodological and empirical approaches to determining its role for sustainable development. Based on the analysis of fundamental conditions and current factors of intensification of financial inclusion, the author substantiates the real purpose and consequences of the introduction of digital financial inclusion in national economies and in the global economy and shows the role of global financial institutions in these processes. Particular attention is paid to the impact of financial inclusion on solving the problems of poverty and inequality in society. It is shown that modern financial inclusion does not serve the interests of the majority, but rather the interests of a clearly limited circle of representatives of the global economic and financial elite by creating conditions for the invariance of financial inclusion for ordinary economic agents. The author argues that the main long-term institutional risk of global financial inclusion and non-cash circulation is the consent to the loss of financial freedom by market participants in the face of growing uncertainty in economic and social life and poverty.
本文介绍了对当前普惠金融进程的研究结果,证实了普惠金融的概念及其世界水平,并将现有的理论方法和实证方法系统化,以确定其对可持续发展的作用。在分析普惠金融强化的基本条件和当前因素的基础上,作者论证了数字普惠金融在国民经济和全球经济中引入的真实目的和后果,并展示了全球金融机构在这些过程中的作用。特别关注普惠金融对解决社会贫困和不平等问题的影响。研究表明,现代普惠金融不是为大多数人的利益服务,而是通过为普通经济主体的普惠金融不变性创造条件,为全球经济和金融精英的明确有限代表圈子的利益服务。作者认为,全球普惠金融和非现金流通的主要长期制度风险是市场参与者在面对经济和社会生活日益增长的不确定性和贫困时同意失去金融自由。
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引用次数: 4
National model of the Germany banking system: formation, evolution and prospects under globalization 德国银行体系的国家模式:全球化背景下的形成、演变与展望
Pub Date : 2019-10-15 DOI: 10.15407/etet2019.03.073
Tetiana Krychevska
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引用次数: 0
Human capital in the structure of national wealth 人力资本在国民财富结构中的作用
Pub Date : 2019-10-15 DOI: 10.15407/etet2019.03.029
V. Osetskyi, Yevheniia Kyrychenko
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引用次数: 0
Political economy of alienation and explotation of labor: retrospective approaches and modern problems 劳动异化与剥削的政治经济学:回顾方法与现代问题
Pub Date : 2019-10-15 DOI: 10.15407/etet2019.03.005
V. Mandybura
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引用次数: 0
Institutional destructions in the economy: preconditions, mechanisms, consequences 经济中的制度性破坏:前提、机制和后果
Pub Date : 2019-10-15 DOI: 10.15407/etet2019.03.060
O. Yaremenko
The article considers prerequisites and consequences of the institutional destructions in economy and society. It is proved that the integrative capacity of the institutional system depends on two main factors: the adequacy of the institutions of complexity and the dynamism of the environment in which the actors operate; and the adequacy of the institutional requirements to the level of institutional competence of the actors. The author justifies that the reason for the increase in the share of institutional anomalies and destructions in the world economy is the process of "blending" of values and value-like institutions as a consequence of the intense globalization, which led to chaotization of the criteria of acceptable and unacceptable social behavior. It is shown that the destruction of usual expectations compels business entities to form and implement the shortest possible plans, regardless of the medium or long-term consequences of their actions. At the same time, the self-Олег
文章分析了经济社会制度破坏的前提和后果。事实证明,制度体系的综合能力取决于两个主要因素:复杂制度的充分性和行动者所处环境的动态性;以及制度要求是否充分到行为者的制度能力水平。作者认为,在世界经济中,制度异常和制度破坏的比例之所以增加,是因为全球化加剧了价值观和类似价值的制度的“混合”过程,这导致了可接受和不可接受的社会行为标准的混乱。这表明,通常期望的破坏迫使企业实体制定和实施尽可能短的计划,而不考虑其行动的中期或长期后果。同时,自我-Олег
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引用次数: 1
Studies of the essence of diversification of old industrial regions: development of approaches 老工业区多元化的本质研究:方法的发展
Pub Date : 2019-10-15 DOI: 10.15407/etet2019.03.045
O. Snihova
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引用次数: 0
Economic theory and natural law 经济理论与自然法
Pub Date : 2019-06-21 DOI: 10.15407/ETET2019.02.005
I. Kriuchkova
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引用次数: 0
期刊
Ekonomìčna teorìâ
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