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Overzealous Rule Makers 过分热心的规则制定者
Pub Date : 2020-09-17 DOI: 10.1086/711354
S. Barbieri, Kai A. Konrad
Excessively tight and biased policy choices of rule makers can be explained as outcomes of competition among rule makers with overlapping competencies and diverging perceptions about the optimal framework. Rule makers who have extreme rather than moderate preferences are more likely to take policy action and preempt others, even if their cost of action is very high. This can lead to actionism, excessive regulatory activity, and radical rule outcomes.
规则制定者的政策选择过于严格和有偏见可以解释为具有重叠能力和对最优框架的不同看法的规则制定者之间竞争的结果。拥有极端偏好而非温和偏好的规则制定者更有可能采取政策行动并先发制人,即使他们的行动成本非常高。这可能导致行动主义、过度的监管活动和激进的规则结果。
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引用次数: 1
Does Government Play Favorites? Evidence from Opportunity Zones 政府会偏心吗?来自机会地带的证据
Pub Date : 2020-09-01 DOI: 10.1086/722541
O. Eldar, C. Garber
The Opportunity Zone (OZ) program is one of the most comprehensive to promote development in distressed communities. A criticized feature is that state governors designate zones as OZs from many eligible tracts without scrutiny. We find that governors are more likely to select tracts with higher distress levels and tracts on an upward economic trajectory, which indicates that they select OZs in a systematic way on the basis of objective criteria. However, we also provide evidence that favoritism plays a role in governors’ decisions. The OZ designation is more likely for tracts in counties that supported the governor in an election and when executives or firms with an economic interest in the tract donated to the governor’s campaign. We further explore whether transparency and accountability measures affected states’ decisions. Our analysis suggests that while most measures had no discernible impact, publishing draft selections may mitigate favoritism and promote systematic decision-making.
机会区(OZ)项目是促进贫困社区发展的最全面的项目之一。一个受到批评的特点是,州长在没有经过审查的情况下,将许多符合条件的地区指定为OZs。我们发现,管理者更有可能选择经济危机程度较高的地区和经济上升轨迹的地区,这表明他们在客观标准的基础上系统地选择了OZs。然而,我们也提供证据表明,偏袒在州长的决策中发挥了作用。在选举中支持州长的县,以及在该地区有经济利益的高管或公司向州长的竞选活动捐款的县,更有可能被指定为OZ。我们进一步探讨透明度和问责措施是否会影响国家的决策。我们的分析表明,虽然大多数措施没有明显的影响,但公布草案选择可能会减轻偏袒并促进系统决策。
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引用次数: 6
The Effects of Government Licensing on E-commerce: Evidence from Alibaba 政府许可对电子商务的影响:来自阿里巴巴的证据
Pub Date : 2020-08-30 DOI: 10.1086/718851
G. Jin, Zhentong Lu, Xiaolu Zhou, Chunxiao Li
Inspired by the call in Demsetz’s “Barriers to Entry” for assessing the implications of occupational licensing, we examine how the 2015 Food Safety Law (FSL) affects e-commerce in China. The FSL requires most food sellers on e-commerce platforms to obtain off-line licenses. On the basis of its gradual rollout on Alibaba, we find that larger and more-reputable sellers display an FSL license earlier, and buyers are more willing to transact with a licensed seller, especially if the seller is younger and unestablished. This suggests that the license is informative. Market-wide, the average quality of surviving sellers has improved and seller concentration has increased since the FSL. The platform’s gross merchandise value for food did not decline, nor did the average sales price increase 1 year into full enforcement. This suggests that the FSL does not hamper long-term market performance, probably because it enhances seller quality and market transparency.
受德姆塞茨在《进入壁垒》一书中对职业许可影响评估的启发,我们研究了2015年《食品安全法》(FSL)对中国电子商务的影响。FSL要求电子商务平台上的大多数食品销售商获得线下许可证。基于FSL在阿里巴巴上的逐步推广,我们发现规模更大、声誉更高的卖家更早展示FSL牌照,买家更愿意与持牌卖家进行交易,尤其是如果卖家较年轻、不成熟的话。这表明许可证是信息丰富的。在整个市场范围内,自FSL以来,幸存卖家的平均质量有所改善,卖家集中度有所提高。该平台的食品商品总值没有下降,平均销售价格在全面执行一年后也没有上涨。这表明FSL不会妨碍长期的市场表现,可能是因为它提高了卖方质量和市场透明度。
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引用次数: 5
Development Derailed: Policy Uncertainty and Coordinated Investment 发展脱轨:政策不确定性与协调投资
Pub Date : 2020-08-18 DOI: 10.1086/715832
E. Alston, Steven S. Smith
We quantify the sensitivity of investments to policy uncertainty by drawing on the Northern Pacific’s massive land grant and the ensuing political battle that generated significant uncertainty to title from 1879 to 1894. Focusing on irrigation because of its high asset specificity, our analysis exploits the spatially exogenous extent of the grant to identify causal effects on investment, inclusive of spillovers to secure land because coordinated investment is generally necessary to capture the scale economies of irrigation. We find that the uncertainty significantly deterred and delayed irrigation investment in Montana, which lowered the state’s economic activity by up to 5 percent. Large numbers of settlers are occupying such [railroad grant] lands, and it is important to them to know whether they can receive their titles from the United States, or whether they will be required to purchase from the railroad companies. The prevailing uncertainty necessarily retards improvements and impairs values. (Noah C. McFarland, General Land Office Commissioner, US Department of the Interior 1882, p. 11) Large numbers of settlers are occupying such [railroad grant] lands, and it is important to them to know whether they can receive their titles from the United States, or whether they will be required to purchase from the railroad companies. The prevailing uncertainty necessarily retards improvements and impairs values. (Noah C. McFarland, General Land Office Commissioner, US Department of the Interior 1882, p. 11)
我们量化了投资对政策不确定性的敏感性,通过利用北太平洋的大量土地赠款和随后的政治斗争,从1879年到1894年,这些政治斗争产生了重大的不确定性。由于灌溉具有高度的资产专用性,我们的分析将重点放在灌溉上,利用赠款的空间外生程度来确定对投资的因果影响,包括确保土地的溢出效应,因为协调投资通常是实现灌溉规模经济所必需的。我们发现,不确定性极大地阻碍和推迟了蒙大拿州的灌溉投资,这使该州的经济活动降低了5%。大量的移民占用了这些土地,对他们来说,重要的是要知道他们是否可以从美国获得他们的所有权,或者他们是否需要从铁路公司购买。普遍存在的不确定性必然会阻碍改进并损害价值。(Noah C. McFarland,美国内政部土地办公室总专员,1882年,第11页)大量的移民占据着这样的[铁路许可]土地,对他们来说,重要的是要知道他们是否可以从美国获得他们的所有权,或者他们是否需要从铁路公司购买。普遍存在的不确定性必然会阻碍改进并损害价值。(Noah C. McFarland,美国内政部土地总署署长,1882年,第11页)
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引用次数: 4
Comparative Effects of Recreational and Medical Marijuana Laws on Drug Use among Adults and Adolescents 娱乐性和医用大麻法律对成人和青少年吸毒的比较影响
Pub Date : 2020-08-18 DOI: 10.1086/721267
Alex Hollingsworth, Coady Wing, Ashley C Bradford
Thirty-four states have medical marijuana laws, and 10 states have recreational marijuana laws. Little research compares how these two types of laws affect drug consumption in the general population or in particular age groups. Using a difference-in-differences strategy, we find that recreational laws increase past-year marijuana use by 25 percent among adults and by 10 percent among adolescents. In contrast, medical laws increase adult use by only 5 percent and have a negligible effect on adolescent use. We also find that recreational marijuana dispensaries are an important driver of the increase in marijuana use for adults 26 and older. Our results suggest that medical laws succeed in mitigating recreational (nonmedical) use, that recreational laws produce large increases in marijuana use in the general population, and that underage marijuana use may be an important problem with existing implementations of recreational marijuana laws.
34个州有医用大麻法,10个州有娱乐性大麻法。很少有研究比较这两种类型的法律如何影响普通人群或特定年龄组的毒品消费。使用差异中的差异策略,我们发现娱乐性法律使过去一年的大麻使用量在成年人中增加了25%,在青少年中增加了10%。相比之下,医疗法律只增加了5%的成人使用,对青少年使用的影响可以忽略不计。我们还发现,娱乐性大麻药房是26岁及以上成年人大麻使用量增加的重要驱动因素。我们的研究结果表明,医疗法律成功地减少了娱乐(非医疗)使用,娱乐法律导致普通人群中大麻使用的大幅增加,未成年人使用大麻可能是现有娱乐大麻法律实施的一个重要问题。
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引用次数: 18
The Effects of Stolen-Goods Markets on Crime: Pawnshops, Property Theft, and the Gold Rush of the 2000s 被盗物品市场对犯罪的影响:当铺、财产盗窃和2000年代的淘金热
Pub Date : 2020-08-01 DOI: 10.1086/707785
Rocco d'Este
This paper investigates the effects of stolen-goods markets on crime. I focus on pawnshops, a legitimate business often associated with the illicit trade of stolen property. Within-county estimates reveal that a 10 percent increase in the rate of pawnshops increases, by around .3 percent, the rate of acquisitive crimes that yield stolen goods that might be tradeable to pawnshops. A quasi-experimental design shows that the effects of changes in gold prices on burglaries are amplified by the initial stock of pawnshops in a county. Overall, the analysis suggests that a larger market for the trade of stolen property can affect burglars’ incentives by increasing the value of criminal opportunities.
本文研究了赃物市场对犯罪的影响。我关注的是当铺,这是一种合法的业务,通常与赃物的非法交易有关。县内的估计显示,当铺的比率每增加10%,就会增加约0.3%的掠夺性犯罪,这些犯罪产生的赃物可能会被当铺交易。一项准实验设计表明,黄金价格变化对盗窃案的影响被一个县典当行的初始存量放大。总的来说,分析表明,一个更大的被盗财产交易市场可以通过增加犯罪机会的价值来影响窃贼的动机。
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引用次数: 7
Loyalty Shares with Tenure Voting: Does the Default Rule Matter? Evidence from the Loi Florange Experiment 忠诚度与任期投票:默认规则重要吗?来自Loi Florange实验的证据
Pub Date : 2020-08-01 DOI: 10.1086/708162
Marco Becht, Yuliya Kamisarenka, Anete Pajuste
The contractual theory of the firm predicts that companies adopt charters that maximize firms’ value regardless of the default rule. We test this proposition around an exogenous switch of the default from a one-share-one-vote regime to tenure voting following a legal reform in France. In initial public offerings (IPOs), tenure voting is primarily adopted by families, and after the reform its use increased slightly but not significantly. The change in default rule has no significant impact on companies’ characteristics or valuations. For companies that were already listed with one-share-one-vote systems and would have been forced to switch to tenure voting by default, we observe a revealed preference for the choice they had made at the IPO; one-share-one-vote companies preserve their prereform status, unless the French state has a blocking minority. Overall, the results suggest that once firms have optimized, changing the default rule imposes transaction costs without changing outcomes.
企业契约理论预测,无论违约规则如何,企业都采用使企业价值最大化的章程。我们围绕法国法律改革后从一股一票制度到任期投票制度的外生转换来检验这一命题。在首次公开募股(ipo)中,任期投票主要由家族采用,改革后其使用略有增加,但不显著。违约规则的改变对公司特征和估值没有显著影响。对于已经在一股一票制度下上市的公司,我们观察到他们对IPO时做出的选择有明显的偏好;一股一票的公司保留了改革前的地位,除非法国政府有少数阻挠者。总体而言,结果表明,一旦企业进行了优化,改变默认规则会增加交易成本,但不会改变结果。
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引用次数: 5
Do Legal Origins Predict Legal Substance? 法律渊源预示法律实质吗?
Pub Date : 2020-06-10 DOI: 10.1086/712420
A. Bradford, Yun-chien Chang, Adam Chilton, Nuno Garoupa
There is a large body of research in economics and law suggesting that the legal origin of a country—that is, whether its legal regime is based on English common law or French, German, or Nordic civil law—profoundly impacts a range of outcomes. However, the exact relationship between legal origin and legal substance has been disputed in the literature and not fully explored with nuanced legal coding. We revisit this debate while leveraging novel cross-country data sets that provide detailed coding of two areas of laws: property and antitrust. We find that having shared legal origins strongly predicts whether countries have similar property regimes but does little to predict whether countries have similar antitrust regimes. Our results suggest that legal origin may be an important predictor of legal substance in well-established legal regimes but does little to explain substantive variation in more recent areas of law.
经济学和法学领域的大量研究表明,一个国家的法律渊源——也就是说,它的法律制度是基于英国普通法,还是基于法国、德国或北欧的民法——对一系列结果产生了深远的影响。然而,法律起源与法律实质之间的确切关系在文献中一直存在争议,并没有通过细致入微的法律编码进行充分探讨。我们重新审视了这场辩论,同时利用了新的跨国数据集,这些数据集提供了两个法律领域的详细编码:财产法和反托拉斯法。我们发现,拥有共同的法律起源强烈地预示着各国是否有类似的财产制度,但对预测各国是否有类似的反垄断制度几乎没有作用。我们的研究结果表明,在完善的法律制度中,法律渊源可能是法律实质的重要预测因素,但对于解释最近法律领域的实质性变化几乎没有作用。
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引用次数: 11
Does Vertical Integration Spur Investment? Casting Actors to Discover Stars during the Hollywood Studio Era 垂直整合会刺激投资吗?在好莱坞电影公司时代,选角演员发掘明星
Pub Date : 2020-05-18 DOI: 10.1086/710067
F. Andrew Hanssen, A. Raskovich
The Hollywood studio era of the 1930s and 1940s was remarkable for its abundance of glamorous stars. In this paper, we investigate whether the vertical structure of the Hollywood studios, by ensuring studios’ claims to “star capital,” spurred higher levels of investment in discovering stars than was (or is) achievable under alternate regimes (such as today’s film-by-film contracting). The vertical structure consisted of backward integration into talent through long-term contracts and forward integration into exhibition through ownership of theater chains. The investment involved the experimental casting of novice actors to gauge audience appeal. Collecting data on thousands of actors whose careers span nearly three-quarters of a century and conducting several sets of tests, we find evidence of higher levels of investment in actors working under the vertical structure of the studio era than in actors working under alternate regimes. [Those] who were running the studios at that time … gave me a chance—today, you may get one shot, and if you fail, they break your back and forget about you from that time on. Then, you were part of a system that gave you another chance. So, MGM gave me opportunity after opportunity. (Director Richard Brooks [Eyman 2005, p. 419]) You realize that the greatest stars in the picture business were made during an era when they didn’t have one single thing to say about what they did. (Director Howard Hawks [Bogdanovich 1997, p. 362]) The studios owned you, and they wanted their property in great shape. (MGM contract player Jean Porter [Davis 1993, p. 88]) [Those] who were running the studios at that time … gave me a chance—today, you may get one shot, and if you fail, they break your back and forget about you from that time on. Then, you were part of a system that gave you another chance. So, MGM gave me opportunity after opportunity. (Director Richard Brooks [Eyman 2005, p. 419]) You realize that the greatest stars in the picture business were made during an era when they didn’t have one single thing to say about what they did. (Director Howard Hawks [Bogdanovich 1997, p. 362]) The studios owned you, and they wanted their property in great shape. (MGM contract player Jean Porter [Davis 1993, p. 88])
20世纪30年代和40年代的好莱坞电影工作室时代以其丰富的迷人明星而闻名。在本文中,我们调查了好莱坞电影公司的垂直结构,通过确保电影公司声称的“明星资本”,是否刺激了在发现明星方面的更高水平的投资,而不是在其他制度下(如今天的电影承包)所能实现的。纵向结构是通过长期合同向后整合人才,通过拥有连锁影院向前整合展览。这项投资包括实验性地挑选新演员,以衡量观众的吸引力。我们收集了数千名演员的数据,他们的职业生涯跨越了近四分之三个世纪,并进行了几组测试,我们发现在工作室时代垂直结构下工作的演员比在其他制度下工作的演员投入更高的证据。那些当时经营工作室的人给了我一个机会——今天,你可能只有一次机会,如果你失败了,他们就会打断你的背,从那时起就把你忘了。然后,你成为了这个体系的一部分,给了你另一次机会。所以,米高梅给了我一个又一个机会。(导演理查德·布鲁克斯[艾曼2005,第419页])你会意识到,电影界最伟大的明星都是在一个他们对自己所做的事情毫无发言权的时代产生的。(导演霍华德·霍克斯[博格达诺维奇1997年,第362页])电影公司拥有你,他们希望他们的财产保持良好状态。(米高梅公司的合同球员吉恩·波特[戴维斯1993,第88页])那些当时经营制片厂的人……给了我一个机会——今天,你可能只有一次机会,如果你失败了,他们就会打断你的背,从那时起就把你忘了。然后,你成为了这个体系的一部分,给了你另一次机会。所以,米高梅给了我一个又一个机会。(导演理查德·布鲁克斯[艾曼2005,第419页])你会意识到,电影界最伟大的明星都是在一个他们对自己所做的事情毫无发言权的时代产生的。(导演霍华德·霍克斯[博格达诺维奇1997年,第362页])电影公司拥有你,他们希望他们的财产保持良好状态。(米高梅的合同球员Jean Porter [Davis 1993, p. 88])
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引用次数: 5
The Distribution of Surplus in the US Pharmaceutical Industry: Evidence from Paragraph iv Patent-Litigation Decisions 美国制药业的盈余分配:来自第四段专利诉讼判决的证据
Pub Date : 2020-05-01 DOI: 10.1086/707407
Ruben Jacobo-Rubio, John L. Turner, Jonathan W. Williams
In paragraph iv pharmaceutical cases, a patent-litigation decision often determines whether a brand-firm monopoly continues or generic entry occurs. Using unique patent-litigation data and an event-study approach that accounts for probabilistic district court decisions and an appellate process, we estimate that brand-firm stakes in such cases average $4.3 billion while generic-firm stakes average $204.3 million. After the Schering-Plough v. FTC decision in 2002 that upheld a settlement in which the brand firm paid the generic firm in return for delayed entry, we find that settlement is more likely and stakes are significantly lower, despite greater average brand sales for the drugs in the cases. On the basis of this evidence, we conclude that pay-for-delay settlements led to less within-market competition after 2002.
在第四段药品案件中,专利诉讼的裁决通常决定了品牌公司的垄断是继续还是出现仿制药进入。利用独特的专利诉讼数据和事件研究方法(考虑了地区法院的概率判决和上诉程序),我们估计在此类案件中,品牌公司的股权平均为43亿美元,而普通公司的股权平均为2.043亿美元。在2002年先灵葆雅诉联邦贸易委员会一案中,品牌公司支付仿制药公司以换取延迟上市的和解后,我们发现和解的可能性更大,而且赌注明显更低,尽管案件中药物的平均品牌销售额更高。在此基础上,我们得出结论,延迟付款解决方案导致了2002年后市场内竞争的减少。
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引用次数: 5
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The Journal of Law and Economics
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