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Addressing the rising rates of youth suicide: understanding causes and formulating prevention strategies using the iceberg model 应对不断上升的青少年自杀率:利用冰山模型了解原因并制定预防战略
IF 7.6 1区 医学 Q1 HEALTH CARE SCIENCES & SERVICES Pub Date : 2024-07-20 DOI: 10.1016/j.lanwpc.2024.101151
Yi-Tzu Chang , Shu-Sen Chang , Lai Fong Chan , Ying-Yeh Chen , Qijin Cheng , Yasuyuki Shimizu , Yuka Nishina , Liang Zhou , Paul Siu Fai Yip
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引用次数: 0
Evidence of being cured for nasopharyngeal carcinoma: results of a multicenter patient-based study in China 鼻咽癌治愈的证据:中国基于患者的多中心研究结果
IF 7.6 1区 医学 Q1 HEALTH CARE SCIENCES & SERVICES Pub Date : 2024-07-19 DOI: 10.1016/j.lanwpc.2024.101147
Yang Liu , Xin Liu , Shiran Sun , Yaqian Han , Mei Feng , Ye Zhang , Kai Wang , Yuan Qu , Xuesong Chen , Jianghu Zhang , Jingwei Luo , Runye Wu , Yexiong Li , Xiaodong Huang , Shanshan Guo , Jingbo Wang , Junlin Yi

Background

The survival rates of patients with nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC) have improved significantly, but there is no consensus on whether they can be considered cured. We aimed to determine whether a statistical cure could be achieved for patients with NPC in the contemporary therapeutic landscape.

Methods

This retrospective multicenter study enrolled 6315 patients with nonmetastatic NPC from nonendemic and endemic regions of China from 2007 to 2020. We applied mixture and nonmixture cure models to estimate the cure probabilities and cure times by incorporating background mortality for the general population, matching by gender, age, and diagnosed year.

Findings

With death as the uncured event, the probability of patients with NPC achieving a life expectancy at par with the general population was 78.1%. Considering progression as the uncured event, the likelihood of patients attaining a life expectancy without progression equivalent to that of the general population was 72.4%. For individuals, the probabilities of achieving cure were conditional and time-dependent, requiring approximately 7.1 and 4.7 years with 95% certainty, respectively. The corresponding cure times for uncured patients were 8.9 and 6.8 years, respectively. The cure probability was correlated with age, Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group score, TNM staging, Epstein–Barr virus DNA copies, and lactate dehydrogenase. The correlation was excellent between 5-year overall survival/progression-free survival and cure fractions.

Interpretation

Statistical cure is potentially achievable among patients with NPC undergoing contemporary treatment modalities. The results hold significant potential implications for both clinical practice and patient perspectives.

Funding

National High Level Hospital Clinical Research Funding; Beijing Xisike Clinical Oncology Research Foundation; Beijing hope run fund.

背景鼻咽癌(NPC)患者的生存率有了显著提高,但是否可以认为他们已经治愈还没有达成共识。方法这项回顾性多中心研究从 2007 年到 2020 年共招募了 6315 名来自中国非流行区和流行区的非转移性鼻咽癌患者。我们采用混合和非混合治愈模型来估算治愈概率和治愈时间,将普通人群的背景死亡率纳入其中,并按性别、年龄和诊断年份进行匹配。研究结果以死亡作为未治愈事件,鼻咽癌患者达到与普通人群同等预期寿命的概率为 78.1%。如果将病情恶化视为未治愈事件,则患者在病情未恶化的情况下达到与普通人群同等预期寿命的可能性为 72.4%。就个体而言,获得治愈的概率取决于条件和时间,95% 的确定性分别需要约 7.1 年和 4.7 年。未治愈患者的相应治愈时间分别为 8.9 年和 6.8 年。治愈概率与年龄、东部合作肿瘤学组评分、TNM 分期、Epstein-Barr 病毒 DNA 拷贝数和乳酸脱氢酶相关。5年总生存期/无进展生存期与治愈率之间的相关性非常好。 解释接受现代治疗方法的鼻咽癌患者有可能实现统计治愈。这些结果对临床实践和患者观点都具有重要的潜在意义。基金资助国家高级医院临床研究基金、北京希赛克临床肿瘤学研究基金会、北京希望工程基金。
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引用次数: 0
Switch to fixed-dose ainuovirine, lamivudine, and tenofovir DF versus elvitegravir, cobicistat, emtricitabine, and tenofovir alafenamide in virologically suppressed people living with HIV-1: the 48-week results of the SPRINT trial, a multi-centre, randomised, double-blind, active-controlled, phase 3, non-inferiority trial 在病毒学抑制的 HIV-1 感染者中改用固定剂量阿奴韦林、拉米夫定和替诺福韦 DF 与艾维特拉韦、科比司他、恩曲他滨和替诺福韦阿afenamide 的对比:SPRINT 试验(一项多中心、随机、双盲、主动对照、第 3 期、非劣效试验)的 48 周结果
IF 7.6 1区 医学 Q1 HEALTH CARE SCIENCES & SERVICES Pub Date : 2024-07-18 DOI: 10.1016/j.lanwpc.2024.101143
Fujie Zhang , Hao Wu , Weiping Cai , Ping Ma , Qingxia Zhao , Hongxia Wei , Hongzhou Lu , Hui Wang , Shenghua He , Zhu Chen , Yaokai Chen , Min Wang , Wan Wan , Heliang Fu , Hong Qin
<div><h3>Background</h3><p>We compared the efficacy and safety profiles of ainuovirine (ANV), a new-generation non-nucleoside reverse transcriptase inhibitor (NNRTI), with boosted elvitegravir (EVG), both coformulated with two nucleoside reverse transcriptase inhibitors (NRTIs), in people living with HIV-1 (PLWH) who had achieved virological suppression on previous NNRTI-based antiretroviral (ARV) regimen.</p></div><div><h3>Methods</h3><p>This study was a multi-centre, randomised, double-blind, active-controlled, non-inferiority trial recruiting PLWH from 10 clinical centres across China. Main inclusion criteria included age of 18–65 years (inclusive), and stably staying on an ARV regimen combining an NNRTI with a two-drug NRTI backbone for at least 12 months. Eligible participants must have maintained plasma HIV-1 ribonucleic acid (RNA) titre below 50 copies per mL confirmed on two successive tests at an interval of at least one month prior to randomisation. Participants were randomly assigned to receive ANV 150 mg plus lamivudine (3TC) 300 mg, and tenofovir disoproxil fumarate (TDF) 300 mg (ANV/3TC/TDF), or cobicistat (Cobi) 150 mg boosted EVG plus emtricitabine (FTC) 200 mg, and tenofovir alafenamide (TAF) 10 mg. The primary efficacy endpoint was the proportion of participants with HIV-1 RNA titre at 50 copies per mL or above at week 48 using the US Food and Drug Administration snapshot algorithm, with a non-inferiority margin of 4 percentage points at a two-side 95% confidence level. This trial is active, but not recruiting, and is registered with Chinese Clinical Trial Registry (ChiCTR), number ChiCTR2100051605.</p></div><div><h3>Findings</h3><p>Between October 2021 and February 2022, 923 patients were screened for eligibility, among whom 762 participants were randomized and had received at least one dose of ANV/3TC/TDF (n = 381) or EVG/Cobi/FTC/TAF (n = 381). At week 48, 7 (1.8%) participants on ANV/3TC/TDF and 6 (1.6%) participants on EVG/Cobi/FTC/TAF had plasma HIV-1 RNA titre at 50 copies per mL or above, including missing virological data within the time window (the Cochran-Mantel-Haenszel method, estimated treatment difference [ETD], 0.3%, 95% CI −1.6 to 2.1), establishing the non-inferiority of ANV/3TC/TDF to EVG/Cobi/FTC/TAF. The proportions of participants experiencing at least one treatment-emergent adverse events (AEs) were comparable between the two arms (97.6% <em>versus</em> 97.6%). A small proportion of participants discontinued study drug due to AEs (0.3% <em>versus</em> 0.3%). Serious AEs occurred in 11 (2.9%) participants on ANV/3TC/TDF and 9 (2.4%) participants on EVG/Cobi/FTC/TAF, respectively, none of which was considered related to study drug at the jurisdiction of the investigator. At week 48, participants on ANV/3TC/TDF showed a significantly less weight gain from baseline compared to those on EVG/Cobi/FTC/TAF (least square mean, 1.16 <em>versus</em> 2.05 kg, ETD −0.90 kg, 95% CI, −1.43 to −0.37). The changes in serum
背景我们比较了新一代非核苷类逆转录酶抑制剂(NNRTI)艾诺韦林(ANV)与艾维特拉韦(EVG)(均与两种核苷类逆转录酶抑制剂(NRTI)联合配制)对既往接受过基于NNRTI的抗逆转录病毒(ARV)治疗并获得病毒学抑制的HIV-1感染者(PLWH)的疗效和安全性。方法该研究是一项多中心、随机、双盲、主动对照、非劣效试验,招募了来自中国 10 个临床中心的 PLWH。主要纳入标准包括年龄在18-65岁(含)之间,稳定服用NNRTI与NRTI双药联合的抗逆转录病毒疗法至少12个月。符合条件的参与者必须在随机分配前至少间隔一个月连续两次检测确认血浆 HIV-1 核糖核酸 (RNA) 滴度低于 50 拷贝/毫升。参试者被随机分配接受ANV 150毫克加拉米夫定(3TC)300毫克和富马酸替诺福韦二吡呋酯(TDF)300毫克(ANV/3TC/TDF),或科比司他(Cobi)150毫克增强型EVG加恩曲他滨(FTC)200毫克和替诺福韦-阿拉非酰胺(TAF)10毫克。主要疗效终点是根据美国食品药品管理局的快照算法,第48周时HIV-1 RNA滴度达到或超过50拷贝/毫升的参与者比例,在双侧95%置信水平下,非劣效边际为4个百分点。研究结果在2021年10月至2022年2月期间,共筛选出923名符合条件的患者,其中762名参与者被随机分组,并至少接受过一次ANV/3TC/TDF(n = 381)或EVG/Cobi/FTC/TAF(n = 381)治疗。第48周时,7名(1.8%)接受ANV/3TC/TDF治疗的参与者和6名(1.6%)接受EVG/Cobi/FTC/TAF治疗的参与者的血浆HIV-1 RNA滴度达到或超过50拷贝/毫升,包括时间窗内缺失的病毒学数据(Cochran-Mantel-Haenszel法,估计治疗差异[ETD],0.3%,95% CI-1.6至2.1),从而确定了ANV/3TC/TDF与EVG/Cobi/FTC/TAF的非劣效性。两组患者中至少出现一次治疗突发不良事件(AEs)的比例相当(97.6% 对 97.6%)。一小部分参与者因不良反应而停药(0.3% 对 0.3%)。分别有11名(2.9%)服用ANV/3TC/TDF的参与者和9名(2.4%)服用EVG/Cobi/FTC/TAF的参与者发生严重AE,经研究者判断,这些AE均与研究药物无关。第48周时,与服用EVG/Cobi/FTC/TAF的参与者相比,服用ANV/3TC/TDF的参与者体重从基线增加的幅度明显较小(最小平方均值为1.16对2.05千克,ETD为-0.90千克,95% CI为-1.43对-0.37)。在病毒学抑制的PLWH中,以前使用的是基于NNRTI的抗逆转录病毒药物方案,改用ANV/3TC/TDF后体重增加较少,血脂代谢得到改善,同时病毒学抑制效果不劣于EVG/Cobi/FTC/TAF。基金资助江苏爱迪药业股份有限公司;国家科技部 "十三五 "重大创新药物研发重点专项。
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引用次数: 0
Health gains from achieving optimal body mass index in Australia: a simulation study 澳大利亚实现最佳体重指数的健康收益:模拟研究
IF 7.6 1区 医学 Q1 HEALTH CARE SCIENCES & SERVICES Pub Date : 2024-07-17 DOI: 10.1016/j.lanwpc.2024.101148
Shweta Bohora , Shiva Raj Mishra , Tim Wilson , Tony Blakely

Background

We estimated the health gains and health inequality impacts for the Australian population alive in 2021 (n = 25.0 million) in the next 20 years and over their remaining lifespan, from shifting everyone above a BMI of 25 kg/m2 to 25 kg/m2 compared to the BMI distribution in 2021 persisting into the future.

Methods

National Health Survey 2017–2018 was used to estimate BMI distributions by sex, age and, socio-economic status (Socio-Economic Indexes for Areas; SEIFA). A proportional multistate life table linking BMI to 19 associated diseases and allowing for time lags and competing morbidity and mortality, was used to estimate the future stream of health adjusted life years (HALYs) gained from eradicating high BMI.

Findings

Undiscounted health gains in the first 20 years and lifetime of the population were, respectively, 2.00 million (95% uncertainty interval 1.70–2.32) and 20.4 million (17.0–24.2) (at a 3% annual discount rate, HALY gains were 1.37 and 5.77 million, respectively). Reductions in the incidence of cardio metabolic diseases contributed 61% (95% UI: 54%–68%) of the undiscounted health gains in the first 20 years, musculoskeletal diseases contributed 26% (20%–32%) and cancer 5% (3%–8%). HALY gains in the first 20 years and lifetime, per person alive in 2021, were 2.5 (2.4–2.5) and 1.9 (1.9–2.0) times higher for the most compared to the least deprived SEIFA quintile.

Interpretation

The total theoretical envelope of health gains, and health inequality reductions, through eradication of BMI is substantial. Our modeling infrastructure can be used to estimate the health impacts and cost effectiveness of many actual interventions.

Funding

No funding was received for the study.

背景我们估算了 2021 年澳大利亚在世人口(n = 2,500 万人)在未来 20 年和剩余寿命中的健康收益和健康不平等影响,与 2021 年的体重指数分布相比,将体重指数在 25 kg/m2 以上的所有人的体重指数降低到 25 kg/m2,而 2021 年的体重指数分布将持续到未来。方法利用 2017-2018 年全国健康调查估算了按性别、年龄和社会经济地位(地区社会经济指数;SEIFA)划分的体重指数分布。使用将 BMI 与 19 种相关疾病联系起来的比例多态生命表,并考虑到时间滞后和相互竞争的发病率和死亡率,来估算消除高 BMI 所获得的健康调整生命年(HALYs)的未来流。研究结果未贴现的前 20 年健康收益和人口终生健康收益分别为 200 万(95% 不确定区间为 170 万-232 万)和 2040 万(170 万-2420 万)(按 3% 的年贴现率计算,健康调整寿命年收益分别为 137 万和 577 万)。在前 20 年未贴现的健康收益中,心血管代谢疾病发病率的降低占 61%(95% UI:54%-68%),肌肉骨骼疾病占 26%(20%-32%),癌症占 5%(3%-8%)。与最贫困的 SEIFA 五分之一人口相比,最贫困人口在前 20 年和终生的 HALY 收益分别为 2.5(2.4-2.5)倍和 1.9(1.9-2.0)倍。我们的建模基础设施可用于估算许多实际干预措施的健康影响和成本效益。
{"title":"Health gains from achieving optimal body mass index in Australia: a simulation study","authors":"Shweta Bohora ,&nbsp;Shiva Raj Mishra ,&nbsp;Tim Wilson ,&nbsp;Tony Blakely","doi":"10.1016/j.lanwpc.2024.101148","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.lanwpc.2024.101148","url":null,"abstract":"<div><h3>Background</h3><p>We estimated the health gains and health inequality impacts for the Australian population alive in 2021 (n = 25.0 million) in the next 20 years and over their remaining lifespan, from shifting everyone above a BMI of 25 kg/m<sup>2</sup> to 25 kg/m<sup>2</sup> compared to the BMI distribution in 2021 persisting into the future.</p></div><div><h3>Methods</h3><p>National Health Survey 2017–2018 was used to estimate BMI distributions by sex, age and, socio-economic status (Socio-Economic Indexes for Areas; SEIFA). A proportional multistate life table linking BMI to 19 associated diseases and allowing for time lags and competing morbidity and mortality, was used to estimate the future stream of health adjusted life years (HALYs) gained from eradicating high BMI.</p></div><div><h3>Findings</h3><p>Undiscounted health gains in the first 20 years and lifetime of the population were, respectively, 2.00 million (95% uncertainty interval 1.70–2.32) and 20.4 million (17.0–24.2) (at a 3% annual discount rate, HALY gains were 1.37 and 5.77 million, respectively). Reductions in the incidence of cardio metabolic diseases contributed 61% (95% UI: 54%–68%) of the undiscounted health gains in the first 20 years, musculoskeletal diseases contributed 26% (20%–32%) and cancer 5% (3%–8%). HALY gains in the first 20 years and lifetime, per person alive in 2021, were 2.5 (2.4–2.5) and 1.9 (1.9–2.0) times higher for the most compared to the least deprived SEIFA quintile.</p></div><div><h3>Interpretation</h3><p>The total theoretical envelope of health gains, and health inequality reductions, through eradication of BMI is substantial. Our modeling infrastructure can be used to estimate the health impacts and cost effectiveness of many actual interventions.</p></div><div><h3>Funding</h3><p>No funding was received for the study.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":22792,"journal":{"name":"The Lancet Regional Health: Western Pacific","volume":"49 ","pages":"Article 101148"},"PeriodicalIF":7.6,"publicationDate":"2024-07-17","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2666606524001421/pdfft?md5=589a934b0ec24b857b68e495da45a35f&pid=1-s2.0-S2666606524001421-main.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141637334","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
One-size-fits-all versus risk-category-based screening interval strategies for cardiovascular disease prevention in Chinese adults: a prospective cohort study 中国成年人预防心血管疾病的 "一刀切 "与基于风险类别的筛查间隔策略:一项前瞻性队列研究
IF 7.6 1区 医学 Q1 HEALTH CARE SCIENCES & SERVICES Pub Date : 2024-07-16 DOI: 10.1016/j.lanwpc.2024.101140
Zhijia Sun , Yu Ma , Canqing Yu , Dianjianyi Sun , Yuanjie Pang , Pei Pei , Ling Yang , Yiping Chen , Huaidong Du , Hao Zhang , Xiaoming Yang , Maxim Barnard , Robert Clarke , Junshi Chen , Zhengming Chen , Liming Li , Jun Lv
<div><h3>Background</h3><p>In non-high-risk individuals, risk-category-based atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD) screening strategies may be more cost-effective than one-size-fits-all approaches. However, current decisions are constrained by a lack of research evidence. We aimed to explore appropriate risk-category-based screening interval strategies for non-high-risk individuals in ASCVD primary prevention in the Chinese population.</p></div><div><h3>Methods</h3><p>We used data from 28,624 participants in the China Kadoorie Biobank (CKB) who had completed at least two field surveys. The risk assessment tools were the 10-year ASCVD risk prediction models developed based on the CKB cohort. We constructed multistate Markov models to model disease progression and estimate transition probabilities between different risk categories. The total person-years spent unidentified in the high-risk state over a 10-year period were calculated for each screening interval protocol. We also estimated the number of ASCVD events prevented, quality-adjusted life years (QALYs) gained, and costs saved when compared to the 3-yearly screening protocol.</p></div><div><h3>Findings</h3><p>When compared to the uniform 3-yearly protocol, most risk-category-based screening interval protocols would identify more high-risk individuals timely, thus preventing more ASCVD events and gaining QALYs. A few of them would reduce total health-care costs. The protocol, which used 6-year, 3-year, and 2-year screening intervals for low-risk, intermediate-low-risk, and intermediate-high risk individuals, was optimal, and would reduce the person-years spent unidentified in the high-risk category by 17.9% (95% CI: 13.1%–21.9%), thus preventing an estimated 113 thousand (95% CI: 83–138) hard ASCVD events for Chinese adults aged 30–79 over a 10-year period. When using a lower cost of statin therapy, more screening protocols would gain QALYs while saving costs.</p></div><div><h3>Interpretation</h3><p>For the primary prevention of ASCVD, risk-category-based screening protocols outperformed the one-size-fits-all approach in the Chinese population.</p></div><div><h3>Funding</h3><p>This work was supported by <span>National Natural Science Foundation of China</span> (<span><span>82192904</span></span>, <span><span>82388102</span></span>, <span><span>82192900</span></span>) and grants (<span><span>2023YFC2509400</span></span>) from the <span>National Key R&D Program</span> of China. The CKB baseline survey and the first re-survey were supported by a grant from the <span>Kadoorie Charitable Foundation</span> in Hong Kong. The long-term follow-up is supported by grants from the UK <span>Wellcome Trust</span> (212946/Z/18/Z, 202922/Z/16/Z, 104085/Z/14/Z, 088158/Z/09/Z), grants (<span><span>2016YFC0900500</span></span>) from the <span>National Key R&D Program</span> of China, <span>National Natural Science Foundation of China</span> (<span><span>81390540</span></span>, <span><span>91846
背景在非高风险人群中,基于风险类别的动脉粥样硬化性心血管疾病(ASCVD)筛查策略可能比 "一刀切 "的方法更具成本效益。然而,由于缺乏研究证据,目前的决策受到了限制。我们的目的是探索在中国人群的 ASCVD 一级预防中,针对非高风险人群的基于风险类别的适当筛查间隔策略。方法我们使用了中国嘉道理生物库(CKB)中至少完成过两次实地调查的 28624 名参与者的数据。风险评估工具是基于 CKB 队列开发的 10 年 ASCVD 风险预测模型。我们构建了多态马尔可夫模型来模拟疾病进展,并估算不同风险类别之间的转换概率。我们计算了每个筛查间隔方案在 10 年内处于高风险状态而未被发现的总人年数。我们还估算了与每 3 年一次的筛查方案相比,所预防的 ASCVD 事件的数量、所获得的质量调整生命年 (QALY) 以及所节约的成本。研究结果与每 3 年一次的统一方案相比,大多数基于风险类别的筛查间隔方案都能及时发现更多的高危人群,从而预防更多的 ASCVD 事件并获得 QALY。其中少数方案还能降低医疗总成本。对低风险、中低风险和中高风险人群分别采用6年、3年和2年筛查间隔的方案是最佳方案,可将未识别为高风险类别的人年减少17.9%(95% CI:13.1%-21.9%),从而在10年内为30-79岁的中国成年人预防约11.3万例(95% CI:83-138)严重ASCVD事件。在使用他汀类药物治疗成本较低的情况下,更多的筛查方案将在节约成本的同时获得QALYs.Interpretation对于ASCVD的一级预防,在中国人群中,基于风险类别的筛查方案优于 "一刀切 "的方法。CKB 基线调查和首次复查得到了香港嘉道理慈善基金会的资助。长期跟踪研究得到了英国威康信托基金(212946/Z/18/Z、202922/Z/16/Z、104085/Z/14/Z、088158/Z/09/Z)、国家重点研发计划(2016YFC0900500)、国家自然科学基金(81390540、91846303、81941018)和中国科技部(2011BAI09B01)的资助。
{"title":"One-size-fits-all versus risk-category-based screening interval strategies for cardiovascular disease prevention in Chinese adults: a prospective cohort study","authors":"Zhijia Sun ,&nbsp;Yu Ma ,&nbsp;Canqing Yu ,&nbsp;Dianjianyi Sun ,&nbsp;Yuanjie Pang ,&nbsp;Pei Pei ,&nbsp;Ling Yang ,&nbsp;Yiping Chen ,&nbsp;Huaidong Du ,&nbsp;Hao Zhang ,&nbsp;Xiaoming Yang ,&nbsp;Maxim Barnard ,&nbsp;Robert Clarke ,&nbsp;Junshi Chen ,&nbsp;Zhengming Chen ,&nbsp;Liming Li ,&nbsp;Jun Lv","doi":"10.1016/j.lanwpc.2024.101140","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.lanwpc.2024.101140","url":null,"abstract":"&lt;div&gt;&lt;h3&gt;Background&lt;/h3&gt;&lt;p&gt;In non-high-risk individuals, risk-category-based atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD) screening strategies may be more cost-effective than one-size-fits-all approaches. However, current decisions are constrained by a lack of research evidence. We aimed to explore appropriate risk-category-based screening interval strategies for non-high-risk individuals in ASCVD primary prevention in the Chinese population.&lt;/p&gt;&lt;/div&gt;&lt;div&gt;&lt;h3&gt;Methods&lt;/h3&gt;&lt;p&gt;We used data from 28,624 participants in the China Kadoorie Biobank (CKB) who had completed at least two field surveys. The risk assessment tools were the 10-year ASCVD risk prediction models developed based on the CKB cohort. We constructed multistate Markov models to model disease progression and estimate transition probabilities between different risk categories. The total person-years spent unidentified in the high-risk state over a 10-year period were calculated for each screening interval protocol. We also estimated the number of ASCVD events prevented, quality-adjusted life years (QALYs) gained, and costs saved when compared to the 3-yearly screening protocol.&lt;/p&gt;&lt;/div&gt;&lt;div&gt;&lt;h3&gt;Findings&lt;/h3&gt;&lt;p&gt;When compared to the uniform 3-yearly protocol, most risk-category-based screening interval protocols would identify more high-risk individuals timely, thus preventing more ASCVD events and gaining QALYs. A few of them would reduce total health-care costs. The protocol, which used 6-year, 3-year, and 2-year screening intervals for low-risk, intermediate-low-risk, and intermediate-high risk individuals, was optimal, and would reduce the person-years spent unidentified in the high-risk category by 17.9% (95% CI: 13.1%–21.9%), thus preventing an estimated 113 thousand (95% CI: 83–138) hard ASCVD events for Chinese adults aged 30–79 over a 10-year period. When using a lower cost of statin therapy, more screening protocols would gain QALYs while saving costs.&lt;/p&gt;&lt;/div&gt;&lt;div&gt;&lt;h3&gt;Interpretation&lt;/h3&gt;&lt;p&gt;For the primary prevention of ASCVD, risk-category-based screening protocols outperformed the one-size-fits-all approach in the Chinese population.&lt;/p&gt;&lt;/div&gt;&lt;div&gt;&lt;h3&gt;Funding&lt;/h3&gt;&lt;p&gt;This work was supported by &lt;span&gt;National Natural Science Foundation of China&lt;/span&gt; (&lt;span&gt;&lt;span&gt;82192904&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;, &lt;span&gt;&lt;span&gt;82388102&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;, &lt;span&gt;&lt;span&gt;82192900&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;) and grants (&lt;span&gt;&lt;span&gt;2023YFC2509400&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;) from the &lt;span&gt;National Key R&amp;D Program&lt;/span&gt; of China. The CKB baseline survey and the first re-survey were supported by a grant from the &lt;span&gt;Kadoorie Charitable Foundation&lt;/span&gt; in Hong Kong. The long-term follow-up is supported by grants from the UK &lt;span&gt;Wellcome Trust&lt;/span&gt; (212946/Z/18/Z, 202922/Z/16/Z, 104085/Z/14/Z, 088158/Z/09/Z), grants (&lt;span&gt;&lt;span&gt;2016YFC0900500&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;) from the &lt;span&gt;National Key R&amp;D Program&lt;/span&gt; of China, &lt;span&gt;National Natural Science Foundation of China&lt;/span&gt; (&lt;span&gt;&lt;span&gt;81390540&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;, &lt;span&gt;&lt;span&gt;91846","PeriodicalId":22792,"journal":{"name":"The Lancet Regional Health: Western Pacific","volume":"49 ","pages":"Article 101140"},"PeriodicalIF":7.6,"publicationDate":"2024-07-16","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2666606524001342/pdfft?md5=9ae6631907ee84ff28070c32cb5de990&pid=1-s2.0-S2666606524001342-main.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141630792","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Ivermectin therapy for young children with scabies infection: a multicentre phase 2 non-randomized trial 伊维菌素治疗感染疥疮的幼儿:一项多中心第 2 期非随机试验
IF 7.6 1区 医学 Q1 HEALTH CARE SCIENCES & SERVICES Pub Date : 2024-07-13 DOI: 10.1016/j.lanwpc.2024.101144
Amanda Gwee , Andrew Steer , Khampheng Phongluxa , Chanthaly Luangphaxay , Khanpaseuth Senggnam , Ammala Philavanh , Alice Lei , April Martinez , Shan Huang , Brett McWhinney , Jacobus Ungerer , Stephen Duffull , Wenyu Yang , Xiao Zhu , Ben Coghlan

Background

Ivermectin, an effective treatment for scabies, is not licensed for children weighing <15 kg. Pharmacokinetic modelling has shown a 3 mg dose in young children (2–4 years, weighing 10–14 kg) achieves comparable drug exposure to a 200 μg/kg dose in children aged ≥5 years. This trial evaluated a 3 mg dose in young children.

Methods

Multicentre, phase 2 trial in five health centres in Lao PDR. Children aged 2–4 years, weighing 10–14 kg with scabies received 3 mg ivermectin and had two plasma concentrations determined (Clinicaltrials.gov ID NCT05500326). On day 14, clinical outcomes and adverse effects were assessed, and a second dose given to complete treatment. The primary outcome was the mean plasma ivermectin exposure (AUC0-∞) after the first dose (compared to a historical control of Indigenous Australian children aged ≥5 years weighing ≥15 kg receiving 200 μg/kg). Secondary outcomes were clinical improvement and adverse effects.

Findings

Overall, 100 children with a median age of 3.0 years (IQR 2.6–3.9) and weight of 11.9 kg (IQR 11.0–13.1) were enrolled. The mean observed ivermectin AUC0-∞ was comparable to the historical control group aged 5–11 years (815 μg h/L vs 953 μg h/L, p = 0.256). Complete resolution of scabies occurred in 90/99 children by day 14. Adverse effects were mild, occurring in 7/99.

Interpretation

A 3 mg ivermectin dose in children aged 2–4 years and weighing 10–14 kg achieved a mean plasma AUC0-∞ comparable to older children, was highly effective in treating scabies and well tolerated. This study supports extending ivermectin treatment to younger children improving global efforts to control this neglected disease.

Funding

Project funding provided by a Thrasher Foundation Early Career Research Award.

背景伊维菌素是一种治疗疥疮的有效药物,但目前尚未许可用于体重为 15 千克的儿童。药代动力学模型显示,幼儿(2-4岁,体重10-14公斤)服用3毫克剂量的药物暴露量与体重≥5岁的儿童服用200微克/公斤剂量的药物暴露量相当。本试验评估了幼儿的 3 毫克剂量。2-4岁、体重10-14公斤的疥疮患儿接受3毫克伊维菌素治疗,并测定两次血浆浓度(Clinicaltrials.gov ID NCT05500326)。第14天,对临床结果和不良反应进行评估,并进行第二次给药以完成治疗。主要结果是首次给药后的平均血浆伊维菌素暴露量(AUC0-∞)(与体重≥15千克、年龄≥5岁的澳大利亚土著儿童接受200微克/千克治疗的历史对照组进行比较)。研究结果总体而言,100 名儿童的中位年龄为 3.0 岁(IQR 2.6-3.9),体重为 11.9 千克(IQR 11.0-13.1)。观察到的平均伊维菌素 AUC0-∞ 与 5-11 岁历史对照组相当(815 μg h/L vs 953 μg h/L,p = 0.256)。到第 14 天,90/99 名儿童的疥疮完全消退。对 2-4 岁、体重 10-14 千克的儿童使用 3 毫克伊维菌素的平均血浆 AUC0-∞ 与年龄较大的儿童相当,对治疗疥疮非常有效,而且耐受性良好。这项研究支持将伊维菌素治疗扩大到年龄较小的儿童,从而改善全球控制这种被忽视疾病的工作。
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引用次数: 0
The burden of cardiovascular disease in Asia from 2025 to 2050: a forecast analysis for East Asia, South Asia, South-East Asia, Central Asia, and high-income Asia Pacific regions 2025 至 2050 年亚洲心血管疾病负担:对东亚、南亚、东南亚、中亚和高收入亚太地区的预测分析
IF 7.6 1区 医学 Q1 HEALTH CARE SCIENCES & SERVICES Pub Date : 2024-07-10 DOI: 10.1016/j.lanwpc.2024.101138
Rachel Sze Jen Goh , Bryan Chong , Jayanth Jayabaskaran , Silingga Metta Jauhari , Siew Pang Chan , Martin Tze Wah Kueh , Kannan Shankar , Henry Li , Yip Han Chin , Gwyneth Kong , Vickram Vijay Anand , Keith Andrew Chan , Indah Sukmawati , Sue Anne Toh , Mark Muthiah , Jiong-Wei Wang , Gary Tse , Anurag Mehta , Alan Fong , Lohendran Baskaran , Nicholas W.S. Chew

Background

Given the rapidly growing burden of cardiovascular disease (CVD) in Asia, this study forecasts the CVD burden and associated risk factors in Asia from 2025 to 2050.

Methods

Data from the Global Burden of Disease 2019 study was used to construct regression models predicting prevalence, mortality, and disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) attributed to CVD and risk factors in Asia in the coming decades.

Findings

Between 2025 and 2050, crude cardiovascular mortality is expected to rise 91.2% despite a 23.0% decrease in the age-standardised cardiovascular mortality rate (ASMR). Ischaemic heart disease (115 deaths per 100,000 population) and stroke (63 deaths per 100,000 population) will remain leading drivers of ASMR in 2050. Central Asia will have the highest ASMR (676 deaths per 100,000 population), more than three-fold that of Asia overall (186 deaths per 100,000 population), while high-income Asia sub-regions will incur an ASMR of 22 deaths per 100,000 in 2050. High systolic blood pressure will contribute the highest ASMR throughout Asia (105 deaths per 100,000 population), except in Central Asia where high fasting plasma glucose will dominate (546 deaths per 100,000 population).

Interpretation

This forecast forewarns an almost doubling in crude cardiovascular mortality by 2050 in Asia, with marked heterogeneity across sub-regions. Atherosclerotic diseases will continue to dominate, while high systolic blood pressure will be the leading risk factor.

Funding

This was supported by the NUHS Seed Fund (NUHSRO/2022/058/RO5+6/Seed-Mar/03), National Medical Research Council Research Training Fellowship (MH 095:003/008-303), National University of Singapore Yong Loo Lin School of Medicine's Junior Academic Fellowship Scheme, NUHS Clinician Scientist Program (NCSP2.0/2024/NUHS/NCWS) and the CArdiovascular DiseasE National Collaborative Enterprise (CADENCE) National Clinical Translational Program (MOH-001277-01).

背景鉴于亚洲心血管疾病(CVD)负担的快速增长,本研究预测了2025年至2050年亚洲的CVD负担和相关风险因素。研究结果在2025年至2050年期间,尽管年龄标准化心血管病死亡率(ASMR)下降了23.0%,但粗心血管病死亡率预计将上升91.2%。缺血性心脏病(每 100,000 人中有 115 人死亡)和中风(每 100,000 人中有 63 人死亡)仍将是导致 2050 年年龄标准化心血管死亡率上升的主要因素。中亚的急性呼吸系统综合症死亡率将最高(每 100,000 人中有 676 人死亡),是亚洲总体死亡率(每 100,000 人中有 186 人死亡)的三倍多,而高收入亚洲次区域在 2050 年的急性呼吸系统综合症死亡率将为每 100,000 人中有 22 人死亡。在整个亚洲,高收缩压将导致最高的 ASMR(每 100,000 人中有 105 人死亡),但中亚除外,在中亚,高空腹血浆葡萄糖将占主导地位(每 100,000 人中有 546 人死亡)。动脉粥样硬化性疾病将继续占据主导地位,而高收缩压将成为主要的风险因素。基金资助本研究得到了新加坡国立大学卫生学种子基金(NUHSRO/2022/058/RO5+6/Seed-Mar/03)、国家医学研究理事会研究培训奖学金(MH 095:003/008-303)、新加坡国立大学永禄林学院初级学术奖学金计划、新加坡国立大学卫生学临床科学家计划(NCSP2.0/2024/NUHS/NCWS)和CADENCE国家临床转化项目(MOH-001277-01)。
{"title":"The burden of cardiovascular disease in Asia from 2025 to 2050: a forecast analysis for East Asia, South Asia, South-East Asia, Central Asia, and high-income Asia Pacific regions","authors":"Rachel Sze Jen Goh ,&nbsp;Bryan Chong ,&nbsp;Jayanth Jayabaskaran ,&nbsp;Silingga Metta Jauhari ,&nbsp;Siew Pang Chan ,&nbsp;Martin Tze Wah Kueh ,&nbsp;Kannan Shankar ,&nbsp;Henry Li ,&nbsp;Yip Han Chin ,&nbsp;Gwyneth Kong ,&nbsp;Vickram Vijay Anand ,&nbsp;Keith Andrew Chan ,&nbsp;Indah Sukmawati ,&nbsp;Sue Anne Toh ,&nbsp;Mark Muthiah ,&nbsp;Jiong-Wei Wang ,&nbsp;Gary Tse ,&nbsp;Anurag Mehta ,&nbsp;Alan Fong ,&nbsp;Lohendran Baskaran ,&nbsp;Nicholas W.S. Chew","doi":"10.1016/j.lanwpc.2024.101138","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.lanwpc.2024.101138","url":null,"abstract":"<div><h3>Background</h3><p>Given the rapidly growing burden of cardiovascular disease (CVD) in Asia, this study forecasts the CVD burden and associated risk factors in Asia from 2025 to 2050.</p></div><div><h3>Methods</h3><p>Data from the Global Burden of Disease 2019 study was used to construct regression models predicting prevalence, mortality, and disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) attributed to CVD and risk factors in Asia in the coming decades.</p></div><div><h3>Findings</h3><p>Between 2025 and 2050, crude cardiovascular mortality is expected to rise 91.2% despite a 23.0% decrease in the age-standardised cardiovascular mortality rate (ASMR). Ischaemic heart disease (115 deaths per 100,000 population) and stroke (63 deaths per 100,000 population) will remain leading drivers of ASMR in 2050. Central Asia will have the highest ASMR (676 deaths per 100,000 population), more than three-fold that of Asia overall (186 deaths per 100,000 population), while high-income Asia sub-regions will incur an ASMR of 22 deaths per 100,000 in 2050. High systolic blood pressure will contribute the highest ASMR throughout Asia (105 deaths per 100,000 population), except in Central Asia where high fasting plasma glucose will dominate (546 deaths per 100,000 population).</p></div><div><h3>Interpretation</h3><p>This forecast forewarns an almost doubling in crude cardiovascular mortality by 2050 in Asia, with marked heterogeneity across sub-regions. Atherosclerotic diseases will continue to dominate, while high systolic blood pressure will be the leading risk factor.</p></div><div><h3>Funding</h3><p>This was supported by the <span>NUHS</span> Seed Fund (NUHSRO/2022/058/RO5+6/Seed-Mar/03), <span>National Medical Research Council</span> Research Training Fellowship (MH 095:003/008-303), <span>National University of Singapore</span> Yong Loo Lin School of Medicine's Junior Academic Fellowship Scheme, <span>NUHS</span> Clinician Scientist Program (NCSP2.0/2024/NUHS/NCWS) and the CArdiovascular DiseasE National Collaborative <span>Enterprise</span> (CADENCE) <span>National Clinical Translational Program (MOH-001277-01)</span>.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":22792,"journal":{"name":"The Lancet Regional Health: Western Pacific","volume":"49 ","pages":"Article 101138"},"PeriodicalIF":7.6,"publicationDate":"2024-07-10","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2666606524001329/pdfft?md5=5a82783d353f53e98e639f02f082160c&pid=1-s2.0-S2666606524001329-main.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141596477","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Singapore's COVID-19 crisis decision-making through centralization, legitimacy, and agility: an empirical analysis 新加坡 COVID-19 危机决策的集权、合法性和灵活性:实证分析
IF 7.6 1区 医学 Q1 HEALTH CARE SCIENCES & SERVICES Pub Date : 2024-07-08 DOI: 10.1016/j.lanwpc.2024.101137
Sumegha Asthana , Sanjana Mukherjee , Alexandra L. Phelan , J.J. Woo , Claire J. Standley

Background

Decision-making during health crises differs from routine decision-making and is constrained by ambiguity about evolving epidemiological situations, urgency of response, lack of evidence, and fear. Recent analyses of governance and decision-making during COVID-19, focusing on leadership qualities, involvement of specific stakeholders, and effective resource management, do not adequately address a persisting gap in understanding the determinants of decision-making during health crises at the national level.

Methods

We undertook a study to understand the processes and characteristics of decision-making during the COVID-19 pandemic in Singapore. We used a case study approach and collected empirical evidence about public health decision-making, using a combination of key informant interviews and focus group discussions with stakeholders from government, academia and civil society organizations.

Findings

We argue that administrative centralization and political legitimacy played important roles in agile governance and decision-making during the pandemic in Singapore. We demonstrate the role of the Singapore government's centralization in creating a unified and coherent governance model for emergency response and the People's Action Party's (PAP) legitimacy in facilitating people's trust in the government. Health system resilience and financial reserves further facilitated an agile response, yet community participation and prioritization of vulnerable migrant populations were insufficient in the governance processes.

Interpretation

Our analysis contributes to the theory and practice of crisis decision-making by highlighting the role of political and administrative determinants in agile crisis decision-making.

Funding

This study is funded by the U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention through a Cooperative Research Agreement (NU2HGH2020000037).

背景卫生危机期间的决策不同于常规决策,它受制于不断变化的流行病学形势的不确定性、响应的紧迫性、证据的缺乏以及恐惧。最近对 COVID-19 期间的治理和决策进行了分析,重点关注领导素质、特定利益相关者的参与以及有效的资源管理,但这些分析并没有充分解决在理解国家层面卫生危机期间决策的决定因素方面持续存在的差距。我们采用案例研究的方法,通过与来自政府、学术界和民间社会组织的利益相关者进行关键信息访谈和焦点小组讨论,收集了有关公共卫生决策的经验证据。研究结果我们认为,行政集权和政治合法性在新加坡大流行病期间的灵活治理和决策中发挥了重要作用。我们证明了新加坡政府的中央集权在创建统一协调的应急响应治理模式方面所发挥的作用,以及人民行动党(PAP)的合法性在促进人民对政府的信任方面所发挥的作用。我们的分析强调了政治和行政决定因素在灵活的危机决策中的作用,从而为危机决策的理论和实践做出了贡献。
{"title":"Singapore's COVID-19 crisis decision-making through centralization, legitimacy, and agility: an empirical analysis","authors":"Sumegha Asthana ,&nbsp;Sanjana Mukherjee ,&nbsp;Alexandra L. Phelan ,&nbsp;J.J. Woo ,&nbsp;Claire J. Standley","doi":"10.1016/j.lanwpc.2024.101137","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.lanwpc.2024.101137","url":null,"abstract":"<div><h3>Background</h3><p>Decision-making during health crises differs from routine decision-making and is constrained by ambiguity about evolving epidemiological situations, urgency of response, lack of evidence, and fear. Recent analyses of governance and decision-making during COVID-19, focusing on leadership qualities, involvement of specific stakeholders, and effective resource management, do not adequately address a persisting gap in understanding the determinants of decision-making during health crises at the national level.</p></div><div><h3>Methods</h3><p>We undertook a study to understand the processes and characteristics of decision-making during the COVID-19 pandemic in Singapore. We used a case study approach and collected empirical evidence about public health decision-making, using a combination of key informant interviews and focus group discussions with stakeholders from government, academia and civil society organizations.</p></div><div><h3>Findings</h3><p>We argue that administrative centralization and political legitimacy played important roles in agile governance and decision-making during the pandemic in Singapore. We demonstrate the role of the Singapore government's centralization in creating a unified and coherent governance model for emergency response and the People's Action Party's (PAP) legitimacy in facilitating people's trust in the government. Health system resilience and financial reserves further facilitated an agile response, yet community participation and prioritization of vulnerable migrant populations were insufficient in the governance processes.</p></div><div><h3>Interpretation</h3><p>Our analysis contributes to the theory and practice of crisis decision-making by highlighting the role of political and administrative determinants in agile crisis decision-making.</p></div><div><h3>Funding</h3><p>This study is funded by the <span>U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention</span> through a Cooperative Research Agreement (NU2HGH2020000037).</p></div>","PeriodicalId":22792,"journal":{"name":"The Lancet Regional Health: Western Pacific","volume":"49 ","pages":"Article 101137"},"PeriodicalIF":7.6,"publicationDate":"2024-07-08","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2666606524001317/pdfft?md5=65627a88bc07b083c5229d936d88d4a7&pid=1-s2.0-S2666606524001317-main.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141596476","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Association of the triglyceride–glucose index with all-cause and cause-specific mortality: a population-based cohort study of 3.5 million adults in China 甘油三酯-葡萄糖指数与全因和特定原因死亡率的关系:对中国 350 万成年人的人群队列研究
IF 7.6 1区 医学 Q1 HEALTH CARE SCIENCES & SERVICES Pub Date : 2024-07-06 DOI: 10.1016/j.lanwpc.2024.101135
Guangda He , Zenglei Zhang , Chunqi Wang , Wei Wang , Xueke Bai , Linkang He , Shi Chen , Guangyu Li , Yang Yang , Xiaoyan Zhang , Jianlan Cui , Wei Xu , Lijuan Song , Hao Yang , Wenyan He , Yan Zhang , Xi Li , Liang Chen

Background

The triglyceride-glucose (TyG) index has been recognized as a crucial risk factor for cardiovascular diseases. However, the association between the TyG index and mortality in the general population remains elusive.

Methods

Participants were enrolled from the China Health Evaluation And risk Reduction through nationwide Teamwork (ChinaHEART), a nationwide prospective cohort study. The outcomes of interest were all-cause, cardiovascular, and cancer mortality. Restricted cubic splines and Cox regression models were used to assess the associations between the TyG index and outcomes.

Findings

In total, 3,524,459 participants with a median follow-up of 4.6 (IQR, 3.1–5.8) years were included. The associations of the TyG index with all-cause and cardiovascular mortality were reverse L-shaped, with cut-off values of 9.75 for all-cause mortality and 9.85 for cardiovascular mortality. For each 1-unit increase in the TyG index, when below the cut-off values, the TyG index was not significantly associated with all-cause mortality (HR = 1.02, 95% CI: 1.00–1.03) and was only modestly associated with cardiovascular mortality (HR = 1.09, 95% CI: 1.06–1.11). Conversely, when the cut-off values were exceeded, the HRs (95% CI) were 2.10 (1.94–2.29) for all-cause mortality and 1.99 (1.72–2.30) for cardiovascular mortality. However, the association between the TyG index and cancer mortality was linearly negative (HR = 0.97, 95% CI: 0.94–0.99).

Interpretation

The associations of the TyG index with all-cause and cardiovascular mortality displayed reverse L-shaped patterns, while an elevated TyG index showed a slight negative association with cancer mortality. We suggest that <9.75 could be the optimal TyG index cut-off value among the Chinese general population. Individuals at high risk of mortality might benefit from proper management of a high TyG index.

Funding

The National High Level Hospital Clinical Research Funding (2023-GSP-ZD-2, 2023-GSP-RC-01), the Ministry of Finance of China and National Health Commission of China.

背景甘油三酯-葡萄糖(TyG)指数被认为是心血管疾病的重要危险因素。方法参与者来自中国健康评估与风险降低全国团队合作研究(ChinaHEART),这是一项全国性的前瞻性队列研究。研究结果包括全因死亡率、心血管死亡率和癌症死亡率。研究结果共纳入3524459名参与者,中位随访时间为4.6年(IQR,3.1-5.8年)。TyG指数与全因死亡率和心血管死亡率的关系呈反向L形,全因死亡率的临界值为9.75,心血管死亡率的临界值为9.85。TyG指数每增加1个单位,当低于临界值时,TyG指数与全因死亡率的关系不大(HR = 1.02,95% CI:1.00-1.03),与心血管死亡率的关系也不大(HR = 1.09,95% CI:1.06-1.11)。相反,当超过临界值时,全因死亡率的 HRs(95% CI)为 2.10(1.94-2.29),心血管死亡率的 HRs(95% CI)为 1.99(1.72-2.30)。TyG指数与全因死亡率和心血管死亡率的关系呈反向L型,而TyG指数升高与癌症死亡率呈轻微负相关。我们认为,在中国普通人群中,9.75 是最佳的 TyG 指数临界值。经费来源:国家高级别医院临床研究基金(2023-GSP-ZD-2、2023-GSP-RC-01)、中国财政部和中国国家卫生健康委员会。
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引用次数: 0
Improving the management of type 2 diabetes in China using a multifaceted digital health intervention in primary health care: the SMARTDiabetes cluster randomised controlled trial 在中国初级卫生保健中采用多元数字健康干预措施改善 2 型糖尿病管理:SMARTDiabetes 群组随机对照试验
IF 7.6 1区 医学 Q1 HEALTH CARE SCIENCES & SERVICES Pub Date : 2024-07-03 DOI: 10.1016/j.lanwpc.2024.101130
Puhong Zhang , Xuanchen Tao , Yuxia Ma , Yaosen Zhang , Xinyan Ma , Hongyi Song , Yu Liu , Anushka Patel , Stephen Jan , David Peiris

Background

There is limited evidence, mainly from high-income countries, that digital health interventions improve type 2 diabetes (T2DM) care. Large-scale implementation studies are lacking.

Methods

A multifaceted digital health intervention comprising: (1) a self-management application (‘app’) for patients and lay ‘family health promotors’ (FHPs); and (2) clinical decision support for primary care doctors was evaluated in an open-label, parallel, cluster randomized controlled trial in 80 communities (serviced by a primary care facility for >1000 residents) in Hebei Province, China. People >40 years with T2DM and a glycated haemoglobin (HbA1c) ≥7% were recruited (∼25/community). After baseline assessment, community clusters were randomly assigned to intervention or control groups (1:1) via a web-based system, stratified by locality (rural/urban). Control arm clusters received usual care without access to the digital health application or family health promoters. The primary outcome was at the participant level defined as the proportion with ≥2 “ABC” risk factor targets achieved (HbA1c < 7.0%, blood pressure < 140/80 mmHg and LDL-cholesterol < 2.6 mmol/L) at 24 months.

Findings

A total of 2072 people were recruited from the 80 community clusters (40 urban and 40 rural), with 1872 (90.3%) assessed at 24 months. In the intervention arm, patients used FHPs for support more in rural than urban communities (252 (48.6%) rural vs 92 (21.5%) urban, p < 0.0001). The mean monthly proportion of active app users was 46.4% (SD 7.8%) with no significant difference between urban and rural usage rates. The intervention was associated with improved ABC control rates (339 [35.9%] intervention vs 276 [29.9%] usual care; RR 1.20, 95% CI 1.02–1.40; p = 0.025), with significant heterogeneity by geography (rural 220 [42.6%] vs 158 [31.0%]; urban 119 [27.9%] vs 118 [28.6%]; p = 0.022 for interaction). Risk factor reductions were mainly driven by improved glycaemic control (mean HbA1C difference −0.33%, 95% CI −0.48 to −0.17; p = 0.00025 and mean fasting plasma glucose difference −0.58 mmol, 95% CI −0.89 to −0.27; p = 0.00013). There were no changes in blood pressure and LDL-cholesterol levels.

Interpretation

A multifaceted digital health intervention improved T2DM risk factor control rates, particularly in rural communities where there may be stronger relationships between patients and doctors and greater family member support.

Funding

National Health and Medical Research Council Global Alliance for Chronic Diseases (ID 1094712).

背景目前主要来自高收入国家的有限证据表明,数字健康干预能够改善2型糖尿病(T2DM)护理。方法在中国河北省的 80 个社区(由一个拥有 1000 名居民的初级保健机构提供服务)开展了一项开放标签、平行、分组随机对照试验,评估了多方面的数字健康干预措施,其中包括:(1)面向患者和非专业 "家庭健康促进者"(FHPs)的自我管理应用程序("应用程序");(2)面向初级保健医生的临床决策支持。试验招募了 40 岁以上患有 T2DM 且糖化血红蛋白(HbA1c)≥7% 的患者(25 人/社区)。基线评估后,通过网络系统,按地区(农村/城市)分层,将社区群组随机分配到干预组或对照组(1:1)。对照组群接受常规护理,不使用数字健康应用或家庭健康促进者。主要结果是在参与者层面,定义为在24个月时达到≥2个 "ABC "风险因素目标(HbA1c < 7.0%、血压 < 140/80 mmHg和低密度脂蛋白胆固醇 < 2.6 mmol/L)的比例。结果从80个社区集群(40个城市集群和40个农村集群)共招募了2072人,其中1872人(90.3%)在24个月时接受了评估。在干预组中,农村社区患者使用家庭保健计划寻求支持的比例高于城市社区(农村 252 人(48.6%)对城市 92 人(21.5%),P < 0.0001)。每月活跃应用程序用户的平均比例为 46.4%(标准差为 7.8%),城市和农村的使用率无显著差异。干预与 ABC 控制率的提高有关(339 [35.9%] 干预 vs 276 [29.9%] 常规护理;RR 1.20,95% CI 1.02-1.40;p = 0.025),不同地域之间存在显著的异质性(农村 220 [42.6%] vs 158 [31.0%];城市 119 [27.9%] vs 118 [28.6%];交互作用 p = 0.022)。风险因素的减少主要是由于血糖控制的改善(平均 HbA1C 差异为 -0.33%,95% CI 为 -0.48 至 -0.17;p = 0.00025;平均空腹血浆葡萄糖差异为 -0.58 mmol,95% CI 为 -0.89 至 -0.27;p = 0.00013)。多方面的数字健康干预提高了T2DM风险因素的控制率,尤其是在农村社区,因为那里的患者与医生之间的关系更密切,家庭成员的支持也更多。
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The Lancet Regional Health: Western Pacific
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