Pub Date : 2026-01-09DOI: 10.1007/s43441-025-00906-8
Jessica Roydhouse, Monique Breslin, Anne Zola, Ethan Basch, Melanie Calvert, David Cella, Mary Lou Smith, Gita Thanarajasingam, John Devin Peipert
Introduction: There is widespread interest among patients, clinicians, regulators and other constituents in post-treatment patient-reported cancer data. Side effect bother is a patient-reported outcome (PRO) that can capture an important aspect of tolerability. In this study, we examined side effect bother at cancer treatment discontinuation and post-discontinuation in commercial cancer trials. We sought to understand completion rates, the extent of bother and its association with other PROs.
Materials and methods: Data were evaluated from three trials in patients with solid tumours (renal cell carcinoma and breast cancer). Side effect bother was measured with the Functional Assessment of Chronic Illness Therapy (FACIT) GP5 item. Symptom items were drawn from FACIT and function items were drawn from the EQ-5D-3L. FACIT items, including the GP5, are on a 0-4 scale (higher = worse symptoms/bother), and were dichotomised as 0-1 ("low") vs 2-4 ("moderate"). EQ-5D-3L items were characterised as no problems (1) and some problems (2-3). Descriptive and correlation analyses were conducted separately for each trial.
Results: Among patients who received treatment, completion rates at discontinuation for most items were at least 70%, and 52% to 78% at follow up. More than 20% of patients had high side effect bother at and after discontinuation, and similar percentages were seen for symptom items and functioning problems. GP5 and most items were at least somewhat correlated (≥ 0.2 in nearly all evaluations).
Discussion and conclusions: Persistent side effect bother and symptomatic and functional detriments at and after discontinuation suggest capturing this information post-treatment can inform understanding of tolerability, particularly with improved PRO completion.
{"title":"Patient-Perceived Overall Side Effect Bother at and After Cancer Treatment Discontinuation: An Analysis Using Commercial Cancer Trial Data.","authors":"Jessica Roydhouse, Monique Breslin, Anne Zola, Ethan Basch, Melanie Calvert, David Cella, Mary Lou Smith, Gita Thanarajasingam, John Devin Peipert","doi":"10.1007/s43441-025-00906-8","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s43441-025-00906-8","url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>Introduction: </strong>There is widespread interest among patients, clinicians, regulators and other constituents in post-treatment patient-reported cancer data. Side effect bother is a patient-reported outcome (PRO) that can capture an important aspect of tolerability. In this study, we examined side effect bother at cancer treatment discontinuation and post-discontinuation in commercial cancer trials. We sought to understand completion rates, the extent of bother and its association with other PROs.</p><p><strong>Materials and methods: </strong>Data were evaluated from three trials in patients with solid tumours (renal cell carcinoma and breast cancer). Side effect bother was measured with the Functional Assessment of Chronic Illness Therapy (FACIT) GP5 item. Symptom items were drawn from FACIT and function items were drawn from the EQ-5D-3L. FACIT items, including the GP5, are on a 0-4 scale (higher = worse symptoms/bother), and were dichotomised as 0-1 (\"low\") vs 2-4 (\"moderate\"). EQ-5D-3L items were characterised as no problems (1) and some problems (2-3). Descriptive and correlation analyses were conducted separately for each trial.</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>Among patients who received treatment, completion rates at discontinuation for most items were at least 70%, and 52% to 78% at follow up. More than 20% of patients had high side effect bother at and after discontinuation, and similar percentages were seen for symptom items and functioning problems. GP5 and most items were at least somewhat correlated (≥ 0.2 in nearly all evaluations).</p><p><strong>Discussion and conclusions: </strong>Persistent side effect bother and symptomatic and functional detriments at and after discontinuation suggest capturing this information post-treatment can inform understanding of tolerability, particularly with improved PRO completion.</p>","PeriodicalId":23084,"journal":{"name":"Therapeutic innovation & regulatory science","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":1.9,"publicationDate":"2026-01-09","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145946532","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2026-01-08DOI: 10.1007/s43441-025-00910-y
Anja Loos, Elian Khazneh, Jürgen Kübler
In drug development, safety assessments must integrate data from heterogeneous sources including clinical trials, non-clinical toxicology, mechanistic evidence, and real-world evidence. At any given timepoint-such as protocol development, dose escalation, interim reviews, or regulatory safety reports-data may be incomplete, or contextually ambiguous. Teams often struggle to summarize the totality of evidence for a given safety topic in a way that is both scientifically rigorous and operationally consistent. There is a lack of a structured, reusable framework that enables critical appraisal and consistent communication of causality reasoning. Consequently, evaluations of safety information are frequently fragmented, logic trails get lost, and key conclusions may become difficult to defend or reproduce, particularly with changes in cross-functional teams or loss of institutional memory. Our framework recognizes and addresses these real-life operational challenges. We propose a structured application of the Bradford Hill Criteria (BHC) [1] that offers a "plug-and-play" architecture for organizing evidence from multiple sources consistently. The application of this framework standardizes the interpretation and also allows for the modular integration of new evidence over time. In order to achieve this, we offer a contemporary interpretation of the individual criteria in the context of safety assessments to facilitate their consistent application. Furthermore, teams are guided on mapping of data types-e.g., preclinical findings, spontaneous case reports, PK/PD data, or RWE-into a reproducible causality narrative that can be iteratively updated across the product lifecycle. Ultimately, this approach facilitates transparent communication of safety evaluations to stakeholders and supports informed decision-making in drug development and post-marketing surveillance. Practically, this structured approach can be used during safety planning [4] at critical milestones, including Investigational New Drug (IND) applications. In early clinical development, uncertainties are inevitable, and evolving safety signals must be evaluated rigorously and transparently in a comprehensive and consistent manner.
{"title":"Enhancing Safety Evaluations: A Comprehensive Framework for Evidence-Based Safety Assessment Using the Bradford Hill Criteria.","authors":"Anja Loos, Elian Khazneh, Jürgen Kübler","doi":"10.1007/s43441-025-00910-y","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s43441-025-00910-y","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>In drug development, safety assessments must integrate data from heterogeneous sources including clinical trials, non-clinical toxicology, mechanistic evidence, and real-world evidence. At any given timepoint-such as protocol development, dose escalation, interim reviews, or regulatory safety reports-data may be incomplete, or contextually ambiguous. Teams often struggle to summarize the totality of evidence for a given safety topic in a way that is both scientifically rigorous and operationally consistent. There is a lack of a structured, reusable framework that enables critical appraisal and consistent communication of causality reasoning. Consequently, evaluations of safety information are frequently fragmented, logic trails get lost, and key conclusions may become difficult to defend or reproduce, particularly with changes in cross-functional teams or loss of institutional memory. Our framework recognizes and addresses these real-life operational challenges. We propose a structured application of the Bradford Hill Criteria (BHC) [1] that offers a \"plug-and-play\" architecture for organizing evidence from multiple sources consistently. The application of this framework standardizes the interpretation and also allows for the modular integration of new evidence over time. In order to achieve this, we offer a contemporary interpretation of the individual criteria in the context of safety assessments to facilitate their consistent application. Furthermore, teams are guided on mapping of data types-e.g., preclinical findings, spontaneous case reports, PK/PD data, or RWE-into a reproducible causality narrative that can be iteratively updated across the product lifecycle. Ultimately, this approach facilitates transparent communication of safety evaluations to stakeholders and supports informed decision-making in drug development and post-marketing surveillance. Practically, this structured approach can be used during safety planning [4] at critical milestones, including Investigational New Drug (IND) applications. In early clinical development, uncertainties are inevitable, and evolving safety signals must be evaluated rigorously and transparently in a comprehensive and consistent manner.</p>","PeriodicalId":23084,"journal":{"name":"Therapeutic innovation & regulatory science","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":1.9,"publicationDate":"2026-01-08","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145935248","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2026-01-07DOI: 10.1007/s43441-025-00901-z
Rajkumar Boddu, Arvind Rachapally, Mohammed Shareef Khan, Sohel Mohammed Khan, Frederico S Martins, Anuj Kumar Saini, Sivacharan Kollipara
{"title":"Correction: Exploring Additional Strength Biowaiver Perspectives in the ICH M13B Framework for Immediate Release Solid Oral Dosage Forms: Opportunities & Challenges.","authors":"Rajkumar Boddu, Arvind Rachapally, Mohammed Shareef Khan, Sohel Mohammed Khan, Frederico S Martins, Anuj Kumar Saini, Sivacharan Kollipara","doi":"10.1007/s43441-025-00901-z","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s43441-025-00901-z","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":23084,"journal":{"name":"Therapeutic innovation & regulatory science","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":1.9,"publicationDate":"2026-01-07","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145913028","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2026-01-01Epub Date: 2025-09-24DOI: 10.1007/s43441-025-00875-y
Lucas Antônio Dos Santos Barbosa, Bassel Almarie, Eduardo Luiz Gasnhar Moreira
Obesity remains a critical global health challenge, with rising prevalence and a substantial cardiometabolic and psychosocial burden. Recent therapeutic advances, particularly in incretin-based strategies, underscore the need for a comprehensive characterization of the evolving pharmacological landscape. We conducted a systematic review of clinical trials registered on ClinicalTrials.gov between October 2019 and October 2024, focusing on pharmacological interventions for obesity from early exploratory stages to Phase 3. A total of 275 eligible trials were identified and analyzed. Incretin pathway modulators predominated (69.8%), especially GLP-1 receptor agonists and dual or triple agonists targeting GLP-1, GIP, and glucagon receptors. Most trials were in Phase 2 (40.7%) or Phase 3 (31.3%), indicating a maturing pipeline, while early-stage innovation remained limited (3.3% of trials). Drug repurposing was common (22.2%), notably involving semaglutide and liraglutide, originally approved for type 2 diabetes. Industry-sponsored trials constituted the majority (75.3%), with limited academic (22.2%) and governmental (2.5%) participation. Geographically, trials were concentrated in the United States, China, and Denmark, with relatively few international multicenter studies. While the obesity drug pipeline is expanding rapidly, it remains heavily centered on incretin-based therapies. This dominance, despite strong clinical efficacy, raises concerns regarding long-term safety, accessibility, and mechanistic diversity. Greater investment in early-phase innovation and alternative pharmacological targets will be essential to diversify treatment options and address the unmet need for equitable and sustainable obesity management.
{"title":"Incretin Dominance and Emerging Mechanisms in Obesity Pharmacotherapy: Insights from 275 Registered Clinical Trials (2019-2024).","authors":"Lucas Antônio Dos Santos Barbosa, Bassel Almarie, Eduardo Luiz Gasnhar Moreira","doi":"10.1007/s43441-025-00875-y","DOIUrl":"10.1007/s43441-025-00875-y","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>Obesity remains a critical global health challenge, with rising prevalence and a substantial cardiometabolic and psychosocial burden. Recent therapeutic advances, particularly in incretin-based strategies, underscore the need for a comprehensive characterization of the evolving pharmacological landscape. We conducted a systematic review of clinical trials registered on ClinicalTrials.gov between October 2019 and October 2024, focusing on pharmacological interventions for obesity from early exploratory stages to Phase 3. A total of 275 eligible trials were identified and analyzed. Incretin pathway modulators predominated (69.8%), especially GLP-1 receptor agonists and dual or triple agonists targeting GLP-1, GIP, and glucagon receptors. Most trials were in Phase 2 (40.7%) or Phase 3 (31.3%), indicating a maturing pipeline, while early-stage innovation remained limited (3.3% of trials). Drug repurposing was common (22.2%), notably involving semaglutide and liraglutide, originally approved for type 2 diabetes. Industry-sponsored trials constituted the majority (75.3%), with limited academic (22.2%) and governmental (2.5%) participation. Geographically, trials were concentrated in the United States, China, and Denmark, with relatively few international multicenter studies. While the obesity drug pipeline is expanding rapidly, it remains heavily centered on incretin-based therapies. This dominance, despite strong clinical efficacy, raises concerns regarding long-term safety, accessibility, and mechanistic diversity. Greater investment in early-phase innovation and alternative pharmacological targets will be essential to diversify treatment options and address the unmet need for equitable and sustainable obesity management.</p>","PeriodicalId":23084,"journal":{"name":"Therapeutic innovation & regulatory science","volume":" ","pages":"223-247"},"PeriodicalIF":1.9,"publicationDate":"2026-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145138772","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2026-01-01Epub Date: 2025-10-04DOI: 10.1007/s43441-025-00874-z
Roberto Crackel, Yuanyuan Ji, Yoonhee Kim, James Travis, Wenda Tu, Yun Wang, Sunghee Kim, Pablo Bonangelino
Clinical trials for children with type II diabetes mellitus (T2DM) pose challenges often due to recruitment issues. The variability in the treatment effect for pediatrics with T2DM tends to be much larger than that for adults, therefore, a larger pediatric study is needed to independently detect a similar treatment effect. If leveraging adult information to a pediatric population can be appropriately justified, and scientific rational has been given for the relevancy of the adult information, then Bayesian borrowing methods can aid in reducing the number of patients needed for a pediatric study and therefore increase feasibility and efficiency. We introduce Bayesian borrowing methods to obtain scientifically sound and conclusive results with adequate study power in anti-diabetic products development for children with T2DM. To apply Bayesian borrowing methods, it is important to (1) identify the external data that can be leveraged, (2) pre-specify model parameters, (3) assess operating characteristics, and (4) pre-specify weights and the maximum amount of borrowing needed to achieve a study win. To protect against prior-data conflicts that may exist due to differences in T2DM between adults and pediatrics, we select a mixture prior to take an advantage that they adjust the degree of information borrowed based on the similarity between adults and pediatrics. We applied these methods to an anti-diabetic product. In conclusion, the outcomes of our step-by-step demonstration of the application of Bayesian borrowing methods provides a guide on how to pre-specify parameters and considerations that should be made when planning to implement said methods.
{"title":"Application of Bayesian Borrowing Methods in Clinical Trials for Children with Type II Diabetes Mellitus.","authors":"Roberto Crackel, Yuanyuan Ji, Yoonhee Kim, James Travis, Wenda Tu, Yun Wang, Sunghee Kim, Pablo Bonangelino","doi":"10.1007/s43441-025-00874-z","DOIUrl":"10.1007/s43441-025-00874-z","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>Clinical trials for children with type II diabetes mellitus (T2DM) pose challenges often due to recruitment issues. The variability in the treatment effect for pediatrics with T2DM tends to be much larger than that for adults, therefore, a larger pediatric study is needed to independently detect a similar treatment effect. If leveraging adult information to a pediatric population can be appropriately justified, and scientific rational has been given for the relevancy of the adult information, then Bayesian borrowing methods can aid in reducing the number of patients needed for a pediatric study and therefore increase feasibility and efficiency. We introduce Bayesian borrowing methods to obtain scientifically sound and conclusive results with adequate study power in anti-diabetic products development for children with T2DM. To apply Bayesian borrowing methods, it is important to (1) identify the external data that can be leveraged, (2) pre-specify model parameters, (3) assess operating characteristics, and (4) pre-specify weights and the maximum amount of borrowing needed to achieve a study win. To protect against prior-data conflicts that may exist due to differences in T2DM between adults and pediatrics, we select a mixture prior to take an advantage that they adjust the degree of information borrowed based on the similarity between adults and pediatrics. We applied these methods to an anti-diabetic product. In conclusion, the outcomes of our step-by-step demonstration of the application of Bayesian borrowing methods provides a guide on how to pre-specify parameters and considerations that should be made when planning to implement said methods.</p>","PeriodicalId":23084,"journal":{"name":"Therapeutic innovation & regulatory science","volume":" ","pages":"210-222"},"PeriodicalIF":1.9,"publicationDate":"2026-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145228661","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2026-01-01Epub Date: 2025-10-23DOI: 10.1007/s43441-025-00890-z
Luísa Bouwman, Micael Castanheira, Georges Siotis
Purpose: The orphan legislation came into force in the European Union (EU) in 2000, providing incentives for the development of orphan medicines. To be eligible for incentives, the applicant needs to apply for an orphan designation (OD). However, at any time, the marketing authorisation holder (MAH) can request the removal of the OD. The possible motives underpinning premature removal of OD have been the subject of speculation. Our aim is to study every early OD removal for the orphan medicinal products (OMPs) approved in the EU between 2000 and 2024 and determine the main reasons behind this phenomenon.
Methods: We identified all the orphan medicines approved between 2000 and 2024. We considered approval date by the European Commission (EC), orphan designation (OD) status, company name, active substance name, trade name, ATC code and Therapeutic Area, and the date of the removal of the OD. Information on the OD withdrawal was cross-checked with the documents on the EMA website, and the legal status of the patent and supplementary protection certificates (SPC) was checked at the European Patent Register.
Results: During the period 2000-2024, 285 OMPs were approved by the EC. Overall, 41 (11.8%) orphan designations were prematurely removed, corresponding to 23 different OMPs.
Conclusions: Three main motives for the early removal of the OD were identified: lack of clinical evidence supporting the significant benefit for the new indication proposed, the companies' preference towards SPC extensions for the paediatric indication (instead of the two additional years of marketing exclusivity), or the new therapeutic indication added is not rare. There is no evidence of commercial "pay to enter" agreements between pharmaceutical companies.
{"title":"Strategic Drivers Behind Early Withdrawal of Orphan Designations in the EU: A Retrospective Analysis (2000-2024).","authors":"Luísa Bouwman, Micael Castanheira, Georges Siotis","doi":"10.1007/s43441-025-00890-z","DOIUrl":"10.1007/s43441-025-00890-z","url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>Purpose: </strong>The orphan legislation came into force in the European Union (EU) in 2000, providing incentives for the development of orphan medicines. To be eligible for incentives, the applicant needs to apply for an orphan designation (OD). However, at any time, the marketing authorisation holder (MAH) can request the removal of the OD. The possible motives underpinning premature removal of OD have been the subject of speculation. Our aim is to study every early OD removal for the orphan medicinal products (OMPs) approved in the EU between 2000 and 2024 and determine the main reasons behind this phenomenon.</p><p><strong>Methods: </strong>We identified all the orphan medicines approved between 2000 and 2024. We considered approval date by the European Commission (EC), orphan designation (OD) status, company name, active substance name, trade name, ATC code and Therapeutic Area, and the date of the removal of the OD. Information on the OD withdrawal was cross-checked with the documents on the EMA website, and the legal status of the patent and supplementary protection certificates (SPC) was checked at the European Patent Register.</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>During the period 2000-2024, 285 OMPs were approved by the EC. Overall, 41 (11.8%) orphan designations were prematurely removed, corresponding to 23 different OMPs.</p><p><strong>Conclusions: </strong>Three main motives for the early removal of the OD were identified: lack of clinical evidence supporting the significant benefit for the new indication proposed, the companies' preference towards SPC extensions for the paediatric indication (instead of the two additional years of marketing exclusivity), or the new therapeutic indication added is not rare. There is no evidence of commercial \"pay to enter\" agreements between pharmaceutical companies.</p>","PeriodicalId":23084,"journal":{"name":"Therapeutic innovation & regulatory science","volume":" ","pages":"309-321"},"PeriodicalIF":1.9,"publicationDate":"2026-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC12753528/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145347496","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2026-01-01Epub Date: 2025-10-10DOI: 10.1007/s43441-025-00870-3
Yoseok Park, Kyenghee Kwon
Background: Data integrity (DI) has become a cornerstone of regulatory oversight in pharmaceutical manufacturing. The COVID-19 pandemic coincided with increased digitalization and wider use of remote inspection approaches, drawing renewed attention to data governance. In response, global regulatory agencies emphasized structured DI compliance through harmonized guidelines. However, empirical studies quantifying longitudinal enforcement patterns remain limited.
Methods: This study conducted a full-enumeration analysis of 1766 FDA Warning Letters issued between 2016 and 2023. DI-related violations were reclassified into nine categories based on the ALCOA and ALCOA + frameworks using a predefined rubric derived from EMA, PIC/S, and WHO guidance. Violations were segmented into pre-pandemic (2016-2019) and post-pandemic (2020-2023) periods. Descriptive statistics and exploratory t-tests and chi-square analyses were used to identify directional trends.
Results: Although statistical tests did not yield significant differences between the two periods, violations related to "Endurance," "Availability," and "completeness" showed year-over-year increases after 2020. The average number of DI violations per company increased in 2023. Because fewer firms were cited that year, this pattern may reflect more targeted inspections or an atypical case mix. However, causality cannot be inferred.
Conclusion: The observed patterns are consistent with a regulatory emphasis on risk-based DI oversight, particularly under remote or hybrid inspection models. For manufacturers-especially in PIC/S member countries where hybrid documentation persists-these findings underscore the practical importance of strengthening electronic quality systems. By offering a standardized ALCOA/ALCOA + -based rubric aligned with international guidance, this study provides a replicable framework for future DI inspection analysis and policy discussion.
{"title":"Trends in FDA Data Integrity Enforcement Before and After the COVID-19 Pandemic: An Analysis of 1766 Warning Letters (2016-2023).","authors":"Yoseok Park, Kyenghee Kwon","doi":"10.1007/s43441-025-00870-3","DOIUrl":"10.1007/s43441-025-00870-3","url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>Background: </strong>Data integrity (DI) has become a cornerstone of regulatory oversight in pharmaceutical manufacturing. The COVID-19 pandemic coincided with increased digitalization and wider use of remote inspection approaches, drawing renewed attention to data governance. In response, global regulatory agencies emphasized structured DI compliance through harmonized guidelines. However, empirical studies quantifying longitudinal enforcement patterns remain limited.</p><p><strong>Methods: </strong>This study conducted a full-enumeration analysis of 1766 FDA Warning Letters issued between 2016 and 2023. DI-related violations were reclassified into nine categories based on the ALCOA and ALCOA + frameworks using a predefined rubric derived from EMA, PIC/S, and WHO guidance. Violations were segmented into pre-pandemic (2016-2019) and post-pandemic (2020-2023) periods. Descriptive statistics and exploratory t-tests and chi-square analyses were used to identify directional trends.</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>Although statistical tests did not yield significant differences between the two periods, violations related to \"Endurance,\" \"Availability,\" and \"completeness\" showed year-over-year increases after 2020. The average number of DI violations per company increased in 2023. Because fewer firms were cited that year, this pattern may reflect more targeted inspections or an atypical case mix. However, causality cannot be inferred.</p><p><strong>Conclusion: </strong>The observed patterns are consistent with a regulatory emphasis on risk-based DI oversight, particularly under remote or hybrid inspection models. For manufacturers-especially in PIC/S member countries where hybrid documentation persists-these findings underscore the practical importance of strengthening electronic quality systems. By offering a standardized ALCOA/ALCOA + -based rubric aligned with international guidance, this study provides a replicable framework for future DI inspection analysis and policy discussion.</p>","PeriodicalId":23084,"journal":{"name":"Therapeutic innovation & regulatory science","volume":" ","pages":"190-198"},"PeriodicalIF":1.9,"publicationDate":"2026-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145275953","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2026-01-01Epub Date: 2025-10-26DOI: 10.1007/s43441-025-00889-6
Grace Collins, Jeff D Allen, Hillary S Andrews, Bernat Navarro-Serer, Mark D Stewart
Background: The Biomarker Qualification Program (BQP), formally established in 2016 under the 21st Century Cures Act, is a key pathway for developing novel biomarkers for regulatory use. We evaluated eight years of BQP experience to assess whether it has facilitated the qualification of novel biomarkers.
Methods: We collected characteristics and submission dates for accepted biomarker qualification projects from the FDA's Drug Development Tool Qualification Project Search database.
Results: As of July 1, 2025, 61 projects were accepted into the BQP. Safety (30%), Diagnostic (21%), and PD Response (20%) biomarkers were the most common. Projects primarily used molecular (46%) and radiologic/imaging (39%) methods and were split between measures of a disease/condition or drug response/effect of exposure. Few projects included surrogate endpoint biomarkers (n = 5). Half of the accepted projects remained at the initial Letter of Intent (LOI) stage, and only eight biomarkers were qualified through the program. LOI and Qualification Plan (QP) reviews frequently exceeded FDA targets by three months and seven months, respectively. For projects reaching the QP stage, QP development took a median of 32 months, with surrogate endpoints taking 47 months.
Conclusion: The BQP supports the development of certain biomarkers but has seen limited use for biomarkers intended as surrogate endpoints. Coupled with longer timelines for their QP development, these trends demonstrate the program may not be well-suited for advancing novel response biomarkers. Given significant stakeholder interest in novel surrogate measures, a dedicated program may better support novel response biomarker development, particularly for biomarkers with applicability across multiple drug development programs.
{"title":"Hurry Up and Wait: Timelines and Takeaways from the Biomarker Qualification Program.","authors":"Grace Collins, Jeff D Allen, Hillary S Andrews, Bernat Navarro-Serer, Mark D Stewart","doi":"10.1007/s43441-025-00889-6","DOIUrl":"10.1007/s43441-025-00889-6","url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>Background: </strong>The Biomarker Qualification Program (BQP), formally established in 2016 under the 21st Century Cures Act, is a key pathway for developing novel biomarkers for regulatory use. We evaluated eight years of BQP experience to assess whether it has facilitated the qualification of novel biomarkers.</p><p><strong>Methods: </strong>We collected characteristics and submission dates for accepted biomarker qualification projects from the FDA's Drug Development Tool Qualification Project Search database.</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>As of July 1, 2025, 61 projects were accepted into the BQP. Safety (30%), Diagnostic (21%), and PD Response (20%) biomarkers were the most common. Projects primarily used molecular (46%) and radiologic/imaging (39%) methods and were split between measures of a disease/condition or drug response/effect of exposure. Few projects included surrogate endpoint biomarkers (n = 5). Half of the accepted projects remained at the initial Letter of Intent (LOI) stage, and only eight biomarkers were qualified through the program. LOI and Qualification Plan (QP) reviews frequently exceeded FDA targets by three months and seven months, respectively. For projects reaching the QP stage, QP development took a median of 32 months, with surrogate endpoints taking 47 months.</p><p><strong>Conclusion: </strong>The BQP supports the development of certain biomarkers but has seen limited use for biomarkers intended as surrogate endpoints. Coupled with longer timelines for their QP development, these trends demonstrate the program may not be well-suited for advancing novel response biomarkers. Given significant stakeholder interest in novel surrogate measures, a dedicated program may better support novel response biomarker development, particularly for biomarkers with applicability across multiple drug development programs.</p>","PeriodicalId":23084,"journal":{"name":"Therapeutic innovation & regulatory science","volume":" ","pages":"302-308"},"PeriodicalIF":1.9,"publicationDate":"2026-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC12753548/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145373148","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2026-01-01Epub Date: 2025-10-30DOI: 10.1007/s43441-025-00878-9
Soon Kyu Jung, Sang-Won Lee
Introduction: Generic drug entry into the pharmaceutical market typically leads to a substantial decline in originator sales. Understanding the extent and trajectory of this erosion is essential for effective lifecycle management and strategic planning. This study quantified sales erosion after generic entry for originator drugs approved in the United States between 2010 and 2019 and developed a model to predict year-specific sales retention based on key product- and market-level characteristics.
Methods: A total of 140 originator drugs were analyzed using FDA approval records and sales data from Evaluate Pharma. Five-year retention patterns were modeled using a three-parameter exponential decay function. Subgroup analyses were conducted by year of generic entry, therapeutic class, and product-specific features. A polynomial regression model using 700 product-year observations incorporated three binary market indicators and linear and quadratic time terms.
Results: Sales retention declined from 73.1% in the first year after generic entry to 31.7% by year five. The exponential decay model demonstrated a strong goodness-of-fit (root mean squared error [RMSE] = 0.006), capturing the initial steep decline and subsequent stabilization. Subgroup analyses showed faster erosion for blockbuster drugs and in markets with multiple first-generation generics. The regression model explained 96.4% of annual variation in retention (RMSE = 0.033), accounting for product and market heterogeneity.
Conclusion: Sales decline after generic entry follows a predictable yet heterogeneous trajectory shaped by product and market factors. Exponential decay and polynomial regression models together offer a robust framework for forecasting sales retention and guiding strategic decisions in the pharmaceutical industry.
{"title":"Sales Erosion of Originator Drugs Following Generic Entry: Quantitative Analysis and Predictive Modeling.","authors":"Soon Kyu Jung, Sang-Won Lee","doi":"10.1007/s43441-025-00878-9","DOIUrl":"10.1007/s43441-025-00878-9","url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>Introduction: </strong>Generic drug entry into the pharmaceutical market typically leads to a substantial decline in originator sales. Understanding the extent and trajectory of this erosion is essential for effective lifecycle management and strategic planning. This study quantified sales erosion after generic entry for originator drugs approved in the United States between 2010 and 2019 and developed a model to predict year-specific sales retention based on key product- and market-level characteristics.</p><p><strong>Methods: </strong>A total of 140 originator drugs were analyzed using FDA approval records and sales data from Evaluate Pharma. Five-year retention patterns were modeled using a three-parameter exponential decay function. Subgroup analyses were conducted by year of generic entry, therapeutic class, and product-specific features. A polynomial regression model using 700 product-year observations incorporated three binary market indicators and linear and quadratic time terms.</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>Sales retention declined from 73.1% in the first year after generic entry to 31.7% by year five. The exponential decay model demonstrated a strong goodness-of-fit (root mean squared error [RMSE] = 0.006), capturing the initial steep decline and subsequent stabilization. Subgroup analyses showed faster erosion for blockbuster drugs and in markets with multiple first-generation generics. The regression model explained 96.4% of annual variation in retention (RMSE = 0.033), accounting for product and market heterogeneity.</p><p><strong>Conclusion: </strong>Sales decline after generic entry follows a predictable yet heterogeneous trajectory shaped by product and market factors. Exponential decay and polynomial regression models together offer a robust framework for forecasting sales retention and guiding strategic decisions in the pharmaceutical industry.</p>","PeriodicalId":23084,"journal":{"name":"Therapeutic innovation & regulatory science","volume":" ","pages":"248-259"},"PeriodicalIF":1.9,"publicationDate":"2026-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145410193","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}