首页 > 最新文献

Therapeutic innovation & regulatory science最新文献

英文 中文
Patient-Perceived Overall Side Effect Bother at and After Cancer Treatment Discontinuation: An Analysis Using Commercial Cancer Trial Data. 癌症治疗停止前后患者感知的总体副作用:使用商业癌症试验数据的分析。
IF 1.9 4区 医学 Q4 MEDICAL INFORMATICS Pub Date : 2026-01-09 DOI: 10.1007/s43441-025-00906-8
Jessica Roydhouse, Monique Breslin, Anne Zola, Ethan Basch, Melanie Calvert, David Cella, Mary Lou Smith, Gita Thanarajasingam, John Devin Peipert

Introduction: There is widespread interest among patients, clinicians, regulators and other constituents in post-treatment patient-reported cancer data. Side effect bother is a patient-reported outcome (PRO) that can capture an important aspect of tolerability. In this study, we examined side effect bother at cancer treatment discontinuation and post-discontinuation in commercial cancer trials. We sought to understand completion rates, the extent of bother and its association with other PROs.

Materials and methods: Data were evaluated from three trials in patients with solid tumours (renal cell carcinoma and breast cancer). Side effect bother was measured with the Functional Assessment of Chronic Illness Therapy (FACIT) GP5 item. Symptom items were drawn from FACIT and function items were drawn from the EQ-5D-3L. FACIT items, including the GP5, are on a 0-4 scale (higher = worse symptoms/bother), and were dichotomised as 0-1 ("low") vs 2-4 ("moderate"). EQ-5D-3L items were characterised as no problems (1) and some problems (2-3). Descriptive and correlation analyses were conducted separately for each trial.

Results: Among patients who received treatment, completion rates at discontinuation for most items were at least 70%, and 52% to 78% at follow up. More than 20% of patients had high side effect bother at and after discontinuation, and similar percentages were seen for symptom items and functioning problems. GP5 and most items were at least somewhat correlated (≥ 0.2 in nearly all evaluations).

Discussion and conclusions: Persistent side effect bother and symptomatic and functional detriments at and after discontinuation suggest capturing this information post-treatment can inform understanding of tolerability, particularly with improved PRO completion.

患者、临床医生、监管机构和其他成分对治疗后患者报告的癌症数据有着广泛的兴趣。副作用是患者报告的结果(PRO),可以捕捉耐受性的一个重要方面。在这项研究中,我们检查了商业癌症试验中癌症治疗停止和停药后的副作用。我们试图了解完成率、麻烦程度及其与其他PROs的关系。材料和方法:对三个实体肿瘤患者(肾细胞癌和乳腺癌)试验的数据进行评估。用慢性疾病治疗功能评估(FACIT) GP5项目测量副作用。症状项取自FACIT,功能项取自EQ-5D-3L。包括GP5在内的FACIT项目的评分范围为0-4(更高=更严重的症状/烦恼),并分为0-1(“低”)和2-4(“中等”)。EQ-5D-3L项目分为无问题(1)和有问题(2-3)。对每个试验分别进行描述性和相关性分析。结果:在接受治疗的患者中,大多数项目的停药完成率至少为70%,随访时为52%至78%。超过20%的患者在停药时和停药后都有高副作用,症状项目和功能问题也有类似的百分比。GP5与大多数项目至少在一定程度上相关(几乎所有评估≥0.2)。讨论和结论:持续的副作用以及停药时和停药后的症状和功能损害表明,在治疗后获取这些信息可以帮助了解耐受性,特别是在PRO完成度提高的情况下。
{"title":"Patient-Perceived Overall Side Effect Bother at and After Cancer Treatment Discontinuation: An Analysis Using Commercial Cancer Trial Data.","authors":"Jessica Roydhouse, Monique Breslin, Anne Zola, Ethan Basch, Melanie Calvert, David Cella, Mary Lou Smith, Gita Thanarajasingam, John Devin Peipert","doi":"10.1007/s43441-025-00906-8","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s43441-025-00906-8","url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>Introduction: </strong>There is widespread interest among patients, clinicians, regulators and other constituents in post-treatment patient-reported cancer data. Side effect bother is a patient-reported outcome (PRO) that can capture an important aspect of tolerability. In this study, we examined side effect bother at cancer treatment discontinuation and post-discontinuation in commercial cancer trials. We sought to understand completion rates, the extent of bother and its association with other PROs.</p><p><strong>Materials and methods: </strong>Data were evaluated from three trials in patients with solid tumours (renal cell carcinoma and breast cancer). Side effect bother was measured with the Functional Assessment of Chronic Illness Therapy (FACIT) GP5 item. Symptom items were drawn from FACIT and function items were drawn from the EQ-5D-3L. FACIT items, including the GP5, are on a 0-4 scale (higher = worse symptoms/bother), and were dichotomised as 0-1 (\"low\") vs 2-4 (\"moderate\"). EQ-5D-3L items were characterised as no problems (1) and some problems (2-3). Descriptive and correlation analyses were conducted separately for each trial.</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>Among patients who received treatment, completion rates at discontinuation for most items were at least 70%, and 52% to 78% at follow up. More than 20% of patients had high side effect bother at and after discontinuation, and similar percentages were seen for symptom items and functioning problems. GP5 and most items were at least somewhat correlated (≥ 0.2 in nearly all evaluations).</p><p><strong>Discussion and conclusions: </strong>Persistent side effect bother and symptomatic and functional detriments at and after discontinuation suggest capturing this information post-treatment can inform understanding of tolerability, particularly with improved PRO completion.</p>","PeriodicalId":23084,"journal":{"name":"Therapeutic innovation & regulatory science","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":1.9,"publicationDate":"2026-01-09","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145946532","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Enhancing Safety Evaluations: A Comprehensive Framework for Evidence-Based Safety Assessment Using the Bradford Hill Criteria. 加强安全评价:基于Bradford Hill标准的基于证据的安全评价的综合框架。
IF 1.9 4区 医学 Q4 MEDICAL INFORMATICS Pub Date : 2026-01-08 DOI: 10.1007/s43441-025-00910-y
Anja Loos, Elian Khazneh, Jürgen Kübler

In drug development, safety assessments must integrate data from heterogeneous sources including clinical trials, non-clinical toxicology, mechanistic evidence, and real-world evidence. At any given timepoint-such as protocol development, dose escalation, interim reviews, or regulatory safety reports-data may be incomplete, or contextually ambiguous. Teams often struggle to summarize the totality of evidence for a given safety topic in a way that is both scientifically rigorous and operationally consistent. There is a lack of a structured, reusable framework that enables critical appraisal and consistent communication of causality reasoning. Consequently, evaluations of safety information are frequently fragmented, logic trails get lost, and key conclusions may become difficult to defend or reproduce, particularly with changes in cross-functional teams or loss of institutional memory. Our framework recognizes and addresses these real-life operational challenges. We propose a structured application of the Bradford Hill Criteria (BHC) [1] that offers a "plug-and-play" architecture for organizing evidence from multiple sources consistently. The application of this framework standardizes the interpretation and also allows for the modular integration of new evidence over time. In order to achieve this, we offer a contemporary interpretation of the individual criteria in the context of safety assessments to facilitate their consistent application. Furthermore, teams are guided on mapping of data types-e.g., preclinical findings, spontaneous case reports, PK/PD data, or RWE-into a reproducible causality narrative that can be iteratively updated across the product lifecycle. Ultimately, this approach facilitates transparent communication of safety evaluations to stakeholders and supports informed decision-making in drug development and post-marketing surveillance. Practically, this structured approach can be used during safety planning [4] at critical milestones, including Investigational New Drug (IND) applications. In early clinical development, uncertainties are inevitable, and evolving safety signals must be evaluated rigorously and transparently in a comprehensive and consistent manner.

在药物开发中,安全性评估必须整合来自不同来源的数据,包括临床试验、非临床毒理学、机制证据和真实世界证据。在任何给定的时间点,如方案制定、剂量递增、中期审查或监管安全报告,数据可能不完整,或背景不明确。团队经常努力以一种既科学严谨又操作一致的方式总结给定安全主题的全部证据。缺乏结构化的、可重用的框架,无法对因果推理进行批判性评估和一致的沟通。因此,安全信息的评估经常是碎片化的,逻辑轨迹丢失,关键结论可能难以捍卫或复制,特别是在跨职能团队的变化或机构记忆的丧失时。我们的框架识别并解决了这些现实操作中的挑战。我们提出了Bradford Hill标准(BHC)[1]的结构化应用,它提供了一个“即插即用”的架构,可以一致地组织来自多个来源的证据。该框架的应用使解释标准化,并允许随着时间的推移对新证据进行模块化整合。为了实现这一目标,我们在安全评估的背景下提供了对个人标准的当代解释,以促进其一致的应用。此外,还指导团队进行数据类型的映射。、临床前发现、自发病例报告、PK/PD数据或rwe -转化为可重复的因果关系叙述,可以在整个产品生命周期中迭代更新。最终,这种方法促进了安全评估与利益相关者的透明沟通,并支持药物开发和上市后监督中的知情决策。实际上,这种结构化的方法可以用于关键里程碑的安全规划,包括研究新药(IND)申请。在早期临床开发中,不确定性是不可避免的,不断变化的安全性信号必须以全面和一致的方式进行严格和透明的评估。
{"title":"Enhancing Safety Evaluations: A Comprehensive Framework for Evidence-Based Safety Assessment Using the Bradford Hill Criteria.","authors":"Anja Loos, Elian Khazneh, Jürgen Kübler","doi":"10.1007/s43441-025-00910-y","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s43441-025-00910-y","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>In drug development, safety assessments must integrate data from heterogeneous sources including clinical trials, non-clinical toxicology, mechanistic evidence, and real-world evidence. At any given timepoint-such as protocol development, dose escalation, interim reviews, or regulatory safety reports-data may be incomplete, or contextually ambiguous. Teams often struggle to summarize the totality of evidence for a given safety topic in a way that is both scientifically rigorous and operationally consistent. There is a lack of a structured, reusable framework that enables critical appraisal and consistent communication of causality reasoning. Consequently, evaluations of safety information are frequently fragmented, logic trails get lost, and key conclusions may become difficult to defend or reproduce, particularly with changes in cross-functional teams or loss of institutional memory. Our framework recognizes and addresses these real-life operational challenges. We propose a structured application of the Bradford Hill Criteria (BHC) [1] that offers a \"plug-and-play\" architecture for organizing evidence from multiple sources consistently. The application of this framework standardizes the interpretation and also allows for the modular integration of new evidence over time. In order to achieve this, we offer a contemporary interpretation of the individual criteria in the context of safety assessments to facilitate their consistent application. Furthermore, teams are guided on mapping of data types-e.g., preclinical findings, spontaneous case reports, PK/PD data, or RWE-into a reproducible causality narrative that can be iteratively updated across the product lifecycle. Ultimately, this approach facilitates transparent communication of safety evaluations to stakeholders and supports informed decision-making in drug development and post-marketing surveillance. Practically, this structured approach can be used during safety planning [4] at critical milestones, including Investigational New Drug (IND) applications. In early clinical development, uncertainties are inevitable, and evolving safety signals must be evaluated rigorously and transparently in a comprehensive and consistent manner.</p>","PeriodicalId":23084,"journal":{"name":"Therapeutic innovation & regulatory science","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":1.9,"publicationDate":"2026-01-08","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145935248","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Correction: Exploring Additional Strength Biowaiver Perspectives in the ICH M13B Framework for Immediate Release Solid Oral Dosage Forms: Opportunities & Challenges. 更正:探索ICH M13B框架中立即释放固体口服剂型的额外强度生物豁免观点:机遇与挑战。
IF 1.9 4区 医学 Q4 MEDICAL INFORMATICS Pub Date : 2026-01-07 DOI: 10.1007/s43441-025-00901-z
Rajkumar Boddu, Arvind Rachapally, Mohammed Shareef Khan, Sohel Mohammed Khan, Frederico S Martins, Anuj Kumar Saini, Sivacharan Kollipara
{"title":"Correction: Exploring Additional Strength Biowaiver Perspectives in the ICH M13B Framework for Immediate Release Solid Oral Dosage Forms: Opportunities & Challenges.","authors":"Rajkumar Boddu, Arvind Rachapally, Mohammed Shareef Khan, Sohel Mohammed Khan, Frederico S Martins, Anuj Kumar Saini, Sivacharan Kollipara","doi":"10.1007/s43441-025-00901-z","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s43441-025-00901-z","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":23084,"journal":{"name":"Therapeutic innovation & regulatory science","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":1.9,"publicationDate":"2026-01-07","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145913028","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Beyond the Data: Addressing Ethical Concerns in Clinical Trials. 超越数据:解决临床试验中的伦理问题。
IF 1.9 4区 医学 Q4 MEDICAL INFORMATICS Pub Date : 2026-01-05 DOI: 10.1007/s43441-025-00912-w
Laith Thamer Al-Ameri, Mohammed Shihab Al-Edanni, Zaki Noah Hasan
{"title":"Beyond the Data: Addressing Ethical Concerns in Clinical Trials.","authors":"Laith Thamer Al-Ameri, Mohammed Shihab Al-Edanni, Zaki Noah Hasan","doi":"10.1007/s43441-025-00912-w","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s43441-025-00912-w","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":23084,"journal":{"name":"Therapeutic innovation & regulatory science","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":1.9,"publicationDate":"2026-01-05","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145906746","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Incretin Dominance and Emerging Mechanisms in Obesity Pharmacotherapy: Insights from 275 Registered Clinical Trials (2019-2024). 肠促胰岛素优势和肥胖药物治疗的新机制:来自275项注册临床试验的见解(2019-2024)。
IF 1.9 4区 医学 Q4 MEDICAL INFORMATICS Pub Date : 2026-01-01 Epub Date: 2025-09-24 DOI: 10.1007/s43441-025-00875-y
Lucas Antônio Dos Santos Barbosa, Bassel Almarie, Eduardo Luiz Gasnhar Moreira

Obesity remains a critical global health challenge, with rising prevalence and a substantial cardiometabolic and psychosocial burden. Recent therapeutic advances, particularly in incretin-based strategies, underscore the need for a comprehensive characterization of the evolving pharmacological landscape. We conducted a systematic review of clinical trials registered on ClinicalTrials.gov between October 2019 and October 2024, focusing on pharmacological interventions for obesity from early exploratory stages to Phase 3. A total of 275 eligible trials were identified and analyzed. Incretin pathway modulators predominated (69.8%), especially GLP-1 receptor agonists and dual or triple agonists targeting GLP-1, GIP, and glucagon receptors. Most trials were in Phase 2 (40.7%) or Phase 3 (31.3%), indicating a maturing pipeline, while early-stage innovation remained limited (3.3% of trials). Drug repurposing was common (22.2%), notably involving semaglutide and liraglutide, originally approved for type 2 diabetes. Industry-sponsored trials constituted the majority (75.3%), with limited academic (22.2%) and governmental (2.5%) participation. Geographically, trials were concentrated in the United States, China, and Denmark, with relatively few international multicenter studies. While the obesity drug pipeline is expanding rapidly, it remains heavily centered on incretin-based therapies. This dominance, despite strong clinical efficacy, raises concerns regarding long-term safety, accessibility, and mechanistic diversity. Greater investment in early-phase innovation and alternative pharmacological targets will be essential to diversify treatment options and address the unmet need for equitable and sustainable obesity management.

肥胖仍然是一个严重的全球健康挑战,其患病率不断上升,并造成严重的心脏代谢和社会心理负担。最近的治疗进展,特别是以肠促胰岛素为基础的策略,强调了对不断变化的药理学景观进行全面表征的必要性。我们对2019年10月至2024年10月在ClinicalTrials.gov上注册的临床试验进行了系统回顾,重点关注肥胖症从早期探索阶段到3期的药物干预。共确定并分析了275项符合条件的试验。肠促胰岛素通路调节剂占主导地位(69.8%),尤其是GLP-1受体激动剂和针对GLP-1、GIP和胰高血糖素受体的双重或三重激动剂。大多数试验处于2期(40.7%)或3期(31.3%),表明管道正在成熟,而早期创新仍然有限(3.3%的试验)。药物再利用很常见(22.2%),特别是最初批准用于2型糖尿病的西马鲁肽和利拉鲁肽。行业赞助的试验占大多数(75.3%),有限的学术(22.2%)和政府(2.5%)参与。从地理上看,试验集中在美国、中国和丹麦,国际多中心研究相对较少。虽然减肥药产品线正在迅速扩张,但它仍然主要集中在基于肠促胰岛素的治疗上。这种优势,尽管有很强的临床疗效,但引起了对长期安全性、可及性和机制多样性的关注。增加对早期创新和替代药物靶点的投资对于多样化治疗选择和解决公平和可持续肥胖管理的未满足需求至关重要。
{"title":"Incretin Dominance and Emerging Mechanisms in Obesity Pharmacotherapy: Insights from 275 Registered Clinical Trials (2019-2024).","authors":"Lucas Antônio Dos Santos Barbosa, Bassel Almarie, Eduardo Luiz Gasnhar Moreira","doi":"10.1007/s43441-025-00875-y","DOIUrl":"10.1007/s43441-025-00875-y","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>Obesity remains a critical global health challenge, with rising prevalence and a substantial cardiometabolic and psychosocial burden. Recent therapeutic advances, particularly in incretin-based strategies, underscore the need for a comprehensive characterization of the evolving pharmacological landscape. We conducted a systematic review of clinical trials registered on ClinicalTrials.gov between October 2019 and October 2024, focusing on pharmacological interventions for obesity from early exploratory stages to Phase 3. A total of 275 eligible trials were identified and analyzed. Incretin pathway modulators predominated (69.8%), especially GLP-1 receptor agonists and dual or triple agonists targeting GLP-1, GIP, and glucagon receptors. Most trials were in Phase 2 (40.7%) or Phase 3 (31.3%), indicating a maturing pipeline, while early-stage innovation remained limited (3.3% of trials). Drug repurposing was common (22.2%), notably involving semaglutide and liraglutide, originally approved for type 2 diabetes. Industry-sponsored trials constituted the majority (75.3%), with limited academic (22.2%) and governmental (2.5%) participation. Geographically, trials were concentrated in the United States, China, and Denmark, with relatively few international multicenter studies. While the obesity drug pipeline is expanding rapidly, it remains heavily centered on incretin-based therapies. This dominance, despite strong clinical efficacy, raises concerns regarding long-term safety, accessibility, and mechanistic diversity. Greater investment in early-phase innovation and alternative pharmacological targets will be essential to diversify treatment options and address the unmet need for equitable and sustainable obesity management.</p>","PeriodicalId":23084,"journal":{"name":"Therapeutic innovation & regulatory science","volume":" ","pages":"223-247"},"PeriodicalIF":1.9,"publicationDate":"2026-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145138772","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Application of Bayesian Borrowing Methods in Clinical Trials for Children with Type II Diabetes Mellitus. 贝叶斯借用方法在儿童2型糖尿病临床试验中的应用
IF 1.9 4区 医学 Q4 MEDICAL INFORMATICS Pub Date : 2026-01-01 Epub Date: 2025-10-04 DOI: 10.1007/s43441-025-00874-z
Roberto Crackel, Yuanyuan Ji, Yoonhee Kim, James Travis, Wenda Tu, Yun Wang, Sunghee Kim, Pablo Bonangelino

Clinical trials for children with type II diabetes mellitus (T2DM) pose challenges often due to recruitment issues. The variability in the treatment effect for pediatrics with T2DM tends to be much larger than that for adults, therefore, a larger pediatric study is needed to independently detect a similar treatment effect. If leveraging adult information to a pediatric population can be appropriately justified, and scientific rational has been given for the relevancy of the adult information, then Bayesian borrowing methods can aid in reducing the number of patients needed for a pediatric study and therefore increase feasibility and efficiency. We introduce Bayesian borrowing methods to obtain scientifically sound and conclusive results with adequate study power in anti-diabetic products development for children with T2DM. To apply Bayesian borrowing methods, it is important to (1) identify the external data that can be leveraged, (2) pre-specify model parameters, (3) assess operating characteristics, and (4) pre-specify weights and the maximum amount of borrowing needed to achieve a study win. To protect against prior-data conflicts that may exist due to differences in T2DM between adults and pediatrics, we select a mixture prior to take an advantage that they adjust the degree of information borrowed based on the similarity between adults and pediatrics. We applied these methods to an anti-diabetic product. In conclusion, the outcomes of our step-by-step demonstration of the application of Bayesian borrowing methods provides a guide on how to pre-specify parameters and considerations that should be made when planning to implement said methods.

儿童2型糖尿病(T2DM)的临床试验常常由于招募问题而面临挑战。儿科2型糖尿病治疗效果的可变性往往比成人大得多,因此,需要更大规模的儿科研究来独立检测类似的治疗效果。如果将成人信息运用到儿科人群中能够得到适当的证明,并且对成人信息的相关性给出了科学的理性,那么贝叶斯借用方法可以帮助减少儿科研究所需的患者数量,从而提高可行性和效率。我们引入贝叶斯借鉴方法,在2型糖尿病儿童降糖药的开发中获得科学合理的结论性结果,具有足够的研究能力。要应用贝叶斯借鉴方法,重要的是:(1)识别可以利用的外部数据,(2)预先指定模型参数,(3)评估操作特征,以及(4)预先指定权重和实现研究胜利所需的最大借鉴量。为了防止由于成人和儿科之间的T2DM差异而可能存在的先验数据冲突,我们选择了一个混合数据,以利用它们根据成人和儿科之间的相似性调整信息的程度。我们将这些方法应用于一种抗糖尿病产品。总之,我们逐步演示贝叶斯借用方法应用的结果为如何预先指定参数以及计划实施所述方法时应考虑的事项提供了指导。
{"title":"Application of Bayesian Borrowing Methods in Clinical Trials for Children with Type II Diabetes Mellitus.","authors":"Roberto Crackel, Yuanyuan Ji, Yoonhee Kim, James Travis, Wenda Tu, Yun Wang, Sunghee Kim, Pablo Bonangelino","doi":"10.1007/s43441-025-00874-z","DOIUrl":"10.1007/s43441-025-00874-z","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>Clinical trials for children with type II diabetes mellitus (T2DM) pose challenges often due to recruitment issues. The variability in the treatment effect for pediatrics with T2DM tends to be much larger than that for adults, therefore, a larger pediatric study is needed to independently detect a similar treatment effect. If leveraging adult information to a pediatric population can be appropriately justified, and scientific rational has been given for the relevancy of the adult information, then Bayesian borrowing methods can aid in reducing the number of patients needed for a pediatric study and therefore increase feasibility and efficiency. We introduce Bayesian borrowing methods to obtain scientifically sound and conclusive results with adequate study power in anti-diabetic products development for children with T2DM. To apply Bayesian borrowing methods, it is important to (1) identify the external data that can be leveraged, (2) pre-specify model parameters, (3) assess operating characteristics, and (4) pre-specify weights and the maximum amount of borrowing needed to achieve a study win. To protect against prior-data conflicts that may exist due to differences in T2DM between adults and pediatrics, we select a mixture prior to take an advantage that they adjust the degree of information borrowed based on the similarity between adults and pediatrics. We applied these methods to an anti-diabetic product. In conclusion, the outcomes of our step-by-step demonstration of the application of Bayesian borrowing methods provides a guide on how to pre-specify parameters and considerations that should be made when planning to implement said methods.</p>","PeriodicalId":23084,"journal":{"name":"Therapeutic innovation & regulatory science","volume":" ","pages":"210-222"},"PeriodicalIF":1.9,"publicationDate":"2026-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145228661","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Strategic Drivers Behind Early Withdrawal of Orphan Designations in the EU: A Retrospective Analysis (2000-2024). 欧盟早期撤销孤儿药指定背后的战略驱动因素:回顾分析(2000-2024)。
IF 1.9 4区 医学 Q4 MEDICAL INFORMATICS Pub Date : 2026-01-01 Epub Date: 2025-10-23 DOI: 10.1007/s43441-025-00890-z
Luísa Bouwman, Micael Castanheira, Georges Siotis

Purpose: The orphan legislation came into force in the European Union (EU) in 2000, providing incentives for the development of orphan medicines. To be eligible for incentives, the applicant needs to apply for an orphan designation (OD). However, at any time, the marketing authorisation holder (MAH) can request the removal of the OD. The possible motives underpinning premature removal of OD have been the subject of speculation. Our aim is to study every early OD removal for the orphan medicinal products (OMPs) approved in the EU between 2000 and 2024 and determine the main reasons behind this phenomenon.

Methods: We identified all the orphan medicines approved between 2000 and 2024. We considered approval date by the European Commission (EC), orphan designation (OD) status, company name, active substance name, trade name, ATC code and Therapeutic Area, and the date of the removal of the OD. Information on the OD withdrawal was cross-checked with the documents on the EMA website, and the legal status of the patent and supplementary protection certificates (SPC) was checked at the European Patent Register.

Results: During the period 2000-2024, 285 OMPs were approved by the EC. Overall, 41 (11.8%) orphan designations were prematurely removed, corresponding to 23 different OMPs.

Conclusions: Three main motives for the early removal of the OD were identified: lack of clinical evidence supporting the significant benefit for the new indication proposed, the companies' preference towards SPC extensions for the paediatric indication (instead of the two additional years of marketing exclusivity), or the new therapeutic indication added is not rare. There is no evidence of commercial "pay to enter" agreements between pharmaceutical companies.

目的:孤儿立法于2000年在欧盟生效,为孤儿药物的开发提供了激励。为了有资格获得奖励,申请人需要申请孤儿指定(OD)。然而,在任何时候,上市许可持有人(MAH)都可以要求移除OD。人们一直在猜测过早移除OD的可能动机。我们的目标是研究2000年至2024年间欧盟批准的孤儿药(omp)的每一次早期OD去除,并确定这种现象背后的主要原因。方法:对2000年至2024年批准的所有孤儿药进行筛选。我们考虑了欧盟委员会(EC)的批准日期、孤儿药指定(OD)状态、公司名称、活性物质名称、商品名称、ATC代码和治疗区域,以及OD的移除日期。与EMA网站上的文件交叉核对了OD撤回信息,并在欧洲专利注册中检查了专利和补充保护证书(SPC)的法律状态。结果:2000-2024年间,欧盟委员会共批准了285个omp。总体而言,41个(11.8%)孤儿药名称被过早删除,对应于23种不同的omp。结论:确定了早期去除OD的三个主要动机:缺乏临床证据支持所提出的新适应症的显着益处,公司倾向于将SPC扩展到儿科适应症(而不是额外的两年销售专营权),或者增加的新治疗适应症并不罕见。没有证据表明制药公司之间存在“付费进入”的商业协议。
{"title":"Strategic Drivers Behind Early Withdrawal of Orphan Designations in the EU: A Retrospective Analysis (2000-2024).","authors":"Luísa Bouwman, Micael Castanheira, Georges Siotis","doi":"10.1007/s43441-025-00890-z","DOIUrl":"10.1007/s43441-025-00890-z","url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>Purpose: </strong>The orphan legislation came into force in the European Union (EU) in 2000, providing incentives for the development of orphan medicines. To be eligible for incentives, the applicant needs to apply for an orphan designation (OD). However, at any time, the marketing authorisation holder (MAH) can request the removal of the OD. The possible motives underpinning premature removal of OD have been the subject of speculation. Our aim is to study every early OD removal for the orphan medicinal products (OMPs) approved in the EU between 2000 and 2024 and determine the main reasons behind this phenomenon.</p><p><strong>Methods: </strong>We identified all the orphan medicines approved between 2000 and 2024. We considered approval date by the European Commission (EC), orphan designation (OD) status, company name, active substance name, trade name, ATC code and Therapeutic Area, and the date of the removal of the OD. Information on the OD withdrawal was cross-checked with the documents on the EMA website, and the legal status of the patent and supplementary protection certificates (SPC) was checked at the European Patent Register.</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>During the period 2000-2024, 285 OMPs were approved by the EC. Overall, 41 (11.8%) orphan designations were prematurely removed, corresponding to 23 different OMPs.</p><p><strong>Conclusions: </strong>Three main motives for the early removal of the OD were identified: lack of clinical evidence supporting the significant benefit for the new indication proposed, the companies' preference towards SPC extensions for the paediatric indication (instead of the two additional years of marketing exclusivity), or the new therapeutic indication added is not rare. There is no evidence of commercial \"pay to enter\" agreements between pharmaceutical companies.</p>","PeriodicalId":23084,"journal":{"name":"Therapeutic innovation & regulatory science","volume":" ","pages":"309-321"},"PeriodicalIF":1.9,"publicationDate":"2026-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC12753528/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145347496","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Trends in FDA Data Integrity Enforcement Before and After the COVID-19 Pandemic: An Analysis of 1766 Warning Letters (2016-2023). 2019冠状病毒病大流行前后FDA数据完整性执法趋势:对1766封警告信的分析(2016-2023)
IF 1.9 4区 医学 Q4 MEDICAL INFORMATICS Pub Date : 2026-01-01 Epub Date: 2025-10-10 DOI: 10.1007/s43441-025-00870-3
Yoseok Park, Kyenghee Kwon

Background: Data integrity (DI) has become a cornerstone of regulatory oversight in pharmaceutical manufacturing. The COVID-19 pandemic coincided with increased digitalization and wider use of remote inspection approaches, drawing renewed attention to data governance. In response, global regulatory agencies emphasized structured DI compliance through harmonized guidelines. However, empirical studies quantifying longitudinal enforcement patterns remain limited.

Methods: This study conducted a full-enumeration analysis of 1766 FDA Warning Letters issued between 2016 and 2023. DI-related violations were reclassified into nine categories based on the ALCOA and ALCOA + frameworks using a predefined rubric derived from EMA, PIC/S, and WHO guidance. Violations were segmented into pre-pandemic (2016-2019) and post-pandemic (2020-2023) periods. Descriptive statistics and exploratory t-tests and chi-square analyses were used to identify directional trends.

Results: Although statistical tests did not yield significant differences between the two periods, violations related to "Endurance," "Availability," and "completeness" showed year-over-year increases after 2020. The average number of DI violations per company increased in 2023. Because fewer firms were cited that year, this pattern may reflect more targeted inspections or an atypical case mix. However, causality cannot be inferred.

Conclusion: The observed patterns are consistent with a regulatory emphasis on risk-based DI oversight, particularly under remote or hybrid inspection models. For manufacturers-especially in PIC/S member countries where hybrid documentation persists-these findings underscore the practical importance of strengthening electronic quality systems. By offering a standardized ALCOA/ALCOA + -based rubric aligned with international guidance, this study provides a replicable framework for future DI inspection analysis and policy discussion.

背景:数据完整性(DI)已成为制药行业监管监督的基石。2019冠状病毒病大流行恰逢数字化程度提高和远程检查方法的广泛使用,重新引起了对数据治理的关注。作为回应,全球监管机构通过统一的指导方针强调结构化的DI合规。然而,量化纵向执行模式的实证研究仍然有限。方法:本研究对2016 - 2023年间发布的1766封FDA警告信进行了全枚举分析。根据来自EMA、PIC/S和WHO指南的预定义规则,基于ALCOA和ALCOA +框架,将与di相关的违规行为重新分类为9类。违规行为分为大流行前(2016-2019年)和大流行后(2020-2023年)时期。描述性统计、探索性t检验和卡方分析用于确定方向性趋势。结果:尽管统计测试在两个时期之间没有产生显著差异,但与“耐久性”、“可用性”和“完整性”相关的违规行为在2020年之后逐年增加。2023年,每家公司的平均违规数量有所增加。由于那年被引用的公司较少,这种模式可能反映了更有针对性的检查或非典型的案例组合。然而,因果关系是不能推断出来的。结论:观察到的模式与监管强调基于风险的DI监督是一致的,特别是在远程或混合检查模式下。对于制造商,特别是在混合文件持续存在的PIC/S成员国,这些发现强调了加强电子质量系统的实际重要性。通过提供与国际指导一致的标准化ALCOA/ALCOA +标准,本研究为未来的DI检查分析和政策讨论提供了一个可复制的框架。
{"title":"Trends in FDA Data Integrity Enforcement Before and After the COVID-19 Pandemic: An Analysis of 1766 Warning Letters (2016-2023).","authors":"Yoseok Park, Kyenghee Kwon","doi":"10.1007/s43441-025-00870-3","DOIUrl":"10.1007/s43441-025-00870-3","url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>Background: </strong>Data integrity (DI) has become a cornerstone of regulatory oversight in pharmaceutical manufacturing. The COVID-19 pandemic coincided with increased digitalization and wider use of remote inspection approaches, drawing renewed attention to data governance. In response, global regulatory agencies emphasized structured DI compliance through harmonized guidelines. However, empirical studies quantifying longitudinal enforcement patterns remain limited.</p><p><strong>Methods: </strong>This study conducted a full-enumeration analysis of 1766 FDA Warning Letters issued between 2016 and 2023. DI-related violations were reclassified into nine categories based on the ALCOA and ALCOA + frameworks using a predefined rubric derived from EMA, PIC/S, and WHO guidance. Violations were segmented into pre-pandemic (2016-2019) and post-pandemic (2020-2023) periods. Descriptive statistics and exploratory t-tests and chi-square analyses were used to identify directional trends.</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>Although statistical tests did not yield significant differences between the two periods, violations related to \"Endurance,\" \"Availability,\" and \"completeness\" showed year-over-year increases after 2020. The average number of DI violations per company increased in 2023. Because fewer firms were cited that year, this pattern may reflect more targeted inspections or an atypical case mix. However, causality cannot be inferred.</p><p><strong>Conclusion: </strong>The observed patterns are consistent with a regulatory emphasis on risk-based DI oversight, particularly under remote or hybrid inspection models. For manufacturers-especially in PIC/S member countries where hybrid documentation persists-these findings underscore the practical importance of strengthening electronic quality systems. By offering a standardized ALCOA/ALCOA + -based rubric aligned with international guidance, this study provides a replicable framework for future DI inspection analysis and policy discussion.</p>","PeriodicalId":23084,"journal":{"name":"Therapeutic innovation & regulatory science","volume":" ","pages":"190-198"},"PeriodicalIF":1.9,"publicationDate":"2026-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145275953","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Hurry Up and Wait: Timelines and Takeaways from the Biomarker Qualification Program. 加速和等待:生物标志物资格认证计划的时间表和要点。
IF 1.9 4区 医学 Q4 MEDICAL INFORMATICS Pub Date : 2026-01-01 Epub Date: 2025-10-26 DOI: 10.1007/s43441-025-00889-6
Grace Collins, Jeff D Allen, Hillary S Andrews, Bernat Navarro-Serer, Mark D Stewart

Background: The Biomarker Qualification Program (BQP), formally established in 2016 under the 21st Century Cures Act, is a key pathway for developing novel biomarkers for regulatory use. We evaluated eight years of BQP experience to assess whether it has facilitated the qualification of novel biomarkers.

Methods: We collected characteristics and submission dates for accepted biomarker qualification projects from the FDA's Drug Development Tool Qualification Project Search database.

Results: As of July 1, 2025, 61 projects were accepted into the BQP. Safety (30%), Diagnostic (21%), and PD Response (20%) biomarkers were the most common. Projects primarily used molecular (46%) and radiologic/imaging (39%) methods and were split between measures of a disease/condition or drug response/effect of exposure. Few projects included surrogate endpoint biomarkers (n = 5). Half of the accepted projects remained at the initial Letter of Intent (LOI) stage, and only eight biomarkers were qualified through the program. LOI and Qualification Plan (QP) reviews frequently exceeded FDA targets by three months and seven months, respectively. For projects reaching the QP stage, QP development took a median of 32 months, with surrogate endpoints taking 47 months.

Conclusion: The BQP supports the development of certain biomarkers but has seen limited use for biomarkers intended as surrogate endpoints. Coupled with longer timelines for their QP development, these trends demonstrate the program may not be well-suited for advancing novel response biomarkers. Given significant stakeholder interest in novel surrogate measures, a dedicated program may better support novel response biomarker development, particularly for biomarkers with applicability across multiple drug development programs.

生物标志物资格认证计划(BQP)于2016年根据《21世纪治愈法案》正式成立,是开发用于监管用途的新型生物标志物的关键途径。我们评估了8年的BQP经验,以评估它是否促进了新的生物标志物的鉴定。方法:我们从FDA的药物开发工具资格项目检索数据库中收集已接受的生物标志物资格项目的特征和提交日期。结果:截至2025年7月1日,61个项目被纳入BQP。安全性(30%)、诊断性(21%)和PD反应(20%)生物标志物是最常见的。项目主要使用分子(46%)和放射学/成像(39%)方法,并分为对疾病/病症或药物反应/暴露效应的测量。少数项目包括替代终点生物标志物(n = 5)。接受的项目中有一半仍处于最初的意向书(LOI)阶段,只有8个生物标志物通过该计划获得资格。LOI和确认计划(QP)审核经常分别超出FDA目标3个月和7个月。对于达到QP阶段的项目,QP开发的中位数为32个月,替代终点为47个月。结论:BQP支持某些生物标志物的开发,但作为替代终点的生物标志物的使用有限。再加上QP开发的时间较长,这些趋势表明该计划可能不适合推进新的反应生物标志物。考虑到利益相关者对新型替代措施的兴趣,一个专门的项目可能会更好地支持新型反应生物标志物的开发,特别是对跨多种药物开发项目适用性的生物标志物。
{"title":"Hurry Up and Wait: Timelines and Takeaways from the Biomarker Qualification Program.","authors":"Grace Collins, Jeff D Allen, Hillary S Andrews, Bernat Navarro-Serer, Mark D Stewart","doi":"10.1007/s43441-025-00889-6","DOIUrl":"10.1007/s43441-025-00889-6","url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>Background: </strong>The Biomarker Qualification Program (BQP), formally established in 2016 under the 21st Century Cures Act, is a key pathway for developing novel biomarkers for regulatory use. We evaluated eight years of BQP experience to assess whether it has facilitated the qualification of novel biomarkers.</p><p><strong>Methods: </strong>We collected characteristics and submission dates for accepted biomarker qualification projects from the FDA's Drug Development Tool Qualification Project Search database.</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>As of July 1, 2025, 61 projects were accepted into the BQP. Safety (30%), Diagnostic (21%), and PD Response (20%) biomarkers were the most common. Projects primarily used molecular (46%) and radiologic/imaging (39%) methods and were split between measures of a disease/condition or drug response/effect of exposure. Few projects included surrogate endpoint biomarkers (n = 5). Half of the accepted projects remained at the initial Letter of Intent (LOI) stage, and only eight biomarkers were qualified through the program. LOI and Qualification Plan (QP) reviews frequently exceeded FDA targets by three months and seven months, respectively. For projects reaching the QP stage, QP development took a median of 32 months, with surrogate endpoints taking 47 months.</p><p><strong>Conclusion: </strong>The BQP supports the development of certain biomarkers but has seen limited use for biomarkers intended as surrogate endpoints. Coupled with longer timelines for their QP development, these trends demonstrate the program may not be well-suited for advancing novel response biomarkers. Given significant stakeholder interest in novel surrogate measures, a dedicated program may better support novel response biomarker development, particularly for biomarkers with applicability across multiple drug development programs.</p>","PeriodicalId":23084,"journal":{"name":"Therapeutic innovation & regulatory science","volume":" ","pages":"302-308"},"PeriodicalIF":1.9,"publicationDate":"2026-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC12753548/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145373148","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Sales Erosion of Originator Drugs Following Generic Entry: Quantitative Analysis and Predictive Modeling. 仿制药上市后原研药的销售流失:定量分析与预测模型。
IF 1.9 4区 医学 Q4 MEDICAL INFORMATICS Pub Date : 2026-01-01 Epub Date: 2025-10-30 DOI: 10.1007/s43441-025-00878-9
Soon Kyu Jung, Sang-Won Lee

Introduction: Generic drug entry into the pharmaceutical market typically leads to a substantial decline in originator sales. Understanding the extent and trajectory of this erosion is essential for effective lifecycle management and strategic planning. This study quantified sales erosion after generic entry for originator drugs approved in the United States between 2010 and 2019 and developed a model to predict year-specific sales retention based on key product- and market-level characteristics.

Methods: A total of 140 originator drugs were analyzed using FDA approval records and sales data from Evaluate Pharma. Five-year retention patterns were modeled using a three-parameter exponential decay function. Subgroup analyses were conducted by year of generic entry, therapeutic class, and product-specific features. A polynomial regression model using 700 product-year observations incorporated three binary market indicators and linear and quadratic time terms.

Results: Sales retention declined from 73.1% in the first year after generic entry to 31.7% by year five. The exponential decay model demonstrated a strong goodness-of-fit (root mean squared error [RMSE] = 0.006), capturing the initial steep decline and subsequent stabilization. Subgroup analyses showed faster erosion for blockbuster drugs and in markets with multiple first-generation generics. The regression model explained 96.4% of annual variation in retention (RMSE = 0.033), accounting for product and market heterogeneity.

Conclusion: Sales decline after generic entry follows a predictable yet heterogeneous trajectory shaped by product and market factors. Exponential decay and polynomial regression models together offer a robust framework for forecasting sales retention and guiding strategic decisions in the pharmaceutical industry.

简介:仿制药进入医药市场通常会导致原药销售的大幅下降。了解这种侵蚀的范围和轨迹对于有效的生命周期管理和战略规划是必不可少的。本研究量化了2010年至2019年在美国获得批准的原研药仿制药进入市场后的销售流失情况,并开发了一个模型,根据关键产品和市场层面的特征预测特定年份的销售保留情况。方法:利用FDA的批准记录和Evaluate Pharma的销售数据,对140种原研药进行分析。使用三参数指数衰减函数对五年保留模式进行建模。亚组分析按仿制药进入年份、治疗类别和产品特异性特征进行。一个多项式回归模型使用700个产品年的观察包括三个二元市场指标和线性和二次时间项。结果:销售保留率从仿制药进入后第一年的73.1%下降到第五年的31.7%。指数衰减模型显示出很强的拟合优度(均方根误差[RMSE] = 0.006),捕捉到了最初的急剧下降和随后的稳定。亚组分析显示,畅销药和拥有多个第一代仿制药的市场侵蚀更快。回归模型解释了96.4%的年度保留率变化(RMSE = 0.033),考虑了产品和市场的异质性。结论:仿制药进入后的销售下降遵循可预测但异质性的轨迹,受产品和市场因素的影响。指数衰减和多项式回归模型一起为预测销售保留和指导制药行业的战略决策提供了一个强大的框架。
{"title":"Sales Erosion of Originator Drugs Following Generic Entry: Quantitative Analysis and Predictive Modeling.","authors":"Soon Kyu Jung, Sang-Won Lee","doi":"10.1007/s43441-025-00878-9","DOIUrl":"10.1007/s43441-025-00878-9","url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>Introduction: </strong>Generic drug entry into the pharmaceutical market typically leads to a substantial decline in originator sales. Understanding the extent and trajectory of this erosion is essential for effective lifecycle management and strategic planning. This study quantified sales erosion after generic entry for originator drugs approved in the United States between 2010 and 2019 and developed a model to predict year-specific sales retention based on key product- and market-level characteristics.</p><p><strong>Methods: </strong>A total of 140 originator drugs were analyzed using FDA approval records and sales data from Evaluate Pharma. Five-year retention patterns were modeled using a three-parameter exponential decay function. Subgroup analyses were conducted by year of generic entry, therapeutic class, and product-specific features. A polynomial regression model using 700 product-year observations incorporated three binary market indicators and linear and quadratic time terms.</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>Sales retention declined from 73.1% in the first year after generic entry to 31.7% by year five. The exponential decay model demonstrated a strong goodness-of-fit (root mean squared error [RMSE] = 0.006), capturing the initial steep decline and subsequent stabilization. Subgroup analyses showed faster erosion for blockbuster drugs and in markets with multiple first-generation generics. The regression model explained 96.4% of annual variation in retention (RMSE = 0.033), accounting for product and market heterogeneity.</p><p><strong>Conclusion: </strong>Sales decline after generic entry follows a predictable yet heterogeneous trajectory shaped by product and market factors. Exponential decay and polynomial regression models together offer a robust framework for forecasting sales retention and guiding strategic decisions in the pharmaceutical industry.</p>","PeriodicalId":23084,"journal":{"name":"Therapeutic innovation & regulatory science","volume":" ","pages":"248-259"},"PeriodicalIF":1.9,"publicationDate":"2026-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145410193","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
期刊
Therapeutic innovation & regulatory science
全部 Acc. Chem. Res. ACS Applied Bio Materials ACS Appl. Electron. Mater. ACS Appl. Energy Mater. ACS Appl. Mater. Interfaces ACS Appl. Nano Mater. ACS Appl. Polym. Mater. ACS BIOMATER-SCI ENG ACS Catal. ACS Cent. Sci. ACS Chem. Biol. ACS Chemical Health & Safety ACS Chem. Neurosci. ACS Comb. Sci. ACS Earth Space Chem. ACS Energy Lett. ACS Infect. Dis. ACS Macro Lett. ACS Mater. Lett. ACS Med. Chem. Lett. ACS Nano ACS Omega ACS Photonics ACS Sens. ACS Sustainable Chem. Eng. ACS Synth. Biol. Anal. Chem. BIOCHEMISTRY-US Bioconjugate Chem. BIOMACROMOLECULES Chem. Res. Toxicol. Chem. Rev. Chem. Mater. CRYST GROWTH DES ENERG FUEL Environ. Sci. Technol. Environ. Sci. Technol. Lett. Eur. J. Inorg. Chem. IND ENG CHEM RES Inorg. Chem. J. Agric. Food. Chem. J. Chem. Eng. Data J. Chem. Educ. J. Chem. Inf. Model. J. Chem. Theory Comput. J. Med. Chem. J. Nat. Prod. J PROTEOME RES J. Am. Chem. Soc. LANGMUIR MACROMOLECULES Mol. Pharmaceutics Nano Lett. Org. Lett. ORG PROCESS RES DEV ORGANOMETALLICS J. Org. Chem. J. Phys. Chem. J. Phys. Chem. A J. Phys. Chem. B J. Phys. Chem. C J. Phys. Chem. Lett. Analyst Anal. Methods Biomater. Sci. Catal. Sci. Technol. Chem. Commun. Chem. Soc. Rev. CHEM EDUC RES PRACT CRYSTENGCOMM Dalton Trans. Energy Environ. Sci. ENVIRON SCI-NANO ENVIRON SCI-PROC IMP ENVIRON SCI-WAT RES Faraday Discuss. Food Funct. Green Chem. Inorg. Chem. Front. Integr. Biol. J. Anal. At. Spectrom. J. Mater. Chem. A J. Mater. Chem. B J. Mater. Chem. C Lab Chip Mater. Chem. Front. Mater. Horiz. MEDCHEMCOMM Metallomics Mol. Biosyst. Mol. Syst. Des. Eng. Nanoscale Nanoscale Horiz. Nat. Prod. Rep. New J. Chem. Org. Biomol. Chem. Org. Chem. Front. PHOTOCH PHOTOBIO SCI PCCP Polym. Chem.
×
引用
GB/T 7714-2015
复制
MLA
复制
APA
复制
导出至
BibTeX EndNote RefMan NoteFirst NoteExpress
×
0
微信
客服QQ
Book学术公众号 扫码关注我们
反馈
×
意见反馈
请填写您的意见或建议
请填写您的手机或邮箱
×
提示
您的信息不完整,为了账户安全,请先补充。
现在去补充
×
提示
您因"违规操作"
具体请查看互助需知
我知道了
×
提示
现在去查看 取消
×
提示
确定
Book学术官方微信
Book学术文献互助
Book学术文献互助群
群 号:604180095
Book学术
文献互助 智能选刊 最新文献 互助须知 联系我们:info@booksci.cn
Book学术提供免费学术资源搜索服务,方便国内外学者检索中英文文献。致力于提供最便捷和优质的服务体验。
Copyright © 2023 Book学术 All rights reserved.
ghs 京公网安备 11010802042870号 京ICP备2023020795号-1