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Reasons for Shifting and Barriers to Renewable Energy: A Literature Review 可再生能源转移的原因和障碍:文献综述
Pub Date : 2020-01-01 DOI: 10.32479/ijeep.8710
Tarek Safwat Kabel, M. Bassim
Consumption of fossil fuel resources leads to serious economic and environmental issues such as (high fossil fuel subsidies, high carbon emissions, and high energy demand). This current economic situation needs new methods, which should generate sustainable solutions that are mostly independent of the use of fossil fuels. However, there are many barriers to the development of renewable energy. Based on the literature the major barriers to renewable energy are economic, Policy and legal, and technical. A literature review was performed in this paper to determine the reasons for shifting from conventional energy to renewable energy and identifies the barriers to the development of renewable power generation.
化石燃料资源的消耗导致了严重的经济和环境问题,如(化石燃料高补贴,高碳排放,高能源需求)。当前的经济形势需要新的方法,这些方法应该产生基本不依赖化石燃料使用的可持续解决方案。然而,可再生能源的发展存在许多障碍。根据文献,可再生能源的主要障碍是经济、政策和法律以及技术。本文通过文献综述来确定从传统能源转向可再生能源的原因,并确定可再生能源发电发展的障碍。
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引用次数: 9
Renewability Analysis of a Power Production Plant 某电厂可再生性分析
Pub Date : 2019-12-22 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3508365
Sandip Ghosh
Renewability of a system can be expressed on the basis of continued human relationship with a given energy resource i.e. the rate at which humans exploit it compared to the rate at which nature renews again. If the resource is regenerated at a higher rate than it is used, it is considered renewable, but if it is exploited at a higher rate than it is regenerated, it is considered nonrenewable. The more renewable an energy resource is that is, the faster it can be regenerated at the level it is being used, the less of an environmental impact it has. It is a matter of concern to examine energy technologies having intermittent renew ability that can be realistically increased. While an efficient use of a resource can increase renew ability, an innovation in the process of turning a non-resource renewable material into a useful resource can be more proficient. In this paper energy method has been discussed to judge the renew ability of a power production plant.
系统的可再生性可以在人类与某一特定能源的持续关系的基础上表示,即人类利用能源的比率与自然再次更新的比率之比。如果资源的再生速度高于其使用速度,则认为它是可再生的,但如果资源的开发速度高于其再生速度,则认为它是不可再生的。一种能源的可再生程度越高,也就是说,它在被使用的水平上再生得越快,它对环境的影响就越小。研究具有间歇性可再生能力的能源技术是一个值得关注的问题。虽然资源的有效利用可以提高再生能力,但在将非资源可再生材料转化为有用资源的过程中进行创新可以更加熟练。本文讨论了用能量法判断电厂可再生能力的方法。
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引用次数: 0
Boiler House Expansion Under Fluctuating Off-Gas Availability 烟气可用性波动下锅炉房扩建
Pub Date : 2019-11-26 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3658944
Ponti Venter
It is not uncommon for engineering plants to generate steam from excess burnable off-gases. These off-gases are typically by-products from plants throughout the engineering Works. Steam is utilised all over the Works in various processes. If excess steam is available after the Works’ demands have been adhered to, energy recovery can processes can be invested in. A typical energy recovery plant comprises steam turbines for power generation. Depending on the nature of the process flows, the off-gas and steam availabilities may be of a fluctuating nature. This will inevitably result fluctuating power generation. This fluctuating power generation, however, may result in turbines shutting down involuntarily due to steam shortages. This furthermore results in power generation losses due to unutilised steam. In an attempt to address and power generation losses and turbine trips, boiler expansion was investigated in this paper. Off-gas flaring was simulated and analysed to determine what flow quantities of steam the plant could potentially additionally generate. The steam flows were incorporated within a power generation optimisation model to simulate the true effect thereof. From the results it was demonstrated for the engineering Works that additional boiler houses can be invested in. The results showed increase power generation; however, further simulations showed that boiler expansions should be coupled to turbine investments to fully capture the energy recovery available for the Works.
对于工程工厂来说,从多余的可燃废气中产生蒸汽并不罕见。这些废气通常是整个工程工厂的副产品。整个工厂的各个工序都使用蒸汽。如果在工厂的需求得到满足后,还有多余的蒸汽可用,则可以投资于能量回收过程。典型的能量回收装置包括用于发电的汽轮机。根据工艺流程的性质,废气和蒸汽的可用性可能具有波动性。这将不可避免地导致发电波动。然而,这种波动的发电量可能会导致涡轮机因蒸汽短缺而不由自主地关闭。这进一步导致由于未利用的蒸汽发电损失。为了解决发电损失和汽轮机脱扣问题,本文对锅炉膨胀进行了研究。对废气燃烧进行了模拟和分析,以确定该工厂可能额外产生的蒸汽流量。蒸汽流被纳入发电优化模型,以模拟其真实效果。结果表明,该工程可增建锅炉房。结果表明:发电量增加;然而,进一步的模拟表明,锅炉扩建应与涡轮机投资相结合,以充分利用可用于工程的能量回收。
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引用次数: 0
A Simulation Study of Natural Convection Airflow Pattern for a Phase Change Material Chamber 相变材料室自然对流气流模式的模拟研究
Pub Date : 2019-11-26 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3637981
T. B. Radebe, Z. Huan, Jeffrey Baloyi
South Africa is the highest consumer of commercial energy per capita in Africa, ranking 16th in the world for primary energy consumption. It is also ranked among the bottom 50 of the 150 countries regarding energy efficiency, the cold chain is a large contributor. Refrigerated transport vehicles have played a major role in preserving goods over the years. With the current climate change, new refrigeration systems have been put in place to sustain this industry while complying with the changing climate regulations. This paper presents the use of Eutectic plates inside the refrigerated transport vehicle compartment. This study numerically investigates the characteristics of phase change material (PCM) Eutectic plates applied at low-temperature ranges. To obtain a uniform heat transfer and airflow condition inside a refrigerated compartment, using the Reynolds stress model (RSM). A physical model and a mathematical model for three-dimensional (3D) transient natural flow were developed. Using the governing equation of mass, momentum and energy conservation, three Eutectic plate configurations were modeled and simulated in ANSYS Fluent to predict the temperature distribution and the velocity of the air flowing for 5 hours. The configuration with eutectic plates placed at the top and side showed great potential for the system. It had a high-temperature distribution across the compartment and promoted high air circulations compared to the other configurations.
南非是非洲人均商业能源消费量最高的国家,一次能源消费量在世界上排名第16位。在能源效率方面,它在150个国家中排名倒数50位,冷链是一个很大的贡献者。多年来,冷藏运输车辆在保存货物方面发挥了重要作用。随着当前的气候变化,新的制冷系统已经到位,以维持这个行业,同时符合不断变化的气候法规。本文介绍了共晶板在冷藏车车厢内的应用。本文对相变材料(PCM)共晶板在低温下的特性进行了数值研究。采用雷诺应力模型(RSM)对冷库内的均匀传热和气流状况进行了研究。建立了三维瞬态自然流动的物理模型和数学模型。利用质量、动量和能量守恒的控制方程,在ANSYS Fluent中对三种共晶板构型进行了建模和仿真,预测了5小时内气流的温度分布和速度。在顶部和侧面放置共晶板的结构显示了该系统的巨大潜力。与其他配置相比,它在整个隔间中具有高温分布,促进了高空气循环。
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引用次数: 2
The Inclusive Green Energy Index of Progress 包容性绿色能源进步指数
Pub Date : 2019-11-10 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3493987
Carmen Herrero Suárez, Jose Pineda, A. Villar, E. Zambrano
This paper presents the Inclusive Green Energy index (IGE) to evaluate the progress in achieving the key dimensions of the Sustainable Development Goal (SDG) nº 7, which entails ensuring “access to affordable, sustainable and modern energy for all”. The key aspects of this index are: (i) it focuses on the change of the corresponding variables, rather than on their levels; (ii) it exhibits a decomposability feature that permits integrating several dimensions in a simple way, allowing for the inclusion of “goods” and “bads”; and (iii) the evaluation of progress is made relative to some reference values (targets and thresholds) that can differ between countries. We calculate the IGE index of progress for 157 countries using data from 2000 to 2015 on three indicators intended to capture inclusiveness, greenness and efficiency regarding energy use. The results show that progress has, on average, been positive across the world, with more than 85 per cent of the sample of countries experiencing some degree of progress. However, progress is smaller for the Middle East and North African and Sub-Saharan African countries and it is negative for most of the countries that exhibit low levels of human development, as measured by the Human Development Index. Furthermore, less than five percent of the countries in the sample have an IGE commensurate with having met their respective country-level targets. This means that much remains to be done by almost all countries worldwide in regard to being in track towards meeting their SDG nº 7 by 2030.
本文介绍了包容性绿色能源指数(IGE),以评估实现可持续发展目标(SDG)第7条关键方面的进展,该目标要求确保“所有人都能获得负担得起的、可持续的和现代的能源”。该指数的主要方面是:(i)它侧重于相应变量的变化,而不是它们的水平;(ii)它具有可分解性特征,允许以一种简单的方式整合几个维度,允许包括“好”和“坏”;(三)对进展的评价是相对于一些参考值(目标和阈值)进行的,这些参考值在各国之间可能有所不同。我们利用2000年至2015年的三个指标的数据计算了157个国家的IGE进展指数,这些指标旨在捕捉能源使用方面的包容性、绿色度和效率。结果表明,平均而言,世界各地的进展是积极的,85%以上的样本国家都取得了一定程度的进展。然而,中东、北非和撒哈拉以南非洲国家的进步幅度较小,以人类发展指数衡量,大多数人类发展水平较低的国家的进步都是消极的。此外,样本中不到5%的国家具有与达到各自国家一级目标相称的IGE。这意味着,世界上几乎所有国家在实现2030年可持续发展目标7方面仍有许多工作要做。
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引用次数: 0
Temperature Shocks and Industry Earnings News 温度冲击和行业收益新闻
Pub Date : 2019-11-04 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3480695
Jawad M. Addoum, D. Ng, Ariel Ortiz-Bobea
Climate scientists project a rise in both average temperatures and the frequency of temperature extremes. We study how extreme temperatures affect companies' earnings across different industries and whether sell-side analysts understand these relationships. We combine granular daily data on temperatures across the continental U.S. with locations of public companies' establishments and build a panel of quarterly firm-level temperature exposures. Extreme temperatures significantly impact earnings in over 40% of industries, with bi-directional effects that harm some industries while others benefit. Analysts and investors do not immediately react to observable intra-quarter temperature shocks, but earnings forecasts account for temperature effects by quarter-end in many, though not all, industries.
气候科学家预测,平均气温和极端温度发生的频率都将上升。我们研究极端温度如何影响不同行业的公司收益,以及卖方分析师是否理解这些关系。我们将美国大陆的日常温度数据与上市公司所在地的数据结合起来,建立了一个公司层面的季度温度暴露面板。极端温度严重影响了40%以上行业的收益,并且存在双向效应,一些行业受损,另一些行业受益。分析师和投资者不会立即对可观察到的季度内气温冲击做出反应,但在许多(尽管不是全部)行业,盈利预测都考虑到了季末气温的影响。
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引用次数: 45
Top-Down Climate Control 自上而下的气候控制
Pub Date : 2019-11-01 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3479409
Julia M. Puaschunder
Climate justice accounts for the most challenging global governance goal. In the current post-COP21 Paris agreement climate change mitigation and adaptation efforts, the financialization of the ambitious goals has leveraged into a blatant demand. Top down climate control proposes a model to distribute the benefits of a warming earth in a fair way based on which countries are losing and which countries are winning from a warming earth until 2100. A macroeconomic cost-benefit analysis thereby aids to find the optimum solution on how to distribute climate change benefits and burden within society. When unidimensionally focusing on estimated GDP growth given a warmer temperature, over all calculated models assuming linear, prospect or hyperbolic gains and losses, the world will be gaining more than losing from a warming earth until 2100. Based on the WL index of 188 countries of the world, less countries (n=78) will gain more from global warming until 2100 than more countries (n=111) will lose from a warming earth. Based on the overall 〖WL〗_TT index factored by GDP per inhabitant, global warming benefits are demanded to be redistributed in a fair way to offset the costs of climate change loser countries for climate change mitigation and adaptation efforts and to instigate a transition into renewable energy. Adding onto contemporary climate fund raising strategies ranging from emissions trading schemes (ETS) and carbon tax policies as well as financing climate justice through bonds as viable mitigation and adaptation strategies, climate justice is introduced to comprise of fairness between countries but also over generations in a unique and unprecedented tax-and-bonds climate change gains and losses distribution strategy. Climate change winning countries are advised to use taxation to raise revenues to offset the losses incurred by climate change. Climate change losers could raise revenues by issuing bonds that have to be paid back by taxing future generations. Regarding taxation, within the winning countries, foremost the gaining GDP sectors should be taxed. Climate justice within a country should also pay tribute to the fact that low- and high income households share the same burden proportional to their dispensable income, for instance enabled through a progressive carbon taxation. Those who caused climate change could be regulated to bear a higher cost through carbon tax in combination with retroactive billing through inheritance tax to map benefits from past wealth accumulation that potentially contributed to global warming. Deriving respective policy recommendations for the wider climate change community in the discussion of the results is aimed at ensuring to share the burden but also the benefits of climate change within society in an economically efficient, legally equitable and practically feasible way.
气候正义是最具挑战性的全球治理目标。在当前《巴黎协定》后的减缓和适应气候变化的努力中,雄心勃勃的目标的金融化已成为一种公然的要求。自顶向下的气候控制提出了一个模型,以公平的方式分配地球变暖的好处,该模型基于到2100年地球变暖哪些国家是输家,哪些国家是赢家。因此,宏观经济成本效益分析有助于找到如何在社会中分配气候变化利益和负担的最佳解决方案。当单一地关注在温度升高的情况下估计的GDP增长时,在所有假设线性、预期或双曲线收益和损失的计算模型中,到2100年,地球变暖对世界的影响将大于损失。根据世界188个国家的WL指数,到2100年,从全球变暖中受益的国家(n=78)比从地球变暖中损失的国家(n=111)要少。基于以人均GDP为因子的总体〖WL〗_TT指数,要求对全球变暖收益进行公平的再分配,以抵消气候变化受害国减缓和适应气候变化努力的成本,并推动向可再生能源的过渡。除了排放交易计划(ETS)和碳税政策等当代气候基金筹集战略,以及通过债券为气候正义融资作为可行的减缓和适应战略之外,气候正义还被引入一种独特的、前所未有的税收和债券气候变化损益分配战略,包括国家之间的公平,也包括代际公平。建议气候变化获胜的国家利用税收来增加收入,以抵消气候变化造成的损失。气候变化的输家可以通过发行债券来增加收入,而这些债券必须通过向后代征税来偿还。在税收方面,在获胜的国家,首先应该对GDP增长的部门征税。一个国家内部的气候正义也应该赞扬这样一个事实,即低收入和高收入家庭分担与其可支配收入成比例的负担,例如通过累进碳税实现。对造成气候变化的人,可以通过征收碳税和遗产税的追溯计费来调节,让他们承担更高的成本,从而映射出过去可能导致全球变暖的财富积累带来的好处。在对结果的讨论中,为更广泛的气候变化社区提出相应的政策建议,旨在确保以经济上有效、法律上公平和实际可行的方式在社会范围内分担气候变化的负担和利益。
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引用次数: 0
Is US Tight Oil a 'Ponzi Scheme'? 美国致密油是 "庞氏骗局 "吗?
Pub Date : 2019-10-01 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3468230
J. Pettit
As US oil and gas share prices languish, there is some nagging concern about the financial health of the industry. Despite turning the world’s largest importer of crude oil into a global exporter, questions linger about profitability and financial leverage – some skeptics have gone so far as to ask if the industry is a “Ponzi Scheme.” Moreover, as oil and gas prices continue their lower-for-longer (but volatile) trajectory, and investors clamor for ever-more cash – in the form of dividends and share repurchases – operators struggle to balance competing demands on cash.

We analyzed 35 publicly-traded, US and Canadian tight/shale oil and gas specialists over the six years since global oil prices collapsed and found the industry to be largely profitable (i.e., aggregate Net Income of $5 per oil-equivalent-barrel produced), despite relatively low oil and gas prices. Moreover, with aggregate operating cash flow of $19 per oil-equivalent-barrel (boe) produced the industry has matured sufficiently to self-finance its own growth. In fact, despite heavy investment in both production-growth and reserves-growth, total financial leverage is modest (1.6x EBITDA) and one-third of operators’ credit ratings are investment grade. And in a separate comparative analysis with conventional Independents, we found that US tight oil operators have demonstrated superior profitability, growth and reinvestment, and financial leverage. Across the North American onshore E&P industry, technology-led, operational continuous improvement is driving dramatic, sustainable gains in well-productivity and cost per boe.
随着美国石油和天然气股价的低迷,人们对该行业的财务健康状况始终心存疑虑。尽管世界上最大的原油进口国已经变成了全球出口国,但有关盈利能力和财务杠杆的问题仍然挥之不去,一些持怀疑态度的人甚至怀疑该行业是否是一个 "庞氏骗局"。此外,随着石油和天然气价格持续走低(但波动较大),投资者要求以分红和股票回购的形式获得更多的现金,经营者们努力平衡对现金的竞争性需求。 我们分析了 35 家公开上市的美国和加拿大致密/页岩油气专家在全球油价暴跌后的六年中的表现,发现尽管油气价格相对较低,但该行业基本上是盈利的(即每生产一桶油当量的净收入总额为 5 美元)。此外,每桶石油当量(boe)的总运营现金流为 19 美元,该行业已经成熟到足以自筹资金实现自身增长。事实上,尽管在产量增长和储量增长方面都进行了大量投资,但总财务杠杆并不高(1.6 倍息税折旧摊销前利润),三分之一运营商的信用评级为投资级。在与传统独立油公司的单独比较分析中,我们发现美国致密油运营商在盈利能力、增长和再投资以及财务杠杆方面都表现出色。在整个北美陆上 E&P 行业,以技术为先导的运营持续改进正在推动油井生产率和每桶油成本的大幅、可持续增长。
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引用次数: 0
Indonesia Multilateral Cooperation in Enhancing Energy Sustainability through G20 Forum 通过G20论坛加强能源可持续性的多边合作
Pub Date : 2019-08-28 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3497352
Diah Ayu Permatasari, Noam Lazuardy
This article explains that the G20 forum is one of the dominant forums in the world that addresses the main economic issues including discussions on energy and environment. Indonesia is currently experiencing various problems in the energy sector, such as energy availability and the development of energy towards the future. The issue of energy is important in relation to its member countries, where the G20 member are 80% of the world's energy users and producers and have huge potential to drive global energy governance. Energy sustainability were discussed within the framework of Energy Sustainability Working Group (ESWG) and it has commitments and implications for its member countries, including Indonesia. Indonesia's dependent on energy imports makes the energy decision making process cannot be excluded from external factors. The commitment made by the international forum including the G20 forum is a challenge that is expected to accelerate the realization of Indonesia's sustainable energy. This research discusses Indonesia's efforts to overcome the energy problems, especially in regarding to energy sustainability, including the influence of multilateral cooperation and its realization. Multilateral cooperation with the indivisibility and diffuse reciprocity scheme are parts of the mechanism in the G20 forum in which is discuss along with the commitments as results of the G20 forum on ESWG. Those results are expected to have implications for the G20 member countries. Transparency plays an important role In fulfilling Indonesia’s commitments at the G20 in reducing energy subsidies as well as enhancing the energy policies in line with Indonesia's objective goals for the energy availability that is acceptable as well in safeguarding the environment not only in for the present use but also in the future.
本文解释了G20论坛是世界上解决主要经济问题的主要论坛之一,包括讨论能源和环境问题。印度尼西亚目前正在经历能源部门的各种问题,例如能源供应和面向未来的能源开发。能源问题对G20成员国来说意义重大。G20成员国占全球能源使用和生产总量的80%,在推动全球能源治理方面潜力巨大。能源可持续性在能源可持续性工作组(ESWG)框架内进行了讨论,它对包括印度尼西亚在内的成员国具有承诺和影响。印尼对能源进口的依赖使得能源决策过程不能排除外部因素。包括二十国集团论坛在内的国际论坛的承诺是一项挑战,有望加速印尼实现可持续能源。本研究讨论了印度尼西亚克服能源问题的努力,特别是在能源可持续性方面,包括多边合作的影响及其实现。具有不可分割和扩散互惠机制的多边合作是二十国集团论坛机制的组成部分,与二十国集团可持续发展工作组论坛的成果承诺一起进行讨论。预计这些结果将对G20成员国产生影响。透明度在履行印度尼西亚在二十国集团会议上的承诺方面发挥着重要作用,包括减少能源补贴,加强能源政策,使其符合印度尼西亚可接受的能源供应的客观目标,以及保护环境,不仅是目前的使用,而且是未来的使用。
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引用次数: 1
Leading and Lagging Natural Gas Markets between Asia and Europe 亚洲和欧洲之间领先和落后的天然气市场
Pub Date : 2019-07-25 DOI: 10.1111/opec.12163
Man-Keun Kim, Dae-Wook Kim
This study investigates the dynamic relationship between Asian and European natural gas markets. The present study determines whether these markets underwent structural changes following i) the emergence of swing suppliers (Russia and Qatar) who export natural gas to both Asian and European markets, ii) substantial increases in Japan's gas import after the 2011 Great East Japan earthquake and iii) fast‐paced increases in China's gas import from Russia; its import increased significantly in 2011 and thereafter. We attempt to identify changes in the dynamic price process between these two markets and also in the long‐run equilibrium, by applying the price discovery framework (Vector Error Correction model). Main findings are i) Asian and European natural gas markets are cointegrated over the sample period (2000–2017) and ii) Asian market was leading the natural gas market, but after 2011, European market became the leader. Asian market is the major adjuster following the market shock which implies that any changes in European market would be transferred to Asian market. Results have implications for industry and policy analyses, and price risk management in the market.
本研究探讨了亚洲和欧洲天然气市场之间的动态关系。本研究确定了这些市场是否经历了以下结构性变化:1)向亚洲和欧洲市场出口天然气的摇摆供应商(俄罗斯和卡塔尔)的出现,2)2011年东日本大地震后日本天然气进口的大幅增加,3)中国从俄罗斯进口天然气的快速增长;2011年及之后,其进口量显著增加。我们试图通过应用价格发现框架(向量误差修正模型)来确定这两个市场之间以及长期运行均衡中动态价格过程的变化。主要发现是:1)在样本期内(2000年–年;2017年),亚洲和欧洲天然气市场是协整的;2)亚洲市场主导天然气市场,但在2011年之后,欧洲市场成为领导者。亚洲市场是继市场震荡之后的主要调整者,这意味着欧洲市场的任何变化都会转移到亚洲市场。研究结果对行业和政策分析以及市场价格风险管理具有启示意义。
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引用次数: 6
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