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SIMULATIVE FLOOD DAMAGE MODELLING TAKING INTO ACCOUNT INUNDATION LEVEL AND FLOW VELOCITY: UNCERTAINTIES AND STRATEGIES FOR FURTHER REFINEMENT 考虑淹没水平和流速的模拟洪水破坏模型:不确定性和进一步改进的策略
Pub Date : 2022-09-14 DOI: 10.2495/friar220031
H. Maiwald, J. Schwarz
In recent years, floods in Germany have caused billions of Euros in property damage. As part of the project “Innovative Vulnerability and Risk Assessment of Urban Areas against Flood Events” (INNOVARU), a realistic, practical model for the monetary assessment of potential flood damage to residential building stock was developed, which also allows the prognosis of structural damage. The structural damage can be predicted in the form of mean damage grades using vulnerability functions, which take into account the vulnerability of the different building types depending on the inundation level and flow velocity. So far, the scatter in the damage has not been taken into account. The paper presents “fragility functions” which enable the quantification of the exceedance probability of certain damage grades depending on inundation level and flow velocity. These functions allow the identification and implementation of the scatter of structural damage. They also enable a simulative damage prognosis using the Monte Carlo method, which provides the basis for loss calculations and serve to quantify the scatter within the financial loss indicators. This can introduce a new level of cost– benefit analyses for the planning of new flood protection measures. For lower flow velocities, typical for river floods, the study is based on a comprehensive qualified damage dataset compiled after the 2002 flood in Germany. The lack of reliable damage data caused by high flow velocities during flash flood events is compensated by an innovative approach. For this purpose, damage data from the tsunami of the Tohoku earthquake in Japan in 2011 are re-evaluated and included in the analysis. The developed “fragility functions” are applied to the re-interpretation of the August 2002 flood damage and loss in six different study areas in the Free State of Saxony. An outlook to the application for flash flood events is given.
近年来,德国的洪水造成了数十亿欧元的财产损失。作为“城市地区抗洪水事件脆弱性和风险创新评估”(INNOVARU)项目的一部分,开发了一个现实、实用的住宅建筑潜在洪水损害货币评估模型,该模型还可以预测结构损坏。利用易损性函数以平均损伤等级的形式预测结构损伤,该函数考虑了不同建筑类型的易损性随淹没水平和流速的变化。到目前为止,分散的损失还没有被考虑在内。本文提出了“易损性函数”,该函数可以量化洪水水位和流速对某些破坏等级超出概率的影响。这些函数允许识别和实现结构损伤的分散。它们还可以使用蒙特卡罗方法进行模拟损害预测,为损失计算提供基础,并用于量化经济损失指标内的分散情况。这可以为规划新的防洪措施引入一个新的成本效益分析水平。对于较低的流速,典型的河流洪水,该研究是基于2002年德国洪水后编制的综合合格损害数据集。一种创新的方法弥补了山洪事件中高流速造成的可靠损害数据的缺乏。为此,我们重新评估了2011年日本东北地震海啸的破坏数据,并将其纳入分析。开发的“脆弱性函数”用于重新解释2002年8月萨克森自由州六个不同研究区域的洪水破坏和损失。展望了该技术在山洪灾害中的应用前景。
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引用次数: 3
CATEGORISING AREA MODELS FOR STORMWATER FEES AT PROPERTY LEVEL: A LITERATURE REVIEW 在物业层面对雨水收费的区域模型进行分类:文献综述
Pub Date : 2022-09-14 DOI: 10.2495/friar220081
U. Rydningen, G. Torgersen, J. T. Bjerkholt
Worldwide, the increasing challenges due to stormwater run-off in urban areas are well known. Authorities need to be prepared for emergency situations and have plans for preventive measures to avoid flooded properties and public grounds. Several studies highlight that homeowner’s knowledge and awareness of their own flood risk, will lead to better protection and less damage. What is probably less focused is that preventive-measures within your own property will also help to reduce the flood risk for your neighbours settled at a lower site. Stormwater fee derived from the area model can be seen both as an instrument to motivate property owners to manage rainwater in a more sustainable way, and a way of financing public infrastructure related to stormwater. Many cities and states worldwide have already introduced area models as a basis for calculating stormwater fee at property level. There are many models which range from very simple and rough calculations to more complex and detailed. In some countries, e.g., USA, differentiated stormwater fees have been used for decades, while for example in Norway this is still a controversial topic. In this study, we will conduct a literature review of area models, which aim to describe what a single property should pay in stormwater fee. Which model is best, depends entirely on the goals you want to achieve. Based on the literature review, our understanding is that more attention will be paid on area models if there is a clear connection between instrument and goal. In this article we aim to categorize and group the different models and describe for which goals they are best suited.
在世界范围内,城市地区雨水径流带来的挑战日益增加,这是众所周知的。当局需要为紧急情况做好准备,并制定预防措施计划,以避免被洪水淹没的财产和公共场所。几项研究强调,房主对自身洪水风险的了解和意识,将带来更好的保护和更少的损失。人们可能不太关注的是,在你自己的财产内采取的预防措施也有助于减少居住在较低地点的邻居的洪水风险。从区域模式中产生的雨水费可以被视为激励业主以更可持续的方式管理雨水的工具,也是为与雨水相关的公共基础设施提供资金的一种方式。世界上许多城市和州已经引入了区域模型作为计算物业层面雨水费的基础。有许多模型,从非常简单和粗略的计算到更复杂和详细的计算。在一些国家,例如美国,不同的雨水费已经使用了几十年,而在挪威,这仍然是一个有争议的话题。在本研究中,我们将对区域模型进行文献综述,旨在描述单个物业应支付的雨水费。哪种模式是最好的,完全取决于你想要实现的目标。根据文献综述,我们的理解是,如果工具和目标之间有明确的联系,那么区域模型将得到更多的关注。在本文中,我们的目标是对不同的模型进行分类和分组,并描述它们最适合哪些目标。
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引用次数: 0
WATER DEMAND SCALING LAWS AND SELF-SIMILARITY PROPERTIES OF WATER DISTRIBUTION NETWORKS 配水网络需水量标度规律及自相似特性
Pub Date : 2022-09-14 DOI: 10.2495/friar220091
M. Moretti, R. Guercio, R. Magini
The design of water distribution networks (WDNs) usually considers deterministic values of nodal water demand, calculated by multiplying the average water demand by an appropriate demand factor, which is the same for all nodes. Obviously, changes in the demand factor produce different, yet perfectly correlated, demand scenarios. Today’s large availability of high-frequency water consumption monitoring allows describing water demand in statistical terms. The traditional deterministic approach, characterized by a perfect correlation between nodal demands, leads to an analytical dependency between the hydraulic heads in each of the nodes and the total flow entering the network. On the other hand, if we consider that the nodal demand is described by marginal probability distributions, differently correlated with each other, this result is still valid, but only for the mean. In this work, several scenarios have been generated through stratified random sampling (Latin hypercube sampling). The nodal water demand is described by Gamma probability distributions whose parameters are related to the type and number of users according to suitable scaling laws, derived from historical data sets. The results were obtained considering different types of users and different network topologies and highlighted the possibility of evaluating the mean function of the nodal hydraulic head vs the total entering flow based on the direct acyclic graph (DAG) of the network. Moreover, the dispersion of the data around the mean function was found to be dependent on the properties of the network: dimension and topological structure.
配水网络的设计通常考虑节点需水量的确定性值,通过将平均需水量乘以适当的需求系数来计算,该系数对所有节点都是相同的。显然,需求因素的变化会产生不同但完全相关的需求情景。如今,高频水消耗监测的大量可用性允许用统计术语描述水需求。传统的确定性方法以节点需求之间的完美相关性为特征,导致每个节点的水力头与进入网络的总流量之间存在分析依赖关系。另一方面,如果我们考虑节点需求是由边际概率分布描述的,彼此之间的相关性不同,这个结果仍然有效,但仅适用于平均值。在这项工作中,通过分层随机抽样(拉丁超立方体抽样)生成了几个场景。节点需水量用Gamma概率分布来描述,该概率分布的参数根据合适的比例规律与用户的类型和数量相关。结果考虑了不同类型的用户和不同的网络拓扑结构,并强调了基于网络的直接无环图(DAG)评估节点水头与总进入流量的平均函数的可能性。此外,数据在均值函数周围的分散程度取决于网络的性质:维度和拓扑结构。
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引用次数: 0
INCORPORATION OF FLOW VELOCITY IN FLOOD DAMAGE ESTIMATION: AHR RIVER VALLEY 2021 STUDY, GERMANY 洪水灾害估算中流速的结合:ahr河谷2021研究,德国
Pub Date : 2022-09-14 DOI: 10.2495/friar220021
E. Pažourková, Martin Salaj, Ricardo E. WONG MONTOYA
A common practice when catastrophe model vulnerability component is being developed is the use of inundation depth as a hazard metric. However, other quantities associated with inundated waters could also yield a significant effect on estimated flood loss being widely published. The key aspect of the study is to assess the relevance of the water depth, flow velocity, and their combinations in the damage estimates done by catastrophe models. Could the flow velocity in the loss calculation process provide some benefits to the catastrophe loss modelling process? In July 2021 the western part of Germany was affected by serious flooding. The physical conditions of the inundated buildings were evaluated in the frame of the Copernicus EMS satellite-based damage assessment. The two heavily impacted areas, the towns of Schuld and Altenahr, were selected for further re-simulation aiming to test the effect of depth and velocity. In the first step, horizontal velocity and flood depth were calculated for each building using a 2D hydraulic simulation. Subsequently, structural damage models were analysed with focus on their predictive skills and variability. A force-based threshold was selected to calibrate the total loss probability, as a feature of the new vulnerability component. As a result, a hazard intensity metric expressed as combined parameter of water depth and flow velocity is finally implemented in the catastrophe model. When comparing the proposed solution with traditional depth-based approach, one can see a slight increment in the modelled monetary damage and a significantly better correlation with the observed damage identified in the study area. The embedded effect of velocity could therefore improve the accuracy and sensitivity of catastrophe flood models, particularly in high-slope areas and in events with extreme and short rainfall intensities to sudden increments in the building damage level, as assessed for the flood in the Ahr valley.
在开发巨灾模型脆弱性分量时,一种常见的做法是使用淹没深度作为危害度量。然而,与被淹没的水有关的其他数量也可能对广泛公布的估计洪水损失产生重大影响。本研究的关键是评估水深、流速及其组合在巨灾模型所做的损失估计中的相关性。损失计算过程中的流速是否对巨灾损失建模过程有一定的好处?2021年7月,德国西部地区遭受严重洪灾。在哥白尼EMS卫星损伤评估框架下,对被淹建筑物的物理状况进行了评估。两个受影响严重的地区,Schuld镇和Altenahr镇,被选中进行进一步的重新模拟,旨在测试深度和速度的影响。第一步,利用二维水力模拟计算每个建筑物的水平流速和洪水深度。随后,重点分析了结构损伤模型的预测能力和变异性。选择基于力的阈值作为新脆弱性分量的特征来校准总损失概率。因此,在突变模型中最终实现了以水深和流速组合参数表示的灾害强度度量。当将提出的解决方案与传统的基于深度的方法进行比较时,可以看到模拟的货币损失略有增加,并且与研究区域确定的观察到的损害具有明显更好的相关性。因此,速度的嵌入效应可以提高巨灾洪水模型的准确性和灵敏度,特别是在高坡地区和极端和短暂降雨强度的事件中,建筑物破坏水平突然增加,如对Ahr流域洪水的评估。
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引用次数: 0
PRIVATE LOT FLOOD PEAK ATTENUATION BY STORMWATER DETENTION TANKS 利用蓄洪池减低私人地段的洪峰
Pub Date : 2022-09-14 DOI: 10.2495/friar220051
Lucy Marta Schellin, R. Dziedzic, M. Dziedzic
Changes in the hydrological cycle due to climate change and urbanization augment and accelerate runoff and flooding, degrade the urban environment, and cause human and material losses. Thus, it is important to implement measures that ensure urban hydrological conditions are kept as close as possible to pre-urbanization conditions, preventing floods. In addition to the conventional major and minor systems, cities may establish criteria for percentage of permeable area as well as stormwater management practices such as stormwater detention tanks, a type of low impact development technology (LID). The present study evaluates the adequacy of current practices in private lot detention tank design. It analyses time to empty, total detention time and flood peak abatement provided by detention tanks designed according to Curitiba’s (Brazil) Bylaw 176/2007. Based on the results obtained, modifications were suggested to existing legislation to increase the efficiency of the detention tanks and, thus, reduce urban flooding and adapt to climate change. The proposed methodology can be applied elsewhere to guide detention tank design.
气候变化和城市化导致的水文循环变化增加并加速了径流和洪水,使城市环境退化,并造成人员和物质损失。因此,重要的是要采取措施,确保城市水文条件尽可能接近城市化前的条件,防止洪水。除了传统的主要和次要系统之外,城市还可以制定可渗透面积百分比的标准以及雨水管理实践,例如雨水储存罐,这是一种低影响开发技术(LID)。本研究评估私人地段蓄水池设计的现行做法是否足够。分析了根据库里蒂巴(巴西)第176/2007号章程设计的蓄水池提供的排空时间、总蓄水池时间和洪峰消减时间。根据所获得的结果,建议对现有立法进行修改,以提高储罐的效率,从而减少城市洪水并适应气候变化。所提出的方法可以应用于其他地方,以指导储罐的设计。
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引用次数: 0
DATA INTEGRATION, HARMONIZATION AND PROVISION TOOLKIT FOR WATER RESOURCE MANAGEMENT AND PREDICTION SUPPORT 水资源管理和预测支持的数据集成、协调和提供工具包
Pub Date : 2022-09-14 DOI: 10.2495/friar220071
Georgios Vosinakis, E. Maltezos, Maria Krommyda, E. Ouzounoglou, A. Amditis
Timely and reliable information is critical to organizations managing water resources. Drinking water is one main source of risk when its safety and security is not ensured. Early prediction and mitigation of such risks relies on prediction models that depend on live and historical data. Such data are quite heterogenous in nature, including sensor measurements, satellite imagery and radar readings, unmanned aerial vehicle (UAV) images and videos as well as results of prediction algorithms (flood risk, oil spills etc). AQUA3S is an EU funded project which combines novel technologies in water safety and security, aiming to standardize existing sensor technologies complemented by state-of-the-art detection mechanisms. Sensor networks are deployed in water supply networks and sources, supported by complex sensors for enhanced detection. Sensor measurements are supported by videos from UAVs, satellite images and social media observations from the citizens that report low-quality water in their area also creating social awareness and an interactive knowledge transfer. Semantic representation and data fusion provides intelligent decision support system (DSS) alerts and messages to the public through first responders’ mediums. This study presents the data ingestion, integration and harmonization platform that was developed to support the systems of the project, consisting of the necessary APIs, to ingest data, a harmonization layer and a data store layer The data is harmonized and indexed using the NGSI-LD model to make sure information can be indexed and served both is real time through a live context broker, as well as in the form of historical time series through a dedicated historical data service. The data store layer includes provisions for the storage of annotated binary files (images, videos, etc.) as well as georeferenced map layers following OGC protocols such as web feature service (WFS), web map service (WMS), and web coverage service (WCS).
及时可靠的信息对管理水资源的组织至关重要。当饮用水的安全和保障得不到保证时,饮用水是一个主要的风险来源。早期预测和减轻此类风险依赖于依赖于实时和历史数据的预测模型。这些数据本质上是异构的,包括传感器测量、卫星图像和雷达读数、无人机(UAV)图像和视频以及预测算法的结果(洪水风险、石油泄漏等)。AQUA3S是欧盟资助的项目,结合了水安全和安保方面的新技术,旨在标准化现有的传感器技术,并辅以最先进的检测机制。传感器网络部署在供水网络和水源中,由复杂传感器支持,以增强检测。传感器测量得到无人机视频、卫星图像和来自公民的社交媒体观察的支持,这些公民报告了他们所在地区的低质量水,这也创造了社会意识和互动知识转移。语义表示和数据融合通过第一响应者媒介向公众提供智能决策支持系统(DSS)警报和消息。本研究提出了为支持该项目系统而开发的数据摄取、集成和协调平台,该平台由必要的api组成,用于摄取数据、协调层和数据存储层。使用NGSI-LD模型对数据进行协调和索引,以确保信息既可以通过实时上下文代理实时索引,也可以通过专用的历史数据服务以历史时间序列的形式进行索引和服务。数据存储层包括用于存储带注释的二进制文件(图像、视频等)的规定,以及遵循OGC协议的地理参考地图层,如web feature service (WFS)、web map service (WMS)和web coverage service (WCS)。
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引用次数: 0
WHAT HAPPENED IN 2021? ANALYZING THE BIGGEST NEGRO RIVER FLOOD IN MANAUS, BRAZIL 2021年发生了什么?分析巴西马瑙斯最大的黑人河流洪水
Pub Date : 2022-09-14 DOI: 10.2495/friar220011
Jussara Socorro CURY MACIEL, Luna Gripp Simões Alves, Bernardo Oliveira, Renato Cruz Senna, Vinicius dos Santos Albuquerque
Flood and ebb processes are common events in any hydrological system. In some cases, due to natural or anthropogenic conditions, such events can take place in an extreme manner, causing a lot of damage to the population. In 2021, in several municipalities in the Amazon basin, rivers reached levels higher than the maximum observed until then, making this year the biggest flood in the entire history of monitoring. Most Amazonian rivers have a high annual pulse of floods, as a result of the precipitation period in the upper part of their large basins. Most of the floodplains located in the central region of Amazonia become inundated from May to July, from which the water drains into the river systems slowly over the drought time. In the Amazon Basin, extreme events are mainly related to El Niño or La Niña events, resulting in some big floods and a long rainfall period. In 2021, the Negro river level exceeded the maximum level observed in the entire 119-year historical series of monitoring. On 30 May 2021, the previous record of 29.97 m observed in 2012 was equaled. The river continued to rise until reaching the level of 30.02 m on 16 June 2021. Other stations monitored by Geological Survey of Brazil, which were accomplished through bulletins, reached historical records in the same year, such as São Gabriel da Cachoeira, Barcelos and Manaus (Negro river), Manacapuru (Solimões river), Careiro da Várzea (Amazon river basin), Itacoatiara and Parintins (Amazon river), all located in the state of Amazonas. This study analyzes the conditions that favored the event of the greatest flood recorded in the Rio Negro in 2021. Some factors contribute to the flooding event, such as the rainfall regime distributed throughout the basin and how the main river and its various tributaries behave during the flooding period.
涨潮和退潮过程在任何水文系统中都是常见的事件。在某些情况下,由于自然或人为条件,这些事件可能以极端的方式发生,对人口造成很大的损害。2021年,在亚马逊流域的几个城市,河流水位超过了此前观测到的最高水位,使今年成为整个监测历史上最大的洪水。由于大流域上部的降水期,大多数亚马逊河每年都有很高的洪水脉冲。位于亚马逊中部地区的大部分洪泛区从5月到7月被淹没,在干旱期间,水从这里慢慢流入河流系统。在亚马逊流域,极端事件主要与El Niño或La Niña事件有关,造成了一些大洪水和较长的降雨周期。2021年,内格罗河的水位超过了整个119年历史监测系列中观测到的最高水位。2021年5月30日,与2012年观测到的29.97米的记录持平。河水继续上涨,直到2021年6月16日达到30.02米的水位。巴西地质调查局通过公告完成的其他监测站,如位于亚马逊州的s o Gabriel da Cachoeira、Barcelos和Manaus(内格罗河)、Manacapuru (Solimões河)、Careiro da Várzea(亚马逊河流域)、Itacoatiara和Parintins(亚马逊河),都在同一年达到了历史记录。本研究分析了促成2021年里奥内格罗发生有史以来最大洪水的条件。洪水发生的原因包括整个流域的降雨状况以及主河及其各支流在洪水期间的表现。
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引用次数: 0
QUARENTA STREAM RENATURALIZATION: HARMONY BETWEEN DEVELOPMENT AND HISTORICAL PRESERVATION IN BRAZIL 夸伦塔河恢复自然:巴西发展与历史保护的和谐
Pub Date : 2022-09-14 DOI: 10.2495/friar220041
Adelina Cristina AUGUSTO CHAVES, Brendo Benedito DE SOUZA, Jussara Socorro CURY MACIEL
Climatic issues have drawn the attention of researchers to the Amazon, referring above all to environmental sustainability and the preservation of the largest tropical forest in the world. However, urban environmental degradation is related to the stagnation of watersheds by canalization; rectification of watercourses and urban spaces occupation disorderly, impacted by social inequalities, compromise socio-environmental and cultural sustainability. Avoiding or mitigating such degradation is generally attributed to the sphere of public policies, whose insufficiency and/or absence aggravate urban problems, whether water and sewage, atmospheric pollution, solid and/or industrial waste. Manaus, the largest financial, corporate, and commercial point in the north of Brazil is embedded in the heart of the Amazon Forest, endowed with a set of hydrographic basins, whose numerous streams permeate all areas of the city, coexists each year with the recurring Negro River floods. In 2021, the Rio Negro flood reached 30.02 m, a historic record in 119 years. The official data indicate that in that year 15 districts suffered flooding, impacting the lives of approximately 24,000 people. The Educandos district, one of the oldest and with the greatest urban concentration, whose history is intertwined with the history of Manaus, located in the middle-south of the city, was very affected by the flood. The mainsprings of the watershed that permeates Educandos are the Educandos, Mestre Chico, and Quarenta streams, which flow into the Negro River. This work, based on the successful experience of a Mindu section basin renaturalization and the creation of the Mindu National Park, studies the important and urgent need for the Quarenta stream renaturalization, to prevent and minimize floods in Manaus, while proposing the creation of a historical site of stilts and the floating city, preserving the culture and respect for the native people.
气候问题引起了研究人员对亚马逊的关注,首先是环境可持续性和世界上最大的热带森林的保护。然而,城市环境的退化与运河建设导致的流域停滞有关;河道整治和城市空间占用无序,受到社会不平等的影响,损害社会环境和文化的可持续性。避免或减轻这种退化一般归因于公共政策领域,这些政策的不足和/或缺乏加剧了城市问题,无论是水和污水、大气污染、固体和/或工业废物。马瑙斯是巴西北部最大的金融、企业和商业中心,坐落在亚马逊森林的中心,拥有一系列的水文盆地,其众多的溪流渗透到城市的各个地区,每年与反复发生的内格罗河洪水共存。2021年,内格罗河水水位达到30.02米,创119年来的历史新高。官方数据表明,那一年有15个地区遭受洪水,影响了大约24 000人的生活。位于城市中南部的Educandos区是最古老、城市最集中的地区之一,其历史与玛瑙斯的历史交织在一起,受到洪水的严重影响。贯穿Educandos的分水岭的主要河流是Educandos、Mestre Chico和Quarenta溪流,它们流入内格罗河。本项目基于Mindu部分流域自然恢复的成功经验和Mindu国家公园的创建,研究了Quarenta河流自然恢复的重要性和紧迫性,以防止和减少玛瑙斯的洪水,同时提出创建一个高脚柱和浮动城市的历史遗址,保护文化并尊重当地人民。
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引用次数: 0
INSTITUTIONS OF HIGHER EDUCATION IN COVID-19 RISK COMMUNICATIONS: TEXAS STUDY 高等教育机构与COVID-19风险沟通:德克萨斯州研究
Pub Date : 2021-12-08 DOI: 10.2495/dman210041
Andrea Bauer, M. Denham
This case study research aimed to explore risk communication processes and strategies adopted by Institutions of Higher Education (IHEs) in the state of Texas during COVID-19. Because higher learning and interactions with students during the initial stages of the pandemic resided predominantly in virtual space, the study design considered website content analysis as appropriate in addressing risk communications chosen by universities. Markedly, website content analysis was conducted among 43 IHEs accredited by the Southern Association of Colleges and Schools Commission on Colleges and part of a Texas University System. This sampling replicates previous IHE research in the state. The conceptual model entitled “Conceptual Model for Evaluating Emergency Risk Communication (EERC)” developed in public health was used to ground focused risk communication dimensions to (a) review whether or to what degree messaging from IHEs aligned with the components used by experts;(b) record the types of patterns that are found in messaging as well as characteristics that foster a Disaster Resilient University (DRU);and (c) provide insights on areas that may need more focus to ensure greater efficacy in the future. The ERC model yielded the following dimensions used for analysis: (a) accurate/reliable;(b) open/transparent;(c) clear;(d) tailored messages;(e) consistent/timely;(f) sufficient;and (g) actionable. In addition to ERC, content regarding technological solutions was assessed from websites of chosen universities to gauge how universities have responded to tools needed during the pandemic to make informed judgments for the campus and to share information openly for the community. Our findings point to various components that IHEs in Texas targeted when communicating COVID-19 related information. For example, less than 60% of IHE in our sample defined terms, reviewed general COVID-19 information, and identified at risk groups on their respective campuses and only 6% provided an option for translating information. Meanwhile, IHEs fared generally better at providing timely updates regarding campus operations (i.e., 80%). Implications for our finding are discussed within the lens of Disaster Resilient University (DRU). © 2021 WIT Press.
本案例研究旨在探讨德克萨斯州高等教育机构(IHEs)在COVID-19期间采取的风险沟通流程和策略。由于在大流行的最初阶段,高等教育和与学生的互动主要是在虚拟空间中进行的,因此研究设计认为网站内容分析适用于解决大学选择的风险沟通问题。值得注意的是,网站内容分析是在南方学院和学校协会委员会认可的43所高等教育机构中进行的,这些机构是德克萨斯大学系统的一部分。这次抽样重复了该州以前的IHE研究。在公共卫生领域开发的题为"评估紧急情况风险沟通概念模型"的概念模型被用于确定重点风险沟通维度,以便(a)审查卫生机构的信息传递是否或在多大程度上与专家使用的组成部分保持一致;(b)记录信息传递中发现的模式类型以及促进抗灾大学的特征;(c)提供对可能需要更多关注以确保的领域的见解未来更有效。ERC模型产生了以下用于分析的维度:(a)准确/可靠;(b)开放/透明;(c)清晰;(d)量身定制的信息;(e)一致/及时;(f)充足;(g)可操作。除ERC外,还从选定大学的网站上评估了有关技术解决方案的内容,以衡量大学如何应对大流行期间所需的工具,为校园做出明智的判断,并为社区公开分享信息。我们的研究结果指出了德克萨斯州的卫生保健机构在传播COVID-19相关信息时所针对的各种组成部分。例如,在我们的样本中,不到60%的IHE定义了术语,审查了一般的COVID-19信息,并在各自的校园中确定了风险群体,只有6%的IHE提供了翻译信息的选项。与此同时,高等教育机构在提供校园运营的及时更新方面总体表现更好(即80%)。我们的发现的意义在灾害复原大学(DRU)的镜头内讨论。©2021 WIT出版社。
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引用次数: 0
EFFECTIVENESS OF GOVERNMENT RESPONSES AND THE ROLE OF NATIONAL CULTURE IN ADDRESSING THE COVID-19 PANDEMIC: A GLOBAL PERSPECTIVE 政府应对措施的有效性和国家文化在应对COVID-19大流行中的作用:全球视角
Pub Date : 2021-12-08 DOI: 10.2495/dman210021
Walid Bakry, Peter J. Kavalamthara, Sajan Cyril, Yiyang Liu
The colossal proportion of the COVID-19 disaster, with approximately 213 million confirmed cumulative cases and 4.5 million deaths at the end of August 2021, is of historical significance that is unparalleled. The pandemic has had an impact on the physical, mental and economic welfare of human beings in every corner of the world. To contain the crisis, governments have implemented a set of policies, aimed at directing human behaviour and improving healthcare outcomes almost from the outset, with varying levels of success. The battle against the virus continues. This study utilises data on growth in daily COVID-19 confirmed cases, from 56 countries which were most affected by the pandemic and investigates the effectiveness of several policies implemented by governments. The investigation covers the period, 24 January 2020 to 25 June 2021. The policies analysed in detail constitute 13 containment and health measures, incorporated in the Oxford COVID-19 Government Response Tracker. The research is based on the premise that the contexts in which policies are implemented have a bearing on the outcomes. The contexts are classified under economic status, national culture, the level of human development and population density. We find that these contexts are relevant in determining the success of alternative policy prescriptions. Overall, the containment and health measures are effective in curtailing the growth in COVID-19 cases to varying degrees across all economic contexts of countries. Containment measures are least effective in lower-middle income countries. Three of the six dimensions of Hofstede's national culture classifications tend to be positively associated with infection rates and the other three negatively associated. Moreover, national culture has a more prominent impact on the effectiveness of actions to reduce the growth in COVID-19 cases in lower-middle income countries. It is important to improve effectiveness of government policy responses to combat the pandemic by tailoring them to country-specific contexts. Our findings contribute to this customisation. © 2021 WIT Press.
截至2021年8月底,COVID-19灾难的巨大规模(累计确诊病例约2.13亿例,死亡450万人)具有无与伦比的历史意义。这一流行病对世界每一个角落人类的身心和经济福利都产生了影响。为了遏制危机,各国政府几乎从一开始就实施了一套旨在指导人类行为和改善医疗保健结果的政策,取得了不同程度的成功。抗击病毒的战斗仍在继续。本研究利用了受疫情影响最严重的56个国家的每日COVID-19确诊病例增长数据,并调查了政府实施的几项政策的有效性。调查期间为2020年1月24日至2021年6月25日。详细分析的政策包括13项遏制和卫生措施,纳入牛津COVID-19政府应对追踪系统。这项研究是基于这样一个前提,即政策实施的背景对结果有影响。这些背景根据经济状况、民族文化、人类发展水平和人口密度进行分类。我们发现,这些背景在决定替代政策处方的成功方面是相关的。总体而言,在各国所有经济背景下,防控和卫生措施在不同程度上有效遏制了COVID-19病例的增长。控制措施在中低收入国家效果最差。Hofstede的国家文化分类的六个维度中,有三个维度与感染率呈正相关,而其他三个维度则呈负相关。此外,民族文化对中低收入国家减少COVID-19病例增长行动的有效性影响更为突出。重要的是要提高政府防治这一流行病的政策对策的有效性,使之适应各国的具体情况。我们的发现有助于这种定制化。©2021 WIT出版社。
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引用次数: 2
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WIT Transactions on the Built Environment
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