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EFFECTS OF ADDED VALUE IN MANUFACTURING INDUSTRY AND SERVICES SECTOR ON ECONOMIC GROWTH: NONLINEAR COINTEGRATION ANALYSIS FOR TURKIYE 制造业和服务业增加值对经济增长的影响:土耳其的非线性协整分析
Pub Date : 2022-10-17 DOI: 10.30976/susead.1170323
Ayça Doğaner
The aim of this study is to determine the relations between the added values ​​of the manufacturing industry and the services sector and GDP using time series models. In this study, in which the annual data of 1960-2020 for Turkiye are used, Harvey et al. (2008) Harvey and Leybourne (2007) linearity tests, Augmented Dickey-Fuller (ADF), Philips-Perron (PP) and Kwiatkowski-Philips-Schmidt-Shin (KPSS) conventional unit root tests for linearly detected series and nonlinear series Kapetanios, Shin and Snell (2003) (CSR) unit root tests were performed for After the series were determined to be stationary, Kapetanios, Shin and Snell (KSS) (2006) cointegration test was performed. According to the results of the analysis, no cointegrated relationship was found between the added values ​​of the manufacturing industry and the services sector and GDP in Turkiye. The fact that there is no cointegrated relationship between the three variables means that the added value of the manufacturing industry and the added value of the services sector do not sufficiently support economic growth in Turkiye. It is important for policy makers to implement practices in order to increase the effects of these variables, which are related to each other, on economic growth, that is, the added value of the manufacturing industry and the services sector.
本研究的目的是利用时间序列模型确定制造业和服务业增加值与GDP之间的关系。本研究使用了土耳其1960-2020年的年度数据,Harvey et al. (2008) Harvey and Leybourne(2007)线性检验,对线性检测序列和非线性序列进行了Augmented Dickey-Fuller (ADF)、Philips-Perron (PP)和Kwiatkowski-Philips-Schmidt-Shin (KPSS)常规单位根检验,对Kapetanios、Shin和Snell (2003) (CSR)进行了单位根检验。采用Shin and Snell (KSS)(2006)协整检验。分析结果表明,土耳其制造业和服务业增加值与GDP之间不存在协整关系。这三个变量之间不存在协整关系,这意味着制造业增加值和服务业增加值对土耳其经济增长的支持不足。对于政策制定者来说,重要的是要实施措施,以增加这些相互关联的变量对经济增长的影响,即制造业和服务业的增加值。
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引用次数: 1
Katılım Bankası Müşterileri ile Konvansiyonel Banka Müşterilerinin Risk Toleransları ve Yatırım Kararlarının Karşılaştırılması
Pub Date : 2022-10-15 DOI: 10.30976/susead.1167436
Mervan Selçuk, Salih Ülev, Hüseyin Burgazoğlu
This study investigates the structure of financial risk tolerances and risk perceptions of participation and conventional bank customers. Our results show that conventional bank clients have a higher average in both overall risk tolerance and financial risk tolerance. This means that participation bank clients are more risk-averse. However, the basis of the participation account includes profit-loss sharing, namely, risk sharing. Therefore, participation account holders were expected to be more risk-taking investors. The results show the opposite and support the managers and employees of participation banks who claim that their customer portfolios are not ready to invest in riskier products such as mudaraba and musharakah.
本研究调查了金融风险承受能力的结构和风险感知的参与和传统银行客户。我们的研究结果表明,传统银行客户在整体风险承受能力和金融风险承受能力方面的平均水平更高。这意味着参与银行的客户更倾向于规避风险。但参与账户的基础包括损益分担,即风险共担。因此,参与账户持有人被认为是更具冒险精神的投资者。调查结果恰恰相反,并支持参与型银行的经理和员工的说法,即他们的客户投资组合还没有准备好投资于穆塔拉巴(mudaraba)和穆沙拉夫(musharakah)等风险较高的产品。
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引用次数: 0
How Effective is Organizational Alienation and Covid-19 Phobia on the Relationship between Flexible Working and Life Satisfaction in the Public 组织异化和Covid-19恐惧症对公众弹性工作与生活满意度的关系有多有效
Pub Date : 2022-09-25 DOI: 10.30976/susead.1099893
Berna Karadana, Ahmet Melih Eyitmiş
To plan a global world order where technology and competition stand out in the 21st century, where we differ in product and diversity. Especially after the third quarter of the century, the rapid development in technology has affected companies and people all over the world. Changes in ways of doing business, production methods, marketing understanding, needs and expectations have created an irreversible structure in working life. In this new process, concepts such as remote working, teleworking, partial working, flexible working have entered business life. These systems, which are widely applied in the private sector, were not seen much in the Turkish public system until 2020. With the measures taken for public employees within the scope of Covid-19, flexible working systems have been adopted. The effects of this system, which was implemented for the first time in the public sector, on the working life constitute the main element of the research. It is thought that the study will contribute to flexible working practices in the next possible pandemic or similar processes. The aim of this research is to determine the effects of flexible working, covid-19 phobia and organizational alienation on life satisfaction. Administrative staff in Kahramanmaraş Sütçü İmam University (KSU) Avşar campus constitute the main body of the research. The research was supported by fieldwork. Quantitative research method was used in the study, and the data were collected using the questionnaire technique. In the research, the hypotheses formed by examining the domestic and foreign literature were tested with the SPSS 25.0 package program by performing reliability, factor, correlation and regression analysis. As a result of multiple regression analysis, the main model was found to be statistically significant. However, according to simple regression analysis, while covid-19 does not affect life satisfaction, flexible working positively affects organizational alienation negatively. In the study, the mediating effect of organizational alienation and covid-19 phobia in the relationship between flexible working and life satisfaction with a different perspective was also examined.
在21世纪,我们在产品和多样性上都有所不同,我们要规划一个技术和竞争脱颖而出的全球世界秩序。特别是在本世纪的第三个25年之后,技术的快速发展影响了全世界的公司和人们。经营方式、生产方法、营销理解、需求和期望的变化已经在工作生活中创造了一个不可逆转的结构。在这个新的过程中,远程工作、远程工作、局部工作、灵活工作等概念进入了企业生活。这些系统广泛应用于私营部门,直到2020年才在土耳其公共系统中得到广泛应用。针对新冠肺炎疫情范围内的公务员,采取了弹性工作制等措施。这一制度首次在公共部门实施,其对工作生活的影响构成了研究的主要内容。据认为,这项研究将有助于在下一次可能发生的大流行病或类似进程中采取灵活的工作做法。本研究的目的是确定弹性工作、covid-19恐惧症和组织异化对生活满意度的影响。kahramanmarakai Sütçü İmam University (KSU) av校园的行政人员构成了研究的主体。这项研究得到了实地考察的支持。本研究采用定量研究方法,采用问卷调查法收集数据。在研究中,通过查阅国内外文献形成的假设,采用SPSS 25.0软件包程序进行信度分析、因子分析、相关分析和回归分析。通过多元回归分析,发现主模型具有统计学显著性。然而,通过简单的回归分析,虽然covid-19对生活满意度没有影响,但弹性工作对组织异化有正向的负向影响。本研究还从不同的视角考察了组织异化和covid-19恐惧症在弹性工作与生活满意度关系中的中介作用。
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引用次数: 0
EVALUATION OF TURKEY'S FOREIGN TRADE IN THE FRAMEWORK OF LOGISTICS PERFORMANCE 物流绩效框架下的土耳其对外贸易评价
Pub Date : 2022-09-15 DOI: 10.30976/susead.1148908
Kevser Meşi̇n, F. Cura
Amaç – Uluslararası ticaret ortamında Türkiye’nin lojistik performansını, dış ticaret verilerini nasıl etkilediği aynı zamanda ihracat ve ithalat rakamlarının yıllar bazlı değişimini ortaya koymaktadır. Yöntem – Çalışmada kullanılan yöntem ihracat, ithalat verileri ile 160 ülkenin lojistik performans endeksinin rakamları üstüne tanımlayıcı testler yapılmış, daha sonra korelasyon ve regresyon analizleri yapılarak aralarındaki ilişki incelenmiştir. Bulgular – Çalışmanın amacı doğrultusunda yapılan analizler neticesinde ihracat ve ithalat performansı ülkelerin gelişmişlik düzeyine doğrudan etkisi olduğu ve bunun sonucunda lojistik performans ve alt bileşenlerinin üzerinde doğru orantılı bir ilişki olduğu tespit edilmiştir. Sonuç – Çalışmanın sonucunda ülkelerin gelişim performansı ile lojistik performansları arasında pozitif yönlü bir paralellik tespit edilmiştir. Ayrıca lojistik performans gelişiminde dış ticaret hacminin etkilediği anlaşılmaktadır.
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引用次数: 1
VALUE CHAIN ANALYSIS AS A SECTORAL COMPETITIVENESS TOOLS: AN EMPRICAL STUDY 价值链分析作为行业竞争力工具的实证研究
Pub Date : 2022-09-08 DOI: 10.30976/susead.993871
Buket Sezer, İsmail Bakan
Amaç - Rekabet güçlerinin işletmelerin değer zinciri üzerinde nasıl bir etkisi olduğunu saptamak bu araştırmanın temel amacını oluşturmaktadır. Yöntem - Bu çalışmanın araştırma evrenini TR41 bölgesinde bulunan Bursa'nın İnegöl ilçesinde mobilya sektöründe faaliyet gösteren işletmelerin sahip ve yöneticileri oluşturmaktadır. Örneklem çerçevesi olarak ise İnegöl Mobilya Sanayicileri Derneği (İMOS) üyesi olan 225 işletme seçilmiştir. Bu araştırma için ulaşılan örneklem büyüklüğü 384’tür. Yüz yüze anket tekniği ile elde edilen verilerin güvenilirlik, korelasyon ve regresyon analizleri SPSS programı kullanılarak test edilmiştir. Bulgular – Araştırma sonucunda, rekabet güçleri boyutlarından mevcut rakipler arası rekabetin gücü, ikame malların tehdidi, tedarikçilerin pazarlık gücü ve müşterilerin pazarlık gücü boyutlarının değer zinciri üzerinde pozitif ve anlamlı bir etkisinin olduğu belirlenmiştir. Sonuç – Sektöre giriş bariyerleri yüksek olduğundan, olası rakiplerin sektöre giriş tehdidinin değer zinciri üzerinde anlamlı bir etkisinin olmadığı tespit edilmiştir.
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引用次数: 0
VOLATILITY INTERACTION OF BIST MAIN SECTOR INDICES: FINDINGS ON THE COVID-19 PERIOD 主要行业指数的波动交互作用:关于新冠肺炎期间的发现
Pub Date : 2022-08-29 DOI: 10.30976/susead.1123835
Fatih Güzel
The aim of the study is to determine the volatility interaction between BIST main sector indices for the period of March 2020, the date when COVID-19 was seen in Turkey, and April 2022, when the effects of the pandemic decreased on a national and global basis and the restrictions were lifted to a large extent. In other words, it is the analysis of the volatility spillover of the BIST main sector indices during the COVID-19 pandemic period. Thus, it is aimed to be a reference for investors investing in different sectors, regulatory authorities responsible for ensuring the functioning of the market, policy makers and academic studies. In this study, BIST Technology (XUTEK), BIST Industry (XUSIN), BIST Financial (XUMAL), BIST Services (XUHIZ) indices, which are the main sector indices of BIST, were used, and the Hafner and Herwartz (2006) causality-in-variance test was applied. It was found that XUMAL, XUHIZ and XUTEK are both volatility emitters and receivers at different levels, while XUSIN is a volatility receiver for all series. COVID-19 has significantly affected the volatility structure of the BIST sector indices. In terms of volatility spillover, sector indices interact intensely. The industrial sector is the sector most affected by the volatility spillover from other sectors.
该研究的目的是确定2020年3月(土耳其发现COVID-19之日)和2022年4月(国家和全球范围内大流行的影响减弱,限制在很大程度上被取消)期间BIST主要行业指数之间的波动性相互作用。换句话说,这是对新冠肺炎大流行期间BIST主要行业指数波动外溢性的分析。因此,本书旨在为投资不同行业的投资者、负责确保市场运作的监管当局、政策制定者和学术研究提供参考。本研究采用北京科技大学科技(XUTEK)、北京科技大学产业(XUSIN)、北京科技大学金融(XUMAL)、北京科技大学服务(XUHIZ)这几个北京科技大学的主要行业指数,采用Hafner和Herwartz(2006)的方差因果检验。研究发现,XUMAL、XUHIZ和XUTEK在不同程度上都是波动的发射方和接收方,而XUSIN则是所有系列的波动接收方。新型冠状病毒感染症(COVID-19)显著影响了科技股行业指数的波动结构。在波动溢出方面,行业指数相互作用强烈。工业部门是受其他部门波动溢出影响最大的部门。
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引用次数: 0
Investigating the Effects of Firm-Specific Factors on Businesses' Investment Financing Decisions 企业特定因素对企业投融资决策的影响研究
Pub Date : 2022-07-26 DOI: 10.30976/susead.1065035
İlhan Çam, G. Özer
Purpose - In this paper, how firm size, firm profitability, and firm growth opportunities affect the investment financing decisions of firms is examined with the dynamic multi-equation system method. Methodology –In the paper, investment financing decisions of 22,694 different firms operating in 76 different countries over 1994 - 2019 were investigated using the seemingly unrelated regression method. Findings –Findings show that: (1) As firm size increases, the use of long-term financial debt in financing capital expenditures and working capital investments increases. (2) As firm profitability increases, the use of long-term financial debt and cash reserves in financing investments increases, while the equity issuance decreases (3) Firms with high growth opportunities decrease their equity issuances in financing their capital expenditures, while increase their long-term debt uses. Conclusions –Investment financing decisions vary with the characteristics of the firms.
目的:本文采用动态多方程系统方法研究了企业规模、企业盈利能力和企业成长机会对企业投融资决策的影响。方法-在本文中,使用看似无关的回归方法调查了1994年至2019年间在76个不同国家运营的22,694家不同公司的投资融资决策。研究结果-研究结果表明:(1)随着企业规模的扩大,长期金融债务在资本支出和营运资本投资融资中的使用增加。(2)随着企业盈利能力的提高,长期金融债务和现金储备在融资投资中的使用增加,而股权发行减少。(3)高增长机会的企业在融资资本支出时减少了股权发行,而增加了长期债务的使用。结论-投资融资决策因企业特征而异。
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引用次数: 0
G8 ÜLKELERİNDE VE TÜRKİYE’DE EKONOMİK KARMAŞIKLIK VE EKOLOJİK AYAK İZİ İLİŞKİSİ: TODA-YAMAMOTO NEDENSELLİK TESTİ ANALİZİ
Pub Date : 2021-12-14 DOI: 10.30976/susead.999109
Çağla Bucak
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引用次数: 4
COVID-19’UN ÇİN VE TÜRKİYE ARASINDAKİ TİCARİ İLİŞKİLERE ETKİSİ
Pub Date : 2021-10-15 DOI: 10.30976/susead.908749
İ̇layda Şahin, Sait Şahi̇n
{"title":"COVID-19’UN ÇİN VE TÜRKİYE ARASINDAKİ TİCARİ İLİŞKİLERE ETKİSİ","authors":"İ̇layda Şahin, Sait Şahi̇n","doi":"10.30976/susead.908749","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.30976/susead.908749","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":240377,"journal":{"name":"Sosyal Ekonomik Araştırmalar Dergisi","volume":"104 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2021-10-15","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"122567624","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Türk-İslam Düşünce Tarihinde Devlet Kavramı
Pub Date : 2021-08-24 DOI: 10.30976/susead.915026
Fırat Demi̇rkol
{"title":"Türk-İslam Düşünce Tarihinde Devlet Kavramı","authors":"Fırat Demi̇rkol","doi":"10.30976/susead.915026","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.30976/susead.915026","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":240377,"journal":{"name":"Sosyal Ekonomik Araştırmalar Dergisi","volume":"139 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2021-08-24","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"122901175","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
期刊
Sosyal Ekonomik Araştırmalar Dergisi
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