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Analisis Model Stokastik Penularan Virus Hepatitis B Stokastik Penularan病毒乙型肝炎模型分析
Pub Date : 2022-11-01 DOI: 10.18860/jrmm.v2i1.14467
A. Laila, Usman Pagalay, Heni Widayani
The spread of hepatitis B virus (HBV) infection has been widely studied using the deterministic SIR model, in which individuals who recover from acute infection have temporary immunity to the virus. However, this deterministic model uses a constant rate of viral infection over time. This is not in accordance with the fact that the infection rate is a random parameter that depends on time. This study discusses the analysis of the stochastic model of hepatitis B virus transmission. The purpose of this study is to construct the SIR stochastic model by dividing the infection rate into two, namely the rate of acute and chronic infection following the Wiener process. The model is then searched for an analytical solution referring to the Ito formula. The analytical solution and the Wiener process are described by substituting parameter values in the form of acute and chronic infection rates (β+α), cure rate (γ), and initial values (S(0) and I(0)) to obtain the mean value (μ). and the standard deviation (σ) of dS(t) and dI(t). The results of the simulation show that the number of infected individuals (I(t)) will decrease rapidly if (γ) is greater but will increase rapidly if (β+α) and (I(0)) are greater.
乙型肝炎病毒(HBV)感染的传播已经使用确定性SIR模型进行了广泛的研究,其中从急性感染中恢复的个体对该病毒具有暂时的免疫力。然而,这种确定性模型使用了一个恒定的病毒感染率。这与感染率是一个随时间变化的随机参数这一事实不符。本研究讨论了乙型肝炎病毒传播的随机模型分析。本研究的目的是按照Wiener过程将感染率分为急性感染率和慢性感染率两部分,构建SIR随机模型。然后根据伊藤公式搜索模型的解析解。解析解和Wiener过程用急慢性感染率(β+α)、治愈率(γ)和初始值(S(0)和I(0))的形式来表示,得到平均值(μ)。dS(t)和dI(t)的标准差(σ)。模拟结果表明,当(γ)较大时,感染个体数(I(t))将迅速减少,而当(β+α)和(I(0))较大时,感染个体数(I(t))将迅速增加。
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引用次数: 0
Simulasi Numerik Model Matematika Vibrasi Dawai Flying Fox Menggunakan Metode Adams-Bashforth-Moulton 数值模拟数学结构
Pub Date : 2022-11-01 DOI: 10.18860/jrmm.v1i7.14512
Febry Noorfitriana Utami, A. Kusumastuti, Juhari Juhari
This study discusses numerical simulation using the Adams-Bashforth-Moulton (ABM) method of order 4 in the flying fox string mathematical model which is in the form of ordinary differential equations depending on time, consisting of two equations, namely the equation of the flying fox string y(t) and the angular equation of the flying fox string θ(t). This mathematical model is a model that has been constructed by Kusumastuti, et al (2017) and has been validated by comparing analytical solutions to its numerical solutions by Sari (2018). The analysis of the behavior of the Kusumastuti 2017 model conducted by Makfiroh (2020) shows that the phase portrait graph is in the form of a spiral with eigenvectors pointing towards the equilibrium point so that the mathematical model of the flying fox string vibration can be concluded as a valid mathematical model that is close to the actual situation. This study attempts to determine the numerical simulation of the deflection of the flying fox string y(t) and the numerical simulation of the angle of the flying fox string θ(t). The Runge-Kutta method of order 4 was used to generate 3 initial values for order 4 ABM. Next, a comparison of the y(t) and θ(t) solution graphs of order 4 ABM with the solution graph with Runge-Kutta of order 4 was performed in Sari 2018. The first simulation was carried out when h=1, the difference in the value of y(t) of order 4 ABM and Runge-Kutta order 4 fluctuated in the range of [0,0.09] with almost the same graphic profile, and the difference in the value of θ(t) ABM of order 4, and Runge-Kuta order 4 which is quite large with different graphic profiles. The second simulation was carried out when h=0.01, the difference in the value of y(t) of order 4 ABM and Runge-Kutta order 4 was fluctuating which also ranged from [0.0.09] with the same graphic profile, and the difference in the values of θ(t) ABM of order 4 and Runge -Kutta order 4 fluctuates in the range of [0,1] with the same graphic profile. So concluded that when h=0.01 comparison of ABM of order 4 and Runge-Kutta of order 4 is the best for displaying the graph profiles of y(t) and θ(t). Further research can explore numerical solutions using other methods.
本文利用Adams-Bashforth-Moulton (ABM) 4阶方法,对随时间变化的常微分方程形式的飞狐弦数学模型进行数值模拟,该数学模型由两个方程组成,即飞狐弦方程y(t)和飞狐弦角方程θ(t)。该数学模型是由Kusumastuti等人(2017)构建的模型,并通过将解析解与Sari(2018)的数值解进行比较来验证。Makfiroh(2020)对Kusumastuti 2017模型的行为分析表明,相位肖像图呈螺旋状,特征向量指向平衡点,因此可以得出飞狐弦振动的数学模型是接近实际情况的有效数学模型。本研究试图确定飞狐弦偏转y(t)的数值模拟和飞狐弦角度θ(t)的数值模拟。采用4阶龙格-库塔法对4阶ABM生成3个初值。接下来,在Sari 2018中对4阶ABM的y(t)和θ(t)解图与4阶龙格-库塔解图进行了比较。当h=1时进行第一次仿真,在几乎相同的图形轮廓下,4阶ABM和龙格-库塔4阶的y(t)值的差值在[0,0.09]范围内波动,而在不同的图形轮廓下,4阶ABM和龙格-库塔4阶的θ(t)值的差值较大。当h=0.01时,4阶ABM与龙格-库塔4阶ABM的y(t)值的差值在[0.0.09]范围内波动,4阶ABM与龙格-库塔4阶ABM的θ(t)值的差值在[0,1]范围内波动。由此得出,当h=0.01时,4阶ABM与4阶Runge-Kutta比较最适合显示y(t)和θ(t)的图形轮廓。进一步的研究可以利用其他方法探索数值解。
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引用次数: 0
DEKOMPOSISI GRAF POHON PISANG Bm,n 香蕉树的分解为n
Pub Date : 2022-11-01 DOI: 10.18860/jrmm.v2i1.14671
Alfi Istijap Aji Sailendra, Evawati Alisah, Achmad Nasichuddin
A decomposition of graph G is collection of subgraphs 〖{H_i}〗_(i=1)^n from G such that H_i [E_i] for E_i is a subset of E(G) and 〖{E_i}〗_(i=1)^n is a partition of E(G). The purpose of the research was to determine the decomposition of the banana tree graph B_(m,n), for m≥1 and n≥2. The research method used in this research is library research. The steps used to determine the decomposition of the banana tree graph B_(m,n) are as follow: (a) Draw a banana tree graph B_(m,n) and label each edge and vertex, (b) Determine the partition on the edges of the banana tree graph B_(m,n), (c) Induced subgraph of from partitions of the banana tree graph B_(m,n), (d) Determine the decomposition of the banana tree graph B_(m,n), (e) Tabulate a conjecture on the decomposition of the banana tree graph B_(m,n), (f) Construct theorem of the decomposition theorem of of the banana tree graph B_(m,n) and its proof. The result of the reasearch is with m≥1 and n≥2, because banana tree graph B_(m,n) is decomposed by the complete graph 〖mK〗_2-decomposition.
图G的分解是G的子图〖{E_i}〗_(i=1)^n的集合,使得E_i的H_i [E_i]是E(G)的一个子集,〖{E_i}〗_(i=1)^n是E(G)的一个分区。研究的目的是确定当m≥1和n≥2时,香蕉树图B_(m,n)的分解。本研究采用的研究方法是图书馆研究。确定香蕉树图B_(m,n)分解的步骤如下:(a)绘制香蕉树图B_(m,n)并标记每条边和顶点,(b)确定香蕉树图B_(m,n)的边划分,(c)由香蕉树图B_(m,n)的划分诱导出的子图,(d)确定香蕉树图B_(m,n)的分解,(e)给出香蕉树图B_(m,n)分解的一个猜想,(f)构造香蕉树图B_(m,n)分解定理的定理及其证明。研究结果为m≥1,n≥2,因为香蕉树图B_(m,n)是用完全图〖mK〗_2分解来分解的。
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引用次数: 0
Syarat Cukup Ketaksamaan Holder di Ruang Lebesgue dengan Variabel Eksponen
Pub Date : 2022-11-01 DOI: 10.18860/jrmm.v2i1.14619
Mohamad Abdul Ba'is, Hairur Rahman, Erna Herawati
Hӧlder inequality is a basic inequality in functional analysis. The inequality used for proofing other inequalities. In this research, the development of the application of the Hӧlder inequality in the Lebesgue spaces with variable exponent and Morrey spaces with variable exponent. The integral Hӧlder inequality is used because the Lebesgue spaces with variable exponent and Morrey spaces with variable exponent is a function space.This research shows the sufficient condition of Hӧlder inequality in Lebesgue spaces with variable exponent and the Morrey spaces with variable exponent according to the norm of the function and its characteristics.
Hӧlder不等式是泛函分析中的一个基本不等式。用来证明其他不等式的不等式。本文研究了Hӧlder不等式在变指数Lebesgue空间和变指数Morrey空间中的应用。由于变指数Lebesgue空间和变指数Morrey空间都是函数空间,所以使用积分Hӧlder不等式。根据函数的范数及其特征,研究了变指数Lebesgue空间和变指数Morrey空间中Hӧlder不等式存在的充分条件。
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引用次数: 0
ANALISIS DINAMIK PENYEBARAN HUMAN PAPILLOMAVIRUS DENGAN PENGARUH VAKSINASI DAN SKRINING
Pub Date : 2022-11-01 DOI: 10.18860/jrmm.v2i1.14712
Miftakhul Rosidah, Heni Widayani, Usman Pagalay
Cervical cancer caused by Human Papillomavirus (HPV) is a serious health problem in Indonesia. The spread of HPV is still an unresolved problem even though a vaccine has been found and screening has been carried out in health facilities in Indonesia. In this study, the dynamic analysis of the HPV spread model was studied by categorizing the population into 6 sub-populations, namely the susceptible individual population (S(t)),  the vaccinated individual population (V(t)), the infected individual population who were not aware 〖(I〗_u (t)), population of infected and screened individuals 〖(I〗_s (t)), population of individuals exposed to cervical cancer (C(t)), and population of cured individuals (R(t)). The model describes the dynamic rate of HPV spread which has two equilibrium points, namely the disease-free equilibrium point and the endemic equilibrium point. The results of this study indicate that the disease-free equilibrium point is unstable, meaning that there is still a possibility that infection will occur in the population. The numerical simulation illustrates that the percentage of individuals who are vaccinated will reduce the increase in the number of unconscious infected individuals and individuals with cervical cancer. Increasing the screening rate in the population will also reduce the number of unconsciously infected individuals and individuals with cervical cancer.
由人乳头瘤病毒(HPV)引起的宫颈癌在印度尼西亚是一个严重的健康问题。尽管已经发现了一种疫苗,并在印度尼西亚的卫生设施中进行了筛查,但HPV的传播仍然是一个未解决的问题。本研究通过将人群分为易感人群(S(t))、接种人群(V(t))、未察觉感染人群(I〗_u (t))、感染人群和筛查人群(I〗_s (t))、宫颈癌暴露人群(C(t))和治愈人群(R(t)) 6个亚人群,对HPV传播模型进行了动态分析。该模型描述了HPV的动态传播速率,它有两个平衡点,即无病平衡点和地方性平衡点。本研究结果表明,无病平衡点是不稳定的,这意味着种群中仍有可能发生感染。数值模拟表明,接种疫苗的个人百分比将减少无意识感染者和宫颈癌患者人数的增加。提高人群的筛查率也将减少无意识感染和宫颈癌患者的人数。
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引用次数: 0
Penerapan Metode Fuzzy Time Series Chen Orde Tinggi Pada Peramalan Hasil Penjualan (Studi Kasus: KPRI “Serba Guna” Kecamatan Selorejo Kabupaten Blitar)
Pub Date : 2022-08-30 DOI: 10.18860/jrmm.v1i6.14561
Nur Misbahul Arfiana, Evawati Alisah, Dewi Ismiarti
The most developed forecasting method currently is the time series, which uses a quantitative approach with past data as a reference for future forecasting. Fuzzy time series is a solution that uses time series data by applying fuzzy methods in forecasting. This research using fuzzy time series is applied on data from the sale of the Republic of Indonesia Employee Cooperative (KPRI) Selorejo District, Blitar Regency in 2015-2021. This study describes the problem of forecasting the results of cooperative sales using the Fuzzy Time Series (FTS) which was developed with the High Order. The development of the method is done by improving the FTS method with mathematical rules and is applied to the stages of the process of forecasting the results of cooperative sales. Testing the results of the High Order Fuzzy Time Series forecasting using the best Mean Squared Error (MSE), Mean Absolute Percentage Error (MAPE) and Mean Absolute Error (MAE) accuracy values . The High Order Fuzzy Time Series consists of second order FTS, third order FTS and fourth order FTS. The results of the calculation of the smallest accuracy values are found in the fourth-order FTS, namely MSE of 19,333,658,980,372, MAPE of 11%, and MAE of 267,749. So it can be concluded that the fourth-order FTS is the best method in this study.
目前最发达的预测方法是时间序列,它采用定量的方法,以过去的数据为参考,对未来进行预测。模糊时间序列是将时间序列数据应用模糊方法进行预测的一种解决方案。本研究使用模糊时间序列对印度尼西亚共和国雇员合作社(KPRI) Selorejo区,Blitar Regency在2015-2021年的销售数据进行了应用。本文描述了利用高阶模糊时间序列(FTS)预测合作销售结果的问题。该方法利用数学规则对FTS方法进行改进,并应用于合作销售结果预测过程的各个阶段。采用最佳均方误差(MSE)、平均绝对百分比误差(MAPE)和平均绝对误差(MAE)精度值对高阶模糊时间序列预测结果进行检验。高阶模糊时间序列由二阶傅氏变换、三阶傅氏变换和四阶傅氏变换组成。最小精度值的计算结果在四阶FTS中,即MSE为19,333,658,980,372,MAPE为11%,MAE为267,749。因此可以得出结论,四阶傅里叶变换是本研究的最佳方法。
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引用次数: 2
Implementasi Backpropagation Neural Network pada Prediksi Jumlah Penjualan Toyota Avanza di Indonesia
Pub Date : 2022-08-30 DOI: 10.18860/jrmm.v1i6.14594
Nur Fatin Mufinnun, Hairur Rahman, M. N. Jauhari
Prediction is a branch of science that is used to predict events that may occur in the future based on past events. One of the developed prediction methods, Backpropagation Neural Network, a method that has a good level of effectiveness. This study aims to determine the model and the accuracy of the model in predicting the total sales of the Toyota Avanza and to find out the results of sales predictions for the next 12 months by analyzing the number of sales in January 2010 to October 2021. The prediction model for the number of Toyota Avanza sales using the Backpropagation Neural Network is 12-13-1, where there are 12 variables in the input layer, 13 variables in the hidden layer and 1 variable in the output layer with a learning rate value of 0.5 and momentum 0. The predictions for the number of Toyota Avanza sales for 12 months are at an average upper limit of 6215 and an average lower limit of 3415 with a MAPE value of 9,39135%, so that the model can be said to be very good. 
预测是科学的一个分支,用于根据过去的事件预测未来可能发生的事件。其中一种发达的预测方法是反向传播神经网络,它具有很好的有效性。本研究旨在确定模型和模型在预测丰田Avanza总销量的准确性,并通过分析2010年1月至2021年10月的销售数量,找出未来12个月的销售预测结果。使用反向传播神经网络对丰田Avanza销量的预测模型为12-13-1,其中输入层有12个变量,隐藏层有13个变量,输出层有1个变量,学习率值为0.5,动量为0。对丰田Avanza 12个月销量的预测平均上限为6215辆,平均下限为3415辆,MAPE值为939135%,可以说是非常好的车型。
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引用次数: 1
Optimasi Distribusi Biaya Transportasi Melalui Metode Modified Distribution 通过改进分配方法对运输成本分布的优化
Pub Date : 2022-08-30 DOI: 10.18860/jrmm.v1i6.14531
Ahmed Syarief Marzuki, Juhari Juhari, E. Alisah
Distribution is the action or process of supplying goods to stores and other businesses that sell to consumers. If a product or service is distributed from a company, it requires adequate means of transportation and usually requires too large distribution costs. Delivery of goods at this company does not use mathematical methods in calculating its distribution to several places correctly. The purpose of this research is to create an optimal, efficient and effective distribution model for this company by applying the North West Corner Method and the Modified Distribution Method in July, August and September 2021. North West Corner Method for the initial solution and Modified Distribution Method as the optimal solution is a variation of the Stepping Stone method. The results of this research show that the distribution costs incurred by the company after being calculated using the North West Corner Method and the Modified Distribution Method are Rp. 6,961,779, - from Rp. 7,000,000. Then these two methods are able to help companies save distribution costs incurred.
分销是向商店和其他向消费者销售商品的企业供应商品的行为或过程。如果一个产品或服务是从一个公司分发出去的,它需要足够的运输工具,通常需要很大的配送成本。这家公司的货物运输没有使用数学方法正确地计算其分布到几个地方。本研究的目的是在2021年7月、8月和9月,应用西北角法和修正配送法,为该公司创建一个最优、高效、有效的配送模型。西北角法作为初始解,修正分布法作为最优解是对踏脚石法的一种改进。本研究结果表明,采用西北角法和修正配送法计算后,该公司的配送成本为6,961,779卢比,-从7,000,000卢比。那么这两种方法都能够帮助企业节省所产生的配送成本。
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引用次数: 0
Bilangan Kromatik Titik dari Dual Graf Berlian
Pub Date : 2022-08-30 DOI: 10.18860/jrmm.v1i6.14517
Nurul Hafidhoh Anwar, M. N. Jauhari, Dewi Ismiarti
A vertex coloring of a graph , is an assigments of colors to the vertices of , such that no two adjacent vertices are assigned the same color. The least number of colors needed for an vertices coloring of a graph  is the chromatic number, denoted by . A graph is said to be planar if it can be drawn in the plane so that no edges crossing except at endpoints. A dual graph is constructed from the planar graph. Each region in planar graph can be represented by a vertex of the dual graph. Two vertices are connected if the region represented by these vertices are neugbours and have a common border. A diamond graph denoted by , can be used to model structure networks. In this study, it is shown that the chromatic number of dual diamond graph is  χ(〖Br_n〗^* )={█(3,n=2 and n≥4@4,n=3.)┤
图的顶点着色是对顶点的颜色分配,使得相邻的两个顶点没有被分配相同的颜色。图的顶点着色所需的最少颜色数是色数,表示为。如果一个图可以在平面上画出来,除了在端点处外,没有任何边相交,那么这个图就是平面的。在平面图的基础上构造对偶图。平面图上的每个区域都可以用对偶图的一个顶点来表示。如果两个顶点所代表的区域是相邻的,并且有一个共同的边界,那么这两个顶点就是连通的。表示的菱形图可以用来对结构网络建模。研究表明,对偶菱形图的色数为χ(〖Br_n〗^*)={█(3,n=2,n≥4@4,n=3.
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引用次数: 0
Analisis Frekuensi Ciphertext dengan Algoritma Kriptografi DNA dan Transformasi Digraf
Pub Date : 2022-08-30 DOI: 10.18860/jrmm.v1i6.14591
W. Faizah, Muhammad Khudzaifah, Dewi Ismiarti
DNA Cryptography is one of new algortihm in cryptography that is used to encrypt the data by converting the DNA code into binary code. Encryption process is expected to produce a random and unreadable ciphertext. This research aims to determine the result of encryption frequency analysis of the ciphertext obtained from the encryption process using DNA Cryptography and Digraph Transformation algorithm. The formation of a symmetric key is carried out for the encryption and decryption process in DNA Cryptography, and modular arithmetic in Digraph Transformation algorithm. The encryption process produces ciphertext in the form of letters and symbols because if involves the use of an ASCII table. Frequency analysis is done by comparing the frequency of occurence of letters in the ciphertext with frequency of occurence of letters in English. The conclusion for this research is that the ciphertext looks random, not easy to read, and hard to guess. For the future work, researcher can change the choice of binary code combinatory in DNA Cryptographic algorithms, increase the character vocabulary in the Digraph Transformation algorithm, and use various languages to code.
DNA密码学是密码学中的一种新算法,它通过将DNA编码转换成二进制编码来对数据进行加密。加密过程预计会产生随机且不可读的密文。本研究旨在利用DNA密码学和有向图变换算法对加密过程中得到的密文进行加密频率分析,确定加密频率分析的结果。对DNA密码学中的加解密过程进行了对称密钥的生成,对有向图变换算法进行了模运算。加密过程产生字母和符号形式的密文,因为它涉及到使用ASCII表。频率分析是将密文中字母的出现频率与英文字母的出现频率进行比较。这项研究的结论是,密文看起来是随机的,不容易阅读,而且很难猜测。在未来的工作中,研究人员可以改变DNA密码算法中二进制码组合的选择,增加有向图变换算法中的字符词汇,并使用多种语言进行编码。
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引用次数: 0
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