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Perbandingan Uji Akurasi Fuzzy Time Series Model Cheng Dan Lee Dalam Memprediksi Perkembangan Harga Cabai Rawit 对郑和李模型模糊时间系列预测辣椒价格上涨的比较
Pub Date : 2023-05-01 DOI: 10.18860/jrmm.v2i4.16808
Dewi Ismiarti, Jami'atu Sholichati Nafisah, Evawati Alisah, Imam Sujarwo
Fuzzy Time Series is a method used to predict data. Fuzzy Time Series is a development of time series analysis, where Fuzzy Time Series uses the concept of fuzzy sets as the basis for its calculations. In addition, Fuzzy Time Series has various methods such as Cheng and Lee Fuzzy Time Series. In this study, Fuzzy Time Series is used to predict data on the price development of cayenne pepper in Indonesia. By using these two methods, an analysis of the level of accuracy is then carried out using several methods. So that the results obtained in this study are the MAE value of the Cheng method 669,162 and the Lee method 502,285, the MSE value of the Cheng method 1.261.393 and the Lee method 699.030.1, the MPE value of the Cheng method 0,01% and the Lee method -0,02%, and The MAPE value of the Cheng method is 1,24% and the Lee method is 0.92%. The Lee method has a smaller error value than the Cheng method, so that the Lee method is declared to be better than the Cheng method.
模糊时间序列是一种用于预测数据的方法。模糊时间序列是时间序列分析的发展,其中模糊时间序列使用模糊集的概念作为其计算的基础。此外,模糊时间序列还有Cheng和Lee模糊时间序列等多种方法。本研究采用模糊时间序列对印尼辣椒价格走势进行预测。通过使用这两种方法,然后使用几种方法对精度水平进行分析。因此,本研究得到的结果为Cheng法的MAE值为669,162,Lee法的MAE值为502,285,Cheng法的MSE值为1.261.393,Lee法的MPE值为699.030.1,Cheng法的MPE值为0.01%,Lee法的MPE值为- 0.02%,Cheng法的MAPE值为1.24%,Lee法的MAPE值为0.92%。Lee方法的误差值比Cheng方法小,因此Lee方法被声明为优于Cheng方法。
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引用次数: 0
Pengamanan Pesan Menggunakan Algoritma One Time Pad dengan Linear Congruential Generator sebagai Pembangkit Kunci
Pub Date : 2023-03-01 DOI: 10.18860/jrmm.v2i3.16770
Jamilatul Maghfiroh, Turmudi Turmudi, Ellys Susanti
Cryptography is one method that can be used to secure a message by hiding the original text. This study uses the One Time Pad (OTP) algorithm to secure a message and the Linear Congruential Generator (LCG) algorithm as a key generator. The purpose of this study is to describe the key generation process using the LCG algorithm, the encryption and decryption process of messages using the OTP algorithm. The process of encrypting and decrypting messages using the OTP algorithm requires a key as long as the original message and must be random. Therefore, a random number generation process is carried out using the LCG algorithm before encoding the message. The results of this study are the LCG algorithm is able to build dynamic keys with the condition that the length of the period must be greater than or equal to the length of the plaintext. The process of encoding messages using the OTP algorithm has a high level of security because the number of characters used is more and the process of sending messages is easier. The resulting ciphertext is a very random and unreadable message that is difficult to decipher.
密码学是一种可以通过隐藏原始文本来保护消息的方法。本研究使用One Time Pad (OTP)算法来保护讯息,并使用线性同余生成器(Linear Congruential Generator, LCG)算法作为密钥生成器。本研究的目的是描述使用LCG算法的密钥生成过程,以及使用OTP算法的消息加解密过程。使用OTP算法加密和解密消息的过程需要一个与原始消息一样长的密钥,并且必须是随机的。因此,在对消息进行编码之前,使用LCG算法进行随机数生成过程。本研究的结果是LCG算法能够在周期长度必须大于等于明文长度的条件下构建动态密钥。使用OTP算法对消息进行编码的过程具有很高的安全性,因为使用的字符数量更多,发送消息的过程也更容易。由此产生的密文是一个非常随机和不可读的消息,很难破译。
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引用次数: 0
Analisis Sentimen Mahasiswa Terhadap Perkuliahan Dalam Jaringan Menggunakan Metode Naïve Bayes Classifier 学生对网络演讲的感情分析使用了天真的贝斯经典费尔法
Pub Date : 2023-03-01 DOI: 10.18860/jrmm.v2i3.16415
B. Rahmatullah, Imam Sujarwo, Erna Herawati
Since the pandemic of Covid-19 was happened in Indonesia, the government shared the letter of The Ministry of Education and Higher Culture Education Directorate No.1, year 2020 about prevention of the spread of Corona Virus Disease (Covid-19) in higher education. Through the letter, The Ministry of Education and Culture gave an instruction for college to organize online learning and suggested students to study at their home. Online learning which was considered as a strategy then became a controversy because it needed adaption. This sudden change from normal learning to online learning caused many responses from students. The aim of this research was to analyze student sentiment or responses on online learning in this pandemic era of Covid-19 in Indonesia by using data which had been collected using questionnaire and processed using naïve bayes classifier method. This research was case study descriptive quantitative research. The research was done by collecting the data first. The data was collected through questionnaire with the question about their opinion on online learning in this pandemic Covid-19 era. The data was 157 student’s data opinion on online learning. After the data was collected, the data was cleaned first from question mark and the words which didn’t give an effect in sentiment analysis. After the data was cleaned, then the result of the classification will be showed as well as the accuracy which the model earned. The result showed that online learning had negative sentiment more than positive sentiment. The height of negative sentiment was caused by discomfort of student in online learning. The word which frequently showed was ‘tidak efektif’, ‘susah’, and ‘tugas’. The accuracy of this model was 75% when the result of this accuracy was good result in classification.
自2019冠状病毒病大流行在印度尼西亚发生以来,政府分享了教育和高等文化部教育理事会2020年第1号关于在高等教育中预防冠状病毒病(Covid-19)传播的信件。通过这封信,教育文化部指示大学组织在线学习,并建议学生在家学习。在线学习被认为是一种策略,但它需要适应,因此引发了争议。这种从正常学习到在线学习的突然转变引起了学生们的许多反应。本研究的目的是利用问卷调查收集的数据,并使用naïve贝叶斯分类器方法进行处理,分析在Covid-19大流行时代印度尼西亚学生对在线学习的看法或反应。本研究为个案研究、描述性定量研究。这项研究是通过收集数据来完成的。数据是通过问卷收集的,问卷的问题是他们对新冠肺炎大流行时代在线学习的看法。数据为157名学生对在线学习的数据意见。数据收集后,首先从问号和对情感分析没有影响的词中清理数据。在对数据进行清洗后,将显示分类的结果以及模型所获得的准确率。结果表明,网络学习的负面情绪多于正面情绪。负面情绪的高度是由学生在网络学习中的不适引起的。经常出现的单词是“tidak efektif”、“susah”和“tugas”。该模型的准确率为75%,当该准确率达到较好的分类效果时。
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引用次数: 0
Membangun Super Enkripsi untuk Mengamankan Pesan 建立超级加密来保护消息
Pub Date : 2023-03-01 DOI: 10.18860/jrmm.v2i3.16335
Laura Agustina, Imam Sujarwo, Muhammad Khudzaifah
The issue of message security or an information is very important. A science that studies about securing the confidentiality of messages using passwords is called cryptography. To enhance security, two algorithms are combined to secure messages. Super encryption is a concept that uses a combination of two or more substitution and permutation (transposition) cryptography techniques to obtain an algorithm that is more difficult to crack. The first thing to do is to encrypt the message using a substitution technique (Cipher Substitution), then re-encrypt it using a permutation technique (Cipher Transposition). In this study, two cryptographic algorithms will be combined to build super encryption using the Vigenere Cipher and Bifid Cipher algorithms to secure messages. The message encryption process is using the Vigenere Cipher algorithm for the first encryption process, then continued using the Bifid Cipher algorithm for the second encryption process. The encryption process is done the other way around, starting from the back of the encryption process. The combination of these two algorithms results in more secure message security.
消息或信息的安全问题是非常重要的。一门研究使用密码保护信息机密性的科学被称为密码学。为了提高安全性,将两种算法结合起来保护消息。超级加密是一个概念,它使用两种或多种替换和置换(换位)加密技术的组合来获得更难以破解的算法。首先要做的是使用替换技术(Cipher substitution)加密消息,然后使用置换技术(Cipher Transposition)重新加密消息。在本研究中,两种加密算法将结合使用Vigenere Cipher和Bifid Cipher算法构建超级加密来保护消息。消息加密过程在第一个加密过程中使用Vigenere Cipher算法,然后在第二个加密过程中继续使用Bifid Cipher算法。加密过程以另一种方式完成,从加密过程的后面开始。这两种算法的结合可以提高消息安全性。
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引用次数: 0
Analisis Model Epidemi SEIR Menggunakan Metode Runge-Kutta Orde 4 pada Penyebaran COVID-19 di Indonesia 用Runge-Kutta - 4方法分析西维尔-19在印度尼西亚的疫情爆发
Pub Date : 2023-03-01 DOI: 10.18860/jrmm.v2i3.16355
Anis Putri Rahmadhani, Ari Kusumastuti, Juhari Juhari
This study discusses the analysis of the Susceptible-Exposed-Infected-Recovered (SEIR) epidemic model using the fourth-order Runge-Kutta method on the spread of COVID-19 in Indonesia by taking into account the factors limiting community interaction and the percentage of vaccination as model parameters. The purpose of this study was to determine the application of the Susceptible–Exposed–Infected–Recovered (SEIR) model using the fourth-order Runge-Kutta method in dealing with COVID-19 in Indonesia. The steps in analyzing the model are to determine the stability of the model that produces local asymptotic stability, then carry out the implementation as well as simulation using the fourth-order Runge-Kuta method in dealing with COVID-19 in Indonesia. The calculation results show the effect of limiting community interaction and vaccination in reducing cases of COVID-19 infection. Where, when limiting public interaction, the number of cases of COVID-19 infection is lower than before the restrictions on community interaction were carried out, and the higher percentage of vaccinations also resulted in more sloping infection cases. This study provides information that if restrictions on community interaction continue to be carried out by continuing to increase the percentage of vaccinations, it is estimated that the daily graph of positive cases of COVID-19 will be increasingly sloping and close to zero. Thus, the addition of new cases will decrease and it is hoped that the COVID-19 pandemic will end soon.
本研究采用四阶龙格-库塔方法,考虑限制社区互动的因素和疫苗接种率作为模型参数,对印度尼西亚COVID-19传播的易感-暴露-感染-恢复(SEIR)流行病模型进行分析。本研究的目的是利用四阶龙格-库塔方法确定易感-暴露-感染-恢复(SEIR)模型在印度尼西亚处理COVID-19中的应用。分析模型的步骤是确定产生局部渐近稳定的模型的稳定性,然后在印度尼西亚处理COVID-19时使用四阶龙格-库塔方法进行实现和模拟。计算结果表明,限制社区互动和疫苗接种对减少COVID-19感染病例的影响。其中,在限制公众互动时,COVID-19感染病例数低于限制社区互动前,疫苗接种率的提高也导致了更多的倾斜感染病例。该研究提供的信息表明,如果继续通过继续提高疫苗接种百分比来限制社区互动,估计COVID-19阳性病例的每日图表将越来越倾斜并接近于零。因此,新增病例将会减少,希望新冠疫情能够尽快结束。
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引用次数: 0
Analisis Dinamik Model Infeksi Mikrobakterium Tuberkulosis Dengan Dua Lokasi Pengobatan 用两种治疗地点对结核病微生物感染模型进行动态分析
Pub Date : 2023-03-01 DOI: 10.18860/jrmm.v2i3.16753
U. Kt, Heni Widayani, A. Kusumastuti
Tuberculosis is an infectious disease caused by Mycobacterium tuberculosis. The disease is considered dangerous because it infects the lungs and other organs of the body and can lead to death. This study discusses a mathematical model for the spread of tuberculosis with two treatment sites as an effort to reduce the transmission rate of TB cases. Treatment for TB patients can be done at home and in hospitals. The purpose of this study was to construct a mathematical model and analyze the qualitative behavior of the TB spread model. The construction of the model uses the SEIR epidemic model which is divided into five subpopulations, namely susceptible subpopulations, latent subpopulations, infected subpopulations receiving treatment at home, and infected subpopulations receiving treatment at the hospital, and cured subpopulations. The analysis of qualitative behavior in the model includes determining the local and global equilibrium and stability points. The results of the analysis shows that the model has two equilibrium points, namely a disease-free equilibrium point and the endemic equilibrium point. The existence of endemic equilibrium point and the local and global stability of the two equilibrium points depend on the basic reproduction number denoted by . If ,  there is only disease-free equilibrium point. If , there are two equilibrium points, namely the disease-free equilibrium point and the endemic equilibrium point. Stability analysis shows that the disease-free equilibrium point is locally and globally asymptotically stable if . While, if , the endemic equilibrium point will be asymptotically stable locally and globally.
结核病是一种由结核分枝杆菌引起的传染病。这种疾病被认为是危险的,因为它会感染肺部和身体的其他器官,并可能导致死亡。本研究讨论了两个治疗点结核病传播的数学模型,以降低结核病病例的传播率。结核病患者的治疗可以在家中和医院进行。本研究的目的是建立一个数学模型,分析结核传播模型的定性行为。模型的构建采用SEIR流行病模型,该模型分为5个亚群,即易感亚群、潜伏亚群、在家治疗的感染亚群、在医院治疗的感染亚群和治愈亚群。模型的定性行为分析包括确定局部和全局平衡点和稳定性点。分析结果表明,该模型有两个平衡点,即无病平衡点和地方性平衡点。地方性平衡点的存在性以及两个平衡点的局部稳定性和全局稳定性取决于基本繁殖数。若,则只有无病平衡点。则存在两个平衡点,即无病平衡点和地方病平衡点。稳定性分析表明,如果无病平衡点是局部和全局渐近稳定的。而,地方性平衡点将是局部和全局渐近稳定的。
{"title":"Analisis Dinamik Model Infeksi Mikrobakterium Tuberkulosis Dengan Dua Lokasi Pengobatan","authors":"U. Kt, Heni Widayani, A. Kusumastuti","doi":"10.18860/jrmm.v2i3.16753","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.18860/jrmm.v2i3.16753","url":null,"abstract":"Tuberculosis is an infectious disease caused by Mycobacterium tuberculosis. The disease is considered dangerous because it infects the lungs and other organs of the body and can lead to death. This study discusses a mathematical model for the spread of tuberculosis with two treatment sites as an effort to reduce the transmission rate of TB cases. Treatment for TB patients can be done at home and in hospitals. The purpose of this study was to construct a mathematical model and analyze the qualitative behavior of the TB spread model. The construction of the model uses the SEIR epidemic model which is divided into five subpopulations, namely susceptible subpopulations, latent subpopulations, infected subpopulations receiving treatment at home, and infected subpopulations receiving treatment at the hospital, and cured subpopulations. The analysis of qualitative behavior in the model includes determining the local and global equilibrium and stability points. The results of the analysis shows that the model has two equilibrium points, namely a disease-free equilibrium point and the endemic equilibrium point. The existence of endemic equilibrium point and the local and global stability of the two equilibrium points depend on the basic reproduction number denoted by . If ,  there is only disease-free equilibrium point. If , there are two equilibrium points, namely the disease-free equilibrium point and the endemic equilibrium point. Stability analysis shows that the disease-free equilibrium point is locally and globally asymptotically stable if . While, if , the endemic equilibrium point will be asymptotically stable locally and globally.","PeriodicalId":270235,"journal":{"name":"Jurnal Riset Mahasiswa Matematika","volume":"59 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2023-03-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"122868030","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Enkripsi dan Dekripsi Pesan Menggunakan Polinomial Galois Field dengan Algoritma Hill Cipher
Pub Date : 2022-12-31 DOI: 10.18860/jrmm.v2i2.15150
Amelia Vega, Imam Sujarwo, Muhammad Khudzaifah
An information is extremely easy to obtain when technology is evolving so fast and it is important to secure the information to avoid irresponsible parties who want to abuse it. Messages that are not safe will harm the owner of the message, therefore a lot of research is related to message security. This study aims to deepen the message security in encoded form using Galois Field polynomials with one of the symmetric encryption algorithms, namely the Hill Cipher algorithm. Encryption is the process of converting a message into a secret code while decryption is the reverse process. The encryption and decryption process in this discussion is carried out by changing the message character into Galois Field polynomial form, then operating calculations based on the Hill Cipher algorithm, and then changing the results of the calculation operations into character form again. Based on the modifications have been made, the encryption and decryption formulas will be multiplied by modulo in polynomials form. In this study, the encryption and decryption keys are in matrix form with elements in it are members of the Galois Field polynomial and the result is a random message of 256 characters in binary bit-8. From this research, we gain insight into the encoding that can be done using polynomials which can be used later in other forms of encoding.
当技术发展如此之快时,信息非常容易获得,重要的是要确保信息的安全,以避免不负责任的人想要滥用信息。不安全的消息会伤害到消息的所有者,因此很多研究都与消息安全有关。本研究的目的是利用伽罗瓦场多项式和对称加密算法之一Hill Cipher算法,以编码形式加深消息安全性。加密是将消息转换为密码的过程,而解密是相反的过程。本文讨论的加解密过程是先将消息字符转换为伽罗瓦域多项式形式,然后根据Hill Cipher算法进行计算,再将计算操作的结果再次转换为字符形式。根据所做的修改,加密和解密公式将以多项式形式乘以模。在本研究中,加解密密钥采用矩阵形式,其中的元素为伽罗瓦域多项式的成员,其结果为二进制bit-8的256个字符的随机消息。从这项研究中,我们深入了解了可以使用多项式完成的编码,这些多项式可以在以后的其他形式的编码中使用。
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引用次数: 0
Implementasi Data Mining Menggunakan Algoritma C4.5 pada Klasifikasi Penjualan Hijab
Pub Date : 2022-12-31 DOI: 10.18860/jrmm.v2i2.14891
Farida Husna, Hairur Rahman, Juhari Juhari
Indonesia is known as a country with a majority Muslim population, this makes the need for clothing in Indonesia must also pay attention to the criteria for Muslim clothing, one of which is the hijab. Business developments in the fashion world, especially hijab, have become a trend setter at this time so that the large amount of data in the fashion business world creates conditions where there are businesspeople who have a lot of data but lack of information from that data. To deal with these conditions, it is necessary to classify the data. A classification is a process to find the same properties in a data set to be classified into different classes.  One of the classification methods is the Decision tree using the C4.5 Algorithm.  This research aims to determine the model and the accuracy of the C4.5 algorithm in classifying hijab sales from several hijab brands.  The Decision tree model is obtained using the C4.5 algorithm with the first root being the price attribute, where the first root is the attribute that most affected the sale of the hijab.  The result of calculating the accuracy value is 87% so that the Decision tree model and the classification process using the C4.5 Algorithm are classified as good. This research is expected to help businesspeople in the fashion sector, especially hijab, to find out the factors that influence consumer interest in a hijab product.
印度尼西亚被称为穆斯林人口占多数的国家,这使得在印度尼西亚需要服装时也必须注意穆斯林服装的标准,其中之一就是头巾。时尚界的商业发展,尤其是头巾,目前已经成为潮流的引领者,因此时尚商界的大量数据创造了这样的条件:商人拥有大量数据,但却缺乏从这些数据中获得的信息。为了处理这些情况,有必要对数据进行分类。分类是在数据集中找到相同属性并将其分类到不同类别的过程。其中一种分类方法是使用C4.5算法的决策树。本研究旨在确定C4.5算法在对几个头巾品牌的头巾销售进行分类时的模型和准确性。决策树模型是使用C4.5算法获得的,第一个根是价格属性,其中第一个根是对头巾销售影响最大的属性。计算精度值的结果为87%,表明决策树模型和使用C4.5算法的分类过程是良好的。这项研究有望帮助时尚行业的商人,特别是头巾行业的商人,找出影响消费者对头巾产品兴趣的因素。
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引用次数: 0
Indeks Eksentrisitas Zagreb Pertama dan Kedua Graf Koprima dari Grup Matriks Upper Unitriangular atas Ring Bilangan Bulat Modulo Prima 萨格勒布的怪癖指数第一和第二格芙,上单位矩阵共性基数除以模素数圈的对偶偶
Pub Date : 2022-12-31 DOI: 10.18860/jrmm.v2i2.15668
Muhammad Aris Abdillah, Dewi Ismiarti
The coprime graph of a group G is a graph Γ_G with G is its set of vertices and any two distinct vertices are adjacent if and only if their order are relatively prime. Let p be a prime number, then G_p denotes the multiplicative group of 2×2 upper unitriangular matrices over ring of integers modulo p. The purposes of this research are to study the coprime graph Γ_(G_p ) and find the first and the second Zagreb eccentricity indices of Γ_(G_p ) for p≥3. The results of this research are as follows. First Zagreb eccentricity index of coprime graph Γ_(G_p )isE_1 (Γ_(G_p ))=4p-3. Second Zagreb eccentricity index of coprime graph Γ_(G_p )isE_2 (Γ_(G_p ))=2p-2.
群G的素数图是一个图Γ_G,其中G是它的顶点集合,任意两个不同的顶点相邻当且仅当它们的阶数是相对素数。设p为素数,则G_p表示2×2上单角矩阵在模p的整数环上的乘法群。本研究的目的是研究同素数图Γ_(G_p),并求出p≥3时Γ_(G_p)的第一和第二萨格勒布偏心率指标。本研究的结果如下:协素图的第一萨格勒布偏心指数Γ_(G_p)isE_1 (Γ_(G_p))=4p-3。协素图的第二萨格勒布偏心率指数Γ_(G_p)isE_2 (Γ_(G_p))=2p-2。
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引用次数: 0
Implementasi Jaringan Syaraf Tiruan Backpropagation untuk Menentukan Prediksi Jumlah Permintaan Produksi Dodol Apel 仿制的神经网络利用来预测苹果多杜的生产需求
Pub Date : 2022-12-31 DOI: 10.18860/jrmm.v2i2.14899
Farrahdilla Sari, A. Kusumastuti, Hisyam Fahmi
Forecasting is importantly in accordance with the planning strategy; therefore it will affect the way of decision making. One of the forecasting methods is Artificial Neural Network with Backpropagation as the algorithm. This research aims to measure the accuracy of the network architecture which is being applied in order to calculate the prediction of the future’s apple paste product monthly demand which was obtained from CV. Bagus Agriseta Mandiri. The data which are being used are 36 monthly data from the year 2017, 2018 and 2019. Furthermore, the data obtained are normalized and divided into two, 66,66% as the data for training process and 33,33% as the data for testing process. Network architecture that is applied in this research is 12 : 10 :1, where 12 are neurons for input layer, 10 are neurons for one hidden layer and 1 is neuron for output layer. The Network with that framework obtained a result 20.161% for MAPE and 79.839% for the accuracy. That model is categorized as good enough for its forecasting ability. Moreover, the network was entirely validated using k-fold cross validation method with . The result obtained as follows: the average of MAPE is 47.079% and the average accuracy is 52.921%. According to it, the entire model can be categorized as good enough in order to run a forecast. As a comparison, another testing has been done with the same fold but different in the network architecture (model 6 – 8 – 1). The second model obtained results as follows: the average of MAPE is 26.74% and the average accuracy is 73.18%, so that the two prediction models’ ability are in the same category, it is good enough to run a forecast.
预测与规划策略相一致是很重要的;因此,它将影响决策的方式。其中一种预测方法是以反向传播为算法的人工神经网络。本研究旨在衡量正在应用的网络架构的准确性,以计算从CV中获得的未来苹果酱产品月需求量的预测。Bagus Agriseta Mandiri。所使用的数据是2017年、2018年和2019年的36个月数据。进一步,对得到的数据进行归一化处理,分为两个部分,66.66%作为训练过程数据,33.33%作为测试过程数据。本研究采用的网络架构为12:10:1,其中12为输入层神经元,10为一个隐藏层神经元,1为输出层神经元。该框架下的网络的MAPE和准确率分别为20.161%和79.839%。就其预测能力而言,该模型被归类为足够好。此外,使用k-fold交叉验证方法对网络进行了完全验证。结果表明:MAPE平均为47.079%,平均准确率为52.921%。根据它,整个模型可以被归类为足够好,以便进行预测。作为对比,对模型6 - 8 - 1进行了相同层次但网络结构不同的测试。第二个模型得到的结果是:MAPE的平均值为26.74%,平均准确率为73.18%,两个预测模型的能力处于同一类别,可以进行预测。
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