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Proceedings of the 2010 Winter Simulation Conference最新文献

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Simulation of a stochastic model for a service system 服务系统随机模型的仿真
Pub Date : 2010-12-05 DOI: 10.1109/WSC.2010.5678905
Catherine Brickner, Dennis Indrawan, Derrick Williams, S. Chakravarthy
In this paper we simulate a queueing model useful in a service system with the help of ARENA simulation software. The service calls (henceforth referred to as customers) arrive to a processing center according to a Markovian arrival process (MAP). There is a buffer of finite size to hold the customers. Any customer finding the buffer is considered lost. An arriving customer belongs to one of three types, and the admitted customer is served by one of many dedicated servers (exclusively set aside for each of the three types of customers) or by one of many flexible servers who are capable of servicing all types of customers. The flexible servers are used only when the respective dedicated servers are all busy. A priority scheme is used to select the type of customer from the buffer when a flexible server is called for servicing the waiting customers. The processing times are assumed to be of phase type. Simulated results are discussed.
本文利用ARENA仿真软件对服务系统中的排队模型进行了仿真。服务呼叫(以下简称客户)根据马尔可夫到达过程(MAP)到达处理中心。有一个有限大小的缓冲区来容纳客户。任何找到缓冲区的客户都被认为丢失了。到达的客户属于三种类型中的一种,被允许的客户由许多专用服务器中的一个(专门为三种类型的客户中的每一种留出)或由能够为所有类型的客户提供服务的许多灵活服务器中的一个提供服务。只有在各自的专用服务器都很忙的情况下,才可以使用灵活服务器。当调用灵活的服务器为等待的客户提供服务时,使用优先级方案从缓冲区中选择客户的类型。处理时间假定为相位类型。对模拟结果进行了讨论。
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引用次数: 11
Machine qualification management for a semiconductor back-end facility 半导体后端设备的机器质量管理
Pub Date : 2010-12-05 DOI: 10.1109/WSC.2010.5678944
Mengying Fu, M. Haghnevis, Ronald G. Askin, J. Fowler, Muhong Zhang
In order to process a product in a semiconductor back-end facility, a machine needs to be qualified first by having a product-specific software program installed on it. Then a tool set must be available and attached on the machine while it is processing the product. In general not all machines are qualified to process all products due to the high machine qualification cost and tool set availability. However, the machine qualification decision is very important because it affects capacity allocation in the facility and subsequently affects daily production scheduling. To balance the tradeoff between the machine qualification costs and backorder costs, a product-machine qualification optimization model is proposed in this paper.
为了在半导体后端设施中处理产品,机器首先需要通过安装特定于产品的软件程序来进行认证。然后一套工具必须是可用的,并附在机器上,而它是加工产品。一般来说,并不是所有的机器都有资格加工所有的产品,因为机器的高鉴定成本和工具集的可用性。然而,机器鉴定决策是非常重要的,因为它影响到工厂的产能分配,进而影响到日常生产调度。为了平衡机器认证成本和缺货成本之间的权衡,本文提出了一个产品-机器认证优化模型。
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引用次数: 11
A simulation model to evaluate sugarcane supply systems 甘蔗供应系统的仿真模型
Pub Date : 2010-12-05 DOI: 10.1109/WSC.2010.5678861
J. Rangel, Andre Prado Cunha, Leandro Rangel de Azevedo, D. S. Vianna
We present, in this paper, a simulation model to evaluate the sugarcane supply system to mills. The model addressed, on the whole, harvest operations (cutting and shipping), transportation and unloading at the mill (also considering the reception system of sugarcane within the mill). The model could adequately assess the relation of the freight, the lead time, the fleet of trucks and discount (opposite of agio), apart from the cost of cutting and shipping, related to the amount to be paid by the sugarcane load furnished to the mill.
本文提出了一个模拟模型来评价甘蔗厂的供应系统。总体而言,该模型解决了收获操作(切割和运输),工厂的运输和卸载(也考虑到工厂内甘蔗的接收系统)。该模型可以充分评估运费、交货时间、卡车车队和折扣(与agio相反)之间的关系,除了切割和运输成本之外,还与提供给工厂的甘蔗负载支付的金额有关。
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引用次数: 15
Calibrating simulation models using the knowledge gradient with continuous parameters 利用具有连续参数的知识梯度标定仿真模型
Pub Date : 2010-12-05 DOI: 10.1109/WSC.2010.5679082
Warren R. Scott, Warrren B Powell, H. Simão
We describe an adaptation of the knowledge gradient, originally developed for discrete ranking and selection problems, to the problem of calibrating continuous parameters for the purpose of tuning a simulator. The knowledge gradient for continuous parameters uses a continuous approximation of the expected value of a single measurement to guide the choice of where to collect information next. We show how to find the parameter setting that maximizes the expected value of a measurement by optimizing a continuous but nonconcave surface. We compare the method to sequential kriging for a series of test surfaces, and then demonstrate its performance in the calibration of an expensive industrial simulator.
我们描述了最初为离散排序和选择问题开发的知识梯度对校准连续参数以调整模拟器的问题的适应。连续参数的知识梯度使用单个测量期望值的连续近似值来指导下一步收集信息的选择。我们展示了如何通过优化连续但非凹的表面来找到最大化测量期望值的参数设置。我们将该方法与序列克里格法进行了一系列测试表面的比较,然后在一个昂贵的工业模拟器的校准中证明了它的性能。
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引用次数: 11
Simulation of a base stock inventory management system integrated with transportation strategies of a logistic network 基于物流网络运输策略的基础库存管理系统仿真
Pub Date : 2010-12-05 DOI: 10.1109/WSC.2010.5678877
EunSu Lee, K. Farahmand
A logistics network management system controlling the entire supply chain was designed to reduce the total cost and to achieve an efficient system. The interactions between inventory and transportation strategies in the logistics network are presented in this paper. Demand volumes and shipping sizes were simulated as part of a new conceptual model by using a discrete event simulation to minimize the total cost in the supply chain. The experiments indicate that the Full Truckload scenario leads to cost-efficiency and the larger demand size results in smaller cost per unit based on economies of scale. Considering the interaction effects, the demand size has a greater impact on the cost reduction than the shipping size.
设计了一个控制整个供应链的物流网络管理系统,以降低总成本,实现高效的系统。本文讨论了物流网络中库存与运输策略之间的相互作用。通过使用离散事件模拟,将需求量和运输规模作为新概念模型的一部分进行模拟,以最小化供应链中的总成本。实验表明,基于规模经济,满载情景导致成本效益,较大的需求规模导致单位成本较小。考虑到交互效应,需求规模对成本降低的影响大于运输规模。
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引用次数: 11
Importance sampling for tail risk in discretely rebalanced portfolios 离散再平衡投资组合尾部风险的重要性抽样
Pub Date : 2010-12-05 DOI: 10.1109/WSC.2010.5678961
P. Glasserman, Xingbo Xu
We develop an importance sampling (IS) algorithm to estimate the lower tail of the distribution of returns for a discretely rebalanced portfolio—one in which portfolio weights are reset at regular intervals. We use a more tractable continuously rebalanced portfolio to design the IS estimator. We analyze a limiting regime based on estimating probabilities farther in the tail while letting the rebalancing frequency increase. We show that the estimator is asymptotically efficient for this sequence of problems; its relative error grows in proportion to the fourth root of the number of rebalancing dates.
我们开发了一个重要抽样(IS)算法来估计一个离散再平衡投资组合的收益分布的下尾,其中投资组合的权重每隔一定的时间间隔重置。我们使用一个更易于处理的连续再平衡组合来设计IS估计器。在增加再平衡频率的同时,我们分析了一种基于在尾部进一步估计概率的极限状态。我们证明了该估计量对于这一系列问题是渐近有效的;其相对误差与再平衡日期数量的四次方根成正比。
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引用次数: 2
Grid services for Commercial Simulation Packages 商业模拟软件包的网格服务
Pub Date : 2010-12-05 DOI: 10.1109/WSC.2010.5679122
N. Mustafee, Simon J. E. Taylor
Collaborative research has facilitated the development of distributed systems that provide users nontrivial access to geographically dispersed resources that are administered in multiple computer domains. The term grid computing is popularly used to refer to such distributed systems. Scientific simulations have traditionally been the primary benefactor of grid computing. The application of this technology to simulation in industry has, however, been negligible. This research investigates grid technology in the context of Commercial Simulation Packages (CSPs). Towards this end, the paper identifies (a) six CSP-specific grid services, (b) identifies grid middleware that could be used to provide the CSP-specific grid services, and (c) list CSPs that include vendor-specific solutions for these grid services. The authors hope that this research will lead to an increased awareness of the potential of grid computing among simulation end users and CSP vendors.
协作研究促进了分布式系统的发展,为用户提供对分布在多个计算机域中管理的地理上分散的资源的重要访问。网格计算这个术语通常用来指代这样的分布式系统。传统上,科学模拟是网格计算的主要受益者。然而,该技术在工业模拟中的应用却微不足道。本研究在商业模拟包(csp)的背景下研究网格技术。为此,本文确定了(a)六个特定于csp的网格服务,(b)确定了可用于提供特定于csp的网格服务的网格中间件,以及(c)列出了包含针对这些网格服务的特定供应商解决方案的csp。作者们希望这项研究能让仿真终端用户和CSP供应商对网格计算的潜力有更多的认识。
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引用次数: 3
Empirical methods for two-echelon inventory management with service level constraints based on simulation-regression 基于仿真回归的服务水平约束的两级库存管理经验方法
Pub Date : 2010-12-05 DOI: 10.1109/WSC.2010.5678885
Lin Li, K. Sourirajan, K. Katircioglu
We present a simulation-regression based method for obtaining inventory policies for a two-echelon distribution system with service level constraints. Our motivation comes from a wholesale distributor in the consumer products industry with thousands of products that have different cost, demand, and lead time characteristics. We need to obtain good inventory policies quickly so that supply chain managers can run and analyze multiple scenarios effectively in reasonable amount of time. While simulation-based optimization approaches can be used, the time required to solve the inventory problem for a large number of products is prohibitive. On the other hand, available quick approximations are not guaranteed to provide satisfactory solutions. Our approach involves sampling the universe of products with different problem parameters, obtaining their optimal inventory policies via simulation-based optimization and then using regression methods to characterize the inventory policy for similar products. We show that our method obtains near-optimal policies and is quite robust.
针对一类具有服务水平约束的两级配送系统,提出了一种基于仿真回归的库存策略求解方法。我们的动力来自于消费品行业的批发经销商,该行业拥有数千种不同成本、需求和交货时间特征的产品。我们需要快速获得良好的库存策略,以便供应链管理人员能够在合理的时间内有效地运行和分析多种场景。虽然可以使用基于仿真的优化方法,但解决大量产品的库存问题所需的时间令人望而却步。另一方面,可用的快速近似值不能保证提供满意的解。我们的方法包括对具有不同问题参数的产品进行抽样,通过基于仿真的优化方法获得其最优库存策略,然后使用回归方法表征相似产品的库存策略。我们证明了我们的方法获得了接近最优的策略,并且具有很强的鲁棒性。
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引用次数: 4
Evolvable simulations applied to Automated Red Teaming: A preliminary study 自动化红队的演化模拟应用:初步研究
Pub Date : 2010-12-05 DOI: 10.1109/WSC.2010.5679047
James Decraene, Mahinthan Chandramohan, M. Low, Chwee Seng Choo
We report preliminary studies on evolvable simulations applied to Automated Red Teaming (ART). ART is a vulnerability assessment tool in which agent-based models of simplified military scenarios are repeatedly and automatically generated, executed and varied. Nature-inspired heuristic techniques are utilized to drive the exploration of simulation models to exhibit desired system behaviors. To date, ART investigations have essentially addressed the evolution of a limited fixed set of parameters determining the agents' behavior. We propose to extend ART to widen the range of evolvable simulation model parameters. Using this “evolvable simulation” approach, we conduct experiments in which the agents' structure is evolved. Specifically, a maritime scenario is examined where the individual trajectories of belligerent vessels are evolved to break Blue. These experiments are conducted using a modular evolutionary framework coined CASE. The results present counter-intuitive outcomes and suggest that evolvable simulation is a promising technique to enhance ART.
我们报告了应用于自动红队(ART)的可进化模拟的初步研究。ART是一种脆弱性评估工具,在该工具中,基于agent的简化军事场景模型被反复自动生成、执行和变化。利用自然启发的启发式技术来驱动模拟模型的探索,以展示所需的系统行为。迄今为止,抗逆转录病毒治疗的调查基本上是针对一组有限的固定参数的演变,这些参数决定了药物的行为。我们建议扩展ART以扩大可演化仿真模型参数的范围。使用这种“可进化模拟”方法,我们进行了智能体结构进化的实验。具体来说,研究了一个海上场景,其中交战船只的个别轨迹演变为打破蓝色。这些实验是使用一个模块化的进化框架来进行的。结果显示了反直觉的结果,并表明可进化模拟是一种很有前途的技术来增强ART。
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引用次数: 14
Spatial modeling in cell biology at multiple levels 细胞生物学多层次空间建模
Pub Date : 2010-12-05 DOI: 10.1109/WSC.2010.5679125
Arne T. Bittig, A. Uhrmacher
Most modeling and simulation approaches applied in cell biology assume a homogeneous distribution of particles in space, although experimental studies reveal the importance of space to understand the dynamics of cells. There are already numerous spatial approaches focusing on the simulation of cells. Recently, they have been complemented by a set of spatial modeling languages whose operational semantics are tied partly to existing simulation algorithms. These modeling languages allow an explicit description of spatial phenomena, and facilitate analysis of the temporal spatial dynamics of cells by a clear separation between model, semantics, and simulator. With the supported level of abstraction, each of those offers a different perception of the spatial phenomena under study. In this paper, we give an overview of existing modeling formalisms and discuss some ways of combining approaches to tackle the problem the computational costs induced by spatial dynamics.
尽管实验研究揭示了空间对理解细胞动力学的重要性,但应用于细胞生物学的大多数建模和模拟方法都假设粒子在空间中的均匀分布。已经有许多空间方法专注于模拟细胞。最近,一组空间建模语言补充了它们,这些语言的操作语义部分地与现有的仿真算法联系在一起。这些建模语言允许对空间现象进行明确的描述,并通过模型、语义和模拟器之间的明确分离,促进对细胞时空动态的分析。在支持的抽象层次上,每一种都提供了对所研究的空间现象的不同感知。在本文中,我们概述了现有的建模形式,并讨论了一些结合方法来解决空间动力学引起的计算成本问题的方法。
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引用次数: 31
期刊
Proceedings of the 2010 Winter Simulation Conference
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