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Modeling interruptions and patient flow in a preoperative hospital environment 在术前医院环境中建模中断和病人流
Pub Date : 2010-12-05 DOI: 10.1109/WSC.2010.5678924
B. Pearce, Narges Hosseini, K. Taaffe, N. Huynh, S. Harris
Late starting surgeries at a Greenville Memorial Hospital have been shown to cause process and scheduling disruptions, and are a major contributor to dissatisfaction among patients and hospital staff. The preoperative system requires the preparation of a high volume of patients, each with an individual set of characteristics and array of required tasks before surgery. Staff resources do not have a prescribed sequence of activities nor mutually exclusive duties. A novel discrete event modeling paradigm has been adopted for simulating the complex behavior of the preoperative system, identifying the underlying causes of process inefficiencies, and testing mitigating strategies. Current investigations are underway to shift the prescriptive approach of resource decision-making towards an agent-based approach, allowing resources to select their workload in such a way that achieves maximum utility for the agent.
格林维尔纪念医院(Greenville Memorial Hospital)的手术开始时间过晚已被证明会导致手术流程和日程安排中断,这是导致患者和医院工作人员不满的主要原因。术前系统需要准备大量的患者,每个患者在手术前都有自己的一套特征和一系列所需的任务。工作人员资源没有规定的活动顺序,也没有相互排斥的职责。采用了一种新的离散事件建模范式来模拟术前系统的复杂行为,确定流程效率低下的潜在原因,并测试缓解策略。目前正在进行调查,以将资源决策的规定性方法转向基于代理的方法,允许资源以实现代理最大效用的方式选择其工作量。
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引用次数: 14
Landscape for analysing the business effects of utilizing design support simulations 用于分析利用设计支持模拟的业务效果的景观
Pub Date : 2010-12-05 DOI: 10.1109/WSC.2010.5679164
J. Mela, R. V. Osuna, A. Riitahuhta, Timo Lehtonen
Advanced design support solutions such as 3D simulations have enabled improved management of design information for years. The challenge, however, is that acquiring these type of design support solutions does not necessarily create a visible business value for the company in a short run. Moreover, the organization surrounding the simulation solution should support its use by providing the conditions and resources needed for utilizing it. Vice versa, design support solutions have to support the prevailing organizational conditions. Especially the interaction between the planned design-support solution, existing process structures and human related issues have to be understood to create the basis for business efficient design information management. Understanding the chain effects of employing different types of design support solutions has on organizational “ecosystem”, creates basis for forming business-effective sustainable communication and design support structures. The Company Strategic Landscape introduced will form the framework for recognizing these chain effects in business environment.
先进的设计支持解决方案,如3D模拟,多年来已经改善了设计信息的管理。然而,挑战在于,获得这些类型的设计支持解决方案并不一定能在短期内为公司创造可见的商业价值。此外,围绕模拟解决方案的组织应该通过提供利用它所需的条件和资源来支持它的使用。反之亦然,设计支持解决方案必须支持当前的组织条件。特别是必须理解计划的设计支持解决方案、现有流程结构和与人相关的问题之间的交互,以便为业务高效的设计信息管理创建基础。了解采用不同类型的设计支持解决方案对组织“生态系统”的连锁效应,为形成业务有效、可持续的沟通和设计支持结构创造基础。引入的公司战略景观将形成认识这些连锁效应在商业环境中的框架。
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引用次数: 0
Aggregate modeling for flow time prediction of an end-of-aisle order picking workstation with overtaking 带超车的通道末端拣货工作站流时间预测的聚合建模
Pub Date : 2010-12-05 DOI: 10.1109/WSC.2010.5678865
R. Andriansyah, L. Etman, J. Rooda
An aggregate modeling methodology is proposed to predict flow time distributions of an end-of-aisle order picking workstation in parts-to-picker automated warehouses with overtaking. The proposed aggregate model uses as input an aggregated process time referred to as the effective process time in combination with overtaking distributions and decision probabilities, which we measure directly from product arrival and departure data. Experimental results show that the predicted flow time distributions are accurate, with prediction errors of the flow time mean and squared coefficient of variation less than 4% and 9%, respectively. As a case study, we use data collected from a real, operating warehouse and show that the predicted flow time distributions resemble the flow time distributions measured from the data.
提出了一种用于预测零件到拣选机自动超车仓库中通道末端拣货工作站流动时间分布的聚合建模方法。所提出的聚合模型将聚合过程时间(即有效过程时间)与超车分布和决策概率相结合,作为输入,我们直接从产品到达和离开数据中测量。实验结果表明,预测的流量时间分布准确,流量时间均值和方差系数的预测误差分别小于4%和9%。作为一个案例研究,我们使用了从一个真实运行的仓库收集的数据,并表明预测的流动时间分布与从数据中测量的流动时间分布相似。
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引用次数: 5
LIBROS-II: Railway modeling with DEVS LIBROS-II:铁路建模与DEVS
Pub Date : 2010-12-05 DOI: 10.1109/WSC.2010.5678860
Yilin Huang, M. Seck, A. Verbraeck
The increasing complexity of railway systems and the high costs incurred by design and operational errors make modeling and simulation a popular methodology in the domain of railway transportation. To successfully support detailed design and operation, a microscopic rail network model is often deemed not only suitable but also mandatory. However, the simulation of large-scale microscopic models is computationally intensive, making it unsuitable for real-time applications. In this paper, a railway simulation library, LIBROS-II, is introduced which offers high performance rail simulation at the microscopic level. The library is specified with the DEVS formalism. Its major components and their specifications are presented. Its performance is assessed through a simple example and contrasted with a typical model using a continuous modeling abstraction of train movement. The result shows that with comparable model detail and accuracy the LIBROS-II model yields a higher performance than the model using differential equations.
铁路系统的日益复杂以及设计和操作错误所带来的高昂成本使建模和仿真成为铁路运输领域的一种流行方法。为了成功地支持详细设计和运营,微观轨道网络模型通常被认为不仅是合适的,而且是强制性的。然而,大规模微观模型的模拟计算量很大,不适合实时应用。本文介绍了一个铁路仿真库LIBROS-II,它可以在微观层面上提供高性能的铁路仿真。该库是用DEVS形式指定的。介绍了其主要组成部件及其技术指标。通过一个简单的实例对其性能进行了评价,并与典型的列车运动连续建模抽象模型进行了对比。结果表明,在模型细节和精度相当的情况下,LIBROS-II模型比使用微分方程的模型具有更高的性能。
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引用次数: 6
Employing proxies to improve parallel discrete event simulation performance 采用代理提高并行离散事件模拟性能
Pub Date : 2010-12-05 DOI: 10.5555/2433508.2433693
David W. Mutschler
Proxies are caches of information maintained by one simulation object about other simulation objects. Though proxies can require significant overhead to maintain consistency, their judicious use can improve parallel performance by increasing speedup. This paper discusses three cases where careful use of proxies has improved speedup in a parallel discrete event simulator implemented using threaded worker pools.
代理是由一个模拟对象维护的关于其他模拟对象的信息的缓存。尽管代理可能需要大量开销来维持一致性,但明智地使用它们可以通过增加加速来提高并行性能。本文讨论了三个案例,在这些案例中,仔细使用代理可以提高使用线程工作池实现的并行离散事件模拟器的加速。
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引用次数: 0
Optimal learning of transition probabilities in the two-agent newsvendor problem 双智能体报贩问题中转移概率的最优学习
Pub Date : 2010-12-05 DOI: 10.1109/WSC.2010.5679081
I. Ryzhov, Martin Valdez-Vivas, Warrren B Powell
We examine a newsvendor problem with two agents: a requesting agent that observes private demand information, and an oversight agent that must determine how to allocate resources upon receiving a bid from the requesting agent. Because the two agents have different cost structures, the requesting agent tends to bid higher than the amount that is actually needed. As a result, the allocating agent needs to adaptively learn how to interpret the bids and estimate the requesting agent's biases. Learning must occur as quickly as possible, because each suboptimal resource allocation incurs an economic cost. We present a mathematical model that casts the problem as a Markov decision process with unknown transition probabilities. We then perform a simulation study comparing four different techniques for optimal learning of transition probabilities. The best technique is shown to be a knowledge gradient algorithm, based on a one-period look-ahead approach.
我们用两个代理来研究一个报贩问题:一个是观察私人需求信息的请求代理,一个是必须在收到请求代理的出价时决定如何分配资源的监督代理。由于两个代理具有不同的成本结构,提出请求的代理往往出价高于实际需要的金额。因此,分配代理需要自适应地学习如何解释出价并估计请求代理的偏差。学习必须尽可能快地进行,因为每个次优资源分配都会产生经济成本。我们提出了一个数学模型,将问题作为一个具有未知转移概率的马尔可夫决策过程。然后,我们进行了模拟研究,比较了四种不同的转移概率最佳学习技术。最好的方法是基于一周期前瞻性方法的知识梯度算法。
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引用次数: 9
Convergence properties of direct search methods for stochastic optimization 随机优化直接搜索方法的收敛性
Pub Date : 2010-12-05 DOI: 10.1109/WSC.2010.5679089
Sujin Kim, Dali Zhang
Simulation is widely used to evaluate the performance and optimize the design of a complex system. In the past few decades, a great deal of research has been devoted to solving simulation optimization problems, perhaps owing to their generality. However, although there are many problems of practical interests that can be cast in the framework of simulation optimization, it is often difficult to obtain an understanding of their structure, making them very challenging. Direct search methods are a class of deterministic optimization methods particularly designed for black-box optimization problems. In this paper, we present a class of direct search methods for simulation optimization problems with stochastic noise. The optimization problem is approximated using a sample average approximation scheme. We propose an adaptive sampling scheme to improve the efficiency of direct search methods and prove the consistency of the solutions.
仿真被广泛应用于复杂系统的性能评估和优化设计。在过去的几十年里,大量的研究一直致力于解决仿真优化问题,也许是由于它们的通用性。然而,尽管在仿真优化的框架下可以投下许多实际利益的问题,但往往很难获得对其结构的理解,这使得它们非常具有挑战性。直接搜索法是一类专门针对黑盒优化问题而设计的确定性优化方法。在本文中,我们提出了一类具有随机噪声的模拟优化问题的直接搜索方法。采用样本平均近似方法对优化问题进行逼近。为了提高直接搜索方法的效率并证明解的一致性,我们提出了一种自适应采样方案。
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引用次数: 20
Machine qualification management for a semiconductor back-end facility 半导体后端设备的机器质量管理
Pub Date : 2010-12-05 DOI: 10.1109/WSC.2010.5678944
Mengying Fu, M. Haghnevis, Ronald G. Askin, J. Fowler, Muhong Zhang
In order to process a product in a semiconductor back-end facility, a machine needs to be qualified first by having a product-specific software program installed on it. Then a tool set must be available and attached on the machine while it is processing the product. In general not all machines are qualified to process all products due to the high machine qualification cost and tool set availability. However, the machine qualification decision is very important because it affects capacity allocation in the facility and subsequently affects daily production scheduling. To balance the tradeoff between the machine qualification costs and backorder costs, a product-machine qualification optimization model is proposed in this paper.
为了在半导体后端设施中处理产品,机器首先需要通过安装特定于产品的软件程序来进行认证。然后一套工具必须是可用的,并附在机器上,而它是加工产品。一般来说,并不是所有的机器都有资格加工所有的产品,因为机器的高鉴定成本和工具集的可用性。然而,机器鉴定决策是非常重要的,因为它影响到工厂的产能分配,进而影响到日常生产调度。为了平衡机器认证成本和缺货成本之间的权衡,本文提出了一个产品-机器认证优化模型。
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引用次数: 11
Simulation of a base stock inventory management system integrated with transportation strategies of a logistic network 基于物流网络运输策略的基础库存管理系统仿真
Pub Date : 2010-12-05 DOI: 10.1109/WSC.2010.5678877
EunSu Lee, K. Farahmand
A logistics network management system controlling the entire supply chain was designed to reduce the total cost and to achieve an efficient system. The interactions between inventory and transportation strategies in the logistics network are presented in this paper. Demand volumes and shipping sizes were simulated as part of a new conceptual model by using a discrete event simulation to minimize the total cost in the supply chain. The experiments indicate that the Full Truckload scenario leads to cost-efficiency and the larger demand size results in smaller cost per unit based on economies of scale. Considering the interaction effects, the demand size has a greater impact on the cost reduction than the shipping size.
设计了一个控制整个供应链的物流网络管理系统,以降低总成本,实现高效的系统。本文讨论了物流网络中库存与运输策略之间的相互作用。通过使用离散事件模拟,将需求量和运输规模作为新概念模型的一部分进行模拟,以最小化供应链中的总成本。实验表明,基于规模经济,满载情景导致成本效益,较大的需求规模导致单位成本较小。考虑到交互效应,需求规模对成本降低的影响大于运输规模。
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引用次数: 11
Spatial modeling in cell biology at multiple levels 细胞生物学多层次空间建模
Pub Date : 2010-12-05 DOI: 10.1109/WSC.2010.5679125
Arne T. Bittig, A. Uhrmacher
Most modeling and simulation approaches applied in cell biology assume a homogeneous distribution of particles in space, although experimental studies reveal the importance of space to understand the dynamics of cells. There are already numerous spatial approaches focusing on the simulation of cells. Recently, they have been complemented by a set of spatial modeling languages whose operational semantics are tied partly to existing simulation algorithms. These modeling languages allow an explicit description of spatial phenomena, and facilitate analysis of the temporal spatial dynamics of cells by a clear separation between model, semantics, and simulator. With the supported level of abstraction, each of those offers a different perception of the spatial phenomena under study. In this paper, we give an overview of existing modeling formalisms and discuss some ways of combining approaches to tackle the problem the computational costs induced by spatial dynamics.
尽管实验研究揭示了空间对理解细胞动力学的重要性,但应用于细胞生物学的大多数建模和模拟方法都假设粒子在空间中的均匀分布。已经有许多空间方法专注于模拟细胞。最近,一组空间建模语言补充了它们,这些语言的操作语义部分地与现有的仿真算法联系在一起。这些建模语言允许对空间现象进行明确的描述,并通过模型、语义和模拟器之间的明确分离,促进对细胞时空动态的分析。在支持的抽象层次上,每一种都提供了对所研究的空间现象的不同感知。在本文中,我们概述了现有的建模形式,并讨论了一些结合方法来解决空间动力学引起的计算成本问题的方法。
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引用次数: 31
期刊
Proceedings of the 2010 Winter Simulation Conference
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