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Scheduling vegetable sales to supermarkets in Europe: The tomato case 安排欧洲超市的蔬菜销售:番茄案例
Pub Date : 2022-11-07 DOI: 10.17221/196/2022-agricecon
Juan Carlos Pérez Mesa, Francisco Javier Pérez Mesa, Juán José Tapia León, Diego Luis Valera Martínez
This article analyzes the temporal programming of sales for a horticultural marketing company, e.g. a cooperative. The empirical study references the European tomato market, where most of the production is sold through the retail channel dominated by large distribution chains. We study the marketing schedule for an individual company, or even a prominent farmer, using a modified Markowitz model, assuming that his decisions do not affect the balance of market prices. As a result, this model can manage risk and improve decision-making. The data also provide information on the risk borne by marketers depending on their sales calendar, which often depends on their geographic location.
本文分析了以合作社为例的园艺营销公司的销售时间规划。实证研究参考了欧洲番茄市场,其中大部分产品是通过大型分销链主导的零售渠道销售的。我们使用一个改进的马科维茨模型来研究单个公司的营销计划,甚至是一个著名的农民,假设他的决定不影响市场价格的平衡。因此,该模型可以管理风险并改进决策。这些数据还提供了营销人员根据其销售日程(通常取决于其地理位置)承担的风险信息。
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引用次数: 0
Present and future: Does agriculture affect economic growth and the environment in the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia? 现在和未来:农业是否影响沙特阿拉伯王国的经济增长和环境?
Pub Date : 2022-10-26 DOI: 10.17221/58/2022-agricecon
Abda Emam
Global climate change is a crucial environmental issue. Worldwide warming is primarily caused by carbon dioxide (CO2) emission levels. Agricultural production is among many economic activities driving CO2 creation and environmental degradation. In this study, we aim to disclose the effect of agricultural production (date production) on the agricultural gross domestic product (AGDP) and the environment (CO2 emissions). We collected data on date production, AGDP and CO2 emissions from different resources covering the period from 1990 to 2019. To analyse the data, we used the Engle-Granger two-step procedure, autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL) bounds methods of analysis, regression analysis and forecasting tests. Results from fully modified ordinary least squares (FMOLS) and dynamic ordinary least squares (DOLS) analyses helped confirm the results of the ARDL model. The results revealed that there are long-run relationships between AGDP and date production and between CO2 emissions and date production. The first result is consequent with theory and leads to economic growth, whereas the second result indicates a negative effect on the environment. To ascertain which production factors were responsible for this negative result, we ran a regression analysis, and the results indicated that the coefficient of electricity consumption (independent variable) was positive and highly significant in explaining the variability of CO2 emissions. The results of the regression analysis also showed that agriculture affected the environment negatively through increasing CO2 emissions during the study period. Forecasting analysis results showed a decrease in CO2 emissions for the period from 2020 to 2026. The study results lead us to recommend that, to increase economic growth, date production should be increased along with the synchronised use of renewable sources of electricity. The governmental effort to sustain the environment also should be increased and continued through increasing the share of renewable electricity in total electricity consumption.
全球气候变化是一个至关重要的环境问题。全球变暖主要是由二氧化碳(CO2)排放水平引起的。农业生产是导致二氧化碳产生和环境退化的众多经济活动之一。在本研究中,我们旨在揭示农业生产(枣生产)对农业国内生产总值(AGDP)和环境(CO2排放)的影响。我们收集了1990年至2019年期间不同资源的枣产量、AGDP和二氧化碳排放量的数据。为了分析数据,我们使用了Engle-Granger两步法、自回归分布滞后(ARDL)界分析方法、回归分析和预测检验。全修正普通最小二乘(FMOLS)和动态普通最小二乘(DOLS)分析的结果有助于证实ARDL模型的结果。结果表明,农业生产总值与枣产量、二氧化碳排放量与枣产量之间存在长期关系。第一个结果是理论的结果,导致经济增长,而第二个结果表明对环境的负面影响。为了确定哪些生产因素导致了这一负结果,我们进行了回归分析,结果表明,用电量系数(自变量)在解释二氧化碳排放的变异性方面是正的,并且非常显著。回归分析结果还显示,研究期间农业通过增加CO2排放对环境产生负向影响。预测分析结果显示,2020 - 2026年CO2排放量呈下降趋势。研究结果使我们建议,为了促进经济增长,应该增加枣产量,同时同步使用可再生能源。政府也应该通过增加可再生电力在总电力消耗中的份额来加强和继续维持环境的努力。
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引用次数: 3
Regional trade agreements, globalization, and global maize exports 区域贸易协定、全球化和全球玉米出口
Pub Date : 2022-10-21 DOI: 10.17221/202/2022-agricecon
András Bence Szerb, Arnold Csonka, I. Fertő
Globalisation is also having a profound impact on international agricultural trade. This study examines the impact of regional trade agreements (RTAs) and globalization on international maize trade using a gravity model for the period 1996–2020. The results show that, despite globalization, distance has a larger negative impact on bilateral maize trade than on the manufacturing sector. It appears that distance remains an important factor in explaining trade flows in commodity markets, including maize. Our findings on the role of RTAs are in line with the results of previous studies: RTAs are generally preceded by a strengthening of bilateral trade relations. There is mutually positive feedback between the level of bilateral trade and RTA membership. However, the establishment of a common RTA membership and its trade-stimulating effects are not immediately visible.
全球化对国际农产品贸易也产生了深远的影响。本研究利用1996-2020年期间的重力模型考察了区域贸易协定和全球化对国际玉米贸易的影响。结果表明,尽管全球化,距离对双边玉米贸易的负面影响大于对制造业的负面影响。距离似乎仍然是解释包括玉米在内的商品市场贸易流动的一个重要因素。我们关于区域贸易协定作用的研究结果与之前的研究结果一致:区域贸易协定通常以双边贸易关系的加强为前提。双边贸易水平与区域贸易协定成员之间存在着相互积极的反馈。然而,建立共同区域贸易协定成员资格及其贸易刺激效果并不是立即可见的。
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引用次数: 1
The impact of digitalisation on the agricultural wholesale prices to aid agrarian income 数字化对农业批发价格的影响,以帮助农业收入
Pub Date : 2022-10-13 DOI: 10.17221/113/2022-agricecon
Sanjay Chaudhary, P. Suri
The paper analyses the effect of electronic-trading (e-trading) on the wholesale prices of select commodities in agricultural marketplaces to aid agrarian income levels. Post a literature review, the researcher performed a field survey to get the opinions of 371 farmers and traders. The researcher also conducted the descriptive statistical analysis, the difference in differences analysis, and the t-test analysis to show the wholesale price improvement after the e-trading platform implementation. The field survey findings and the statistical analysis suggest an increase in average wholesale prices of select agri-commodities in select markets of India due to the National Agriculture Market (eNAM) e-trading platform effect. The suggestions to practitioners and social policymakers highlight an improvement in the functioning of e-trading in terms of better prices for farmers, lowering transaction costs, increased transaction speed, reduced administrative hurdles, improved infrastructure and eventually higher income for a farmer. The knowledge base developed in this paper will help researchers reduce the knowledge gap in agricultural pricing.
本文分析了电子交易(e-trading)对农业市场中选定商品批发价格的影响,以提高农业收入水平。在文献综述之后,研究者进行了实地调查,获得了371名农民和贸易商的意见。研究者还进行了描述性统计分析、差异中的差异分析和t检验分析来显示电子交易平台实施后批发价格的改善。实地调查结果和统计分析表明,由于国家农业市场(eNAM)电子交易平台的影响,印度选定市场中选定农产品的平均批发价格有所上涨。向从业者和社会政策制定者提出的建议强调了电子交易功能的改进,包括为农民提供更好的价格、降低交易成本、提高交易速度、减少行政障碍、改善基础设施,并最终提高农民的收入。本文建立的知识库将有助于研究者缩小农产品定价方面的知识缺口。
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引用次数: 0
Rural development programmes: Lessons learnt, and knowledge advancement. A case study in Castilla-La Mancha (Spain) 农村发展方案:经验教训和知识进步。西班牙卡斯蒂利亚-拉曼恰地区个案研究
Pub Date : 2022-10-06 DOI: 10.17221/207/2022-agricecon
Francisco Martínez Arroyo, Hugo Sacristán López, Juan Sebastián Castillo Valero, María Carmen García Cortijo
Since the LEADER (Liaisons Entre Activités de Developpement de l'Economie Rural) method was launched in 1991, through its Rural Development Programmes, it has tried to support rural areas by promoting the creation of opportunities, strengthening rural territorial resilience and holding back depopulation processes. It has also introduced social considerations such as gender and age and has fostered the knowledge economy. One aspect of particular interest is employment: rural areas that offer employment opportunities can trigger a set of processes and dynamics that are positive for rural resilience in that they strengthen competitive, socially dynamic and economically viable spaces. The purpose of this article is to define the profile of a LEADER project that can generate and/or consolidate employment in the Spanish region of Castilla-La Mancha during the current 2014–2022 programming period. This is done by means of a study using ordered probit of the 4 465 projects by the Local Action Groups (LAGs). The study points to the preponderance of agro-industrial activity and the large size of the municipalities where employment is generated. It also finds that a very large proportion of the jobs created are for young people and that many women have found jobs in projects funded by the LAGs.
自从1991年通过其农村发展方案开始实施农村经济发展联络中心方法以来,它一直试图通过促进创造机会、加强农村地区的复原力和阻止人口减少的进程来支助农村地区。它还引入了性别和年龄等社会因素,并促进了知识经济。特别感兴趣的一个方面是就业:提供就业机会的农村地区可以触发一系列有利于农村复原力的进程和动态,因为它们加强了竞争、社会动态和经济上可行的空间。本文的目的是定义LEADER项目的概况,该项目可以在当前的2014-2022年规划期间在西班牙卡斯蒂利亚-拉曼查地区创造和/或巩固就业。这是通过地方行动小组对4465个项目的有序概率进行研究来完成的。该研究指出,农业工业活动占主导地位,创造就业机会的城市规模很大。报告还发现,所创造的就业机会中有很大一部分是为年轻人提供的,许多妇女在由可持续发展基金资助的项目中找到了工作。
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引用次数: 0
Adopting sustainable water management practices in agriculture based on stakeholder preferences 根据利益相关者的偏好,在农业中采用可持续的水资源管理做法
Pub Date : 2022-09-20 DOI: 10.17221/203/2022-agricecon
J. F. Velasco-Muñoz, J. A. Aznar-Sánchez, B. López-Felices, G. Balacco
Technology has made it possible to achieve the very efficient use of water resources in agriculture. However, there are a set of practices that could increase both the availability and quality of the water resources, but which are not yet widely used. In view of the scarcity situation mainly produced by the consequences of climate change, the objective of this work is to analyse the adoption of sustainable irrigation management practices in agriculture. To this end, the aim is to identify and evaluate the variables involved in adopting sustainable practices in agriculture through the use of different qualitative research tools in successive phases (literature review, in-depth interviews, Delphi method and workshop). The results indicate that the sustainable practices to be adopted to improve water management in the study area are rainwater harvesting (RWH) and pond covering (PC). The main barriers are the costs, some farm characteristics and lack of research, while the facilitators include easy access to technology and the existence of farmer-to-farmer networks. Furthermore, the most influential stakeholders for these practices are the farmers, policymakers and researchers. Proposals for the adoption of sustainable water use practices have also been made consensually with all the involved agents.
技术使农业中水资源的有效利用成为可能。然而,有一套做法可以增加水资源的可得性和质量,但尚未得到广泛使用。鉴于主要由气候变化的后果造成的短缺情况,这项工作的目的是分析在农业中采用可持续灌溉管理做法的情况。为此,目的是通过在连续阶段(文献回顾、深度访谈、德尔菲法和研讨会)使用不同的定性研究工具,确定和评估在农业中采用可持续做法所涉及的变量。研究结果表明,雨水收集(RWH)和池塘覆盖(PC)是改善研究区水资源管理的可持续措施。主要障碍是成本、一些农场特征和缺乏研究,而促进因素包括容易获得技术和农民对农民网络的存在。此外,这些做法最有影响力的利益相关者是农民、政策制定者和研究人员。还与所有有关机构协商一致地提出了采用可持续用水做法的建议。
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引用次数: 0
Does intra-industry specialisation enhance or limit comparative advantage? Evidence from the world citrus fruit trade 产业内专业化是增强还是限制比较优势?来自世界柑橘类水果贸易的证据
Pub Date : 2022-09-20 DOI: 10.17221/163/2022-agricecon
K. Pawlak, Joanna Łukasiewicz
In this paper, we aim to identify the intensity and nature of intra-industry specialisation in the global trade in citrus fruits. We used data from the United Nations Comtrade database. We performed both static and dynamic assessments of the intensity of intra-industry trade (IIT) by using the traditional Grubel-Lloyd index and the marginal IIT (MIIT) index, respectively. We also separated IIT into horizontal and vertical trade, and we verified the relationship between changes in the intra-industry pattern of trade and the level of comparative advantage gained by the largest producers and exporters of citrus fruits in the world. We used the revealed symmetric comparative advantage (RSCA) index to evaluate the level of international competitiveness. Conducting these analyses allowed us to fill the existing research gap by identifying the nature of IIT in products with specific quality characteristics but at a lower processing stage. The study's results indicated that the stronger the IIT or the more intensive shifts toward deepening the intra-industry specialisation, the lesser the comparative advantage of a country in the global export of citrus fruits. Nevertheless, the increased intensity of intra-industry specialisation does not always lead to a deterioration in the value of the trade balance.
在本文中,我们的目的是确定在柑橘类水果的全球贸易的产业内专业化的强度和性质。我们使用了来自联合国商品贸易数据库的数据。本文分别采用传统的Grubel-Lloyd指数和边际IIT指数对产业内贸易强度进行了静态和动态评估。我们还将产业内贸易分为横向贸易和纵向贸易,验证了产业内贸易格局变化与世界最大柑橘类水果生产国和出口国的比较优势水平之间的关系。我们使用揭示的对称比较优势(RSCA)指数来评价国际竞争力水平。进行这些分析使我们能够通过确定具有特定质量特征但处于较低加工阶段的产品中的IIT性质来填补现有的研究空白。研究结果表明,工业创新程度越强或产业内专业化程度越高,一国在柑橘类水果全球出口中的比较优势越小。然而,行业内专业化程度的增加并不总是导致贸易平衡价值的恶化。
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引用次数: 1
Measuring the economic sustainability of Italian farms using FADN data 使用FADN数据衡量意大利农场的经济可持续性
Pub Date : 2022-09-16 DOI: 10.17221/169/2022-agricecon
A. Coppola, M. Amato, D. Vistocco, F. Verneau
In recent literature, the issue of sustainability and its measure has been addressed with different approaches that depend on the multidimensional nature of the concept and the specific sector and context to which it applies. The present work focuses on the economic sustainability component and suggests an operative measure at the farm level. The measure of economic sustainability has been applied to Italian family farms using Farm Accountancy Data Network (FADN). Based on this data, an efficiency indicator (EI) and two income indicators [a factor profitability indicator (FPI) and a comparable income indicator (CII)] expressing the ability to remunerate the entrepreneur's production factors at their opportunity cost and the farm's income capacity have been used in a principal component analysis (PCA) to build an economic sustainability index (SI). The index was used to describe Italian farms' economic sustainability levels but was also the cue to discuss problems related to identifying economic sustainability thresholds and the trade-off between efficiency and income components.
在最近的文献中,可持续性问题及其措施采用了不同的方法来处理,这些方法取决于概念的多层面性质及其适用的具体部门和背景。目前的工作侧重于经济可持续性部分,并建议在农场一级采取一项有效措施。经济可持续性的衡量已应用于意大利家庭农场使用农场会计数据网络(FADN)。基于这些数据,在主成分分析(PCA)中使用效率指标(EI)和两个收入指标[要素盈利指标(FPI)和可比收入指标(CII)]来构建经济可持续性指数(SI),它们表达了以机会成本和农场收入能力回报企业家生产要素的能力。该指数用于描述意大利农场的经济可持续性水平,但也是讨论与确定经济可持续性阈值以及效率和收入组成部分之间权衡相关问题的线索。
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引用次数: 4
The volatility connectedness among fertilisers and agricultural crop prices: Evidence from selected main agricultural products 化肥与农作物价格波动的关联性:来自选定主要农产品的证据
Pub Date : 2022-09-15 DOI: 10.17221/147/2022-agricecon
H. Uçak, Yakup Arı, Esin Yelgen
The price of fertiliser, which is one of the most important inputs of agricultural production, has increased significantly in recent years. In this study, we empirically analysed the effect of volatility in fertiliser prices on selected agricultural products by using the Diebold-Yilmaz connectedness approach, which is based on time-varying parameter (TVP) vector auto-regression (VAR). The findings showed that the spread of volatility and the interconnectedness between these variables increased in times of crisis and that the risk pass-through was due to fertiliser prices. However, empirical results showed that the price volatility of phosphate rock and urea was highly correlated to the volatility of other products. Furthermore, we found that sugar, soybean and cotton were the agricultural products most vulnerable to the effects of external shocks.
化肥是农业生产中最重要的投入品之一,近年来其价格大幅上涨。在本研究中,我们使用基于时变参数(TVP)向量自回归(VAR)的Diebold-Yilmaz连通性方法,实证分析了化肥价格波动对选定农产品的影响。研究结果表明,在危机时期,波动性的扩散和这些变量之间的相互联系会增加,而风险传递是由于化肥价格。然而,实证结果表明,磷矿和尿素的价格波动与其他产品的价格波动高度相关。此外,我们发现糖、大豆和棉花是最容易受到外部冲击影响的农产品。
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引用次数: 0
The influence of photovoltaic and nuclear energy sources on the use of land in the Czech Republic 光伏和核能对捷克共和国土地利用的影响
Pub Date : 2022-08-25 DOI: 10.17221/61/2022-agricecon
Lukáš Martinec
The human population is highly dependent on electricity, and to maintain the current progress of its use and for future requirements, it is necessary to look for ways to ensure sufficient energy. The aim of the article is to compare nuclear energy as a representative of non-renewable energy sources with photovoltaic energy as a representative of renewable energy sources (RES). The comparison is made in terms of the effect on agricultural land occupation, given that soil as a basic production factor is completely unique and that nuclear energy sources are often used as a backup for RES. We used a quantitative research method based on deduction using available real data to compare agricultural land occupation by these two energy sources. The results indicate that the effect of photovoltaic power plants on agricultural land occupation is 100 times greater than that of nuclear power plants. In terms of the effect on agricultural land occupation, the combination of solar and nuclear power plants seems to be appropriate. This combination partially eliminates the negative agricultural land occupation consequence of using solar power plants.
人类高度依赖电力,为了保持目前的电力使用进展和满足未来的需求,有必要寻找确保足够能源的方法。本文的目的是将核能作为不可再生能源的代表与光伏能源作为可再生能源的代表进行比较。考虑到土壤作为一种完全独特的基本生产要素,而核能经常被用作res的后备,我们从对农业用地占用的影响方面进行比较。我们使用基于演绎的定量研究方法,利用可获得的实际数据对这两种能源的农业用地占用进行比较。结果表明,光伏电站对农业用地占用的影响是核电的100倍。从对农业用地占用的影响来看,太阳能和核能发电厂的结合似乎是合适的。这种结合部分消除了使用太阳能发电厂对农业用地的负面影响。
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引用次数: 0
期刊
Agricultural Economics (Zemědělská ekonomika)
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