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Countercyclical Unemployment Benefits: General Equilibrium Analysis of Transition Dynamics 反周期失业福利:过渡动力学的一般均衡分析
Pub Date : 2021-09-17 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3925579
Erhan Bayraktar, Indrajit Mitra, Jingjie Zhang
We analyze the general equilibrium effects of countercyclical unemployment benefit policies. Our heterogenous-agent model features costly job search with imperfect insurance of unemployment risk and individual savings. Our model predicts: (1) the additional unemployment under a countercyclical policy relative to that under an acyclical policy to be a superlinear function of the aggregate shock’s size, (2) a higher unemployment rate sensitivity to UI policy changes when individual savings are relatively low. Our estimates of the effects of UI policy changes are based on transition dynamics; we show these estimates to be substantially different from estimates based on steady-state analyses.
本文分析了反周期失业救济政策的一般均衡效应。我们的异质代理模型的特点是求职成本高,失业风险和个人储蓄保险不完善。我们的模型预测:(1)在逆周期政策下相对于非周期政策下的额外失业是总冲击规模的超线性函数;(2)当个人储蓄相对较低时,失业率对UI政策变化的敏感性更高。我们对失业保险政策变化影响的估计是基于过渡动态的;我们表明这些估计与基于稳态分析的估计有很大的不同。
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引用次数: 2
Managing Students & Employees Through College Information Management System (Cims) – A Case Study: Shinas College of Technology (Shct), Oman 通过高校信息管理系统(Cims)管理学生和员工-以阿曼希纳斯理工学院(Shct)为例
Pub Date : 2019-02-03 DOI: 10.18510/HSSR.2018.6211
Maryam Humaid Ali Al Briki, Firdouse R Khan
Purpose: The objectives of the study were to critically analyze the effectiveness of CIMS in completing the registration / academic advising process at Shinas College of Technology and to critically analyze the effective functions of the CIMS to fulfill the role played by the CIMS. Design/methodology/approach: For this research study, Simple random sampling method in selecting the samples of the survey. 180 samples were collected which include the faculty, students and users of the College Information Management System (CIMS) from Shinas College of Technology (ICT). The collected data underwent analysis using the SPSS and the findings were interpreted. Findings: The study reveals that CIMS is characterized by its multiple functions; is user-friendly and flexible. CIMS has met the expectations of most of the users, despite the presence of a few technical problems requiring improvement.Educational Technology Center (ETC) ensures smooth, secure, safe and fast access. CIMS is subject to continuous assessment through periodic follow up by the Educational College Center from any external attacks etc. which is a welcoming feature. Research limitations/Implications: The study suggests that CIMS users should be given training on the updates and necessary training to the CIMS maintenance crew. Social implications: The study suggests thatthere is only a small group of individuals who handles and manages the entire program - installation of CIMS and periodic follow-up etc. and technical expertise is needed at the college level. Originality/Value: No study have ever examined the Information Management System of HEIs in Oman.
目的:本研究的目的是批判性地分析CIMS在完成信纳工学院注册/学术咨询过程中的有效性,并批判性地分析CIMS在履行CIMS所扮演的角色方面的有效功能。设计/方法/方法:对于本研究研究,采用简单随机抽样的方法选择调查样本。调查对象为信纳工学院的教师、学生和CIMS用户,共180人。使用SPSS软件对收集的数据进行分析,并对结果进行解释。研究发现:CIMS具有多功能的特点;是用户友好和灵活的。CIMS满足了大多数用户的期望,尽管存在一些需要改进的技术问题。教育技术中心(ETC)确保畅通、安全、快捷的访问。CIMS通过教育学院中心的定期跟踪来进行持续评估,以防止任何外部攻击等,这是一个受欢迎的特性。研究局限/启示:研究建议对CIMS用户进行更新方面的培训,并对CIMS维修人员进行必要的培训。社会影响:研究表明,只有一小部分人处理和管理整个项目——CIMS的安装和定期随访等,需要大学水平的技术专长。原创性/价值:没有研究考察过阿曼高等学校的信息管理系统。
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引用次数: 2
Effect of Work Experience, Age of Employee, Training, Emotional Intelligence, of Work Productivity 工作经验、员工年龄、培训、情绪智力对工作效率的影响
Pub Date : 2019-01-10 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3313230
Annisa Nabila, Ratih Pratiwi, Osly Usman
This study is realized to analyze and identify some influence with their variable data test realistically, these variables among which 1. The effect of work experience on work productivity, 2. Effect of age on the productivity of employees, 3. Effect of employee training on labor productivity, and further section 4. Effect of emotional intelligence to work productivity. The purpose of this study was to gain knowledge, absolute value and also testing of the associated variable X to variable Y. In the process ,. Related to measuring value and process data calculations, carried out using SEM techniques and applications SmartPLS 3.0. The results of this study states the influence of all the indicator variable to employee productivity. The most significant influence on the productivity of an employee's age, it is stated that an employee who had an average age will affect a greater productive on his ability to work. This happened with the hiring fresh graduates.
本研究实际实现了对其变量数据检验的一些影响进行分析和识别,这些变量中有1。2.工作经验对工作效率的影响。3.年龄对员工生产力的影响;员工培训对劳动生产率的影响。情商对工作效率的影响。本研究的目的是获得相关变量X到变量y的知识、绝对值和检验。相关测量值和过程数据计算,使用扫描电镜技术和应用SmartPLS 3.0进行。本研究的结果说明了所有指标变量对员工生产力的影响。最显著的影响生产力的员工的年龄,这是说,一个员工的平均年龄将影响更大的生产力对他的工作能力。在招聘应届毕业生时就发生了这种情况。
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引用次数: 1
How to Create Skills for an Emerging Industry: The Case of Technician Skills and Training in Cell Therapy 如何为新兴行业创造技能:细胞治疗技术人员技能和培训的案例
Pub Date : 2017-12-06 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.2903909
P. Lewis
This report examines the use that employers in the developing cell therapy industry make, and are planning to make as they commercialise, of technicians. It considers the duties, skills and training of such technicians. It examines how employers in cell therapy aim to fill technician roles and outlines some of the problems they face in trying to do so. Conclusions for policy-makers are drawn, especially about the appropriate institutional framework within which skills development for such emerging industries is best carried out.
这份报告调查了正在发展的细胞治疗行业的雇主们对技术人员的使用,以及他们在商业化过程中计划使用的技术人员。它考虑这些技术人员的职责、技能和培训。它考察了细胞治疗行业的雇主如何设法填补技术人员的角色,并概述了他们在这样做时面临的一些问题。为政策制定者得出结论,特别是关于适当的制度框架,在其中最好地开展这些新兴产业的技能开发。
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引用次数: 2
Analysis of the Present State of the Insurance Market: From the Company's Strategy to Project Portfolio 保险市场现状分析:从公司战略到项目组合
Pub Date : 2017-05-01 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.2961224
L. Spankulova, A. R. Kerimbaev
During the years of independence, the economy of Kazakhstan shows a rapid growth rate [1, c. 4]. So, in 2014 the country's GDP reached 38,033 billion tenge, which is 7.8% more than GDP in 2013. Consider two key economic indicators of GDP and the volume of insurance premiums. In 2004, the share of insurance premiums in GDP was only 0.66%. In 2004-2014, the maximum value of the share of insurance premiums was observed in 2006, which was only 1.09%, while the minimum value of 0.59% was observed in 2010. The development of the insurance market directly depends on the dynamics of the country's GDP. Comparison of GDP and insurance premiums in dynamics confirms the close interdependence of the republic's economic growth with changes in the insurance market. The penetration of the insurance market into the economy of the country remains still low. In Kazakhstan, according to the NB RK, the share of insurance premiums under insurance and reinsurance contracts in GDP is less than 1%. In developed countries, this figure exceeds 5%.
在独立期间,哈萨克斯坦的经济呈现出快速的增长速度[1,c. 4]。因此,2014年该国的GDP达到38,033亿坚戈,比2013年的GDP增长了7.8%。考虑GDP和保费额这两个关键经济指标。2004年,保险保费占GDP的比重仅为0.66%。2004-2014年,保费份额的最大值出现在2006年,仅为1.09%,最小值出现在2010年,为0.59%。保险市场的发展直接取决于一个国家GDP的动态。国内生产总值和保险费的动态比较证实了共和国经济增长与保险市场变化的密切相互依存关系。保险市场在该国经济中的渗透率仍然很低。根据NB RK的数据,在哈萨克斯坦,保险和再保险合同下的保费占GDP的比例不到1%。在发达国家,这一数字超过了5%。
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引用次数: 0
Social Assistance Benefits and European Coordination 社会援助福利和欧洲协调
Pub Date : 2015-08-17 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.2645606
Jinxian Wang, Olaf van Vliet, K. Goudswaard
A number of studies suggest that the Europeanization process has a profound impact on national labour market policies, but fairly little research has been devoted to the development of social assistance benefit schemes across countries and over time. Relying on two new indicators, benefit levels and replacement rates, we examine the impact of the Lisbon Strategy on national social assistance policies. We find no robust effects for the first years of the Lisbon Strategy. However, after its re-launch in 2005, the Lisbon Strategy has significantly contributed to increases of national social assistance benefit levels. In addition to the Lisbon Strategy, domestic political, institutional and several economic factors also have a significant impact on social assistance benefits.
若干研究表明,欧洲化进程对国家劳动力市场政策产生了深远的影响,但对各国和各时期社会援助福利计划的发展进行的研究却相当少。根据福利水平和替代率这两个新指标,我们研究了《里斯本战略》对国家社会援助政策的影响。我们发现,《里斯本战略》的头几年没有显著效果。然而,在2005年重新启动后,《里斯本战略》为提高国家社会援助福利水平作出了重大贡献。除里斯本战略外,国内政治、体制和若干经济因素也对社会救助福利产生重大影响。
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引用次数: 1
Housing Tenure and Unemployment 租住房屋与失业
Pub Date : 2015-06-01 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.2628242
Richard K. Green, B. Wang
In this article, we test whether tenure choice influences employment. This influencemight arise through a number of channels, including transaction costs, lock-in effects, wealtheffects, externalities and commuting times. These factors could collectively have either a positiveor negative effect on employment outcomes. Using Current Population Survey panel data from1988 to 2013, we conclude that tenure rates do not statistically influence employment growthrates. Using Panel Study of Income Dynamics data from 1994 to 2011 and Survey of Income andProgram Participation data from 1995 to 2013, we conclude that home-owning does not increasepeoples’ unemployment probabilities or significantly increase people’s unemployment spells ordecrease people’s wages. But home-owning does affect employment by lengthening employmentdurations and increasing the likelihood of interstate moves. By investigating some features ofhome-owing- presence of mortgages, negative equity, wealth accumulation and attachment tocommunities-we conclude that having mortgages, negative equity and wealth accumulationmight affect job outcomes, largely in a positive direction.
在本文中,我们检验了任期选择是否影响就业。这种影响可能通过多种渠道产生,包括交易成本、锁定效应、财富效应、外部性和通勤时间。这些因素可能对就业结果产生积极或消极的影响。利用1988年至2013年的当前人口调查面板数据,我们得出结论,任期率在统计上不影响就业增长。利用1994年至2011年的收入动态面板研究数据和1995年至2013年的收入和计划参与调查数据,我们得出结论,拥有住房不会增加人们的失业概率,也不会显着增加人们的失业时间或降低人们的工资。但拥有住房确实会影响就业,因为它延长了就业期限,增加了州际迁移的可能性。通过调查房屋贷款的一些特征——抵押贷款、负资产、财富积累和对社区的依恋——我们得出结论,拥有抵押贷款、负资产和财富积累可能会影响工作结果,而且在很大程度上是积极的。
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引用次数: 2
Le Droit Humain À La Protection Sociale Et Le Risque Chômage: Doit-On Capituler? (The Human Right to Social Protection and the Risk of Unemployment: Shall We Stop Dreaming of It?) 《人权》À《社会保护与风险》Chômage:《资本论》?(《享有社会保障的人权与失业风险:我们应该停止梦想吗?》)
Pub Date : 2014-05-06 DOI: 10.2139/SSRN.2433830
L. Lamarche
French Abstract: Le Canada a recemment modifie son regime assuranciel de remplacement du revenu en cas de chomage. Prenant pretexte de ce triste evenement, nous entendons jeter un regard inspire a la fois de la theorie des droits humains, et notamment du droit a la protection sociale, et de celle des politiques sociales, sur les enjeux de la reforme. Pour ce faire nous procederons en deux temps. Dans un premier temps, nous proposons une critique contextuelle du regime preexistant de protection contre le chomage au Canada. Cette critique prend en compte les effets d’exclusion du systeme et constate l’asservissement des travailleurs et des chomeurs aux theories du capital humain et des enjeux contemporains de la disponibilite des ressources humaines, dans une perspective de droits humains (A). Dans un second temps, nous examinons le contexte international et transnational dans lequel s’inscrit la recente reforme canadienne (B). Dans la foulee de la proposition de Ferrera portant sur les investissements sociaux du nouvel Etat liberal neo providentiel, nous explorons les avenues proposees par la Recommandation no 202 adoptee par l’OIT en 2012, laquelle porte sur les seuils minimaux de protection sociale. Nous concluons par une hypothese: un regime tel le regime canadien d’assurance chomage doit dorenavant etre considere comme residuaire dans le registre des politiques sociales assurant un socle minimal de protection. Et en consequence de ce caractere residuaire, sa transformation profonde echapperait aux exigences posees par l’article 9 du Pacte international relatif aux droits economiques, sociaux et culturels (PIDESC).English Abstract: Canada recently modified its unemployment social protection regimes, making access to the benefits tougher and benefits themselves slimmer. As a consequence, unemployment regime in Canada, like in many other OECD countries, became a tool that firstly aims at keeping precarious workers on the labour market. As the then Minister of Finance said: a job is a job. Using this unfortunate event as pretext, this paper wishes to explore the relationship between social protection as a human right and social protection as a human capital investment. We also factor in the analysis of the recent adoption by ILO of Recommendation no 202 on social protection floors (2012) and conclude that in a country like Canada, the transnational influence of international standards and of the neo-welfare state model leads us to believe that income replacement measures framed in a social security model are about to be seen as residuary. This raises the issue of the relevancy of human rights instruments and the one of compliance with such instruments in the technical world of social security.
英语摘要:加拿大最近修改了其失业收入替代保险计划。以这一令人悲伤的事件为借口,我们打算从人权理论,特别是社会保护权利的理论,以及社会政策的理论,来审视改革的利害关系。为此,我们将分两个阶段进行。首先,我们对加拿大现有的失业保护制度提出了背景批评。这种批评考虑了系统的排斥效应,并从人权的角度观察到工人和失业者屈从于人力资本理论和当代人力资源可用性问题(A)。我们审议国际和跨国背景是加拿大(B)最近的改革。在foulee建议费雷拉,涵盖社会投资的天使nesv liberal neo,我们探索街道处方的第202号2012年通过劳工组织的建议,其中涉及社会保障的最低门槛。我们的结论是,像加拿大失业保险计划这样的计划必须被视为社会政策记录中的残余,提供最低限度的保护。由于其残余性,其深刻的转变将不符合《经济、社会、文化权利国际盟约》(《经济、社会、文化权利国际盟约》)第9条的要求。英文摘要:加拿大最近修改了其失业社会保护制度,使领取福利的机会更大,福利本身也更少。因此,加拿大的失业制度同许多其他经合发组织国家一样,成为一种工具,其主要目的是使不稳定的工人留在劳动力市场。财政部长说:工作就是工作。本文以这一不幸事件为契机,探讨作为人权的社会保护与作为人力资本投资的社会保护之间的关系。We also in the factor analysis of the recent by ILO of 202号建议人们通过社会保护,(2012)与加拿大的that in a country . like, the跨国影响力model of international standards of the neo-welfare state (promenade us to我万里安置措施、以及in a social security model are about to be as剩余曾经见过。这就提出了人权文书的相关性问题以及在社会保障技术领域遵守这些文书的问题。
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引用次数: 0
Too Rich to Do the Dirty Work? Wealth Effects on the Demand for Good Jobs 太有钱而不愿干脏活?财富对好工作需求的影响
Pub Date : 2014-01-01 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.2388081
L. Haywood
Jobs offer different wages and different non-monetary working conditions. This paper investigates how the demand for non-monetary aspects evolves over changing wealth levels. Wages do not perfectly compensate individuals for differential utility of jobs in a labour market with informational frictions. Changes in wealth may then affect preferences for different jobs. Willingness to pay for non-monetary aspects of jobs (measured by job satisfaction for work "in itself") is found to increase with wealth shocks. Duration models are estimated based on the reduced form of a search model. Wealth may play an important role in labour market choices.
工作提供不同的工资和不同的非货币工作条件。本文研究了对非货币方面的需求如何随着财富水平的变化而演变。在存在信息摩擦的劳动力市场中,工资并不能完全补偿个人工作的差异效用。财富的变化可能会影响人们对不同工作的偏好。研究发现,为工作的非货币性方面(以工作“本身”的工作满意度来衡量)买单的意愿随着财富冲击而增加。持续时间模型是基于搜索模型的简化形式来估计的。财富可能在劳动力市场的选择中扮演重要角色。
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引用次数: 2
Impact of the Great Recession on Retirement Trends in Industrialized Countries 大衰退对工业化国家退休趋势的影响
Pub Date : 2013-12-18 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.2369457
Gary T. Burtless, B. Bosworth
The Great Recession had a large impact on unemployment rates and growth in wealthy industrial countries. When the recession began most rich countries were experiencing an increase in labor force participation rates after age 60. This paper examines whether the downturn slowed or reversed the trend toward higher old-age participation rates. We use straightforward time series analysis to test for a break in labor force trends after 2007. Our results indicate that the average rate of increase in labor force participation slowed in only a handful of countries. Averaging across all 20 countries in our sample, we find that the average pace of labor force participation increase was faster after 2007 than before. Countries that experienced unusually severe downturns represent exceptions to this generalization. In most countries, however, the trend toward later retirement not only continued, it accelerated.
大衰退对富裕工业国家的失业率和经济增长产生了巨大影响。当经济衰退开始时,大多数富裕国家的60岁以上劳动力参与率都在上升。本文考察了经济衰退是否减缓或逆转了老年参与率上升的趋势。我们使用简单的时间序列分析来检验2007年后劳动力趋势的中断。我们的研究结果表明,只有少数几个国家的劳动力参与率平均增长率有所放缓。对样本中所有20个国家进行平均后,我们发现2007年之后劳动力参与率的平均增长速度比以前更快。经历过异常严重经济衰退的国家是这种概括的例外。然而,在大多数国家,推迟退休的趋势不仅继续,而且还在加速。
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引用次数: 14
期刊
Unemployment Insurance eJournal
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