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2022 Systems and Information Engineering Design Symposium (SIEDS)最新文献

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Preemptive Detection of Electrical System Anomalies in Particle Accelerators 粒子加速器电气系统异常的先发制人检测
Pub Date : 2022-04-28 DOI: 10.1109/sieds55548.2022.9799358
Timur Guler, MacKenzye Leroy, C. O'Brien, Ryan Pindale
Large-scale instruments are vital to the progression of scientific discovery. Instrument downtime often stalls research; by reducing downtime, experimenters can increase research productivity and attain higher returns on investment. Our team focused on instruments of high complexity, where electrical issues in various subcomponents have the potential to cause problems ranging from simple experimental failure to catastrophic system damage. We propose a novel approach for preemptive detection of electrical faults using a variety of machine learning methods on signal data from Oak Ridge Laboratory's Spallation Neutron Source (SNS) particle accelerator. We compared four methods: a prototypical network that uses Symbolic Fourier Approximation for feature engineering and few shot learning for training, a Gaussian Process Classifier, an Approximated Bayesian Neural Network using Monte Carlo Dropout, and an LSTM Autoencoder. We evaluate these methods based on their ROC curves and provide a general commentary on the advantages and disadvantages of each method. Our results demonstrate capacity for identifying the imminence of certain failure states and provide avenues for future enhancement.
大型仪器对科学发现的进展至关重要。仪器停机常常会阻碍研究;通过减少停机时间,实验人员可以提高研究效率并获得更高的投资回报。我们的团队专注于高度复杂的仪器,其中各种子组件的电气问题有可能导致从简单的实验失败到灾难性系统损坏的问题。我们提出了一种利用各种机器学习方法对来自橡树岭实验室散裂中子源(SNS)粒子加速器的信号数据进行先发制人检测的新方法。我们比较了四种方法:使用符号傅里叶近似进行特征工程和少量镜头学习进行训练的原型网络,高斯过程分类器,使用蒙特卡罗Dropout的近似贝叶斯神经网络和LSTM自编码器。我们根据这些方法的ROC曲线对它们进行评估,并对每种方法的优缺点进行一般性评论。我们的结果证明了识别某些失效状态迫在眉睫的能力,并为未来的增强提供了途径。
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引用次数: 1
Designing a Sustainable Data Structure for Exploring Student Well-Being Patterns in Albemarle County Public Schools Throughout COVID-19 为探索2019冠状病毒病期间阿尔伯马尔县公立学校学生福祉模式设计可持续数据结构
Pub Date : 2022-04-28 DOI: 10.1109/sieds55548.2022.9799432
Katherine Grace Brickley, Jeannette Jiang, Maureen O'Shea
Student well-being has been affected by the COVID-19 pandemic. Albemarle County Public Schools (ACPS) has collected a significant and varied amount of K-12 student data throughout COVID-19. Researchers seek to utilize the student data to drive evidence-based policy changes with regard to ACPS student well-being. A structured data system for performing school-related research associated with the well-being of students throughout the pandemic does not exist. We have designed a sustainable, relational data structure for data consolidation and to advance the ongoing research initiatives related to COVID-19 student well-being in collaboration with ACPS. The data structure aims to play an important role in promoting student well-being policies through simplifying data collection, enhancing analysis, and acting as an ongoing tool that can support future phases of research. The design architecture includes a relational database populated with de-identified student data to be hosted in the cloud. Design implementation includes data cleaning, data preprocessing, populating the database, and querying data for validation. Specialized queries are utilized to answer the early questions posed to the data. Validation testing is performed to confirm the database is working as expected. Details of the data pipeline, validation, best data practices, and database design are discussed in the paper.
2019冠状病毒病大流行影响了学生的健康。阿尔伯马尔县公立学校(ACPS)在COVID-19期间收集了大量不同数量的K-12学生数据。研究人员试图利用学生数据来推动基于证据的政策变化,以提高ACPS学生的幸福感。目前还没有一个结构化的数据系统,用于开展与整个大流行期间学生福祉相关的与学校有关的研究。我们设计了一个可持续的关系数据结构,用于数据整合,并与ACPS合作推进正在进行的与COVID-19学生福利相关的研究计划。该数据结构旨在通过简化数据收集、加强分析以及作为支持未来研究阶段的持续工具,在促进学生福利政策方面发挥重要作用。设计体系结构包括一个关系数据库,其中填充了将托管在云中去标识化的学生数据。设计实现包括数据清理、数据预处理、填充数据库和查询数据以进行验证。专门的查询用于回答对数据提出的早期问题。执行验证测试以确认数据库按预期工作。文中详细讨论了数据管道、验证、最佳数据实践和数据库设计。
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引用次数: 0
The Linville Creek Bridge: A Case Study of Design Thinking in Structural Engineering 林维尔河大桥:结构工程设计思维的个案研究
Pub Date : 2022-04-28 DOI: 10.1109/sieds55548.2022.9799298
Andrew J. Sklavounos, Daniel I. Castaneda
The Industrial Revolution in the 19th Century transformed the United States from a largely agrarian country to an industrialized nation. Many technical solutions met technical needs, which contributed to changing qualities of life for the better and worse. As innovative technologies were adopted to enhance human comforts, typical technology practices of the time overlooked impacts to the environment and to human health. Widespread areas of air and water became polluted, and dangerous working conditions were commonplace. Engineers participated in this revolution, as well, by creating new infrastructure to move manufactured goods. While engineering solutions were similarly technical in nature, there exist rare examples in the 19th Century where civil and structural engineering followed an atypical, empathetic approach to meet the needs of people. The design and construction of the Linville Creek Bridge in 1898 at Broadway, Virginia, for example, is a unique case study that structural engineers and engineers-in-training will be interested to learn about due to the project's incorporation of community input in its technical design and construction. This project is an early example of a bridge's design and siting being informed by the community in which it is located. This paper presents an argument that the design and construction of this 19th Century bridge followed steps that are similar to the modern-era human-centered Design Thinking (DT) process now used in the 21st Century. We highlight how civic leaders and engineers in the town of Broadway used the community's input to empathize, define, ideate, prototype, and test a bridge that would meet the needs of the community. Thus, even though the DT process did not exist at the time, the specific steps undertaken helped to create and design a unique truss structure that fit the desires and needs of the community and contributed toward the truss bridge gaining sociocultural value over time, now recognized as a historic landmark. This case study exploration of the DT steps being used by structural engineers in the 19th Century is a valuable lesson for structural engineers of the 21st Century to gain insight into how structural engineering has been conducted in the past and at present to see how the incorporation of human dimensions of engineering problem solving has grown tremendously. The sociotechnical success of the Linville Creek Bridge shows how it is valuable to meet the needs of the people in structural engineering design and construction to create successful structures that satisfy the needs of communities for decades to come.
19世纪的工业革命使美国从一个以农业为主的国家转变为一个工业化国家。许多技术解决方案满足了技术需求,这有助于改变生活质量,或好或坏。由于采用创新技术来提高人类的舒适度,当时的典型技术做法忽视了对环境和人类健康的影响。大范围的空气和水被污染,危险的工作条件司空见惯。工程师们也参与了这场革命,他们创造了新的基础设施来运输制成品。虽然工程解决方案本质上是类似的技术,但在19世纪,土木和结构工程遵循非典型的、同理心的方法来满足人们的需求,这是罕见的例子。例如,1898年位于弗吉尼亚州百老汇的林维尔河大桥的设计和施工是一个独特的案例研究,结构工程师和在职工程师将有兴趣了解,因为该项目在技术设计和施工中纳入了社区的投入。这个项目是一个早期的桥梁设计和选址的例子,它是由它所在的社区告知的。本文提出的论点是,这座19世纪桥梁的设计和建造遵循的步骤类似于21世纪使用的现代以人为本的设计思维(DT)过程。我们强调了百老汇镇的公民领袖和工程师如何利用社区的意见来理解、定义、构思、原型和测试一座满足社区需求的桥梁。因此,尽管当时不存在DT过程,但所采取的具体步骤有助于创建和设计适合社区愿望和需求的独特桁架结构,并有助于桁架桥随着时间的推移获得社会文化价值,现在被公认为历史地标。本案例研究探索了19世纪结构工程师使用的DT步骤,对于21世纪的结构工程师来说,这是一个宝贵的经验,可以让他们深入了解过去的结构工程是如何进行的,以及现在如何将人类维度纳入工程问题解决的巨大增长。林维尔河大桥的社会技术成功表明,在结构工程设计和施工中,满足人们的需求,创造出满足未来几十年社区需求的成功结构是多么有价值。
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引用次数: 0
Designing a Solar Powered Golf Cart for Sweet Briar College Sustainability 为Sweet Briar学院的可持续发展设计太阳能高尔夫球车
Pub Date : 2022-04-28 DOI: 10.1109/sieds55548.2022.9799293
Elizabeth R. Murphy, I. Williams, Elizabeth Martin
Sweet Briar College boasts a sustainability program that maintains the on-campus greenhouse, among other activities. The program requested a solar powered golf cart to aid in the transport of people and produce around campus. Currently, a pickup truck is used to transport produce from the greenhouse to the dining hall. The sustainability program wanted a more environmentally friendly option. The goal of the project is to modify a golf cart to run primarily on solar power. The cart will be used to transport produce from the campus greenhouse to the dining hall as well as to give campus tours. Without any modifications, the golf cart was able to navigate all the areas on campus that it would be required to in order to transport produce and give tours. Based on the runtime and charging time of the unmodified golf cart, both the solar powered runtime and charging time were determined to be between two and three hours. The panel was mounted on the existing roof of the cart and the charge controller was placed below the back seat. Several designs for produce transportation were considered before settling on a removable storage system that fits onto the back seat of the golf cart. This was determined to meet sustain ability, cost, and capacity needs. A system was designed and installed on the rear of the cart. The next steps of the project are to test the system to ensure it can remain structurally sound with the additional weight, the charging rate, and the maximum runtime of the golf cart. By the project timeline the golf cart should be functional, running on solar power, and carrying produce by May.
Sweet Briar学院拥有一个可持续发展计划,该计划维护校园温室,以及其他活动。该项目需要一辆太阳能高尔夫球车,以帮助在校园里运送人员和产品。目前,一辆皮卡车被用来将农产品从温室运送到食堂。可持续性项目想要一个更环保的选择。该项目的目标是改造高尔夫球车,使其主要以太阳能为动力。这辆车将用于将农产品从校园温室运送到食堂,并用于校园参观。在没有任何修改的情况下,高尔夫球车能够在校园的所有区域进行导航,以便运输农产品和提供旅游服务。根据未改装高尔夫球车的运行时间和充电时间,确定太阳能供电的运行时间和充电时间在2到3小时之间。该面板安装在现有的车顶上,充电控制器放置在后座下方。在确定一个适合高尔夫球车后座的可移动存储系统之前,考虑了几种产品运输设计。这是为了满足可持续性、成本和容量需求。一个系统被设计并安装在小车的后部。项目的下一步是测试系统,以确保它在额外的重量、充电速率和高尔夫球车的最大运行时间下仍能保持结构健全。按照项目的时间表,高尔夫球车应该可以正常工作,使用太阳能,并在5月之前运送农产品。
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引用次数: 0
Measuring the Impact of Open Source Software Innovation Using Network Analysis on GitHub Hosted Python Packages 使用GitHub托管Python包的网络分析来衡量开源软件创新的影响
Pub Date : 2022-04-28 DOI: 10.1109/sieds55548.2022.9799290
Derek Banks, Camille Leonard, Shilpa Narayan, Nicholas Thompson, Brandon L. Kramer, Gizem Korkmaz
Open Source Software (OSS) is computer software that has its source code publicly available with a license in which the copyright holder provides the rights to study, change, and distribute the software to anyone and for any purpose. Despite its extensive use, reliable measures of the scope and impact of OSS are scarce. In this paper, we focus on packages developed for Python programming language as it is one of the most widely-used languages mainly due to its flexibility and simple syntax that makes its framework easy to learn and share. We aim to develop a framework to measure the impact of Python packages listed on Package Index (PyPI.org). We use data from GitHub repositories (where these packages are developed) to obtain information about their development activity e.g., lines of code. Our goal is to identify influential actors, e.g., packages, developers, countries by using the impact measures. We use network-based and OSS-based measures such as number of downloads. Network-based statistics include centrality measures such as degree, and eigenvector centrality. Moreover, we calcu-late the cost of OSS as intangible capital using the COCOMO II model [1] to determine the cost of development and study the relationship between development cost and impact of Python projects. The findings show that the number of downloads for a package are correlated with the centrality statistics, supporting the hypothesis that the most influential are the most downloaded as well. We show which packages are saving on development cost by leveraging dependencies. This framework and measures can be applied more broadly to the OSS ecosystem and contribute to the National Science Foundation (NSF) policy indicators for measurement of innovation.
开放源码软件(OSS)是一种计算机软件,它的源代码是公开的,并带有许可,其中版权所有者提供了研究、更改和将软件分发给任何人和任何目的的权利。尽管它被广泛使用,但是对OSS的范围和影响的可靠度量是稀缺的。在本文中,我们主要关注Python编程语言开发的包,因为它是最广泛使用的语言之一,主要是由于它的灵活性和简单的语法,使其框架易于学习和共享。我们的目标是开发一个框架来衡量Package Index (PyPI.org)上列出的Python包的影响。我们使用来自GitHub存储库(这些包开发的地方)的数据来获取有关其开发活动的信息,例如代码行。我们的目标是通过使用影响措施确定有影响的行为者,例如,一揽子计划、开发人员和国家。我们使用基于网络和基于oss的指标,如下载量。基于网络的统计包括中心性度量,如度和特征向量中心性。此外,我们使用COCOMO II模型[1]计算OSS作为无形资本的成本,以确定开发成本,并研究开发成本与Python项目影响之间的关系。研究结果表明,一个软件包的下载次数与中心性统计相关,这支持了最具影响力的软件包也是下载次数最多的假设。我们展示了哪些包通过利用依赖关系节省了开发成本。这个框架和措施可以更广泛地应用于OSS生态系统,并有助于国家科学基金会(NSF)衡量创新的政策指标。
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引用次数: 2
GeoTyper: Automated Pipeline from Raw scRNA-Seq Data to Cell Type Identification GeoTyper:从原始scRNA-Seq数据到细胞类型识别的自动化管道
Pub Date : 2022-04-28 DOI: 10.1109/sieds55548.2022.9799321
C. Wolfe, Yayi Feng, David Chen, E. Purcell, Anne M. Talkington, Sepideh Dolatshahi, Heman Shakeri
The cellular composition of the tumor microenvironment can directly impact cancer progression and the efficacy of therapeutics. Understanding immune cell activity, the body's natural defense mechanism, in the vicinity of cancerous cells is essential for developing beneficial treatments. Single cell RNA sequencing (scRNA-seq) enables the examination of gene expression on an individual cell basis, providing crucial information regarding both the disturbances in cell functioning caused by cancer and cell-cell communication in the tumor microenvironment. This novel technique generates large amounts of data, which require proper processing. Various tools exist to facilitate this processing but need to be organized to standardize the workflow from data wrangling to visualization, cell type identification, and analysis of changes in cellular activity, both from the standpoint of malignant cells and immune stromal cells that eliminate them. We aimed to develop a standardized pipeline (GeoTyper, https://github.com/celineyayifeng/GeoTyper) that integrates multiple scRNA-seq tools for processing raw sequence data extracted from NCBI GEO, visualization of results, statistical analysis, and cell type identification. This pipeline leverages existing tools, such as Cellranger from 10X Genomics, Alevin, and Seurat, to cluster cells and identify cell types based on gene expression profiles. We successfully tested and validated the pipeline on several publicly available scRNA-seq datasets, resulting in clusters corresponding to distinct cell types. By determining the cell types and their respective frequencies in the tumor microenvironment across multiple cancers, this workflow will help quantify changes in gene expression related to cell-cell communication and identify possible therapeutic targets.
肿瘤微环境的细胞组成可以直接影响癌症的进展和治疗的效果。了解癌细胞附近的免疫细胞活动,即人体的自然防御机制,对于开发有益的治疗方法至关重要。单细胞RNA测序(scRNA-seq)能够在单个细胞的基础上检查基因表达,提供关于癌症引起的细胞功能紊乱和肿瘤微环境中细胞-细胞通讯的重要信息。这种新技术产生大量的数据,需要适当的处理。有各种工具可以促进这一处理,但需要组织标准化工作流程,从数据整理到可视化、细胞类型识别和细胞活动变化分析,无论是从恶性细胞的角度还是从消除它们的免疫基质细胞的角度。我们的目标是开发一个标准化的管道(GeoTyper, https://github.com/celineyayifeng/GeoTyper),该管道集成了多个scRNA-seq工具,用于处理从NCBI GEO提取的原始序列数据,结果可视化,统计分析和细胞类型鉴定。该管道利用现有的工具,如10X Genomics, Alevin和Seurat的Cellranger,来聚集细胞并根据基因表达谱识别细胞类型。我们成功地在几个公开可用的scRNA-seq数据集上测试和验证了该管道,产生了对应于不同细胞类型的集群。通过确定多种癌症肿瘤微环境中的细胞类型及其各自的频率,该工作流程将有助于量化与细胞-细胞通讯相关的基因表达变化,并确定可能的治疗靶点。
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引用次数: 0
Modernizing Pilot Selection Methods & Technologies at the United States Air Force Academy 美国空军学院飞行员选拔方法与技术现代化
Pub Date : 2022-04-28 DOI: 10.1109/sieds55548.2022.9799400
Gabe Salinger, Luca Pisani, Hannah Silvestro, Nathan Herdener, Ciara M. Sibley, Joseph T. Coyne, Sabrina Drollinger, Kenneth M. King, Chad C. Tossell
The United States military is suffering from a pilot shortage and lack of diversity in its corps. Thus, selecting capable pilots from the widest range of talent is a priority for the United States Air Force (USAF). As part of this goal, our project aimed to modernize the Test of Basic Aviation Skills (TBAS) - one of the USAF's three primary methods of assessing an individual's potential for successfully completing pilot training - in order to better predict pilot performance and reduce unnecessary demographic subgroup differences. A prototype system and initial experiment was developed to this end. After obtaining requirements, conducting a system analysis, and a review of previous research, we designed the Pilot Selection and Assessment for Future Flight (PSAFF) system as a capability to conduct experiments on novel tests, methods, and technologies that have potential in a modernized version of the TBAS. Our proof-of-concept experiment examined two types of controls to perform spatial tasks in PSAFF taking into account gender, gaming, usability, and face validity. We found no performance differences in these controls. However, variance between individuals was elicited based on performance and results show the two devices hold promise for replacing outdated equipment and encourages future work to explore and compare input devices with larger sample sizes. The analysis will enable future design iterations and studies.
美国军方正面临飞行员短缺和部队缺乏多样性的问题。因此,从最广泛的人才中选拔有能力的飞行员是美国空军(USAF)的优先事项。作为这一目标的一部分,我们的项目旨在使基本航空技能测试(TBAS)现代化,以更好地预测飞行员的表现,减少不必要的人口分组差异。TBAS是美国空军评估个人成功完成飞行员培训潜力的三种主要方法之一。为此开发了一个原型系统并进行了初步实验。在获得需求、进行系统分析和回顾以前的研究之后,我们设计了未来飞行飞行员选择和评估(PSAFF)系统,作为对具有现代化TBAS潜力的新测试、方法和技术进行实验的能力。我们的概念验证实验考察了在PSAFF中执行空间任务的两种类型的控制,考虑了性别、游戏、可用性和面部效度。我们没有发现这些控制组的性能差异。然而,个体之间的差异是基于性能得出的,结果表明这两种设备有望取代过时的设备,并鼓励未来的工作探索和比较更大样本量的输入设备。该分析将使未来的设计迭代和研究成为可能。
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引用次数: 0
Predicting the Direction of Groundwater Flow Using Geospatial Data Analysis 利用地理空间数据分析预测地下水流动方向
Pub Date : 2022-04-28 DOI: 10.1109/sieds55548.2022.9799353
Ana Daley, Arjun Ganesh, Juliet Holmes, Aparna Marathe
Groundwater, water flowing beneath the Earth's surface, provides the largest and most accessed source of freshwater. When groundwater is contaminated, the pollutant will disperse and travel in the same direction as the flow of groundwater, which directly threatens the integrity of drinking water and irrigation. All instances of groundwater contamination incur environmental, health, and monetary costs, but when not mitigated promptly, these costs can increase drastically. Currently, the method for determining the direction a contaminant plume will travel requires physically visiting the site and surveying the groundwater. This project addresses this issue by leveraging geospatial data and statistical learning methods. The aims of this project were two-fold. First, we aggregated known features, relevant to the direction of groundwater flow, at sites across the United States into a database. Having a centralized source of data regarding these properties is an improvement on the current system of sparse, disjoint, and at times inaccessible data sets. Second, we utilized that data in conjunction with machine learning techniques to develop a model that receives latitude and longitude as inputs and generates a prediction of the direction of groundwater flow at any location within the United States. Having accurate predictions directly improves efficiency by reducing response times and overall mitigation costs. We validated our model predictions against the known direction of groundwater flow using the smallest angle differences between the two.
地下水,即在地表下流动的水,提供了最大和最容易获取的淡水来源。当地下水受到污染时,污染物会分散,并与地下水的流动方向相同,直接威胁到饮用水和灌溉的完整性。所有地下水污染都会造成环境、健康和经济成本,但如果不及时减轻,这些成本可能会急剧增加。目前,确定污染物扩散方向的方法需要实地考察现场并测量地下水。本项目通过利用地理空间数据和统计学习方法来解决这一问题。这个项目的目的是双重的。首先,我们将美国各地与地下水流向相关的已知特征汇总到一个数据库中。拥有关于这些属性的集中数据源是对当前系统的改进,这些系统是稀疏的、不相交的,有时是不可访问的数据集。其次,我们将这些数据与机器学习技术相结合,开发了一个模型,该模型接受纬度和经度作为输入,并对美国境内任何地点的地下水流动方向进行预测。通过减少响应时间和总体缓解成本,准确的预测可以直接提高效率。我们利用两者之间最小的角度差异,根据已知的地下水流动方向验证了我们的模型预测。
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引用次数: 0
A System to Study Anti-American Misinformation and Disinformation Efforts on Social Media 一个研究社交媒体上反美错误信息和虚假信息的系统
Pub Date : 2022-04-28 DOI: 10.1109/sieds55548.2022.9799334
Gowri Prathap, Ekrem Kaya, Luke Palmieri, A. Korb, Saltuk Karahan, H. Kavak
Misinformation and disinformation are two significant challenges of our century with societal, political, and economic implications. This study focuses on building a software system to investigate the role of social media in instilling anti-American sentiment among US allies through misinformation and disinformation efforts. Our system has four major components, which are executed stepwise: (1) Data collection, (2) Data handling, (3) Machine learning, and (4) Analysis. We designed and implemented this system for Twitter using the Python ecosystem. As a use case, we selected Turkey - a US ally and NATO-member country with notable support of anti-American views. We automatically translated the tweets into English and used sentiment and emotion analysis to determine support for or opposition to the USA. Then, we categorized people into bots and non-bots. From Jan 2019-Dec 2021, there were 11,988,406 Turkish tweets related to the USA. Our data showed several peaks, such as President Biden's inauguration day on January 20, 2021 and Biden's recognition of the Armenian Genocide on April 24, 2021. Turkish tweets against the United States are dominated by disgust, followed by anger and fear.
错误信息和虚假信息是我们这个世纪的两个重大挑战,具有社会、政治和经济影响。本研究的重点是建立一个软件系统,以调查社交媒体通过错误信息和虚假信息在美国盟友中灌输反美情绪的作用。我们的系统有四个主要组件,它们是逐步执行的:(1)数据收集,(2)数据处理,(3)机器学习,(4)分析。我们使用Python生态系统为Twitter设计并实现了这个系统。作为一个用例,我们选择了土耳其——一个美国的盟友和北约成员国,其反美观点得到了显著的支持。我们自动将推文翻译成英语,并使用情绪和情绪分析来确定支持或反对美国。然后,我们把人分为机器人和非机器人。从2019年1月到2021年12月,土耳其有11988,406条与美国有关的推文。我们的数据显示了几个峰值,比如拜登总统在2021年1月20日的就职典礼,以及拜登在2021年4月24日承认亚美尼亚种族灭绝。土耳其人反对美国的推文以厌恶为主,其次是愤怒和恐惧。
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引用次数: 0
Optimizing for Water Equity in the Colorado River Basin 科罗拉多河流域水资源公平优化
Pub Date : 2022-04-28 DOI: 10.1109/sieds55548.2022.9799309
Hania Abboud, Erin Baker, Teagan Baiotto, Christopher Weigand, J. Quinn
The Colorado River Basin is experiencing water shortages of increasing severity and frequency. Due to the scale of the Colorado River Basin, its multitude of end users, and ecosystems dependent on its consistent water supply, these water shortages present a dire problem. If the Colorado River ran dry it would lead to a loss of $1.4 trillion in economic activity [1] not to mention the fatal impact on wildlife, Western populations, and environmental systems within its watershed. Our work focuses on optimizing Lake Mead reservoir operations to support the Lower Colorado River Basin. We produce alternative reservoir operating rules to address historic and present environmental justice issues. Our final results will be fundamentally driven by the hydrological budget of the river system and by human and environmental needs both now and in the future. We couple the Borg multi-objective optimization algorithm with the RiverWare river model, a decision support system, to design operating rules that prioritize flows to Native American reservations and tribal groups and Mexico. Our work distinguishes itself from past optimization applications by explicitly considering climate change scenarios and potential impacts on water justice issues faced by Native American tribal communities. Our results aid in identifying promising reservoir management alternatives at Lake Mead for controlling droughts both now and under future possible climate conditions. This work can inform the redesign of the Basin's operating policies after the current Interim Guidelines expire at the end of 2025.
科罗拉多河流域正经历着日益严重和频繁的水资源短缺。由于科罗拉多河流域的规模,其众多的最终用户,以及依赖于其持续供水的生态系统,这些水资源短缺呈现出一个可怕的问题。如果科罗拉多河干涸,将导致1.4万亿美元的经济活动损失,更不用说对野生动物、西部人口和流域内环境系统的致命影响。我们的工作重点是优化米德湖水库的运营,以支持科罗拉多河下游盆地。我们制定了替代油藏操作规则,以解决历史和当前的环境正义问题。我们的最终结果将从根本上由河流系统的水文预算以及现在和未来的人类和环境需求驱动。我们将Borg多目标优化算法与RiverWare河流模型(一个决策支持系统)结合起来,设计出优先流向美国原住民保留地、部落群体和墨西哥的操作规则。我们的工作与以往的优化应用不同,它明确考虑了气候变化情景和对美洲原住民部落社区面临的水正义问题的潜在影响。我们的结果有助于在米德湖确定有希望的水库管理方案,以控制现在和未来可能的气候条件下的干旱。这项工作可以为2025年底现行临时准则到期后重新设计盆地的运营政策提供信息。
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2022 Systems and Information Engineering Design Symposium (SIEDS)
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