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Efficiency in Agricultural Spice Commodities Futures Markets in India 印度农业香料商品期货市场的效率
Pub Date : 2017-06-30 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.2995335
Velmurugan Palaniappan Shanmugam, Raghavendra R. H. Raghu, S. A.
This paper is to analyze the efficiency of agricultural spices commodity markets by assessing the relationships between futures prices and spot market prices of major agricultural spices commodities in India during the sample period of January 2010 through December 2014. The econometric tools like Unit root tests, Johansen co-integration test, and Pairwise Granger Causality tests were employed in the study. The Augmented Dickey-Fuller tests and Phillips-Perron tests employed in the study proved that both the selected metals markets were stationary series, Johansen co-integration test proved selected metals spot and future markets are co-integrating each other and the Granger Causality test proved uni-causality relationships among these markets between spot and future market return series during the study period.
本文通过评估2010年1月至2014年12月印度主要农用香料商品期货价格与现货市场价格的关系,分析农用香料商品市场的效率。本研究采用单位根检验、约翰森协整检验、两两格兰杰因果检验等计量经济学工具。本研究采用的增广Dickey-Fuller检验和Phillips-Perron检验证明所选金属市场均为平稳序列,johnson协整检验证明所选金属现货市场与未来市场互为协整,Granger因果检验证明研究期间现货市场与未来市场收益序列之间存在单因果关系。
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引用次数: 0
Investigating the Drivers of Chinese Bank Cross-border Syndicated Lending 中国银行跨境银团贷款驱动因素研究
Pub Date : 2017-06-11 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.2984605
Xiaotian Wang, A. Barakat, R. Webb
Chinese commercial banks are increasingly using syndicated lending (SL) to develop cross-border business. In this study we examine the determinants of cross-border SL during the period 2006-2014 across 68 countries. The results show that expected credit risk is one of the main drivers of Chinese banks’ overseas syndication but that there are additional drivers, including government ownership, free riding, compensation for limited physical presence in borrower countries, the lowering of information asymmetries and diversification of the lending portfolio. We also find that Chinese banks prefer to group together in a syndicate rather than partner with a foreign-owned bank, and they demonstrate different motivations when extending SLs to developed and developing countries.
中国商业银行越来越多地利用银团贷款(SL)发展跨境业务。在这项研究中,我们研究了68个国家2006-2014年跨境SL的决定因素。结果表明,预期信贷风险是中资银行海外银团的主要驱动因素之一,但还有其他驱动因素,包括政府所有权、搭便车、对借款人国家有限实体存在的补偿、信息不对称的降低和贷款组合的多样化。我们还发现,中国的银行更倾向于组成银团,而不是与外资银行合作,而且它们在向发达国家和发展中国家推广sl时表现出不同的动机。
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引用次数: 1
Sectoral Betas: Pre and Post CPEC Announcement Comparison 部门beta:中巴经济走廊宣布前后的比较
Pub Date : 2017-05-04 DOI: 10.2139/SSRN.2975786
Maryam Zafar, Nawaz Ahmad
CPEC, a mega project that aims to connect Gwadar from Kashghar, is not only a game changer for China and Pakistan but it is for the whole region. This research paper will disclose the impact of the announcement of CPEC on different sectors including cement, automobile, banking, insurance and steel. Excess returns of stock were determined and taken as dependent variable, whereas; excess returns of KSE 100 were taken as independent variable. Simple regression technique was used to interpret beta and sig values. Because of the increased local demand and high import rate, 4 out of 5 betas showed downfall, however; sig values remained highly significant. More local industries to be setup to meet the rise in demand and to maintain the level of betas. It will be a win-win situation for foreign investors as the rate of local manufacturing is comparatively lower than the current demand of goods because of the increased rate of CPEC related developments.
中巴经济走廊是一个旨在连接瓜达尔和喀什的大型项目,它不仅改变了中国和巴基斯坦的游戏规则,而且改变了整个地区。这篇研究论文将揭示中巴经济走廊的宣布对不同行业的影响,包括水泥、汽车、银行、保险和钢铁。确定股票超额收益并取其为因变量,其中;以KSE 100指数的超额收益为自变量。使用简单回归技术解释beta和sig值。但是,由于国内需求的增加和进口的增加,5个品种中有4个品种出现了下滑。Sig值仍然非常显著。建立更多的本地工业,以满足需求的增长,并保持beta的水平。对于外国投资者来说,这将是一个双赢的局面,因为由于中巴经济走廊相关发展的速度加快,当地制造业的速度相对低于当前的商品需求。
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引用次数: 1
Macro-Financial Effects of Portfolio Flows: Malaysia's Experience 投资组合流动的宏观金融效应:马来西亚的经验
Pub Date : 2017-05-02 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.2962154
T. Hwa, M. Raghavan, Teh Tian Huey
This paper studies the causes and effects of portfolio flows in Malaysia. We use Structural Vector Autoregression (SVAR) and Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) models to analyse the interactions among portfolio flows, global and domestic macro and financial variables within a common empirical framework. Three findings emerge: First, the SVAR estimations show that global and domestic factors play transitory roles in driving Malaysia’s net portfolio flows. A subsample analysis from the ARDL model highlights that domestic factors play an increasingly important role in attracting portfolio inflows as Malaysia liberalised its exchange rate regime and capital flow restrictions. Second, higher net portfolio flows lead to exchange rate appreciation, higher equity prices and credit expansion. The effects are visible in the exchange rate, followed by equity prices and credit. Third, in the transmission of higher portfolio flows to growth, the positive effects from higher equity prices and credit are partially offset by the dampening effect from the appreciating exchange rate on output. While the contribution of portfolio flow’s effects on output variance is low, the impulse responses of output does change to portfolio flow shocks, suggesting that portfolio flows are tail risks to growth and that the risks magnify when the flows are large and volatile.
本文研究了马来西亚证券投资流动的原因和影响。我们使用结构向量自回归(SVAR)和自回归分布滞后(ARDL)模型在一个共同的经验框架内分析投资组合流动、全球和国内宏观和金融变量之间的相互作用。有三个发现:首先,SVAR估计表明,全球和国内因素在推动马来西亚净投资组合流动方面发挥了短暂作用。ARDL模型的子样本分析突显出,随着马来西亚放开汇率制度和资本流动限制,国内因素在吸引投资组合流入方面发挥着越来越重要的作用。其次,更高的净投资组合流动导致汇率升值、股价上涨和信贷扩张。其影响体现在汇率上,其次是股价和信贷。第三,在将更高的投资组合流量传递给增长的过程中,股票价格和信贷上涨的积极影响部分被汇率升值对产出的抑制作用所抵消。虽然投资组合流动对产出方差的贡献较小,但产出的脉冲响应确实会对投资组合流动冲击产生变化,这表明投资组合流动是经济增长的尾部风险,当投资组合流动较大且波动较大时,风险会放大。
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引用次数: 3
Risk, Competition, and Efficiency in Chinese Banking: The Role of Interest Rate Liberalization 中国银行业的风险、竞争与效率:利率市场化的作用
Pub Date : 2017-04-08 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.2949045
Y. Tan
The current study contributes to the banking literature by being the first research investigating the competitive conditions of different banking markets using a sample of Chinese commercial banks over the period 2003-2013. It further contributes to banking literature by testing the inter-relationships between competition, different types of efficiencies and different types of risk under a three-stage least square estimator. The results show that competition leads to higher capital, liquidity and credit risk, while higher revenue efficiency leads to lower risk. It is found that efficiency is significantly and negatively related to competition. Finally, the findings show that competition-inefficiency hypothesis holds.
本研究首次以2003-2013年期间的中国商业银行为样本,对不同银行市场的竞争状况进行了调查,为银行业文献做出了贡献。通过在三阶段最小二乘估计器下测试竞争、不同类型效率和不同类型风险之间的相互关系,进一步为银行业文献做出贡献。结果表明,竞争导致资本、流动性和信用风险增加,而收入效率提高导致风险降低。研究发现,效率与竞争呈显著负相关。最后,研究结果表明竞争无效率假说成立。
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引用次数: 5
Do IPOs Affect the Market Price? Evidence from China ipo会影响市场价格吗?来自中国的证据
Pub Date : 2017-01-01 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.2979859
S. Shi, Qian Sun, Xin Zhang
We examine whether sizable initial public offerings (IPOs) affect the whole market. Using a Chinese IPO sample, we find robust evidence that sizable IPOs do depress the market price on not only the listing day but also the offering (subscription) day. The impact on the market is negatively correlated with the IPO size on the listing day. However, the IPO impact is largely transitory. The China Securities Regulatory Commission (CSRC) often places a moratorium on IPOs to support the market, which seems ineffective as the negative IPO effect is transitory and moratoriums are not perceived as good news.
我们研究是否大规模的首次公开募股(ipo)影响整个市场。利用中国IPO样本,我们发现了强有力的证据,表明规模较大的IPO不仅在上市当天,而且在发行(认购)当天都压低了市场价格。对市场的影响与上市当日的IPO规模呈负相关。然而,IPO的影响在很大程度上是暂时的。中国证券监督管理委员会(CSRC)经常暂停IPO以支撑市场,但这似乎是无效的,因为IPO的负面影响是暂时的,暂停IPO并不被视为好消息。
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引用次数: 23
Customer Perceived Value towards Convenience Stores in Malaysia: The Influence on Customer Satisfaction, Loyalty and Retention 马来西亚便利店的顾客感知价值:对顾客满意、忠诚和保留的影响
Pub Date : 2016-10-06 DOI: 10.7172/2449-6634.JMCBEM.2016.2.1
Abdulrauf Animashaun, Tarila Iman Tunkarimu, Omkar Dastane
Numerous researchers have centred their attention on Customer Perceived Value towards brands but only a few have focussed on CPV towards convenience stores. The main purpose of the research is to measure the CPV dimensions and identify which dimension infl uences customer satisfaction and as a result leads to customer loyalty and retention for convenience stores in Malaysia. Independent variables such as functional, conditional, social, emotional and economic values were taken into account; the number of 200 customers were sampled, using a blend of explanatory and descriptive research design and a quantitative research method. The reliability was measured ranging from (? =.560-.966) using Cronbach’s alpha. The application of descriptive statistics and correlation analysis was intended to explain the relationship between the independent and dependent variables of the research, whereas the inferential statistics and linear regression were used to test the hypotheses; with a signifi cance level p ? 0/05 whereby the fi ndings of the research showed that economic value has a high infl uence on customer satisfaction as well as loyalty and retention. However, based on the fi ndings customers are highly infl uenced by the economic value they get from a convenience store. Among the realistic contributions are positioning value pricing, formulating a strategy that encourages convenience value, connects to customers’ emotions during shopping and also creates a diverse approach that sets a convenience store apart from another. However, there is a need for future studies to extend the model of this research by adding other perceptions such as demographic features of the consumers.
许多研究人员将注意力集中在消费者对品牌的感知价值上,但只有少数人关注便利店的CPV。本研究的主要目的是测量CPV维度,并确定哪个维度影响顾客满意度,从而导致马来西亚便利店的顾客忠诚度和保留率。独立变量如功能、条件、社会、情感和经济价值被考虑在内;200个客户的数量被抽样,使用解释和描述性研究设计和定量研究方法的混合。信度的测量范围从(?=.560-.966)。运用描述性统计和相关分析来解释研究的自变量和因变量之间的关系,而运用推理统计和线性回归来检验假设;显著性水平p ?0/05由此得出的研究结果表明,经济价值对顾客满意度以及忠诚度和保留率有很高的影响。然而,根据调查结果,顾客受到他们从便利店获得的经济价值的高度影响。现实的贡献包括定位价值定价,制定鼓励便利价值的战略,在购物过程中与顾客的情感联系起来,并创造一种多样化的方法,使便利店与其他便利店区别开来。然而,未来的研究需要通过增加消费者的人口特征等其他感知来扩展本研究的模型。
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引用次数: 6
Block Shareholders and Stock Liquidity in the Indian Stock Market: Lack of Trading or Information Asymmetry? 印度股票市场的大股东与股票流动性:交易缺失还是信息不对称?
Pub Date : 2016-07-13 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.2808988
Devlina Chatterjee
We study the effect of block shareholding on stock liquidity using panel models for 128 stocks from the period 2011 to 2014. After controlling for the size of the firm, ownership concentration is found to have a small statistically significant negative effect on liquidity. Ownership structure models indicate that block shareholding by Government has a negative effect on liquidity. However, we do not find any statistically significant effects due to block shareholding by individuals and families or foreign or domestic institutions. Lower turnovers of state owned companies may be due to lack of trading rather than information asymmetry or signalling effects.
本文采用面板模型研究了2011 - 2014年128只股票的大持股对股票流动性的影响。在控制了公司规模后,我们发现股权集中度对流动性有统计学上显著的负向影响。股权结构模型表明,政府大规模持股对流动性有负向影响。然而,我们没有发现由于个人和家庭或国外或国内机构的大规模持股而产生的任何统计显着影响。国有企业的低流动率可能是由于缺乏交易,而不是由于信息不对称或信号效应。
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引用次数: 0
Causality of Macroeconomic Factors on the Movement of Financial (FIN) Index of the Philippine Stock Exchange 宏观经济因素对菲律宾证券交易所金融指数变动的因果关系
Pub Date : 2016-05-16 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.2780302
Patrick Glenn Rollon, Precious Jane Peñas, Jeamuel Jan Concha, J. V. Murcia
The purpose of this study was to determine the causative relationship between the macroeconomic activities towards the Financials index of the Philippines Stocks Exchange. A descriptive-causative type of research was used to describe the behaviour of the macroeconomic variables, i.e. foreign direct investments, OFW remittances and peso-US dollar exchange rate, towards Financials (FIN) index of the Philippines for the period covering from January 2006 to October 2015. Bivariate Granger causality was used to determine the presence of causality between the variables. It was found out that the behaviour on each graph of each variable shows volatility and vulnerability from shocks caused by different factors in certain points of time. Results from bivariate estimations showed unidirectional relationship existing between OFW remittances and Financials (FIN) index of the Philippines. The same goes for the peso-US dollar exchange rate and Financials (FIN) index. On the other hand, the estimation showed a bidirectional relationship between foreign direct investment and the Financials (FIN) index having both of the variables significantly causing each other.
本研究的目的是确定宏观经济活动对菲律宾证券交易所金融指数之间的因果关系。描述性因果型研究用于描述宏观经济变量(即外国直接投资,OFW汇款和比索-美元汇率)在2006年1月至2015年10月期间对菲律宾金融(FIN)指数的行为。双变量格兰杰因果关系用于确定变量之间是否存在因果关系。研究发现,每个变量的每个图上的行为都显示了在特定时间点由不同因素引起的冲击的波动性和脆弱性。双变量估计结果显示,菲律宾外劳汇款与金融指数之间存在单向关系。比索兑美元汇率和金融(FIN)指数也是如此。另一方面,估算显示外商直接投资与金融指数之间存在双向关系,两个变量之间存在显著的相互影响。
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引用次数: 0
Use of Preference Shares in Chinese Companies as a Viable Investment/Financing Tool 在中国公司中使用优先股作为可行的投融资工具
Pub Date : 2016-03-16 DOI: 10.1093/CMLJ/KMW006
W. Cai
This article studies the revival of preference shares in China and its strengths and dangers as a viable investment/financing tool. Its main strength is to help Chinese banks meet new capital adequacy requirements and to stimulate the stagnant stock market, and its core danger is its potential misuse by dominant shareholders to expropriate profits from minority common shareholders in the context of weak minority shareholder protection and insufficient cash dividends in the Chinese stock market. Empirical evidence gives partial support to this understanding of its danger because the impact of preference shares on existing common shareholders is mixed and differs among different types of companies. This article also shows that the current regulatory regime in China provides comprehensive protection for preference shareholders, and that compared to minority common shareholders, preference shareholders are in an advantageous position. Although it has the potential danger of being misused by controlling shareholders to expropriate profits from minority common shareholders, it has been used effectively as a viable investment and financing tool in China.
本文研究了优先股在中国的复兴及其作为一种可行的投融资工具的优势和风险。它的主要优势是帮助中国的银行满足新的资本充足率要求,并刺激停滞不前的股市,其核心危险是在中国股市中小股东保护薄弱、现金股息不足的背景下,它可能被大股东滥用,从中小普通股股东那里掠夺利润。经验证据部分支持这种对其危险性的理解,因为优先股对现有普通股股东的影响是混合的,并且在不同类型的公司中有所不同。本文还表明,中国现行的监管制度对优先股股东提供了全面的保护,与少数普通股股东相比,优先股股东处于有利地位。尽管它存在被控股股东滥用以侵占少数普通股股东利润的潜在危险,但它作为一种可行的投融资工具在中国得到了有效的应用。
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引用次数: 2
期刊
ERN: Asia & Pacific (Emerging Markets) (Topic)
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