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2017 IEEE Power & Energy Society Innovative Smart Grid Technologies Conference (ISGT)最新文献

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Random forest ensemble of support vector regression models for solar power forecasting 随机森林集合的支持向量回归模型用于太阳能发电预测
Mohamed Abuella, B. Chowdhury
To mitigate the uncertainty of variable renewable resources, two off-the-shelf machine learning tools are deployed to forecast the solar power output of a solar photovoltaic system. The support vector machines generate the forecasts and the random forest acts as an ensemble learning method to combine the forecasts. The common ensemble technique in wind and solar power forecasting is the blending of meteorological data from several sources. In this study though, the present and the past solar power forecasts from several models, as well as the associated meteorological data, are incorporated into the random forest to combine and improve the accuracy of the day-ahead solar power forecasts. The performance of the combined model is evaluated over the entire year and compared with other combining techniques.
为了减轻可变可再生资源的不确定性,部署了两个现成的机器学习工具来预测太阳能光伏系统的太阳能输出。支持向量机生成预测,随机森林作为集成学习方法将预测组合起来。风能和太阳能预报常用的集合技术是混合多个来源的气象数据。然而,在本研究中,从几个模型中获得的现在和过去的太阳能预测,以及相关的气象数据,被纳入随机森林,以组合和提高日前太阳能预测的准确性。对组合模型进行了全年的性能评价,并与其他组合技术进行了比较。
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引用次数: 45
Representative day selection using statistical bootstrapping for accelerating annual distribution simulations 使用统计自举加速年度分布模拟的代表性日选择
B. Palmintier, Bruce Bugbee, P. Gotseff
Capturing technical and economic impacts of solar photovoltaics (PV) and other distributed energy resources (DERs) on electric distribution systems can require high-time resolution (e.g. 1 minute), long-duration (e.g. 1 year) simulations. However, such simulations can be computationally prohibitive, particularly when including complex control schemes in quasi-steady-state time series (QSTS) simulation. Various approaches have been used in the literature to down select representative time segments (e.g. days), but typically these are best suited for lower time resolutions or consider only a single data stream (e.g. PV production) for selection. We present a statistical approach that combines stratified sampling and bootstrapping to select representative days while also providing a simple method to reassemble annual results. We describe the approach in the context of a recent study with a utility partner. This approach enables much faster QSTS analysis by simulating only a subset of days, while maintaining accurate annual estimates.
捕获太阳能光伏(PV)和其他分布式能源(DERs)对配电系统的技术和经济影响可能需要高时间分辨率(例如1分钟),长时间(例如1年)的模拟。然而,这样的模拟在计算上是令人望而却步的,特别是当在准稳态时间序列(QSTS)模拟中包含复杂的控制方案时。文献中已经使用了各种方法来选择具有代表性的时间段(例如天),但通常这些方法最适合于较低的时间分辨率,或者只考虑单个数据流(例如光伏生产)进行选择。我们提出了一种统计方法,结合分层抽样和自举来选择有代表性的日子,同时也提供了一种简单的方法来重新组装年度结果。我们在最近与公用事业合作伙伴的研究中描述了这种方法。这种方法通过只模拟一个子集的天数来实现更快的QSTS分析,同时保持准确的年度估计。
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引用次数: 5
Assessment of hypothesized substation cyberattack using linearized power flow approach 使用线性潮流方法评估假设的变电站网络攻击
Zhiyuan Yang, C. Ten
Islanding has been an emerging issue of a power grid separation which can lead to instability. This paper analyzes islanding issues based on the hypothesized cyberattack through multiple IP-based substations that may trigger consequential tripping by the existing protection infrastructure. We first analyze a power grid using AC power flow to associate contingencies with compromised substations that may lead to instability. The DC power flow is then employed to verify the nonconvergent power flow solutions on the islanding cases where this would immediately determine the instability level of a given grid. A weighting factor is introduced to assess the combinations of potential worst cases that are derived from the initial results of AC power flow analysis. The proposed quantification metric is verified using IEEE test systems.
孤岛是电网分离的一个新问题,它可能导致不稳定。本文分析了基于多个基于ip的变电站可能触发现有保护基础设施相应跳闸的假设网络攻击的孤岛问题。我们首先使用交流潮流分析电网,将可能导致不稳定的事故与受损的变电站联系起来。然后利用直流潮流来验证孤岛情况下的非收敛潮流解,在孤岛情况下,这将立即确定给定电网的不稳定水平。引入了一个加权因子来评估从交流潮流分析的初始结果中得出的潜在最坏情况的组合。使用IEEE测试系统验证了所提出的量化度量。
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引用次数: 2
Attack-resilient energy management architecture of hybrid emergency power system for more-electric aircrafts 多电动飞机应急混合动力系统抗攻击能量管理架构
M. Kamal, Jin Wei
This paper proposes an attack-resilient energy management architecture for a hybrid emergency power system of More-Electric Aircrafts (MEAs). Our proposed architecture develops an Adaptive Neuro-Fuzzy Interference System (ANFIS)-based method to evaluate the integrity of the power output of the fuel-cell in the fuel-cell based hybrid auxiliary power unit (APU), which is vulnerable to the cyber-attacks and critical for the effective energy management and emergency control. Our ANFIS-based method achieves the integrity evaluation by leveraging the real-time measures on the State of Charge (SOC) of the battery, power output of the ultra-capacitor and the load profile. In our simulation, we evaluate the performance of our proposed ANFIS-based method to support the integrity of the Energy Management Strategies (EMSs) used in hybrid emergency power system for more-electric aircrafts by using MATLAB/Simulink. Our simulation results illustrate the effectiveness of our proposed method in effectively evaluating the integrity of critical data and achieving resilient control.
提出了一种多电动飞机混合应急电源系统的抗攻击能量管理体系结构。本文提出了一种基于自适应神经模糊干扰系统(ANFIS)的方法来评估燃料电池混合辅助动力装置(APU)中燃料电池输出功率的完整性,该系统容易受到网络攻击,对有效的能量管理和应急控制至关重要。基于anfiss的方法通过实时测量电池的荷电状态(SOC)、超级电容器的输出功率和负载分布来实现完整性评估。在我们的仿真中,我们利用MATLAB/Simulink评估了我们提出的基于anfiss的方法的性能,以支持多电动飞机混合应急电源系统中使用的能量管理策略(ems)的完整性。我们的仿真结果证明了我们提出的方法在有效评估关键数据完整性和实现弹性控制方面的有效性。
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引用次数: 3
A data-driven demand charge management solution for behind-the-meter storage applications 一个数据驱动的需求收费管理解决方案,用于表后存储应用程序
Ramin Moslemi, Ali Hooshmand, Ratnesh K. Sharma
In recent years, developments of the behind the meter energy managements systems (BTM-EMSs) has been considered as an effective approach to manage the energy usage of the industrial/commercial units. As the one of the most important missions, BTM-EMSs are responsible to reduce the customers' monthly demand peaks which is rewarded by significant decrease in the monthly demand charge. However, the unpredicted behavior of individual electricity loads casts a shadow over the profitability of installing BTM storage units. In this paper, a data driven demand charge management solution (DCMS) is proposed to find and realize the minimum achievable monthly demand peak, also called demand charge threshold (DCT), by appropriate battery storage charging and discharging. The proposed approach uses the last few months load profile to calculate time series of DCTs and then searches for the similar DCT time series of other observed loads stored in the data set. Finally, the obtained similar time series are employed to forecast the DCT of the coming month. The efficiency of the proposed approach is validated through the simulation studies on the real value load data.
近年来,电表后能源管理系统(BTM-EMSs)的发展被认为是管理工商业单位能源使用的有效方法。BTM-EMSs的重要任务之一是降低用户的月用电高峰,从而显著降低月用电费用。然而,单个电力负荷的不可预测行为给安装BTM存储单元的盈利能力蒙上了阴影。本文提出了一种数据驱动的需求充电管理方案(DCMS),通过适当的电池存储充放电,找到并实现可达到的最小月需求峰值,也称为需求充电阈值(DCT)。该方法使用最近几个月的负荷概况来计算DCT的时间序列,然后搜索存储在数据集中的其他观测负荷的相似DCT时间序列。最后,利用得到的相似时间序列预测下一个月的DCT。通过对实际负荷数据的仿真研究,验证了该方法的有效性。
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引用次数: 13
Performance guaranteed inertia emulation for diesel-wind system feed microgrid via model reference control 基于模型参考控制的柴-风系统馈微电网性能保证惯性仿真
Yichen Zhang, A. Melin, S. Djouadi, M. Olama
In this paper, a model reference control based inertia emulation strategy is proposed. Desired inertia can be precisely emulated through this control strategy so that guaranteed performance is ensured. A typical frequency response model with parametrical inertia is set to be the reference model. A measurement at a specific location delivers the information of disturbance acting on the diesel-wind system to the reference model. The objective is for the speed of the diesel-wind system to track the reference model. Since active power variation is dominantly governed by mechanical dynamics and modes, only mechanical dynamics and states, i.e., a swing-engine-governor system plus a reduced-order wind turbine generator, are involved in the feedback control design. The controller is implemented in a three-phase diesel-wind system feed microgrid. The results show exact synthetic inertia is emulated, leading to guaranteed performance and safety bounds.
提出了一种基于模型参考控制的惯性仿真策略。通过这种控制策略可以精确地模拟所需的惯性,从而保证性能。设置了一个典型的含参数惯性的频响模型作为参考模型。在特定位置的测量将作用在柴油-风力系统上的扰动信息传递给参考模型。目标是使柴油-风力系统的速度跟踪参考模型。由于有功功率变化主要由机械动力学和模态决定,因此反馈控制设计只涉及机械动力学和状态,即摆动-发动机-调速器系统加降阶风力发电机组。该控制器在三相柴-风系统馈电微电网中实现。结果表明,模拟出了精确的合成惯性,保证了性能和安全范围。
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引用次数: 9
A dynamic state estimator for the development of a control signal for power system damping enhancement 一种用于电力系统阻尼增强控制信号开发的动态估计器
I. L. Ortega Rivera, C. R. F. Esquivel, C. Camacho, G. Heydt, V. Vittal
Small signal stability enhancement in power systems is often accomplished using supplementary controls. The usual technique is to utilize a power system stabilizer to generate a control signal that is applied to the excitation of a large synchronous generator. In this paper, a different approach is taken: a control signal is obtained using estimated signals from a ‘dynamic state estimator’, and the supplementary control is implemented using a static VAr compensator in the transmission circuit adjacent to a synchronous generator. The details of the design of the dynamic state estimator are given. A simple example is used to illustrate the concept. The paper is intended to show feasibility of a dynamic state estimator to provide a control signal for damping enhancement.
电力系统中的小信号稳定性增强通常采用辅助控制来实现。通常的技术是利用电力系统稳定器产生一个控制信号,应用于大型同步发电机的励磁。在本文中,采用了一种不同的方法:使用来自“动态估计器”的估计信号获得控制信号,并在与同步发电机相邻的传输电路中使用静态无功补偿器实现补充控制。给出了动态估计器的设计细节。用一个简单的例子来说明这个概念。本文旨在证明动态估计器为阻尼增强提供控制信号的可行性。
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引用次数: 1
Implementation of hardware-in-the-loop simulation workbench for a hybrid AC/DC microgrid 交直流混合微电网硬件在环仿真工作台的实现
Donghan Shi, Chi Jin, Zhe Zhang, F. Choo, L. Koh, Peng Wang
This paper presents the implementation of a hardware-in-the-loop simulation (HIL) workbench for hybrid AC/DC micro grid. The hybrid AC/DC micro grid integrates both distributed sources and loads in AC/DC systems to respective links directly. For DC system, photovoltaic arrays with boost converter (PVBC), battery with bi-directional DC/DC converter and DC loads are covered. Diesel generator (DGs) and conventional AC loads are included in AC grid. Between AC and DC girds, a four-quadrant operating three phase converter is applied which can act as either an inverter or a rectifier to maintain power balance between two systems. The power units of this hybrid micro grid are simulated with Opal-RT real-time simulator while the control units are implemented on TI TMS320F28335 DSPs. This hardware-in-the-loop simulation workbench offers a good platform for system level control algorithm design and verification in micro grid. And it serves as a basis for future power-hardware-in-the-loop simulation (PHIL) with power stage involved.
本文介绍了交直流混合微电网半在环仿真(HIL)工作台的实现。交直流混合微电网将交直流系统中的分布式电源和负载直接集成到各自的链路上。直流系统包括升压变换器光伏阵列、双向DC/DC变换器电池和直流负载。交流电网包括柴油发电机和常规交流负荷。在交流和直流电网之间,采用四象限三相工作变换器,它既可以作为逆变器,也可以作为整流器,以保持两个系统之间的功率平衡。采用Opal-RT实时仿真器对混合微电网的动力单元进行了仿真,控制单元在TI TMS320F28335 dsp上实现。该硬件在环仿真工作台为微电网系统级控制算法的设计与验证提供了良好的平台。为以后的功率级半实物仿真奠定了基础。
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引用次数: 3
Application of AMI data to anomaly detection and dynamic power flow analysis AMI数据在异常检测和动态潮流分析中的应用
Fathalla Eldali, T. Kirk, David Pinney
Advanced Metering Infrastructure (AMI) has been deployed at over 70% of rural electric cooperatives, and this new data source offers opportunities for valuable applications beyond billing. The National Rural Electric Cooperative Association (NRECA) has developed open source computer software to perform anomaly detection and dynamic power flow analysis with AMI data for the cooperatives (consumer-owned, not-for-profit utilities). We describe this software, discuss challenges to collecting and working with AMI data, and discuss further potential applications such as theft detection and technical loss estimation.
超过70%的农村电力合作社部署了先进计量基础设施(AMI),这种新的数据源为计费以外的有价值应用提供了机会。国家农村电力合作协会(NRECA)开发了开源计算机软件,为合作社(消费者拥有的、非盈利的公用事业公司)使用AMI数据执行异常检测和动态潮流分析。我们描述了这个软件,讨论了收集和处理AMI数据的挑战,并讨论了进一步的潜在应用,如盗窃检测和技术损失估计。
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引用次数: 3
Optimal battery charging in smart grids with price forecasts 具有价格预测的智能电网中最优电池充电
Sven van der Kooij, P. Kempker, H. V. D. Berg, S. Bhulai
In this paper, we consider a residential cluster in which some of the households own home batteries. The battery owners have forecasts of future prices for optimally utilizing the long-term flexibility of the battery. These forecasts become increasingly uncertain the further we look into the future. The home batteries are individually too small to influence prices, collectively however, they have enough capacity to have an influence. We study three possible scenarios: (i) Each household controls its own battery to maximize its own profits; (ii) The battery owners coordinate their strategies to maximize the collective battery profits; (iii) The battery owners coordinate their strategies to maximize the overall cluster profits. For (i) we formulate an algorithm for a single price taker battery based on Stochastic Dynamic Programming. Through simulation with realistic data we find that this solution performs well for one isolated home battery and remains stable when used by every battery in the cluster. Additionally, we formulate an algorithm based on Stochastic Dynamic Programming for scenarios (ii) and (iii). Using simulation with realistic data we find that scenarios (ii) and (iii) outperform scenario (i), and that from a cluster perspective, scenario (iii) is more beneficial than scenario (ii). We conclude that incentives have to be put in place to promote the right use of storage in the future grid.
在本文中,我们考虑一个住宅集群,其中一些家庭拥有家用电池。电池所有者对未来价格进行了预测,以最佳地利用电池的长期灵活性。随着我们进一步展望未来,这些预测变得越来越不确定。单个家用电池太小,无法影响价格,但是,它们有足够的容量来影响价格。我们研究了三种可能的情景:(i)每个家庭控制自己的电池以最大化自己的利润;(ii)电池所有者协调策略,使集体电池利润最大化;(iii)电池所有者协调策略,使集群整体利润最大化。对于(1),我们提出了基于随机动态规划的单个价格接受者电池的算法。通过对实际数据的仿真,我们发现该方案对于单个孤立的家用电池具有良好的性能,并且在集群中的每个电池使用时都保持稳定。此外,我们为情景(ii)和(iii)制定了一种基于随机动态规划的算法。通过对现实数据的模拟,我们发现情景(ii)和(iii)优于情景(i),并且从集群的角度来看,情景(iii)比情景(ii)更有益。我们得出结论,必须采取激励措施来促进未来电网中存储的正确使用。
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引用次数: 1
期刊
2017 IEEE Power & Energy Society Innovative Smart Grid Technologies Conference (ISGT)
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