Green innovation meets the simultaneous demands of green and innovation-driven development models when it is deemed as a key to realizing a green economic transition. However, factor market distortion impedes China's green development through factor mobility and resource allocation. Under such circumstances, we detect whether and how factor market distortion affects green innovation from various perspectives in the case study of China's Sustainable Development Demonstration Belt. The findings demonstrate that the distortion has a pronounced inhibiting effect on the green innovation growth in the study area. For the eastern and more-developed cities, factor market distortion considerably inhibits green innovation improvement, while the impact is less pronounced in the western (or central) and less developed cities. Furthermore, the factor market distortion negatively affects green innovation through some effective paths, like energy efficiency and environmental regulation. From a spatial perspective, the green innovation's spillover effect could be reduced by both the distortions of the labor market and capital market. Thus, this study would provide strong theoretical support for enhancing the factor market system and improving the multiregional green innovation power in China, as well as scientific suggestions on transitioning to China's sustainable development.
{"title":"How does factor market distortion affect green innovation? Evidence from China's sustainable development demonstration belt","authors":"Feifei Tan, Chenyu Sun","doi":"10.1002/ise3.89","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1002/ise3.89","url":null,"abstract":"<p>Green innovation meets the simultaneous demands of green and innovation-driven development models when it is deemed as a key to realizing a green economic transition. However, factor market distortion impedes China's green development through factor mobility and resource allocation. Under such circumstances, we detect whether and how factor market distortion affects green innovation from various perspectives in the case study of China's Sustainable Development Demonstration Belt. The findings demonstrate that the distortion has a pronounced inhibiting effect on the green innovation growth in the study area. For the eastern and more-developed cities, factor market distortion considerably inhibits green innovation improvement, while the impact is less pronounced in the western (or central) and less developed cities. Furthermore, the factor market distortion negatively affects green innovation through some effective paths, like energy efficiency and environmental regulation. From a spatial perspective, the green innovation's spillover effect could be reduced by both the distortions of the labor market and capital market. Thus, this study would provide strong theoretical support for enhancing the factor market system and improving the multiregional green innovation power in China, as well as scientific suggestions on transitioning to China's sustainable development.</p>","PeriodicalId":29662,"journal":{"name":"International Studies of Economics","volume":"19 3","pages":"353-373"},"PeriodicalIF":0.5,"publicationDate":"2024-06-18","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1002/ise3.89","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142137862","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
This paper examines households' stock market participation responses to a critical life-cycle event, adult children's marriage. An event-study difference-in-differences approach is employed to facilitate identification, which compares changes in the stock market participation behaviors of households that experience children's marriage with households that experience it later as well as households that never experience it. Exploiting household-wide variations in exposure to children's marriage using the China Family Panel Studies data over the 2010–2020 period, this paper finds that 2 years after children's marriage, households significantly enhance their likelihood of participating in the stock market. Households' willingness to participate increases by 1.1 to 1.6 percentage points depending on specifications. This paper's finding supports time-varying risk aversion at the household level. Mechanism analysis indicates that children's marriage raises household risk preferences because it mitigates parental old-age support concerns and alleviates households' consumption commitment to housing and children.
{"title":"Effects of adult children's marriage on household stock market participation: An event-study difference-in-differences approach using Chinese micro data","authors":"Haopeng Sun","doi":"10.1002/ise3.84","DOIUrl":"10.1002/ise3.84","url":null,"abstract":"<p>This paper examines households' stock market participation responses to a critical life-cycle event, adult children's marriage. An event-study difference-in-differences approach is employed to facilitate identification, which compares changes in the stock market participation behaviors of households that experience children's marriage with households that experience it later as well as households that never experience it. Exploiting household-wide variations in exposure to children's marriage using the China Family Panel Studies data over the 2010–2020 period, this paper finds that 2 years after children's marriage, households significantly enhance their likelihood of participating in the stock market. Households' willingness to participate increases by 1.1 to 1.6 percentage points depending on specifications. This paper's finding supports time-varying risk aversion at the household level. Mechanism analysis indicates that children's marriage raises household risk preferences because it mitigates parental old-age support concerns and alleviates households' consumption commitment to housing and children.</p>","PeriodicalId":29662,"journal":{"name":"International Studies of Economics","volume":"19 3","pages":"448-468"},"PeriodicalIF":0.5,"publicationDate":"2024-06-03","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1002/ise3.84","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141270903","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Whether command-control environmental regulation can play a positive role in circumstances of imperfect market incentive-based environmental regulation remains rarely explored. Using the difference-in-difference model, we find that command-control environmental regulation can significantly improve the environmental performance of heavily polluting firms. This result still holds after a sequence of robustness tests. The analysis of the economic mechanism indicates that the new environmental protection law mainly contributes positively to the environmental performance of high-polluting firms by improving the quality of their environmental investments and pollution treatment disclosures, and by reducing the government subsidies they receive to improve the environmental performance of high-polluting firms. Meanwhile, the new environmental protection law has a more pronounced impact on heavily polluting enterprises in the eastern region, with imperfect internal control, stronger environmental regulations, more distant political connections, greater pressure on regional GDP growth and weaker industry competition. This paper confirms the effectiveness of the new environmental law in improving environmental performance of heavily polluting enterprises in pursuit of carbon peaking and carbon neutrality goals, and provides new evidence to test the weak Porter hypothesis in the context of transition economies.
在市场激励型环境规制不完善的情况下,命令控制型环境规制是否能发挥积极作用,目前仍鲜有研究。利用差分模型,我们发现指令控制型环境规制可以显著改善重污染企业的环境绩效。经过一系列稳健性检验后,这一结果仍然成立。经济机理分析表明,新环保法主要通过提高高污染企业的环保投资质量和污染治理信息披露质量,以及减少高污染企业获得的政府补贴来改善高污染企业的环境绩效,从而对高污染企业的环境绩效产生积极的促进作用。同时,新环保法对东部地区的重污染企业影响更为明显,这些企业内部控制不完善,环境监管力度较大,政治联系较远,地区 GDP 增长压力较大,行业竞争较弱。本文证实了新环保法在改善重污染企业环境绩效以追求碳峰值和碳中和目标方面的有效性,并为检验转型经济体背景下的弱波特假说提供了新的证据。
{"title":"Environmental regulation and environmental performance of enterprises: Quasi-natural experiment of the new environmental protection law","authors":"Xiuying Chen, Huajie Liu, Sheng Liu","doi":"10.1002/ise3.77","DOIUrl":"10.1002/ise3.77","url":null,"abstract":"<p>Whether command-control environmental regulation can play a positive role in circumstances of imperfect market incentive-based environmental regulation remains rarely explored. Using the difference-in-difference model, we find that command-control environmental regulation can significantly improve the environmental performance of heavily polluting firms. This result still holds after a sequence of robustness tests. The analysis of the economic mechanism indicates that the new environmental protection law mainly contributes positively to the environmental performance of high-polluting firms by improving the quality of their environmental investments and pollution treatment disclosures, and by reducing the government subsidies they receive to improve the environmental performance of high-polluting firms. Meanwhile, the new environmental protection law has a more pronounced impact on heavily polluting enterprises in the eastern region, with imperfect internal control, stronger environmental regulations, more distant political connections, greater pressure on regional GDP growth and weaker industry competition. This paper confirms the effectiveness of the new environmental law in improving environmental performance of heavily polluting enterprises in pursuit of carbon peaking and carbon neutrality goals, and provides new evidence to test the weak Porter hypothesis in the context of transition economies.</p>","PeriodicalId":29662,"journal":{"name":"International Studies of Economics","volume":"19 3","pages":"406-430"},"PeriodicalIF":0.5,"publicationDate":"2024-05-08","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1002/ise3.77","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"140998576","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
The bride price, as an informal institution originated from traditional culture, is pervasive in many areas of the developing world in a form of a payment from the family of the groom to that of the bride at marriage. We study the effects of bride price on parents' health in China. Using information on bride price payment and various health measures from the China Health and Retirement Longitudinal Study, we find that the bride price significantly reduces self-reported health among the grooms' parents after addressing the endogeneity issue with average sex ratio within a family computed as an instrumental variable. The reductions are heterogenous across urban and rural areas. Mechanism analysis suggests the negative health outcomes are driven by family debt, heavier psychological stress and longer work hours caused by bride price payments.
彩礼作为一种源于传统文化的非正式制度,在发展中国家的许多地区普遍存在,其形式是新郎家庭在结婚时向新娘家庭支付的一笔款项。我们研究了彩礼对中国父母健康的影响。利用《中国健康与退休纵向研究》(China Health and Retirement Longitudinal Study)中关于彩礼支付和各种健康测量指标的信息,我们发现彩礼在解决了内生性问题后,会显著降低新郎父母自我报告的健康水平,而内生性问题是通过计算家庭中的平均性别比作为工具变量来解决的。在城市和农村地区,降低的幅度是不同的。机制分析表明,家庭债务、彩礼带来的更大心理压力和更长的工作时间是造成负面健康结果的原因。
{"title":"A sweet burden? The effect of bride prices on parents' health","authors":"Yuan Chen, Yue Ding, Jingwei Huang, Xun Li, Kaidi Wu","doi":"10.1002/ise3.78","DOIUrl":"10.1002/ise3.78","url":null,"abstract":"<p>The bride price, as an informal institution originated from traditional culture, is pervasive in many areas of the developing world in a form of a payment from the family of the groom to that of the bride at marriage. We study the effects of bride price on parents' health in China. Using information on bride price payment and various health measures from the China Health and Retirement Longitudinal Study, we find that the bride price significantly reduces self-reported health among the grooms' parents after addressing the endogeneity issue with average sex ratio within a family computed as an instrumental variable. The reductions are heterogenous across urban and rural areas. Mechanism analysis suggests the negative health outcomes are driven by family debt, heavier psychological stress and longer work hours caused by bride price payments.</p>","PeriodicalId":29662,"journal":{"name":"International Studies of Economics","volume":"19 3","pages":"431-447"},"PeriodicalIF":0.5,"publicationDate":"2024-05-08","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1002/ise3.78","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"140998665","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
In this study, we investigate the tail dependency between bank stocks in China and 35 common risk factors. We measure univariate and multivariate conditional tail risk probabilities. The evidence indicates that tail events from risk factors in the banking, security trading, real estate, and energy industries have the largest effects on the realization of extreme returns from Chinese bank stocks. The univariate conditional tail risk is considerably higher than the unconditional tail risk. The impact of multiple tail events from several risk factors occurring simultaneously is much stronger than tail events from one single risk factor. In general, there is a stronger cross-market tail linkage between emerging market risk factors and bank stocks in China when compared with developed market risk factors. However, the cross-market tail linkage between developed market risk factors and bank stocks in China rose sharply during the 2008 financial crisis.
{"title":"Bank tail risk in China","authors":"Huan Yang, Jun Cai, Lin Huang","doi":"10.1002/ise3.76","DOIUrl":"10.1002/ise3.76","url":null,"abstract":"<p>In this study, we investigate the tail dependency between bank stocks in China and 35 common risk factors. We measure univariate and multivariate conditional tail risk probabilities. The evidence indicates that tail events from risk factors in the banking, security trading, real estate, and energy industries have the largest effects on the realization of extreme returns from Chinese bank stocks. The univariate conditional tail risk is considerably higher than the unconditional tail risk. The impact of multiple tail events from several risk factors occurring simultaneously is much stronger than tail events from one single risk factor. In general, there is a stronger cross-market tail linkage between emerging market risk factors and bank stocks in China when compared with developed market risk factors. However, the cross-market tail linkage between developed market risk factors and bank stocks in China rose sharply during the 2008 financial crisis.</p>","PeriodicalId":29662,"journal":{"name":"International Studies of Economics","volume":"19 2","pages":"186-222"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2024-05-06","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1002/ise3.76","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141008014","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Environmental, social, and governance (ESG) performance is crucial for companies to attain sustainable development, which is a key reference for assessing the value and growth potential of a company. Government subsidies can provide incentives for companies to prioritize environmental preservation, meet their social duties, and improve their governance performance. This paper empirically examines the effects and mechanisms of government subsidies on corporate ESG performance, using an Ologit multiple ordered regression model based on data from Chinese listed companies. We find that not only do total government subsidies significantly improve firms' ESG performance, but both environmental and non-environmental subsidies also have the similar effect, albeit with different impact mechanisms. The analysis of the mechanism suggests that government subsidies can enhance corporate ESG performance by promoting green innovation, alleviating financing constraints, increasing charitable donations, and attracting social attention. This paper holds significant practical value as it presents empirical findings as a basis for reforming China's subsidy policies, showcasing the actual impact of diverse subsidy policies and the heterogeneity.
{"title":"Government subsidies and corporate environmental, social and governance performance: Evidence from companies of China","authors":"Pei Peng, Mengzi Sun","doi":"10.1002/ise3.79","DOIUrl":"10.1002/ise3.79","url":null,"abstract":"<p>Environmental, social, and governance (ESG) performance is crucial for companies to attain sustainable development, which is a key reference for assessing the value and growth potential of a company. Government subsidies can provide incentives for companies to prioritize environmental preservation, meet their social duties, and improve their governance performance. This paper empirically examines the effects and mechanisms of government subsidies on corporate ESG performance, using an Ologit multiple ordered regression model based on data from Chinese listed companies. We find that not only do total government subsidies significantly improve firms' ESG performance, but both environmental and non-environmental subsidies also have the similar effect, albeit with different impact mechanisms. The analysis of the mechanism suggests that government subsidies can enhance corporate ESG performance by promoting green innovation, alleviating financing constraints, increasing charitable donations, and attracting social attention. This paper holds significant practical value as it presents empirical findings as a basis for reforming China's subsidy policies, showcasing the actual impact of diverse subsidy policies and the heterogeneity.</p>","PeriodicalId":29662,"journal":{"name":"International Studies of Economics","volume":"19 3","pages":"374-405"},"PeriodicalIF":0.5,"publicationDate":"2024-05-06","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1002/ise3.79","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141011072","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
This study employs China's Yangtze River Economic Belt strategy as a quasi-natural experiment to investigate the impact of prioritizing green development on economic growth. Our empirical findings show that the strategy significantly reduces urban industrial wastewater discharge. It helps transition the region's industries towards technology-driven service sectors while maintaining a steady economic growth rate. On average, cities in the Yangtze River Economic Belt see a 21.9% decrease in annual industrial wastewater discharge, a 1.9% increase in economic growth rate, a 4.9% rise in the proportion of service industries' contribution to GDP, and a 2.4% increase in the number of employees in productive service industries. Moreover, our empirical results highlight the heterogeneity in the effects of the strategy across different regions, which can be attributed to factors such as population density, infrastructure, levels of human capital, and government governance. The implementation of the Yangtze River Economic Belt strategy offers valuable insights for developing countries on how to balance between economic development and environmental protection.
本研究将中国的长江经济带战略作为一个准自然实验,研究优先发展绿色经济对经济增长的影响。我们的实证研究结果表明,该战略显著减少了城市工业废水排放。它有助于该地区的工业向技术驱动型服务业转型,同时保持稳定的经济增长率。平均而言,长江经济带城市的年工业废水排放量减少了 21.9%,经济增长率提高了 1.9%,服务业对 GDP 的贡献比例提高了 4.9%,生产性服务业的从业人数增加了 2.4%。此外,我们的实证结果还凸显了该战略在不同地区的效果差异,这可归因于人口密度、基础设施、人力资本水平和政府治理等因素。长江经济带战略的实施为发展中国家如何平衡经济发展与环境保护之间的关系提供了宝贵的启示。
{"title":"Ecology versus economic development: Effects of China's Yangtze River Economic Belt strategy","authors":"Guan Gong, Yu Zhao","doi":"10.1002/ise3.75","DOIUrl":"10.1002/ise3.75","url":null,"abstract":"<p>This study employs China's Yangtze River Economic Belt strategy as a quasi-natural experiment to investigate the impact of prioritizing green development on economic growth. Our empirical findings show that the strategy significantly reduces urban industrial wastewater discharge. It helps transition the region's industries towards technology-driven service sectors while maintaining a steady economic growth rate. On average, cities in the Yangtze River Economic Belt see a 21.9% decrease in annual industrial wastewater discharge, a 1.9% increase in economic growth rate, a 4.9% rise in the proportion of service industries' contribution to GDP, and a 2.4% increase in the number of employees in productive service industries. Moreover, our empirical results highlight the heterogeneity in the effects of the strategy across different regions, which can be attributed to factors such as population density, infrastructure, levels of human capital, and government governance. The implementation of the Yangtze River Economic Belt strategy offers valuable insights for developing countries on how to balance between economic development and environmental protection.</p>","PeriodicalId":29662,"journal":{"name":"International Studies of Economics","volume":"19 3","pages":"330-352"},"PeriodicalIF":0.5,"publicationDate":"2024-02-18","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1002/ise3.75","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"139959772","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
<p>Relationship between health and the macroeconomy has received increasing attention in practice. National health is not only a key measure of macroeconomic development in the United Nations Human Development Index, its interaction with macroeconomic development is also at the core of the World Health Organization Commission on Macroeconomics and Health. The macroeconomic causes and implications of rising health-care expenditures have frequently made to headline news. According to recent polls from Gallup, this issue tops America's “most important problem” list. The US Congressional Budget Office has placed it at the center of the sustainability issue concerning the nation's fiscal system going forward. As Alan Blinder (i.e., Blinder, <span>2013</span>) puts it: “If we can somehow solve the health care cost problem, we will also solve the long-run deficit problem. But if we can't control health care costs, the long-run deficit problem is insoluble. Simple, right? Impossible? We'd better hope not.”</p><p>In recent years, the academic literature has also paid increasing attention to the related issues. Not surprisingly, a growing literature focuses on understanding the rising health spending and longevity (e.g., Fonseca et al., <span>2021</span>, Hall & Jones, <span>2007</span>, Zhao, <span>2014</span>). Recent studies also explain why health spending is higher even though life expectancy is lower in the United States than in Europe (e.g., He et al., <span>2021</span>), and why, on the one hand, there is a positive relation between health and long-run growth while, on the other hand, for industrialized economies, national health status tends to be negatively correlated with macroeconomic performance in the short run, improving in recessions and worsening in booms, though health spending generally declines during contractions and rises during expansions (e.g., He et al., <span>2023</span>). Incidentally, the implications of health for social welfare play a central role in the recent macrohealth literature (e.g., Hall & Jones, <span>2007</span>, Jones & Klenow, <span>2016</span>, Murphy & Topel, <span>2006</span>). Increasing attention has also been paid to understanding the implications of health risks for consumption, health spending, and allocation of wealth among bonds, stocks, and housing (e.g., Finkelstein et al., <span>2013</span>, Yogo, <span>2016</span>), and the trade- offs of provision of health-related social insurance on risk-sharing against dynamic disincentive (moral hazard) effect of health investment (e.g., Cole et al., <span>2019</span>), and to linking health and the labor market (e.g., Fang & Gavazza, <span>2011</span>, Feng & Zhao, <span>2018</span>, Hosseini et al., <span>2021</span>, Huang & Huffman, <span>2014</span>). Recent academic investigations have also started to explore the role of health as a special type of human capital, in complementing or substituting the other types of capital, such a
作者发现,在现有的美国社会保障体系中引入经济情况调查可以大大降低其规模,从而减轻其税收负担,而不会牺牲其提供保险以防老年贫困风险的核心使命。戴、孙和韦伯利用健康和退休调查数据证明,虽然老年人平均能正确预测自己的预期寿命,但根据他们的主观信念计算出的死亡年龄平均方差明显低于根据实际生命表计算出的死亡年龄平均方差。这一结果表明,老年人对自己死亡年龄的预测比生命表所显示的更有信心。作者利用生命周期优化模型表明,对预测死亡年龄更有信心可能会导致社会保障福利申请年龄的提前。徐研究了代际转移在中国不发达的社会保障体系中的替代作用。利用 CHARLS 数据,她记录了中国城市中普遍存在的上游生前转移(从子女到父母)和下游生前转移(从父母到子女)。此外,生前转移与父母和子女的相对收入状况高度相关。她根据İmrohoroğlu和Zhao(2018a)的精神,建立了一个具有双面利他主义的一般均衡生命周期模型,以合理解释这些记录在案的中国代际转移模式。消除经济风险或修改现有社会保障制度的反事实实验表明,代际转移在很大程度上是出于跨代消费平滑的动机,而家庭保险在中国是公共保险的重要替代品。Hsu 和 Le 建立了一个具有内生生育选择和受社会规范激励的孝顺支持的生命周期模型。他们将该模型校准到印度尼西亚,并使用校准后的模型研究孝道标准的变化对生育决策的影响。作者发现,自 20 世纪 60 年代以来,印度尼西亚生育率下降的很大一部分原因是孝道方面社会规范的下降。此外,他们还发现经济放缓也会对生育率产生负面影响。
{"title":"Population aging, health care, and the macroeconomy: An introduction","authors":"Kevin X. D. Huang, Kai Zhao","doi":"10.1002/ise3.74","DOIUrl":"10.1002/ise3.74","url":null,"abstract":"<p>Relationship between health and the macroeconomy has received increasing attention in practice. National health is not only a key measure of macroeconomic development in the United Nations Human Development Index, its interaction with macroeconomic development is also at the core of the World Health Organization Commission on Macroeconomics and Health. The macroeconomic causes and implications of rising health-care expenditures have frequently made to headline news. According to recent polls from Gallup, this issue tops America's “most important problem” list. The US Congressional Budget Office has placed it at the center of the sustainability issue concerning the nation's fiscal system going forward. As Alan Blinder (i.e., Blinder, <span>2013</span>) puts it: “If we can somehow solve the health care cost problem, we will also solve the long-run deficit problem. But if we can't control health care costs, the long-run deficit problem is insoluble. Simple, right? Impossible? We'd better hope not.”</p><p>In recent years, the academic literature has also paid increasing attention to the related issues. Not surprisingly, a growing literature focuses on understanding the rising health spending and longevity (e.g., Fonseca et al., <span>2021</span>, Hall & Jones, <span>2007</span>, Zhao, <span>2014</span>). Recent studies also explain why health spending is higher even though life expectancy is lower in the United States than in Europe (e.g., He et al., <span>2021</span>), and why, on the one hand, there is a positive relation between health and long-run growth while, on the other hand, for industrialized economies, national health status tends to be negatively correlated with macroeconomic performance in the short run, improving in recessions and worsening in booms, though health spending generally declines during contractions and rises during expansions (e.g., He et al., <span>2023</span>). Incidentally, the implications of health for social welfare play a central role in the recent macrohealth literature (e.g., Hall & Jones, <span>2007</span>, Jones & Klenow, <span>2016</span>, Murphy & Topel, <span>2006</span>). Increasing attention has also been paid to understanding the implications of health risks for consumption, health spending, and allocation of wealth among bonds, stocks, and housing (e.g., Finkelstein et al., <span>2013</span>, Yogo, <span>2016</span>), and the trade- offs of provision of health-related social insurance on risk-sharing against dynamic disincentive (moral hazard) effect of health investment (e.g., Cole et al., <span>2019</span>), and to linking health and the labor market (e.g., Fang & Gavazza, <span>2011</span>, Feng & Zhao, <span>2018</span>, Hosseini et al., <span>2021</span>, Huang & Huffman, <span>2014</span>). Recent academic investigations have also started to explore the role of health as a special type of human capital, in complementing or substituting the other types of capital, such a","PeriodicalId":29662,"journal":{"name":"International Studies of Economics","volume":"19 1","pages":"2-5"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2024-02-15","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1002/ise3.74","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"139963407","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
This paper examines the impact of the social norm of intergenerational support to aging parents on fertility decisions in developing economies. The traditional expectation of receiving support from adult children in old age has historically been a significant factor in the decision to have children, especially in developing countries. The study develops a life cycle model that endogenizes fertility choices and incorporates the expectation of transfers from children based on the filial responsibility norm. We utilize household survey data from Indonesia to estimate earnings profiles and uncertainties over the life cycle, and to estimate the transfers from adult children to parents to indicate the current strength of the norm in 2000s. We conducted counterfactual experiments to explore the impact of the filial responsibility norm on fertility and found that a weakening of the norm could account for a significant proportion of the decline in the total fertility rate.
{"title":"Fertility decisions and the norm of intergenerational support to aging parents","authors":"Minchung Hsu, Thu Trang Le","doi":"10.1002/ise3.73","DOIUrl":"10.1002/ise3.73","url":null,"abstract":"<p>This paper examines the impact of the social norm of intergenerational support to aging parents on fertility decisions in developing economies. The traditional expectation of receiving support from adult children in old age has historically been a significant factor in the decision to have children, especially in developing countries. The study develops a life cycle model that endogenizes fertility choices and incorporates the expectation of transfers from children based on the filial responsibility norm. We utilize household survey data from Indonesia to estimate earnings profiles and uncertainties over the life cycle, and to estimate the transfers from adult children to parents to indicate the current strength of the norm in 2000s. We conducted counterfactual experiments to explore the impact of the filial responsibility norm on fertility and found that a weakening of the norm could account for a significant proportion of the decline in the total fertility rate.</p>","PeriodicalId":29662,"journal":{"name":"International Studies of Economics","volume":"19 1","pages":"151-165"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2024-02-09","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1002/ise3.73","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"139849449","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
The Chinese Government has promulgated the “Belt and Road Initiative” (BRI) to increase trade flows and integrate goods markets between China and BRI countries. The validity of purchasing power parity (PPP) implies well-integrated goods markets, a precondition for further economic convergence, and the next stage of economic integration in factor, service, and financial markets. Our study aims to examine the validity of the PPP and the extent of goods market integration between China and selected BRI countries in Africa. Since the functional form of the cointegrating relationship may not be exact or linear, we adopt the nonparametric rank tests for analysis without prior knowledge and specification of the functional form. We also address the rank problems that occur in multivariate rank tests. Our empirical results provide strong evidence of an unrestricted PPP relationship with reasonably strong evidence of nonlinearity in the data. We also find that some African BRI countries have experienced goods market integration with China during the second-half period only. This indicates that the introduction of the BRI in 2013 and China's active involvement in African economic development through BRI projects are leading to enhanced goods market integration between China and Africa. The results indicate favorable prospects of closer economic cooperation in the factor, service, and financial markets to build a free trade area or common markets with BRI countries in Africa.
{"title":"Tests of goods market integration between China and African BRI countries","authors":"Shu-kam Lee, Paul Kwok-ching Shum, Kai-yin Woo","doi":"10.1002/ise3.71","DOIUrl":"10.1002/ise3.71","url":null,"abstract":"<p>The Chinese Government has promulgated the “Belt and Road Initiative” (BRI) to increase trade flows and integrate goods markets between China and BRI countries. The validity of purchasing power parity (PPP) implies well-integrated goods markets, a precondition for further economic convergence, and the next stage of economic integration in factor, service, and financial markets. Our study aims to examine the validity of the PPP and the extent of goods market integration between China and selected BRI countries in Africa. Since the functional form of the cointegrating relationship may not be exact or linear, we adopt the nonparametric rank tests for analysis without prior knowledge and specification of the functional form. We also address the rank problems that occur in multivariate rank tests. Our empirical results provide strong evidence of an unrestricted PPP relationship with reasonably strong evidence of nonlinearity in the data. We also find that some African BRI countries have experienced goods market integration with China during the second-half period only. This indicates that the introduction of the BRI in 2013 and China's active involvement in African economic development through BRI projects are leading to enhanced goods market integration between China and Africa. The results indicate favorable prospects of closer economic cooperation in the factor, service, and financial markets to build a free trade area or common markets with BRI countries in Africa.</p>","PeriodicalId":29662,"journal":{"name":"International Studies of Economics","volume":"19 2","pages":"223-246"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2023-12-28","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1002/ise3.71","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"139150766","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}