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A sweet burden? The effect of bride prices on parents' health 甜蜜的负担?彩礼对父母健康的影响
IF 0.5 4区 经济学 Q4 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-05-08 DOI: 10.1002/ise3.78
Yuan Chen, Yue Ding, Jingwei Huang, Xun Li, Kaidi Wu

The bride price, as an informal institution originated from traditional culture, is pervasive in many areas of the developing world in a form of a payment from the family of the groom to that of the bride at marriage. We study the effects of bride price on parents' health in China. Using information on bride price payment and various health measures from the China Health and Retirement Longitudinal Study, we find that the bride price significantly reduces self-reported health among the grooms' parents after addressing the endogeneity issue with average sex ratio within a family computed as an instrumental variable. The reductions are heterogenous across urban and rural areas. Mechanism analysis suggests the negative health outcomes are driven by family debt, heavier psychological stress and longer work hours caused by bride price payments.

彩礼作为一种源于传统文化的非正式制度,在发展中国家的许多地区普遍存在,其形式是新郎家庭在结婚时向新娘家庭支付的一笔款项。我们研究了彩礼对中国父母健康的影响。利用《中国健康与退休纵向研究》(China Health and Retirement Longitudinal Study)中关于彩礼支付和各种健康测量指标的信息,我们发现彩礼在解决了内生性问题后,会显著降低新郎父母自我报告的健康水平,而内生性问题是通过计算家庭中的平均性别比作为工具变量来解决的。在城市和农村地区,降低的幅度是不同的。机制分析表明,家庭债务、彩礼带来的更大心理压力和更长的工作时间是造成负面健康结果的原因。
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引用次数: 0
Bank tail risk in China 中国的银行尾部风险
4区 经济学 Q4 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-05-06 DOI: 10.1002/ise3.76
Huan Yang, Jun Cai, Lin Huang

In this study, we investigate the tail dependency between bank stocks in China and 35 common risk factors. We measure univariate and multivariate conditional tail risk probabilities. The evidence indicates that tail events from risk factors in the banking, security trading, real estate, and energy industries have the largest effects on the realization of extreme returns from Chinese bank stocks. The univariate conditional tail risk is considerably higher than the unconditional tail risk. The impact of multiple tail events from several risk factors occurring simultaneously is much stronger than tail events from one single risk factor. In general, there is a stronger cross-market tail linkage between emerging market risk factors and bank stocks in China when compared with developed market risk factors. However, the cross-market tail linkage between developed market risk factors and bank stocks in China rose sharply during the 2008 financial crisis.

在本研究中,我们研究了中国银行股与 35 个常见风险因素之间的尾部依赖性。我们测量了单变量和多变量条件尾部风险概率。结果表明,银行业、证券交易、房地产和能源行业风险因素的尾部事件对中国银行股极端收益的实现影响最大。单变量条件尾部风险大大高于无条件尾部风险。多个风险因素同时发生的多个尾部事件的影响要远远强于单一风险因素的尾部事件。总体而言,与发达市场风险因素相比,中国新兴市场风险因素与银行股之间存在更强的跨市场尾部联系。然而,在 2008 年金融危机期间,中国发达市场风险因素与银行股之间的跨市场尾部联动性急剧上升。
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引用次数: 0
Government subsidies and corporate environmental, social and governance performance: Evidence from companies of China 政府补贴与企业环境、社会和治理绩效:来自中国企业的证据
IF 0.5 4区 经济学 Q4 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-05-06 DOI: 10.1002/ise3.79
Pei Peng, Mengzi Sun

Environmental, social, and governance (ESG) performance is crucial for companies to attain sustainable development, which is a key reference for assessing the value and growth potential of a company. Government subsidies can provide incentives for companies to prioritize environmental preservation, meet their social duties, and improve their governance performance. This paper empirically examines the effects and mechanisms of government subsidies on corporate ESG performance, using an Ologit multiple ordered regression model based on data from Chinese listed companies. We find that not only do total government subsidies significantly improve firms' ESG performance, but both environmental and non-environmental subsidies also have the similar effect, albeit with different impact mechanisms. The analysis of the mechanism suggests that government subsidies can enhance corporate ESG performance by promoting green innovation, alleviating financing constraints, increasing charitable donations, and attracting social attention. This paper holds significant practical value as it presents empirical findings as a basis for reforming China's subsidy policies, showcasing the actual impact of diverse subsidy policies and the heterogeneity.

环境、社会和治理(ESG)绩效是企业实现可持续发展的关键,也是评估企业价值和增长潜力的重要参考。政府补贴可以激励企业优先保护环境、履行社会责任和提高治理绩效。本文利用基于中国上市公司数据的 Ologit 多元有序回归模型,实证检验了政府补贴对企业环境、社会和治理绩效的影响和作用机制。我们发现,不仅政府补贴总额能显著提高企业的环境、社会和治理绩效,而且环境补贴和非环境补贴也有类似的效果,只是影响机制不同。对影响机制的分析表明,政府补贴可以通过促进绿色创新、缓解融资约束、增加慈善捐赠和吸引社会关注来提高企业的环境、社会和治理绩效。本文提出的实证研究结果为中国补贴政策的改革提供了依据,展示了不同补贴政策的实际影响和异质性,具有重要的实用价值。
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引用次数: 0
Ecology versus economic development: Effects of China's Yangtze River Economic Belt strategy 生态与经济发展:中国长江经济带战略的影响
IF 0.5 4区 经济学 Q4 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-02-18 DOI: 10.1002/ise3.75
Guan Gong, Yu Zhao

This study employs China's Yangtze River Economic Belt strategy as a quasi-natural experiment to investigate the impact of prioritizing green development on economic growth. Our empirical findings show that the strategy significantly reduces urban industrial wastewater discharge. It helps transition the region's industries towards technology-driven service sectors while maintaining a steady economic growth rate. On average, cities in the Yangtze River Economic Belt see a 21.9% decrease in annual industrial wastewater discharge, a 1.9% increase in economic growth rate, a 4.9% rise in the proportion of service industries' contribution to GDP, and a 2.4% increase in the number of employees in productive service industries. Moreover, our empirical results highlight the heterogeneity in the effects of the strategy across different regions, which can be attributed to factors such as population density, infrastructure, levels of human capital, and government governance. The implementation of the Yangtze River Economic Belt strategy offers valuable insights for developing countries on how to balance between economic development and environmental protection.

本研究将中国的长江经济带战略作为一个准自然实验,研究优先发展绿色经济对经济增长的影响。我们的实证研究结果表明,该战略显著减少了城市工业废水排放。它有助于该地区的工业向技术驱动型服务业转型,同时保持稳定的经济增长率。平均而言,长江经济带城市的年工业废水排放量减少了 21.9%,经济增长率提高了 1.9%,服务业对 GDP 的贡献比例提高了 4.9%,生产性服务业的从业人数增加了 2.4%。此外,我们的实证结果还凸显了该战略在不同地区的效果差异,这可归因于人口密度、基础设施、人力资本水平和政府治理等因素。长江经济带战略的实施为发展中国家如何平衡经济发展与环境保护之间的关系提供了宝贵的启示。
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引用次数: 0
Population aging, health care, and the macroeconomy: An introduction 人口老龄化、医疗保健和宏观经济:导言
4区 经济学 Q4 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-02-15 DOI: 10.1002/ise3.74
Kevin X. D. Huang, Kai Zhao
<p>Relationship between health and the macroeconomy has received increasing attention in practice. National health is not only a key measure of macroeconomic development in the United Nations Human Development Index, its interaction with macroeconomic development is also at the core of the World Health Organization Commission on Macroeconomics and Health. The macroeconomic causes and implications of rising health-care expenditures have frequently made to headline news. According to recent polls from Gallup, this issue tops America's “most important problem” list. The US Congressional Budget Office has placed it at the center of the sustainability issue concerning the nation's fiscal system going forward. As Alan Blinder (i.e., Blinder, <span>2013</span>) puts it: “If we can somehow solve the health care cost problem, we will also solve the long-run deficit problem. But if we can't control health care costs, the long-run deficit problem is insoluble. Simple, right? Impossible? We'd better hope not.”</p><p>In recent years, the academic literature has also paid increasing attention to the related issues. Not surprisingly, a growing literature focuses on understanding the rising health spending and longevity (e.g., Fonseca et al., <span>2021</span>, Hall & Jones, <span>2007</span>, Zhao, <span>2014</span>). Recent studies also explain why health spending is higher even though life expectancy is lower in the United States than in Europe (e.g., He et al., <span>2021</span>), and why, on the one hand, there is a positive relation between health and long-run growth while, on the other hand, for industrialized economies, national health status tends to be negatively correlated with macroeconomic performance in the short run, improving in recessions and worsening in booms, though health spending generally declines during contractions and rises during expansions (e.g., He et al., <span>2023</span>). Incidentally, the implications of health for social welfare play a central role in the recent macrohealth literature (e.g., Hall & Jones, <span>2007</span>, Jones & Klenow, <span>2016</span>, Murphy & Topel, <span>2006</span>). Increasing attention has also been paid to understanding the implications of health risks for consumption, health spending, and allocation of wealth among bonds, stocks, and housing (e.g., Finkelstein et al., <span>2013</span>, Yogo, <span>2016</span>), and the trade- offs of provision of health-related social insurance on risk-sharing against dynamic disincentive (moral hazard) effect of health investment (e.g., Cole et al., <span>2019</span>), and to linking health and the labor market (e.g., Fang & Gavazza, <span>2011</span>, Feng & Zhao, <span>2018</span>, Hosseini et al., <span>2021</span>, Huang & Huffman, <span>2014</span>). Recent academic investigations have also started to explore the role of health as a special type of human capital, in complementing or substituting the other types of capital, such a
作者发现,在现有的美国社会保障体系中引入经济情况调查可以大大降低其规模,从而减轻其税收负担,而不会牺牲其提供保险以防老年贫困风险的核心使命。戴、孙和韦伯利用健康和退休调查数据证明,虽然老年人平均能正确预测自己的预期寿命,但根据他们的主观信念计算出的死亡年龄平均方差明显低于根据实际生命表计算出的死亡年龄平均方差。这一结果表明,老年人对自己死亡年龄的预测比生命表所显示的更有信心。作者利用生命周期优化模型表明,对预测死亡年龄更有信心可能会导致社会保障福利申请年龄的提前。徐研究了代际转移在中国不发达的社会保障体系中的替代作用。利用 CHARLS 数据,她记录了中国城市中普遍存在的上游生前转移(从子女到父母)和下游生前转移(从父母到子女)。此外,生前转移与父母和子女的相对收入状况高度相关。她根据İmrohoroğlu和Zhao(2018a)的精神,建立了一个具有双面利他主义的一般均衡生命周期模型,以合理解释这些记录在案的中国代际转移模式。消除经济风险或修改现有社会保障制度的反事实实验表明,代际转移在很大程度上是出于跨代消费平滑的动机,而家庭保险在中国是公共保险的重要替代品。Hsu 和 Le 建立了一个具有内生生育选择和受社会规范激励的孝顺支持的生命周期模型。他们将该模型校准到印度尼西亚,并使用校准后的模型研究孝道标准的变化对生育决策的影响。作者发现,自 20 世纪 60 年代以来,印度尼西亚生育率下降的很大一部分原因是孝道方面社会规范的下降。此外,他们还发现经济放缓也会对生育率产生负面影响。
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引用次数: 0
Fertility decisions and the norm of intergenerational support to aging parents 生育决定和对年迈父母的代际支持规范
4区 经济学 Q4 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-02-09 DOI: 10.1002/ise3.73
Minchung Hsu, Thu Trang Le

This paper examines the impact of the social norm of intergenerational support to aging parents on fertility decisions in developing economies. The traditional expectation of receiving support from adult children in old age has historically been a significant factor in the decision to have children, especially in developing countries. The study develops a life cycle model that endogenizes fertility choices and incorporates the expectation of transfers from children based on the filial responsibility norm. We utilize household survey data from Indonesia to estimate earnings profiles and uncertainties over the life cycle, and to estimate the transfers from adult children to parents to indicate the current strength of the norm in 2000s. We conducted counterfactual experiments to explore the impact of the filial responsibility norm on fertility and found that a weakening of the norm could account for a significant proportion of the decline in the total fertility rate.

本文探讨了对年迈父母代际赡养的社会规范对发展中经济体生育决定的影响。传统上,人们期望在年老时得到成年子女的赡养,这历来是影响生育决定的一个重要因素,在发展中国家尤其如此。本研究建立了一个生命周期模型,该模型将生育选择内生化,并纳入了基于孝道责任规范的子女转移预期。我们利用印度尼西亚的家庭调查数据来估算生命周期中的收入状况和不确定性,并估算成年子女对父母的转移,以表明 2000 年代孝道规范的当前强度。我们进行了反事实实验,以探讨孝道责任规范对生育率的影响,结果发现,孝道责任规范的弱化可能是总生育率下降的重要原因。
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引用次数: 0
Tests of goods market integration between China and African BRI countries 中国与非洲 "金砖倡议 "国家商品市场一体化测试
4区 经济学 Q4 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2023-12-28 DOI: 10.1002/ise3.71
Shu-kam Lee, Paul Kwok-ching Shum, Kai-yin Woo

The Chinese Government has promulgated the “Belt and Road Initiative” (BRI) to increase trade flows and integrate goods markets between China and BRI countries. The validity of purchasing power parity (PPP) implies well-integrated goods markets, a precondition for further economic convergence, and the next stage of economic integration in factor, service, and financial markets. Our study aims to examine the validity of the PPP and the extent of goods market integration between China and selected BRI countries in Africa. Since the functional form of the cointegrating relationship may not be exact or linear, we adopt the nonparametric rank tests for analysis without prior knowledge and specification of the functional form. We also address the rank problems that occur in multivariate rank tests. Our empirical results provide strong evidence of an unrestricted PPP relationship with reasonably strong evidence of nonlinearity in the data. We also find that some African BRI countries have experienced goods market integration with China during the second-half period only. This indicates that the introduction of the BRI in 2013 and China's active involvement in African economic development through BRI projects are leading to enhanced goods market integration between China and Africa. The results indicate favorable prospects of closer economic cooperation in the factor, service, and financial markets to build a free trade area or common markets with BRI countries in Africa.

中国政府颁布了 "一带一路 "倡议(BRI),以增加中国与 "一带一路 "沿线国家之间的贸易流量并整合货物市场。购买力平价(PPP)的有效性意味着货物市场的良好整合,这是经济进一步趋同的前提,也是下一阶段要素、服务和金融市场经济整合的前提。我们的研究旨在考察购买力平价的有效性以及中国与非洲部分金砖国家之间商品市场一体化的程度。由于协整关系的函数形式可能不是精确的或线性的,因此我们采用了非参数秩检验来进行分析,而无需事先了解和指定函数形式。我们还解决了多元秩检验中出现的秩问题。我们的实证结果有力地证明了非限制性购买力平价关系,并合理地证明了数据中的非线性。我们还发现,一些非洲金砖四国仅在下半年经历了与中国的商品市场一体化。这表明,2013 年金砖国家倡议的提出以及中国通过金砖国家倡议项目积极参与非洲经济发展,正在加强中国与非洲之间的商品市场一体化。研究结果表明,中国与非洲金砖国家在要素市场、服务市场和金融市场开展更紧密的经济合作,建立自由贸易区或共同市场的前景良好。
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引用次数: 0
Medical insurance, labor supply, and anti-poverty initiatives: Micro-evidence from China 医疗保险、劳动力供给和扶贫举措:中国的微观证据
4区 经济学 Q4 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2023-11-01 DOI: 10.1002/ise3.70
Li Su, Mingxiao Sha, Ruixue Liu

The high cost of medical care and its association with poverty have given rise to a growing concern for developing countries, but how insurance plans affect household income and alleviate poverty has been rarely discussed. This study aims to bridge this research gap by examining a medical insurance reform in China, a major program of the targeted poverty alleviation (TPA) strategy, which offers higher reimbursement rates and lower medical deductibles for low-income households. We use an administrative data set on impoverished people in a Chinese county to examine how exogenous changes in the medical insurance system affect the income structure of low-income households. We apply a two-part model to a Difference-in-Differences framework, with households that received reimbursement of the insurance reform as the treatment group and others as the control group. Our results imply that the medical insurance reform could increase the overall household income diversity. The mechanism analysis suggests that the medical insurance reform improves the health conditions of patients and encourages caregivers to engage more in off-farm work.

高昂的医疗费用及其与贫困的关系日益引起发展中国家的关注,但保险计划如何影响家庭收入和减轻贫困却鲜有讨论。本研究旨在通过考察中国的一项医疗保险改革来弥补这一研究空白,该改革是中国定点扶贫(TPA)战略的一项重要计划,它为低收入家庭提供了更高的报销比例和更低的医疗免赔额。我们利用中国某县贫困人口的行政数据集,研究医疗保险制度的外生变化如何影响低收入家庭的收入结构。我们将两部分模型应用于差分法框架,将获得医保改革报销的家庭作为治疗组,其他家庭作为对照组。我们的研究结果表明,医疗保险改革可以提高整体家庭收入的多样性。机制分析表明,医疗保险改革改善了患者的健康状况,并鼓励护理人员更多地从事非农工作。
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引用次数: 0
How do subjective mortality beliefs affect the value of social security and the optimal claiming ages? 主观死亡率信念如何影响社会保障的价值和最佳申领年龄?
4区 经济学 Q4 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2023-10-30 DOI: 10.1002/ise3.69
Tiantian Dai, Wei Sun, Anthony Webb

Households that postpone claiming Social Security benefits are, in effect, making additional purchases of the Social Security annuity and acquiring valuable longevity insurance. This paper investigates the impact of plausible variations of subjective mortality beliefs on the value of delayed claiming and the optimal claiming ages of retired workers. Using the Health and Retirement Study data, we show that older individuals could, on average, predict their life expectancy correctly; however, the average variance of age of death calculated from subjective mortality tables is 6.2%–14.4% lower than that from cohort life tables. Using numerical optimization techniques, we further show that, theoretically, older households place a lower value on delaying claiming when they have greater confidence in their ability to forecast their age of death. But the magnitude of this effect is not large enough to change their optimal claiming ages, unless they hold extreme subjective mortality beliefs. As a result, we conclude that subjective mortality beliefs alone cannot explain the prevalence of early claiming behaviors.

推迟领取社会保障福利的家庭实际上是额外购买了社会保障年金,并获得了有价值的长寿保险。本文研究了主观死亡率信念的合理变化对延迟申领价值和退休工人最佳申领年龄的影响。利用健康与退休研究数据,我们表明老年人平均可以正确预测自己的预期寿命;然而,根据主观死亡率表计算的死亡年龄的平均方差比根据队列生命表计算的死亡年龄的平均方差低 6.2%-14.4%。利用数值优化技术,我们进一步表明,从理论上讲,当老年家庭对自己预测死亡年龄的能力更有信心时,他们会降低延迟领取养老金的价值。但这种影响的程度不足以改变他们的最佳领取年龄,除非他们持有极端的主观死亡率信念。因此,我们得出结论,仅凭主观死亡信念无法解释提前领取养老金行为的普遍性。
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引用次数: 0
Nonparametric estimation of English auctions with selective entry: An application to online judicial auctions 有选择进入的英语拍卖的非参数估计:在线司法拍卖的应用
4区 经济学 Q4 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2023-10-12 DOI: 10.1002/ise3.68
Nianqing Liu, Kexin Xu

This paper proposes an estimation approach following the constructive identification strategy of Athey and Haile, and Gentry and Li with adaption in the context of ascending auctions with selective entry. Our estimators are shown to be consistent in a large sample and to perform well in a finite sample by a simulation study. We apply our estimation approach to the Alibaba online judicial auctions of used cars to recover the bounds of conditional value distribution and the entry cost. The bounds estimates of both conditional value distribution and entry cost are quite tight (resp., relatively wide) for middle-valued (resp., low-valued or high-valued) signal, and the cumulative distribution functions of conditional value distribution given signal comply with the law of ordered dominance. Finally, our counterfactual analysis indicates that (i) the ascending auction yields a higher revenue than the first-price sealed bid auction, and (ii) the revenue can be improved significantly when the entry cost is cut by half.

本文根据 Athey 和 Haile 以及 Gentry 和 Li 的构造性识别策略提出了一种估计方法,并在有选择性进入的升序拍卖背景下进行了调整。模拟研究表明,我们的估计方法在大样本中具有一致性,在有限样本中表现良好。我们将估计方法应用于阿里巴巴二手车在线司法拍卖,以恢复条件价值分布和进入成本的边界。对于中值(低值或高值)信号,条件价值分布和进入成本的边界估计值都相当紧(或相对宽),而且给定信号的条件价值分布的累积分布函数符合有序支配定律。最后,我们的反事实分析表明:(i) 递增拍卖比第一价格密封竞价拍卖产生更高的收益;(ii) 当进入成本减半时,收益会显著提高。
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引用次数: 0
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International Studies of Economics
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