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China's OFDI and the economic growth: From the perspective of natural resource 中国对外直接投资与经济增长:基于自然资源的视角
4区 经济学 Q4 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2022-08-30 DOI: 10.1002/ise3.28
Ling Feng, Lulan Ge

Using a country-level panel data set of China's outward foreign direct investment (OFDI) during 2003–2015, we find that China increases its direct investment in an economy endowed with natural resources, which increases the exports of the resources to China. Facilitated by the industry-level data between 2003 and 2008, we further show that the increase of China's OFDI in the economies abundant in natural resources would boost the output of Chinese industries which use the resources intensively but shrink the industries that are less intensive in the resources. These findings are consistent with the Rybczynski theorem and suggest that China's OFDI increases its domestic supply of natural resources.

利用2003-2015年中国对外直接投资(OFDI)的国家级面板数据集,我们发现中国增加了对拥有自然资源的经济体的直接投资,这增加了资源对中国的出口。利用2003 - 2008年的产业层面数据,我们进一步表明,中国对外直接投资在自然资源丰富的经济体中的增加,将促进中国资源集约产业的产出,而使资源集约产业的产出萎缩。这些发现与Rybczynski定理一致,表明中国的对外直接投资增加了国内自然资源的供给。
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引用次数: 0
Do food safety regulations impede agrifood exports of China? 食品安全法规是否阻碍了中国农产品出口?
4区 经济学 Q4 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2022-08-19 DOI: 10.1002/ise3.19
Muhammad Ishaq, Zahoor ul Haq, Ping Qing, Chongguang Li

This study uses the gravity model to estimate the effects of food safety regulations implemented by the partner countries on agri-food exports of China. Annual bilateral trade data are compiled for major agrifood export items of China like apples, kidney beans, garlic, mandarins and orange, meat of swine, and tea. The panel data are estimated using both the fixed- and random-effect models. Results of the study show that all the standard gravity-type variables carry signs according to prior expectations and economic theory. The study concludes that food safety regulations have no effect on exports of all the selected commodities except meat of swine.

本研究采用重力模型来估计伙伴国实施的食品安全法规对中国农产品出口的影响。年度双边贸易数据汇编了中国主要农产品出口项目,如苹果、芸豆、大蒜、柑橘和橙子、猪肉和茶叶。面板数据是用固定效应和随机效应模型估计的。研究结果表明,所有标准重力型变量都具有符合先验预期和经济学理论的符号。研究得出结论,食品安全法规对除猪肉外的所有选定商品的出口都没有影响。
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引用次数: 0
Static and dynamic RCA analysis of India and China in world economy 世界经济中印度和中国的静态和动态RCA分析
4区 经济学 Q4 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2022-08-07 DOI: 10.1002/ise3.18
Saba Ismail, Shahid Ahmed

This study is an attempt to examine similarities and differences in the patterns of revealed comparative advantage (RCA) of India and China in the global market at different levels of classification. The study analyses whether RCAs of these economies have undergone any structural shift/change or whether the pattern of specialization in these economies is competitive or complementary in the world market. The study reveals that India holds a comparative advantage in 9 out of 16 product groups of Harmonized System (HS) classification, 41 out of 97 HS chapters at HS 2-digit level, and 2377 out of 4163 traded commodities at HS 6-digit level, while China holds a comparative advantage in 6 out of 16 HS product groups, 45 out of 97 HS chapters at HS 2-digit level, and 2075 out of 4381 traded commodities at HS 6-digit level in 2018. Major findings suggest that both the countries have been performing well and broadly maintained their comparative advantage, especially since 2000. A comparative analysis of India and China reveals a small structural change in RCA over time in both economies at disaggregated levels. The study highlights that India and China neither have a competitive nor a complementary relationship in the global market. These findings reflect a scope of independent expansion of the economies of both India and China, without hurting mutual interest in the global market. It may be inferred from the results that mutual cooperation will enhance the competitiveness of both economies and contributes to global economic progress.

本研究旨在探讨中印两国在不同分类层次上的全球市场显性比较优势(RCA)模式的异同。该研究分析了这些经济体的区域贸易协定是否经历了任何结构性转变/变化,或者这些经济体的专业化模式在世界市场上是竞争性的还是互补性的。印度拥有比较优势的研究显示9的16个产品组协调系统(HS)分类、41 97 HS章节在HS便是水平,4163年和2377年交易的大宗商品在海关6位水平,尽管中国拥有相对优势在6 16 HS产品组,45 97 HS章节在HS便是水平,4381年和2075年大宗商品交易在2018年海关6位水平。主要调查结果表明,这两个国家一直表现良好,并普遍保持了比较优势,尤其是自2000年以来。对印度和中国的比较分析显示,在两个经济体的分类水平上,随着时间的推移,RCA发生了微小的结构性变化。该研究强调,印度和中国在全球市场上既不存在竞争关系,也不存在互补关系。这些发现反映了印度和中国经济在不损害全球市场共同利益的情况下各自独立扩张的范围。从结果可以推断,相互合作将提高两国经济的竞争力,并有助于全球经济的发展。
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引用次数: 0
The transmission mechanism analysis of the impact of economic policy uncertainty on household consumption 经济政策不确定性对居民消费影响的传导机制分析
4区 经济学 Q4 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2022-07-31 DOI: 10.1002/ise3.21
Yanwei Gu, Guancheng Jiang, Xiao Liang

Economic policy uncertainty is proven to have an important effect on household consumption. However, the literature on its transmission mechanism and on comparing the consumption response of urban and rural households, especially in China, is limited. In this paper, we propose two channels through which economic policy uncertainty affects household consumption, the precautionary saving channel and the investment-employment channel. Then, we use the household survey data (China Health and Nutrition Survey) to explore the heterogeneous effect among urban and rural households. We verify that an increase in economic policy uncertainty can significantly reduce household consumption through both channels. Further, the precautionary saving channel is more important in the urban household sample, while the investment-employment channel is more pronounced in the rural household sample. In addition, the heterogeneous effect also exists across households in different regions. Our results are robust with consideration of different estimation methods, the lagged effect of the uncertainty, and other characteristics of households.

经济政策的不确定性已被证明对家庭消费有重要影响。然而,关于其传导机制和城乡家庭消费反应比较的文献,特别是在中国,是有限的。本文提出了经济政策不确定性影响居民消费的两个渠道,即预防性储蓄渠道和投资-就业渠道。然后,我们使用家庭调查数据(中国健康与营养调查)来探讨城乡家庭之间的异质性效应。我们验证了经济政策不确定性的增加可以通过这两个渠道显著减少家庭消费。此外,预防性储蓄渠道在城市家庭样本中更为重要,而投资-就业渠道在农村家庭样本中更为明显。此外,不同地区的家庭间也存在异质性效应。考虑到不同的估计方法、不确定性的滞后效应和家庭的其他特征,我们的结果是稳健的。
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引用次数: 1
Does foreign aid reduce the country's risk of OFDI? The Chinese experience 外国援助是否降低了该国对外直接投资的风险?中国人的经验
4区 经济学 Q4 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2022-07-31 DOI: 10.1002/ise3.20
Haijun Wang, Hu Yang, Fengya Li, Min Zhang

Using a sample of 124 countries assisted by China from 2000 to 2019, this paper examines the impact of foreign aid on outward foreign direct investment (OFDI) and the mitigation mechanism of risk. The research finds that, first, foreign aid can significantly reduce the country risk of recipient countries, especially political risk and financial risk, and thus play a role in promoting the inflow of OFDI of donor countries, and there is a lagged effect of this role; Second, foreign aid from other countries has a negative impact on China's OFDI to recipient countries, indicating that foreign aid is nonaltruistic and exclusive; Third, the mitigation effect of foreign aid on country risk is achieved through five channels: compensation effect, synergistic effect, pioneer effect, assimilation effect, and redistribution effects.

本文以2000年至2019年中国援助的124个国家为样本,考察了对外援助对对外直接投资的影响以及风险缓解机制。研究发现,首先,对外援助可以显著降低受援国的国家风险,特别是政治风险和金融风险,从而在促进捐助国对外直接投资流入方面发挥作用,而且这种作用存在滞后效应;第二,其他国家的对外援助对中国对受援国的对外直接投资产生了负面影响,表明对外援助具有非排他性和排他性;第三,对外援助对国家风险的缓解作用是通过补偿效应、协同效应、先行效应、同化效应和再分配效应五个渠道实现的。
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引用次数: 2
Would central government's direct supervisions enhance local environmental qualities? Evidence from China 中央政府的直接监管会提高地方环境质量吗?来自中国的证据
4区 经济学 Q4 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2022-07-20 DOI: 10.1002/ise3.14
Zhilin Hu

With the construction of ecological civilization, central government's direct inspections have become the new norm of environmental protection supervision. Since 2016, the central government has been dispatching supervision teams, one batch after another, to conduct environmental protection supervision in the provinces. In this paper, the regression discontinuity designs were used to study the impact of central environmental protection supervision on the quality of air and water. Our results indicate that air quality was improved significantly during the supervision, while water quality was improved significantly during the rectification period after the supervision. A heterogeneity analysis shows that supervision had a significant impact on highly polluted areas. The results further suggest that for the continuous improvement of environmental quality, it is necessary to build a long-term governance mechanism.

随着生态文明建设的推进,中央直接督查已成为环境保护督查的新常态。自2016年以来,中央政府一直在派出督察组,一批接一批地在各省进行环境保护督查。本文采用回归不连续设计研究中央环保督察对空气和水质量的影响。我们的研究结果表明,在监督期间,空气质量得到了明显改善,而在监督后的整改期间,水质得到了明显改善。异质性分析表明,监管对重污染地区有显著影响。研究结果进一步表明,环境质量的持续改善需要建立长效治理机制。
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引用次数: 1
Does individual educational attainment affect educational homogamy?—Evidence from CGSS 个人受教育程度会影响同性婚姻吗?-来自CGSS的证据
4区 经济学 Q4 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2022-07-19 DOI: 10.1002/ise3.9
Congjia Huo, Lingming Chen

Family is the basic unit that constitutes social relations, and marriage-matching determines the development trajectory of a household. Education has become one of the most important ingredients of marriage in modern society, and the proportion of homogamy is increasing day by day. This article employs the data from the Chinese General Social Survey to research the mechanism of educational attainment on the educational homogamy. To eliminate the effect of endogeneity, we use the Probit model and instrumental variables for testing. The empirical results indicate that social members with higher educational backgrounds are more likely to choose educational homogamy. After controlling for other variables, social members and female members with lower ages are more likely to choose spouses with similar educational backgrounds.

家庭是构成社会关系的基本单位,婚姻匹配决定了一个家庭的发展轨迹。教育已经成为现代社会婚姻最重要的组成部分之一,同性婚姻的比例日益增加。本文利用《中国综合社会调查》的数据,研究受教育程度对教育同性婚姻的影响机制。为了消除内生性的影响,我们使用Probit模型和工具变量进行测试。实证结果表明,受教育程度较高的社会成员更倾向于选择学历同性婚姻。在控制了其他变量后,年龄较低的社会成员和女性成员更有可能选择教育背景相似的配偶。
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引用次数: 1
How much between-group wage gaps can be explained by talent allocation frictions in China? 在中国,人才分配摩擦能解释多大程度的群体间工资差距?
4区 经济学 Q4 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2022-07-19 DOI: 10.1002/ise3.16
Zhe Li, Qingyu Peng

What explains huge wage gaps between different hukou and gender groups in China? This paper uses an overlapping generation model with human capital investment and occupational choices to quantify how much wage gaps between these groups can be imputed to two types of talent allocation frictions, labor market discrimination, and human capital accumulation barriers. The calibrated model indicates that the two types of talent allocation frictions can explain a significant proportion (four-fifths, one-third, and three-fifths) of the wage gap between each non-urban-men group (urban women, rural men, and rural women) and urban men in 2013. Our counterfactual exercise also shows that eliminating these two frictions since 1995 would result in about half a percentage point increase in China's economic growth rate between 1995 and 2013.

如何解释中国不同户口和性别群体之间巨大的工资差距?本文使用一个包含人力资本投资和职业选择的重叠代模型,量化了这些群体之间的工资差距在多大程度上可以归因于两种类型的人才配置摩擦、劳动力市场歧视和人力资本积累障碍。校准后的模型表明,两种类型的人才分配摩擦可以解释2013年每个非城市男性群体(城市女性、农村男性和农村女性)与城市男性之间的工资差距的很大比例(五分之四、三分之一和五分之三)。我们的反事实练习也表明,消除1995年以来的这两个摩擦,将使中国1995年至2013年的经济增长率提高约0.5个百分点。
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引用次数: 0
The Belt and Road Initiative, political involvement, and China's OFDI “一带一路”倡议、政治参与和中国的对外直接投资
4区 经济学 Q4 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2022-07-19 DOI: 10.1002/ise3.15
Haoyuan Ding, Yi Li, Liang Wang, Chang Xue

The Belt and Road Initiative (BRI) is an important strategy for China. This study examines the effect of political involvement on firms' outward foreign direct investment (OFDI) in belt-road countries after the BRI. Using merged Chinese nonfinancial listed firm data, the fDi Markets database, and the Thomson One database (formerly known as SDC Platinum) for the period 2008–2018, we find that political involvement has positive effect on firms' OFDI in belt-road countries after the BRI. Furthermore, we find that the positive effect is heterogeneous across state-owned enterprises (SOEs) and non-SOEs. Political involvement has a positive effect on M&A for SOEs and Greenfield investment for non-SOEs in belt-road countries after the BRI. Our findings suggest that political involvement promotes firms' OFDI in belt-road countries after the BRI and is helpful to the macro-policy implementation.

“一带一路”倡议是中国的一项重要战略。本研究考察了政治参与对企业在“一带一路”后在沿线国家的对外直接投资(OFDI)的影响。利用2008-2018年的中国非金融上市公司数据、fDi Markets数据库和Thomson One数据库(以前称为SDC Platinum),我们发现政治参与对“一带一路”后企业在“一带一路”国家的对外直接投资有积极影响。此外,我们发现国有企业和非国有企业的积极效应是异质性的。政治参与对“一带一路”后沿线国家国有企业的并购和非国有企业的绿地投资具有正向影响。研究结果表明,政治参与促进了企业在“一带一路”倡议实施后对沿线国家的对外直接投资,有利于宏观政策的实施。
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引用次数: 2
Does Chinese policy banks' overseas lending favor Belt Road Initiative countries? 中国政策性银行的海外贷款是否有利于“一带一路”倡议国家?
4区 经济学 Q4 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2022-07-17 DOI: 10.1002/ise3.8
Xin Chen, Heyang Fang, Yun Liu, Yifei Zhang

This paper examines how Chinese policy banks responded to China's Belt Road Initiative (BRI) using transaction-level international syndicated loan data. Employing a difference-in-differences (DID) estimation, we show that Chinese policy banks increased aggregate lending (number of loans and loan amounts) to firms from the BRI countries compared to those from the non-BRI countries after the initiative. This increase was more pronounced among firms along the continental route and in the infrastructure sectors. We also find that Chinese policy banks' loans to the BRI borrowers were associated with reduced spread, lowered collateral requirement, and extended maturity. Moreover, our results suggest that Chinese policy banks gave more support to firms from the BRI countries with weaker economic performance, more fragile institutional quality, and closer political interests. Overall, our study highlights the supportive role played by Chinese policy banks in implementing a national globalization strategy.

本文利用交易级国际银团贷款数据,考察了中国政策性银行如何响应中国的“一带一路”倡议。采用差中差(DID)估计,我们发现,与非“一带一路”国家的企业相比,中国政策性银行向“一带一路”国家的企业提供的贷款总额(贷款数量和贷款金额)有所增加。这种增长在沿大陆路线和基础设施部门的公司中更为明显。我们还发现,中国政策性银行向“一带一路”借款人提供的贷款与利差缩小、抵押品要求降低和期限延长有关。此外,我们的研究结果表明,中国政策性银行更多地支持来自经济表现较弱、制度质量更脆弱、政治利益更密切的“一带一路”国家的企业。总体而言,我们的研究强调了中国政策性银行在实施国家全球化战略方面所发挥的支持作用。
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引用次数: 0
期刊
International Studies of Economics
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