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Actuarial Measures, Regression, and Applications of Exponentiated Fréchet Loss Distribution 指数型财务报表损失分布的精算计量、回归及应用
Pub Date : 2022-09-05 DOI: 10.1155/2022/3155188
A. Abubakari
In this study, a new loss distribution, called the exponentiated Fréchet loss distribution is developed and studied. The plots of the density function of the distribution show that the distribution can exhibit different shapes including right skewed and decreasing shapes, and various degrees of kurtosis. Several properties of the distribution are obtained including moments, mean excess function, limited expected value function, value at risk, tail value at risk, and tail variance. The estimators of the parameters of the distribution are obtained via maximum likelihood, maximum product spacing, ordinary least squares, and weighted least squares methods. The performances of the various estimators are investigated using simulation studies. The results show that the estimators are consistent. The new distribution is extended into a regression model. The usefulness and applicability of the new distribution and its regression model are demonstrated using actuarial data sets. The results show that the new loss distribution can be used as an alternative to modelling actuarial data.
本研究提出并研究了一种新的损失分布,即指数型fr损失分布。分布的密度函数图表明,分布可以呈现不同的形状,包括右偏形和递减形,以及不同的峰度。得到了该分布的矩、均值超额函数、有限期望值函数、风险值、风险尾值和尾部方差等性质。通过极大似然、极大积间距、普通最小二乘法和加权最小二乘法得到了分布参数的估计量。利用仿真研究对各种估计器的性能进行了研究。结果表明,估计量是一致的。将新的分布扩展为一个回归模型。用精算数据集验证了新分布及其回归模型的有效性和适用性。结果表明,新的损失分布可以作为精算数据建模的替代方法。
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引用次数: 0
Shadow Price Approximation for the Fractional Black Scholes Model 分数阶Black Scholes模型的影子价格近似
Pub Date : 2022-08-29 DOI: 10.1155/2022/4719482
Dolemweogo Sibiri Narcisse, Béré Frédéric, Nitiéma S. Pierre Clovis
In this work, we used Tran Hung Thao’s approximation of fractional Brownian motion to approximate the shadow price of the fractional Black Scholes model. In the case to maximize expectation of the utility function in a portfolio optimization problem under transaction cost, the shadow price is approximated by a Markovian process and semimartingale.
在这项工作中,我们使用Tran Hung Thao的分数布朗运动近似来近似分数布莱克斯科尔斯模型的影子价格。在交易成本下的投资组合优化问题中,为了使效用函数期望最大化,影子价格用马尔可夫过程和半鞅逼近。
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引用次数: 0
Bayesian Approach for Confidence Intervals of Variance on the Normal Distribution 正态分布方差置信区间的贝叶斯方法
Pub Date : 2022-08-27 DOI: 10.1155/2022/8043260
Autcha Araveeporn
This research aims to compare estimating the confidence intervals of variance based on the normal distribution with the primary method and the Bayesian approach. The maximum likelihood is the well-known method to approximate variance, and the Chi-squared distribution performs the confidence interval. The central Bayesian approach forms the posterior distribution that makes the variance estimator, which depends on the probability and prior distributions. Most introductory prior information looks for the availability of the prior distribution, informative prior distribution, and noninformative prior distribution. The gamma, Chi-squared, and exponential distributions are defined in the prior distribution. The informative prior distribution uses the Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) method to draw the random sample from the posterior distribution. The Fisher information performs the Wald confidence interval as the noninformative prior distribution. The interval estimation of the Bayesian approach is obtained from the central limit theorem. The performance of these methods considers the coverage probability and minimum value of the average width. The Monte Carlo process simulates the data from a normal distribution with the true parameter of mean and several variances and the sample sizes. The R program generates the simulated data repeated 10,000 times in each situation. The results showed that the maximum likelihood method employed on the small sample sizes. The best confidence interval estimation was when sample sizes increased the Bayesian approach with an available prior distribution. Overall, the Wald confidence interval tended to outperform the large sample sizes. For application in real data, we expressed the reported airborne particulate matter of 2.5 in Bangkok, Thailand. We used the 10–1000 records to estimate the confidence interval of variance and evaluated the interval width. The results are similar to those of the simulation study.
本研究的目的是比较基于正态分布的方差置信区间估计与原始方法和贝叶斯方法。最大似然是众所周知的近似方差的方法,卡方分布执行置信区间。中心贝叶斯方法形成了方差估计的后验分布,方差估计依赖于概率分布和先验分布。大多数介绍性先验信息寻找先验分布、信息性先验分布和非信息性先验分布的可用性。在先验分布中定义了伽玛分布、卡方分布和指数分布。信息先验分布采用马尔可夫链蒙特卡罗(MCMC)方法从后验分布中抽取随机样本。Fisher信息执行Wald置信区间作为非信息先验分布。由中心极限定理得到贝叶斯方法的区间估计。这些方法的性能考虑了覆盖概率和平均宽度的最小值。蒙特卡罗过程模拟来自正态分布的数据,具有真实参数均值和几个方差和样本量。R程序生成在每种情况下重复10000次的模拟数据。结果表明,极大似然法适用于小样本量。最佳置信区间估计是当样本量增加时,贝叶斯方法具有可用的先验分布。总体而言,沃尔德置信区间往往优于大样本量。为了应用于实际数据,我们表示了泰国曼谷报告的空气中颗粒物2.5。我们使用10-1000条记录来估计方差的置信区间,并评估区间宽度。所得结果与模拟研究结果相似。
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引用次数: 1
Impact of Using Double Positive Samples in Deming Regression 双阳性样本在Deming回归中的影响
Pub Date : 2022-08-12 DOI: 10.1155/2022/3984857
S. Adarkwa, F. Owusu, S. Okyere
In the method comparison approach, two measurement errors are observed. The classical regression approach (linear regression) method cannot be used for the analysis because the method may yield biased and inefficient estimates. In view of that, the Deming regression is preferred over the classical regression. The focus of this work is to assess the impact of censored data on the traditional regression, which deletes the censored observations compared to an adapted version of the Deming regression that takes into account the censored data. The study was done based on simulation studies with NLMIXED being used as a tool to analyse the data. Eight different simulation studies were run in this study. Each of the simulation is made up of 100 datasets with 300 observations. Simulation studies suggest that the traditional Deming regression which deletes censored observations gives biased estimates and a low coverage, whereas the adapted Deming regression that takes censoring into account gives estimates that are close to the true value making them unbiased and gives a high coverage. When the analytical error ratio is misspecified, the estimates are as well not reliable and biased.
在方法比较方法中,观察到两个测量误差。经典回归方法(线性回归)不能用于分析,因为该方法可能产生有偏差和无效的估计。鉴于此,Deming回归优于经典回归。这项工作的重点是评估审查数据对传统回归的影响,与考虑审查数据的Deming回归的改编版本相比,传统回归删除了审查的观测值。本研究是在模拟研究的基础上进行的,使用nlmix作为分析数据的工具。本研究共进行了8个不同的模拟实验。每个模拟由100个数据集和300个观测值组成。模拟研究表明,传统的Deming回归删除了审查的观测值,给出了有偏的估计和低覆盖率,而考虑审查的适应性Deming回归给出了接近真实值的估计,使它们无偏,并给出了高覆盖率。当分析错误率指定不当时,估计结果也不可靠且有偏差。
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引用次数: 0
A Stochastic Approach to Modeling Food Pattern 食物模式建模的随机方法
Pub Date : 2022-08-11 DOI: 10.1155/2022/9011873
Komla Elom Adedje, D. Barro
In this paper, we propose a fractional differential equation of order one-half, to model the evolution through time of the dynamics of accumulation and elimination of the contaminant in the human organism with a deficient immune system, during consecutive intakes of contaminated food. This process quantifies the exposure to toxins of subjects living with comorbidity (children not breastfed, the elderly, and pregnant women) to food-borne diseases. The Adomian Decomposition Method and the fractional integration of Riemann Liouville are used in the modeling processes.
在本文中,我们提出了一个1 / 2阶的分数阶微分方程,以模拟在连续摄入污染食品期间,具有免疫系统缺陷的人体有机体中污染物积累和消除的动力学随时间的演变。这一过程量化了患有食源性疾病共病(非母乳喂养的儿童、老年人和孕妇)的受试者接触毒素的情况。在建模过程中采用了Adomian分解法和Riemann Liouville分数阶积分法。
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引用次数: 2
Sine-Weibull Geometric Mixture and Nonmixture Cure Rate Models with Applications to Lifetime Data 正弦-威布尔几何混合和非混合固化率模型及其在寿命数据中的应用
Pub Date : 2022-08-08 DOI: 10.1155/2022/1798278
I. Angbing, Suleman Nasiru, D. Jakperik
In this study, two new distributions are developed by compounding Sine-Weibull and zero-truncated geometric distributions. The quantile and ordinary moments of the distributions are obtained. Plots of the hazard rate functions of the distributions show that the distributions exhibit nonmonotonic failure rates. Also, plots of the densities of the distributions show that they exhibit decreasing, skewed, and approximately symmetric shapes, among others. Mixture and nonmixture cure rate models based on these distributions are also developed. The estimators of the parameters of the cure rate models are shown to be consistent via simulation studies. Covariates are introduced into the cure rate models via the logit link function. Finally, the performance of the distributions and the cure rate and regression models is demonstrated using real datasets. The results show that the developed distributions can serve as alternatives to existing models for survival data analyses.
本文将正弦威布尔分布与零截尾几何分布复合,得到了两个新的分布。得到了分布的分位数矩和普通矩。分布的危险率函数图表明,分布表现出非单调的故障率。此外,分布的密度图显示它们呈现递减、倾斜和近似对称的形状等。本文还建立了基于这些分布的混合和非混合固化速率模型。通过仿真研究表明,固化率模型参数的估计值是一致的。通过logit链接函数将协变量引入到治愈率模型中。最后,用实际数据集验证了模型的分布、准确率和回归模型的性能。结果表明,开发的分布可以替代现有的生存数据分析模型。
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引用次数: 1
A Note on Constant Mean Curvature Foliations of Noncompact Riemannian Manifolds 关于非紧黎曼流形常平均曲率叶状的一个注记
Pub Date : 2022-08-03 DOI: 10.1155/2022/7350345
S. Ilias, Barbara Nelli, M. Soret
We aimed to study constant mean curvature foliations of noncompact Riemannian manifolds, satisfying some geometric constraints. As a byproduct, we answer a question by M. P. do Carmo (see Introduction) about the leaves of such foliations.
我们的目的是研究满足一些几何约束的非紧黎曼流形的常平均曲率叶化。作为副产品,我们回答了m.p. do Carmo关于这种叶子的叶子的问题(见引言)。
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引用次数: 0
A Nonstandard Fitted Operator Method for Singularly Perturbed Parabolic Reaction-Diffusion Problems with a Large Time Delay 大时滞奇摄动抛物反应扩散问题的非标准拟合算子法
Pub Date : 2022-07-30 DOI: 10.1155/2022/5625049
A. Tiruneh, G. A. Derese, D. Tefera
In this paper, we design and investigate a higher order ε -uniformly convergent method to solve singularly perturbed parabolic reaction-diffusion problems with a large time delay. We use the Crank–Nicolson method for the time derivative, while the spatial derivative is discretized using a nonstandard finite difference approach on a uniform mesh. Furthermore, to improve the order of convergence, we used the Richardson extrapolation technique. The designed scheme converges independent of the perturbation parameter ( ε -uniformly convergent) and also achieves fourth-order convergent in both time and spatial variables. Two model examples are considered to demonstrate the applicability of the suggested method. The proposed method produces better accuracy and a higher rate of convergence than some methods that appear in the literature.
本文设计并研究了一种求解大时滞奇摄动抛物型反应扩散问题的高阶ε -一致收敛方法。我们使用Crank-Nicolson方法对时间导数进行离散,而空间导数则使用非标准有限差分方法在均匀网格上离散。此外,为了提高收敛顺序,我们使用了理查德森外推技术。所设计的方案与扰动参数无关(ε -均匀收敛),并且在时间和空间变量上都实现了四阶收敛。通过两个算例验证了所提方法的适用性。与文献中出现的一些方法相比,该方法具有更好的精度和更高的收敛速度。
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引用次数: 2
A Note about Young's Inequality with Different Measures 不同尺度下的杨氏不平等现象
Pub Date : 2022-07-13 DOI: 10.1155/2022/4672957
Saba Mehmood, Eridani Eridani, F. Fatmawati
The key purpose of this paper is to work on the boundedness of generalized Bessel–Riesz operators defined with doubling measures in Lebesgue spaces with different measures. Relating Bessel decaying the kernel of the operators is satisfying some elementary properties. Doubling measure, Young's inequality, and Minköwski’s inequality will be used in proofs of boundedness of integral operators. In addition, we also explore the relation between the parameters of the kernel and generalized integral operators and see the norm of these generalized operators which will also be bounded by the norm of their kernel with different measures.
本文的主要目的是研究具有不同测度的Lebesgue空间中由加倍测度定义的广义Bessel-Riesz算子的有界性。有关算子的贝塞尔衰变核满足一些基本性质。在证明积分算子的有界性时,将使用倍增测度、杨氏不等式和Minköwski不等式。此外,我们还探讨了核的参数与广义积分算子之间的关系,并给出了这些广义算子的范数,这些广义算子的范数也以其不同测度的核的范数为界。
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引用次数: 1
Roll of Newtonian and Non-Newtonian Motion in Analysis of Two-Phase Hepatic Blood Flow in Artery during Jaundice 黄疸时两相肝动脉血流的牛顿运动和非牛顿运动分析
Pub Date : 2022-07-12 DOI: 10.1155/2022/7388096
Abha Singh, R. Khan, Sumit Kushwaha, Tahani Alshenqeeti
Biomathematics is an interdisciplinary subject consisting of mathematics and biology, which is widely applicable for the analysis of biological problems. In this paper, we provide a mathematical model of two-phase hepatic blood flow in a jaundice patient’s artery. The blood flow is thought to be a two-phased process. The clinical data of a jaundice patient (blood pressure and hemoglobin) is gathered. To begin, hemoglobin is transformed into hematocrit, and blood pressure is turned to a decline in blood pressure. For the examination of hepatic arteries in Newtonian and non-Newtonian movements, a mathematical model is constructed. The relationship between two-phase blood flow flux and blood pressure reduction in the hepatic artery is established. For various hematocrit levels, the blood pressure decrease is determined. The patient’s states are defined by the slope of the linear relationship between computed blood pressure decrease and hematocrit.
生物数学是一门数学与生物学相结合的交叉学科,广泛应用于分析生物学问题。在本文中,我们提供了一个数学模型的两期肝血流在黄疸患者的动脉。血液流动被认为是一个两阶段的过程。收集黄疸患者的临床资料(血压和血红蛋白)。首先,血红蛋白转化为红细胞压积,血压转化为血压下降。为了在牛顿运动和非牛顿运动中检查肝动脉,建立了数学模型。建立了肝动脉两相血流通量与血压降低的关系。对于不同的血细胞比容水平,血压下降是确定的。患者的状态由计算血压下降和红细胞压积之间的线性关系的斜率来定义。
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引用次数: 0
期刊
Int. J. Math. Math. Sci.
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