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Vestnik Volgogradskogo Gosudarstvennogo Universiteta Serija 1 Mathematica Physica最新文献

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The Rating Assessment of Food Security of the Southern Federal District Regions 南方联邦区粮食安全等级评价
Pub Date : 2019-07-01 DOI: 10.15688/JVOLSU3.2019.2.4
E. Antamoshkina
The article proposes the methodological tool and comprehensive indicator for assessing the food security of the regions. The index of food security is determined on the basis of the systematic groups of indicators. In the distribution of food products, the following indicators are analyzed: the indexes of food prices, the magnitude of the change in real incomes of the population, the population with incomes below the subsistence minimum. Among the indicators in the distribution of food products the volume of food consumption in accordance with rational consumption rates, the share of food expenditure in the structure of household consumption expenditures are considered. In the field of production the indexes of production of various types of agricultural products in the region are considered. The ranking of the Southern Federal District (SFD) regions by selected groups of indicators made it possible to determine the leaders in food security among the regions. In 2017, Krasnodar Krai, the Republic of Adygea and Rostov Region were among these regions. On the basis of the analysis performed, the authors established risks and threats in food supply of the SFD regions: imbalance of the consumer ration; decrease in real incomes and purchasing power of population; a high proportion of the population with incomes below the subsistence minimum in the region. The practical significance of the proposed approach lies in the possibility of justifying the choice of priority measures to optimize agrarian policy, taking into account the need to maintain an acceptable level of food provision in the regions of Russia.
本文提出了区域粮食安全评价的方法工具和综合指标。粮食安全指数是在系统的指标组的基础上确定的。在食品分配中,分析了以下指标:食品价格指数,人口实际收入变化幅度,收入低于最低生活保障的人口。在食品产品分布指标中,考虑了按合理消费率消费的食品量、食品支出在家庭消费支出结构中的份额。在生产领域,考虑了该地区各类农产品的生产指标。根据选定的指标组对南部联邦区(SFD)地区进行排名,可以确定各地区在粮食安全方面的领先地位。2017年,这些地区包括克拉斯诺达尔边疆区、亚的亚共和国和罗斯托夫州。在此基础上,提出了SFD地区食品供应面临的风险和威胁:消费比例失衡;人口实际收入和购买力下降;该地区收入低于最低生活保障额的人口比例很高。拟议的办法的实际意义在于,考虑到在俄罗斯各地区维持可接受的粮食供应水平的需要,有可能证明选择优先措施以优化农业政策是合理的。
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引用次数: 0
The Comparative Analysis of the Territory Financial Potential Assessment Methods 区域财政潜力评估方法的比较分析
Pub Date : 2019-07-01 DOI: 10.15688/JVOLSU3.2019.2.12
D. Nekhaychuk, A. Zhuchik
The article provides the analysis of scientific works on the issues of the territory financial potential assessment methods. According to this analysis there are several fundamentally different approaches to determining the territory financial potential. It is proved that the financial potential of the region is becoming increasingly important today, because in the near future it will determine the state of the economy of the region, the state, as well as occupy one of the main places among state priorities, will affect the financial regional and state policy. The importance of assessing the territory financial potential is also due to the fact that knowing its real state, it becomes possible to effectively and efficiently use all kinds of resources necessary for the region development. The main methodological approaches of assessing the financial potential of the territory are considered: the statistical approach, the comparative approach, evaluation with the use ofmacroeconomic indicators, the analysis with the use of special indicators, the regression analysis. The main essence of each approach is revealed. The author concludes that despite their diversity, every approach is characterized by certain shortcomings. The bulk of scientists’ efforts is focused on calculating the so-called used financial potential, that is, the potential that can actually be implemented in the territory in the near future. At the same time, a significant share of financial potential is an unrealized potential, which requires specific and additional methods of evaluation. Another important drawback is that scientists ignore the existence of the shadow sector, which actually distorts the reality. That is, the methodology for assessing the territory financial potential, despite diverse tools, is not perfect today and requires rethinking in order to approach the economic realities and improve the quality of results.
文章对国土财政潜力评价方法等问题进行了科学的分析。根据这一分析,有几种根本不同的方法来确定领土的财政潜力。事实证明,该地区的金融潜力在今天变得越来越重要,因为在不久的将来,它将决定该地区、国家的经济状况,以及在国家优先事项中占据主要位置,将影响该地区和国家的金融政策。评估领土金融潜力的重要性还在于了解其真实状态,从而有可能有效和高效地利用区域发展所需的各种资源。考虑了评估领土金融潜力的主要方法方法:统计方法,比较方法,使用宏观经济指标进行评估,使用特殊指标进行分析,回归分析。揭示了每种方法的主要本质。作者的结论是,尽管他们的多样性,每一种方法都有一定的缺点。科学家们的大部分工作都集中在计算所谓的已使用财政潜力上,即在不久的将来在该地区实际实施的潜力。与此同时,财政潜力的很大一部分是尚未实现的潜力,这需要具体和额外的评价方法。另一个重要的缺点是,科学家忽视了影子部门的存在,这实际上扭曲了现实。也就是说,评估领土财政潜力的方法,尽管工具多种多样,但今天并不完美,需要重新考虑,以便接近经济现实和提高结果的质量。
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引用次数: 1
Economic and Mathematical Modeling of the Direct Effects of Large-Scale Infrastructure Projects on Developing Territories 大型基础设施项目对发展中地区直接影响的经济和数学模型
Pub Date : 2019-07-01 DOI: 10.15688/JVOLSU3.2019.2.7
O. Patrakeeva
The problem of assessing the effects of infrastructure projects for territories is debatable. Modeling experience has been accumulated today, and elaborated macroeconomic models allow to identify causal relationships between the indicators of transport development and economic growth. The goal of this article is to define a simulation model of assessing the impact of transport projects on the economic growth of Krasnodar Krai exemplified by the Crimean Bridge project. The solution of this scientific problem requires taking into account different factors and complicated interrelationships within the framework of the regional social and economic system under consideration, using methods of system analysis and tools of economic and mathematical simulation. The simulation model reflects the scenario parameters of the capital management policy, highway transport freight turnover, highway transport freight turnover directly connected with the construction of Kerch Straight Bridge, carriage of goods by railway transport, carriage of goods by railway transport directly connected with the construction of Kerch Straight Bridge. The interrelations of this model’s parameters are established by the econometrics methods. In accordance with the produced scenarios the expected median values of the additional increment of the Krasnodar Krai GRP due to the increment of transportation associated with the Crimean Bridge operation are in the range between 0.97 % and 1.1 %. The most conservative scenario presumes the median value of 0.97 % and lower limit of 0.8 %. This tool can be used to assess the direct effect of railway and road construction for other Russian regions. The proposed simulation model will be further expanded by including further distribution functions of scenario variables and additional structural relationships.
评估基础设施项目对领土的影响的问题是有争议的。今天已经积累了建模经验,精心设计的宏观经济模型可以确定运输发展指标与经济增长之间的因果关系。本文的目标是定义一个模拟模型来评估交通项目对克拉斯诺达尔边疆区经济增长的影响,以克里米亚大桥项目为例。这一科学问题的解决需要考虑到所考虑的区域社会和经济系统框架内的不同因素和复杂的相互关系,使用系统分析的方法和经济和数学模拟的工具。仿真模型反映了资金管理政策、公路运输货物周转量、与刻赤直桥建设直接相关的公路运输货物周转量、与刻赤直桥建设直接相关的铁路运输货物运输量、铁路运输货物运输量等场景参数。利用计量经济学方法建立了模型各参数之间的相互关系。根据所产生的情景,由于与克里米亚大桥运营相关的运输增量,克拉斯诺达尔边疆区GRP的额外增量的预期中位数在0.97%至1.1%之间。最保守的情景假定中值为0.97%,下限为0.8%。该工具可用于评估铁路和公路建设对俄罗斯其他地区的直接影响。提出的仿真模型将进一步扩展,包括场景变量的进一步分布函数和额外的结构关系。
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引用次数: 0
The Environmental Assessment of Urban Agglomerations on the Basis of Sustainable Development Indicators 基于可持续发展指标的城市群环境评价
Pub Date : 2019-07-01 DOI: 10.15688/JVOLSU3.2019.2.13
E. Ivantsova, M. Postnova, V. Sagalaev, A. Matveeva, A. Kholodenko
The article discusses the indicators of sustainable development given from the standpoint of the classical concept of sustainable development. The methods used are analyzed to identify criteria for sustainable development. The indicators of sustainable development have been known and developed for a long time. However, their development did not take into account the regional fix, which would allow creating a permanent set of the most representative indicators for a certain territory. Volgograd and Rostov agglomerations are chosen as objects. A complex analysis of the regional indicators of sustainable development is carried out taking into account physiographic, climatic, sectoral features, the economicpotential and ecological well-being of Volgograd and Rostov agglomerations. The work assesses the ecological and economic sustainability of the agglomerations under study, which allows to give the comparative analysis of the territory development predictive models. Today, it is still too early to talk about the effectiveness of achieving criteria for sustainable development in urban agglomerations. The accepted methods cannot be considered effective due to the fact that the efforts of all areas of management are needed. In the forecast, we can talk about a slight increase in the stability of Rostov agglomeration due to capital inflows. Taking into account current trends, Volgograd agglomeration can face a gradual decrease in sustainability requiring an immediate intervention.
本文从可持续发展的经典概念出发,探讨了可持续发展的指标。分析了所使用的方法,以确定可持续发展的标准。可持续发展的指标已经被认识和发展了很长时间。但是,这些指标的发展没有考虑到区域固定指标,这种固定指标可以为某一领土建立一套永久性的最具代表性的指标。伏尔加格勒和罗斯托夫城市群被选为对象。考虑到伏尔加格勒和罗斯托夫城市群的地理、气候、部门特征、经济潜力和生态福利,对可持续发展的区域指标进行了复杂的分析。这项工作评估了所研究的城市群的生态和经济可持续性,从而可以对领土发展预测模型进行比较分析。今天,谈论在城市群实现可持续发展标准的有效性还为时过早。公认的方法不能被认为是有效的,因为需要所有管理领域的努力。在预测中,我们可以说,由于资本流入,罗斯托夫集聚的稳定性略有提高。考虑到目前的趋势,伏尔加格勒集聚可能面临可持续性逐渐下降,需要立即干预。
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引用次数: 0
The System Approach and Problems of Modeling Natural-Technogenic Safety 自然-技术安全建模的系统方法及问题
Pub Date : 2019-07-01 DOI: 10.15688/JVOLSU3.2019.2.14
Y. Dadaev, Samart Hazhmuradova
The paper substantiates the necessity of using the system analysis as an effective tool for studying security problems, in particular the problems of ensuring natural and man-made safety, in the study of natural and anthropogenic threats. The article shows the interrelation and interdependence of natural and man-made safety factors, which is confirmed at the fundamental level today. The article identifies the main types of natural- anthropogenic hazards, such as those of natural, man-made, social character. To study the problems of natural and man-made safety, the model of an ecological-technogenic system is proposed, which adequately reflects the main processes that determine the problems of natural and man-made safety; the specificity of the system approach to problems of natural and man-made safety is determined. This model allows us to classify the risks of the complex system operation. The article, using the methodology of system analysis, highlights the most important methodological principles to be followed when exploring ecological and man-made systems as well. They are: the principle of optimal simplicity, the principle of social responsibility, the principle of interdisciplinarity of the ecological-technogenic system, the principle of objectivity, the principle of hierarchy of goals, the principle of values and “economic realism”, the principle of analysing of constantly developing systems, the principle of system synthesis. The author formulates the main stages of the system analysis of natural and technological safety problems. The author concludes that developing the fundamentals of risk-based analysis of emergency situation consequences requires a special attention.
本文论证了在自然威胁和人为威胁的研究中,将系统分析作为研究安全问题,特别是确保自然和人为安全问题的有效工具的必要性。文章说明了自然安全因素和人为安全因素之间的相互关系和相互依存关系,这在今天的基础层面上得到了证实。本文明确了自然灾害、人为灾害、社会灾害等自然灾害的主要类型。为研究自然安全与人为安全问题,提出了充分反映决定自然安全与人为安全问题的主要过程的生态-技术系统模型;确定了系统方法解决自然和人为安全问题的特殊性。该模型使我们能够对复杂系统运行的风险进行分类。本文运用系统分析的方法论,强调了在探索生态系统和人为系统时应遵循的最重要的方法论原则。它们是:最优简洁性原则、社会责任原则、生态技术系统的跨学科性原则、客观性原则、目标层次性原则、价值与“经济现实主义”原则、对不断发展的系统进行分析原则、系统综合原则。提出了自然安全问题和技术安全问题系统分析的主要阶段。提交人的结论是,需要特别注意发展基于风险的紧急情况后果分析的基本原则。
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引用次数: 0
Social Partnership as a Tool to Improve the Competitiveness of High School Graduates with Disabilities in the Labor Market 社会伙伴关系是提高高中残疾毕业生在劳动力市场竞争力的工具
Pub Date : 2019-03-01 DOI: 10.15688/JVOLSU3.2019.1.7
I. Litvinenko, Pavel Tukarev
Purpose. This article is devoted to the issues of ensuring the competitiveness of persons with disabilities in the modern labor market. The aim is to develop an effective mechanism to promote employment of persons with disabilities on the basis of social partnership. In the course of the research, the authors analyzed the main problems arising in the process of employment of graduates with limited opportunities for health, identified the advantages of an inclusive educational model that allows, unlike the traditional approach, not only to provide comprehensive quality training in various professional fields, but also the accelerated integration of persons with disabilities into the labor sphere and public life, which is one of the most important criteria for the effectiveness of the educational process. Materials and methods. During the preparation of this article, the authors used scientific works that reveal the issues of employment of persons with disabilities, research experts in the field of inclusive education and improve the competitiveness of graduates with disabilities. The authors used the methods of scientific cognition, comparison, analysis, and system approach as the main research methods. Results. As the main results of the study, a structural and logical scheme of the Unified Federal Center for the promotion of employment of persons with disabilities in the territory of the Russian Federation was formed, using the advantages of social partnership. The scheme developed by the authors is a universal mechanism that promotes the activation of the process of socialization of this group of citizens and the intensification of the involvement of the human capital of persons with disabilities in the socio-economic processes of our country. Conclusion. The article outlines the possible ways to improve the effectiveness of social partnership as a system of institutions and mechanisms aimed at harmonizing the interests of the three main parties – the State, the employer and the employee interested in finding effective ways to attract persons with disabilities to the economy.
目的。本文专门讨论确保残疾人在现代劳动力市场上的竞争力的问题。其目的是建立一个有效的机制,在社会伙伴关系的基础上促进残疾人的就业。在研究过程中,作者分析了卫生机会有限的毕业生就业过程中出现的主要问题,确定了包容性教育模式的优势,与传统方法不同,这种模式不仅可以在各个专业领域提供全面的素质培训,还可以加速残疾人融入劳动领域和公共生活。这是衡量教育过程有效性的最重要标准之一。材料和方法。在本文的编写过程中,作者利用科学著作揭示了残疾人就业问题,研究了全纳教育领域的专家,提高了残疾毕业生的竞争力。本文采用科学认知法、比较法、分析法和系统研究法作为主要研究方法。结果。作为这项研究的主要成果,利用社会伙伴关系的优势,形成了促进俄罗斯联邦境内残疾人就业的统一联邦中心的结构和逻辑方案。作者制定的方案是一种普遍机制,促进激活这一公民群体的社会化进程,并加强残疾人人力资本对我国社会经济进程的参与。结论。这篇文章概述了提高社会伙伴关系作为一种体制和机制的效力的可能方法,其目的是协调三个主要方面的利益- -国家、雇主和有兴趣寻找吸引残疾人参与经济的有效途径的雇员。
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引用次数: 0
Tools Improvement for Stimulating Investment Attractiveness of the Energy Complex of Russia 提高俄罗斯能源综合体投资吸引力的手段改进
Pub Date : 2019-03-01 DOI: 10.15688/jvolsu3.2019.1.9
I. Rykova, D. Taburov
The article deals with the investment forecast for the energy sector of Russia in the long term for the period up to 2030, analyzes the dynamics and identifies cause-effect relationships. The hypothesis of growth of investment attractiveness is formed on the basis of revenue assessment of the largest companies of the fuel and energy complex of Russia. The authors describe the possibilities for the use of financial instruments for the development of the real sector of the economy. The indicators of evaluating the effectiveness of investment projects in the field of oil exploration and production are given. The potential of the world leaders in the field of oil supply to the international energy market is studied. Methods, forms and sources of financing of the real sector of economy are defined. The measures to stimulate economic growth and increase the investment attractiveness of the studied industry are recommended. The analysis of the oil and gas complex is carried out on the following economic indicators: criteria of return on capital and sales, coefficients of business activity, financial leverage, liquidity and capitalization of assets of companies operating in a single industry. This made it possible to identify inefficient producers of raw materials whose investment strategies are in dire need of adjustment and optimization of sources of financing. As a result of the study, proposals are formulated to redistribute investments into more profitable segments of the extractive industry, to combine the mechanisms of taxation of mineral extraction with the extraction of economic benefits from the expansion of the range of export duties levied on foreign trade operations.The article traces the economically significant idea of the need to modernize infrastructure organizations, the construction of new facilities in the activities of generating industries based on the optimization of investment flows in the companies of the real sector of the economy. As a result of the research, the authors substantiate the proposals for linking the economic growth of the country with the processes of investment in oil production and exploration taking into account the elimination of imbalances in the structure of revenue and capital.
本文论述了俄罗斯能源部门到2030年的长期投资预测,分析了动态并确定了因果关系。投资吸引力增长的假设是在对俄罗斯最大的燃料和能源综合体公司的收入评估的基础上形成的。作者描述了利用金融工具发展实体经济部门的可能性。给出了评价石油勘探生产领域投资项目有效性的指标。研究了世界领导人在向国际能源市场供应石油方面的潜力。明确了实体经济融资的方式、形式和来源。提出了刺激经济增长、提高产业投资吸引力的措施。对石油和天然气综合体的分析是根据以下经济指标进行的:资本和销售回报率标准,业务活动系数,财务杠杆,流动性和单一行业公司的资产资本化。这样就有可能查明效率低下的原材料生产者,他们的投资战略急需调整和优化资金来源。这项研究的结果是拟订了一些建议,以便将投资重新分配到采掘业中较有利可图的部分,将矿物开采征税机制与从扩大对外贸业务征收的出口关税范围中获取经济利益结合起来。文章追溯了经济上重要的理念,即需要现代化的基础设施组织,在基于优化实体经济部门公司投资流动的基础上,在产生产业的活动中建设新的设施。作为研究的结果,作者证实了将该国的经济增长与石油生产和勘探投资过程联系起来的建议,同时考虑到消除收入和资本结构的不平衡。
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引用次数: 3
Reindustrialization of Old Industrial Regions in the South of Russia: Trends, Potential, Risks 俄罗斯南部老工业区再工业化:趋势、潜力与风险
Pub Date : 2019-03-01 DOI: 10.15688/JVOLSU3.2019.1.2
I. Mitrofanova, O. Chernova
In modern conditions, re-industrialization in Russia is aimed at leveling the trend of reducing the share of the manufacturing industry in the GRP of a number of old-industrial regions in recent years due to the implementation of the strategy of restoring the leading role of industry, transition to a new technological structure, the formation of productive forces. The article deals with the problem of modernizing the economy of the old industrial regions of the South of Russia based on the restoration of the industrial sector of the economy on a modern technological basis. It was noted that during the years of market reforms in the South Russian regions (Rostov, Volgograd, Astrakhan regions) almost all mining enterprises were closed, the activities of many enterprises of mechanical engineering, machine-tool construction, instrument engineering, enterprises for the production of bearings, fabrics, footwear were curtailed, which led to the destruction of existing industrial chains and provoked a new liquidation of production in other regions, the loss of its southern industry positions in the structure of the national economy. The main trends in the industrial development of the South Russian regions, which are reflected in a change in the distribution of economic activity and population in space, as well as in a change in the properties of the economic space of the region, are identified. The specific development factors are defined. They include multistructured regional economy and high dependence on economic instability factors in neighboring countries. It was concluded that it is necessary to move from the implementation of point projects to a comprehensive solution of the problems of structural imbalance in the regional economy related to increasing the capitalization level of the industrial modernization potential. The authors concluded that the strategy of re-industrialization should be based on the priority development of industrial production, allowing to enhance synergistic effects through a rational combination of the economic potentials of industrial production in central and peripheral territories of southern Russia.
在现代条件下,俄罗斯的再工业化旨在通过实施恢复工业主导地位的战略,向新的技术结构转型,形成新的生产力,扭转近年来一些老工业区制造业在国内生产总值中所占比重下降的趋势。本文讨论了在现代技术基础上恢复俄罗斯南部工业经济部门的基础上实现俄罗斯南部老工业区经济现代化的问题。有人指出,在俄罗斯南部地区(罗斯托夫,伏尔加格勒,阿斯特拉罕地区)的市场改革期间,几乎所有的采矿企业都关闭了,许多机械工程,机床制造,仪器工程,生产轴承,织物,鞋类的企业的活动受到限制,这导致了现有产业链的破坏,并在其他地区引发了新的生产清算。其南方工业在国民经济结构中地位的丧失。确定了俄罗斯南部地区工业发展的主要趋势,这些趋势反映在经济活动和人口在空间上的分布变化以及该地区经济空间性质的变化中。明确了具体的发展因素。它们包括多结构的区域经济和对邻国经济不稳定因素的高度依赖。会议的结论是,有必要从实施点项目转向全面解决与提高工业现代化潜力的资本化水平有关的区域经济结构不平衡问题。作者的结论是,再工业化战略应以优先发展工业生产为基础,通过合理结合俄罗斯南部中部和周边地区工业生产的经济潜力来增强协同效应。
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引用次数: 3
Formation of the Knowledge Economy in Russia: Problems and Solutions 俄罗斯知识经济的形成:问题与对策
Pub Date : 2019-03-01 DOI: 10.15688/JVOLSU3.2019.1.6
I. Karnaukh
For humanity, the 21st century is marked by a transition to a new technological order, which is characterized by giving great importance to management technologies and the development of non-productive areas of activity (science, education, health care, culture). This transition coincides with the transition to a knowledge economy, for which knowledge, innovation and human capital are of paramount importance. For Russia, the study of the problems of the formation and development of the knowledge economy is particularly relevant. According to a number of researchers, it is too early to talk about the formation of the knowledge economy in Russia. The author highlights the list of problems hindering the development of the knowledge economy in our country, namely: low level of R&D funding, low share of domestic R&D costs in GDP, significant predominance of public funds in the structure of R&D sources of funding, imbalance in the financing of fundamental and applied scientific research, the preservation of negative growth rates of the main indicators of postgraduate and doctoral studies, “brain drain” and “ideas leakage”, the absence of a common conception for the development of education, the inconsistency of the education system with the requirements of the labor market, a drop in the quality of school and higher professional education, an insufficient level of funding for education in Russia, and the problem of professional selection in pedagogical universities. The present article sets out the author’s view on solving these problems. In particular, the author argues that to tackle the problem of insufficient funding for science and education in Russia, it is necessary to create such mechanisms that would, on the one hand, diversify the sources of funding for science and education, and on the other hand, let the State to play the main role in these areas.
对人类来说,21世纪的标志是向新的技术秩序过渡,其特点是非常重视管理技术和发展非生产性活动领域(科学、教育、保健、文化)。这一转变与向知识经济的转变不谋而合,知识、创新和人力资本对知识经济至关重要。对俄罗斯来说,研究知识经济的形成和发展问题尤为重要。许多研究人员认为,现在谈论俄罗斯知识经济的形成还为时过早。作者着重指出了阻碍我国知识经济发展的一系列问题,即:研发经费水平低,国内研发成本占GDP比重低,公共资金在研发经费来源结构中明显占主导地位,基础科学研究和应用科学研究经费投入不平衡,研究生和博士主要指标保持负增长,“人才流失”和“理念流失”,缺乏共同的教育发展理念。教育制度与劳动力市场的要求不一致,学校和高等职业教育质量下降,俄罗斯教育经费不足,以及师范大学的专业选择问题。本文阐述了笔者对解决这些问题的看法。作者特别指出,为了解决俄罗斯科学和教育经费不足的问题,有必要建立这样一种机制,一方面使科学和教育经费来源多样化,另一方面使国家在这些领域发挥主要作用。
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引用次数: 3
Foresight Technology for the Development of Competitive Advantages of Resort-Recreational Clusters 度假休闲集群竞争优势发展的前瞻技术研究
Pub Date : 2019-03-01 DOI: 10.15688/JVOLSU3.2019.1.3
M. Oborin, Svetlana Tsekhla
The aim of the study is to adapt the foresight technology to the development of competitive advantages of resort and recreational clusters. The cluster approach has positively proved itself in increasing the efficiency of management of territories with resort and recreational specialization, the formation of prerequisites for the successful functioning of the infrastructure of medical and health tourism, in which the basis is the regional sanatorium and resort complexes.The expediency of application of foresight technology as an innovative method is based on the experience of modeling of socio-economic space. The principal difference is the system of goal-setting, which is the basis of expert activities, optimization and transformation of the potential of the territories. The advantage of using foresight technology in the formation of competitive clusters of the Republic of Crimea is the possibility of building a network approach, overcoming the natural economic cycle due to the Russian experience of program-target and innovative programming.The use of foresight technology will contribute to the accelerated pace of development of health clusters in the Republic of Crimea and will have a positive impact on the socio-economic growth of the region.
研究的目的是将前瞻技术应用于度假娱乐集群竞争优势的发展。集群办法积极地证明了它的作用,它提高了度假区和娱乐专门化领土的管理效率,形成了医疗和保健旅游基础设施成功运作的先决条件,其基础是区域疗养院和度假区综合设施。基于社会经济空间建模的经验,前瞻性技术作为一种创新方法应用的方便性。主要区别在于目标设定系统,这是专家活动、优化和转化领土潜力的基础。在克里米亚共和国形成竞争性集群中使用前瞻性技术的优势在于,由于俄罗斯在方案目标和创新方案方面的经验,有可能建立一个网络方法,克服自然经济周期。使用前瞻性技术将有助于加快克里米亚共和国保健集群的发展步伐,并将对该区域的社会经济增长产生积极影响。
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Vestnik Volgogradskogo Gosudarstvennogo Universiteta Serija 1 Mathematica Physica
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