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Joint Routing and Pricing Control in Bimodal Mixed Autonomy Networks with Elastic Demand and Three-Dimensional Passenger Macroscopic Fundamental Diagram 具有弹性需求和三维乘客宏观基本图的双模混合自治网络中的联合路由和定价控制
Pub Date : 2024-06-03 DOI: 10.1177/03611981241243080
Mohammadhadi Mansourianfar, Ziyuan Gu, M. Saberi
The interaction between mixed autonomy traffic and public transport vehicles competing for limited road space is a less explored area of research. To evaluate the traffic dynamics in bimodal networks, a three-dimensional (passenger) network fundamental diagram, known as 3D-NFD (3D-pNFD), can be estimated that relates the accumulation of cars (autonomous and human-driven) and buses to the network vehicular (passenger) travel production. In this study, we propose a 3D-pNFD-based congestion pricing scheme considering three vehicle classes of buses, system-optimal (SO) seeking connected and automated vehicles (CAVs), and user-equilibrium (UE) seeking human-driven vehicles (HVs). We develop an iterative tri-level modeling framework for mode choice, pricing, and route choice in a mixed autonomy network. The lower level generates mixed equilibrium traffic flow through an integrated mixed equilibrium simulation-based dynamic traffic assignment model and a transit assignment model. The mid-level finds the optimal toll rates through a 3D-pNFD feedback-based controller. A nested logit-based mode choice model is also applied to capture travelers’ preferences toward three available modes and incorporates elastic demand. To encourage CAVs to follow the SO routing mode, they are provided with a discount on the congestion toll whereas UE-seeking HVs are subject to full price toll. Buses are also entirely exempt from the toll. We explore three scenarios with different discount rates on SO-seeking CAVs to investigate the effect of the incentive plans on the mode choice behaviors of road users in the pricing zone. The performance of the proposed model is evaluated in a large-scale network in Melbourne, Australia.
混合自主交通与公共交通车辆争夺有限道路空间之间的相互作用是一个探索较少的研究领域。为了评估双模网络中的交通动态,可以估算出三维(乘客)网络基本图,即三维-NFD(3D-pNFD),它将小汽车(自动驾驶和人工驾驶)和公交车的积累与网络车辆(乘客)出行产量联系起来。在本研究中,我们提出了一种基于 3D-pNFD 的拥堵定价方案,该方案考虑了公交车、寻求系统最优(SO)的互联和自动驾驶车辆(CAVs)以及寻求用户均衡(UE)的人工驾驶车辆(HVs)这三种车辆类别。我们为混合自动驾驶网络中的模式选择、定价和路线选择开发了一个三层迭代建模框架。下层通过基于混合平衡模拟的动态交通分配模型和公交分配模型生成混合平衡交通流。中层通过基于 3D-pNFD 反馈的控制器找到最佳收费率。此外,还采用基于嵌套 logit 的模式选择模型来捕捉旅客对三种可用模式的偏好,并将弹性需求纳入其中。为鼓励 CAV 采用 SO 路线模式,为其提供了拥堵费折扣,而寻求 UE 的 HV 则需支付全价通行费。巴士也完全免收通行费。我们探讨了三种对寻求 SO 的 CAV 采用不同折扣率的方案,以研究激励计划对收费区内道路使用者模式选择行为的影响。我们在澳大利亚墨尔本的一个大型网络中对所提议模型的性能进行了评估。
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引用次数: 0
STC-PSSA: A New Model of Traffic Flow Forecasting Based on Spatiotemporal Convolution and Probabilistic Sparse Self-Attention STC-PSSA:基于时空卷积和概率稀疏自注意力的交通流预测新模型
Pub Date : 2024-06-03 DOI: 10.1177/03611981241252146
Hong Zhang, Linbiao Chen, Xijun Zhang, Jie Cao
Traffic flow forecasting is the foundation of the dynamic control and application of intelligent transportation systems (ITS). It is also of significant practical value in alleviating road congestion. Given the periodic and dynamic changes in traffic flow and the spatiotemporal coupling interaction of complex road networks, traffic flow forecasting is challenging and rarely yields satisfactory prediction results. To capture the dynamic spatiotemporal characteristics of traffic flow, a new model of traffic flow forecasting based on spatiotemporal convolution and probabilistic sparse self-attention (STC-PSSA) is proposed. It consists of a spatiotemporal graph convolution network (ST-GCN) module, a spatiotemporal convolution module (ST-Conv), and a probabilistic sparse attention module (PSSA). ST-GCN consists of the gated temporal convolutional network (G-TCN) and the graph convolution network (GCN), which are used to capture the temporal dependence and spatial correlation of the traffic flow, respectively. Multiple ST-GCNs are stacked to handle spatial features at various time levels. The ST-Conv captures intricate temporal dependence at the same location and dynamic spatial features at neighboring locations simultaneously. The PSSA combines dynamic spatiotemporal features and performs long-term forecasting efficiently. The experimental results demonstrate that the STC-PSSA model can accurately extract the dynamic spatiotemporal characteristics of traffic flow and outperforms the popular baseline methods in forecasting accuracy.
交通流量预测是智能交通系统(ITS)动态控制和应用的基础。它在缓解道路拥堵方面也具有重要的实用价值。鉴于交通流的周期性动态变化和复杂道路网络的时空耦合相互作用,交通流预测极具挑战性,很少能获得令人满意的预测结果。为了捕捉交通流的动态时空特征,我们提出了一种基于时空卷积和概率稀疏自注意(STC-PSSA)的交通流预测新模型。该模型由时空图卷积网络(ST-GCN)模块、时空卷积模块(ST-Conv)和概率稀疏关注模块(PSSA)组成。ST-GCN 包括门控时空卷积网络 (G-TCN) 和图卷积网络 (GCN),分别用于捕捉交通流的时间依赖性和空间相关性。多个 ST-GCN 堆叠在一起,可处理不同时间级别的空间特征。ST-Conv 可同时捕捉同一地点错综复杂的时间依赖性和相邻地点的动态空间特征。PSSA 结合动态时空特征,有效地进行长期预测。实验结果表明,STC-PSSA 模型能准确提取交通流的动态时空特征,在预测精度上优于常用的基线方法。
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引用次数: 0
Answers to Your Resistivity Questions and Helpful Findings to Develop a Robust Resistivity Specification 电阻率问题解答以及有助于制定可靠电阻率规范的有用结论
Pub Date : 2024-05-23 DOI: 10.1177/03611981241243330
Jagan Gudimettla, Josh Brinegar, Mike Praul, Jim Grove, Bob Conway
Many states are currently in the process of evaluating the use of surface resistivity (SR) or bulk resistivity (BR) tests to assess permeability of concrete in lieu of the standard test method for electrical indication of concrete’s ability to resist chloride ion penetration (AASHTO T 277 and ASTM C1202) which is commonly referred to as the rapid chloride permeability test (RCPT). A few states, such as Louisiana and Maine, implemented resistivity testing in their specifications many years ago. As with any test method implementation, it is important to learn from data generated and experience gained to further refine the specifications in respect of both testing protocols and the specification limits. In this paper, the Federal Highway Administration’s Mobile Concrete Technology Center SR and BR data from 30 field projects in 25 states is analyzed to provide information that could be helpful to agencies as they specify or improve their specifications with respect to resistivity testing. This paper attempts to answer questions related to 1) change in resistivity testing results with age, 2) range and variability of resistivity data from mainline paving mixtures, 3) comparison of test results between SR and BR data, 4) comparison of resistivity data gathered with equipment from various vendors, and 5) use of 28 versus 56 day data.
目前,许多州正在评估使用表面电阻率 (SR) 或体积电阻率 (BR) 测试来评估混凝土的渗透性,以取代用于电学指示混凝土抗氯离子渗透能力的标准测试方法(AASHTO T 277 和 ASTM C1202),即通常所说的快速氯离子渗透性测试 (RCPT)。路易斯安那州和缅因州等少数几个州多年前就在其规范中实施了电阻率测试。与任何测试方法的实施一样,重要的是从产生的数据和获得的经验中学习,以进一步完善测试协议和规范限制方面的规范。本文分析了联邦公路管理局移动混凝土技术中心 SR 和 BR 在 25 个州的 30 个现场项目的数据,以提供有助于各机构指定或改进电阻率测试规范的信息。本文试图回答以下相关问题:1)电阻率测试结果随龄期的变化;2)主线摊铺混合物电阻率数据的范围和可变性;3)SR 和 BR 数据之间测试结果的比较;4)使用不同供应商设备收集的电阻率数据的比较;5)28 天与 56 天数据的使用。
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引用次数: 0
Bi-Objective Battery Electric Truck Dispatching Problem with Backhauls and Time Windows 带回程和时间窗口的双目标电池电动卡车调度问题
Pub Date : 2024-05-23 DOI: 10.1177/03611981241246270
Dongbo Peng, Guoyuan Wu, K. Boriboonsomsin
The battery electric truck (BET) has emerged as a promising solution to reduce greenhouse gas emissions in urban logistics, given the current strict environmental regulations. This research explores the formulation and solution of the bi-objective BET dispatching problem with backhauls and time windows, aiming to simultaneously reduce environmental impacts and enhance the efficiency of urban logistics. From the sustainability perspective, one of the objectives is to minimize total energy costs, which include energy consumption and battery replacement expenses. On the other hand, from an economic perspective, the other objective is the minimization of labor costs. To solve this bi-objective BET dispatching problem, we propose an innovative approach, integrating an adaptive large neighborhood search-based metaheuristics algorithm with a multi-objective optimization strategy. This integration enables the exploration of the trade-off between fleet energy expenses and labor costs, optimizing the dispatching decisions for BETs. To validate the proposed dispatching strategy, extensive experiments were conducted using real-world fleet operations data from a logistics fleet in Southern California. The results demonstrated that the proposed approach yields a set of Pareto solutions, showcasing its effectiveness in finding a balance between energy efficiency and labor costs in urban logistics systems. The findings of this research contribute to advancing sustainable urban logistics practices and provide valuable insights for fleet operators in effectively managing BET fleets to reduce environmental impacts while maintaining economic efficiency.
鉴于当前严格的环境法规,电池电动卡车(BET)已成为城市物流中减少温室气体排放的一种有前途的解决方案。本研究探讨了带有回程和时间窗口的双目标 BET 调度问题的提出和解决方法,旨在同时减少对环境的影响和提高城市物流的效率。从可持续发展的角度来看,目标之一是最大限度地降低总能源成本,其中包括能源消耗和电池更换费用。另一方面,从经济角度来看,另一个目标是最大限度地降低劳动力成本。为了解决这个双目标 BET 调度问题,我们提出了一种创新方法,将基于大邻域搜索的自适应元启发式算法与多目标优化策略相结合。通过这种整合,可以探索车队能源支出和劳动力成本之间的权衡,优化 BET 的调度决策。为了验证所提出的调度策略,我们使用南加州物流车队的实际车队运营数据进行了大量实验。结果表明,所提出的方法产生了一组帕累托解决方案,展示了其在城市物流系统中寻求能源效率和劳动力成本之间平衡的有效性。这项研究成果有助于推进可持续城市物流实践,并为车队运营商有效管理 BET 车队提供了宝贵的见解,从而在保持经济效益的同时减少对环境的影响。
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引用次数: 0
Implementation of Progressive Design-Build in Airport Capital Construction Projects 在机场基本建设项目中实施渐进式设计-建设
Pub Date : 2024-05-23 DOI: 10.1177/03611981241249743
Phuong H.D. Nguyen, Daniel Tran, Sid Scott, Linda Konrath
Alternative contracting methods (ACMs) have been increasingly used for airport capital construction projects to explore the opportunity for achieving better cost and time savings than traditional design-bid-build. Progressive design-build (PDB), an emerging variation of design-build, stands out as a promising delivery method that promotes collaboration between project stakeholders. Although PDB has been successfully used across building, water/wastewater, and transit construction sectors, its implementation in the aviation industry is still limited because of legislative considerations, regulatory policies, and funding constraints. A research gap exists in systematically investigating current practices in implementing PDB in airport projects. The main objective of this study is to explore the selection criteria, implementation strategies, success factors, and lessons learned from using PDB for airport capital construction projects. This study employed a triangulation research methodology, including a comprehensive review of PDB guidance and manuals, an industry survey of 39 airports across the U.S., and structured interviews with 12 airport representatives. This study found that the top four criteria for selecting PDB are: flexibility to handle complexity, reducing claims, industry input on constructability, and cost control. The main benefits of using PDB for airport construction projects include improving project schedules, enhancing design control levels, and better management of project complexity and risks. This study contributes to the body of knowledge by providing insights into the current PDB practices for airport capital projects. Lessons learned from implementing PDB can help airport authorities and owners better administer and manage their projects.
与传统的设计-招标-建设相比,机场基本建设项目越来越多地采用替代承包方法(ACMs),以探索更好地节约成本和时间的机会。渐进式设计-建造(PDB)是设计-建造的一种新兴变体,是一种很有前途的交付方法,可促进项目利益相关者之间的合作。虽然渐进式设计-建造已成功应用于建筑、水/污水处理和交通建设领域,但由于立法考虑、监管政策和资金限制,其在航空业的实施仍然有限。在系统调查机场项目实施 PDB 的当前实践方面存在研究空白。本研究的主要目的是探讨在机场基本建设项目中使用 PDB 的选择标准、实施策略、成功因素和经验教训。本研究采用了三角研究方法,包括全面查阅 PDB 指南和手册、对全美 39 个机场进行行业调查,以及对 12 名机场代表进行结构性访谈。该研究发现,选择 PDB 的四大标准是:灵活处理复杂性、减少索赔、行业对可施工性的意见以及成本控制。在机场建设项目中使用 PDB 的主要好处包括改善项目进度、提高设计控制水平以及更好地管理项目复杂性和风险。本研究对当前机场基本建设项目的 PDB 实践进行了深入探讨,为相关知识体系做出了贡献。从实施 PDB 中汲取的经验教训可帮助机场当局和业主更好地管理其项目。
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引用次数: 0
Pozzolanic Reactivity of High-Alkali Supplementary Cementitious Materials and Its Impact on Mitigation of Alkali-Silica Reaction 高碱补充胶凝材料的胶凝反应活性及其对缓解碱硅反应的影响
Pub Date : 2024-05-23 DOI: 10.1177/03611981241246989
Weiqi Wang, James Roberts, Prasad Rangaraju
The growing scarcity of conventional supplementary cementitious materials (SCMs) such as Class F, Class C fly ashes, and slag has necessitated exploring alternative SCMs previously considered suboptimal. In particular, high-alkali SCMs are often avoided because of the potential concern that their alkali content could release into the concrete pore solution, thus exacerbating the potential for alkali-silica reaction (ASR). However, preliminary research indicates that not all high-alkali SCMs are deleterious, and some can effectively suppress the ASR expansive reaction when used in sufficient dosage levels. This study evaluates the feasibility of using high-alkali SCMs, such as high-alkali natural pozzolans and reclaimed fly ashes, focusing on their pozzolanic reactivity and the correlation between the reactivity and their ASR mitigation performance. The pozzolanic reactivity of the SCMs was evaluated by the R3 test per ASTM C1897 and strength activity index test per ASTM C311. Thermogravimetric analysis was used to determine the calcium hydroxide consumption by the SCMs. ASR mitigation performance of SCMs was evaluated in accordance with American Association of State Highway and Transportation Officials (AASHTO) T380 miniature concrete prism test. Additionally, pore solution expression and analysis of paste specimens were conducted to determine the correlation between the total alkali and the released alkali levels into the pore solution. Based on the results of this study, all SCMs indicated high pozzolanic reactivity; however, individual performance varied by test method. Ultimately, the high-alkali SCMs, particularly natural pozzolans, did not appear to release any significant levels of alkalis into the pore solution readily and, therefore, show potential for ASR mitigation when used in sufficient dosage levels.
由于 F 级、C 级粉煤灰和矿渣等传统胶凝补充材料 (SCM) 越来越少,因此有必要探索以前被认为是次优的替代 SCM。尤其是高碱 SCM,由于其碱含量可能会释放到混凝土孔隙溶液中,从而加剧碱硅反应(ASR)的可能性,因此经常被避免使用。不过,初步研究表明,并非所有高碱 SCM 都会造成危害,有些高碱 SCM 在使用足够剂量的情况下可以有效抑制 ASR 膨胀反应。本研究评估了使用高碱 SCM(如高碱天然毛细管和再生粉煤灰)的可行性,重点关注其毛细管反应性以及反应性与 ASR 缓解性能之间的相关性。根据 ASTM C1897 进行的 R3 试验和根据 ASTM C311 进行的强度活性指数试验评估了单质材料的热分解反应性。热重分析用于确定 SCM 的氢氧化钙消耗量。根据美国州公路和交通官员协会 (AASHTO) T380 微型混凝土棱柱测试,对 SCM 的 ASR 缓解性能进行了评估。此外,还进行了孔隙溶液表达和糊状试样分析,以确定总碱和释放到孔隙溶液中的碱含量之间的相关性。根据这项研究的结果,所有单质材料都显示出较高的胶凝反应活性;但是,不同测试方法的单质材料性能各不相同。最终,高碱 SCM(尤其是天然毛细管)似乎不会轻易向孔隙溶液中释放大量碱,因此,在使用足够的剂量水平时,具有减轻 ASR 的潜力。
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引用次数: 0
Improving Effectiveness of the Safety Service Patrol Programs: A Discrete Event-Based Simulation Approach 提高安全服务巡逻计划的效率:基于离散事件的模拟方法
Pub Date : 2024-05-23 DOI: 10.1177/03611981241248652
Junqing Wang, Mecit Cetin, Hong Yang, Kun Xie, Guocong Zhai, Sherif Ishak
Safety service patrols (SSPs) play an important role in incident management on highways. It is critical to respond to incidents in a timely manner as this can significantly reduce nonrecurrent congestion and improve safety. Therefore, it is essential to allocate available SSP vehicles to highway segments such that their effectiveness is maximized. This study aimed to develop a simulation-based framework to assist with SSP service optimization. More specifically, a discrete event-based simulation tool (i.e., SSP-OPT) with customizable parameters was developed to help plan the optimum patrol routes based on available SSP resources and predicted incidents. The developed tool was tested with roadway traffic and incident data from the Virginia highway network. After model calibration, the simulation results showed that the developed SSP-OPT tool could replicate the patrol routes with similar performance to the field observations, validating the tool. Further, adopting the tool for corridor-level optimization could help to identify the best patrol plan to minimize SSP response time and maximize SSP response rates for a given number of SSP vehicles. The SSP-OPT tool requires minimal user input (e.g., segment lengths, annual average daily traffic) and has the flexibility to be easily applied to any highway corridor once calibrated. The tool generates various performance metrics to enable more informed decision making in SSP route planning.
安全服务巡逻队(SSP)在高速公路事故管理中发挥着重要作用。及时应对事故至关重要,因为这可以大大减少非经常性拥堵并提高安全性。因此,必须将可用的 SSP 车辆分配到高速公路路段,使其发挥最大效力。本研究旨在开发一个基于仿真的框架,以帮助优化 SSP 服务。更具体地说,开发了一种基于离散事件的仿真工具(即 SSP-OPT),该工具具有可定制的参数,可根据可用的 SSP 资源和预测的事故帮助规划最佳巡逻路线。利用弗吉尼亚州高速公路网的道路交通和事故数据对所开发的工具进行了测试。在对模型进行校准后,模拟结果表明所开发的 SSP-OPT 工具可以复制巡逻路线,其性能与实地观测结果相似,从而验证了该工具的有效性。此外,采用该工具进行走廊级优化有助于确定最佳巡逻计划,在给定 SSP 车辆数量的情况下,最大限度地缩短 SSP 响应时间并提高 SSP 响应率。SSP-OPT 工具只需最少的用户输入(如路段长度、年平均日交通量),且具有一定的灵活性,在校准后可轻松应用于任何高速公路走廊。该工具可生成各种性能指标,以便在 SSP 路线规划中做出更明智的决策。
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引用次数: 0
Integrated Optimization Model of Lane Function and Signal Control for Tandem Intersections 串联交叉口的车道功能和信号控制综合优化模型
Pub Date : 2024-05-23 DOI: 10.1177/03611981241247168
Zhe Zheng, Kun An, Zicheng Su, Nan Zheng, Wanjing Ma
This paper presents an integrated optimal controller for the tandem intersection with lane function design and signal control, aiming to improve intersection efficiency and service reliability with a multi-objective formulation. The tandem intersection is a type of unconventional intersection that can re-organize the vehicles at entrance lanes with sorting areas, and improve intersection capacity through the coordination of pre-signals and main signals. However, most existing studies related to tandem intersection control assume that the lane functions in the sorting areas for both the through and left-turn movements are the same, and the traffic demand remains static. To fill these gaps, this paper first identifies six different tandem control modes based on the different lane functions and phase sequence schemes in the sorting area, and the corresponding delay models for each mode are derived. Furthermore, an integrated optimization model is developed to minimize the mean and semistandard deviation of the intersection delay, and the Non-dominated Sorting Genetic Algorithm-II is used to obtain the optimal solution. A case study is conducted in a real-world intersection in Melbourne, Australia, under various traffic conditions. The results show that the proposed method can decrease average delay and queue length by 19.61% and 20.94%, respectively, compared with conventional intersection design.
本文提出了一种集成车道功能设计和信号控制的串联交叉口优化控制器,旨在通过多目标表述提高交叉口效率和服务可靠性。串联式交叉口是一种非常规交叉口,它可以将入口车道的车辆与分拣区重新组织起来,并通过预信号和主信号的协调提高交叉口的通行能力。然而,现有的大多数与串联交叉口控制相关的研究都假定通过和左转运动的分拣区车道功能相同,交通需求保持不变。为了填补这些空白,本文首先根据分拣区不同的车道功能和相序方案,确定了六种不同的串联控制模式,并为每种模式推导了相应的延迟模型。此外,还建立了一个综合优化模型,以最小化交叉口延迟的均值和半标准偏差,并使用非支配排序遗传算法-II 获得最优解。在澳大利亚墨尔本的一个实际交叉路口,在各种交通条件下进行了案例研究。结果表明,与传统的交叉口设计相比,所提出的方法可将平均延迟和队列长度分别减少 19.61% 和 20.94%。
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引用次数: 0
Interpretable Machine Learning for Mode Choice Modeling on Tracking-Based Revealed Preference Data 基于跟踪揭示偏好数据的模式选择建模的可解释机器学习
Pub Date : 2024-05-23 DOI: 10.1177/03611981241246973
Victoria Dahmen, S. Weikl, K. Bogenberger
Mode choice modeling is imperative for predicting and understanding travel behavior. For this purpose, machine learning (ML) models have increasingly been applied to stated preference and traditional self-recorded revealed preference data with promising results, particularly for extreme gradient boosting (XGBoost) and random forest (RF) models. Because of the rise in the use of tracking-based smartphone applications for recording travel behavior, we address the important and unprecedented task of testing these ML models for mode choice modeling on such data. Furthermore, as ML approaches are still criticized for leading to results that are hard to understand, we consider it essential to provide an in-depth interpretability analysis of the best-performing model. Our results show that the XGBoost and RF models far outperform a conventional multinomial logit model, both overall and for each mode. The interpretability analysis using the Shapley additive explanations approach reveals that the XGBoost model can be explained well at the overall and mode level. In addition, we demonstrate how to analyze individual predictions. Lastly, a sensitivity analysis gives insight into the relative importance of different data sources, sample size, and user involvement. We conclude that the XGBoost model performs best, while also being explainable. Insights generated by such models can be used, for instance, to predict mode choice decisions for arbitrary origin–destination pairs to see which impacts infrastructural changes would have on the mode share.
模式选择建模对于预测和理解旅行行为至关重要。为此,越来越多的机器学习(ML)模型被应用于陈述偏好和传统的自我记录揭示偏好数据,尤其是极端梯度提升(XGBoost)和随机森林(RF)模型,并取得了可喜的成果。由于使用基于跟踪的智能手机应用程序来记录出行行为的情况日益增多,我们将在此类数据上测试这些用于模式选择建模的 ML 模型,这是一项前所未有的重要任务。此外,由于 ML 方法仍然被批评为导致难以理解的结果,我们认为对表现最佳的模型进行深入的可解释性分析是非常必要的。我们的结果表明,XGBoost 和 RF 模型无论在整体上还是在每种模式上都远远优于传统的多二项 logit 模型。使用 Shapley 加法解释方法进行的可解释性分析表明,XGBoost 模型在整体和模式层面都能得到很好的解释。此外,我们还演示了如何分析单个预测。最后,通过敏感性分析,我们了解了不同数据源、样本大小和用户参与的相对重要性。我们得出的结论是,XGBoost 模型表现最佳,同时也具有可解释性。例如,此类模型产生的洞察力可用于预测任意出发地-目的地对的模式选择决策,以了解基础设施的变化会对模式共享产生哪些影响。
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引用次数: 0
Spatial-Temporal Patterns and Driving Factors of Logistics Carbon Emissions: Case Study of Yangtze River Delta in China 物流碳排放的时空格局与驱动因素:中国长江三角洲案例研究
Pub Date : 2024-05-23 DOI: 10.1177/03611981241242068
Enyan Zhu, Jian Yao, Wenjia Zheng, Chang Sun, Mei Sha
With the growing dependence of human beings on the logistics industry, the trend of logistics carbon emissions (LCEs) growth has become much more serious. To investigate the spatial-temporal pattern of LCEs as well as their driving factors, city-scale LCEs were calculated by combining them with nighttime light remote sensing data. In addition, a spatial panel data model was applied in the case of China’s Yangtze River Delta. The results showed that the overall LCEs performed as a rising trend during 2010–2019. The LCEs of the eastern cities and provincial capitals were significantly higher than those of other cities with obvious spatial agglomerations. For driving factors, the gross domestic product, population size, and proportion of tertiary industry all had significant positive influences on the LCEs. Overall, this study is of great practical significance to accurately obtain information on the spatial-temporal dynamics of LCEs at the city-level scale, so as to facilitate the differentiated implementation of carbon reduction measures.
随着人类对物流业的依赖程度越来越高,物流碳排放(LCEs)的增长趋势也越来越严重。为研究物流碳排放的时空格局及其驱动因素,结合夜间灯光遥感数据计算了城市尺度的物流碳排放。此外,还在中国长江三角洲地区应用了空间面板数据模型。结果表明,在 2010-2019 年期间,总体 LCE 呈上升趋势。东部城市和省会城市的 LCE 明显高于其他空间聚集明显的城市。在驱动因素方面,国内生产总值、人口规模、第三产业比重均对 LCEs 有显著的正向影响。总之,本研究对于准确获取城市尺度的 LCE 时空动态信息,促进差异化碳减排措施的实施具有重要的现实意义。
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引用次数: 0
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Transportation Research Record: Journal of the Transportation Research Board
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