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Aggregation of Idiosyncratic Shocks in the Customer-Supplier Network 顾客-供应商网络中特质冲击的聚合
Pub Date : 2020-07-06 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3644141
Donghyun Kim, Yi Liu
Using customer-supplier networks, we document a strong increase in stock return comovement between customer and supplier after the establishment of their relationship. This increase in comovement is mainly associated with cash flow news and firm-specific information. We find that the idiosyncratic shocks to customers diffuse through the customer-supplier network and aggregate into a systematic risk, which affects suppliers' expected returns. Using a long-short portfolio based on exposure to aggregated customer risk, we realize annual excess returns of 3.1% (value-weighted) and 6.11% (equal-weighted), respectively. The customer risk factor cannot be explained by market, size, book-to-market, or momentum factor. Consistently, we also find a positive relationship between exposure to the customer risk factor and cost of equity capital.
使用客户-供应商网络,我们记录了客户和供应商建立关系后,他们之间的股票回报变动的强劲增长。这种变动的增加主要与现金流量新闻和公司特定信息有关。研究发现,对顾客的特殊冲击在顾客-供应商网络中扩散,并聚集为系统风险,影响供应商的预期回报。使用基于客户总风险敞口的多空投资组合,我们分别实现了3.1%(价值加权)和6.11%(等加权)的年超额回报。客户风险因素不能用市场、规模、账面市值比或动量因素来解释。与此一致的是,我们还发现客户风险因素暴露与权益资本成本之间存在正相关关系。
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引用次数: 0
Influence of Trust, Perceived Ease and Quality of Information Towards Online Shopping Decision 信任、感知便利和信息质量对网上购物决策的影响
Pub Date : 2020-07-03 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3642163
Isfanz Ainu Zillah, Osly Usman
This study aims to determine how the influence of trust, preceived ease quality of information towards online shopping decision. The research was carried out for three months, starting in March to June 2020. The research method used was survey method with approach of causality. The population in this study is the millennial population totaling 200 respondents. Data collection techniques using literature techniques and questionnaires. Data were analyzed using IBM SPSS Statistics 22.0 and AMOS 22.0. All independent variables are influence the dependent variable with critical value ratio (CR), but only one independent variables that accepted with P value. H1 shows that the trust variable has a critical value ratio (CR) of 2.815> 1.96 and a P value of 0.005 < 0.05, so there is an influence between trust and online shopping decisions but the variable cannot be accepted. H2 shows that the ease variable has a critical value ratio (CR) of 4.224> 1.96 and a P value of 0.000 <0.05 then has a positive relationship between ease with online shopping decisions and the variable can be accepted. H3 shows that the quality of information variable has a critical value ratio (CR) of 0.572> 1.96 and a P value of 0.567> 0.05 then has a positive relationship between trust and online shopping decisions but the variable cannot be accepted.
本研究旨在探讨信任、感知及资讯品质对网上购物决策的影响。这项研究从2020年3月到6月进行了三个月。研究方法采用调查法和因果关系法。本研究的人口是千禧一代,共有200名受访者。使用文献技术和问卷调查的数据收集技术。采用IBM SPSS Statistics 22.0和AMOS 22.0对数据进行分析。所有自变量都以临界值比(CR)影响因变量,但只有一个自变量接受P值。H1表示信任变量的临界值比(CR)为2.815>1.96, P值0.005 <0.05,说明信任对网购决策有影响,但变量不能被接受。H2表明ease变量的临界值比(CR)为4.224>1.96且P值为0.000 <0.05,则安逸度与网购决策呈正相关,该变量可以接受。H3表示信息质量变量的临界值比(CR)为0.572>1.96, P值为0.567>0.05则信任与网购决策之间存在正相关关系,但变量不能被接受。
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引用次数: 0
Using Social Media as A Tool for Promoting Festival Tourism 利用社交媒体促进节日旅游
Pub Date : 2020-06-30 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3644862
Pei-Ying Wu
The impact of social media on Tourism has been one of the main topics in tourism research. Many studies discuss and analyze the impact of social media on Tourism. However, less research studied on the impact of social media on specific, like festivals tourism. Festival make people united and the experiences of those participating in festivals can have a significant influence on others and social media provides the perfect channel for sharing their experiences. This research focused on social media factors that influenced visitors in the festival tourism. The study was designed to explored how social media factors impact to festival tourism. The structured interview was conducted to confirm social media factors from secondary data. The results show that social media better use as a search engine tools. For future research it is suggested to conduct quantitative survey to confirm these social media factors which analyzed by this study.
社交媒体对旅游的影响一直是旅游研究的主要课题之一。许多研究讨论和分析了社交媒体对旅游业的影响。然而,很少有研究研究社交媒体对特定的,如节日旅游的影响。节日使人们团结在一起,参与节日的人的经历可以对其他人产生重大影响,社交媒体提供了分享他们经历的完美渠道。本研究主要关注节日旅游中影响游客的社交媒体因素。该研究旨在探讨社交媒体因素对节日旅游的影响。通过结构化访谈,从二手数据中确认社交媒体因素。结果表明,社交媒体更好地用作搜索引擎的工具。对于未来的研究,建议进行定量调查来确认本研究分析的这些社交媒体因素。
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引用次数: 5
Peer Recognition and Content Provision Online 在线对等认可和内容提供
Pub Date : 2020-06-26 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3636513
Xintong Han, Yushen Li, Tong Wang
Abstract This paper provides both theoretical and empirical studies on the incentive effect of peer recognition on online content provision. Our theoretical model illustrates how an influencer strategically reacts to various platform policies. Using unique data from the largest Chinese Question-and-Answer platform, we analyze the content provisions of all the influencers with more than 10,000 followers on the platform over two years. Using an instrumental variable approach, we find that a simple OLS method is likely to under-estimate the incentive of peer recognition for content provision because the reputational and privacy concerns make the badge policies counterproductive. Our findings suggest that while badges in the Q&A platform make it easier for users to identify the quality of an influencer, those badges that include a strong connotation may also limit the content contribution since influencers have concerns about their reputation management and privacy. The paper indicates from an empirical perspective that platforms’ attitudes towards real-name policies may depend on the trade-off between incentives for content creation and content regulation. Policies based on reputation and privacy may have a backlash against policies that encourage traffic.
摘要本文从理论和实证两方面研究了同伴认可对网络内容提供的激励效应。我们的理论模型说明了网红如何对各种平台政策做出战略性反应。我们使用来自中国最大问答平台的独特数据,分析了该平台上拥有超过1万名粉丝的所有网红在两年内的内容规定。使用工具变量方法,我们发现简单的OLS方法可能低估了提供内容的同伴认可的激励,因为声誉和隐私问题使徽章政策适得其反。我们的研究结果表明,虽然问答平台中的徽章让用户更容易识别网红的质量,但那些包含强烈内涵的徽章也可能限制内容的贡献,因为网红会担心他们的声誉管理和隐私。本文从实证角度表明,平台对实名制政策的态度可能取决于内容创作激励与内容监管之间的权衡。基于声誉和隐私的政策可能会对鼓励流量的政策产生反作用。
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引用次数: 0
Do Prime Brokers Matter in the Search for Informed Hedge Fund Managers? 机构经纪人在寻找知情的对冲基金经理中重要吗?
Pub Date : 2020-06-19 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3485354
G. Aragon, Ji-Woong Chung, Byoung Uk Kang
Using the setting of funds of hedge funds (FoFs), we show that prime brokers (PBs) facilitate investors’ search for informed hedge fund managers. We find that FoFs exhibit PB bias, a disproportionate preference for hedge funds serviced by their connected PBs. This PB bias is stronger when the cost of hedge fund due diligence is higher relative to capital and when the FoF’s management firm generates higher prime brokerage fees. PB bias also predicts FoF performance: the highest PB-bias quartile outperforms the rest by 2.08%–2.45% per annum after adjusting for differences in their risks. This paper was accepted by Victoria Ivashina, finance.
利用对冲基金的基金(FoFs)的设置,我们证明了机构经纪人(PBs)有助于投资者寻找知情的对冲基金经理。我们发现fof表现出PB偏好,即对由其关联的PB服务的对冲基金的不成比例的偏好。当对冲基金尽职调查的成本相对于资本较高,以及FoF的管理公司产生较高的大宗经纪费用时,这种PB偏好会更强。PB偏差也能预测FoF的表现:在调整风险差异后,PB偏差最高的四分位数每年的表现比其他四分位数高出2.08%-2.45%。这篇论文被财经的Victoria Ivashina接受。
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引用次数: 1
Using Utilitarian and Rawlsian Policies to Attract the Creative Class: A Tale of Two Cities 运用功利主义和罗尔斯式的政策吸引创意阶层:双城记
Pub Date : 2020-06-10 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3624485
A. Batabyal, S. Yoo
Consider an aggregate economy of two cities. We study the impact that the use of utilitarian and Rawlsian policies by these two cities has on their ability to attract members of the the creative class. We first focus on the case in which both cities adopt utilitarian policies. Second, we analyze the case where both cities implement Rawlsian policies. Third, we study the case where one city uses a Rawlsian policy but the other city pursues a utilitarian policy. Fourth, we compare the policy outcomes in the first and the third cases above and show that if one city switches to a Rawlsian or more egalitarian objective when the other city remains utilitarian, the aggregate economy becomes less egalitarian. Finally, we compare the second and the third cases above and demonstrate that if one city switches to a Rawlsian or more egalitarian objective when the other city remains Rawlsian, the aggregate economy becomes more egalitarian.
考虑两个城市的经济总量。我们研究了这两个城市对功利主义和罗尔斯主义政策的使用对它们吸引创意阶层成员的能力的影响。我们首先关注两个城市都采取功利主义政策的情况。其次,我们分析了两个城市实施罗尔斯政策的案例。第三,我们研究了一个城市采用罗尔斯式政策而另一个城市奉行功利主义政策的情况。第四,我们比较了上述第一种和第三种情况下的政策结果,并表明如果一个城市转向罗尔斯主义或更平等主义的目标,而另一个城市仍然是功利主义的,那么总体经济就会变得更不平等。最后,我们比较了上述第二种和第三种情况,并证明如果一个城市转向罗尔斯的或更平等的目标,而另一个城市仍然保持罗尔斯的目标,那么总体经济就会变得更平等。
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引用次数: 1
Το Διαδίκτυο στην Ελλάδα: Η έρευνα του ΕΚΚΕ για το World Internet Project (The Internet in Greece: Findings from World Internet Project - Greece) ΤοΔιαδίκτυοστηνΕλλάδα:ΗέρευνατουΕΚΚΕγιατο世界互联网项目(互联网在希腊:发现世界互联网项目-希腊)
Pub Date : 2020-05-31 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3620561
N. Demertzis, Charalambos Tsekeris
Greek abstract: Το Εθνικό Κέντρο Κοινωνικών Ερευνών (EKKE) παρακολουθεί συνεχώς τις κοινωνικές και κοινωνιοτεχνολογικές εξελίξεις με στόχο να δώσει ώθηση στη χάραξη πολιτικών βάσει τεκμηρίων και να ανταποκριθεί στην ανάγκη για έγκαιρη και αξιόπιστη πληροφόρηση σχετικά με τη χρήση του διαδικτύου στην Ελλάδα. Ως εκ τούτου, έχει αναλάβει από το 2015 την πρωτοβουλία να διεξάγει μεγάλης κλίμακας έρευνα με κύριο πεδίο μελέτης την καταγραφή της διείσδυσης και των πολλαπλών επιδράσεων των διαδικτυακών υποδομών στην ελληνική κοινωνία, φιλοδοξώντας σε μια επιστημονικά ελέγξιμη και φιλοσοφικά αναστοχασμένη θεώρηση των φαινομένων του ψηφιακού κόσμου μας. Συγκεκριμένα, η εμπειρική δειγματοληπτική έρευνα World Internet Project Greece υλοποιείται από το EKKE και εντάσσεται στη σύμπραξη World Internet Project, μια διεθνή σύμπραξη πανεπιστημίων και ερευνητικών κέντρων που αποτελείται από περισσότερες από 30 χώρες διαφορετικών ηπείρων. Πρόκειται για ένα διεθνές ερευνητικό πρόγραμμα που ξεκίνησε το 1999 και διευθύνεται από το Annenberg School Center for the Digital Future του Πανεπιστημίου της Νότιας Καλιφόρνιας (ΗΠΑ), υπό τον Καθηγητή Jeff Cole. Στην παρούσα έκθεση παρουσιάζονται αναλυτικά τα περιεχόμενα του τελευταίου γύρου του World Internet Project Greece (2019), που αφορούν στην ανάδειξη κρίσιμων ζητημάτων του «ελληνικού διαδικτύου», όπως το ψηφιακό χάσμα, οι χρήσεις και η πληροφοριακή/ψυχαγωγική αξία του διαδικτύου, το κοινωνικό κεφάλαιο και ο βαθμός αξιοπιστίας, ελευθερίας της έκφρασης, πολιτικής επάρκειας, θυματοποίησης και παραβίασης της ιδιωτικότητας.

English abstract: The present study aims to offer a comprehensive presentation of the empirical results of the third wave of the World Internet Project (WIP) nation-wide survey in Greece, which was conducted from the 12th of April to the 23th of May 2019. It involves the main findings of this research wave and explores the development of internet penetration among the Greek population by providing comparative data on several aspects of the respondents’ internet-related behavior between all three WIP waves (2015, 2017, 2019). These aspects pertain to digital use, access and divides, online activities and social capital, internet reliability and fake news, online victimization and privacy, political efficacy and freedom of expression. Data were collected by 1,208 interviews over the phone on a structured questionnaire (based on WIP guidelines and included some additional national questions of theoretical interest) and manually transferred to an online platform using RM+ software and then to statistical analysis software. The dataset was weighted according to the 2011 Population Census and the Labor Force Survey. The paper also offers descriptive presentations of the results analyses as well as charts including mostly relative frequencies and, in some cases, variable means. The relative frequencies and means are included in the charts in order to allow the reader to have a clear overview of
希腊文摘要:国家社会研究中心(EKKE)持续监测社会和社会技术的发展,以促进循证决策,并满足对希腊互联网使用情况的及时可靠信息的需求。因此,自 2015 年以来,它主动开展了大规模研究,主要研究领域是记录互联网基础设施在希腊社会中的渗透情况和多重影响,希望对我们数字世界的现象提出可科学验证和哲学反思的观点。希腊世界互联网项目由 EKKE 实施,是世界互联网项目的一部分。它是 1999 年启动的一个国际研究项目,由美国南加州大学安嫩伯格学院数字未来中心管理,由杰夫-科尔教授负责。本报告详细介绍了最新一轮 "世界互联网项目希腊(2019)"的内容,突出强调了 "希腊互联网 "的关键问题,如数字鸿沟、互联网的用途和信息/娱乐价值、社会资本和可信度、言论自由、政治适当性、受害和隐私侵犯等。英文摘要:本研究旨在全面介绍世界互联网项目(WIP)于2019年4月12日至5月23日在希腊开展的第三波全国性调查的实证结果。报告涉及这一波调查的主要结果,并通过提供三次 WIP 调查(2015 年、2017 年、2019 年)之间受访者互联网相关行为几个方面的比较数据,探讨了互联网在希腊人口中的渗透率发展情况。 这些方面涉及数字使用、访问和鸿沟、在线活动和社会资本、互联网可靠性和假新闻、在线受害和隐私、政治效能和言论自由。数据是通过电话对 1208 名受访者进行结构化问卷调查(基于 WIP 指南,包括一些理论上感兴趣的额外国家问题)收集的,并使用 RM+ 软件手动传输到在线平台,然后再传输到统计分析软件。 数据集根据 2011 年人口普查和劳动力调查进行了加权。本文还提供了对结果分析的描述性介绍以及图表,其中主要包括相对频率和某些情况下的变量平均值。 图表中包括相对频率和平均值,以便读者清楚地了解确切的百分比。
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引用次数: 1
Monitoring Structural Breaks in Dynamic Regression Models with Bayesian Sequential Probability Test 用贝叶斯序列概率检验监测动态回归模型中的结构断裂
Pub Date : 2020-05-21 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3607315
Haixi Li
Structural breaks are pervasive among macroeconomic and financial time series; consequently, forecasts may lose accuracy out of sample, which renders monitoring structural breaks a critical practice. We develop a structural break monitoring scheme, Bayesian Sequential Probability Test (BSPT), for dynamic regression models, which consists of two components: probabilistic detecting statistics, and a sequential stopping procedure. We demonstrate the finite sample property and effectiveness of the BSPT by comparing its performance with that of CUSUM under a variety of DGPs and in a few economic applications.
结构性断裂在宏观经济和金融时间序列中普遍存在;因此,预测可能会失去样本的准确性,这使得监测结构断裂成为一项关键的实践。我们开发了一种结构断裂监测方案,贝叶斯序列概率检验(BSPT),用于动态回归模型,它由两个组成部分组成:概率检测统计和顺序停止过程。通过比较BSPT与CUSUM在各种DGPs和一些经济应用中的性能,我们证明了BSPT的有限样本特性和有效性。
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引用次数: 0
Managing Online Piracy in Platform: Pricing and Platform Protection 管理平台中的网络盗版:定价和平台保护
Pub Date : 2020-05-07 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3594976
Zhiyong Li, Guofang Nan, Minqiang Li, Yong Tan
Most digital content distributed in information-goods platforms encounter the threat of online piracy. Strategic pricing, technology-based platform protection, and deterrent enforcement such as legal and moral measures are viewed as antidotes to piracy. We examine the effects of deterrent enforcement on platform protection and price choices. We develop an analytical model in which the content provider determines the price of content and the platform determines the platform protection. We find that platform protection and deterrent enforcement establish different relationships, depending on the context—complementation in the piracy region, substitution in the threat region with positive platform protection, and independence with zero platform protection in the remaining regions. Surprisingly, when the deterrent enforcement is moderately high, if platform protection is adopted, the optimal price is larger than the monopoly price in the no-piracy region without threat. More surprisingly, in the same deterrent enforcement region, if the platform executes the platform protection, the users, content provider, and platform all will fall into a middle-protection trap. In other words, a “win-win-win” result would arise if the platform gives up its protection.
在信息产品平台上发布的大多数数字内容都面临着网络盗版的威胁。战略定价、基于技术的平台保护以及法律和道德措施等威慑性执法被视为打击盗版的解药。我们研究了威慑执法对平台保护和价格选择的影响。我们开发了一个分析模型,其中内容提供商决定内容的价格,平台决定平台保护。研究发现,平台保护与威慑性执法之间存在不同的关系,在海盗区存在互补关系,在威胁区存在积极平台保护的替代关系,在剩余区存在零平台保护的独立性关系。令人惊讶的是,在威慑力执行适度高的情况下,如果采取平台保护,在无威胁的无盗版区域,最优价格大于垄断价格。更令人惊讶的是,在同一威慑执法区域,如果平台执行平台保护,用户、内容提供商和平台都将陷入中间保护陷阱。换句话说,如果平台放弃保护,就会出现“三赢”的结果。
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引用次数: 0
Stimulating Economic Growth by Unlocking the Nonrival Potential of Data - Review, Synthesis and Directions for Future Research 通过释放数据的非竞争性潜力来刺激经济增长——回顾、综合和未来研究方向
Pub Date : 2020-05-03 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3720114
Stefan Mager, Johann Kranz
Data as a resource has proven to be a game changer for firms. With a growing global data sphere, differences across platforms with exclusive access to big data intensify. Against this background, Jones and Tonetti (2020) model access to big data as an allocation problem for enhancing social welfare. They focus on the nonrivalry of data to show that the same dataset should be available across firms to spur innovation. Yet, this contrasts with the desire for privacy by individuals and the fear of creative destruction by firms. We provide a systematic literature review to inform IS research on options to solve the problem of big data misallocation. Specifically, we synthesize academic progress for improving data-sharing approaches. We show that technological options will be available soon that will let individuals decide to whom they grant access to their data. Such options will allow producing welfare-enhancing outcomes from big data.
数据作为一种资源已经被证明是公司的游戏规则改变者。随着全球数据领域的不断扩大,拥有大数据独占权的平台之间的差异日益加剧。在此背景下,Jones和Tonetti(2020)将大数据的获取建模为提高社会福利的分配问题。他们将重点放在数据的非竞争性上,以表明各公司应该使用相同的数据集来刺激创新。然而,这与个人对隐私的渴望和公司对创造性破坏的恐惧形成了鲜明对比。我们提供了一个系统的文献综述,为解决大数据错配问题的选择提供信息系统研究。具体而言,我们综合了改进数据共享方法的学术进展。我们表明,技术选择将很快可用,这将让个人决定他们授予谁访问他们的数据。这些选项将允许从大数据中产生提高福利的结果。
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引用次数: 3
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Economics of Networks eJournal
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