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Parametric Negations of Probability Distributions and Fuzzy Distribution Sets 概率分布和模糊分布集的参数否定
Pub Date : 2023-09-29 DOI: 10.13053/cys-27-3-4709
Ildar Batyrshin, Imre Rudas, Nailya Kubysheva
Negation of probability distributions (PD) was initially introduced by Yager as a transformation of probability distributions representing linguistic terms like High Price, into probability distributions representing linguistic terms like Not High Price. Further, different negations of PD and formal definitions of negations of probability distributions have been proposed, and several classes of such negations have been studied. Here we give a new look at negators dependent and not dependent on probability distributions. We consider different parametric representations of linear negators and analyze relationships between the parameters of these representations. We introduce a new parametric negation of probability distributions based on the involutive negation of PD. Recently it was proposed to consider probability distributions as fuzzy distribution sets, which paved the way for the extension of many concepts and operations of fuzzy sets on probability distributions. From such a point of view, Yager’s negation of probability distributions is an extension of the standard negation of fuzzy logic, also known as Zadeh’s negation. In this paper, using this approach, we extend the parametric Yager’s and Sugeno’s negation of fuzzy logic on probability distributions and study their properties. Considered parametric negations of probability distributions can be used in the models of probabilistic reasoning.
概率分布的否定(PD)最初是由Yager引入的,将表示高价等语言术语的概率分布转换为表示不高价等语言术语的概率分布。进一步,提出了PD的不同否定和概率分布否定的形式化定义,并研究了这类否定的几类。在这里,我们给出了一个新的观点,负相关和不依赖于概率分布。我们考虑了线性负子的不同参数表示,并分析了这些表示的参数之间的关系。在PD的对合否定的基础上,提出了一种新的概率分布参数否定。最近有人提出将概率分布看作模糊分布集,这为模糊集的许多概念和运算在概率分布上的推广铺平了道路。从这个角度来看,Yager的概率分布否定是模糊逻辑标准否定的延伸,也称为Zadeh否定。本文利用该方法推广了模糊逻辑在概率分布上的参数Yager和Sugeno否定,并研究了它们的性质。概率分布的考虑参数否定可用于概率推理模型。
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引用次数: 0
High-Performance Computing with the Weather Research and Forecasting System Model: A Case Study under Stable Conditions over Mexico Basin 基于天气研究和预报系统模型的高性能计算:以墨西哥盆地稳定条件下为例
Pub Date : 2023-09-29 DOI: 10.13053/cys-27-3-4035
Lourdes P. Aquino-Martinez, Beatriz Ortega Guerrero, Arturo I. Quintanar, Carlos A. Ochoa Moya, Ricardo Barrón-Fernández
This study explores the performance of the Weather Research and Forecasting System Model (WRF v.4.0) for a winter case under stable meteorological conditions in the Mexico Basin. To evaluate the sensitivity to spatial resolution and parameterization configurations, a suite of different numerical experiments is designed to test five Planetary Boundary Layer (PBL) schemes coupled to a Surface Layer parameterization (SL) and a cloud microphysics (MP) parameterization to find an optimal configuration in terms of closeness to physical reality and computational efficiency. The WRF atmospheric dynamics core and its ancillary physics routines constitute a massively parallel FORTRAN code that runs on the Tlaloc cluster at the ICAyCC-UNAM with optimized MPICH software. Two model performance metrics are used: 1) Taylor statistics to measure the distance between simulations and observed meteorological fields (near-surface and upper-level temperature and winds), and 2) CPU execution time. Results show that the Mellor-Yamada-Janjic (M) scheme performs best near the surface at 2.0 km horizontal resolution. However, the Yonsei University (Y) PBL scheme outperforms the M scheme when looking at temperature vertical profiles at the exact horizontal resolution. Both PBL schemes show negligible CPU execution time differences.
本研究探讨了天气研究与预报系统模型(WRF v.4.0)在墨西哥盆地稳定气象条件下冬季案例的表现。为了评估对空间分辨率和参数化配置的敏感性,设计了一套不同的数值实验,测试了五种行星边界层(PBL)方案,这些方案耦合了表层参数化(SL)和云微物理(MP)参数化,以找到最接近物理现实和计算效率的最佳配置。WRF大气动力学核心及其辅助物理例程构成了一个大规模并行FORTRAN代码,该代码在ICAyCC-UNAM的Tlaloc集群上运行,并带有优化的MPICH软件。使用了两个模型性能指标:1)Taylor统计量用于测量模拟与观测到的气象场(近地面和高空温度和风)之间的距离;2)CPU执行时间。结果表明,在水平分辨率为2.0 km时,Mellor-Yamada-Janjic (M)方案在近地表表现最佳。然而,延世大学(Y) PBL方案在精确水平分辨率下观察温度垂直剖面时优于M方案。两种PBL方案的CPU执行时间差异都可以忽略不计。
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引用次数: 0
Multispectral Camera Calibration Using Convolutional Neural Networks 基于卷积神经网络的多光谱相机标定
Pub Date : 2023-09-29 DOI: 10.13053/cys-27-3-4605
Iván A. Juárez Trujillo, Jonny P. Zavala de Paz, Omar Palillero Sandoval, Francisco A. Castillo Velásquez
A methodology for multispectral camera calibration using convolutional neural networks is presented. RGB images were captured from the multispectral camera for each of the standards, the samples are taken under the same lighting conditions and with the same capture angle. The images are fragmented into small matrix sizes added to a specific class, and saved with a special label to distinguish it from the entire class database, the same process takes the remaining 7 Lucideon Std color tiles. One of the tiles will correspond to a particular class with an equal dimension for all classes. Finally, based on the presented methodology, it is possible to calibrate the camera with respect to the references.
提出了一种基于卷积神经网络的多光谱相机标定方法。在相同的光照条件和相同的捕捉角度下,用多光谱相机拍摄各标准的RGB图像。这些图像被分割成小的矩阵大小,添加到一个特定的类中,并保存一个特殊的标签,以区分它与整个类数据库,同样的过程需要剩下的7个Lucideon Std彩色瓷砖。其中一个贴图对应于一个特定的类,所有类的维度都是相等的。最后,基于所提出的方法,可以根据参考标定相机。
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引用次数: 0
Spatiotemporal Bandits Crime Prediction from Web News Archives Analysis 基于网络新闻档案分析的盗匪犯罪时空预测
Pub Date : 2023-09-29 DOI: 10.13053/cys-27-3-4110
Angbera Ature, Huah Yong Chan
It is said that prevention is better than cure. Hence the idea of preventing crime from occurring is the best for public safety. This can only be achieved if the law enforcement agencies have a prior knowledge of where and when a crime will occur. A crime is an act that is criminal under the law. It is detrimental to society to comprehend crime in order to prevent criminal action. In order to prevent and solve crime, data-driven research is beneficial. Bandit crime has been on the rise in Nigeria, thereby causing public disorder. In this study, from the perspective of artificial intelligence, a novel hybrid deep learning model for crime prediction is proposed. Bandits’ crime datasets are obtained online through news archives which are less expensive. Spatial crime analysis was carried out on the novel bandit crime dataset obtained and prediction were made using the newly proposed DECrimeXGBoost model. A comparative analysis was performed with respect to precision, recall, f-measure, and accuracy with other crime predictions algorithms and the proposed model outperformed the other algorithms with accuracy of 99.9999%.
俗话说预防胜于治疗。因此,防止犯罪的发生对公共安全是最好的。只有在执法机构事先知道犯罪将在何时何地发生的情况下,才能做到这一点。犯罪是法律规定的犯罪行为。为了预防犯罪行为而理解犯罪,对社会是有害的。为了预防和解决犯罪,数据驱动的研究是有益的。尼日利亚的土匪犯罪一直在上升,从而造成了公共秩序的混乱。本文从人工智能的角度出发,提出了一种新型的混合深度学习犯罪预测模型。强盗的犯罪数据集是通过新闻档案在网上获得的,这比较便宜。对获得的新型盗匪犯罪数据集进行空间犯罪分析,并使用新提出的DECrimeXGBoost模型进行预测。与其他犯罪预测算法进行了精度、召回率、f-measure和准确性的比较分析,结果表明,所提出的模型以99.9999%的准确率优于其他算法。
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引用次数: 0
Automatic Detection of Vehicular Traffic Elements based on Deep Learning for Advanced Driving Assistance Systems 基于深度学习的高级驾驶辅助系统车辆交通要素自动检测
Pub Date : 2023-09-29 DOI: 10.13053/cys-27-3-4508
Laura Cleofas-Sánchez, Juan Pablo Francisco Posadas-Durán, Pedro Martínez-Ortiz, Gilberto Loyo-Desiderio, Eduardo Alberto Ruvalcaba-Hernández, Omar González Brito
This paper presents a prototype of an automobile driver assistance system based on YOLOv3. The system detects car types, traffic signs, and traffic lights in real-time and warns the driver accordingly. In the learning phase of the YOLO algorithm, the standard weights are learned first, followed by transfer learning to the objects of interest. The retraining phase uses 2,800 images obtained from the Internet of three countries of the real-life, and the testing phase uses real-time videos of Mexico City roads. In the validation phase, the proposed system achieves 95%, 37%, and 40% performance on the compiled dataset for the detection of road elements. The results obtained are comparable and in some cases better than those reported in previous works. Using a Raspberry Pi 4, the prototype was tested in real-life, generating visual and audible warnings for the driver, with an object recognition rate of 0.4 fps. A mean average precision (mAP) of 53% was reached by the proposed system. The experiments showed that the prototype achieved a poor recognition rate and required high computational processing for object recognition. However, YOLO is a model that can have good performance on low-resource hardware.
本文介绍了一种基于YOLOv3的汽车驾驶辅助系统的原型。该系统可以实时检测车辆类型、交通标志、交通信号灯,并向驾驶员发出相应的警告。在YOLO算法的学习阶段,首先学习标准权重,然后对感兴趣的对象进行迁移学习。再训练阶段使用了从三个国家的互联网上获取的2800张现实生活中的图像,测试阶段使用了墨西哥城道路的实时视频。在验证阶段,该系统在已编译的道路元素检测数据集上的性能分别达到95%、37%和40%。所得结果具有可比性,在某些情况下比以前的研究结果更好。使用树莓派4,原型机在现实生活中进行了测试,为驾驶员产生视觉和听觉警告,目标识别率为0.4 fps。该系统的平均精度(mAP)达到53%。实验表明,该原型的识别率较差,对目标识别的计算量要求较高。然而,YOLO是一种可以在低资源硬件上具有良好性能的模型。
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引用次数: 0
A Representation Based on Essence for the CRISP-DM Methodology 基于本质的CRISP-DM方法表示
Pub Date : 2023-09-29 DOI: 10.13053/cys-27-3-3446
Claudia Elena Durango Vanegas, Juan Camilo Giraldo Mejía, Fabio Alberto Vargas Agudelo, Dario Enrique Soto Duran
CRoss Industry Standard Process for Data Mining (CRISP-DM) is a data mining project development methodology that establishes tasks and levels of abstraction, hierarchically structured to facilitate its implementation through a set of actions that help in making decisions. Essence is a theory that helps identify best practices and essential, common, and universal elements to all endeavor in the software development cycle. In the literature, there are different models of representation of the CRISP-DM methodology, such as verbal model, conceptual model, process understanding model, and ontology. However, it considered that these representation models lack the incorporation of some elements, such as, activities, work products, and roles of the CRISP-DM methodology. In this paper we propose a representation based on Essence of the CRISP-DM methodology, incorporating the essential elements that we believe are missing from existing representations. With the representation in Essence that is proposed, the aim is to improve the understanding of best practices and the essential, common, and universal elements of the CRISP-DM methodology for future implementations in data mining projects. In addition, it seeks to validate that Essence can be used in different of data mining projects.
数据挖掘跨行业标准过程(CRISP-DM)是一种数据挖掘项目开发方法,它建立任务和抽象级别,通过一组有助于制定决策的操作来分层结构,以促进其实现。本质是一种理论,它有助于识别软件开发周期中所有努力的最佳实践和基本的、通用的和通用的元素。在文献中,CRISP-DM方法论有不同的表示模型,如语言模型、概念模型、过程理解模型和本体。然而,它认为这些表示模型缺少一些元素的结合,例如活动、工作产品和CRISP-DM方法的角色。在本文中,我们提出了一种基于CRISP-DM方法本质的表示,结合了我们认为现有表示中缺少的基本元素。通过在Essence中提出的表示,目的是提高对最佳实践和CRISP-DM方法的基本、通用和通用元素的理解,以便将来在数据挖掘项目中实现。此外,它试图验证Essence可以在不同的数据挖掘项目中使用。
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引用次数: 0
Improving Sentiment Classification for Hotel Recommender System through Deep Learning and Data Balancing 通过深度学习和数据平衡改进酒店推荐系统的情感分类
Pub Date : 2023-09-29 DOI: 10.13053/cys-27-3-4655
Reza Nouralizadeh Ganji, Chitra Dadkhah, Nasim Tohidi
A recommender system is a type of information filtering system that predicts and recommends items or products to users based on their preferences and past behaviors. It is commonly used in e-commerce and social media to suggest items that a user may be interested in purchasing, reading, watching, or listening to. Sentiment analysis is an area of natural language processing that has emerged as a popular way for organizations to detect and categorize opinions about a product, idea or service. In recent years, many attempts have been made to apply sentiment analysis in designing recommender systems, in order to recommend various items, such as hotels. It is thought that providing a quality hotel suggestion based on the requirements and preferences of users is a challenge and, naturally, alluring effort for tourism applications. In this paper, the quality of decision making for hotel recommender system based on sentiment analysis, deep learning and data balancing techniques has been improve. Multiple approaches are used with our proposed system to provide high-quality hotel recommendations. To achieve this goal, first, the existing dataset is balanced, using the translating and text paraphrasing policy by a transformer-based model called T5. Afterwards, an integrated method, including the transformer-based XLM-RoBERTa model is used along with the attention mechanism for sentiment analysis. The result of the comparison of our proposed model with the four best non-transformer-based models; RNN, GRU, LSTM, Bi-LST, and the most recent transformer-based model, En-RFBERT, on the TripAdvisor dataset showed the superiority of our proposed method. Our propose system beats En-RFBERT by 3%, 7%, and 5% in Macro Precision, Recall, and F1-score, respectively and performs better than En-RFBERT when it comes to responsiveness time.
推荐系统是一种信息过滤系统,它根据用户的偏好和过去的行为来预测和推荐商品或产品。它通常用于电子商务和社交媒体,以建议用户可能有兴趣购买、阅读、观看或收听的物品。情感分析是自然语言处理的一个领域,已经成为组织检测和分类关于产品、想法或服务的意见的一种流行方式。近年来,许多人尝试将情感分析应用于推荐系统的设计中,以推荐各种项目,如酒店。人们认为,根据用户的需求和偏好提供高质量的酒店建议对旅游应用程序来说是一项挑战,自然也是一项诱人的努力。本文对基于情感分析、深度学习和数据平衡技术的酒店推荐系统的决策质量进行了改进。我们提出的系统采用了多种方法来提供高质量的酒店推荐。为了实现这一目标,首先,使用基于转换器的T5模型的翻译和文本释义策略来平衡现有数据集。然后,将基于变压器的XLM-RoBERTa模型与注意力机制结合使用,进行情感分析。将本文提出的模型与四种最佳的非变压器模型进行了比较;RNN、GRU、LSTM、Bi-LST和最新的基于变压器的模型En-RFBERT在TripAdvisor数据集上显示了我们提出的方法的优越性。我们提出的系统在宏观精度、召回率和f1分数上分别比En-RFBERT高出3%、7%和5%,在响应时间上比En-RFBERT表现得更好。
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引用次数: 0
Simulation of Systems with Random Variables for Making Strategic Decisions 具有随机变量的系统策略决策仿真
Pub Date : 2023-09-29 DOI: 10.13053/cys-27-3-4708
María del Consuelo Argüelles Arellano
The simulation of systems with random variables of a discrete or continuous distribution is a very useful technique in many situations in which it is necessary to analyze the behavior of complex systems in which some variables have a probability distribution and behave randomly. This technique is used to model uncertainty and analyze how it affects the behavior of the system, evaluate different scenarios and make decisions based on data, reduce risks and costs associated with the implementation of system changes, identify problems and bottlenecks, improve performance with more efficient and productive results in one system. The simulation of systems with random variables of probabilistic distribution is a very useful technique to model complex systems in which some variables have a discrete or continuous distribution and behave randomly. This technique allows users to evaluate different scenarios, reduce risks, identify problems, improve performance, and make data-driven decisions.
具有离散或连续分布的随机变量系统的模拟在许多情况下是一种非常有用的技术,在这些情况下,需要分析复杂系统中某些变量具有概率分布和随机行为的行为。该技术用于建模不确定性并分析它如何影响系统的行为,评估不同的场景并根据数据做出决策,降低与系统更改的实现相关的风险和成本,识别问题和瓶颈,在一个系统中通过更高效和更多产的结果提高性能。具有概率分布的随机变量系统的仿真是对某些变量具有离散或连续分布且行为随机的复杂系统进行建模的一种非常有用的技术。该技术允许用户评估不同的场景、降低风险、识别问题、提高性能并做出数据驱动的决策。
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引用次数: 0
A Cybersecurity Transaction Energy System Using Multi-Tier Blockchain 基于多层区块链的网络安全交易能源系统
Pub Date : 2023-09-29 DOI: 10.13053/cys-27-3-4071
Juan C. Olivares-Rojas, Enrique Reyes-Archundia, José A. Gutiérrez-Gnecchi
Cybersecurity incidents are becoming more frequent due to the high degree of penetration that information and communication technologies have in our daily lives. One of the critical infrastructures that has benefited the most in recent years from the broad integration of technologies has been the smart grid. Smart metering systems allow, among other things, the monitoring of energy consumption and production readings that are translated into monetary transactions. The tampering and manipulation of the smart meter readings are reflected in economic losses for the utilities and loss of confidence in the end-users. This work presents a cybersecurity architecture based on a multitier blockchain capable of adapting to smart metering systems' architecture through an edge-fog-cloud distributed computing scheme. The proposed architecture is highly scalable to the various components of smart metering systems and improves the performance of blockchains in aspects such as storage and processing. This blockchain uses its own consensus algorithm proof-of-efficiency, which allows benefiting end-users through more efficient use of their energy consumption considering the power quality, the forecast of the demand, and the support for detecting theft and energy fraud. The consensus algorithm uses the same architecture proposed to determine users' rewards through data analytics and machine learning techniques. All of this lays the foundation for a more intelligent, more transactional, and cybersecure metering system. The architecture developed was tested to guarantee the cybersecurity of the transactions carried out in the smart metering systems. The results obtained suggest that using a blockchain architecture allows improving the cybersecurity of smart metering systems and giving end-users greater confidence in their energy transactions, being able to receive better economic incentives by making more efficient use of their energy consumption.
由于信息和通信技术在我们日常生活中的高度渗透,网络安全事件变得越来越频繁。近年来,从广泛的技术集成中受益最大的关键基础设施之一是智能电网。智能计量系统可以监测能源消耗和生产数据,并将其转化为货币交易。对智能电表读数的篡改和操纵反映在公用事业的经济损失和对最终用户的信心丧失上。本研究提出了一种基于多层区块链的网络安全架构,该架构能够通过边缘雾云分布式计算方案适应智能计量系统的架构。所提出的架构可高度扩展到智能计量系统的各个组件,并在存储和处理等方面提高区块链的性能。该区块链使用自己的共识算法效率证明,考虑到电力质量,需求预测以及对检测盗窃和能源欺诈的支持,通过更有效地利用其能源消耗,从而使最终用户受益。共识算法使用相同的架构,通过数据分析和机器学习技术来确定用户的奖励。所有这些都为更智能、更具事务性和网络安全的计量系统奠定了基础。对所开发的体系结构进行了测试,以保证智能计量系统中交易的网络安全。所获得的结果表明,使用区块链架构可以改善智能计量系统的网络安全,并使最终用户对他们的能源交易更有信心,能够通过更有效地利用他们的能源消耗来获得更好的经济激励。
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引用次数: 0
Impact of Bayesian Approach to Demand Management in Supply Chains for the Consumption of Dynamic Products 动态产品消费中贝叶斯方法对供应链需求管理的影响
Pub Date : 2023-06-26 DOI: 10.13053/cys-27-2-4382
José Antonio Taquía Gutiérrez
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引用次数: 0
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