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FACTORS IN THE FORMATION OF SUPER-CYCLES IN WORLD COMMODITY MARKETS 世界商品市场超循环形成的因素
Pub Date : 2022-06-17 DOI: 10.57111/econ.21(2).2022.19-27
I. Hrabynska, M. Kosarchyn
Over the past few years, the world’s leading commodity markets have seen an upward trend in prices, which may indicate the beginning of a new super-cycle or may be of a short-term nature, driven by current changes in demand and supply. Commodity super-cycles are important for the global economy, especially for macroeconomic policies in commodity-exporting countries, and are also reflected in the dynamics of international financial markets. The purpose of the article is to determine the essence and features of super-cycles in world commodity markets as well as to identify the factors that led to the increase in commodity prices in 2020-2022. To solve the objectives set in the article, a number of general scientific and special methods of scientific cognition are used, namely the method of theoretical generalization, historical and logical methods, descriptive-analytical method, analysis and synthesis, induction and deduction, abstractlogical method and method of economic-statistical analysis. The article outlines the mechanism of deployment of the conjunctural cycle in commodity markets and its connection with long cycles of business activity, which are conditioned by the implementation of revolutionary technological innovations. It discusses the dynamics of the main composite commodity indices. The factors influencing the growth of prices for commodity assets at the micro and macro levels are identified. The article traces changes in the course of commodity super-cycles during the 20th and early 21st centuries and investigates their causes. It is revealed that global inflationary processes, the dynamics of the US dollar index as well as the disruption of supply chains in international trade due to the COVID-19 pandemic had a significant impact on the global growth of commodity prices in 2020-2022. At the same time, forecasts about the recession of the global economy caused by the large-scale military aggression of russia in Ukraine and the long-term consequences of the pandemic as well as macroeconomic policies of large economies aimed at overcoming excessive inflation may somewhat cool the prices of commodity assets. To assess the sentiments and expectations of economic entities, the dynamics of the basis for WTI oil is analyzed, which gives grounds to conclude that the price fluctuations in global commodity markets in 2020-2022 are short-term in nature as well as to question the beginning of a new super-cycle. Identification and forecasts of conjunctural fluctuations in global commodity markets are important without any exaggeration for all economic entities – both for producers in making strategic as well as tactical management decisions on the development of production and in the formation of structural and macroeconomic policies of the country in order to increase the export potential of the national economy and to ensure its competitiveness.
在过去几年中,世界主要商品市场的价格出现了上涨趋势,这可能预示着一个新的超级周期的开始,也可能是短期的,受当前需求和供应变化的驱动。商品超级周期对全球经济,特别是商品出口国的宏观经济政策非常重要,也反映在国际金融市场的动态中。本文的目的是确定世界商品市场超级周期的本质和特征,并确定2020-2022年导致商品价格上涨的因素。为了实现本文设定的目标,采用了一些通用的科学和特殊的科学认知方法,即理论概括法、历史和逻辑方法、描述性分析法、分析与综合法、归纳与演绎法、抽象方法和经济统计分析法。文章概述了商品市场中联合循环的部署机制及其与商业活动的长周期的联系,这些活动是以革命性技术创新的实施为条件的。它讨论了主要综合商品指数的动态。确定了微观和宏观层面影响商品资产价格增长的因素。本文追溯了20世纪和21世纪初商品超级周期过程中的变化,并探讨了其原因。据透露,全球通胀进程、美元指数动态以及新冠肺炎疫情导致的国际贸易供应链中断对2020-2022年全球大宗商品价格增长产生了重大影响。与此同时,对俄罗斯对乌克兰的大规模军事侵略造成的全球经济衰退和疫情的长期后果的预测,以及大型经济体旨在克服过度通货膨胀的宏观经济政策,可能会在一定程度上冷却大宗商品资产的价格。为了评估经济实体的情绪和期望,分析了WTI石油基础的动态,这有理由得出结论,2020-2022年全球大宗商品市场的价格波动本质上是短期的,并质疑新的超级周期的开始。识别和预测全球商品市场的联合波动对所有经济实体都非常重要,这一点毫不夸张——无论是对生产商来说,都是对生产发展的战略和战术管理决策,还是对国家结构和宏观经济政策的制定,以增加商品出口潜力国家经济并确保其竞争力。
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引用次数: 0
DIAGNOSIS OF CAPITAL STRUCTURE AS A TOOL FOR ADMINISTERING THE FINANCIAL ACTIVITIES OF ENTERPRISES 资本结构诊断作为管理企业财务活动的工具
Pub Date : 2022-05-29 DOI: 10.57111/econ.21(2).2022.8-18
M. Berest, N. Sablina
The development of market transformations in Ukraine has led to the noticeable changes in the sphere of formation and using enterprise capital. Formation of the optimal capital structure, which allows to combine an increase in financial results with the existing risk level, is the main factor of maintaining effective functioning. In this connection, processes of financial activity administration require rethinking and improving the approaches to diagnosis of financing sources both in the theoretical and practical aspects. The aim of the study is to improve the methodological approaches to the diagnosis of enterprise capital structure as an instrument of justifying and making managerial decisions in financial management system on the basis of theoretical approaches and specifying the definition of the term “enterprise financial activity administration”. Methods of scientific cognition were used in the work, in particular: of system approach, analysis, synthesis, scientific abstraction, generalizing. Methods of financial coefficient analysis and Shuhart’s control charts creation were used to carry out capital structure diagnosis on the example of JSC “Zhytlobud-1” (Kharkiv). The author’s vision of the essence of enterprise financial activity administration as a process of developing and implementing managerial decisions was formed, including formation and use of its capital with the aim of financial strength, profitability and creating conditions for fulfillment of obligations, based on information, diagnostic and analytical support for the realization of managerial procedures. It was concluded that diagnosis of capital structure served as the key element in the system of instruments for the administration of enterprise financial activity. The use of Shuhart‘s control charts for diagnosing the capital structure was proposed, and relevant calculations were carried out on the example of JSC “Zhytlobud-1”, the level of manageability of its capital components was assessed, and key management objects in the structure of the company’s financing sources were identified. The results of the research can be useful for scientists, students of economic specialties of higher educational establishments, managers and employees of financial divisions of enterprises and financial institutions
乌克兰市场转型的发展导致了企业资本形成和使用领域的显著变化。形成最佳资本结构,使财务成果的增加与现有风险水平相结合,是保持有效运作的主要因素。在这方面,金融活动管理过程需要从理论和实践两个方面重新思考和改进资金来源诊断方法。本研究的目的是改进企业资本结构诊断的方法论方法,将其作为在理论方法的基础上证明和制定财务管理系统管理决策的工具,并明确“企业财务活动管理”一词的定义。工作中运用了科学认识的方法,特别是系统方法、分析方法、综合方法、科学抽象方法、概括方法。采用财务系数分析法和Shuhart控制图创建法,以哈尔科夫股份公司“Zhytlobud-1”为例,对其资本结构进行了诊断。作者将企业财务活动管理的本质视为制定和实施管理决策的过程,包括以财务实力、盈利能力和为履行义务创造条件为目标的资本的形成和使用,为实现管理程序提供诊断和分析支持。结果表明,资本结构诊断是企业财务活动管理工具体系中的关键要素。提出了使用Shuhart的控制图来诊断资本结构,并以JSC“Zhytlobud-1”为例进行了相关计算,评估了其资本组成部分的可管理性水平,确定了公司融资来源结构中的关键管理对象。研究结果对科学家、高等教育机构经济专业的学生、企业和金融机构财务部门的管理人员和员工都很有用
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引用次数: 1
Determining the economic sustainability reserve of economic entities in modern operating conditions 确定经济实体在现代经营条件下的经济可持续性储备
Pub Date : 2022-04-20 DOI: 10.57111/econ/2.2023.08
Otenko Vasyl, L. Malyarets, I. Barannik, Oleksii S. Budarin
In complex socio-economic and political conditions, economic entities must have a sufficient level of economic stability and its reserve for normal life activities. Therefore, the problems of assessment and analysis of economic stability and its reserve are urgent and require immediate solution. The purpose of the article was to study the determination of economic sustainability of economic entities, its reserve, substantiation of the logic of the stages of this determination, and the formation of an appropriate analytical tool. In the research process, general scientific and special research methods were used: abstract-logical method, systematic approach, methods of analysis and synthesis, graphic method, method of building an integral taxonomic indicator of development, multi-criteria optimisation, multi-factor regression analysis, genetic algorithm, marginal utility method, cluster analysis. The article presents the selection of a system of economic sustainability indicators for economic entities of the state sector of Ukraine across regions from the point of view of their legislative basis. In order to determine the reserve of economic sustainability of public sector economic entities across the regions, an economic-mathematical model of multi-criteria optimisation of economic sustainability indicators was developed and solved using a genetic algorithm, which is a new analytical support in economics in solving this problem. A new result in economic-mathematical modelling is the method of forming partial criteria in multi-criteria regression dependency optimisation. The article provides a procedure for implementing the marginal utility method for justifying the final single optimal solution of the multi-criteria optimal problem of determining the optimal values of economic sustainability indicators. It has been proven that it is advisable to determine the absolute value of economic sustainability reserve for economic entities in the regions by their clusters, which were obtained on the basis of the system of indicators of economic sustainability and regional gross product per person. The practical significance lies in the fact that such a scientific-methodical approach to determining economic sustainability and its reserve allows for the objective development of management decisions at industrial enterprises to ensure their normal life activities in difficult war and post-war conditions
在复杂的社会经济和政治条件下,经济实体必须有足够的经济稳定水平和正常生活活动的储备。因此,经济稳定及其储备的评估和分析问题迫在眉睫,需要立即解决。这篇文章的目的是研究经济实体经济可持续性的确定、储备、确定阶段逻辑的实证以及适当分析工具的形成。在研究过程中,使用了一般的科学和特殊的研究方法:抽象逻辑方法、系统方法、分析和综合方法、图解方法、构建发展的整体分类指标的方法、多准则优化、多因素回归分析、遗传算法、边际效用法、聚类分析。本文从立法基础的角度介绍了乌克兰各地区国有部门经济实体经济可持续性指标体系的选择。为了确定各地区公共部门经济实体的经济可持续性储备,开发了一个经济可持续性指标多准则优化的经济数学模型,并使用遗传算法进行求解,这是解决这一问题的经济学新的分析支持。经济数学建模中的一个新结果是在多准则回归依赖优化中形成部分准则的方法。本文提供了一个实施边际效用法的程序,以证明确定经济可持续性指标最优值的多准则最优问题的最终单最优解的合理性。事实证明,根据经济可持续性指标体系和区域人均生产总值,按各区域经济实体的集群确定经济可持续性储备的绝对值是可取的。实际意义在于,这种确定经济可持续性及其储备的科学方法有助于工业企业管理决策的客观发展,以确保其在困难的战争和战后条件下的正常生活活动
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引用次数: 0
TECHNOLOGY OF DETERMINING MOTIVATION RESERVES FOR MANAGEMENT STAFF 管理人员激励储备的确定技术
Pub Date : 2022-03-23 DOI: 10.57111/econ.21(1).2022.36-42
V. Luhova, Y. Sotnikova, N. Nazarov, A. Churkin
In modern crisis conditions, the development and implementation of a mechanism for motivating management staff at enterprise faces a number of complications, the main of which is the lack of financial resources. The purpose of the article is to develop a technology for determining the reserves of motivational influence on the management staff of the enterprise. To achieve this goal, the following methods of scientific research were used: generalization, comparison, analysis and synthesis, the method of expert assessments, the questionnaire method, factor analysis, ranking and the graphic method. Therefore, in order to reduce costs and ensure effective motivation of management staff, it is proposed to identify reserves of motivational influence using the developed technology, which includes methods of factor analysis (identification of latent factors influencing work behavior), assessment of the level of job satisfaction (identification of positions that lag behind the standard) and ranking (arrangement of reserves by degree of influence). The list of motivation factors includes 16 indicators: organizational structuring of work; professional development, acquisition of new knowledge and skills; working conditions; financial incentive (salary and bonuses); power and influence; nature of relations with colleagues; the possibility of success at work; the possibility of career growth; the opportunity to be informed about the company’s affairs, to take part in the resolution of cases; recognition and approval of work results; high level of responsibility; the possibility of creative and personal growth; confidence in the future, guarantee of employment, stability; the nature of the relationship with management; level of work control; transparent assessment of work. The application of the proposed technology at PJSC “Kharkivenergozbut” confirmed the possibility and necessity of its use for determining reserves of motivational influence, and therefore, reducing motivation costs, forming an effective mechanism for motivating management staff.
在现代危机条件下,企业管理人员激励机制的制定和实施面临着许多复杂的问题,其中最主要的是缺乏资金。本文的目的是开发一种确定企业管理人员的激励影响储备的技术。为了实现这一目标,采用了以下科学研究方法:概括法、比较法、分析综合法、专家评价法、问卷法、因子分析法、排序法和图解法。因此,为了降低成本,保证管理人员的有效激励,本文提出利用所开发的技术识别激励影响储备,包括因子分析法(识别影响工作行为的潜在因素)、工作满意度评估法(识别落后标准的岗位)和排名法(按影响程度排列储备)。激励因素列表包括16个指标:工作组织结构;专业发展,获取新知识和技能;工作条件;财务激励(工资和奖金);权力和影响;与同事关系的性质;工作成功的可能性;职业发展的可能性;知悉公司事务、参与案件解决的机会;对工作成果的认可和批准;高度的责任心;创造性和个人成长的可能性;对未来有信心,就业有保障,稳定;与管理层关系的性质;工作控制水平;透明的工作评估。拟议的技术在“哈尔科夫涅尔戈兹”PJSC的应用证实了将其用于确定激励影响储备的可能性和必要性,从而降低激励成本,形成激励管理人员的有效机制。
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引用次数: 1
DYNAMICS OF FORMATION OF TRANSITIONAL PRICES ON THE CHAIN OF SEQUENTIAL MARKETS: ANALYTICAL MODEL 序贯市场链上过渡价格形成的动力学:分析模型
Pub Date : 2022-03-21 DOI: 10.57111/econ.21(1).2022.25-35
A. Voronin, I. Lebedeva, S. Lebedev
Although the problem of formation of market prices, determination of equilibrium prices within the model “Demand – Supply” is quite known and a great number of both theoretical works and works that summarize the results of observations are devoted to its research, this problem remains relevant, especially as to the dynamics of pricing processes and the stability of equilibrium prices in relation to changes in parameters that characterize the state of the system. Most studies addressing these issues focus on either a particular local market or the global market for some products in general. The purpose of this work is to build a mathematical model that would allow us to analyze general issues related to the formation of transitional prices in the finite N-dimensional chain of sequential markets in accordance with the scheme of market equilibrium. An analytical model is proposed that makes it possible to study the dynamics of prices in adjacent markets. Within this model, which is based on the determination of processes using a system of integral equations, it was assumed that the impact on the chain of sequential markets and the response to this impact are continuous over time. The dynamic aspect of the proposed pricing model in the vertical sequence of markets is the existence of an “after-effect”, which is described in an integral form by the delay distributed over time. The issues of adequacy of the model were examined, its internal coherence was studied, the correctness of the transition from the mathematical model of dynamics as a system of integral equations to the model in the form of a system of linear algebraic equations was substantiated. The conditions for the existence of the solution for this system of equations and the area of its stability are formulated. The mathematical model proposed in this paper allows for a qualitative analysis of the system states (by phase trajectories). Examples of numerical implementation of our analytical model for two and three sequential markets are given, equilibrium prices for each link of the chain of sequential markets are determined. Applying simulation modelling, the stability of the solution in relation to changes in such parameters of the model as the elasticity of demand and supply in the market under study and cross-elasticities in adjacent markets as well as the impact of these parameters on such dynamic indicators of the market system as the rate of attainment of equilibrium was examined.
虽然市场价格的形成问题,“需求-供给”模型中均衡价格的确定问题是众所周知的,并且大量的理论著作和总结观察结果的著作都致力于研究它,但这个问题仍然是相关的,特别是关于定价过程的动态以及与表征系统状态的参数变化相关的均衡价格的稳定性。解决这些问题的大多数研究要么集中在一个特定的当地市场,要么集中在某些产品的全球市场。这项工作的目的是建立一个数学模型,使我们能够根据市场均衡方案分析有限n维序列市场链中与过渡价格形成有关的一般问题。提出了一种分析模型,使研究相邻市场的价格动态成为可能。在这个基于使用积分方程系统确定过程的模型中,假设对顺序市场链的影响以及对这种影响的响应是连续的。所提出的定价模型在垂直市场序列中的动态方面是“后效”的存在,这种后效通过随时间分布的延迟以积分形式描述。考察了模型的充分性问题,研究了模型的内在一致性,证明了动力学数学模型从积分方程系统向线性代数方程系统过渡的正确性。给出了该方程组解的存在条件及其稳定面积。本文提出的数学模型允许对系统状态(通过相轨迹)进行定性分析。给出了两个和三个顺序市场分析模型的数值实现实例,并确定了顺序市场链各环节的均衡价格。应用仿真建模,考察了模型参数变化对解的稳定性,如所研究市场的供需弹性和相邻市场的交叉弹性,以及这些参数对市场系统的动态指标如达到均衡率的影响。
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引用次数: 0
PECULIARITIES OF A TEAM LEADER’S ROLE BEHAVIOUR 团队领导者角色行为的特殊性
Pub Date : 2022-03-20 DOI: 10.57111/econ.21(1).2022.43-50
S. Holubiev, H. Bilokonenko, P. Homenko
The article deals with the problem of the distribution of roles in a team at work. The efficiency of the distribution of roles in the team ensures the efficiency of activities, reduces the conflict of interaction and increases the level of adaptability of the team to changes in the external environment. The main attention is paid to the team role of a leader, which determines the organization and peculiarities of the team. Therefore, the purpose of the study is to determine the problems of the distribution of team roles and the peculiarities of the leader’s role behaviour. The theories of the distribution of team roles proposed by such authors as R.M. Belbin, R. Schindler, and T. Bazarov were analyzed. Each of the theories was analyzed and their features, possibilities of use for the study of the leader’s roles and problems of application in practice were determined. The main problem is the difficulty with the distribution of team roles in functional divisions (mainly the same types of functions are performed) compared to project teams. By modeling the leader’s behaviour, the influence of his team role on the functioning of the division and the distribution of roles in it was determined. As a result, it was identified that the main problem of determining the distribution of roles in a functional division is a significant shift in the result towards the main type of its activity, which requires clarification or adaptation of the diagnostic apparatus. It is proposed to distinguish a social and labour role that combines functional (labour) and team (social), focusing only on the type of activity. The following types of social and labour roles are distinguished: executive, adaptive and creative. It is proposed to apply the same classification to the leader, which will allow his role to be considered inseparable from the roles of employees, which is especially important for functional divisions. This classification makes it possible to facilitate the process of diagnosing the predominant roles and determine the features of the basic functions of the division and the problems of the team’s activity.
这篇文章讨论了工作中团队角色分配的问题。团队中角色分配的效率保证了活动的效率,减少了互动的冲突,提高了团队对外部环境变化的适应能力。主要关注的是领导者的团队角色,这决定了团队的组织和特点。因此,本研究的目的是确定团队角色分配的问题和领导者角色行为的特殊性。对R.M. Belbin、r.s. Schindler、t.b azarov等作者提出的团队角色分配理论进行了分析。对每一种理论进行了分析,确定了它们的特点、研究领导者角色的可能性以及在实际应用中存在的问题。主要的问题是与项目团队相比,在功能部门(主要是执行相同类型的功能)中分配团队角色的困难。通过对领导者行为的建模,确定了他的团队角色对部门运作和角色分配的影响。因此,确定职能部门的作用分配的主要问题是结果向其活动的主要类型的重大转变,这需要澄清或调整诊断仪器。建议区分社会和劳动角色,结合功能(劳动)和团队(社会),只关注活动的类型。以下类型的社会和劳动角色被区分开来:执行、适应性和创造性。建议将同样的分类应用于领导者,这将使他的角色被认为与员工的角色不可分割,这对于职能部门尤其重要。这种分类可以促进诊断主要作用的过程,并确定该司基本职能的特点和小组活动的问题。
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引用次数: 0
MONETARY TRAPS OF THE NEW MACROECONOMIC CONSENSUS: PROBLEMS OF STABILIZATION POLICY AFTER COVID-19 新宏观经济共识的货币陷阱:新冠疫情后的稳定政策问题
Pub Date : 2022-03-15 DOI: 10.57111/econ.21(1).2022.17-24
N. Reznikova, O. Ivashchenko, N. Hrynchak, I. Dvornyk
The relevance of the study lies in the consideration of transmission channels through which the influence of monetary policy carried out by the governments and central banks of the United States, Japan and Germany was realized. The purpose of the article is to consider the phenomenon of the monetary trap as a special case of an unforeseen macroeconomic reaction to the stabilization anti-crisis policy pursued by the state, which is designed to stimulate economic activity and contribute to the growth of aggregate output. The article identified the potential of economic theory (with an emphasis on the New Macroeconomic Consensus) to illuminate the current practice of state stabilization policy, taking into account new historical challenges, as well as modeling the impact of monetary instruments of stabilization policy on the potential for economic recovery of the United States, Japan and Germany. To achieve the goal of the study, scientific and special research methods were used, namely: methods of analysis, abstraction and synthesis, induction and deduction, as well as a system-structural method; hypothetical-deductive method; idealization method; methods of economic and mathematical modeling. An analysis of the consequences of the state policy to counteract the downturn in the economic situation as a result of the COVID-19 pandemic made it possible to periodize it and establish that the stabilization measures at the first stage were mainly of a fiscal nature, while at the second stage they were focused on monetary containment of the volatility of commodity prices. A regression express analysis of the relationship between monetary incentives and changes in GDP and inflation in the United States, Japan, and Germany made it possible to establish that the influence of monetary impulses on price stability manifests itself over a longer period of time and depends on the influence of many factors, including price fluctuations, changes in nominal wages, exchange rate dynamics and expectations of economic agents.
本研究的相关性在于考虑了美国、日本和德国政府和央行货币政策影响的传导渠道。这篇文章的目的是将货币陷阱现象视为一种特殊情况,即对国家推行的旨在刺激经济活动和促进总产出增长的稳定反危机政策的不可预见的宏观经济反应。文章确定了经济理论(重点是新宏观经济共识)的潜力,以阐明当前国家稳定政策的实践,同时考虑到新的历史挑战,并模拟稳定政策的货币工具对美国、日本和德国经济复苏潜力的影响。为了达到研究目的,采用了科学而特殊的研究方法,即:分析法、抽象与综合法、归纳与演绎法以及系统结构法;假设演绎法;理想化方法;经济和数学建模方法。对应对新冠肺炎疫情导致的经济形势低迷的国家政策的后果进行分析,可以将其分阶段实施,并确定第一阶段的稳定措施主要是财政性质的,而第二阶段的重点是货币遏制大宗商品价格的波动。对美国、日本和德国的货币激励措施与国内生产总值和通货膨胀变化之间关系的回归分析表明,货币冲动对价格稳定的影响表现在更长的时间内,取决于许多因素的影响,包括价格波动、名义工资的变化、,汇率动态和经济主体的预期。
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引用次数: 0
STUDY OF STRATEGIES FOR SUSTAINABLE PRODUCTION AND CONSUMPTION IN THE ECONOMIC CONDITIONS OF UKRAINE 乌克兰经济条件下的可持续生产和消费战略研究
Pub Date : 2022-03-14 DOI: 10.57111/econ.21(1).2022.8-16
A. Ivashura, O. Protasenko, E. Mykhailova, O. Severinov
Modern requirements for companies and consumers include the stability of financial performance amid increasing environmental attractiveness. Companies need to cover such seemingly diverse interests as profitability for owners, concern for staff, interest for partners and consumers, and actions for environmental protection. It is essential to consider the growing role of conscious consumption, which is a direct regulator of production activity. Today, this is especially important for Ukraine, considering its transition to sustainability and the implementation of sustainable development goals in the sphere of sustainable production and consumption. The aim is to formulate a strategy and recommendations for combining sustainable initiatives in production and consumption in the context of European integration processes in Ukraine. The research object is sustainability in production and consumption. The article proposes a strategy combining sustainable production and consumption into one cluster. It will allow sustainable initiatives are focused on systemic changes and essential areas of production and consumption. The work used the method “Sustainable value of the business”. This method includes detailed reporting on the sustainable development of production with relevant ratings and indices. It’s recommended for use in decision-making, investment management for business development, comparative analysis, and communication with stakeholders; it also provides a comprehensive view of the company’s impact on six standardized parameters. The result is a proposal to create an algorithm to combine sustainable production and consumption into one cluster. It will allow sustainable initiatives to focus on systemic changes in crucial production and consumption areas – energy, transport, housing, agriculture, and food. The practical value of the approach is in a strategy that includes measures stimulating environmental and socio-economic policy of production. It will allow moving from relative disunity of actions to technological standards. The proposed approach can be implemented in recommendations for improving programs on changing behavior from a gradual transition from individual consumers to broader initiatives to change the entire system – production and consumption.
对公司和消费者的现代要求包括在环境吸引力不断增强的情况下保持财务业绩的稳定性。公司需要涵盖看似多样的利益,如所有者的盈利能力、员工的关心、合作伙伴和消费者的利益,以及环境保护行动。有意识消费是生产活动的直接调节者,必须考虑到它日益增长的作用。今天,考虑到乌克兰向可持续性过渡以及在可持续生产和消费领域实施可持续发展目标,这对乌克兰来说尤其重要。其目的是制定一项战略和建议,在乌克兰欧洲一体化进程的背景下,将生产和消费方面的可持续举措结合起来。研究对象是生产和消费的可持续性。文章提出了一种将可持续生产和消费结合为一个集群的战略。它将使可持续举措能够侧重于系统性变革以及生产和消费的重要领域。这项工作采用了“企业可持续价值”的方法。该方法包括详细报告生产的可持续发展情况以及相关评级和指数。建议用于决策、业务发展投资管理、比较分析以及与利益相关者的沟通;它还提供了该公司对六个标准化参数的影响的全面视图。其结果是建议创建一种算法,将可持续生产和消费结合到一个集群中。它将使可持续举措能够专注于能源、交通、住房、农业和粮食等关键生产和消费领域的系统性变革。该方法的实际价值在于一项战略,其中包括刺激环境和社会经济生产政策的措施。它将允许从相对不统一的行动转向技术标准。所提出的方法可以在建议中实施,以改进从个人消费者到更广泛的改变整个系统(生产和消费)的行为转变计划。
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引用次数: 0
Government expenditure and macroeconomic stability conundrum in Zimbabwe 津巴布韦政府支出与宏观经济稳定难题
Pub Date : 2021-12-29 DOI: 10.21511/ed.20(2).2021.02
H. Maduku, Brian Tavonga Mazorodze
The objective of this paper was to explore the effect of government expenditure growth on macroeconomic stability in Zimbabwe. Public expenditure has grown over time but as per a priori expectations, other macroeconomic variables have not been forth coming. What the country has actually experienced is prolonged macroeconomic instability. The paper contributes to the body of literature in two ways, (1) by creating a macroeconomic instability index and (2) by being the first in the Zimbabwean context to explore this conundrum. To achieve the main objective of the paper, the study used a cointegrated vector error correction model (VECM) and Granger causality with data spanning 1981 to 2019. The study did not find a statistically significant relationship between government expenditure and macroeconomic stability as argued mostly by the Keynesians. However, according to a priori expectations, the relationship turned out to be rightly negative. To buttress the Cointegrated-VECM results, granger causality tests were also conducted where no causality was found from government spending to macroeconomic stability, and vice versa (causality running from instability to government spending). This paper recommends that, Zimbabwe’s policy makers may need to consider proactive government spending or policies, since that helps the economy to successfully avoid possible risks such as macroeconomic instability. When policies are proactive rather than reactive, that helps by seizing untapped opportunities, and the economy justly avoids consequences of reactive governance.
本文的目的是探讨政府支出增长对津巴布韦宏观经济稳定的影响。公共支出随着时间的推移而增长,但根据先验预期,其他宏观经济变量尚未出现。该国实际经历的是长期的宏观经济不稳定。该论文以两种方式对文献进行了贡献,(1)创建了宏观经济不稳定指数,(2)成为津巴布韦第一个探讨这一难题的论文。为了实现本文的主要目标,该研究使用了协整向量误差校正模型(VECM)和Granger因果关系,数据跨度为1981年至2019年。这项研究并没有发现凯恩斯主义者所认为的政府支出与宏观经济稳定之间存在统计上显著的关系。然而,根据先验的预期,这种关系被证明是负面的。为了支持协整VECM结果,还进行了granger因果关系测试,其中没有发现从政府支出到宏观经济稳定的因果关系,反之亦然(从不稳定到政府支出的因果关系)。本文建议,津巴布韦的政策制定者可能需要考虑积极的政府支出或政策,因为这有助于经济成功避免宏观经济不稳定等可能的风险。当政策是积极的而不是被动的时,这有助于抓住未开发的机会,经济也可以避免被动治理的后果。
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引用次数: 1
Fiscal issues of entities’ non-financial reporting 主体非财务报告的财务问题
Pub Date : 2021-12-28 DOI: 10.21511/ed.20(2).2021.01
S. Vorobei
The article identifies areas for strengthening the information value of non-financial reporting data, in particular in terms of its fiscal issues. The author substantiates the issues of disclosure of data on the impact of uncertainty on the entities’ activities based on the results of the analysis of scientific publications and generally accepted international documents. It is proved that high-quality non-financial reporting can serve as one of the tools for attracting additional funding for eliminating the consequences of the COVID-19 pandemic. The article highlights the results of the analysis of non-financial reporting of state-owned enterprises to identify data on the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on their activities and compliance with the list of sustainability reporting indicators defined in the document “Guidance on core indicators for entity reporting on contribution towards implementation of the Sustainable Development Goals”, developed by UNCTAD ISAR. The paper substantiates that non-financial reporting data can serves as one of the information sources for decision-making at the state level in terms of avoiding fiscal risks (management report, report on payments to government). The core research methods used in the article: bibliometric analysis; synthesis; observation.
这篇文章确定了加强非财务报告数据信息价值的领域,特别是在其财政问题方面。作者根据对科学出版物和公认国际文件的分析结果,证实了不确定性对实体活动影响的数据披露问题。事实证明,高质量的非财务报告可以作为吸引额外资金以消除新冠肺炎疫情后果的工具之一。文章重点介绍了对国有企业非财务报告的分析结果,以确定新冠肺炎疫情对其活动的影响数据,以及对文件中定义的可持续性报告指标清单的遵守情况贸发会议会计准则专家组制定的“实体报告对实现可持续发展目标的贡献的核心指标指南”。该论文证实,非财务报告数据可以作为州一级避免财政风险决策的信息来源之一(管理报告、向政府支付的报告)。本文采用的核心研究方法有:文献计量分析法;合成观察
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引用次数: 1
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Ekonomika rozvitku
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