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2018 15th International Conference on the European Energy Market (EEM)最新文献

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Cross-Border Transmission Line Configuration Influence on the Electrical Power and Energy Billing Process 跨境输电线路配置对电力和能源计费过程的影响
Pub Date : 2018-06-01 DOI: 10.1109/EEM.2018.8469863
K. Dobrzyński, J. Klucznik, Z. Lubośny, M. Jaskólski, P. Bućko
In 2015 a connection between the Polish and Lithuanian power systems become fully operational. The connection consists of a 400 kV double circuit transmission line and a back-to-back HVDC substation located on the Lithuanian side. A magnetic couplings between the circuits of the transmission line cause that during power transmission a different values of active power losses are observed in both circuits. This situation may cause a financial settlement problems for transmitted energy between the operators of the connected systems.
2015年,波兰和立陶宛电力系统之间的连接将全面投入运行。该连接包括一条400千伏双回传输线和位于立陶宛一侧的背靠背高压直流变电站。传输线回路之间的磁耦合导致在电力传输过程中,在两个回路中观察到不同的有功功率损耗值。这种情况可能会导致连接系统运营商之间传输能量的财务结算问题。
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引用次数: 0
Economic Impacts of Power-Based Tariffs on Peer-to-Peer Electricity Exchange in Community Microgrids 电价对社区微电网点对点电力交换的经济影响
Pub Date : 2018-06-01 DOI: 10.1109/EEM.2018.8469778
A. Narayanan, Jouni Haapaniemi, T. Kaipia, J. Partanen
Due to the proliferation of renewables-based distributed energy resources, many electricity customers today consume and produce electricity. Since prosumers can benefit from supplying surplus electricity to consumers with electricity deficits, (p2p) peer-to-peer electricity exchange has been proposed for low-voltage (LV) microgrids forming “community microgrids.” The distribution system operator (DSO), who is an important stakeholder in LV networks, has an income that is largely energy dependent. However, energy-based tariffs (EBT) do not reflect the true cost of a DSO's network investment that is highly dependent on the peak power in the network. A power-based distribution tariff (PBT) scheme where customers pay for their peak load (€/kW) instead of consumed energy (€/kWh) has been proposed. In this paper, we evaluate the economic impacts of revising the tariff structure from EBT to PBT on customers participating in p2p community microgrids with photovoltaic (PV) installations. We consider four different Finnish customer types and compare the benefits obtained by 36 customers of each type after their EBT was replaced by PBT. We apply PBT also to the power supplied by prosumers to their peers. Nearly all the customers (expectedly) benefited from electricity exchange especially for the typical PV system size of 5 kWp. When the PV system Sizes were increased, the benefits decreased and became negative at PV system size ≥ 17.5 kWp,. In particular, the savings in EBT and PBT cases were similar-the tariff change from EBT to PBT did not significantly affect the customers' benefits from electricity exchange.
由于以可再生能源为基础的分布式能源的扩散,今天许多电力客户消耗和生产电力。由于生产消费者可以从向缺电的消费者提供剩余电力中受益,(p2p)点对点电力交换被提议用于低压(LV)微电网,形成“社区微电网”。配电系统运营商(DSO)是低压电网的重要利益相关者,其收入在很大程度上依赖于能源。然而,基于能源的关税(EBT)并不能反映DSO网络投资的真实成本,这高度依赖于网络中的峰值功率。提出了一种基于电力的分配电价(PBT)方案,客户根据其峰值负荷(€/kW)而不是消耗的能源(€/kWh)付费。在本文中,我们评估了将电价结构从EBT修改为PBT对参与光伏(PV)安装的p2p社区微电网的客户的经济影响。我们考虑了四种不同的芬兰客户类型,并比较了每种类型的36名客户在EBT被PBT取代后所获得的好处。我们也将PBT应用于生产消费者向其同行提供的电力。几乎所有客户(预期)都从电力交换中受益,特别是典型的5 kWp光伏系统。当光伏系统规模增大时,效益下降,在光伏系统规模≥17.5 kWp时,效益变为负值。特别是,电债和普通电债情况下的节约是相似的——从电债到普通电债的电价变化并没有显著影响客户从电力交换中获得的收益。
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引用次数: 9
Maximization of Expected Wind Power Plant Profit Through Optimal Offers on the Day-Ahead Market 基于日前市场最优报价的风力发电厂预期利润最大化
Pub Date : 2018-06-01 DOI: 10.1109/EEM.2018.8469788
D. Jakus, J. Vasilj, P. Sarajcev, Joško Novaković
In the electricity markets every deviation between the contracted power production and the real energy supplied is usually penalized or paid according to the market prices. This gives incentive to the market participants to provide accurate production schedules. Wind power producers (WPP) can generate production forecasts with limited accuracy due to wind nature itself. In the markets where WPP are treated as a balance responsible parties they will account for the day-ahead market prices and balancing energy prices when placing market bids in order to maximize their profit. This paper presents mixed integer optimization model for the optimal bidding of WPP production in the day-ahead market in order to minimize imbalance costs. The uncertainty related to the market prices on the day-ahead and balancing markets as well as WPP forecasts is accounted for by considering large scenario set which is than reduced by applying the fast forward scenario reduction algorithm.
在电力市场中,合同发电量与实际能源供应之间的每一次偏差通常都按照市场价格进行惩罚或支付。这就激励了市场参与者提供准确的生产计划。由于风力本身的性质,风力发电商(WPP)只能产生有限精度的产量预测。在WPP被视为平衡责任方的市场中,他们将考虑前一天的市场价格,并在进行市场投标时平衡能源价格,以实现利润最大化。以不平衡成本最小化为目标,提出了日前市场WPP生产最优报价的混合整数优化模型。与前一天的市场价格和平衡市场以及WPP预测相关的不确定性是通过考虑大型场景集来考虑的,而不是通过应用快进场景约简算法来减少。
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引用次数: 2
A Linear Model for Operating Microgrids with Renewable Resources, Battery Degradation Costs and Electric Vehicles 具有可再生资源、电池退化成本和电动汽车的微电网运行线性模型
Pub Date : 2018-06-01 DOI: 10.1109/EEM.2018.8469868
Pablo Diaz-Cachinero, J. I. Muñoz-Hernandez, J. Contreras
Due to the growth in the use of renewable energies, the implantation of Energy Storage Systems (ESSs) and the use of Electric Vehicles (EVs), there is a need for optimization models to address these issues in distribution systems. An example of this is the operation of a Microgrid (MG) where the operation cost is optimized. Renewable resources such as wind and solar energy and Distributed Generation (DG) are very important in an MG. In addition, the rise of EVs in distribution systems makes their operation more difficult. This work proposes a linear model to optimize the operation of an MG using a linear AC power flow, renewable resources, DG, Battery Bank (BB) degradation costs and EVs applied to the IEEE 37-bus system. For the creation of EVs scenarios, a software application has been developed using Visual Basic®, MS Excel® and @RISK® to generate them using Monte Carlo simulation.
由于可再生能源使用的增长,储能系统(ess)的植入和电动汽车(ev)的使用,需要优化模型来解决配电系统中的这些问题。这方面的一个例子是微电网(MG)的运行,其中运行成本是优化的。可再生能源,如风能、太阳能和分布式发电(DG)在MG中非常重要。此外,电动汽车在配电系统中的兴起使其运营变得更加困难。本研究提出了一个线性模型,利用线性交流潮流、可再生资源、DG、电池组(BB)降解成本和应用于IEEE 37总线系统的电动汽车来优化MG的运行。为了创建电动汽车场景,使用Visual Basic®,MS Excel®和@RISK®开发了一个软件应用程序,使用蒙特卡罗模拟生成它们。
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引用次数: 6
Forecasting Energy Commodities Prices with Bayesian Model Combination Schemes 用贝叶斯模型组合方案预测能源商品价格
Pub Date : 2018-06-01 DOI: 10.1109/EEM.2018.8469881
Krzysztof Drachal
The biggest advantage of Bayesian approach is that it allows to use data-rich models in a reasonable way. The conventional approach is not suitable when the number of variables exceeds the number of observations. Bayesian formulas remain reasonable in such a case. Researchers usually deal with numerous potentially important variables in forecasting. Newly methods like Dynamic Model Averaging (DMA), Dynamic Model Selection (DMS) and Median Probability Model nicely deal with model uncertainty. The study discusses energy commodity prices development. FRED-MD large macroeconomic database is applied. Forecasting commodities prices is a hard task. Therefore, it seems interesting to check the novel methodology. It allows both explanatory variables and regression coefficients to vary in time. Thus in different periods, different factors can be treated as the important ones.
贝叶斯方法的最大优点是它允许以合理的方式使用数据丰富的模型。当变量的数量超过观测值的数量时,传统的方法就不适用了。在这种情况下,贝叶斯公式仍然是合理的。在预测中,研究人员通常要处理许多潜在的重要变量。动态模型平均(DMA)、动态模型选择(DMS)和中值概率模型(Median Probability Model)等新方法很好地处理了模型的不确定性。本研究讨论了能源商品价格的发展。采用FRED-MD大型宏观经济数据库。预测大宗商品价格是一项艰巨的任务。因此,检验这种新颖的方法论似乎很有趣。它允许解释变量和回归系数随时间变化。因此,在不同的时期,不同的因素可以被视为重要的。
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引用次数: 0
A First Shot at Time-Dependent CO2 Intensities in Multi-Modal Energy Systems 多模态能源系统中随时间变化的二氧化碳强度的初步研究
Pub Date : 2018-06-01 DOI: 10.1109/EEM.2018.8469841
C. Ripp, Florian Steinke
CO2 emission reduction and increasing volatile renewable energy generation mandate stronger energy sector coupling and the use of energy storage. In such multi-modal energy systems, it is challenging to assess the exact impact of consumption changes onto overall CO2 emissions. This, however, is important to evaluate individual CO2 reduction measures of consumers. Due to renewables' volatility, yearly average CO2 intensities per energy form are no longer accurate, but the time of consumption should be considered. Moreover, CO2 intensities are highly coupled over time and different energy forms due to sector coupling and energy storage. We describe a novel method for computing time-dependent CO2 intensities for each energy form of a multi-modal energy system with storage. We use the input and output energy streams into each conversion process as well as storage levels at each time step. Simulating a test energy system, we discuss the results and limits of the approach.
减少二氧化碳排放和增加不稳定的可再生能源发电要求加强能源部门的耦合和能源储存的使用。在这种多模式能源系统中,评估消费变化对总二氧化碳排放的确切影响具有挑战性。然而,这对于评估消费者个人的二氧化碳减排措施是很重要的。由于可再生能源的波动性,每种能源形式的年平均二氧化碳强度不再准确,但应考虑消耗的时间。此外,由于扇形耦合和能量储存,CO2强度随时间和不同能量形式高度耦合。我们描述了一种计算具有存储的多模态能源系统的每种能量形式的随时间变化的CO2强度的新方法。我们在每个转换过程中使用输入和输出能量流以及在每个时间步长的存储水平。通过对一个测试能源系统的仿真,讨论了该方法的结果和局限性。
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引用次数: 2
Changing to Power-Based Grid Pricing - An Incentive for Grid Defections in Nordic Conditions? 向基于电力的电网定价转变——北欧条件下电网叛逃的诱因?
Pub Date : 2018-06-01 DOI: 10.1109/EEM.2018.8469929
Jouni Haapaniemi, J. Haakana, N. Belonogova, J. Lassila, J. Partanen
Distribution system operators' (DSO) operating environment is changing significantly since customers' distributed production, electric vehicles, heat pump systems and battery energy storage systems (BESS) are becoming more common. In this paper, the proportion of rural area customers in Nordic conditions who could go off-grid and operate independently by investing in solar photovoltaics (PV) and BESS is studied. Further, the effects on these customers' electricity bill is studied, and thereby to grid defection profitability, if DSO changes tariff system towards power-based tariff (PBT) is examined. Analyses are conducted with real customers' hourly load data from four different case areas, covering a total of 10808 customers. The study shows that the number of possible customers in the studied rural case areas is 8-19 %. If DSO changes the tariff structure from energy-based tariffs to power-based tariffs, it has significant effects on grid defection profitability whether the tariff structure includes minimum charged power or not.
随着客户的分布式生产、电动汽车、热泵系统和电池储能系统(BESS)越来越普遍,配电系统运营商(DSO)的运营环境正在发生重大变化。本文研究了北欧地区农村用户通过投资太阳能光伏和BESS实现离网独立运营的比例。进一步,研究了如果DSO将电价制度改为基于电力的电价(PBT),对这些客户电费的影响,从而对电网缺陷盈利能力的影响。对来自四个不同案例区域的真实客户每小时负荷数据进行分析,共覆盖10808个客户。研究表明,在研究的农村案例地区,潜在客户的数量为8- 19%。如果DSO将电价结构从基于能源的电价结构转变为基于电力的电价结构,那么无论电价结构是否包含最低充电功率,对电网缺陷盈利能力都有显著影响。
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引用次数: 2
Impact of Distribution Tariff Design on the Profitability of Aggregators of Distributed Energy Storage Systems 分配电价设计对分布式储能系统集成商盈利能力的影响
Pub Date : 2018-06-01 DOI: 10.1109/EEM.2018.8469793
Niels Govaerts, K. Bruninx, E. Delarue
The distribution tariff design, which is currently being overhauled in multiple European countries, is a significant part of a residential consumer's electricity bill. This paper studies how the tariff design influences the behavior of a strategic aggregator, of residential consumers with photovoltaics (PV) and energy storage systems (ESS), on a wholesale market. The aggregator-wholesale market interaction is formulated as a Stackelberg game. We show that the distribution tariff design impacts the strategic operation of the aggregator's PV and ESS and the accompanying cost savings the aggregator attains compared to a retailer of active consumers.
目前,多个欧洲国家正在对配电费率进行全面改革,该费率是居民用电账单的重要组成部分。本文研究了电价设计如何影响批发市场上拥有光伏和储能系统的住宅用户的战略聚合者的行为。集成商-批发市场的相互作用被表述为一个Stackelberg博弈。我们表明,与活跃消费者的零售商相比,分销电价设计影响了集成商的光伏和ESS的战略运营,以及集成商获得的附带成本节约。
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引用次数: 5
The relationship between the brent crude oil and the national balancing point natural gas prices 布伦特原油与国家平衡点天然气价格的关系
Pub Date : 2018-06-01 DOI: 10.1109/EEM.2018.8628003
Theodosios Perifanis, I. Panapakidis, A. Dagoumas
The European Union formed a strategy with the Energy Union towards the delivery of secure, competitive, and sustainable energy. The Energy Union targets at a fully integrated internal energy market, which requires infrastructure, leaving market fundamentals to drive energy pricing. The European Union swifts to natural gas as its primary energy source. So far the natural gas supply has been conducted via inter-state pipelines and priced through oil-indexed contracts. In our research, we study whether there are price spillovers from oil to natural gas, and vice versa. This paper studies the oldest gas virtual trading point in Europe, National Balancing Point. It is considered as one of the most liquid and transparent gas markets. In order to fully cover every aspect, we use Wald tests, cointegration tests, asymmetric price transmission methodology, and Diebold and Mariano tests. We reach conclusions on commodities’ independence and we present their time varying relationship.
欧盟与能源联盟制定了一项战略,旨在提供安全、有竞争力和可持续的能源。能源联盟的目标是一个完全一体化的内部能源市场,这需要基础设施,让市场基本面来驱动能源定价。欧盟迅速将天然气作为其主要能源。到目前为止,天然气供应一直通过州际管道进行,并通过与石油挂钩的合同定价。在我们的研究中,我们研究了从石油到天然气是否存在价格溢出,反之亦然。本文研究了欧洲最古老的天然气虚拟交易点——国家平衡点。它被认为是最具流动性和透明度的天然气市场之一。为了全面涵盖各个方面,我们使用了Wald检验、协整检验、不对称价格传导方法以及Diebold和Mariano检验。我们得出了商品独立性的结论,并给出了它们的时变关系。
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引用次数: 2
Economic Impact of Investments in the Electricity Sector - A Hybrid General Equilibrium and Technological Analysis 电力部门投资的经济影响——一种混合一般均衡和技术分析
Pub Date : 2018-06-01 DOI: 10.1109/EEM.2018.8469850
F. Rubio, M. Robaina, F. A. Campos, J. Villar
This work combines a detailed model of the electricity sector with a general equilibrium model for Spain, to analyze the effects of new investments and technological evolution in the electricity sector, as well as their impact in global aspects of the economy. A reference scenario with high prices for CO2emissions together with insufficient investments in renewable energy was simulated, showing an expected negative economic impact. This scenario was then combined with five potential policies of economic reactivation. The most positive one was related to the reduction of the cost of access to capital, leading to improvements in capital income and GDP, thus mitigating the impact of the electricity price increase. This policy also leads to a migration of the labour from the production to the service sectors and suggests that a transition towards a cleaner electricity sector with minor economic impacts is possible, when energy policies are combined with adequate fiscal policies.
这项工作将电力部门的详细模型与西班牙的一般均衡模型相结合,以分析电力部门新投资和技术发展的影响,以及它们对全球经济方面的影响。模拟了一种二氧化碳排放价格高且可再生能源投资不足的参考情景,显示出预期的负面经济影响。然后将这一设想与五项潜在的经济复苏政策结合起来。最积极的影响与获得资本的成本降低有关,导致资本收入和GDP的改善,从而减轻了电价上涨的影响。这项政策还导致劳动力从生产部门向服务部门迁移,并表明,如果能源政策与适当的财政政策相结合,就有可能向更清洁的电力部门过渡,而经济影响较小。
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引用次数: 1
期刊
2018 15th International Conference on the European Energy Market (EEM)
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