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Pakistan's Perspective on Nuclear Deterrence in South Asia 巴基斯坦对南亚核威慑的看法
Pub Date : 2020-12-22 DOI: 10.22452/mjir.vol8no1.2
Ramla Khan, Zaeem Hassan Mehmood
The analysis is undertaken to evaluate the lumbering state of nuclear deterrence in South Asia. It ponders to foresee the veracity of India-Pakistan strategic stability by deliberating upon the equivocal doctrines and ambiguity on nuclear weapon postures at both ends. Communication, Command and Control Systems (C3S), traditionally considered as a robust feature of nuclear apparatus, faces an extraordinary challenge in the age of cyber propaganda and disinformation. The escalating tensions between New Delhi and Islamabad over the Kashmir dispute are deemed alarming for the international community as the two countries particularly India possess no ceding traits within its present foreign policy behaviour. The successful working of nuclear deterrence depends upon the rationality of state leadership. It is questionable whether it may be so in the case of ruling Bhartiya Janata Party whose war-mongering anti-Pakistan fervour continues to be inspired by religious fanaticism and jingoism. The animus surviving for several decades in India-Pakistan bilateral coalesce has the potential to transform the South Asian region into a nuclear cauldron - the consequences of which would be appalling for states in the region and beyond.
进行这项分析是为了评估南亚核威慑的笨拙状态。它思考通过审议双方核武器态势的模棱两可的理论和模糊性来预见印巴战略稳定的真实性。通信、指挥和控制系统(C3S),传统上被认为是核装置的一个强大功能,在网络宣传和虚假信息时代面临着非同寻常的挑战。新德里和伊斯兰堡之间在克什米尔争端上不断升级的紧张局势被认为是国际社会的担忧,因为这两个国家,特别是印度,在其目前的外交政策行为中没有让步的特点。核威慑的成功运作取决于国家领导的合理性。执政党印度人民党(Bhartiya Janata Party)的情况是否如此值得怀疑,该党散布战争的反巴基斯坦热情继续受到宗教狂热和沙文主义的启发。印巴双边联合中持续了几十年的敌意有可能将南亚地区变成一个核熔炉,其后果对该地区及其他国家来说将是可怕的。
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引用次数: 0
Malaysia's Membership at the United Nations Security Council 2015-2016: Successes and Setback 马来西亚2015-2016年联合国安理会成员国:成功与挫折
Pub Date : 2020-12-22 DOI: 10.22452/mjir.vol8no1.6
Murni Abdul Hamid
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引用次数: 0
Oil-Boundary and Total-Complete Independence: Elite’s Power Struggle and the Power Discourse 石油边界与完全独立:精英权力斗争与权力话语
Pub Date : 2020-12-22 DOI: 10.22452/mjir.vol8no1.9
Fernando A. T. Ximenes
This commentary tries to explain the dimension of elites’ discourse and power struggle within Timor’s heroic struggle to determine its maritime boundary and oil-to-Timor. It aims to discuss the most elementary form of a power struggle of the elites behind the discourse of oil-to-Timor and the establishment of a new maritime boundary with Australia. This commentary concludes that the aspirations of Total-Complete Independence secured by the formula of oil-to-Timor and the establishment of the permanent maritime boundary with Australia is totally a fetishist delusion and resides precisely in self-serving desires of nationalist elites searching for the preservation of power, privilege and recognition; and the discourse itself serves as a moral and political mobilisation of the politico-economic elites.
这篇评论试图解释东帝汶为确定其海洋边界和向东帝汶提供石油而进行的英勇斗争中精英们的话语和权力斗争的维度。它旨在讨论精英们在石油对帝汶和与澳大利亚建立新的海上边界的讨论背后的权力斗争的最基本形式。这篇评论的结论是,通过向东帝汶提供石油和建立与澳大利亚的永久海洋边界的方案来实现完全完全独立的愿望完全是一种恋物癖妄想,正是出于民族主义精英寻求维护权力、特权和承认的自私欲望;话语本身就是政治经济精英的道德和政治动员。
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引用次数: 0
Max Abrahams, (2018). Rules for Rebels: The Science of Victory in Militant History. New York: Oxford University Press 马克斯·亚伯拉罕,(2018)。反叛者的规则:军事历史上的胜利科学。纽约:牛津大学出版社
Pub Date : 2020-12-22 DOI: 10.22452/mjir.vol8no1.10
Soon Thean Bee
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引用次数: 0
United States-China Dichotomy and Its Impact on Post Covid-19 Global Politics: A Critical Analysis 中美二分法及其对新冠肺炎疫情后全球政治的影响:批判性分析
Pub Date : 2020-12-22 DOI: 10.22452/mjir.vol8no1.1
Md. Saifullah Akon
COVID-19 pandemic, a disaster for humankind in the twenty-first century, has posed a significant impact over the already established US-centred global order. This established order has been challenged by the rise of China, particularly due to some uneven trade war between the two global giants: the United States and China. This US-China dichotomy is further enhanced due to the outbreak of the current COVID-19 pandemic. The inward policy of the United States during the pandemic and the growing cooperation of China in preventing the pandemic is establishing China as a savior to the coronavirusaffected countries. Considering the rivalry between the United States and China amid the pandemic, the main objective of the paper is to find out their global responses to COVID19 and how they maximise their opportunities to lead the post-COVID-19 global order. This article argues that China’s ‘One Belt, One Road (OBOR)’ policy could be one of the forefront issues for Chinese leaders to lead the post-COVID-19 global order due to Trump’s inward ‘America First’ policy. Finally, the article examines the challenges of China to formulate its desire to changing global order having the US-China dichotomy and geopolitical barriers as well.
新冠肺炎大流行是21世纪人类的灾难,对已经建立起来的以美国为中心的全球秩序造成了重大影响。这一既定秩序受到了中国崛起的挑战,特别是由于美国和中国这两个全球巨头之间的一些不平衡的贸易战。由于当前新冠肺炎疫情的爆发,这种美中二分法进一步加强。美国在疫情期间的内向政策和中国在预防疫情方面日益加强的合作,正在使中国成为受冠状病毒影响国家的救世主。考虑到美国和中国在大流行期间的竞争,本文的主要目的是找出他们对covid -19的全球应对措施,以及他们如何最大限度地发挥领导后covid -19全球秩序的机会。本文认为,由于特朗普的对内“美国优先”政策,中国的“一带一路”政策可能成为中国领导人领导后新冠肺炎时代全球秩序的前沿问题之一。最后,本文考察了中国在中美二元对立和地缘政治障碍的情况下,制定其改变全球秩序的愿望所面临的挑战。
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引用次数: 4
The Revival of Contact Points as a Form of Party Legitimation in Contemporary China 接触点作为党的合法性形式在当代中国的复兴
Pub Date : 2019-12-22 DOI: 10.22452/mjir.vol7no1.1
A. Tyson, Xinye Wu
One important but understudied political reform under President Xi Jinping since 2012 is the revival of contact points (lianxi dian) as a means for Chinese Communist Party (CCP) cadres to establish and maintain close ties with specific constituencies. The revival of contact points has the potential to disrupt dominant patterns of patronage in China and to enhance Party legitimacy. We analyse government claims about the impact of cadre contact points on national Party discipline and personnel, as well as on grassroots poverty reduction schemes and anti-corruption initiatives. Drawing on official sources, we find that contact points are framed as pragmatic government reforms with limited connection to Party ideology. The current reforms in China combine traditional state investigative powers and bureaucratic imperatives with heavily circumscribed channels for civic engagement. Party cadres appear to be given degrees of freedom to take their own policy initiatives at contact points, which create risks, but generally serve to legitimize the CCP.
联络点的复兴有可能破坏中国占主导地位的庇护模式,并增强党的合法性。我们分析了政府关于干部联络点对国家党纪和人事的影响,以及对基层减贫计划和反腐败举措的影响的说法。根据官方资料,我们发现接触点被定义为务实的政府改革,与党的意识形态联系有限。中国目前的改革将传统的国家调查权力和官僚制度与严格限制的公民参与渠道相结合。党的干部似乎被赋予了一定程度的自由,可以在接触点采取自己的政策举措,这会产生风险,但通常会使中共合法化。
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引用次数: 0
Malaysia-Taiwan Relations and Taiwan’s New Southbound Policy 马台关系与台湾新南向政策
Pub Date : 2018-12-22 DOI: 10.22452/MJIR.VOL6NO1.3
E. Yeoh, Chang-Wook Lee, Zhang Yemo
The main objective of Taiwan’s New Southbound Policy is to reduce Taiwan’s economic dependence on Mainland China and seek a new engine for the economic development of Taiwan. Malaysia has the advantage of stable politics and open markets relative to other ASEAN countries. Under the “New Southbound Policy” launched in 2016 by Taiwan’s Tsai Ing-wen Administration to encourage local enterprises to invest in and trade with Southeast Asian countries. Malaysia as one of the most important Southeast Asian countries are attracting FDI from Taiwan with her rich natural resources, cheap labour cost, similar culture, and the easy-access sale network that connects ASEAN countries. Besides, other aspects including cultural and other societal, people-to-people, interactions also represent important foci of Taiwan-Malaysia bilateral relations under the New Southbound Policy.
台湾新南向政策的主要目标是减少台湾经济对中国大陆的依赖,寻求台湾经济发展的新引擎。相对于其他东盟国家,马来西亚具有稳定的政治和开放的市场的优势。根据台湾蔡英文政府于2016年推出的“新南向政策”,鼓励当地企业在东南亚国家投资和贸易。马来西亚作为东南亚最重要的国家之一,以其丰富的自然资源、低廉的劳动力成本、相似的文化,以及连接东盟国家的便捷的销售网络,吸引着台湾的外商直接投资。此外,在新南向政策下,包括文化和其他社会、民间互动在内的其他方面也是台马双边关系的重要焦点。
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引用次数: 0
The Influence of Geography in Asymmetric Conflicts in Narrow Seas and the Houthi Insurgency in Yemen 地理对窄海不对称冲突和也门胡塞叛乱的影响
Pub Date : 2018-12-22 DOI: 10.22452/MJIR.VOL6NO1.7
Khaldon Ahmed Abdulla, Jatswan Singh
This commentary discusses the impact of geography in asymmetric warfare in order to analyze how an inferior side acting from a geographical advantage can cast a challenge to the superior party in the conflict. As such, the paper focuses on the context of narrow seas, the opportunities and challenges that the geographical configuration of the seas create for adversaries, its impact on their capabilities and influence on their choices. Subsequently, it attempts to illustrate the role of geography in enhancing the efficiency of small arms tactics and unconventional warfare at seas, henceforth, realizing the spatial factor behind the rise of non-state actors as a major threat in maritime security. The commentary then discusses the case of the Houthi insurgency in Yemen to empirically explore their utilization of the geographical location of the country at the southern entrance of the Red Sea, near Bab el-Mandeb Strait in order to execute sporadic military operations against the more superior coalition led by Saudi Arabia.
这篇评论讨论了地理在不对称战争中的影响,以分析劣势方如何从地理优势出发,在冲突中向优势方发起挑战。因此,该文件侧重于狭海的背景,海洋地理配置为对手创造的机遇和挑战,其对其能力的影响以及对其选择的影响。随后,本文试图说明地理在提高海上小武器战术和非常规战争效率方面的作用,从而认识到非国家行为体崛起为海上安全主要威胁背后的空间因素。这篇评论随后讨论了也门胡塞叛乱的案例,以经验探索他们利用该国在红海南部入口的地理位置,靠近曼德海峡,以便对沙特阿拉伯领导的更强大的联盟进行零星的军事行动。
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引用次数: 0
The End of History: The Role of Immigrants in Kano Textile Industry 历史的终结:移民在卡诺纺织业中的作用
Pub Date : 2018-12-22 DOI: 10.22452/mjir.vol6no1.6
Murtala Muhammad
This paper sets out to present immigrants’ efforts and contributions in making Kano the largest textile trade entrepot and production centre. It covers the span of seven centuries from pre-colonial, colonial to post-colonial times. This paper argues that immigrants played a central role in the transformation of the Kano textile industry. The transformation of Kano from a tribal backwater to a remarkable textile hub was made possible through the assimilation and integration of different groups of immigrants. Importantly, it discusses the Chinese immigrants’ phenomena in the occupying Kano market, where they forcefully drew back the wheel of Kano textile growth to the disadvantage of the local economy with their competitive advantage. This paper concludes that exploitations by immigrants have changed the historical narratives of the Kano textile industry from one based on local economic growth to external power exploitation.
本文旨在介绍移民为使卡诺成为最大的纺织品贸易转口和生产中心所做的努力和贡献。它涵盖了从前殖民时代、殖民时代到后殖民时代的七个世纪。本文认为,移民在卡诺纺织业的转型中发挥了核心作用。卡诺从一个穷乡僻壤的部落转变为一个引人注目的纺织中心,是通过不同移民群体的同化和融合而实现的。重要的是,它讨论了中国移民在占领卡诺市场中的现象,在那里,他们凭借竞争优势有力地将卡诺纺织业的增长车轮拉回了对当地经济的不利地位。本文的结论是,移民的剥削改变了卡诺纺织业的历史叙事,从基于当地经济增长的叙事转变为外部权力剥削。
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引用次数: 1
Ahmadiyya: Growth and Development of a Persecuted Community Ahmadiyya:受迫害群体的成长与发展
Pub Date : 2018-12-22 DOI: 10.22452/MJIR.VOL6NO1.4
A. Moten
Ahmadiyya, a group, founded in the 19th century India, has suffered fierce persecution in various parts of the Muslim world where governments have declared them to be non-Muslims. Despite opposition from mainstream Muslims, the movement continued its proselytising efforts and currently boasts millions of followers worldwide. Based on the documentary sources and other scholarly writings, this paper judges the claims made by the movement's founder, Mirza Ghulam Ahmad, analyses the consequences of the claims and examines their proselytizing strategies. This paper found that the claims made by Mirza were not in accordance with the belief of mainstream Muslims, which led to their persecution. The reasons for their success in recruiting millions of members worldwide is to be found in their philanthropic activities, avoidance of violence and pursuit of peace inherent in their doctrine of jihad, exerting in the way of God, not by the sword but by the pen.
Ahmadiyya是一个成立于19世纪印度的组织,在穆斯林世界的各个地区都遭受了激烈的迫害,政府宣布他们为非穆斯林。尽管遭到主流穆斯林的反对,该运动仍在继续其传教努力,目前在全球拥有数百万追随者。本文根据文献资料和其他学术著作,对该运动创始人米尔扎·古拉姆·艾哈迈德的主张进行了评判,分析了这些主张的后果,并考察了他们的传教策略。本文发现,米尔扎的说法与主流穆斯林的信仰不符,导致了他们的迫害。他们成功在全球招募数百万成员的原因可以从他们的慈善活动、避免暴力和追求圣战教义中固有的和平中找到,他们以上帝的方式发挥作用,不是用剑,而是用笔。
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引用次数: 4
期刊
Malaysian Journal of International Relations
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