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Development Cycle Modeling: Transdisciplinary Implications 开发周期建模:跨学科的含义
Q3 Multidisciplinary Pub Date : 2021-07-15 DOI: 10.22545/2021/00159
Samuel Denard
This paper argues that development (product, system, software, etc.) is an inherently transdisciplinary activity. Development is defined as the conversion of ideas into their manifestations. This conversion is often characterized by development phases, e.g., concept, requirements, design, implementation, and evaluation/testing (CRDIE). Iterative sequences of these phases form development cycles. Development cycles drive new product creation as well as product quality and cost and utility. Consequently, understanding development cycles is important. Models can provide insight; however, end-to-end quantitative development cycle models are, at best, rare. This paper outlines such a model, the Statistical Agent-based Model of Development and Evaluation (SAbMDE). For purposes of this paper, transdisciplinarity is defined as a developer’s holistic view of reality as filtered by that developer’s sensory input and perception of that reality. The model builds its mathematical and logical structures on a foundational concept that includes and describes this sensory and perceptual integration. Because the proposed model has this transdisciplinary characteristic, the model's use and results will have transdisciplinary implications. One implication: Ideas are discovered, not created. Another: A developer must first adjust their perception to see the development path that leads to a desired end product before they can traverse that path. A third: The ordering of information in a development space must be maintained.. This paper defines a minimal SAbMDE model that logically and mathematically reveals these and other SAbMDE transdisciplinarity implications.
本文认为开发(产品、系统、软件等)本质上是一种跨学科的活动。发展被定义为将思想转化为其表现形式。这种转换通常以开发阶段为特征,例如概念、需求、设计、实现和评估/测试(CRDIE)。这些阶段的迭代序列形成了开发周期。开发周期推动新产品的创造以及产品质量、成本和实用性。因此,了解开发周期非常重要。模型可以提供洞察力;然而,端到端的定量开发周期模型充其量是罕见的。本文概述了这样一个模型,即基于统计代理的开发与评估模型(SAbMDE)。为了本文的目的,跨学科被定义为开发人员对现实的整体看法,该看法被开发人员的感官输入和对现实的感知所过滤。该模型将其数学和逻辑结构建立在一个基本概念之上,该概念包括并描述了这种感觉和感知的整合。由于所提出的模型具有这种跨学科的特征,该模型的使用和结果将具有跨学科的含义。言下之意:思想是被发现的,而不是被创造的。另一个:开发人员必须首先调整他们的感知,以看到通往所需最终产品的开发路径,然后才能遍历该路径。第三:必须保持发展空间中信息的有序性。。本文定义了一个最小SAbMDE模型,该模型从逻辑和数学上揭示了这些和其他SAbMDE跨学科含义。
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引用次数: 0
Understanding the Impact of the COVID-19 Pandemic on Student Nurses – A Transdisciplinary Problem 了解新冠肺炎大流行对实习护士的影响——一个跨学科的问题
Q3 Multidisciplinary Pub Date : 2021-02-07 DOI: 10.22545/2021/00156
A. Muradli, P. Gibbs
The COVID-19 pandemic has had a devastating impact across Azerbaijan. Official statistics suggest that there have been well over 3000 COVID-19 deaths in Azerbaijan, and this is generally accepted to underestimate the true number. There is growing evidence that health and social care workers appear to have a heightened risk of infection and mortality as do people from Black, Asian and Minority Ethnic (BAME) backgrounds. For example an analysis of COVID-19 deaths at St George’s hospital in the UK demonstrated a similar age distribution to deaths normally observed in the hospital which was in contrast with BAME communities who were “disproportionately affected by COVID-19 and non-COVID deaths, and the excess in mortality in the BAME groups remains after adjustment and is not fully explained by available hospital information on comorbidities age, sex or poverty”. (Perkin et al, 2020:70 [1]). It is clear that the challenges which all students are experiencing have been magnified for those studying to enter these medical professions, but each in very different ways. In nursing and midwifery students have been offered the opportunity to opt for extended placements within NHS services to support the national response to COVID-19 (Jackson et al, 2020 [2]). Each of these different options presents both challenges and opportunities for students. These students are likely to have a range of experiences, both positive and negative and may be placed in challenging situations; some predicable, others potentially unforeseen. Nurses have been in the front line of the response to COVID-19 with many being redeployed as in-patient services were reconfigured to ensure the health service retains the capacity to treat the expected large numbers of patients with COVID-19. In parallel, the public health response to the pandemic with its twin principles of ‘social distancing’ and the ‘self-isolation’ imposed during a national ‘lockdown’ present huge challenges. Social care services have had to manage unprecedented social upheaval. Social workers have had to rapidly adjust their practice in order to discharge their statutory responsibilities. For community based mental health nurses the best practice principles of patient centred and recovery focused care have been fundamentally challenged by the need for social distancing, while for midwifes whether working in the
新冠肺炎疫情对整个阿塞拜疆造成了毁灭性影响。官方统计数据表明,阿塞拜疆新冠肺炎死亡人数远远超过3000人,人们普遍认为这低估了真实数字。越来越多的证据表明,卫生和社会护理工作者的感染和死亡风险似乎更高,黑人、亚裔和少数民族背景的人也是如此。例如,对英国圣乔治医院新冠肺炎死亡人数的分析表明,该医院的死亡人数年龄分布与正常观察到的死亡人数相似,这与“不成比例地受到新冠肺炎和非新冠肺炎死亡的影响,BAME组的超额死亡率在调整后仍然存在,医院关于合并症年龄、性别或贫困的可用信息没有充分解释”。(Perkin等人,2020:70[1])。很明显,对于那些学习进入这些医学专业的学生来说,所有学生所面临的挑战都被放大了,但每一种挑战的方式都非常不同。在护理和助产专业,学生有机会选择在NHS服务中延长实习时间,以支持国家应对新冠肺炎(Jackson等人,2020[2])。每一种不同的选择都给学生带来了挑战和机遇。这些学生可能有一系列积极和消极的经历,并可能处于具有挑战性的环境中;有些是可预测的,有些则可能是不可预见的。护士一直站在应对新冠肺炎的第一线,随着住院服务的重新配置,许多护士被重新部署,以确保卫生服务保持治疗预计大量新冠肺炎患者的能力。与此同时,公共卫生应对疫情的措施及其“保持社交距离”和全国“封锁”期间实施的“自我隔离”的双重原则带来了巨大挑战。社会护理服务不得不应对前所未有的社会动荡。社会工作者不得不迅速调整他们的做法,以履行他们的法定职责。对于社区心理健康护士来说,以患者为中心和以康复为重点的护理的最佳实践原则受到了社交距离需求的根本挑战,而对于助产士来说,无论是在
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引用次数: 0
Georgian approach to COVID-19 格鲁吉亚应对新冠肺炎的方法
Q3 Multidisciplinary Pub Date : 2021-02-05 DOI: 10.22545/2021/00154
Zurabi Jankhoteli, P. Gibbs
The COVID-19 pandemic, declared a global threat by the World Health Organization 2020, is a new challenge in the modern world. The virus has spread to almost every country, and this fact has affected many aspects, including the economy and healthcare. A new crisis has begun in the world, which is very difficult to overcome. When the spread of the virus had just begun in the Chinese city of Wuhan, meanwhile Georgian government started discussion about the seriousness of this virus. In Georgia, the virus had a negative impact on the economy, healthcare and the social status of citizens. To some extent, the crisis triggered by fears of a pandemic, as so far no governing body, as well as the public, has had no experience in dealing with threats of a similar magnitude. The ongoing processes in the world have become force majeure due to the rapid growth of the pandemic, resulting in the inability to share, use and coordinate the knowledge, which countries have accumulated in the fight against the virus. If such in-depth studies were available, Georgia would be able to reduce the expected economic downturn based on their analysis. As soon as the first case of Covid infection was confirmed, citizens panicked and began to over-purchase food and necessities for further storage and use. This fact caused the first micro shock to the economy, which was manifested in the depreciation of the national currency against the dollar, in its instability, in addition there arose to the real threat to logistics and supply. Rising unemployment, rising risk of bankruptcy for small and medium-sized businesses, rising poverty rates, stagnant tourism businesses and declining international remittances are a combination of aspects that play an important role in shaping Georgia’s economic climate. The deterioration of these indicators means the aggravation of the economic crisis inside the country. According to the data, the contribution of tourism is 21.3% of Georgia’s GDP, thus the problems created in this segment will be dramatically reflected on the business entities operating in this sector as well
世界卫生组织2020年宣布新冠肺炎大流行为全球威胁,这是现代世界面临的新挑战。病毒几乎已经传播到每个国家,这一事实影响了许多方面,包括经济和医疗保健。世界上已经开始了一场新的危机,这场危机很难克服。当病毒在中国城市武汉刚刚开始传播时,格鲁吉亚政府开始讨论这种病毒的严重性。在格鲁吉亚,该病毒对经济、医疗保健和公民的社会地位产生了负面影响。在某种程度上,这场危机是由对大流行的恐惧引发的,因为到目前为止,没有一个管理机构和公众在应对类似规模的威胁方面没有经验。由于疫情的快速增长,世界上正在进行的进程已成为不可抗力,导致各国无法分享、使用和协调各国在抗击病毒中积累的知识。如果有这样深入的研究,格鲁吉亚将能够根据他们的分析减少预期的经济衰退。第一例新冠肺炎感染病例一经确诊,市民们就惊慌失措,开始过度购买食品和必需品以供进一步储存和使用。这一事实对经济造成了第一次微观冲击,表现为国家货币对美元贬值,经济不稳定,此外还对物流和供应造成了真正的威胁。失业率上升、中小型企业破产风险上升、贫困率上升、旅游业停滞和国际汇款减少,这些因素在塑造格鲁吉亚经济气候方面发挥着重要作用。这些指标的恶化意味着国内经济危机的加剧。根据数据,旅游业占格鲁吉亚GDP的21.3%,因此这一领域产生的问题也将极大地反映在该行业的商业实体身上
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引用次数: 0
The Impact of the Covid-19 virus on Domestic Violence Covid-19病毒对家庭暴力的影响
Q3 Multidisciplinary Pub Date : 2021-02-05 DOI: 10.22545/2021/00153
A. Gurbanova, P. Gibbs
Violence against women, especially by intimate partners, is one of the main problems throughout the world. Based on data from the World Health Organisation (WHO), as well as the Organization for Security and Co-operation in Europe (OSCE) almost 30% of women worldwide are sexually or physically abused by their partners at least once in their lifetime: up to 38% of women’s deaths are caused by intimate partners, and only 11% of victims report the violence to the authorities. Women of any age are also exposed to various forms of violence in their homes by family members, usually referred to as ‘domestic violence’. Crises and times of unrest have been linked to increased interpersonal violence, including incidents of violence against women and children (Fraser, 2020 [1]). Pandemics are no exception. In fact, the regional or global nature and associated fear and uncertainty of pandemics provide an enabling environment that may exacerbate or spark diverse forms of violence. Fraser, E. (2020 [1]). Peterman et al. (2020 [2]) document nine (direct and indirect) pathways linking pandemics and violence to women. This paper presents a transdisciplinary approach to the problem of domestic female violence in Azerbaijan especially during COVID-19. It discusses the literature in terms of transdisciplinarity and then, with this as a contextual basis, considers how Azerbaijan might act. The advantage of a transdisciplinary approach to gender violence is that it analyses the problem as well as its possible causes and considers the consequences from different points of view and hence, can put forward various proposals to diminish the gender violence rate. Flood and Pease (2009 [3]) in an Australian study found two clusters of factors associated with domestic violence and these were; gender and culture. These had an influence at multiple levels of the social order on attitudes regarding violence. Additional factors operate at individual, organizational, community, or societal levels in particular, although their influence may overlap across multiple levels. They proposed five ways of approaching the problem but none are possible as a disciplinary response. They require, although they don’t call it as such, transdisciplinary problem solving. We have paraphrased them as:
对妇女的暴力,特别是亲密伴侣的暴力,是全世界的主要问题之一。根据世界卫生组织(世界卫生组织)和欧洲安全与合作组织(欧安组织)的数据,全世界近30%的妇女一生中至少遭受过一次伴侣的性虐待或身体虐待:高达38%的妇女死亡是由亲密伴侣造成的,只有11%的受害者向当局报告了暴力行为。任何年龄的妇女也会在家中遭受家庭成员的各种形式的暴力,通常被称为“家庭暴力”。危机和动乱时期与人际暴力的增加有关,包括针对妇女和儿童的暴力事件(Fraser,2020[1])。流行病也不例外。事实上,流行病的区域或全球性质以及相关的恐惧和不确定性提供了一个有利的环境,可能会加剧或引发各种形式的暴力。Fraser,E.(2020[1])。Peterman等人(2020[2])记录了将流行病和暴力行为与妇女联系起来的九种(直接和间接)途径。本文提出了一种跨学科的方法来解决阿塞拜疆的家庭女性暴力问题,特别是在新冠肺炎期间。它从跨学科的角度讨论了文献,然后以此为背景,考虑阿塞拜疆可能如何行动。跨学科处理性别暴力的优势在于,它分析了问题及其可能的原因,并从不同的角度考虑了后果,因此可以提出各种建议来降低性别暴力率。Flood and Pease(2009[3])在澳大利亚的一项研究中发现了与家庭暴力相关的两组因素,它们是:;性别和文化。这些在社会秩序的多个层面上对对待暴力的态度产生了影响。其他因素尤其在个人、组织、社区或社会层面发挥作用,尽管它们的影响可能在多个层面重叠。他们提出了五种解决问题的方法,但都不可能作为纪律回应。他们需要跨学科的问题解决,尽管他们并不这么认为。我们将其改写为:
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引用次数: 0
The impact of the COVID-19 lockdown rules on the socio-psychological condition of the people over 65 in Azerbaijan 新冠肺炎封锁规定对阿塞拜疆65岁以上人群社会心理状况的影响
Q3 Multidisciplinary Pub Date : 2021-02-04 DOI: 10.22545/2021/00155
L. Huseynova, P. Gibbs
The new coronavirus (Covid-19) epidemic, was first detected in Azerbaijan in February 2020. This epidemic, in addition to the impact on human health, has had a negative impact across the country for the economy, tourism, social relations and the conditions necessary for human life. International reports show that the group most at risk of the pandemic is the older population.The coronavirus pandemic has disproportionately affected this group, both in terms of hospitalizations and deaths, but also by the consequences of restrictions on social contact resulting in physical de-conditioning and worsened mental health (Briguglio, 2020 [1]) which caused them to be more vulnerable to the other socio-cultural and economic factors. I contend that the global research response to the COVID-19 pandemic has not been focused on the general needs of older people; rather research has focused on treatment more than prevention or rehabilitation, on hospital care rather than community care, on counting deaths rather than measuring function and on younger people rather than older people (Fraser, 2020 [2], Lithander, 2020 [3]). The consequences of the pandemic not only affect the health of the elderly, but also their psychological, physiological and social status. Thus, isolationist speeches against them, such as self-loathing, death phobia, loss of contact with peers, make life difficult for them. They thought that if they contracted the virus, their lives would end, their beliefs about overcoming the disease would weaken, and their failure to continue their social life as usual would lead to depression. Indeed, recently Soto-Perez-de-Celis (2020 [4]) has claimed that there are negative social media messages about COVID-19 and aging, often characterizing older adults as helpless and expendable individuals. Kluge (2020 [5]), WHO Regional Director for Europe, addressing journalists at a virtual press briefing said “I am reminding governments and authorities that all communities must be supported to deliver interventions to ensure older people have what they need. All
新型冠状病毒(Covid-19)疫情于2020年2月在阿塞拜疆首次发现。这种流行病除了对人类健康造成影响外,还对全国各地的经济、旅游、社会关系和人类生活所必需的条件产生了不利影响。国际报告显示,面临大流行风险最大的群体是老年人。冠状病毒大流行对这一群体的影响不成比例,不仅在住院和死亡方面,而且在限制社会接触导致身体状况下降和心理健康恶化的后果方面(Briguglio, 2020[1]),这使他们更容易受到其他社会文化和经济因素的影响。我认为,针对COVID-19大流行的全球研究应对措施并未关注老年人的一般需求;相反,研究侧重于治疗而不是预防或康复,侧重于医院护理而不是社区护理,侧重于计算死亡而不是测量功能,侧重于年轻人而不是老年人(Fraser, 2020 [2], Lithander, 2020[3])。大流行的后果不仅影响老年人的健康,而且影响他们的心理、生理和社会地位。因此,针对他们的孤立主义言论,如自我厌恶、死亡恐惧症、与同龄人失去联系,使他们的生活变得困难。他们认为,如果他们感染了病毒,他们的生命就会结束,他们战胜疾病的信念就会减弱,他们无法像往常一样继续他们的社交生活就会导致抑郁症。事实上,最近Soto-Perez-de-Celis (2020 b[4])声称,社交媒体上存在关于COVID-19和老龄化的负面信息,通常将老年人描述为无助和消耗性的个体。世卫组织欧洲区域主任Kluge(2020年10月10日)在虚拟新闻发布会上对记者说:“我提醒各国政府和当局,必须支持所有社区提供干预措施,以确保老年人获得所需。所有
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引用次数: 0
The COVID-19 pandemic in Brazil: what is happening on the front line 巴西新冠肺炎疫情:前线发生了什么
Q3 Multidisciplinary Pub Date : 2021-01-12 DOI: 10.22545/2021/00146
A. Prado, A. K. Marinho, C. Gattaz, Wesley Mendes-da-Silva
Alex Isidoro Ferreira Prado, Ana Karolina Barreto Berselli Marinho, Cristiane Chaves Gattaz2∗, Wesley Mendes-Da-Silva 1 Hospital das Cĺınicas Medical School at University of Sao Paulo USP, Brazil 2 Immunity Initiative, Brazil, (www.immunityinitiative.com.br) 3 Sao Paulo School of Business Administration – FGV/EAESP, (https://eaesp.fgv.br/professor/wesley-mendes-silva) ∗ Correspondence: Email:cristiane.gattaz@gmail.com
Alex Isidoro Ferreira Prado、Ana Karolina Barreto Berselli Marinho、Cristiane Chaves Gattaz2*、Wesley Mendes Da Silva圣保罗大学医学院1号医院USP,巴西2 Immunity Initiative,巴西,(www.icommunityinitiation.com.br)3圣保罗工商管理学院-FGV/EESP(https://eaesp.fgv.br/professor/wesley-mendes-silva)*通信:电子邮件:cristiane.gattaz@gmail.com
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引用次数: 0
Impact of COVID-19 Pandemic in Turkey COVID-19大流行对土耳其的影响
Q3 Multidisciplinary Pub Date : 2021-01-12 DOI: 10.22545/2021/00147
E. Işık
Turkey is one of the countries affected by the COVID-19 outbreak relatively late with the first positive case reported on March 10, 2020. Following the first incident, COVID-19 cases escalated quickly and dramatically. As of December 10, 2020, Turkey’s number of new cases was 30.424, which is fourth amongst all the countries, following highly populated countries like the USA, Brazil and India. Additionally, the total number of cases in Turkey since the beginning of the pandemic has reached 1.748.567 with a death toll of 15.751 (Turkish Ministry of Health, 2020 [1]). Turkish Ministry of Health was quick in its response to the pandemic. Only a week after the first incident, the schools and universities were suspended. The restaurants, cafes, museums, shopping malls, hairdressers, nightclubs and wedding halls were temporarily closed. Wearing a mask in public places has become mandatory. Additionally, flexible working hours and shifts were adopted. Although a total lock down was never applied because of economical reasons, curfews during the weekends and holidays have become the standard. In addition to these policies, a unique age selected curfew was adopted. Turkey is a relatively young country, with a population of 25.5 million children and adolescents while only 7.5 million people are over 65 (Turkish Statistical Institute, 2020 [2]). Turkey decided to and applied a strict curfew for these two age groups; elderly people aged over 65 as they have higher morbidity risk and youngsters aged under 20 as they have a higher chance of spreading the virus without showing any symptoms. Additionally, the youngsters and the elderly are mostly out of the work force, therefore their curfew has not affected the economy. Although in theory it is a very bright idea to lockdown 40% of the population, the isolation of these two age groups actually requires a special attention. Geriatricians recommend regular social and physical activity for cognitive and emotional well being of the elderly (Soysal, Aydin, & Isik, 2020 [3]). Curfew interrupted their physical and social activities and has the potential of affecting them negatively both psychologically and physically in the long run. On the other hand, COVID-19 changed daily lives of adolescents drastically all over the world. A comparative study between Turkish and Danish adolescents’ feelings indicated that Turkish adolescents were significantly more concerned about their future with it getting worse with the pandemic (61,4% vs
土耳其是受新冠肺炎疫情影响相对较晚的国家之一,2020年3月10日报告了首例阳性病例。第一次事件发生后,新冠肺炎病例迅速急剧升级。截至2020年12月10日,土耳其的新增病例数为30.424例,在所有国家中排名第四,仅次于美国、巴西和印度等人口稠密的国家。此外,自疫情开始以来,土耳其的病例总数已达1.748.567例,死亡人数为15.751人(土耳其卫生部,2020年[1])。土耳其卫生部对新冠疫情反应迅速。第一次事件发生仅一周后,学校和大学就停课了。餐馆、咖啡馆、博物馆、购物中心、理发店、夜总会和婚礼大厅暂时关闭。在公共场所必须戴口罩。此外,还采用了灵活的工作时间和轮班制。尽管由于经济原因从未实施全面封锁,但周末和节假日的宵禁已成为标准。除了这些政策外,还采取了一项独特的年龄选择宵禁。土耳其是一个相对年轻的国家,有2550万儿童和青少年人口,而65岁以上的人口只有750万(土耳其统计研究所,2020[2])。土耳其决定并对这两个年龄组实行严格的宵禁;65岁以上的老年人发病风险更高,20岁以下的年轻人在没有任何症状的情况下传播病毒的几率更高。此外,年轻人和老年人大多失业,因此他们的宵禁没有影响经济。尽管理论上封锁40%的人口是一个非常明智的想法,但这两个年龄段的隔离实际上需要特别关注。老年医生建议定期进行社交和体育活动,以促进老年人的认知和情绪健康(Soysal,Aydin,&Isik,2020[3])。宵禁打断了他们的身体和社交活动,从长远来看,有可能对他们的心理和身体产生负面影响。另一方面,新冠肺炎极大地改变了世界各地青少年的日常生活。一项土耳其和丹麦青少年情绪的比较研究表明,随着疫情的恶化,土耳其青少年明显更关心自己的未来(61.4%对
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引用次数: 1
Social Environmental Inequalities in France When Facing Covid-19 Health Crisis 法国面临新冠肺炎健康危机时的社会环境不平等
Q3 Multidisciplinary Pub Date : 2021-01-12 DOI: 10.22545/2021/00150
Samuel Lopes Pinheiro, Florent Pasquie
The worldwide health crisis of SARS-CoV-2, the so-called Coronavirus, is a strong transdisciplinary exercise due its multisectoral societal actors that are involved in giving perspectives to build accurate responses for that. When facing this challenge of health crisis by getting close to a particular data, information or statistics that concerns the disease itself, we find that a health crisis is not a simple health problem, but health is also a matter of access to a healthy environment and it is about social issues as well. We cannot treat ecosystem in a reductionist perspective anymore, because the problems are not isolated, but on the contrary, they are inter related to each other. From now on, we are invited to consider the great interdependence of different systems of thinking and action. A Science that looks beyond the disciplines themselves. Alternatively, we could say an “ecological thinking” (Morin, 2020, p.35 [1]), in the sense that the ecological problem is not just about our relation with nature, but also the relations with ourselves. According to Barton, H. and Grant, M. (2006 [2]): “The links between health and settlements are often indirect and complex. A tool to improve understanding and foster collaboration between planning and health decision-makers is badly needed”. For that, the authors have developed a health map that represents the complexity of socio-ecological systems, in which the category of “people” is centered positioned and simultaneously surrounded by several layers, like lifestyle, community, local economy, built environment, natural environment, and global ecosystems. If we take the centrality of people for our analyses in the context of France during the period of major demand of health care in the first half of the year of 2020 still in the first coronavirus wave in Europe, we will find many social environmental inequalities in the access of this care. From ecological political studies, Machado (2020, p.29 [3]) points out that one third of the world human population is under social isolating measures and two thirds of world human population is under the yoke of
严重急性呼吸系统综合征冠状病毒2型(即所谓的冠状病毒)的全球健康危机是一场强有力的跨学科活动,因为它的多部门社会行动者参与了为建立准确的应对措施提供视角。当我们通过接近与疾病本身有关的特定数据、信息或统计数据来面对健康危机的挑战时,我们发现健康危机不是一个简单的健康问题,健康也是一个获得健康环境的问题,也是一个社会问题。我们不能再从还原论的角度来看待生态系统,因为这些问题不是孤立的,相反,它们是相互关联的。从现在起,我们被邀请考虑不同的思维和行动系统之间的巨大相互依存性。一门超越学科本身的科学。或者,我们可以说是一种“生态思维”(Morin,2020,p.35[1]),因为生态问题不仅关乎我们与自然的关系,也关乎我们与自身的关系。Barton,H.和Grant,M.(2006[2])认为:“卫生和住区之间的联系往往是间接和复杂的。迫切需要一种工具来提高规划和卫生决策者之间的理解和促进合作”。为此,作者开发了一张代表社会生态系统复杂性的健康地图,其中“人”的类别以生活方式、社区、地方经济、建筑环境、自然环境和全球生态系统为中心,同时被多个层次包围。如果我们将人的中心地位放在2020年上半年法国医疗保健需求旺盛时期的分析中,仍然处于欧洲的第一波冠状病毒浪潮中,我们将发现在获得医疗保健方面存在许多社会环境不平等。根据生态政治研究,Machado(2020,p.29[3])指出,世界三分之一的人口处于社会隔离措施之下,三分之二的世界人口处于
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引用次数: 1
Forecasts of the Impact of the COVID-19 Pandemic on Russia’s Development in 2020 新冠肺炎疫情对俄罗斯2020年发展的影响预测
Q3 Multidisciplinary Pub Date : 2021-01-12 DOI: 10.22545/2021/00148
A. M. Chochiev, V. Mokiy
The COVID-19 pandemic has exacerbated economic and social problems in Russia. According to the Russian Ministry of economic development, the largest drop in GDP in 2020 is expected in the second quarter (by 9.5% in annual terms), when the country’s economy was slowed down due to quarantine. In the third and fourth quarters of 2020, GDP is projected to fall to 6.3% and 5.2%, respectively. Unemployment in Russia in 2020 will be the highest since 2011 and will grow to 5.7%. Real incomes of the population will decrease by 3.8% by the end of this year [3]. During the second wave of the epidemic (September-October 2020), a serious problem is arising for all regions. First of all, this is manifested in the shortage of doctors. Additional assistance attracting medical graduates and students is exhausting its potential. In the regions, there is a shortage of beds in hospitals and CT scanners [4]. During the pandemic, universities and other educational organizations switched to distance learning. Despite the fact that this forced measure allowed to reduce the number of infections among students and teachers, distance learning cannot fully replace face-to-face education, especially in medical faculties. As a result, students do not have a sufficient degree of mastering practical skills, which can lead to a decrease in the level of professional competencies [2]. Conclusions: Despite all measures to control the spread of viral infection, there is a steady trend towards an increase in the incidence. The population and government officials are getting rid of illusions on a global scale, understanding the long-term and, possibly, total nature of the problem. It is generally accepted that three factors play a role in the victory over a viral infection: anti-epidemiological and therapeutic measures; resources of the human immune system; mutations of the virus itself. However, in the recent history of mankind there are examples of viral pandemics (Spanish flu, Hong Kong flu, SARS, MERS), viruses that cause these diseases, suddenly appearing and suddenly losing their dangerous properties or disappearing
新冠肺炎疫情加剧了俄罗斯的经济和社会问题。根据俄罗斯经济发展部的数据,预计2020年国内生产总值的最大降幅将出现在第二季度(按年度计算下降9.5%),当时该国经济因隔离而放缓。2020年第三季度和第四季度,国内生产总值预计将分别降至6.3%和5.2%。2020年俄罗斯的失业率将达到2011年以来的最高水平,并将增长至5.7%。到今年年底,人口的实际收入将下降3.8%[3]。在第二波疫情期间(2020年9月至10月),所有地区都出现了严重问题。首先,这表现为医生短缺。吸引医学毕业生和学生的额外援助正在耗尽其潜力。在这些地区,医院床位和CT扫描仪短缺[4]。在疫情期间,大学和其他教育组织转向了远程学习。尽管这项强制措施可以减少学生和教师的感染人数,但远程教育不能完全取代面对面的教育,尤其是在医学院。因此,学生对实践技能的掌握程度不够,这可能导致专业能力水平下降[2]。结论:尽管采取了一切措施来控制病毒感染的传播,但发病率仍有稳步上升的趋势。民众和政府官员正在全球范围内消除幻想,了解问题的长期性,可能还有整体性。人们普遍认为,战胜病毒感染有三个因素:抗流行病学和治疗措施;人类免疫系统的资源;病毒本身的突变。然而,在人类近代史上,有一些病毒大流行的例子(西班牙流感、香港流感、SARS、MERS),导致这些疾病的病毒突然出现并突然失去其危险特性或消失
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引用次数: 0
The impact of the Covid-19 Pandemic on the Mental Health and Socio-Economic Conditions of the Portuguese People 新冠肺炎疫情对葡萄牙人民心理健康和社会经济状况的影响
Q3 Multidisciplinary Pub Date : 2021-01-12 DOI: 10.22545/2021/00151
A. Leiria, P. Martins
Recently, several studies have been published on the impact of confinement (due to the Covid-19 pandemic) on the mental health of the Portuguese people [1]. For example, the Instituto de Psicologia Cĺınica e Forense (Institute of Forensic Psychology) carried out a study with 10,500 participants from the general Portuguese population, and found that 49.2% of them showed “moderate or severe” psychological impacts. Many of these people reported no mental disorders prior to the pandemic. Women were the group most susceptible to presenting some of the psychological symptoms mentioned above [2]. These investigations support others works on the impact of socioeconomic crises on the mental health of Portuguese people, which have shown that there is a relationship between the increase in symptoms of anxiety and depression and a decrease in well-being due to job insecurity, loss of income, unemployment and social isolation [3]. We should also note the effects of the pandemic (e.g., high mortality, decreased sleep hours, rationing of equipment for personal protection, etc.) on health professionals (doctors, nurses, diagnostic technicians), during the fight against Covid-19 in Portugal, where it has been shown that 72% of these professionals have medium or high levels of physical and/or psychological exhaustion, identical to “burnout”. During non-pandemic times, this value is between 21% and 47% [4]. Furthermore, due to the pandemic, Portugal experienced an increase in mortality. The age group most affected was those 65 years or older [5]. Related to the above, for reasons of public health due to the pandemic, some sectors of activity in Portugal suffered an abrupt drop in their income (with values varying according to the sector). Catering and tourism, the clothing industry and transport services (aviation), among others, were placed in a fragile situation. This affected about 30% of the total active labor force in Portugal. The affected companies sought to minimize the situation through simplified lay-offs and the temporary suspension of employment
最近,发表了几项关于禁闭(由于Covid-19大流行)对葡萄牙人心理健康影响的研究。例如,法医心理学研究所Cĺınica e Forensic(法医心理学研究所)对10500名来自葡萄牙普通人群的参与者进行了一项研究,发现49.2%的人表现出“中度或严重”的心理影响。其中许多人在大流行之前没有报告精神障碍。妇女是最容易出现上述一些心理症状的群体。这些调查支持了关于社会经济危机对葡萄牙人心理健康影响的其他研究,这些研究表明,焦虑和抑郁症状的增加与由于工作不安全、失去收入、失业和社会孤立而导致的幸福感下降之间存在关系。我们还应该注意到,在葡萄牙抗击Covid-19期间,大流行对卫生专业人员(医生、护士、诊断技术人员)的影响(例如,高死亡率、睡眠时间减少、个人防护设备配给等),有证据表明,这些专业人员中有72%有中等或高度的身体和/或心理疲惫,相当于“倦怠”。在非大流行时期,该值在21%至47%之间。此外,由于这一流行病,葡萄牙的死亡率有所上升。受影响最大的年龄组是65岁以上的人。与上述情况相关的是,由于疫情对公众健康造成的影响,葡萄牙一些行业的收入急剧下降(不同行业的收入有所不同)。除其他外,饮食和旅游业、服装工业和运输服务(航空)处于脆弱的情况。这影响了葡萄牙约30%的活跃劳动力。受影响的企业试图通过简化裁员和暂时停止雇佣来将情况降到最低
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引用次数: 1
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Transdisciplinary Journal of Engineering Science
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