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Aggie Auto Shuttles: Technical Insights from the Public Road Demonstration Aggie汽车班车:来自公共道路示范的技术见解
Q1 Engineering Pub Date : 2025-05-03 DOI: 10.1016/j.treng.2025.100335
Jose Matute , Sarah Searcy , Ali Karimoddini
This paper explores the viability of automated shuttles for urban and suburban transportation through the Aggie Auto Shuttles pilot project conducted by researchers at North Carolina A&T State University in Greensboro, North Carolina, USA. While the long-term goal is high-driving automation operation, this study focuses on conditional driving automation with human drivers ready to take control. The design of the shuttles, including their sensor suite for navigating complex suburban environments, is detailed. This paper discusses the testing procedures conducted in a controlled environment that replicated driving conditions expected in the public road demonstration with passenger service to evaluate core functionalities like mapping, localization, object recognition, and motion planning and tracking. Then, the real-world pilot project is detailed, and the results are analyzed employing objective and subjective measures and approaches, highlighting the challenges and opportunities encountered. By examining findings from both controlled and real-world settings, a comprehensive assessment of the feasibility of deploying automated shuttles as part of an integrated public transportation system is offered, contributing to the discussion on the practicality and limitations of automated shuttles in urban and suburban environments.
本文通过位于美国北卡罗来纳州格林斯博罗的北卡罗来纳农工州立大学的研究人员开展的Aggie Auto shuttle试点项目,探讨了自动班车在城市和郊区交通中的可行性。虽然长期目标是高驾驶自动化操作,但本研究侧重于人类驾驶员准备控制的有条件驾驶自动化。穿梭车的设计,包括用于在复杂的郊区环境中导航的传感器套件,都是详细的。本文讨论了在受控环境中进行的测试过程,该环境复制了公共道路演示中预期的驾驶条件,并提供了客运服务,以评估地图、定位、目标识别、运动规划和跟踪等核心功能。然后,详细介绍了现实世界的试点项目,并采用客观和主观的测量和方法对结果进行了分析,突出了遇到的挑战和机遇。通过研究受控环境和现实环境的研究结果,本文对自动穿梭巴士作为综合公共交通系统的一部分部署的可行性进行了全面评估,并对自动穿梭巴士在城市和郊区环境中的实用性和局限性进行了讨论。
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引用次数: 0
Robustness evaluation of a physical internet-based intermodal logistic network 基于互联网的多式联运物流网络的鲁棒性评价
Q1 Engineering Pub Date : 2025-05-03 DOI: 10.1016/j.treng.2025.100333
Federico Gallo , Alireza Shahedi , Angela Di Febbraro , Mahnam Saeednia , Nicola Sacco
The Physical Internet (PI) paradigm, which has gained attention in research and academia in recent years, leverages advanced logistics and interconnected networks to revolutionise the way goods are transported and delivered, thereby enhancing efficiency, reducing costs and delays, and minimising environmental impact. Within this system, PI-hubs function similarly to cross-docks, enabling the splitting of PI-containers into smaller modules for delivery through a network of interconnected hubs. This allows dynamic routing optimisation and efficient consolidation of PI-containers. However, the impact of system parameters and relevant uncertainties on the performance of this innovative logistics framework is still unclear. For this reason, this work proposes a robustness analysis to understand how the PI logistics framework is affected by the handling, consolidation, and processing of PI-containers at PI-hubs. To this end, the considered PI logistics system is represented via a mathematical programming model that determines the best allocation of PI-containers in an intermodal setting with different transportation modes. In doing so, four Key Performance Indicators (KPIs) are separately considered to investigate different aspects of the PI system’s performance, and the relevant robustness is assessed with respect to the PI-hub processing times and the number of modules per PI-container. In particular, a Global Sensitivity Analysis (GSA) is performed to evaluate, through a case study, the individual relevance of each input parameter on the resulting performance.
物理互联网(PI)模式近年来在研究和学术界引起了关注,它利用先进的物流和互联网络来彻底改变货物运输和交付的方式,从而提高效率,降低成本和延误,并最大限度地减少对环境的影响。在这个系统中,pi集线器的功能类似于交叉码头,可以将pi容器分成更小的模块,以便通过相互连接的集线器网络进行交付。这允许动态路由优化和pi容器的有效整合。然而,系统参数和相关不确定性对这一创新物流框架绩效的影响尚不清楚。出于这个原因,这项工作提出了一个鲁棒性分析,以了解PI物流框架如何受到PI中心PI容器的处理,整合和处理的影响。为此,所考虑的PI物流系统通过一个数学规划模型来表示,该模型确定了在不同运输方式的多式联运设置中PI集装箱的最佳分配。在此过程中,将分别考虑四个关键绩效指标(kpi),以调查PI系统性能的不同方面,并根据PI集线器处理时间和每个PI容器的模块数量评估相关的稳健性。特别是,通过案例研究,执行全局敏感性分析(GSA)来评估每个输入参数对结果性能的单个相关性。
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引用次数: 0
Real-time coaching programs for Manage-How-You-Drive insurance schemes: Analysis of retention after feedback removal “如何驱动管理”保险计划的实时辅导项目:反馈删除后的留存率分析
Q1 Engineering Pub Date : 2025-04-29 DOI: 10.1016/j.treng.2025.100338
Federico Orsini , Giulia De Cet , Francesca Freuli , Leandro L. Di Stasi , Mariaelena Tagliabue , Massimiliano Gastaldi , Riccardo Rossi
Manage-How-You-Drive (MHYD) is an innovative usage-based insurance scheme where drivers are charged premiums based on their safety performance, incorporating real-time coaching programs to provide drivers with contingent feedback, nudging them to drive more safely. As limited research exists on these novel schemes, this study aims to confirm their effectiveness, by expanding the sample size and the scope of analysis from a previous study by the authors, and to specifically focus on the retention of improved behavior and the impact of driver characteristics and feedback types on retention.
A driving simulator experiment involving 100 drivers was used to test four feedback systems, with different modality (auditory vs. visual) and valence (i.e., pleasantness of the feedback: positive vs. negative), based on the occurrence of Elevated Gravitational-Force Events (EGFEs, i.e., harsh acceleration/deceleration events). Drivers completed three trials, spaced four weeks apart. The first trial served as a baseline without any feedback, in the second trial one of the feedback systems was presented, and the third trial had no feedback. Program effectiveness and retention were assessed based on EGFE occurrences and mean acceleration/deceleration. Its indirect influence on speeding, tailgating, and lateral control was investigated to assess potential additional enduring effects on safety performance.
Drivers, especially those identified as “aggressive” during the baseline trial, not only significantly benefited from using the coaching program, but were also able to at least partially retain such benefits in terms of acceleration/deceleration, speeding and tailgating, irrespective of feedback type. These findings highlight the potential practical advantages of MHYD real-time coaching systems for road safety.
“如何驾驶管理”(MHYD)是一项创新的基于使用情况的保险计划,根据司机的安全表现向司机收取保费,并结合实时指导程序,为司机提供偶然的反馈,推动他们更安全驾驶。由于对这些新方案的研究有限,本研究旨在通过扩大作者先前研究的样本量和分析范围来确认其有效性,并特别关注改进行为的保留以及驾驶员特征和反馈类型对保留的影响。在100名驾驶员参与的驾驶模拟器实验中,基于发生的重力升高事件(EGFEs,即剧烈的加速/减速事件),测试了四种反馈系统,这些反馈系统具有不同的形式(听觉与视觉)和效价(即反馈的愉悦程度:积极与消极)。司机们完成了三次试验,间隔四周。第一次试验作为没有任何反馈的基线,在第二次试验中提出了一种反馈系统,第三次试验没有反馈。根据EGFE发生率和平均加速/减速来评估项目的有效性和保留度。研究了其对超速、尾随和横向控制的间接影响,以评估其对安全性能的潜在额外持久影响。驾驶员,特别是那些在基线试验中被认定为“激进”的驾驶员,不仅从使用指导程序中显著受益,而且无论反馈类型如何,他们都至少能够在加速/减速、超速和尾随方面部分保持这种益处。这些发现突出了MHYD实时指导系统在道路安全方面的潜在实际优势。
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引用次数: 0
Influence of suction stress on the resilient modulus model for unsaturated aggregate base 吸力对非饱和骨料基层弹性模量模型的影响
Q1 Engineering Pub Date : 2025-04-22 DOI: 10.1016/j.treng.2025.100336
Hyun-Su Park, Byeong-Su Kim, Seong-Wan Park
The resilient modulus of the aggregate base material is crucial in mechanical pavement design. The resilient modulus is affected not only by the stress state but also by the moisture state, which must be considered during modeling to properly estimate the resilient modulus. Regarding the moisture state, the suction stress as a stress state variable accounts for the effect of suction and saturation can be incorporated into the resilient modulus model. In this study, the effect of suction stress on the resilient modulus was investigated, and the behavior of suction stress was considered based on the concept of average skeletal stress and independent stress state variables to estimate the resilient modulus. The results revealed that the established model appropriately estimates the resilient modulus of the aggregate base materials and that suction stress affects the resilient modulus independently.
集料基层材料的弹性模量在机械路面设计中至关重要。弹性模量不仅受应力状态的影响,还受水分状态的影响,在建模时必须考虑水分状态对弹性模量的影响。对于含水率状态,吸力应力作为考虑吸力和饱和度影响的应力状态变量,可纳入弹性模量模型。本研究研究了吸力应力对弹性模量的影响,基于平均骨架应力和独立应力状态变量的概念,考虑了吸力应力的行为来估计弹性模量。结果表明,所建立的模型能较好地估计集料基材的弹性模量,且吸力应力对其弹性模量的影响是独立的。
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引用次数: 0
Dynamics responses of railway bridges influenced by flooded ballasted tracks subjected to high-speed trains 高速列车作用下淹没有碴轨道对铁路桥梁动力响应的影响
Q1 Engineering Pub Date : 2025-04-20 DOI: 10.1016/j.treng.2025.100334
Naveen Kumar Kedia , Ratabhat Wangtawesap , Chayut Ngamkhanong
This study focuses on the dynamics of the train-track-bridge interaction system, specifically addressing the challenges posed by saturated ballasted tracks due to insufficient drainage during extreme flooding events. A full-scale sleeper-ballast experiment is first conducted using instrumented impact hammer excitation and a minimization algorithm, which characterizes the dynamic behaviour of sleeper-ballast interaction at varying water levels (0–35 cm). The ballast stiffness and damping are condensed into a single parameter using the Guyan condensation scheme, revealing increased damping and reduced stiffness with rising water levels. The condensed parameters are then used in the two-dimensional Train-Track-Bridge-Dynamic-Interaction-Systems (TTBDIS), which are validated with published literature to carry out the parametric studies. The dynamic response of the interaction system is influenced by a complex interplay of factors, including the inverse relationship between track stiffness and damping, an aspect that has not been previously investigated. Findings indicate that lower water levels are critical for dynamic amplification on longer-span bridges, while higher water levels are critical for shorter spans. Critical speeds emerge when the bridge’s fundamental frequency aligns with higher harmonics of dominant and driving frequencies, causing dynamic responses that exceed safety limits. The general dominance weight analysis further revealed that the bridge’s mass is the most significant factor, followed by track damping, span length, track stiffness, and train speed. The findings are crucial to understanding the behaviour of railway bridges during extreme flooding, helping railway authorities mitigate their adverse impacts, making them more climate resilient, and improving design and maintenance regimes.
本研究的重点是火车-轨道-桥梁相互作用系统的动力学,特别是解决在极端洪水事件中由于排水不足而饱和的有碴轨道所带来的挑战。首先,采用仪器冲击锤激励和最小化算法进行了全尺寸轨枕-压载实验,该实验表征了不同水位(0-35 cm)下轨枕-压载相互作用的动态行为。压载刚度和阻尼采用固岩冷凝方案浓缩为一个参数,随着水位的上升,显示出阻尼的增加和刚度的降低。然后将压缩后的参数用于二维列车-轨道-桥梁-动力相互作用系统(TTBDIS),并与已发表的文献进行验证以进行参数研究。相互作用系统的动态响应受到各种因素的复杂相互作用的影响,包括轨道刚度和阻尼之间的反比关系,这是一个以前没有研究过的方面。研究结果表明,低水位对大跨度桥梁的动力放大至关重要,而高水位对小跨度桥梁的动力放大至关重要。当桥梁的基频与主频和驱动频率的高次谐波一致时,就会出现临界速度,从而导致超过安全限制的动态响应。总体优势权重分析进一步表明,桥梁质量是最重要的影响因素,其次是轨道阻尼、跨长、轨道刚度和列车速度。这些发现对于了解铁路桥在极端洪水中的行为至关重要,有助于铁路当局减轻其不利影响,使其更具气候适应性,并改善设计和维护制度。
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引用次数: 0
Sustainable Nano-TiO2 modified asphalt with fine aggregate replacement using rubber powder 用胶粉替代细骨料的可持续纳米tio2改性沥青
Q1 Engineering Pub Date : 2025-04-16 DOI: 10.1016/j.treng.2025.100332
Gholamali Shafabakhsh , Mostafa Sadeghnejad , Pouya Mahmoudi , Roya Ebrahimnia
The widespread use of asphalt mixtures has increased the need for aggregates. Researchers are exploring alternative materials, such as rubber powder, which is commonly used to modify bitumen. In this research, the fine aggregates were replaced with different contents of rubber powder (1, 3, and 5 % by fine aggregate weight). Also, different contents of Nano-TiO₂ (0.3, 0.6, 0.9, and 1.2 % by bitumen weight) was used to improve the behavior of bitumen. Rutting, Fatigue and moisture susceptibility were investigated in these samples. The test results showed that although the use of rubber powder instead of aggregates has reduced the rutting resistance of the asphalt mixture by about 50 %, fatigue resistance by about 40 %, and moisture susceptibility by about 8 %, the use of Nano-TiO₂ can compensate. The most optimal condition from the technical and economic standpoint is to manufacture an asphalt mixture containing 3 % rubber powder and 0.9 % Nano-TiO2, in which the values of rutting, fatigue, and moisture susceptibility are approximately equal to that of the control specimen. This condition leads to a 3 % reduction in the use of natural aggregates compared to the control mixture.
沥青混合料的广泛使用增加了对集料的需求。研究人员正在探索替代材料,例如通常用于改性沥青的橡胶粉末。在本研究中,用不同含量的胶粉(按细骨料重量的1、3、5%)代替细骨料。纳米tio2的添加量(沥青质量比为0.3、0.6、0.9和1.2%)也能改善沥青的性能。研究了这些样品的车辙、疲劳和水分敏感性。试验结果表明,虽然使用橡胶粉代替集料使沥青混合料的车辙性能降低约50%,抗疲劳性能降低约40%,湿敏感性降低约8%,但纳米tio2的使用可以弥补这一缺陷。从技术和经济角度来看,最优的条件是制备含有3%橡胶粉和0.9%纳米tio2的沥青混合料,其车辙、疲劳和水敏感性值与对照样品近似相等。这种情况下,与对照混合物相比,天然骨料的使用量减少了3%。
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引用次数: 0
Efficient BTMS for lithium-ion batteries: A study on PCM/Metal foam, heat pipe, and microchannel integration 锂离子电池的高效BTMS: PCM/金属泡沫、热管和微通道集成研究
Q1 Engineering Pub Date : 2025-04-12 DOI: 10.1016/j.treng.2025.100330
Soheil Saeedipour , Ayat Gharehghani , Moeed Rabiei , Amin Mahmoudzadeh Andwari , Sadegh Mehranfar , Carlos Mico Reche , Navid Rabiei
This study introduces an innovative battery thermal management system (BTMS) that integrates liquid cooling, U-type heat pipes, and composite phase change materials (CPCM) to enhance thermal efficiency. Utilizing a transient thermo-fluid simulation model, the thermal performance of the proposed advanced BTMS for lithium-ion batteries (LIBs) is evaluated under various operational conditions. The model's predictions are validated against experimental data, ensuring reliability and robustness. The study examines two BTMS configurations: liquid cooling and a hybrid system combining active liquid cooling with passive CPCM and heat pipes. These configurations are examined under different thermal loads to assess their effectiveness. The study investigates the influence of liquid inlet velocity and ambient temperature on the maximum temperature (Tmax) and maximum temperature difference (ΔTmax) within the battery module, critical metrics affecting battery efficiency and lifespan. Additionally, the study evaluates the driving cycle and pumping power requirements, comparing the BTMS with alternative designs, demonstrating that the proposed system efficiently dissipates heat while requiring lower pumping power. Key findings include the superior performance of hybrid cooling, which reduces Tmax by 9.32 K at 293 K and maintains ΔTmax below 5 K. The hybrid BTMS achieves similar thermal performance with 53 % less power than liquid cooling. During active cooling failures, passive cooling with CPCM and heat pipes effectively removes heat, maintaining an optimal temperature range with passive BTMS peaking at 308.79 K and hybrid BTMS below 302 K. Under real-world driving conditions, the hybrid BTMS lowers Tmax by 8.2 K and stabilizes temperature fluctuations.
本研究介绍了一种新型电池热管理系统(BTMS),该系统集成了液体冷却、u型热管和复合相变材料(CPCM),以提高热效率。利用瞬态热流体模拟模型,对该新型锂离子电池BTMS在不同工况下的热性能进行了评估。通过实验数据验证了模型的预测结果,保证了模型的可靠性和鲁棒性。该研究考察了两种BTMS配置:液体冷却和混合系统,结合主动液体冷却与被动CPCM和热管。这些结构在不同的热负荷下进行了检查,以评估其有效性。该研究调查了液体进口速度和环境温度对电池模块内最大温度(Tmax)和最大温差(ΔTmax)的影响,这是影响电池效率和寿命的关键指标。此外,该研究还评估了驾驶周期和泵送功率需求,将BTMS与其他设计进行了比较,证明了所提出的系统在需要更低泵送功率的同时有效地散热。主要发现包括混合冷却的优越性能,在293 K时将Tmax降低9.32 K,并保持ΔTmax低于5 K。与液体冷却相比,混合式BTMS以少53%的功率实现了类似的热性能。在主动冷却故障期间,CPCM和热管的被动冷却有效地去除热量,保持最佳温度范围,被动BTMS峰值在308.79 K,混合BTMS低于302 K。在实际驾驶条件下,混合动力BTMS可将Tmax降低8.2 K,并稳定温度波动。
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引用次数: 0
Dissipation boundaries for bender element experiments on geomaterials based on experimental and computational models 基于实验和计算模型的岩土材料弯曲单元实验耗散边界
Q1 Engineering Pub Date : 2025-04-11 DOI: 10.1016/j.treng.2025.100331
Ionuţ Dragoş Moldovan , Mohammad Jawed Roshan , Miguel Azenha , António Gomes Correia
The bender element (BE) test is widely employed in geotechnical engineering for measuring the shear wave velocity (Vs) and, consequently, the small-strain shear modulus (G0), due to its ease of application, integration into geotechnical devices, and effectiveness in real-world projects. However, signal distortion, primarily caused by shear and compression wave interference, remains a significant challenge, leading to unreliable measurements. This study, conducted as part of the CEN-DynaGeo and INTENT projects, introduces 3D-printed dissipation boundaries designed to mitigate compression wave interference and enhance signal clarity. Three dissipation boundary shapes including rings, spikes, and vertical strips were evaluated in a custom-designed vertical compression acrylic cell equipped with bender elements. The shapes were designed based on the numerical modeling of the BE experiment, conducted using the FreeHyTE software, which employs hybrid-Trefftz finite elements. Experimental results demonstrated that all dissipation boundaries effectively attenuated the compression wave peaks, with efficiencies depending on their shapes. Under vertical stress of 50 kPa and input frequency of 2 kHz in specimens with a void ratio of 0.85, compression wave peak reductions of 60 %, 46 %, and 19.9 % were observed for the ring, spike, and vertical strip boundaries, respectively. The proposed dissipation boundary technique offers a novel solution to improve the reliability of bender element testing in geotechnical applications.
弯曲单元(BE)测试被广泛应用于岩土工程中,用于测量剪切波速(Vs),从而测量小应变剪切模量(G0),因为它易于应用,可集成到岩土设备中,并且在实际工程中有效。然而,主要由剪切波和压缩波干扰引起的信号失真仍然是一个重大挑战,导致测量结果不可靠。作为CEN-DynaGeo和INTENT项目的一部分,该研究引入了3d打印耗散边界,旨在减轻压缩波干扰,提高信号清晰度。在定制设计的配备弯曲元件的垂直压缩丙烯酸单元中,评估了三种消散边界形状,包括环形、尖峰和垂直条形。利用FreeHyTE软件,采用混合- trefftz有限元,对BE实验进行数值模拟,设计出形状。实验结果表明,所有的耗散边界都能有效地衰减压缩波峰值,其效率取决于它们的形状。在竖向应力为50 kPa、输入频率为2 kHz、孔隙比为0.85的情况下,环形边界、尖峰边界和垂直条形边界的压缩波峰值分别降低了60%、46%和19.9%。所提出的耗散边界技术为提高岩土工程中弯曲单元试验的可靠性提供了一种新的解决方案。
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引用次数: 0
A heuristic approach to time-dependent origin-destination traffic demand estimation for the development of large-scale dynamic traffic assignment models 大型动态交通分配模型的启发式始末交通需求估计方法
Q1 Engineering Pub Date : 2025-04-10 DOI: 10.1016/j.treng.2025.100328
Keyvan Pourhassan , Timothy Lim , Stephen Payne , Sekhar Somenahalli
Advancements in computing power over recent decades have facilitated the widespread adoption of computationally intensive traffic simulation models, driving a notable increase in the use of large-scale dynamic traffic assignment (DTA) models. These models rely on time-dependent origin-destination (TDOD) traffic demands, commonly referred to as profiled traffic demands, which capture both the spatial distribution of traffic at the origin-destination (OD) level and its temporal variation. While optimisation solutions are commonly employed to estimate profiled origin-destination (OD) traffic demand for small networks by reconciling observed and simulated traffic counts at selected locations, their application to large networks poses significant challenges. Using the Greater Adelaide area as a case study, this paper examines these challenges and demonstrates the successful implementation of a customised OD traffic demand profiling approach, based on zone-aggregate traffic profiles at the departure and arrival zones.
近几十年来,计算能力的提高促进了计算密集型交通仿真模型的广泛应用,推动了大规模动态交通分配(DTA)模型使用的显著增加。这些模型依赖于随时间变化的起点-终点(TDOD)交通需求,通常称为剖面交通需求,它捕捉了起点-终点(OD)层面的交通空间分布及其时间变化。通常采用优化解决方案来估算小型网络的起点-终点(OD)交通需求,方法是协调选定地点的观测交通流量和模拟交通流量,但将其应用于大型网络则面临巨大挑战。本文以大阿德莱德地区为例,探讨了这些挑战,并展示了基于出发地和到达地的分区综合交通流量剖析的定制化出发地-目的地交通需求剖析方法的成功实施。
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引用次数: 0
Spatio-temporal analysis of road traffic crashes by severity 基于严重程度的道路交通碰撞时空分析
Q1 Engineering Pub Date : 2025-04-02 DOI: 10.1016/j.treng.2025.100327
Wondwossen Taddesse Gedamu , Uwe Plank-Wiedenbeck , Bikila Teklu Wodajo
Understanding road traffic crashes' spatial and temporal dynamics is essential for targeted safety interventions. Prior studies often rely on spatial units like junctions, road segments, traffic analysis zones, or broad urban-rural classifications. However, this dichotomy limits insights into crash patterns along the urban-periphery continuum. This study analyzes three years of georeferenced crash data from Addis Ababa using equally spaced radial zones from the crash center as spatial units. A combination of descriptive statistics, nonmetric multidimensional scaling, and multinomial logistic regression was employed to investigate spatial and temporal crash patterns, while the Knox test was applied to identify statistically significant spatio-temporal clustering. Results indicate minor injury crashes are more frequent in inner-city, whereas fatal and serious crashes dominate peripheral zones. Nighttime crashes, particularly in late evening hours, are more lethal in inner and intermediate zones, while fatal crashes in peripheral areas primarily occur during the daytime. Vehicle-pedestrian collisions pose the highest risk, followed by rear-end, sideswipe, and head-on crashes. Fatal and serious crashes are significantly more likely on weekends and at night, with severity increasing with distance from the city center. The Knox test confirms strong spatiotemporal clustering of fatal crashes within a two-week window and 100m-150 m range at 99.9 % confidence. For spatial ranges of 200m-300 m, clusters persist for 59–71 days. Clusters at 500m-1250 m thresholds emerge within 13–27 days, with 1000m-1250 m ranges exhibiting similar patterns. The findings highlight the limitations of the urbanrural dichotomy and emphasize alternative zoning methods for improved spatial and temporal analysis in road safety.
了解道路交通事故的时空动态对有针对性的安全干预至关重要。先前的研究通常依赖于空间单位,如路口、路段、交通分析区或广泛的城乡分类。然而,这种二分法限制了对城市边缘连续体的碰撞模式的见解。本研究分析了三年的地理参考碰撞数据从亚的斯亚贝巴使用等间距径向区域从碰撞中心作为空间单位。采用描述性统计、非度量多维尺度和多项逻辑回归相结合的方法来研究时空碰撞模式,并采用Knox检验来识别具有统计意义的时空聚类。结果表明,轻伤交通事故在市中心更为频繁,而致命和严重的交通事故主要发生在外围地区。夜间交通事故,特别是在深夜,在市中心和中间地带更为致命,而外围地区的致命交通事故主要发生在白天。车辆与行人碰撞的风险最高,其次是追尾、侧击和正面碰撞。致命和严重的交通事故在周末和晚上发生的可能性更大,距离市中心越远,严重程度越高。诺克斯测试证实,在两周的窗口和100 -150米的范围内,致命碰撞的时空聚集性很强,置信度为99.9%。在200 ~ 300 m的空间范围内,星团持续59 ~ 71 d。在500 -1250 m的阈值范围内,集群在13-27天内出现,在1000 -1250 m范围内表现出类似的模式。研究结果强调了城乡二分法的局限性,并强调了改善道路安全时空分析的其他分区方法。
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引用次数: 0
期刊
Transportation Engineering
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