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The EU Stabilisation and Association Agreement for the Western Balkans: Between Challenges and Opportunities 欧盟西巴尔干地区稳定与联合协定:挑战与机遇之间
IF 1.4 Q3 INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS Pub Date : 2018-05-07 DOI: 10.2478/cirr-2018-0003
Gazmend Qorraj, Gezim Jusufi
Abstract The role of the European Union (EU) trade liberalisation with the four Western Balkan countres — namely Kosovo, Montenegro, Albania, and Macedonia — is overestimated, as major benefits could be expected mainly from institutional reforms rather than trade creation and economic perspective due to low economic development and a lack of comparative advantages in these countries1. The core issue to be addressed in this article is whether these firms can exploit the opportunities arising from the EU integration process. The aim of this article is to confirm the hypothesis that the Stabilization and Association Agreement (SAA) and trade agreements in the Western Balkans are not sufficient pre-conditions for successful performance and increase of exports by local firms; the main focus should be on the internal performance of firms. The paper analyses and compares the data collected by surveys conducted with local firms in Kosovo in order to measure the impact of the SAA. Finally, the article suggests that in the short and medium run the SAA could support and improve the quality of products, technical standards, and firm competitiveness as a pre-condition for better access to the EU market in the long run.
摘要欧盟(EU)与四个西巴尔干国家(即科索沃、黑山、阿尔巴尼亚和马其顿)的贸易自由化作用被高估了,因为由于这些国家的经济发展水平低且缺乏比较优势,预计主要受益于体制改革,而不是贸易创造和经济前景1。本文要解决的核心问题是,这些公司能否利用欧盟一体化进程中产生的机会。这篇文章的目的是证实这样一种假设,即《稳定与结盟协定》和西巴尔干地区的贸易协定不是当地公司成功履行和增加出口的充分先决条件;重点应该放在企业的内部绩效上。本文分析和比较了对科索沃当地公司进行的调查收集的数据,以衡量SAA的影响。最后,文章建议,从中短期来看,SAA可以支持和提高产品质量、技术标准和企业竞争力,作为长期更好地进入欧盟市场的先决条件。
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引用次数: 9
An Analysis of Public Debt Servicing in Zambia: Trends, Reforms and Challenges 赞比亚公共债务还本付息分析:趋势、改革与挑战
IF 1.4 Q3 INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS Pub Date : 2018-05-01 DOI: 10.2478/cirr-2018-0006
Talknice Saungweme, N. Odhiambo
Abstract The main goal of this paper is to discuss the dynamics of public debt servicing – both domestic and foreign – in Zambia, tracing the trends, reforms and challenges over the period from 1964 to 2015. The paper shows that the exceptional rise in public debt servicing obligations in Zambia over the period under review has been principally due to high domestic and foreign interest rates, frequent debt rescheduling at commercial rates, and capitalisation of non-liquidated service obligations at commercial rates. Also revealed in the paper is the fact that prior to 2005, Zambia experienced severe public debt servicing problems which eased after 2006 owing to debt relief initiatives and an economic rebound. Among the government debt service reforms discussed in the paper are structural adjustments in foreign exchange management, fiscal and monetary reforms, and aggressive engagement of traditional creditors. Primary among the identified challenges of public debt servicing in Zambia was the insistent economic crises that dogged the country during the study period. Notwithstanding the current public debt service sustainability and remarkable economic performance that characterise the country today, the paper found that the recent contraction of nonconcessional loans by the state poses a threat to debt service sustainability in future. Hence, the paper recommends, among other things, for aligning of public sector infrastructure spending with revenues to ensure budget sustainability, and to continue diversifying the economy to minimise the impact of external commodity price shocks on the economy.
本文的主要目的是讨论赞比亚国内和国外公共债务偿还的动态,追踪1964年至2015年期间的趋势、改革和挑战。该文件表明,赞比亚在本报告所述期间公共债务偿还义务的异常增加主要是由于国内和国外的高利率,经常以商业利率重新安排债务,以及以商业利率资本化未清算的偿债义务。报告还披露,在2005年之前,赞比亚经历了严重的公共债务偿还问题,但在2006年之后,由于债务减免倡议和经济反弹,问题有所缓解。本文讨论的政府偿债改革包括外汇管理的结构性调整、财政和货币改革以及传统债权人的积极参与。在已确定的赞比亚公共债务偿还的挑战中,主要是在研究期间困扰该国的持续经济危机。尽管目前的公共债务可持续性和显著的经济表现是当今国家的特征,但该论文发现,最近国家非优惠贷款的收缩对未来的债务可持续性构成了威胁。因此,本文建议,除其他事项外,应使公共部门基础设施支出与收入保持一致,以确保预算的可持续性,并继续实现经济多元化,以尽量减少外部大宗商品价格冲击对经济的影响。
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引用次数: 2
Contemporary Geopolitics and Digital Representations of Space 当代地缘政治与空间的数字表征
IF 1.4 Q3 INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS Pub Date : 2018-05-01 DOI: 10.2478/cirr-2018-0001
Sead Turčalo, Ado Kulović
Abstract This research is premised on two theoretical constructs: that maps do not objectively depict space and that traditional cartography produces a geopolitical narrative. The research aim is to investigate geopolitical influence in modern, digital representations of space, and vice versa. This paper is divided into three parts: In the first, the digital representation of space is introduced and explained, and two widely acknowledged digital cartographic services are established as the empirical foundation of the research – Google (Google Maps and Google Earth), designed by cartographic and geo-data professionals, and OpenStreetMap, built through crowdsourcing. In the second part, the geopolitical features of traditional cartography are discussed in the context of digital mapping, including ethnocentricity and hierarchical representations of space, similarities to geopolitische karte, and “minor geopolitics.” The final part asks and answers a key question about geopolitical subjectivity: “Who benefits from the geopolitical narratives in digital representations of space?”
本研究以两个理论建构为前提:地图不能客观地描绘空间,传统制图产生地缘政治叙事。研究目的是调查地缘政治对现代数字空间表示的影响,反之亦然。本文分为三个部分:第一部分对空间的数字化表示进行了介绍和解释,并建立了两种被广泛认可的数字制图服务作为研究的经验基础——由制图和地理数据专业人士设计的谷歌(谷歌Maps和谷歌Earth)和通过众包构建的OpenStreetMap。第二部分在数字制图的背景下讨论了传统地图学的地缘政治特征,包括民族中心主义和空间的分层表征、与地缘政治的相似之处以及“小地缘政治”。最后一部分提出并回答了一个关于地缘政治主体性的关键问题:“谁从数字空间表征中的地缘政治叙事中受益?”
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引用次数: 0
Legal Technology for Law Firms: Determining Roadmaps for Innovation 律师事务所的法律技术:确定创新路线图
IF 1.4 Q3 INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS Pub Date : 2018-05-01 DOI: 10.2478/cirr-2018-0005
T. Kerikmäe, Thomas Hoffmann, Archil Chochia
Abstract The business model of many law firms, as legal professions on the whole, will be facing a considerable paradigm change since the work provided by law firms in the form of billable hours, in fact, largely consists of services which do not require superior legal education but involve mere data procession. It is only a question of time that the consequence – to have all outsourceable services be performed by means of legal technology – will become public knowledge in the branch, as the costs saved by the usage of legal technology are considerable. Legal technology, or Legal Tech, in this context represents a broad range of solutions that affect both lawyers and clients on various levels. However, the discourse on automatisation of law has been scant and sporadic. This paper aims to shed some light on the current operating technical solutions for innovation with the primary aim of explicating the different aims and levels of development of different legal technologies.
摘要许多律师事务所作为整个法律职业,其商业模式将面临相当大的范式变化,因为事实上,律师事务所以计费时间的形式提供的工作主要包括不需要高级法律教育但仅涉及数据处理的服务。由于使用法律技术节省的成本相当可观,因此所有外包服务都将通过法律技术提供,这只是时间问题。在这种情况下,法律技术或法律技术代表了一系列广泛的解决方案,对律师和客户都有不同程度的影响。然而,关于法律自动化的讨论很少,而且是零星的。本文旨在阐明当前创新的操作技术解决方案,主要目的是阐明不同法律技术的不同发展目标和水平。
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引用次数: 34
The Effects of Post-conflict Constitutional Designs: the “Ohrid Framework Agreement” and the Macedonian Constitution 冲突后宪法设计的影响:“奥赫里德框架协议”与马其顿宪法
IF 1.4 Q3 INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS Pub Date : 2018-05-01 DOI: 10.2478/cirr-2018-0002
Stefan Andonovski
Abstract In regions troubled by ethnic based conflict violence often erupts abruptly and severely. Peacemakers, then, follow unconditional paths to prevent conflict escalation. The article analyzes the ways in which post-conflict constitutional designs shape the state structure through constitutional amendments. Peace agreements as bases for constitutional reform, the article claims, have reformatory but also obstructive implications. Seeing the Ohrid Framework Agreement as a case study, the paper analyzes its implications on the development of the political system in Macedonia. On one side OFA serves as a criterion for the Macedonian Euro-Atlantic integration and a driving force for the creation of a functioning multicultural society. On the other side, the procedural and substantive flaws of the agreement undermine its absorbability in the society. In procedural sense, OFA hindered its own implementation through the used terminology and the drafting process. In substantial sense, agreement’s goals and provisions reached beyond the purpose of peace agreements and underestimated the complexity of the conflicting issues at stake.
在受民族冲突困扰的地区,暴力事件往往会突然而严重地爆发。因此,和平缔造者采取无条件的方式来防止冲突升级。本文分析了冲突后的宪法设计是如何通过修宪来塑造国家结构的。该文章声称,和平协定作为宪法改革的基础,具有改革意义,但也有阻碍意义。本文以《奥赫里德框架协议》为个案,分析其对马其顿政治体制发展的影响。一方面,OFA是马其顿欧洲-大西洋一体化的标准,是建立一个运转良好的多元文化社会的推动力。另一方面,协议的程序性和实质性缺陷削弱了其在社会中的可吸收性。在程序意义上,OFA通过使用的术语和起草过程阻碍了其自身的执行。在实质意义上,协定的目标和规定超出了和平协定的目的,并且低估了所涉冲突问题的复杂性。
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引用次数: 3
UNsatisfied? The Rocky Path to NATO Membership – Bosnia and Herzegovina: A New Approach in Understanding the Challenges 不满意?加入北约的洛基之路——波斯尼亚和黑塞哥维那:理解挑战的新方法
IF 1.4 Q3 INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS Pub Date : 2017-11-27 DOI: 10.1515/cirr-2017-0020
Hamza Preljević
Abstract NATO’s enlargement in the Western Balkans (WB) has been the focus of a number of debates for almost two decades. Opinions and positions regarding this question range from serious doubts, criticisms and opportunistic press releases to enthusiastic support for membership. This paper assesses Bosnian reforms and policy changes, as well as the country’s efforts to join NATO. Bosnia and Herzegovina (BiH) has made significant steps in moving towards NATO’s military and political standards, but not sufficiently. Although BiH is viewed by some observers as a country approaching the point of joining the Membership Action Plan (MAP), this prospect remains uncertain. The findings of this research suggest that BiH is different from other WB countries and that it is not suitable for understanding the NATO integration challenges in the WB. In order to understand Bosnian ‘specifics’, it is necessary not only to view the challenges through the prism of technical and other domestic issues in BiH. A wider approach must be adopted. Through understanding the Bosnian specifics, the dilemmas related to the NATO membership of BiH become more obvious and clear. Bosnian specifics illustrate why BiH is not able to take significant steps towards long-term stabilization and NATO membership.
近二十年来,北约在西巴尔干地区的扩张一直是许多争论的焦点。关于这个问题的意见和立场有严重的怀疑、批评和机会主义的新闻稿,也有热情支持加入的意见和立场。本文评估了波斯尼亚的改革和政策变化,以及该国加入北约的努力。波斯尼亚-黑塞哥维那(波黑)在朝着北约的军事和政治标准迈进方面已迈出重大步骤,但还不够。虽然一些观察员认为波黑是一个即将加入成员国行动计划(MAP)的国家,但这种前景仍然不确定。本研究结果表明,波黑与其他世界银行国家不同,它不适合理解北约在世界银行的一体化挑战。为了了解波斯尼亚的“具体情况”,不仅需要从波黑的技术和其他国内问题的角度来看待这些挑战。必须采取更广泛的办法。通过了解波斯尼亚的具体情况,与波黑加入北约有关的困境变得更加明显和明确。波斯尼亚的具体情况说明波黑为何无法采取重大步骤实现长期稳定和加入北约。
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引用次数: 4
A Relationship in Limbo: Challenges, Dynamics and Perspectives of Kosovo’s Integration into NATO 悬而未决的关系:科索沃加入北约的挑战、动态和前景
IF 1.4 Q3 INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS Pub Date : 2017-11-27 DOI: 10.1515/cirr-2017-0026
Besfort T. Rrecaj
Abstract Since its declaration of independence Kosovo has clearly postured itself towards Euro-Atlantic integration with NATO, keeping its door open towards Western Balkan states. This integration process faces major challenges stemming from different dimensions: NATO’s internal unity and its stance towards Kosovo’s political status having direct impact in consensual decision making processes; current geopolitical tensions from a global perspective, particularly between the West and Russia; and Kosovo’s ability to fulfil NATO’s standards and criteria. These challenges might prove very difficult to overcome at least in the current global political and security environment. The objective of this paper is to discuss from legal and geopolitical perspectives the relations between Kosovo and NATO and the challenges, dynamics and perspective of NATO opening a formal integration process for Kosovo.
摘要自宣布独立以来,科索沃明确表示要与北约实现欧洲-大西洋一体化,并向西巴尔干国家敞开大门。这一一体化进程面临着来自不同方面的重大挑战:北约的内部团结及其对科索沃政治地位的立场对协商一致的决策进程产生了直接影响;当前全球地缘政治紧张局势,特别是西方和俄罗斯之间的紧张局势;以及科索沃满足北约标准和标准的能力。至少在当前的全球政治和安全环境下,这些挑战可能很难克服。本文的目的是从法律和地缘政治的角度讨论科索沃与北约之间的关系,以及北约为科索沃开启正式一体化进程的挑战、动态和前景。
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引用次数: 1
Development of the Croatian National Security Strategy in the Hybrid Threats Context 在混合威胁背景下克罗地亚国家安全战略的发展
IF 1.4 Q3 INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS Pub Date : 2017-11-02 DOI: 10.1515/cirr-2017-0022
Dražen Smiljanić
Abstract The development of the new National Security Strategy (NSS) of the Republic of Croatia, begun in November 2016, takes place in a radically different security environment compared to the first (and current) Croatian NSS published in 2002. This paper aims to provide incentives for potential adaptations to the approach and methodology used in Croatia’s NSS development, particularly in relation to hybrid warfare. Assuming that the hybrid adversary tends heavily to exploit the vulnerabilities of the targeted state and society, the paper addresses some of Croatia’s widely recognized weaknesses that should be taken into consideration in a threat assessment. As a conclusion, the paper proposes some recommendations, including the concept of societal resilience, related to ways to counter hybrid threats.
克罗地亚共和国新国家安全战略(NSS)的制定始于2016年11月,与2002年发布的第一个(也是当前的)克罗地亚国家安全战略相比,其安全环境截然不同。本文旨在为克罗地亚NSS发展中使用的方法和方法的潜在适应提供激励,特别是在混合战争方面。假设混合对手倾向于严重利用目标国家和社会的脆弱性,本文解决了克罗地亚在威胁评估中应考虑的一些广泛认可的弱点。作为结论,本文提出了一些建议,包括社会弹性的概念,与应对混合威胁的方法有关。
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引用次数: 1
The “New Cold Warriors” and the “Pragmatics”: The Differences in Foreign Policy Attitudes towards Russia and the Eastern Partnership States among the NATO Member States from Central and South-Eastern Europe “新冷战战士”与“实用主义”:中欧和东南欧北约成员国对俄罗斯和东部伙伴国家外交政策态度的差异
IF 1.4 Q3 INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS Pub Date : 2017-11-02 DOI: 10.1515/cirr-2017-0021
P. Kurečić
Abstract The post-communist NATO member states from Central and South-Eastern Europe (CSEE) comprise a group of 11 NATO/EU member states, from the Baltic to the Adriatic and Black Sea. The twelfth and thirteenth NATO member states from the region are Albania and Montenegro. The afore-mentioned NATO/EU member states have mostly shown a similar stance towards the Eastern Partnership Policy. However, since 2014, these states have shown more diverse stances, albeit declaratively supporting the anti-Russian sanctions. Due to the difference in stances towards Russia, the “New Cold Warriors” (Poland, Estonia, Latvia, Lithuania and Romania) and the “Pragmatics” (Hungary, Slovakia, Slovenia and Bulgaria), will maintain a mostly common course towards Russia and the Eastern Partnership states because they have to. The Czech Republic, although hosting a part of the US anti-ballistic missile shield, is not a genuine “New Cold Warrior”, while in 2016 Croatia effectively became one.
摘要来自中欧和东南欧的后共产主义北约成员国由11个北约/欧盟成员国组成,从波罗的海到亚得里亚海和黑海。该地区的第十二和第十三个北约成员国是阿尔巴尼亚和黑山。上述北约/欧盟成员国对东方伙伴关系政策大多表现出类似的立场。然而,自2014年以来,这些国家表现出了更多样化的立场,尽管它们公开支持反俄制裁。由于对俄罗斯的立场不同,“新冷战战士”(波兰、爱沙尼亚、拉脱维亚、立陶宛和罗马尼亚)和“实用主义者”(匈牙利、斯洛伐克、斯洛文尼亚和保加利亚)将对俄罗斯和东方伙伴关系国家保持基本上共同的路线,因为他们必须这样做,并不是一个真正的“新冷战战士”,而在2016年克罗地亚实际上成为了一个。
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引用次数: 5
Russia and the Ukrainian Crisis: A Multiperspective Analysis of Russian Behaviour, by Taking into Account NATO’s and the EU’s Enlargement 俄罗斯与乌克兰危机:考虑北约和欧盟扩张对俄罗斯行为的多视角分析
IF 1.4 Q3 INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS Pub Date : 2017-11-02 DOI: 10.1515/CIRR-2017-0028
Klotz Maximilian
This article will explain why Russia annexed Crimea and is destabilizing eastern Ukraine. To do this, three different theoretical approaches on various levels of analysis will be used. It will be examined how far the expansion of NATO, as well as that of the European Union (Theory of Neorealism), was a motive for Russia’s action. NATO’s enlargement is analysed predominantly. In addition, politicalpsychological motivations of the Russian leadership are considered. But it is also analysed whether Russia’s pure power interests have played a role (Theory of Realism). The focus here is on the Russian naval base in Crimea. It is necessary to examine whether preserving its fleet in the Black Sea was a motive for Moscow to annex the Crimean peninsula.
这篇文章将解释俄罗斯吞并克里米亚并破坏乌克兰东部稳定的原因。为此,将使用三种不同的理论方法进行不同层次的分析。将研究北约和欧盟的扩张(新现实主义理论)在多大程度上是俄罗斯行动的动机。主要分析北约的扩大。此外,还考虑了俄罗斯领导人的政治心理动机。但也分析了俄罗斯的纯粹权力利益是否发挥了作用(现实主义理论)。这里的焦点是俄罗斯在克里米亚的海军基地。有必要研究将其舰队保留在黑海是否是莫斯科吞并克里米亚半岛的动机。
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引用次数: 6
期刊
Croatian International Relations Review
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