首页 > 最新文献

International Journal of Risk Assessment and Management最新文献

英文 中文
The evolution of regulatory practice for CCS projects in Canada 加拿大CCS项目监管实践的演变
Q3 Decision Sciences Pub Date : 2019-10-25 DOI: 10.1504/ijram.2019.103333
Patricia Larkin, W. Leiss, D. Krewski
Carbon capture and storage (CCS) pilot and demonstration projects began in Canada in the 1990s. This review of publicly available documentation considers the regulatory application and approval practice for four large Canadian projects that are either under construction or in operation. Results find that oversight of CCS projects is value chain specific and obtaining documentation can be challenging. However, technical risk assessment supporting approvals is moving forward, with an increasing range of chain component health and environmental risks being assessed using referenced approaches. Monitoring remains the primary risk management approach. Global risk estimation is not completed and unresolved issues about transparency in risk communication could have the potential to negatively impact broad public acceptance of CCS and therefore project viability in the long run.
碳捕获和储存(CCS)试点和示范项目始于20世纪90年代的加拿大。对公开文件的审查考虑了四个在建或在运营的加拿大大型项目的监管申请和审批实践。结果发现,CCS项目的监督是特定于价值链的,获取文件可能具有挑战性。然而,支持审批的技术风险评估正在向前推进,越来越多的链组件健康和环境风险正在使用参考方法进行评估。监测仍然是主要的风险管理方法。全球风险评估尚未完成,风险沟通透明度方面尚未解决的问题可能会对公众对CCS的广泛接受产生负面影响,从而从长远来看影响项目的可行性。
{"title":"The evolution of regulatory practice for CCS projects in Canada","authors":"Patricia Larkin, W. Leiss, D. Krewski","doi":"10.1504/ijram.2019.103333","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1504/ijram.2019.103333","url":null,"abstract":"Carbon capture and storage (CCS) pilot and demonstration projects began in Canada in the 1990s. This review of publicly available documentation considers the regulatory application and approval practice for four large Canadian projects that are either under construction or in operation. Results find that oversight of CCS projects is value chain specific and obtaining documentation can be challenging. However, technical risk assessment supporting approvals is moving forward, with an increasing range of chain component health and environmental risks being assessed using referenced approaches. Monitoring remains the primary risk management approach. Global risk estimation is not completed and unresolved issues about transparency in risk communication could have the potential to negatively impact broad public acceptance of CCS and therefore project viability in the long run.","PeriodicalId":35420,"journal":{"name":"International Journal of Risk Assessment and Management","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2019-10-25","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://sci-hub-pdf.com/10.1504/ijram.2019.103333","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"43970541","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 1
Alberta's approach to the transfer of liability for carbon capture and storage projects 艾伯塔省碳捕获和储存项目责任转移办法
Q3 Decision Sciences Pub Date : 2019-10-25 DOI: 10.1504/ijram.2019.103331
N. Bankes
The Province of Alberta has assumed a leadership role in Canada in developing a legal and regulatory framework for encouraging the adoption of carbon capture and storage (CCS) technology. One element of that framework deals with liability issues. This paper reviews the different liability issues associated with CCS projects as well as the case for transferring liability post-closure to the government. The paper then examines how Alberta has chosen to accept a transfer of that liability and how Alberta seeks to recover at least a portion of the costs associated with that liability from the injection industry through the mechanism of the Post-Closure Stewardship Fund. Some reference is made to the European Union's CCS Directive as a point of comparison.
阿尔伯塔省在制定鼓励采用碳捕获和储存技术的法律和监管框架方面发挥了加拿大的领导作用。该框架的一个要素涉及赔偿责任问题。本文回顾了与CCS项目相关的不同责任问题,以及将关闭后的责任移交给政府的案例。然后,本文研究了阿尔伯塔省是如何选择接受该负债的转移的,以及阿尔伯塔省如何寻求通过关闭后管理基金的机制从注射行业收回与该负债相关的至少一部分成本。作为比较点,参考了欧盟的CCS指令。
{"title":"Alberta's approach to the transfer of liability for carbon capture and storage projects","authors":"N. Bankes","doi":"10.1504/ijram.2019.103331","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1504/ijram.2019.103331","url":null,"abstract":"The Province of Alberta has assumed a leadership role in Canada in developing a legal and regulatory framework for encouraging the adoption of carbon capture and storage (CCS) technology. One element of that framework deals with liability issues. This paper reviews the different liability issues associated with CCS projects as well as the case for transferring liability post-closure to the government. The paper then examines how Alberta has chosen to accept a transfer of that liability and how Alberta seeks to recover at least a portion of the costs associated with that liability from the injection industry through the mechanism of the Post-Closure Stewardship Fund. Some reference is made to the European Union's CCS Directive as a point of comparison.","PeriodicalId":35420,"journal":{"name":"International Journal of Risk Assessment and Management","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2019-10-25","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://sci-hub-pdf.com/10.1504/ijram.2019.103331","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"48241205","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Risk assessment and management frameworks for carbon capture and geological storage: a global perspective 碳捕获和地质封存的风险评估和管理框架:全球视角
Q3 Decision Sciences Pub Date : 2019-10-25 DOI: 10.1504/ijram.2019.103332
Patricia Larkin, W. Leiss, D. Krewski
Carbon capture and storage (CCS) is included in the list of technological processes that could reduce point source carbon dioxide emissions that contribute to climate change. For geological storage projects, global frameworks for environmental and human health risk assessment (RA) and risk management (RM) have been developed within various regional and national jurisdictions as well as by non-government organisations since the 2005 Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change Special Report on CCS. This article provides an updated compendium of elaborated RA/RM frameworks in leading jurisdictions for CCS in the regulatory and non-regulatory contexts including online resources. Using a 3- or 4-step RA, there is an emphasis on storage site selection and characterisation; an iterative approach is recommended for RM emphasising monitoring and re-assessment; and other risk-based considerations such as communications and transparency are discussed more frequently in non-government guidance. Comprehensive risk estimation is not yet promoted.
碳捕获和储存(CCS)被列入可以减少导致气候变化的点源二氧化碳排放的技术流程清单。对于地质储存项目,自2005年政府间气候变化专门委员会关于CCS的特别报告以来,各区域和国家管辖区以及非政府组织已经制定了环境和人类健康风险评估和风险管理的全球框架。本文提供了监管和非监管环境下CCS主要管辖区详细制定的RA/RM框架的最新简编,包括在线资源。使用3步或4步RA,重点是储存地点的选择和表征;建议对RM采用迭代方法,强调监测和重新评估;其他基于风险的考虑因素,如沟通和透明度,在非政府指导中得到了更频繁的讨论。全面的风险估计尚未推广。
{"title":"Risk assessment and management frameworks for carbon capture and geological storage: a global perspective","authors":"Patricia Larkin, W. Leiss, D. Krewski","doi":"10.1504/ijram.2019.103332","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1504/ijram.2019.103332","url":null,"abstract":"Carbon capture and storage (CCS) is included in the list of technological processes that could reduce point source carbon dioxide emissions that contribute to climate change. For geological storage projects, global frameworks for environmental and human health risk assessment (RA) and risk management (RM) have been developed within various regional and national jurisdictions as well as by non-government organisations since the 2005 Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change Special Report on CCS. This article provides an updated compendium of elaborated RA/RM frameworks in leading jurisdictions for CCS in the regulatory and non-regulatory contexts including online resources. Using a 3- or 4-step RA, there is an emphasis on storage site selection and characterisation; an iterative approach is recommended for RM emphasising monitoring and re-assessment; and other risk-based considerations such as communications and transparency are discussed more frequently in non-government guidance. Comprehensive risk estimation is not yet promoted.","PeriodicalId":35420,"journal":{"name":"International Journal of Risk Assessment and Management","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2019-10-25","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://sci-hub-pdf.com/10.1504/ijram.2019.103332","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"45200013","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 4
The economic evaluation of the benefits and costs of carbon capture and storage 对碳捕获和储存的收益和成本进行经济评估
Q3 Decision Sciences Pub Date : 2019-10-25 DOI: 10.1504/ijram.2019.103337
A. Heyes, B. Urban
Carbon capture and storage has received a lot of attention in recent years due to its attractiveness as a potential solution for climate stabilisation. Since it is based on a suite of mature, well known technologies, most of the cost reductions have already occurred. Recently adopted social cost of carbon figures to advise policies in the USA and Canada currently point towards lower benefits than costs from carbon capture and storage, but not always by a wide margin. It is difficult to make a case for large-scale deployment under these conditions, but they are subject to change as strands of the economic literature support significantly higher social cost of carbon estimates and upcoming commercial applications of carbon capture and storage to power generation may prove economically viable.
近年来,碳捕获和储存作为气候稳定的潜在解决方案具有吸引力,因此受到了广泛关注。由于它基于一套成熟的、众所周知的技术,大部分成本降低已经发生。最近采用的碳社会成本数据为美国和加拿大的政策提供了建议,目前表明碳捕获和储存的收益低于成本,但并不总是有很大的差距。在这些条件下,很难证明大规模部署的理由,但它们可能会发生变化,因为经济文献支持碳估计的社会成本显著提高,碳捕获和储存在发电中的商业应用可能在经济上可行。
{"title":"The economic evaluation of the benefits and costs of carbon capture and storage","authors":"A. Heyes, B. Urban","doi":"10.1504/ijram.2019.103337","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1504/ijram.2019.103337","url":null,"abstract":"Carbon capture and storage has received a lot of attention in recent years due to its attractiveness as a potential solution for climate stabilisation. Since it is based on a suite of mature, well known technologies, most of the cost reductions have already occurred. Recently adopted social cost of carbon figures to advise policies in the USA and Canada currently point towards lower benefits than costs from carbon capture and storage, but not always by a wide margin. It is difficult to make a case for large-scale deployment under these conditions, but they are subject to change as strands of the economic literature support significantly higher social cost of carbon estimates and upcoming commercial applications of carbon capture and storage to power generation may prove economically viable.","PeriodicalId":35420,"journal":{"name":"International Journal of Risk Assessment and Management","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2019-10-25","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://sci-hub-pdf.com/10.1504/ijram.2019.103337","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"41722887","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 3
Risk communication and public engagement in CCS projects: the foundations of public acceptability CCS项目的风险沟通和公众参与:公众可接受性的基础
Q3 Decision Sciences Pub Date : 2019-10-25 DOI: 10.1504/ijram.2019.103339
W. Leiss, Patricia Larkin
This paper posits that an important goal of public engagement for carbon capture and storage (CCS) projects as being public and social acceptance for those projects. It argues that acceptability is the end of a long, logical chain of social interactions, which ideally starts with: 1) the public perception of the risks and benefits associated with CCS; moves through 2) effective communication of risks and benefits by project proponents; 3) involves robust and credible measures for public engagement; 4) results in authoritative decision processes that transparently reflect the results of engagement. Each of these components of acceptability is described with respect to both actual experience with CCS projects to date and the relevant literature. Conclusions point to the special importance of full transparency and public understanding of credible risk assessments for these projects.
本文认为,公众参与碳捕获和储存(CCS)项目的一个重要目标是公众和社会对这些项目的接受。它认为,可接受性是一个漫长的、合乎逻辑的社会互动链的终结,理想情况下,社会互动链始于:1)公众对CCS相关风险和利益的感知;通过2)项目支持者对风险和收益进行有效沟通;3) 涉及强有力和可信的公众参与措施;4) 产生透明反映参与结果的权威决策过程。可接受性的每一个组成部分都根据迄今为止CCS项目的实际经验和相关文献进行了描述。结论指出,充分透明和公众了解这些项目的可信风险评估具有特别重要的意义。
{"title":"Risk communication and public engagement in CCS projects: the foundations of public acceptability","authors":"W. Leiss, Patricia Larkin","doi":"10.1504/ijram.2019.103339","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1504/ijram.2019.103339","url":null,"abstract":"This paper posits that an important goal of public engagement for carbon capture and storage (CCS) projects as being public and social acceptance for those projects. It argues that acceptability is the end of a long, logical chain of social interactions, which ideally starts with: 1) the public perception of the risks and benefits associated with CCS; moves through 2) effective communication of risks and benefits by project proponents; 3) involves robust and credible measures for public engagement; 4) results in authoritative decision processes that transparently reflect the results of engagement. Each of these components of acceptability is described with respect to both actual experience with CCS projects to date and the relevant literature. Conclusions point to the special importance of full transparency and public understanding of credible risk assessments for these projects.","PeriodicalId":35420,"journal":{"name":"International Journal of Risk Assessment and Management","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2019-10-25","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://sci-hub-pdf.com/10.1504/ijram.2019.103339","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"48082828","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 12
Prion disease risk uncertainties associated with urine-derived and recombinant fertility drugs 尿源性和重组生育药物相关的朊病毒疾病风险不确定性
Q3 Decision Sciences Pub Date : 2019-07-19 DOI: 10.1504/IJRAM.2019.101292
N. Cashman, M. Tyshenko, R. Cheung, W. Aspinall, Michelle Wong, D. Krewski
The detection of prion protein in widely used urine-derived fertility drugs has raised the possibility that prions from urine donors with (asymptomatic) prion disease could be present in these drugs. A high level of uncertainty exists regarding this issue. An international expert panel provided judgments related to prion disease transmission through fertility drug use in a structured expert elicitation. The elicitation gauged expert judgements about the uncertainty surrounding potential prion disease risks associated with urine-derived fertility drugs and emphasised the scientific ambiguity surrounding disease transmission risk factors associated with urine-derived fertility drugs. Group aggregated responses indicate that the theoretical risk of prion disease transmission with urine-derived fertility drugs was judged to be very low. The experts judged recombinant fertility drugs produced with bovine serum to possess 10-fold lower risk compared to urine-derived fertility drugs. Fertility drugs made without fetal bovine serum were judged to present a risk approximately 1,200 times lower compared to urine-derived counterparts. This elicitation indicates recombinant fertility drugs carry relatively less risk than urine-derived fertility drugs. However, the associated uncertainties are significant and pro-active surveillance of possible new routes of transmission of human prion disease warrants consideration of new scientific data as it becomes available.
在广泛使用的尿源性生育药物中检测到朊病毒蛋白,这提高了这些药物中可能存在(无症状)朊病毒疾病的尿液供体的朊病毒的可能性。关于这个问题存在着高度的不确定性。一个国际专家小组在一次结构化的专家征集中提供了与通过使用生育药物传播朊病毒疾病有关的判断。启发评估了专家对与尿源性生育药物相关的潜在朊病毒疾病风险的不确定性的判断,并强调了与尿源性生育药物相关的疾病传播风险因素的科学模糊性。组汇总反应表明,通过尿源性生育药物传播朊病毒疾病的理论风险被判断为非常低。专家们认为,用牛血清生产的重组生育药物的风险比尿源性生育药物低10倍。不含胎牛血清的生育药物被认为比含尿药物的风险低约1200倍。这表明重组生育药物比尿源性生育药物的风险相对较小。然而,相关的不确定性是巨大的,对人类朊病毒疾病可能的新传播途径的主动监测需要在获得新的科学数据时予以考虑。
{"title":"Prion disease risk uncertainties associated with urine-derived and recombinant fertility drugs","authors":"N. Cashman, M. Tyshenko, R. Cheung, W. Aspinall, Michelle Wong, D. Krewski","doi":"10.1504/IJRAM.2019.101292","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1504/IJRAM.2019.101292","url":null,"abstract":"The detection of prion protein in widely used urine-derived fertility drugs has raised the possibility that prions from urine donors with (asymptomatic) prion disease could be present in these drugs. A high level of uncertainty exists regarding this issue. An international expert panel provided judgments related to prion disease transmission through fertility drug use in a structured expert elicitation. The elicitation gauged expert judgements about the uncertainty surrounding potential prion disease risks associated with urine-derived fertility drugs and emphasised the scientific ambiguity surrounding disease transmission risk factors associated with urine-derived fertility drugs. Group aggregated responses indicate that the theoretical risk of prion disease transmission with urine-derived fertility drugs was judged to be very low. The experts judged recombinant fertility drugs produced with bovine serum to possess 10-fold lower risk compared to urine-derived fertility drugs. Fertility drugs made without fetal bovine serum were judged to present a risk approximately 1,200 times lower compared to urine-derived counterparts. This elicitation indicates recombinant fertility drugs carry relatively less risk than urine-derived fertility drugs. However, the associated uncertainties are significant and pro-active surveillance of possible new routes of transmission of human prion disease warrants consideration of new scientific data as it becomes available.","PeriodicalId":35420,"journal":{"name":"International Journal of Risk Assessment and Management","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2019-07-19","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://sci-hub-pdf.com/10.1504/IJRAM.2019.101292","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"47184927","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 1
Postal IEDs and risk assessment of work health and safety considerations for postal workers 邮政简易爆炸装置及邮政工作人员工作健康和安全考虑的风险评估
Q3 Decision Sciences Pub Date : 2019-07-15 DOI: 10.1504/IJRAM.2019.101272
M. Grant, M. Stewart
Postal improvised explosive devices (IEDs) provide criminals and terrorists with a convenient mechanism for delivering an energetic payload to an intended victim with little operational risk. Postal IEDs formed 7% of IED attacks reported in the West between 1998-2015, are often dispatched in groups and can bring postal systems to a standstill. Nearly 30% of postal IED explosions occur in the postal worker environment and a third of the casualties caused by postal IEDs are postal workers. Postal IEDs are debatably a reasonably foreseeable cause of harm to postal workers and should be considered under the work health and safety (WHS) constructs of many Western nations. This paper considers this problem, using a probabilistic risk assessment model to inform a cost-benefit analysis considering potential risk reduction options for postal workers. It identifies that the control measures identified were not cost-effective where only the direct WHS costs pertaining to unintentional postal IED detonation within the mail delivery system were considered given the risk levels identified.
邮政简易爆炸装置(ied)为犯罪分子和恐怖分子提供了一种方便的机制,可以在很小的操作风险下向目标提供高能有效载荷。1998年至2015年期间,邮政简易爆炸装置占西方报告的简易爆炸装置袭击的7%,通常是成群出动,可能导致邮政系统瘫痪。近30%的邮政简易爆炸装置爆炸发生在邮政工作人员的环境中,邮政简易爆炸装置造成的伤亡中有三分之一是邮政工作人员。邮政简易爆炸装置是一种对邮政工作人员造成伤害的合理可预见的原因,值得讨论,应在许多西方国家的工作健康与安全(WHS)结构下加以考虑。本文考虑了这个问题,使用概率风险评估模型来告知考虑潜在风险降低方案的邮政工作者的成本效益分析。报告指出,鉴于所确定的风险水平,所确定的控制措施不具有成本效益,因为只考虑了在邮件投递系统内意外引爆邮政简易爆炸装置的直接卫生系统费用。
{"title":"Postal IEDs and risk assessment of work health and safety considerations for postal workers","authors":"M. Grant, M. Stewart","doi":"10.1504/IJRAM.2019.101272","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1504/IJRAM.2019.101272","url":null,"abstract":"Postal improvised explosive devices (IEDs) provide criminals and terrorists with a convenient mechanism for delivering an energetic payload to an intended victim with little operational risk. Postal IEDs formed 7% of IED attacks reported in the West between 1998-2015, are often dispatched in groups and can bring postal systems to a standstill. Nearly 30% of postal IED explosions occur in the postal worker environment and a third of the casualties caused by postal IEDs are postal workers. Postal IEDs are debatably a reasonably foreseeable cause of harm to postal workers and should be considered under the work health and safety (WHS) constructs of many Western nations. This paper considers this problem, using a probabilistic risk assessment model to inform a cost-benefit analysis considering potential risk reduction options for postal workers. It identifies that the control measures identified were not cost-effective where only the direct WHS costs pertaining to unintentional postal IED detonation within the mail delivery system were considered given the risk levels identified.","PeriodicalId":35420,"journal":{"name":"International Journal of Risk Assessment and Management","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2019-07-15","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://sci-hub-pdf.com/10.1504/IJRAM.2019.101272","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"44743324","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 3
Evaluating and classifying the impact of individual risk on the delayed EPC hydropower projects in the developing countries of Asia 个体风险对亚洲发展中国家EPC水电项目延期影响的评估与分类
Q3 Decision Sciences Pub Date : 2019-07-15 DOI: 10.1504/IJRAM.2019.10022669
S. Mai, Vatthanaly Siphada, Jianqiong Wang, Vinath Mekthanavanh, H. Hlaing, Pheng Sokliep
Many hydropower projects in the developing countries of Asia have currently adopted the project delivery method of engineering, procurement and construction (EPC). However, the EPC general contractors are facing many difficulties, resulting in schedule delays and considerable cost overrun. The purpose of this research is to evaluate the risks causing schedule delays of EPC hydropower projects in the developing countries of Asia. The study analysis and assessment of risks is based on survey questionnaires, which achieved the follow findings: (1) there are 21 main risks influencing on schedule delays; (2) scientifically rank the influence of every single risk on schedule delays; (3) provide a recommendation that could reduce or eliminate these risks on schedule delay of EPC hydropower projects. This study provides a valuable reference which helps investors and contractors finish on schedule to ensure the benefits when building EPC hydropower projects in the developing countries of Asia.
亚洲发展中国家的许多水电项目目前都采用了工程、采购和施工(EPC)的项目交付方式。然而,EPC总承包商面临着许多困难,导致进度延误和大量成本超支。本研究的目的是评估亚洲发展中国家EPC水电项目进度延误的风险。基于调查问卷对风险进行研究分析和评估,得出以下结论:(1)影响工期延误的主要风险有21种;(2) 科学地对每一种风险对进度延误的影响进行排序;(3) 提供一项建议,以减少或消除EPC水电项目进度延误的风险。本研究为投资者和承包商在亚洲发展中国家建设EPC水电项目提供了有价值的参考。
{"title":"Evaluating and classifying the impact of individual risk on the delayed EPC hydropower projects in the developing countries of Asia","authors":"S. Mai, Vatthanaly Siphada, Jianqiong Wang, Vinath Mekthanavanh, H. Hlaing, Pheng Sokliep","doi":"10.1504/IJRAM.2019.10022669","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1504/IJRAM.2019.10022669","url":null,"abstract":"Many hydropower projects in the developing countries of Asia have currently adopted the project delivery method of engineering, procurement and construction (EPC). However, the EPC general contractors are facing many difficulties, resulting in schedule delays and considerable cost overrun. The purpose of this research is to evaluate the risks causing schedule delays of EPC hydropower projects in the developing countries of Asia. The study analysis and assessment of risks is based on survey questionnaires, which achieved the follow findings: (1) there are 21 main risks influencing on schedule delays; (2) scientifically rank the influence of every single risk on schedule delays; (3) provide a recommendation that could reduce or eliminate these risks on schedule delay of EPC hydropower projects. This study provides a valuable reference which helps investors and contractors finish on schedule to ensure the benefits when building EPC hydropower projects in the developing countries of Asia.","PeriodicalId":35420,"journal":{"name":"International Journal of Risk Assessment and Management","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2019-07-15","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"42147416","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 1
Psychiatric morbidity as a risk factor for hospital inpatients' safety: a cross-sectional study 精神病发病率是影响住院患者安全的危险因素:一项横断面研究
Q3 Decision Sciences Pub Date : 2019-07-15 DOI: 10.1504/IJRAM.2019.101271
R. Mutti, F. Montali, A. Ferrari, A. Nouvenne, F. Lauretani, G. Campaniello, C. Marchesi
Very few studies have shown the relation between psychiatric morbidity and hospital care safety. Some studies emphasise the importance of proper management of care safety for patients treated in psychiatric settings. Therefore, it is of great importance to deeply analyse the psychiatric morbidity impact on the safety of patient care in non-psychiatric settings. A cross-sectional study has been carried out, based on a simple random sample of N = 941 psychiatric consultations collected over a three-year period (2012-014) representative of N = 4548, sent to the intensive psychiatric hospital service by the wards of a university hospital. Demographic characteristics and psychiatric morbidity of hospital inpatients are associated with the four main outcomes/events due to the patients' active participation in the care processes (patient fall, patients' departure, suicide attempt or self-harm and acts of violence against professionals).
很少有研究表明精神疾病发病率与医院护理安全之间的关系。一些研究强调对在精神病院接受治疗的病人进行适当的护理安全管理的重要性。因此,深入分析精神疾病发病率对非精神科患者护理安全的影响具有重要意义。一项横断面研究基于简单随机样本,收集了3年(2012- 2014年)期间N = 941例精神病咨询,代表N = 4548例,由一所大学医院的病房送往精神科重症医院服务。住院病人的人口特征和精神发病率与病人积极参与护理过程的四种主要结果/事件(病人跌倒、病人离开、自杀企图或自残以及对专业人员的暴力行为)有关。
{"title":"Psychiatric morbidity as a risk factor for hospital inpatients' safety: a cross-sectional study","authors":"R. Mutti, F. Montali, A. Ferrari, A. Nouvenne, F. Lauretani, G. Campaniello, C. Marchesi","doi":"10.1504/IJRAM.2019.101271","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1504/IJRAM.2019.101271","url":null,"abstract":"Very few studies have shown the relation between psychiatric morbidity and hospital care safety. Some studies emphasise the importance of proper management of care safety for patients treated in psychiatric settings. Therefore, it is of great importance to deeply analyse the psychiatric morbidity impact on the safety of patient care in non-psychiatric settings. A cross-sectional study has been carried out, based on a simple random sample of N = 941 psychiatric consultations collected over a three-year period (2012-014) representative of N = 4548, sent to the intensive psychiatric hospital service by the wards of a university hospital. Demographic characteristics and psychiatric morbidity of hospital inpatients are associated with the four main outcomes/events due to the patients' active participation in the care processes (patient fall, patients' departure, suicide attempt or self-harm and acts of violence against professionals).","PeriodicalId":35420,"journal":{"name":"International Journal of Risk Assessment and Management","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2019-07-15","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"41463406","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Portfolio composition and critical line: a methodological approach 投资组合构成和临界线:一种方法论方法
Q3 Decision Sciences Pub Date : 2019-07-15 DOI: 10.1504/IJRAM.2019.10022680
Agim Kukeli, F. Deari, C. Rocsoreanu
The purpose of this paper is to illustrate, at least pedagogically, composition of an efficient portfolio. Principally, two scenarios are examined. In the first we intend to minimise the portfolio variance and achieve a desired level of return. To do so, we find the optimal weights using Lagrange multiplier method. Short sales of securities are allowed. This implies that negative weights can be found. In the second case, we obtain the optimal portfolio composition, considering that weights cannot be negative. This suggests that short sales of securities are not allowed, and the Kuhn-Tucker system is used. Results are examined in the light of the investor's risk tolerance, and reveal that an investor who chooses an aggressive investment is focused more on return rather than risk. Conversely, when the investor's risk tolerance decreased, funds were invested more in stocks with both lower return and risk.
本文的目的是说明,至少在教学上,组成一个有效的投资组合。主要考察两种情况。在第一种情况下,我们打算尽量减少投资组合的差异,并达到预期的回报水平。为此,我们使用拉格朗日乘数法找到最优权值。允许卖空证券。这意味着可以找到负权值。在第二种情况下,考虑到权重不能为负,我们得到了最优的投资组合构成。这表明不允许卖空证券,并使用库恩-塔克系统。结果是根据投资者的风险承受能力进行检验的,并揭示了选择激进投资的投资者更关注回报而不是风险。相反,当投资者的风险承受能力下降时,资金会更多地投资于收益和风险都较低的股票。
{"title":"Portfolio composition and critical line: a methodological approach","authors":"Agim Kukeli, F. Deari, C. Rocsoreanu","doi":"10.1504/IJRAM.2019.10022680","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1504/IJRAM.2019.10022680","url":null,"abstract":"The purpose of this paper is to illustrate, at least pedagogically, composition of an efficient portfolio. Principally, two scenarios are examined. In the first we intend to minimise the portfolio variance and achieve a desired level of return. To do so, we find the optimal weights using Lagrange multiplier method. Short sales of securities are allowed. This implies that negative weights can be found. In the second case, we obtain the optimal portfolio composition, considering that weights cannot be negative. This suggests that short sales of securities are not allowed, and the Kuhn-Tucker system is used. Results are examined in the light of the investor's risk tolerance, and reveal that an investor who chooses an aggressive investment is focused more on return rather than risk. Conversely, when the investor's risk tolerance decreased, funds were invested more in stocks with both lower return and risk.","PeriodicalId":35420,"journal":{"name":"International Journal of Risk Assessment and Management","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2019-07-15","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"48698937","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 1
期刊
International Journal of Risk Assessment and Management
全部 Acc. Chem. Res. ACS Applied Bio Materials ACS Appl. Electron. Mater. ACS Appl. Energy Mater. ACS Appl. Mater. Interfaces ACS Appl. Nano Mater. ACS Appl. Polym. Mater. ACS BIOMATER-SCI ENG ACS Catal. ACS Cent. Sci. ACS Chem. Biol. ACS Chemical Health & Safety ACS Chem. Neurosci. ACS Comb. Sci. ACS Earth Space Chem. ACS Energy Lett. ACS Infect. Dis. ACS Macro Lett. ACS Mater. Lett. ACS Med. Chem. Lett. ACS Nano ACS Omega ACS Photonics ACS Sens. ACS Sustainable Chem. Eng. ACS Synth. Biol. Anal. Chem. BIOCHEMISTRY-US Bioconjugate Chem. BIOMACROMOLECULES Chem. Res. Toxicol. Chem. Rev. Chem. Mater. CRYST GROWTH DES ENERG FUEL Environ. Sci. Technol. Environ. Sci. Technol. Lett. Eur. J. Inorg. Chem. IND ENG CHEM RES Inorg. Chem. J. Agric. Food. Chem. J. Chem. Eng. Data J. Chem. Educ. J. Chem. Inf. Model. J. Chem. Theory Comput. J. Med. Chem. J. Nat. Prod. J PROTEOME RES J. Am. Chem. Soc. LANGMUIR MACROMOLECULES Mol. Pharmaceutics Nano Lett. Org. Lett. ORG PROCESS RES DEV ORGANOMETALLICS J. Org. Chem. J. Phys. Chem. J. Phys. Chem. A J. Phys. Chem. B J. Phys. Chem. C J. Phys. Chem. Lett. Analyst Anal. Methods Biomater. Sci. Catal. Sci. Technol. Chem. Commun. Chem. Soc. Rev. CHEM EDUC RES PRACT CRYSTENGCOMM Dalton Trans. Energy Environ. Sci. ENVIRON SCI-NANO ENVIRON SCI-PROC IMP ENVIRON SCI-WAT RES Faraday Discuss. Food Funct. Green Chem. Inorg. Chem. Front. Integr. Biol. J. Anal. At. Spectrom. J. Mater. Chem. A J. Mater. Chem. B J. Mater. Chem. C Lab Chip Mater. Chem. Front. Mater. Horiz. MEDCHEMCOMM Metallomics Mol. Biosyst. Mol. Syst. Des. Eng. Nanoscale Nanoscale Horiz. Nat. Prod. Rep. New J. Chem. Org. Biomol. Chem. Org. Chem. Front. PHOTOCH PHOTOBIO SCI PCCP Polym. Chem.
×
引用
GB/T 7714-2015
复制
MLA
复制
APA
复制
导出至
BibTeX EndNote RefMan NoteFirst NoteExpress
×
0
微信
客服QQ
Book学术公众号 扫码关注我们
反馈
×
意见反馈
请填写您的意见或建议
请填写您的手机或邮箱
×
提示
您的信息不完整,为了账户安全,请先补充。
现在去补充
×
提示
您因"违规操作"
具体请查看互助需知
我知道了
×
提示
现在去查看 取消
×
提示
确定
Book学术官方微信
Book学术文献互助
Book学术文献互助群
群 号:604180095
Book学术
文献互助 智能选刊 最新文献 互助须知 联系我们:info@booksci.cn
Book学术提供免费学术资源搜索服务,方便国内外学者检索中英文文献。致力于提供最便捷和优质的服务体验。
Copyright © 2023 Book学术 All rights reserved.
ghs 京公网安备 11010802042870号 京ICP备2023020795号-1