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Intraregional Export Flows and Export Efficiency in Palm Oil and Palm-Based Products: Southeast Asia and Latin America Regions Compared 棕榈油和棕榈制品的区域内出口流动和出口效率:东南亚和拉丁美洲地区比较
Q2 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2021-03-19 DOI: 10.1080/08853908.2021.1897960
E. Devadason, M. Mubarik
ABSTRACT Arguably, leveraging the intraregional market is important for a commodity like palm oil that constantly faces challenges to sustain global demand in extraregional markets. The article, therefore, compares intraregional export potentials for palm oil in two regions that are at the frontier for palm oil expansion, Southeast Asia and Latin America. The study employs a stochastic frontier gravity model to estimate intraregional export performance. The results indicate large untapped potentials and low-efficiency levels in both regions. The evidence further suggests that the export potential limiting factors have increased over time.
摘要可以说,对于棕榈油这样的大宗商品来说,利用区域内市场是很重要的,因为棕榈油在维持区域外市场的全球需求方面不断面临挑战。因此,本文比较了东南亚和拉丁美洲这两个处于棕榈油扩张前沿的地区的棕榈油区域内出口潜力。该研究采用随机前沿重力模型来估计区域内出口绩效。结果表明,这两个区域都有巨大的未开发潜力和较低的效率水平。证据进一步表明,出口潜在的限制因素随着时间的推移而增加。
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引用次数: 4
Economic Geography of U.S. Apparel Trade: Home Market and Vertical Linkage Effects 美国服装贸易的经济地理:国内市场与垂直联动效应
Q2 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2021-03-08 DOI: 10.1080/08853908.2021.1887780
Anusua Datta
ABSTRACT A partial equilibrium trade model is used to test the role of vertical linkages and home market effects on the pattern of U.S. apparel trade, while controlling for trade costs and comparative advantage. Input output data is used to investigate the significance of linkages between the apparel and textile industries. Industrial production data is used to provide industry specific estimates of the home market effect. We find strong evidence of home market effects that increase with the phasing out of apparel quotas. Strong linkages between the apparel and textile industries in the exporting country are positively correlated with apparel exports.
摘要部分均衡贸易模型用于检验垂直联系和国内市场效应对美国服装贸易模式的影响,同时控制贸易成本和比较优势。投入产出数据用于调查服装业和纺织业之间联系的重要性。工业生产数据用于提供对国内市场效应的特定行业估计。我们发现强有力的证据表明,随着服装配额的逐步取消,国内市场的影响也在增加。出口国服装业和纺织业之间的紧密联系与服装出口呈正相关。
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引用次数: 2
From the Editor 来自编辑
Q2 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2021-03-04 DOI: 10.1080/08853908.2021.1880104
G. Clarke
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引用次数: 0
Do Minimum Wages Increase Female Employment? Evidence from Vietnamese Manufacturing Firms 最低工资能增加女性就业吗?来自越南制造企业的证据
Q2 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2021-02-22 DOI: 10.1080/08853908.2021.1877217
D. Nguyen
ABSTRACT In this article, I empirically examine the employment effect of minimum wages using firm-level data on Vietnamese manufacturing and find that minimum wages have a positive association with a firm’s female employment. This effect is the highest in automotive and engineering manufactures, and the lowest in textile, garment, and footwear manufactures. Alternative regressions provide evidence that the higher the total factor productivity, the increased female labor share, and the higher pay to their employees, the stronger the female employment effect. The female employment impact is positive, but this impact weakened after the uniform minimum wage rate was applied in 2012.
摘要在本文中,我使用越南制造业企业层面的数据实证检验了最低工资的就业效应,发现最低工资与企业女性就业呈正相关。这种影响在汽车和工程制造业中最高,在纺织、服装和鞋类制造业中最低。替代回归提供的证据表明,全要素生产率越高,女性劳动力份额越高,员工薪酬越高,则女性就业效应越强。女性就业的影响是积极的,但在2012年实行统一的最低工资率后,这种影响减弱了。
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引用次数: 0
Diversity Explosion: How New Racial Demographics Are Remaking America 多样性爆炸:新的种族人口统计如何重塑美国
Q2 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2021-02-18 DOI: 10.1080/08853908.2021.1878075
G. Clarke
If current trends continue, non-Hispanic whites will no longer be a majority in the United States (US) by 2050. In his fascinating book, Diversity Explosion, Frey discusses why this is happening, how it could cause a cultural and political generation gap, how it will affect different regions, and how trends have changed over time. Slow population growth among non-Hispanic whites partially explains why minorities make up an increasing share of the population. However, the increase also reflects the rapid growth of Hispanic, Asian, and multiracial populations, groups that Frey calls the “new minorities.” He notes that between 2015 and 2060, the Hispanic population should increase by 96%, the Asian population by 103%, and the multiracial population by 300%. By contrast, the non-Hispanic white population will fall by 10%, and the AfricanAmerican population will grow by only 37%. Frey notes that reducing immigration would slow, but not reverse, these trends. While the first chapter focuses on the overall trends, later chapters describe how diversity has evolved in different regions. Frey also notes that trends that were visible before the 1990s have changed dramatically. Immigrant Asian and Hispanic populations no longer cluster in a few cities and states. The great migration of African Americans from the South to the North has reversed, and ‘white flight’ from cities to nearby suburbs no longer drives suburban growth. Frey divides the country into three broad regions. The first, which he refers to as the traditional melting pot, is where most Asian and Hispanic immigrants entered the US in the 1980s and early 1990s. The melting pot states of California, New York, Texas, New Mexico, Illinois, and Florida became diverse quickly. California, Texas, and New Mexico became majority-minority states by the early 2000s; non-Hispanic whites made up less than half of their populations (Teixeira, Frey, and Griffin 2015). Frey argues that this growth led to fears the country would become balkanized, with new minority populations growing in the melting pot states, while the rest of the country remained predominantly white. This pattern, however, ended in the late 1990s as other states started to become increasingly diverse. States in the West and Southeast like Washington, Nevada, Arizona, Georgia, and Virginia, which Frey refers to as the new sunbelt, were growing during the 1980s and early 1990s. This early growth, however, was due to internal white migration from other states. In the late 1990s, more new minority immigrants started moving to the new sunbelt and African Americans started migrating from the North to the South. Some new sunbelt states, including Nevada, Arizona, and Georgia, should become majority-minority states by the mid-2020s (Teixeira, Frey, and Griffin 2015). The remaining states, which Frey calls the heartland, were growing slowly or shrinking in the 1980s and early 1990s, but these states also started attracting new minority immigrants in
如果目前的趋势继续下去,到2050年,非西班牙裔白人将不再是美国的多数。弗雷在其引人入胜的著作《多样性爆炸》中讨论了为什么会发生这种情况,它如何导致文化和政治代沟,它将如何影响不同地区,以及趋势如何随着时间的推移而变化。非西班牙裔白人的人口增长缓慢,部分解释了为什么少数族裔在人口中所占比例越来越大。然而,这一增长也反映了西班牙裔、亚裔和多种族人口的快速增长,弗雷称这些群体为“新少数民族”。相比之下,非西班牙裔白人人口将下降10%,非裔美国人人口仅增长37%。弗雷指出,减少移民会减缓但不会扭转这些趋势。虽然第一章侧重于总体趋势,但后面的章节描述了不同地区的多样性是如何演变的。弗雷还指出,20世纪90年代之前的趋势已经发生了巨大变化。亚裔和西班牙裔移民不再聚集在少数几个城市和州。非裔美国人从南方到北方的大迁徙已经逆转,从城市到附近郊区的“白人逃亡”不再推动郊区的增长。弗雷把这个国家分为三个大区。第一个,他称之为传统的大熔炉,是20世纪80年代和90年代初大多数亚裔和西班牙裔移民进入美国的地方。加利福尼亚州、纽约州、得克萨斯州、新墨西哥州、伊利诺伊州和佛罗里达州等大熔炉州迅速变得多样化。到21世纪初,加利福尼亚州、得克萨斯州和新墨西哥州成为少数族裔占多数的州;非西班牙裔白人占其人口的不到一半(Teixeira、Frey和Griffin,2015年)。弗雷认为,这种增长导致人们担心这个国家会变得巴尔干化,新的少数民族人口在大熔炉州不断增长,而这个国家的其他地区仍然以白人为主。然而,随着其他州开始变得越来越多样化,这种模式在20世纪90年代末结束了。华盛顿州、内华达州、亚利桑那州、佐治亚州和弗吉尼亚州等西部和东南部的州,弗雷称之为新的阳光地带,在20世纪80年代和90年代初一直在增长。然而,这种早期的增长是由于来自其他州的白人内部移民。20世纪90年代末,越来越多的新少数族裔移民开始迁移到新的阳光地带,非裔美国人开始从北方迁移到南方。一些新的阳光地带州,包括内华达州、亚利桑那州和佐治亚州,应该在20世纪20年代中期成为多数族裔的州(Teixeira、Frey和Griffin,2015年)。弗雷称之为中心地带的其余州在20世纪80年代和90年代初增长缓慢或萎缩,但这些州也在20世纪90年代末开始吸引新的少数族裔移民。尽管阿拉巴马州、佛蒙特州、西弗吉尼亚州和怀俄明州等许多州仍将保留
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引用次数: 0
Regional Integration and Economic Growth: New Empirical Evidence from the East African Community 区域一体化与经济增长:来自东非共同体的新经验证据
Q2 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2021-02-12 DOI: 10.1080/08853908.2021.1880990
Francis Ejones, F. W. Agbola, A. Mahmood
ABSTRACT This article empirically investigates the impact of the East African Community (EAC) on economic growth. We utilized a comprehensive panel data spanning from 1988 to 2017. We estimated an endogenous growth model using feasible generalized least squares (FGLS) and panel corrected standard error (PCSE) estimators. Regional trade agreements (RTAs) and trade openness enhance economic growth. RTAs in the same region have a more significant impact on economic growth than plurilateral and multilateral RTAs. Regionalism in the EAC has heterogeneous country effects on economic growth. Our results are robust to alternative model specifications, highlighting the importance of RTAs in enhancing economic growth.
本文实证研究了东非共同体对经济增长的影响。我们使用了1988年至2017年的全面面板数据。我们使用可行的广义最小二乘(FGLS)和面板校正标准误差(PCSE)估计量来估计内生增长模型。区域贸易协定和贸易开放促进了经济增长。同一区域的区域贸易协定对经济增长的影响比诸边和多边区域贸易协定更大。东非共同体的区域主义对经济增长具有异质性国家影响。我们的结果与其他模型规范相比是稳健的,突出了区域贸易协定在促进经济增长方面的重要性。
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引用次数: 6
A Dynamic Optimal Trade Facilitation Policy 一种动态的最优贸易便利化政策
Q2 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2021-01-20 DOI: 10.1080/08853908.2020.1859021
Nasreen Nawaz
ABSTRACT The existing literature does not consider the efficiency losses on the adjustment path after a trade facilitation policy is adopted. After a trade facilitation measure, the cost of the foreign producer gets a downward jump, which affects imports, and the market gets out of equilibrium. The market supply and demand get adjusted over time until the post-policy equilibrium arrives. The adjustment of price is based on the lack of coordination among agents at the existing prices. An optimal trade facilitation policy subject to a cost constraint has been derived, which minimizes the efficiency losses on the adjustment path.
现有文献没有考虑贸易便利化政策实施后调整路径上的效率损失。在采取贸易便利化措施后,外国生产商的成本会下降,从而影响进口,导致市场失衡。市场供给和需求会随着时间的推移而调整,直到政策后均衡到来。价格的调整是基于代理商之间在现有价格上缺乏协调。在成本约束下,导出了使调整路径上的效率损失最小化的最优贸易便利化政策。
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引用次数: 1
Deposit Rate Pass-Through in Selected Latin American Economies over the Post-2008 World 2008年后世界部分拉丁美洲经济体的存款利率传递
Q2 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2021-01-02 DOI: 10.1080/08853908.2020.1852984
Chu V. Nguyen
ABSTRACT This investigation documented the following. First, commercial banks in Colombia and Mexico overshot in their lending rate adjustments and practiced predatory pricing in the credit markets. Second, the institutions in Bolivia, Costa Rica, and Honduras were sluggish in their short-run lending rate adjustments and lowered their lending rate more in the long run. Third, Brazilian banks adjusted their lending rates down when their deposit rates increased in the short run, and drastically increased them in the long run. Thus, to promote economic growth and improve the living standard of the populace, these hindrances in Latin American economies must be rectified.
摘要本次调查记录了以下内容。首先,哥伦比亚和墨西哥的商业银行过度调整贷款利率,在信贷市场上实行掠夺性定价。其次,玻利维亚、哥斯达黎加和洪都拉斯的机构在短期贷款利率调整方面表现迟缓,从长远来看,它们的贷款利率下调幅度更大。第三,巴西银行在短期内存款利率上升时下调了贷款利率,而在长期内大幅提高了贷款利率。因此,为了促进经济增长和提高人民的生活水平,必须纠正拉丁美洲经济中的这些障碍。
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引用次数: 0
From the Editor 来自编辑
Q2 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2021-01-02 DOI: 10.1080/08853908.2021.1866277
G. Clarke
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引用次数: 0
Impact of Climate Risk on Firms’ Use of Trade Credit: International Evidence 气候风险对企业使用贸易信贷的影响:国际证据
Q2 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2020-12-10 DOI: 10.1080/08853908.2020.1847217
Mohammad N. Islam, Clark M. Wheatley
ABSTRACT We examine the association between climate risk and trade credit. We predict that firms exposed to climate risk-driven liquidity shocks prefer to use less trade credit. Using the Global Climate Risk Index of 86 countries, we find that firms located in countries characterized by severe weather events prefer to use less trade credit. In additional analyses, we find that the negative association between trade credit and climate risk is more pronounced for firms with more volatile cash flow and less collateral. Our results are robust to the use of alternative climate risk measure, alternative econometric methods, and exclusion of outliers.
摘要我们研究了气候风险与贸易信贷之间的关系。我们预测,受到气候风险驱动的流动性冲击的公司更喜欢使用更少的贸易信贷。使用86个国家的全球气候风险指数,我们发现,位于以恶劣天气事件为特征的国家的公司更喜欢使用较少的贸易信贷。在进一步的分析中,我们发现,对于现金流波动较大、抵押品较少的公司来说,贸易信贷与气候风险之间的负关联更为明显。我们的结果对于使用替代气候风险度量、替代计量经济方法和排除异常值是稳健的。
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引用次数: 6
期刊
International Trade Journal
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