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The Partial and General Equilibrium Effects of the Greater Arab Free Trade Agreement 大阿拉伯自由贸易协定的部分均衡和一般均衡效应
Q2 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2021-08-23 DOI: 10.1080/08853908.2021.1962439
Z. El-Sahli
ABSTRACT The Greater Arab Free Trade Agreement (GAFTA) is a regional trade agreement among the Arab countries. We incorporate recent advances in the literature to investigate the partial and general equilibrium effects of GAFTA. The partial equilibrium estimates suggest that GAFTA had a positive and significant effect on bilateral trade of around 40% in 1998 and 61% after the phasing out of tariffs. The general equilibrium analysis suggests that the welfare effects of the agreement are mostly negligible. The results highlight that deeper integration among the Arab countries is imperative to bring about further welfare benefits to the member states.
摘要大阿拉伯自由贸易协定(GAFTA)是阿拉伯国家之间的一项区域贸易协定。我们结合文献中的最新进展来研究GAFTA的部分和一般平衡效应。部分均衡估计表明,GAFTA对双边贸易产生了积极而显著的影响,1998年约为40%,在逐步取消关税后为61%。一般均衡分析表明,该协议的福利效应大多可以忽略不计。研究结果强调,阿拉伯国家之间的进一步一体化对于为成员国带来更多福利至关重要。
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引用次数: 0
Export Entrepreneurship and SMEs: Determinants and Performance 出口创业与中小企业:决定因素与绩效
Q2 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2021-08-18 DOI: 10.1080/08853908.2021.1963888
C. Santhosh
ABSTRACT The main objective of this study is to analyze the export entrepreneurship determinants and performance achieved by 70 small and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs) in the engineering industry of Bangalore in India. The results reveal that export entrepreneurship is influenced by CEOs who are young, have high entrepreneurial orientation, and possess export market knowledge. The study also shows that export entrepreneurship positively affects the performance of SMEs. These results extend the existing knowledge of how SMEs can strategize their international activities and performance by utilizing the CEO’s specific attributes.
摘要本研究的主要目的是分析印度班加罗尔工程行业70家中小企业的出口创业决定因素和绩效。研究结果表明,出口创业受到年轻、创业取向高、具备出口市场知识的CEO的影响。研究还表明,出口创业对中小企业的绩效有积极影响。这些结果扩展了中小企业如何利用首席执行官的特定属性制定国际活动和绩效战略的现有知识。
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引用次数: 2
Multi-product Firms and Export Skewness: Does Firm Size Matter? 多产品企业与出口偏度:企业规模重要吗?
Q2 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2021-08-18 DOI: 10.1080/08853908.2021.1963889
Aya Elewa, Chahir Zaki
ABSTRACT Using firm-level data on Egyptian multi-product exporters, this article studies how firms respond to a larger market size and greater competition in the destination country through adjusting their choice of product scope. Our main findings show that market size has a negative impact on the within-firm concentration index, reflecting that firms diversify their product portfolio in larger destinations. Tougher competition induces firms to drop some products, and their product mix becomes more skewed, especially for large exporting firms who tend to concentrate on products where they have a comparative advantage. Our results are less robust for small exporting firms.
本文利用埃及多产品出口商的企业层面数据,研究了企业如何通过调整产品范围选择来应对目的地国更大的市场规模和更激烈的竞争。我们的主要研究结果表明,市场规模对企业内部集中度指数有负向影响,这反映了企业在更大的目的地分散其产品组合。激烈的竞争促使公司放弃一些产品,他们的产品组合变得更加扭曲,特别是对于那些倾向于专注于他们有比较优势的产品的大型出口公司。对于小型出口企业,我们的结果就不那么稳健了。
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引用次数: 0
Environmental Regulation and Intra-Industry Trade: An Empirical Analysis 环境监管与产业内贸易:实证分析
Q2 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2021-08-17 DOI: 10.1080/08853908.2021.1952122
Deepti Kohli
ABSTRACT This article examines the impact of environmental stringency on the pattern of intra-industry trade (IIT) flows of four pollution-intensive industries, that is, pulp and waste paper, lime, cement, and construction materials, iron ore and concentrates, and dyeing and tanning extracts, by utilizing a balanced panel dataset comprising of 36 countries over the period 1990 to 2019. The environmental stringency variable has been estimated from the energy intensity of the trading countries. The results show that the environmental stringency coefficients are highly statistically significant, implying that environmental regulation emerges as an essential indicator of the IIT flows between two trading countries.
摘要:本文通过利用包含1990年至2019年36个国家的平衡面板数据集,研究了环境严格程度对四个污染密集型行业(纸浆和废纸、石灰、水泥和建筑材料、铁矿石和精矿以及印染和制革提取物)产业内贸易流动模式的影响。环境严格变量是根据贸易国的能源强度估计出来的。结果表明,环境严格系数在统计上具有高度显著性,这意味着环境监管成为两个贸易国之间工业技术流动的重要指标。
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引用次数: 1
Regional Trade Agreements and Export Trade Flows: Developing Economies and the Global Financial Crisis of 2007 to 2009 区域贸易协定和出口贸易流动:发展中经济体与2007-2009年全球金融危机
Q2 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2021-08-04 DOI: 10.1080/08853908.2021.1940391
F. Benita
ABSTRACT We explore the impact of the global financial crisis on export trade flows among member countries of MERCOSUR, NAFTA, ASEAN, Maghreb, and SACU. The analysis also focuses on the role of political rights, exchange rate, and export diversification as control mechanisms during the economic crisis. The results show differentiated patterns of trade creation across regions. We found an annual reduction (increment) in the gains of MERCOSUR and ASEAN (NAFTA, Maghreb, and SACU) members during the years after the global financial crisis. We also found that export concentration was the sole robust mechanism enhancing the volume of exports.
摘要我们探讨了全球金融危机对南方共同市场、北美自由贸易区、东盟、马格里布和南美合作组织成员国之间出口贸易流动的影响。分析还侧重于政治权利、汇率和出口多样化在经济危机期间作为控制机制的作用。研究结果显示,各地区的贸易创造模式各不相同。我们发现,在全球金融危机后的几年里,南方共同市场和东盟(NAFTA、马格里布和SACU)成员国的收益每年都在减少(增加)。我们还发现,出口集中是提高出口量的唯一有力机制。
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引用次数: 1
Is Trade Facilitation a Deterrent or Stimulus for Foreign Direct Investment in Africa? 贸易便利化是对非洲外国直接投资的威慑还是刺激?
Q2 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2021-07-20 DOI: 10.1080/08853908.2021.1937407
R. Ibrahim, K. Ajide
ABSTRACT This article investigates whether trade facilitation acts as a stimulus or deterrent for foreign direct investment (FDI) inflow to Africa by employing six key components relating to cross-border trading on a panel of 26 African countries over the period of 2004 to 2014. The study employs both the fixed effects model and difference-generalized method of moments. The empirical results show that trade facilitation significantly hinders FDI inflows both in the single (aggregated) and multiple (disaggregated) models. This apart, the critical roles of gross domestic product (GDP), infrastructural development (FST), inflation (INFL), and trade openness (TO) are equally affirmed.
摘要本文通过对2004年至2014年期间由26个非洲国家组成的小组中与跨境贸易有关的六个关键组成部分的研究,探讨了贸易便利化是否对流入非洲的外国直接投资起到了刺激或威慑作用。该研究采用了固定效应模型和差分广义矩方法。实证结果表明,在单一(汇总)和多重(分解)模型中,贸易便利化显著阻碍了外国直接投资流入。除此之外,国内生产总值(GDP)、基础设施发展(FST)、通货膨胀(INFL)和贸易开放(TO)的关键作用也得到了同样的肯定。
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引用次数: 9
U.K.-German Commodity Trade and Exchange-Rate Volatility: An Asymmetric Analysis 英国-德国商品贸易与汇率波动的不对称分析
Q2 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2021-07-19 DOI: 10.1080/08853908.2021.1947923
Mohsen Bahmani‐Oskooee, H. Karamelikli
ABSTRACT We assess the response of trade flows between Britain and Germany to exchange rate volatility. When we estimated a linear model, we found short-run effects of volatility in 36 British exporting industries that lasted into the long run only in 23 industries. The comparable number for German exporting industries were 42 and 17, respectively. However, when we estimated a nonlinear model, we found short-run asymmetric effects of volatility in 54 British exporting industries that lasted into the long run in 38 industries. The comparable number for German exporting industries were 64 and 42, respectively. Almost all affected industries were small.
我们评估了英国和德国之间的贸易流动对汇率波动的反应。当我们估计线性模型时,我们发现波动对36个英国出口行业的短期影响,只有23个行业持续到长期。德国出口工业的可比数字分别为42和17。然而,当我们估计一个非线性模型时,我们发现54个英国出口行业的波动率的短期不对称效应在38个行业中持续到长期。德国出口工业的可比数字分别为64和42。几乎所有受影响的行业都是小型企业。
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引用次数: 3
The Asymmetric Effects of Exchange Rate Changes on Output: Evidence from Asian Countries 汇率变动对产出的非对称效应——来自亚洲国家的证据
Q2 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2021-07-05 DOI: 10.1080/08853908.2021.1940392
Salah A. Nusair
ABSTRACT This article examines the asymmetric effects of real exchange rate changes on the domestic output of selected Asian countries. To account for asymmetries, we separate currency appreciation from depreciation and utilize the nonlinear autoregressive distributed lag (NARDL) model. Employing annual data (1973 to 2018), we find evidence of short-run and long-run asymmetries in the effects of real exchange changes on the domestic output of all the countries. This means that currency appreciations have different effects from currency depreciations on the output of the countries. Overall, the results suggest that both currency appreciations and depreciations are contractionary in most cases.
本文考察了实际汇率变化对选定亚洲国家国内产出的不对称影响。为了解释不对称性,我们将货币升值和贬值分开,并使用非线性自回归分布滞后(NARDL)模型。利用年度数据(1973年至2018年),我们发现所有国家的实际汇率变化对国内产出的影响存在短期和长期不对称的证据。这意味着货币升值与货币贬值对各国产出的影响不同。总体而言,研究结果表明,在大多数情况下,货币升值和贬值都是收缩性的。
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引用次数: 2
Export Market Destinations, Imported Intermediates, and Productivity: Firm-level Evidence from Ghana 出口市场目的地、进口中间体和生产率:来自加纳的企业级证据
Q2 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2021-07-04 DOI: 10.1080/08853908.2020.1718567
L. Okafor
ABSTRACT This article explores whether the use of imported intermediates has a moderating impact on the productivity effects of export market destinations using data from Ghanaian manufacturing firms over the period of 1991 to 2002. The results show that the use of imported inputs in the production process helps firms that export outside Africa alone to enhance productivity compared to non-exporting firms. In contrast, firms that export outside Africa alone, but do not use imported inputs in the production process have lower productivity compared to non-exporting firms. Policies that promote trade in intermediate inputs across borders can help to enhance productivity.
本文利用1991年至2002年期间加纳制造业企业的数据,探讨进口中间体的使用是否对出口市场目的地的生产率效应具有调节作用。结果表明,与非出口企业相比,在生产过程中使用进口投入品有助于仅在非洲以外出口的企业提高生产率。相比之下,仅在非洲以外地区出口但在生产过程中不使用进口投入的公司的生产率低于非出口公司。促进中间投入品跨境贸易的政策有助于提高生产率。
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引用次数: 14
The Telecommunications Sector and Its Impact on Cambodia’s Services Export Performance 电信部门及其对柬埔寨服务出口业绩的影响
Q2 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2021-06-30 DOI: 10.1080/08853908.2021.1943072
R. Soeng, L. Cuyvers
ABSTRACT The article examines the impact of ICT on Cambodia’s services export performance. In the econometric estimations, ICT is proxied by fixed telephone subscriptions, mobile cellular subscriptions, fixed broadband subscriptions, and internet users, and is introduced in the augmented gravity model with a panel data set available from 1995 to 2012. Estimations are carried out using the fixed-effects method. It is found that ICT variables are positively associated with Cambodia’s total services exports as well as exports of transport and travel services. Policy implications are provided in order to further develop Cambodia’s ICT infrastructure to enhance the country’s international trade.
本文考察了ICT对柬埔寨服务出口绩效的影响。在计量经济估计中,ICT以固定电话用户、移动电话用户、固定宽带用户和互联网用户为代表,并使用1995年至2012年的面板数据集在增强重力模型中引入。采用固定效应法进行估计。研究发现,ICT变量与柬埔寨的总服务出口以及运输和旅游服务出口呈正相关。为进一步发展柬埔寨的信息和通信技术基础设施以促进该国的国际贸易,提供了政策影响。
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引用次数: 1
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International Trade Journal
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