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Market E fficiency at the Tel-Aviv Stock Exchange 特拉维夫证券交易所的市场效率
Pub Date : 2012-03-19 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.2200983
Bella Dubrov, Gal Zahavi
The question of market efficiency is one of the most important, intriguing and debated issues in finance. The efficient market hypothesis states that the current market price of an asset reflects all the available information concerning the asset, and, therefore, this information cannot be used to predict future prices and earn excess returns. However, in order for the price to incorporate new information, some actions must be performed by traders that receive the information. Therefore, some time must elapse until a new equilibrium state is reached. How long does this take? We study the issue of convergence to eefficiency at the Tel-Aviv Stock Exchange. We examine various parameters that can be predictive of the returns, including features of the limit order book. Furthermore, we take trading fees into account and conclude that some form of market efficiency holds even at the smallest time horizon.
市场效率问题是金融领域最重要、最有趣、最具争议的问题之一。效率客户市场假说认为,一项资产的当前市场价格反映了有关该资产的所有可用信息,因此,这些信息不能用于预测未来价格和赚取超额回报。然而,为了使价格包含新的信息,接收信息的交易者必须执行一些操作。因此,一定要经过一段时间才能达到新的平衡状态。这要花多长时间?我们研究了特拉维夫证券交易所的e - 效率的收敛问题。我们检查了可以预测退货的各种参数,包括限价订单簿的特征。此外,我们考虑到交易费用,并得出结论,某种形式的市场效率效率即使在最小的时间范围内也是成立的。
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引用次数: 0
Effects of Corporate Tax Rate Cuts on Firm Investment and Valuation: A Micro Simulation Approach 企业税率下调对企业投资和估值的影响:微观模拟方法
Pub Date : 2011-08-27 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.1905552
Keiichi Kubota, Hitoshi Takehara
This paper investigates the changes in firm value triggered by corporate tax rate changes for which firms have balances on deferred tax allowances and deferred tax assets. The effects on both investment to fixed/current assets are well taken care of with embedded production functions and firm investment decisions change over time through the accumulated process of retained earnings on the simulated future path. The study is based on micro-simulations, and the data covers the period 2000 to 2008. We note the tax loss carry-forward allowances and net changes in the deferred tax assets affect the equity account and our simulation results demonstrate that the changes in corporate tax rates can enhance market value of equity in most cases, while there are some cases in which the effects are neutral or even detrimental for firm values. With our result both firm financial managers and government regulators must watch very closely the current balance statement status of firm.
本文研究了在企业有递延所得税免税额和递延所得税资产余额的情况下,企业税率变化所引发的企业价值变化。对固定资产/流动资产投资的影响可以用嵌入的生产函数很好地处理,企业的投资决策会随着时间的推移而变化,通过模拟未来路径上留存收益的累积过程。该研究基于微观模拟,数据涵盖2000年至2008年。我们注意到,税收损失的结转准备金和递延所得税资产的净变化会影响权益账户,我们的模拟结果表明,在大多数情况下,公司税率的变化可以提高权益的市场价值,而在某些情况下,这种影响是中性的,甚至对公司价值有害。根据我们的研究结果,公司财务经理和政府监管机构都必须密切关注公司当前的结算表状况。
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引用次数: 0
Value of Cash Holdings and Accounting Conservatism 现金持有价值与会计稳健性
Pub Date : 2011-08-16 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.1415562
Henock Louis, Amy X. Sun, Oktay Urcan
We posit that accounting conservatism could mitigate the value destruction associated with increases in cash holdings. Consistent with this conjecture, we find that the market value of an additional dollar in cash holdings increases in accounting conservatism. This result is robust to controlling for strength of corporate governance, earnings quality, past stock performance, potential unobserved firm heterogeneity, potential endogenous changes in conservatism, and other relevant variables. Overall, the evidence suggests that accounting conservatism is associated with a more efficient use of cash holdings, supporting the notion that accounting conservatism can serve as a substitute for external monitoring and reduce agency conflicts between managers and shareholders.
我们假设会计稳健性可以减轻与现金持有量增加相关的价值破坏。与这一猜想相一致,我们发现,在会计稳健性下,现金持有的额外一美元的市场价值会增加。该结果对于控制公司治理强度、盈余质量、过去股票业绩、潜在未观察到的企业异质性、潜在保守性内生变化和其他相关变量具有鲁棒性。总体而言,证据表明会计稳健性与现金持有的更有效使用有关,支持会计稳健性可以替代外部监督并减少管理者和股东之间的代理冲突的概念。
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引用次数: 126
Bertrand Competition, Market Information and Observability 伯特兰竞争、市场信息和可观察性
Pub Date : 2011-08-15 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.1910339
C. Callahan, Emily Keenan
Recent economics literature shows renewed interest in models of Bertrand competition with cost uncertainty. We continue this reexamination and introduce cost correlation as a way to mitigate the asymmetry of information between firms facing Bertrand competition. We also allow firms to make an investment to decrease the variance of their cost signals. Our results demonstrate that when the firms’ choices of precision of their cost signals are observable, all firms will choose to be uninformed about their marginal costs and price at the average equilibrium price. On the other hand, with unobservable choices of precision, firms will choose as precise information as possible within the cost-benefit trade-off. Because of the correlation between the firms’ marginal costs, the increased precision of the cost signals not only provides better information about a firm’s own cost but also allows the firm to better infer the rivals’ costs and better anticipate their pricing choices.
最近的经济学文献显示了对具有成本不确定性的伯特兰竞争模型的新兴趣。我们继续这一重新审视,并引入成本相关性作为一种方式,以减轻面临伯特兰竞争的企业之间的信息不对称。我们还允许企业进行投资,以减少其成本信号的方差。我们的研究结果表明,当企业对成本信号精度的选择是可观察到的,所有的企业都会选择对其平均均衡价格下的边际成本和价格不知情。另一方面,在精度选择不可观察的情况下,企业将在成本效益权衡的范围内选择尽可能精确的信息。由于企业边际成本之间的相关性,成本信号精确度的提高不仅提供了关于企业自身成本的更好信息,而且使企业能够更好地推断竞争对手的成本,并更好地预测他们的定价选择。
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引用次数: 0
The Measurements and Determinants of Budgetary Slack: Empirical Evidence of Listed Companies in Thailand 预算松弛的度量和决定因素:泰国上市公司的经验证据
Pub Date : 2011-08-12 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.1909326
Pornpan Damrongsukniwat, Danuja Kunpanitchakit, S. Durongwatana
The new approach of budgetary slack measurement is introduced and used in the empirical investigation of the association between budgetary slack and its determinants. Comparisons of the results with other budgetary slack measurements are provided. Prior survey studies usually measure budgetary slack using management perceptions of the budget achievability. In this study, the ex post measure of firm’s annual budget achievability with the exclusion of earnings management through discretionary accruals has been used in an attempt to objectively measure budgetary slack. Both primary data from mailed survey questionnaires and secondary data from the annual financial statements are utilized in the analysis. The survey data on budget figures of the year 2009, perceived budget achievability, and all determinants are gleaned from 38 respondents working in the corporate level of listed non-financial firms in Thailand to match their firms’ annual financial statements, and the cross-sectional modified Jones (1995) model is employed to estimate discretionary accruals. Various determinants of budgetary slack are combined and classified into three categories: environmental factor, organizational factors, and individual factors. The study further examines those determinants on budgetary slack and compares their association with each budgetary slack measurement. The results show that the suggested measurement and the traditional measurement of budgetary slack are significantly, positively correlated and the association between budgetary slack and its determinants is relatively sensitive to the measurements of budgetary slack. This study contributes to prior literature an objective measure of budgetary slack. The respondents in this study are corporate management who involve extensively in budgeting process and are accountable for firms’ performance. Hence, the results in this study may suggest new evidence of organizational level.
引入了预算松弛度量的新方法,并将其用于预算松弛及其决定因素之间关系的实证研究。将结果与其他预算松弛测量结果进行了比较。先前的调查研究通常使用管理层对预算可实现性的看法来衡量预算松弛。在本研究中,公司的年度预算可实现性的事后度量排除盈余管理通过可自由支配的应计利润已被用于试图客观地衡量预算松弛。在分析中使用了来自邮寄调查问卷的主要数据和来自年度财务报表的次要数据。2009年预算数据、感知预算可实现性和所有决定因素的调查数据收集自38名在泰国上市非金融公司公司层面工作的受访者,以匹配其公司的年度财务报表,并采用横断面修正Jones(1995)模型来估计可自由支配的应计利润。预算松弛的各种决定因素被组合并分为三类:环境因素、组织因素和个人因素。本研究进一步考察了预算松弛的这些决定因素,并比较了它们与每个预算松弛测量的关联。结果表明,建议的预算松弛度量与传统的预算松弛度量存在显著的正相关关系,预算松弛及其决定因素之间的关联对预算松弛度量相对敏感。本研究为以往文献提供了预算松弛的客观度量。本研究的受访者是广泛参与预算编制过程并对公司绩效负责的公司管理层。因此,本研究的结果可能为组织层面提供新的证据。
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引用次数: 4
Raising the Bar: Income Tax Education at the Undergraduate Level 提高标准:本科阶段的所得税教育
Pub Date : 2011-04-01 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.1799045
J. Weber
Taxation is an important component of the knowledge base that certified public accountants (CPAs) are assumed to understand, by mere association. Whether or not CPAs, in general, actually possess enough taxation education and /or experience to warrant this reputation of prowess is a debatable matter. This paper will explore those presuppositions, restate selected previous research involving accounting education in taxation, and evaluate various educational delivery methods that might be utilized to prepare accountants to face tax issues in the real world, from the view of a veteran accounting practitioner turned enthusiastic accounting educator.
税务是知识基础的一个重要组成部分,注册会计师(cpa)被认为仅仅通过联想就能理解。总的来说,注册会计师是否真的拥有足够的税务教育和/或经验来保证这种卓越的声誉,这是一个有争议的问题。本文将探讨这些前提,重述以前选择的涉及税务会计教育的研究,并评估各种教育交付方法,这些方法可能被用来准备会计师面对现实世界中的税务问题,从一位资深会计从业者转变为热情的会计教育者的观点。
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引用次数: 0
Effects of Nonlinearity and Multi-Period Lags on Basu (1997) Measure 非线性和多周期滞后对巴苏测度的影响
Pub Date : 2011-03-07 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.1779827
Chi-Chun Liu, Chun-Yang Lin
This paper examines the impacts of two attributes of accounting recognition, i.e., nonlinearity and multi-period lags, on Basu (1997) measure of asymmetric timeliness. First, we predict and find that asymmetric timeliness is affected by nonlinear earnings responses and more pronounced when news of large absolute magnitudes occurs. Results also show that the time trend in asymmetric timeliness may be confounded by nonlinearity. Next, we examine lagged earnings responses to good news and bad news and hypothesize that positive differential earnings responses exist in the current and sufficiently short following periods, indicating differential earnings responses do not only exist concurrently. We also predict differential earnings responses turn negative, showing positive differential earnings responses reverse as lag increases. Besides, we hypothesize that differential earnings responses decay as lag increases. Empirical results are all consistent with our expectations. Our results are robust to several changes in model or sample specifications. Possible methods to compare the extents of conservatism when considering nonlinearity and multi-period lags are also provided in our study. Collectively, our empirical results suggest that nonlinearity in earnings responses and multi-period earnings responses rather than a single-period asymmetric timeliness measure should be considered to measure conservatism more validly.
本文考察了会计确认的两个属性,即非线性和多期滞后对Basu(1997)不对称时效性度量的影响。首先,我们预测并发现非对称时效性受到非线性盈余反应的影响,并且在绝对规模较大的新闻发生时更为明显。结果还表明,非对称时效性的时间趋势可能被非线性混淆。接下来,我们研究了对好消息和坏消息的滞后收益反应,并假设在当前和足够短的后续时期存在积极的差异收益反应,表明差异收益反应不仅同时存在。我们还预测差异收益反应变为负值,显示正的差异收益反应随着滞后的增加而逆转。此外,我们假设差异收益反应随着滞后的增加而衰减。实证结果与我们的预期一致。我们的结果对模型或样本规格的几个变化具有鲁棒性。在我们的研究中也提供了在考虑非线性和多周期滞后时比较保守性程度的可能方法。总的来说,我们的实证结果表明,为了更有效地衡量稳健性,应考虑盈余反应和多期盈余反应的非线性,而不是单期不对称时效性度量。
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引用次数: 0
Are 'Sticky Costs' the Result of Deliberate Decision of Managers? “粘性成本”是管理者深思熟虑决策的结果吗?
Pub Date : 2011-02-01 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.1444746
Kenji Yasukata
Recent research on cost behavior has revealed that costs do not change proportionately with changes in sales, showing that costs increase in response to increases in sales, but do not decline proportionately with reductions in sales. This asymmetric cost behavior is termed as “sticky costs.” One of the hypotheses on costs stickiness explains it as a phenomenon that results from the deliberate decisions of managers. When managers are faced with a decline in sales, there are some who consider the decline to be temporary, and expect sales to rebound in the near future; thus, there are managers who, deliberately, hold onto resources during periods of declining sales. Such behavior is justified when, in the long run, retaining resources could result in lower costs, thus higher profits, than eliminating resources in response to declining sales and reacquiring them in times of increasing sales. This hypothesis, however, has not been directly examined in the previous research. Managers’ prospect of future sales has not been incorporated into analyses in any of the previous works. In this paper, we use sales forecasts issued by managers as a proxy for managers’ prospect of future sales and examine the hypothesis that costs stickiness is the results of the deliberate decision of managers by empirically testing whether the managers’ sales forecasts have an impact on costs stickiness. We find that the prospect of future sales is related to current level of costs stickiness. Our findings provide the strong evidence that costs stickiness is the results of deliberate decision of managers.
最近对成本行为的研究表明,成本不随销售额的变化而成比例地变化,表明成本随销售额的增加而增加,但不随销售额的减少而成比例地下降。这种不对称的成本行为被称为“粘性成本”。关于成本粘性的一个假设将其解释为管理者深思熟虑的决策所导致的一种现象。当经理们面对销售额的下降时,有些人认为这种下降是暂时的,并期望销售额在不久的将来会反弹;因此,有些经理故意在销售下降期间保留资源。这种行为是合理的,因为从长远来看,保留资源可以降低成本,从而提高利润,而不是在销售下降时取消资源,然后在销售增加时重新获得资源。然而,这一假设并没有在之前的研究中得到直接检验。在以前的任何著作中,经理们对未来销售的前景都没有被纳入分析。本文以管理者发布的销售预测作为管理者对未来销售前景的代理,通过实证检验管理者的销售预测是否对成本粘性有影响,检验了成本粘性是管理者深思熟虑决策结果的假设。我们发现,未来的销售前景与当前的成本粘性水平有关。我们的研究结果为成本粘性是管理者深思熟虑决策的结果提供了强有力的证据。
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引用次数: 53
The Link Between Perception of BSC Implementation and Corporate Strategy and its Impact on Performance 平衡计分卡实施感知与企业战略的关系及其对绩效的影响
Pub Date : 2010-08-16 DOI: 10.2139/SSRN.1659845
Majidul Islam
Behavioral aspects and attitudes toward the balanced scorecard (BSC) could be a determinant factor in the success of BSC implementation. In the study we examine the match between factors affecting employee buying into the BSC and corporate strategy and whether a fit between them is necessary to maximize the benefits of BSC implementation by enhancing corporate performance. Conforming to our expectations, we found that firms that carefully planned their strategic objectives were more likely to have a positive impact on their employees’ perception of the BSC. A deliberate strategy - or planned strategy - as defined by Mintzberg (1978) is associated with higher levels of BSC awareness, perception of BSC ease of use, perception of BSC usefulness, and intention to use the BSC. We also found that higher perceptions of BSC ease of use were positively associated with aspects of a firm’s performance, such as from the customer, internal processes, and learning and innovation perspectives. Hence, we conclude that firms implementing the BSC need to take into consideration that the successful implementation of the BSC requires careful planning to ensure that the firm’s strategic objectives are well formulated, fitted with BSC measures, and effectively communicated to BSC users.
行为方面和对平衡计分卡(BSC)的态度可能是平衡计分卡实施成功的决定性因素。在本研究中,我们考察了影响员工购买平衡记分卡的因素与企业战略之间的匹配,以及它们之间的匹配是否必要,以通过提高企业绩效来实现实施平衡记分卡的利益最大化。与我们的预期一致,我们发现精心规划战略目标的公司更有可能对员工对平衡记分卡的看法产生积极影响。明茨伯格(Mintzberg, 1978)定义的刻意策略或计划策略与更高水平的平衡计分卡意识、平衡计分卡易用性的感知、平衡计分卡有用性的感知以及使用平衡计分卡的意愿相关。我们还发现,对平衡记分卡易用性的较高认知与公司绩效的各个方面呈正相关,例如从客户、内部流程、学习和创新的角度。因此,我们得出结论,实施平衡计分卡的公司需要考虑到,成功实施平衡计分卡需要仔细规划,以确保公司的战略目标得到很好的制定,符合平衡计分卡措施,并有效地与平衡计分卡用户沟通。
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引用次数: 1
Accounting for a Lean Environment 精益环境的会计
Pub Date : 2010-08-15 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.1659386
Frances A. Kennedy, S. Widener, R. Fullerton
Lean thinking is rapidly becoming the dominant paradigm in manufacturing. Kennedy and Widener (2008) use a case study to develop a lean environment model that illustrates the importance of lean accounting practices. We build on this work using a congruence model of organizational design (Nadler & Tushman, 1992, 1997) to shed more in-depth insights on the role of value stream costing (VSC) and lean accounting practices that exist in a cross-section of manufacturing firms. Using data from 244 U.S. companies that have implemented lean principles, we test a structural equation model that examines the role VSC plays in the lean environment. We hypothesize and find that top management support is associated with lean manufacturing practices, which in turn are associated with a decreased emphasis on traditional management accounting practices and an increase in the lean accounting concepts of simplified accounting practices and VSC. We also find that VSC is associated with employee empowerment and the use of visual performance measures. We find the existence of a second, better fitting model that confirms the importance of VSC as a critical element in the lean environment. However, the alternative model supports VSC as the final outcome in the lean process, rather than an intermediate step, suggesting that in a cross-section of firms, lean accounting may be the laggard in the implementation of lean principles. This study provides evidence on the internal alignment of a firm’s manufacturing, accounting, and control environments in a lean context.
精益思维正迅速成为制造业的主导范式。Kennedy和Widener(2008)使用案例研究开发了一个精益环境模型,说明了精益会计实践的重要性。在此基础上,我们使用组织设计的一致性模型(Nadler & Tushman, 1992,1997)对价值流成本(VSC)和精益会计实践的作用进行了更深入的了解,这些实践存在于制造业企业的横截面中。利用244家实施精益原则的美国公司的数据,我们测试了一个结构方程模型,该模型检验了VSC在精益环境中所起的作用。我们假设并发现,高层管理人员的支持与精益生产实践有关,而精益生产实践又与传统管理会计实践的重视程度下降以及简化会计实践和VSC的精益会计概念的增加有关。我们还发现,VSC与员工授权和使用视觉绩效指标有关。我们发现存在第二个更好的拟合模型,该模型证实了VSC作为精益环境中关键元素的重要性。然而,另一种模型支持VSC作为精益过程的最终结果,而不是中间步骤,这表明在公司的横截面中,精益会计可能是精益原则实施的落后者。本研究提供了精益背景下企业制造、会计和控制环境内部一致性的证据。
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引用次数: 6
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American Accounting Association Meetings (AAA)
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