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Alternative projection of the 2040 nuclear power for eight countries 替代预测2040年八个国家的核电
Q2 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2019-05-31 DOI: 10.1504/IJETP.2019.10021645
Yu Sang Chang, J. Yoo
This study projected nuclear electricity intensity for eight countries - China, the USA, India, South Korea, Japan, Canada and Brazil - which in turn is used to estimate net nuclear electricity generation for year 2020, 2030, and 2040. The net nuclear electricity generation projected by this study then was compared to those projected in the 2013 International Energy Outlook published by the US Energy Information Administration. The 2040 projection from this study is 57.7% higher than Energy Information Administration's projection for China and also 54% higher for the USA. For four other countries, Energy Information Administration's projections are higher than those from this study, but by a smaller margin. Implications from the findings will be discussed.
这项研究预测了中国、美国、印度、韩国、日本、加拿大和巴西八个国家的核电强度,进而用于估计2020年、2030年和2040年的净核能发电量。然后,将这项研究预测的净核能发电量与美国能源信息署发布的《2013年国际能源展望》预测的发电量进行了比较。本研究对2040年的预测比能源信息署对中国的预测高57.7%,也比美国高54%。对于其他四个国家,能源信息署的预测高于本研究的预测,但幅度较小。将讨论研究结果的影响。
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引用次数: 0
Evaluating the operational flexibility for wind energy integration in Nigeria using a security constraint unit commitment model 利用安全约束单元承诺模型评估尼日利亚风电一体化的运行灵活性
Q2 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2019-05-31 DOI: 10.1504/IJETP.2019.10021646
Richardson Omorodje Eni, J. Akinbami
The study evaluated the flexible techno-economic operations of thermal plants for sustainable wind power integration into the Nigerian electricity industry using security constraint unit commitment approach. This provides empirical evidence on the thermal power plants capability to back-up variable generation from wind energy. Relative to the current generation mix, 10% and 20% wind energy penetration increased the system spinning reserve per day from 702.5 to 1507.5 and 2107.5 MW respectively. Thermal plants total numbers of start-up per day decreased from 23 to 14 and 18, and shutdown hours per day decreased from 52 to 44 and 49 hrs in 10% and 20% wind energy integrated system, respectively. Greenhouse emission reduction per day were 1746.6 and 3254.4 lb, and thermal plants operational revenue reduced by 3.7 and 7.0% daily in 10% and 20% wind energy integrated system, respectively.
该研究使用安全约束单位承诺方法评估了火力发电厂的灵活技术经济运营,以实现尼日利亚电力行业的可持续风电整合。这为火力发电厂备份风能可变发电能力提供了经验证据。相对于当前的发电组合,10%和20%的风能渗透率将系统每天的旋转储备分别从702.5增加到1507.5和2107.5兆瓦。在10%和20%的风能集成系统中,火电厂每天启动的总次数分别从23个减少到14个和18个,停机时间分别从52个减少到44个和49个小时。在10%和20%的风能综合系统中,温室气体每天减少1746.6和3254.4磅,火电厂的运营收入每天分别减少3.7%和7.0%。
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引用次数: 0
Novel hydroelectricity data envelopment analysis model 新型水电数据包络分析模型
Q2 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2019-05-31 DOI: 10.1504/IJETP.2019.10021649
K. Strang
In this paper a data envelopment analysis (DEA) was developed using a spreadsheet to inform policy decision making for a clean renewable hydroelectricity plant located in a natural park preserve. The DEA objective function was to make the minimum changes to the proposed policy rates for hydroelectricity generation subject to the known capabilities and risks calculated from a beta distribution. The DEA decision variables were the proposed changes to the policy rates for each month. The simplex linear programming technique was used to implement DEA in a spreadsheet. Screen shots were included to illustrate how to setup the DEA spreadsheet. The results of this paper should generalise to policy makers, practitioners, analysts and researchers in the public utility and specifically in the clean renewable hydroelectricity community.
在本文中,使用电子表格开发了数据包络分析(DEA),为位于自然公园保护区的清洁可再生水力发电厂的政策决策提供信息。DEA目标函数是根据β分布计算的已知能力和风险,对拟议的水力发电政策费率进行最小的更改。DEA决策变量是每个月政策利率的拟议变化。利用单纯形线性规划技术在电子表格中实现DEA。屏幕截图展示了如何设置缉毒局电子表格。本文的结果应推广到公共事业部门的政策制定者、从业者、分析师和研究人员,特别是清洁可再生水电社区。
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引用次数: 0
Multi-criteria optimisation of a cane flexi-factory 甘蔗柔性工厂的多准则优化
Q2 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2019-05-31 DOI: 10.1504/IJETP.2019.10021647
A. Khoodaruth
The sugar cane industry is at stake due to the fall in prices of sugar. The industry has to re-engineer itself to a cane flexi-factory for its survival. A cane flexi-factory consists of a sugar mills, cogeneration power plant, bio-ethanol distillery, value-added sugars refinery and a bio-fertiliser manufacturing plant. Although one such refinery is in operation in Mauritius, the area of land area under sugar cultivation is decreasing. The outputs of the flexi-factory can be increased through implementation of higher pressure boiler; higher fibre cane; energy cane; cane tops and leaves; addition of a falling thin film evaporator and use drip irrigation technique. The aim of this paper is to evaluate the possible options to optimise the performance of a flexi-factory through the multi-criteria assessment approach. The outcome of the assessment will help policy makers to prioritise the implementation of these alternatives in the short, medium and long term.
由于糖价下跌,甘蔗工业岌岌可危。为了生存,该行业不得不将自己重新设计成一家甘蔗柔性工厂。甘蔗柔性工厂由糖厂、热电联产发电厂、生物乙醇酒厂、增值糖厂和生物化肥制造厂组成。尽管毛里求斯有一家这样的炼油厂在运营,但种植食糖的土地面积正在减少。柔性工厂的产量可以通过实施高压锅炉来增加;高纤维甘蔗;能源甘蔗;甘蔗顶部和叶子;增加了一个降膜蒸发器,并使用滴灌技术。本文的目的是通过多标准评估方法来评估优化柔性工厂性能的可能选择。评估结果将有助于决策者在短期、中期和长期内优先实施这些替代方案。
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引用次数: 0
Project finance and investment in the oil and gas industry in developing countries: a case study of Ghana 发展中国家石油和天然气行业的项目融资和投资:以加纳为例
Q2 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2019-05-31 DOI: 10.1504/IJETP.2019.10021644
E. Kwarteng, Y. Arthur, J. Ayer
Raising start-up and working capital are challenges faced by indigenous oil and gas entrepreneurs in many developing countries. The absence of sufficient collateral, good business plans, and high interest rates are barriers to acquiring bank loans in Ghana. The study was to identify possible avenues for funding oil and gas projects and challenges indigenous firms (SMEs) within the oil and gas value chain encounter in accessing funds. A questionnaire survey was performed with some banks and oil and gas service providing companies in Ghana. We showed that SMEs have lower success rate in accessing bank loans compared to well-established firms due to repayment risk. Therefore, financial institutions could resort to the project finance method to reduce such risk for projects within the oil and gas industry. We conclude that project finance is a viable avenue for SMEs to finance oil and gas projects in developing countries despite the associated bottlenecks.
在许多发展中国家,筹集启动资金和营运资金是当地石油和天然气企业家面临的挑战。在加纳,缺乏足够的抵押品、良好的商业计划和高利率是获得银行贷款的障碍。该研究旨在确定油气项目融资的可能途径,以及油气价值链中的本土企业(sme)在获得资金方面遇到的挑战。对加纳的一些银行和油气服务公司进行了问卷调查。我们发现,由于还款风险,中小企业获得银行贷款的成功率低于成熟企业。因此,对于油气行业内的项目,金融机构可以采用项目融资的方式来降低此类风险。我们的结论是,尽管存在相关瓶颈,但项目融资是中小企业为发展中国家的石油和天然气项目融资的可行途径。
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引用次数: 1
Neural network with genetic algorithm for forecasting short-term electricity load demand 基于遗传算法的神经网络短期用电需求预测
Q2 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2019-03-04 DOI: 10.1504/IJETP.2019.10019649
C. Jeenanunta, Kuruge Darshana Abeyrathna
Short-term load forecasting is to forecast the next day electricity demand for 48 periods and it is important to make decisions related to the electricity generation and distribution. Neural network (NN) is selected for forecasting the future electricity consumption since its ability of recognising and learning nonlinear patterns of data. This research proposes the combination usage of genetic algorithm (GA) to train the neural network and results are compared with the results from backpropagation. Data from the electricity generating authority of Thailand (EGAT) is used in this research to demonstrate the performance of the proposed technique. The dataset contains weekday (excluding Mondays) load demand from 1st of October to 30th of November 2013. November load is forecasted using an NN with 192 inputs and 48 outputs. Even though GA takes more time for training neural networks, it gives better results compared to backpropagation.
短期负荷预测是对48个时段的次日电力需求进行预测,重要的是做出与发电和配电相关的决策。神经网络(NN)具有识别和学习非线性数据模式的能力,因此被选择用于预测未来的电力消耗。本研究提出了将遗传算法(GA)组合用于训练神经网络,并将结果与反向传播的结果进行了比较。本研究使用了泰国发电局(EGAT)的数据来证明所提出技术的性能。数据集包含2013年10月1日至11月30日的工作日(不包括周一)负荷需求。使用具有192个输入和48个输出的NN来预测11月的负荷。尽管遗传算法需要更多的时间来训练神经网络,但与反向传播相比,它给出了更好的结果。
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引用次数: 4
Technical objects diagnostics systems organising 技术对象诊断系统组织
Q2 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2019-03-04 DOI: 10.1504/IJETP.2019.10019654
V. Voronin, O. A. Davydov
While operating, repair and reconstruction works, maintaining particular level of technical objects' reliability, are carried out. Diagnostic systems are expected to be involved in these activities. As there are a great variety of technical objects available nowadays, diagnostic systems are based on wide variety of principles. Among them neural network technology and expert system technology are the most multi-purpose. A number of particular problems, expected to be solved in developing of diagnostic systems based on technologies mentioned above, is considered in these article; namely: rationing of diagnostic indicators, creating of general purpose functional framework for evaluating particular parameters, developing of neural functional network diagnostic system, developing of two fragments of conceptual diagnostic model, describing diagnostic context and diagnostic parameters in expert system database.
在进行操作、维修和重建工作时,要保持特定水平的技术对象的可靠性。预计诊断系统将参与这些活动。由于现在有各种各样的技术对象,诊断系统基于各种各样的原理。其中,神经网络技术和专家系统技术的应用最为广泛。本文考虑了基于上述技术的诊断系统开发过程中需要解决的一些特殊问题;即:诊断指标的配给,特定参数评估通用功能框架的建立,神经功能网络诊断系统的开发,概念诊断模型的两个片段的开发,诊断情境的描述和专家系统数据库中诊断参数的描述。
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引用次数: 4
Optimal sizing and placement of dynamic voltage restorer in the distribution system using firefly algorithm 用萤火虫算法优化配电系统中动态电压恢复器的尺寸和位置
Q2 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2019-03-04 DOI: 10.1504/IJETP.2019.10019653
K. Padmavathi, K. Sudha
To enhance the power quality and reliability of electric power delivered to the end users, the electric distribution system is utilising the custom power devices. The power loss and voltage profile evaluates the performance of distribution system. In this paper a heuristic optimisation technique known as firefly algorithm is applied for the optimal location and sizing of dynamic voltage restorer (DVR). The steady state model of DVR is derived to use in forward/backward sweep load flow method. The performance of the proposed method is tested on IEEE 33 bus and 69 bus Radial Distribution systems by using MATLAB software. The obtained results are compared with immune algorithm. The proposed method boost up the voltage profile minimised the power loss and the installation cost of DVR.
为提高输往终端用户的电力质素和可靠性,配电系统采用了定制的电力装置。功率损耗和电压分布是评价配电系统性能的重要指标。本文将启发式优化技术萤火虫算法应用于动态电压恢复器(DVR)的最优位置和最优尺寸。推导了DVR的稳态模型,用于正向/反向扫描潮流法。利用MATLAB软件在IEEE 33总线和69总线径向配电系统上测试了该方法的性能。将所得结果与免疫算法进行了比较。该方法提高了DVR的电压分布,最大限度地降低了功率损耗和安装成本。
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引用次数: 2
Specifics of assessing energy security of isolated energy service areas in territories with harsh climatic conditions 评估气候条件恶劣地区孤立能源服务区能源安全的具体情况
Q2 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2019-03-04 DOI: 10.1504/IJETP.2019.10019660
V. Kiushkina, D. Antonenkov
The specifics of regional energy economies support the need in excellent methodical approaches to diagnosing energy security of territorial formations, in general, and by internal components even on the same level. This emphasises the relevance of refining and establishing top priorities for energy security state assessment indicators for isolated territories with long low-temperature periods. Such territories include a part of the territory of the Russian Federation located mainly to the north of the Arctic Circle. The climate is extremely harsh, it is an arctic area. One can name Canada, Sweden and Finland, the USA, Iceland, Denmark and Alaska among such countries. We make an attempt of drawing an actual picture of territorial conditions and existing situations based on apparent factors in distinct directions of the formulated definition of energy security of decentralised energy supply areas.
区域能源经济的具体情况支持了对领土结构的能源安全进行诊断的良好方法的必要性,总体而言,甚至通过内部组成部分进行诊断。这强调了为长期低温的孤立地区完善和建立能源安全状态评估指标的首要任务的相关性。这些领土包括俄罗斯联邦领土的一部分,主要位于北极圈以北。气候极其恶劣,这是一个北极地区。加拿大、瑞典和芬兰、美国、冰岛、丹麦和阿拉斯加都是这样的国家。我们试图根据分散能源供应区能源安全定义的不同方向上的明显因素,绘制领土条件和现有局势的实际情况。
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引用次数: 2
A novel operating strategy for unscheduled interchange price-based automatic generation control 基于非计划交换电价的自动发电控制新策略
Q2 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2019-03-04 DOI: 10.1504/IJETP.2019.10019652
V. Murali, K. Sudha
In order to maintain grid discipline and bring about more responsibility and accountability among the participants in the system, the availability-based tariff (ABT) mechanism was introduced in Indian power sector. Though there is a considerable improvement, it is further required to maintain the system with greater frequency stability and reduced fuel cost for power generation. This paper presents a control scheme for unscheduled interchange (UI) price-based automatic generation control (AGC) to nullify the deviations in frequency following a disturbance in the system. This scheme gives the system operator flexibility to schedule the generations in a desired manner on various units by which the merit order dispatch can be maintained. The proposed scheme is tested on a single area system with four generating units and is compared with an existing system and found effective. The results indicate that the frequency is maintained at normal value following a disturbance and the increased load can be shared among the generators in a desired manner.
为了维护电网纪律,并在系统参与者之间带来更多的责任和问责制,印度电力部门引入了基于可用性的电价(ABT)机制。虽然有相当大的改进,但进一步要求保持系统更大的频率稳定性和降低发电燃料成本。本文提出了一种基于非计划交换电价的自动发电控制(AGC)控制方案,以消除系统中干扰引起的频率偏差。该方案使系统操作员能够灵活地以期望的方式在不同的单元上调度代,从而保持优序调度。该方案在4台发电机组的单区域系统上进行了测试,并与现有系统进行了比较,结果表明该方案是有效的。结果表明,扰动后频率保持在正常值,增加的负荷可以在发电机之间合理分担。
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引用次数: 2
期刊
International Journal of Energy Technology and Policy
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