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Sustainable Development of Modern Russia in the Context of Political Culture 政治文化语境下现代俄罗斯的可持续发展
Q3 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2023-10-25 DOI: 10.24158/tipor.2023.10.9
Natalia V. Karpova
The article touches upon the issue related to the scientific search for factors and conditions that ensure sustain-able development of modern Russia in the midst of new challenges and foreign policy changes. The main at-tention is paid to the political culture, on which not only the political identity of the country, but also the very path of political development of the state depends. The author shows that the political culture of sustainable devel-opment is not based on ideological foundations, but primarily represents a positive set of political orientations of citizens in relation to state policy, its social orientation in the interests of society. Such a political culture, con-taining a balance of values between the people and the elite, will be designed for the long-term development of the system, and ensuring its continuity. At the same time, it highlights the positive properties of inertial char-acter, which help the political system to maintain the trajectory of its movement without losing stability, while the potential of the dialectics of political-cultural development allows it to adapt to the new reality.
本文论述了在新的挑战和外交政策变化中,科学探索现代俄罗斯可持续发展的因素和条件的问题。主要关注的是政治文化,不仅是国家的政治认同,而且是国家政治发展的道路。作者认为,可持续发展的政治文化不是建立在意识形态基础之上的,而是主要代表了公民相对于国家政策的一套积极的政治取向,是一种以社会利益为导向的社会取向。这样一种政治文化,包含了人民和精英之间的价值平衡,将是为制度的长期发展而设计的,并确保其连续性。同时,它突出了惯性性的积极属性,这有助于政治制度保持其运动轨迹而不失去稳定性,而政治文化发展辩证法的潜力使其能够适应新的现实。
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引用次数: 0
Forensic Aspects of the Artificial Intelligence Application in Uncovering and Investigating Crimes 人工智能在发现和调查犯罪中的法医学应用
Q3 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2023-10-25 DOI: 10.24158/tipor.2023.10.33
Anatoly V. Tarasov, Astemir R. Temzokov
The publication considers the forensic aspects of the application of artificial intelligence in the process of un-covering and investigating crimes. It is emphasized that, in the context of a rapidly evolving digital environment and an increasing amount of digital data, artificial intelligence is becoming increasingly important in the field of law enforcement. The role of artificial intelligence in automating the analysis of evidence, identifying patterns and trends in criminal events, and forecasting crime is analyzed. In addition, ethical and legal aspects of the application of artificial intelligence in forensics, such as data privacy and the protection of human rights, are assessed. Challenges related to the lack of precedents and normative bases for decision-making based on AI data are outlined. The study highlights the importance of balancing innovation and law enforcement when inte-grating artificial intelligence into crime-fighting processes. As a result, the publication contains separate conclu-sions and proposals for improving the legal mechanisms for the application of artificial intelligence in the un-covering and investigation of crimes.
该出版物考虑了在揭露和调查犯罪过程中应用人工智能的法医方面。报告强调,在快速发展的数字环境和数字数据量不断增加的背景下,人工智能在执法领域变得越来越重要。分析了人工智能在自动分析证据、识别犯罪事件的模式和趋势以及预测犯罪方面的作用。此外,还评估了人工智能在法医学中应用的伦理和法律方面,如数据隐私和人权保护。概述了与缺乏基于人工智能数据的决策先例和规范基础相关的挑战。该研究强调了在将人工智能整合到打击犯罪过程中平衡创新和执法的重要性。因此,该出版物载有单独的结论和建议,以改进在揭露和调查犯罪中应用人工智能的法律机制。
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引用次数: 0
Gender Discourse in the Confessional Space of Modern Kabardino-Balkaria (Based on Sociological Research) 现代卡巴尔达-巴尔卡里亚自白空间中的性别话语(基于社会学研究)
Q3 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2023-10-25 DOI: 10.24158/tipor.2023.10.6
Natal’ya A. Shaozheva
The article is based on the materials of a sociological survey conducted in April-May 2023 among the youth of the Kabardino-Balkarian Republic “Gender preferences of young people in the spiritual sphere in the Kabardi-no-Balkarian Republic”. The results of the survey demonstrated the increasing interest in Islam on the part of the region’s new generation. Thus, more than 50 % of young men and women assign a key role to Shariah in regulating social relations and ensuring the protection of people’s rights. The remainder consider the laws of the state to be their priority. A small part of the respondents gave their preference to adats and these are, as a rule, residents of rural areas. Precedence of the religious component over the national component in marriage is shown. The revealed degree of prevalence of demonstrative models of Islamic behavior gave grounds to assert that the majority of interviewed men and women welcome the wearing of Muslim Islamic clothing. It is concluded that there is a growing consolidation of Muslims aged 18 to 30 years. It has already become obvious today that it is a real social force that may eventually become dominant in the region.
本文基于2023年4月至5月在卡巴尔达-巴尔干共和国青年中进行的一项社会学调查的材料,该调查名为“卡巴尔达-非巴尔干共和国青年在精神领域的性别偏好”。调查结果表明,该地区新一代对伊斯兰教的兴趣日益浓厚。因此,50%以上的青年男女认为伊斯兰教法在调节社会关系和确保保护人民权利方面发挥着关键作用。其余的人则认为该州的法律是他们的首要任务。一小部分受访者倾向于选择adats,这些人通常是农村地区的居民。在婚姻中,宗教因素优先于国家因素。伊斯兰行为示范模式的普遍程度使我们有理由断言,大多数接受采访的男女都欢迎穿着穆斯林的伊斯兰服装。结论是,年龄在18岁到30岁之间的穆斯林越来越多。今天已经很明显,它是一股真正的社会力量,最终可能在该地区占据主导地位。
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引用次数: 0
New Challenges and Demands for the National Health Care System in the Digital Era 数字时代国家卫生保健系统的新挑战与新要求
Q3 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2023-10-25 DOI: 10.24158/tipor.2023.10.20
Elena S. Remesnik, Alexander A. Ladygin
The authors emphasize that the quality of life of the population is a priority in the development of any state. Life expectancy at birth (LEB) is one of the important indicators. The paper reveals the statistical dependence of (LEB) on the value of gross domestic product in the country as a whole. Using statistical data, the authors demonstrate the strong fluctuations of the LEB indicator by regions and the lack of correlation between LEB and gross regional product per capita for the constituent entities of the Russian Federation. This problem re-quires a special approach when working with the life expectancy indicator in the healthcare system. The article considers the relevance of changing business processes and transition to a management model based on the patient’s medical profile in the healthcare system in order to achieve the national development goals of the state and improve the quality of population's life. The positive role of a patient-oriented approach in the devel-opment of the healthcare system is substantiated. The possibility of using medical marketing tools as part of social marketing is revealed in order to create communications, increase trust in the healthcare system, satis-faction with medical care, and increase the proportion of citizens leading a healthy lifestyle.
作者强调,人口的生活质量是任何国家发展的优先事项。出生时预期寿命(LEB)是一个重要指标。本文揭示了(LEB)对整个国家的国内生产总值的统计依赖性。作者利用统计数据表明,各地区的LEB指标波动很大,俄罗斯联邦各组成实体的LEB与人均区域生产总值之间缺乏相关性。在处理医疗保健系统中的预期寿命指标时,这个问题需要一种特殊的方法。本文考虑了在医疗保健系统中改变业务流程和过渡到基于患者医疗概况的管理模式的相关性,以实现国家的国家发展目标,提高人口的生活质量。以患者为导向的方法在医疗保健系统发展中的积极作用得到证实。揭示了将医疗营销工具作为社会营销的一部分的可能性,以创造沟通,增加对医疗保健系统的信任,对医疗保健的满意度,并增加公民拥有健康生活方式的比例。
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引用次数: 0
Transmission of systemic Risk between the banking systems of Asia-Pacific Countries and Russia 亚太国家和俄罗斯银行系统之间的系统性风险传导
Q3 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2023-10-23 DOI: 10.26794/2587-5671-2023-27-5-182-194
S. A. Dzuba, V. S. Tishkovetz, M. A. Shchepeleva
The subject of this research is systemic risk transmission between financial sectors in the international financial market. The purpose of our paper is to determine topology characteristics for the network connecting banking systems in the Asia-Pacific region (APR) and Russia. Given the growing role of this region in the global financial market, its susceptibility to crises can be dangerous for other countries. This determines the relevance of our study. To build the network, we used the SRISK indicators, which reflect capital losses in the financial institutions’ capital losses in case of a large-scale crisis. The networks were built with the use of the NETS algorithm, proposed by Barigozzi, M., & Brownlees, C. (2019). This method is based on sparse vector autoregressions estimated by LASSO. As a result of the application the algorithm, we get two networks — simultaneous interconnections and using the values of the lagged variables. The networks were constructed for the 2005–2020 time period and separately for sub-periods including the global financial crisis (2005– 2013) and the COVID-19 pandemic period (2014–2020). Based on the results obtained, the networks over the entire time period seem to be quite susceptible to external risks. China, Japan, Singapore and Taiwan are the largest shock donors in this region. Russia mainly accepts risks, generated by other countries, in the period 2014–2020. Strengthened/weakened cooperation with the largest risk exporters in this region will increase/decrease the likelihood of systemic risk transfer to the Russian financial sector.
本研究的主题是国际金融市场中金融部门之间的系统性风险传导。本文的目的是确定连接亚太地区(APR)和俄罗斯银行系统的网络的拓扑特征。鉴于该地区在全球金融市场中日益重要的作用,它对危机的敏感性对其他国家来说可能是危险的。这决定了我们研究的相关性。为了构建网络,我们使用了SRISK指标,该指标反映了大规模危机情况下金融机构资本损失中的资本损失。这些网络是使用由Barigozzi, M., &布朗利斯,C.(2019)。该方法基于LASSO估计的稀疏向量自回归。通过对该算法的应用,我们得到了两个网络-同时互连和使用滞后变量的值。该网络是为2005 - 2020年期间构建的,并分别为全球金融危机(2005 - 2013年)和COVID-19大流行期间(2014-2020年)等子时期构建的。根据所获得的结果,整个时间段内的网络似乎很容易受到外部风险的影响。中国大陆、日本、新加坡和台湾是该地区最大的冲击捐助国。2014-2020年期间,俄罗斯主要接受由其他国家产生的风险。加强/削弱与该地区最大风险出口国的合作将增加/减少系统性风险向俄罗斯金融部门转移的可能性。
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引用次数: 0
Central Credit Institution: Forgotten History and Possible Innovations in Modern Conditions 中央信贷机构:被遗忘的历史与现代条件下可能的创新
Q3 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2023-10-23 DOI: 10.26794/2587-5671-2023-27-5-67-75
T. N. Zverkova
The subject of the study is the historical experience of creating the Central Credit Institution of urban public banks of the Russian Empire and the possibility of its application in modern conditions. The purpose of the study is to develop practical measures to create a special banking association of local banks on the terms formulated by the Bank of Russia for the purpose of discussion with financial market participants, representatives of the expert and scientific community’s. The relevance of the study is due to the request of the Bank of Russia, the Association of Banks of Russia in the search for new approaches to expanding the development potential of local banks through the creation of special banking associations. The United State Archives of the Orenburg Region served as the research location. The research methodology is based on the use of historical and logical analysis methods. The development of the Central Credit Institution of urban public banks at the beginning of the last century was studied in relation to its historical context and various stages of preparation. The surviving justifications, draft constituent documents, draft charter may be of interest when developing specific practical proposals for the creation of a special banking association of modern local banks with them accepting joint liability for each other’s obligations, maintaining partial operational independence and delegating a number of functions to the parent bank. It is concluded that the results of the study can be applied by the Bank of Russia, the Association of Banks of Russia and proactive local banks to develop practical measures for the creation of a special banking association of local banks declared by the Bank of Russia.
研究的主题是俄罗斯帝国城市公共银行建立中央信贷机构的历史经验及其在现代条件下应用的可能性。这项研究的目的是制定切实可行的措施,根据俄罗斯央行制定的条件,建立一个由地方银行组成的特殊银行协会,以便与金融市场参与者、专家和科学界的代表进行讨论。这项研究的相关性是由于俄罗斯银行,俄罗斯银行协会的要求,在寻找新的办法,扩大当地银行的发展潜力,通过创建专门的银行协会。奥伦堡地区的美国档案馆是研究地点。研究方法基于历史和逻辑分析方法的运用。结合城市公共银行中央信贷机构的历史背景和筹备阶段,研究了上世纪初城市公共银行中央信贷机构的发展历程。现存的理由、组成文件草案、章程草案,在为建立一个现代地方银行的特别银行协会制定具体的实际建议时,可能会引起人们的兴趣,这些银行对彼此的义务承担连带责任,保持部分业务独立性,并将一些职能委托给母公司。结论是,研究结果可以由俄罗斯银行,俄罗斯银行协会和积极的地方银行应用,制定切实可行的措施,以创建俄罗斯银行宣布的地方银行专门银行协会。
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引用次数: 0
Assessment of Homogeneity and Convergence of Environmental Performance of Enterprises into One Holding 同一控股企业环境绩效的同质性与收敛性评价
Q3 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2023-10-23 DOI: 10.26794/2587-5671-2023-27-5-170-181
V. V. Karginova-Gubinova
Taking into account the need for transition to sustainable development of the economy, it seems relevant to consider whether the holding is an effective structure to minimize the negative impact on the environment: is there a convergence of the environmental performance of the holding’s enterprises with a general increase in its responsibility? The purpose of the research is to assess the degree of homogeneity and convergence of the environmental performance of Russian enterprises within the same holding, as well as to determine the relationship between the current level of homogeneity of the holding and the rate of its convergence and overall environmental responsibility. The environmental performance of 11 Russian holdings and 105 constituent enterprises for 2017–2021 was examined. The methodology involved the calculation of entropy and descriptive statistics; the evaluation of the homogeneity of holdings and its convergence, phase transition periods, and the relationship between homogeneity and other characteristics using analysis of variance and regression. The results of the study showed that Russian holdings correspond to the ascending line of the entropic criterion of social development, but at present the phase transition from a heterogeneous to a homogeneous state is incomplete, and homogeneous holdings are unstable. The influence of the type of corporate environmental policy on the homogeneity of the holding, the degree of its convergence and environmental responsibility was revealed. The scientific novelty of the work lies in the consideration of homogeneity and convergence of environmental characteristics of systematically unstudied objects — t he enterprises of one holding; the inappropriateness of the perception of holdings as homogeneous objects is confirmed. Theoretical significance has shown the possibility of using the entropic criterion of the theory of social development and dialectical logic to study the homogeneity and convergence of the indicators of holdings, as well as the developed methodology of their assessment. Recommendations for the authorities and managers of companies, the implementation of which will increase the sustainability of the economy, are of practical value.
考虑到经济向可持续发展转型的需要,考虑控股是否是一种减少对环境负面影响的有效结构似乎是相关的:控股企业的环境绩效是否随着责任的普遍增加而趋同?本研究的目的是评估同一控股公司内俄罗斯企业环境绩效的同质性和趋同性程度,并确定当前的同质性水平与其趋同率和总体环境责任之间的关系。研究了2017-2021年11家俄罗斯控股公司和105家组成企业的环境绩效。方法包括熵的计算和描述性统计;利用方差和回归分析来评估持股的同质性及其收敛性、过渡期以及同质性与其他特征之间的关系。研究结果表明,俄罗斯的资产持有符合社会发展熵准则的上升线,但目前从异质状态到同质状态的相变是不完全的,同质状态的资产持有是不稳定的。揭示了企业环境政策类型对控股同质性、趋同程度和环境责任的影响。本文的科学新颖性在于考虑了系统未研究对象的环境特征的同质性和收敛性——一个控股企业;将持股视为同质客体的看法是不恰当的。理论意义显示了用社会发展理论的熵准则和辩证逻辑来研究股权指标的同质性和收敛性的可能性,以及发展出的评估方法。对当局和公司管理人员的建议具有实用价值,这些建议的实施将增加经济的可持续性。
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引用次数: 0
An Old song in a New Way: About the Progression in the Personal Income Tax 一首新方式的老歌:关于个人所得税的递进
Q3 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2023-10-23 DOI: 10.26794/2587-5671-2023-27-5-140-149
M. M. Yumaev
The issues of choosing between proportional and progressive taxation of personal income and assessment of the principle of fair taxation in relation to these methods accompany the centuries-old history of world tax policy, which is the relevance of the research, being the subject of discussions of Russian and foreign scientists. The purpose of the study is to develop the idea of taxation of income of the population in Russia, taking into account the principle of fair taxation. The theoretical objectives of the study include an analysis of the validity of the method of taxation chosen, as well as an analysis of the progressive method of taxation, which allows for a fair redistribution of income through the progression of rates and an adequate system of tax deductions. The practical objectives of the study are to study the influence of income taxation methods on the formation of budget revenues and incomes of the population, to assess the “shadow” fiscal potential of income, to determine the level of demand and significance of tax deductions. As a result of the research, it has been scientifically proven that proportional taxation and weak progression discredit the principle of vertical equity, lead to a hidden progression in the withdrawal of income, have no obvious positive effect on capital outflow and, in combination with insurance premiums, affect the size of the potential tax base. The practical significance of the study is to develop concrete proposals for the methodological development of personal income tax through differentiated tax deductions, tax mechanisms for strengthening the institution of family and marriage, and the expansion of the tax base.
个人收入的比例税和累进税之间的选择以及与这些方法相关的公平税收原则的评估问题伴随着世界税收政策数百年的历史,这是研究的相关性,是俄罗斯和外国科学家讨论的主题。本研究的目的是在考虑公平征税原则的情况下,发展对俄罗斯人口收入征税的想法。这项研究的理论目标包括分析所选择的征税方法的有效性,以及分析累进征税方法,累进征税方法允许通过税率的累进和适当的税收减免制度公平地重新分配收入。这项研究的实际目标是研究所得税方法对预算收入和人口收入形成的影响,评估收入的“影子”财政潜力,确定减税的需求水平和重要性。研究结果科学地证明,比例税和弱累进税违背了纵向公平原则,导致收入提取的隐性累进,对资本外流没有明显的积极作用,并与保险费一起影响潜在税基的规模。本研究的现实意义在于通过差别化的税收减免、加强家庭和婚姻制度的税收机制以及扩大税基,为个人所得税的方法论发展提出具体建议。
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引用次数: 0
Directions for Improving the Activities of Regional banks in the Republic of Tatarstan 关于改善鞑靼斯坦共和国地区银行活动的指示
Q3 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2023-10-23 DOI: 10.26794/2587-5671-2023-27-5-55-66
M. F. Gumerov, I. A. Rizvanova
The purpose of this study is to develop tools for assessing the state of regional banks and to justify decisions on the allocation of resources between their business areas by adapting existing methods of banking management to the new economic environment. The authors apply both general scientific methods (induction, deduction, analysis, synthesis) and special methods : systematic and retrospective analysis of existing developments in bank decisions. The results of the application of these methods are the mathematical models describing the functioning of the credit-deposit and transaction of commercial banks of Tatarstan in the past three years from the point of elasticity of actives and liabilities’ substitution. In the paper, we systematized the indicators of actives and liabilities of the five largest commercial banks in Tatarstan in 2019–2022, we approved the equations that characterize these actives and liabilities’ substitution elasticity in MS Excel. The conclusion is that in most cases, there is a unitary elasticity of their mutual substitution, which leads to the conclusion that the Tatarstan banking system is currently in the growth stage of a new life cycle, which began in 2014, after the Russian economy entered new realities due to sanctions pressure. The recommendations were formulated for the banks of Tatarstan in terms of improving the quality of loan portfolios in new conditions: they should improve the methods of making decisions about the loans for companies’ business activities which are first created.
本研究的目的是开发评估区域银行状况的工具,并通过使现有的银行管理方法适应新的经济环境,证明在其业务领域之间分配资源的决定是合理的。作者运用了一般的科学方法(归纳、演绎、分析、综合)和特殊的方法:对银行决策的现有发展进行系统和回顾性的分析。应用这些方法的结果是从活动和负债替代弹性的角度描述鞑靼斯坦商业银行过去三年的存信贷和交易功能的数学模型。本文对鞑靼斯坦五大商业银行2019-2022年的活动和负债指标进行了系统整理,并在MS Excel中验证了这些活动和负债替代弹性的表征方程。结论是,在大多数情况下,它们的相互替代存在单一弹性,从而得出结论,鞑靼斯坦银行体系目前处于新生命周期的增长阶段,该生命周期始于2014年,当时俄罗斯经济由于制裁压力进入了新的现实。这些建议是为鞑靼斯坦银行在新条件下提高贷款组合的质量而制定的:它们应该改进为首次创建的公司业务活动提供贷款的决策方法。
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引用次数: 0
State support of Investment Projects Within the Framework of an Agreement on the Protection and Promotion of Capital Investments: A Methodological Rationale 保护和促进资本投资协定框架内国家对投资项目的支持:方法上的理由
Q3 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2023-10-23 DOI: 10.26794/2587-5671-2023-27-5-43-54
E. B. Tyutyukina, D. A. Egorova
The subject of research is economic interactions related to the implementation of an investment project within the framework of an agreement on the protection and promotion of investments (hereinafter referred to as the APCI). Purpose: methodological substantiation of the expediency of providing state support measures to ensure the minimum profitability of an investment project implemented within the framework of the APCI. Objectives: to propose an indicator that reflects the minimum profitability of an investment project, the mechanism for its usage to determine state support measures, additional state support measures in cases where they are not sufficiently established in the legislation. Methods: analysis of approaches to determining the discount rate; statistical (observation, grouping, method of indicators) for calculating industry-specific ROIC values; content analysis to select state support measures. Results: it is proposed to use the ROIC indicator as the minimum profitability of a commercial investment project. The indicator was calculated according to the data of all organizations that are not subjects of medium and small enterprises operating in the period 2012–2021. The sample included 133 organizations that make up eight subclasses of Russian classifier of types of economic activity (pulp and paper production; production of fertilizers and nitrogen compounds; production of pesticides, etc.; production of paints, varnishes, etc.; production of pharmaceutical substances; production of medicines; activities in the field of telecommunications; development of computer software). Based on the data from 1011 observations, the median value of ROIC for each subclass was calculated, the reliability of which is confirmed by the approved minimum rates of return on invested capital for calculating the tariffs of regulated organizations. A mechanism is proposed for using ROIC to determine state support measures within the framework of the APCI, including: determining the median value of ROIC for foreign economic activity, calculating ROIC for an investment project, and determining state support measures by their ratio. As additional measures of state support within the framework of the APCI, it is proposed to establish tax preferences (lower tax rates, tax benefits, tax deductions), as well as accelerated depreciation of fixed assets. The proposed developments create a methodological basis for substantiating the provision of various state support measures within the framework of the APCI.
研究的主题是在保护和促进投资协定(以下简称APCI)框架内与实施投资项目有关的经济相互作用。目的:提供国家支持措施以确保在APCI框架内实施的投资项目的最低盈利能力的权宜之计的方法证实。目标:提出一个反映投资项目最低盈利能力的指标,确定国家支持措施的机制,在立法中没有充分规定的情况下提出额外的国家支持措施。方法:对确定贴现率的方法进行分析;统计(观察、分组、指标法)计算行业特定ROIC值;内容分析,选择国家扶持措施。结果:提出用ROIC指标作为商业投资项目的最低盈利能力。该指标是根据2012-2021年期间不属于中小企业经营主体的所有机构的数据计算得出的。样本包括133个组织,构成俄罗斯经济活动类型分类的8个子类(纸浆和造纸生产;生产肥料和氮化合物;生产农药等;油漆、清漆等的生产;药品生产;药品生产;电信领域的活动;计算机软件开发)。基于1011个观察数据,计算了每个子类别的ROIC的中位数,其可靠性由计算受监管组织关税时批准的最低投资资本回报率来证实。提出了在APCI框架内利用ROIC确定国家支持措施的机制,包括:确定对外经济活动ROIC的中位数,计算投资项目的ROIC,并根据其比率确定国家支持措施。作为APCI框架内国家支持的额外措施,建议建立税收优惠(较低的税率、税收优惠、税收减免),以及加速固定资产折旧。拟议的发展为在APCI框架内证实提供各种国家支持措施创造了方法论基础。
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引用次数: 0
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Finance: Theory and Practice
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