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Carbon emissions and economic growth decoupling in the city of medellín and its metropolitan area: a longitudinal sectoral analysis (2000–2023) medellín城市及其大都市区碳排放与经济增长脱钩:一个纵向部门分析(2000-2023)
IF 1.7 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2025-08-11 DOI: 10.1007/s41685-025-00392-8
David Gómez-Ríos, Sebastián Gómez-Ríos, Juan Felipe Castellanos-Martínez

As one of the most polluted cities in Latin America, Medellín faces recurrent air quality crises, driven by transportation emissions and topographical constraints that exacerbate pollution retention. At the same time, the city is recognized as a hub for urban innovation, implementing policies aimed at sustainable mobility and green infrastructure. Therefore, we examined the decoupling relationships between economic growth and carbon emissions in Medellín’s metropolitan area, Colombia’s second-largest urban center, from 2000 to 2023. Using the Logarithmic Mean Divisia Index (LMDI) and the Tapio decoupling elasticity model, this study integrated updated datasets, including Copernicus Atmosphere Monitoring Service (CAMS) emission inventories and local air quality monitoring data. Results indicated a predominance of weak decoupling with GDP growth at an annual rate of 5.66% while emissions increased marginally at 0.25%. Sectoral analysis revealed that the tertiary sector, responsible for 72% of GDP and 59% of emissions, exhibited alternating periods of weak (15) and strong decoupling (6), driven by efficiency improvements and structural changes. In contrast, the secondary sector consistently reduced contributions to production and carbon emissions after 2008 configuring 7 instances of strong decoupling in the last years. Population growth was identified as a major inhibitor of decoupling, contributing to rising emissions in the transportation sector, which remains as the primary source of urban emissions. Energy and carbon intensity reductions contributed positively to decoupling, particularly in commercial and service-based activities. These findings highlight the need for deeper targeted policy interventions and sector-specific strategies to accelerate regional decoupling and support sustainable urban development.

作为拉丁美洲污染最严重的城市之一,由于交通排放和地形限制加剧了污染滞留,Medellín面临着反复出现的空气质量危机。与此同时,这座城市被公认为城市创新的中心,实施旨在可持续交通和绿色基础设施的政策。因此,我们研究了2000 - 2023年哥伦比亚第二大城市中心Medellín大都市区经济增长与碳排放之间的脱钩关系。本研究利用对数平均分裂指数(LMDI)和Tapio解耦弹性模型,整合了哥白尼大气监测服务(CAMS)排放清单和当地空气质量监测数据的更新数据集。结果表明,与GDP增长的弱脱钩占主导地位,年增长率为5.66%,而排放量略有增加,年增长率为0.25%。部门分析显示,在效率提高和结构变化的推动下,第三产业(占GDP的72%和排放量的59%)呈现出弱脱钩(15)和强脱钩(6)的交替时期。相比之下,2008年之后,第二产业对生产和碳排放的贡献持续减少,在过去几年中形成了7个强脱钩的例子。人口增长被确定为脱钩的主要抑制因素,导致交通部门的排放量增加,而交通部门仍然是城市排放的主要来源。能源和碳强度的降低对“脱钩”起到了积极作用,特别是在商业和基于服务的活动中。这些发现突出表明,需要更深入的有针对性的政策干预和针对特定部门的战略,以加速区域脱钩和支持可持续城市发展。
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引用次数: 0
Heterogeneous effects of climate and socioeconomic factors on wheat and maize production in Madhya Pradesh, India: evidence from Just and Pope production function 气候和社会经济因素对印度中央邦小麦和玉米生产的异质性影响:来自Just和Pope生产函数的证据
IF 1.7 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2025-08-08 DOI: 10.1007/s41685-025-00394-6
Aaqif Rashid Lone, Biswajit Patra

Changes in the effects of climate on agricultural yield are becoming common in the literature. The present study investigated how both climatic and socioeconomic variables affect means and variations in crop yield. We examined factors that affect the yields of two major crops, wheat and maize, cultivated in different seasons in Madhya Pradesh, India. For empirical analysis, we employed the Just and Pope production function, covering the period from 1999 to 2017 based on the latest district-level available data of Madhya Pradesh. An increase in rainfall enhanced the mean yield of both crops in Central India, showing the yield of these crops is highly dependent on rainfall. Average temperature and number of extreme cold days adversely affected the wheat yield in the region. Furthermore, an increase in fertilizer consumption raised mean crop yield, but it was not uniform, because this leads to an increase in variation of crop yields. The findings also confirmed the presence of an inverted ‘U’-shaped relationship between the mean maize yield and rainfall. However, there was a ‘U’ shaped relationship between mean wheat yield and temperature. Surprisingly, irrigation showed a differential impact on mean yield in different seasons. Normally, irrigation is a risk reducing input and diminishes variance in yields. These results provide policy insights to state and local governments for adaptation measures against climate change to protect the mean yield and control variations in yield of these major crops in the central part of India.

气候变化对农业产量的影响在文献中越来越普遍。本研究探讨了气候和社会经济变量如何影响作物产量的均值和变化。我们研究了影响印度中央邦在不同季节种植的两种主要作物小麦和玉米产量的因素。为了进行实证分析,我们基于中央邦最新的地区级数据,采用了Just和Pope生产函数,涵盖1999年至2017年。降雨的增加提高了印度中部两种作物的平均产量,表明这些作物的产量高度依赖于降雨。平均气温和极寒天数对该地区小麦产量产生不利影响。此外,肥料用量的增加提高了作物的平均产量,但这不是均匀的,因为这会导致作物产量的变化增加。研究结果还证实了平均玉米产量与降雨量之间存在倒“U”型关系。小麦平均产量与温度呈“U”型关系。令人惊讶的是,灌溉对不同季节平均产量的影响是不同的。通常情况下,灌溉是一种减少投入和减少产量差异的风险。这些结果为邦和地方政府制定适应气候变化的措施提供了政策见解,以保护印度中部地区这些主要作物的平均产量和控制产量变化。
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引用次数: 0
Correction: Cross‑border shopping, E‑commerce, and consumption tax revenues in Japan 更正:日本的跨境购物、电子商务和消费税收入
IF 1.7 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2025-07-23 DOI: 10.1007/s41685-025-00389-3
Yoshimi Adachi, Hikaru Ogawa
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引用次数: 0
Influence of information and communication technology, human development, military expenditures, and renewable energy on environmental quality in the Middle East and North Africa Region 信息和通信技术、人类发展、军事开支和可再生能源对中东和北非区域环境质量的影响
IF 1.7 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2025-07-20 DOI: 10.1007/s41685-025-00390-w
Wadad Saad, Farah Boussi

In the context of rising climate pressures, the Middle East and North Africa (MENA) Region is confronted with the challenge of reconciling its high economic growth with environmental sustainability. Despite sustained global efforts toward achieving Sustainable Development Goal 13 (climate action), most countries in the region are still hampered by resource dependency, a lack of effective policy implementation, and ongoing ecological pressures. This paper looks at how information and communication technology (ICT), human development (HD), military expenditures (ME), and renewable energy (REC) affect the environmental quality (ENQ) based on three indicators, i.e., carbon dioxide emissions (CO2e), ecological footprint (EFP) and greenhouse gas emissions (GHGe) in ten MENA countries between 2001 and 2022 within the Environmental Kuznets Curve (EKC) framework. Employing the Pooled Mean Group (PMG) estimation model, the results show that although ME and NREC worsen the environment by increasing CO2e, HD, ICT and REC improve ENQ by reducing CO2e in the long run. However, HD, ICT, REC, NREC and FDI worsen the environment by increasing EFP, while ICT improves the environment by mitigation. Meanwhile, HD, ME and REC decrease GHGe, while ICT and NREC increase them. Furthermore, all three models support the EKC hypothesis in the MENA Region. Based on the overall findings, MENA nations must establish a conducive policy framework by adopting green growth strategies, promoting clean energy, leveraging ICT for sustainability, integrating eco-friendly practices into military operations, and allocating defense budgets to environmental initiatives, all of which are crucial for advancing climate action in the region.

在气候压力不断上升的背景下,中东和北非地区(MENA)面临着协调经济高速增长与环境可持续性的挑战。尽管全球为实现可持续发展目标13(气候行动)做出了持续努力,但该地区大多数国家仍然受到资源依赖、缺乏有效政策实施和持续的生态压力的阻碍。本文在环境库兹涅茨曲线(EKC)框架下,基于2001年至2022年间十个中东和北非国家的二氧化碳排放(CO2e)、生态足迹(EFP)和温室气体排放(GHGe)三个指标,研究了信息和通信技术(ICT)、人类发展(HD)、军事支出(ME)和可再生能源(REC)如何影响环境质量(ENQ)。采用PMG (Pooled Mean Group)估算模型,结果表明ME和NREC通过增加CO2e而使环境恶化,HD、ICT和REC通过减少CO2e而改善ENQ。然而,HD、ICT、REC、NREC和FDI通过增加EFP而使环境恶化,而ICT通过缓解来改善环境。HD、ME和REC降低了GHGe, ICT和NREC增加了GHGe。此外,这三种模式都支持中东和北非地区的EKC假设。根据总体调查结果,中东和北非国家必须通过采用绿色增长战略、推广清洁能源、利用信息通信技术促进可持续性、将生态友好实践纳入军事行动、将国防预算分配给环境倡议,建立有利的政策框架,所有这些都对推进该地区的气候行动至关重要。
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引用次数: 0
Socioeconomic determinants of coffee intake: a multi-regional analysis 咖啡摄入量的社会经济决定因素:多地区分析
IF 1.7 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2025-07-16 DOI: 10.1007/s41685-025-00393-7
Md. Mominul Islam, Sabrina Islam

Coffee is one of the most widely consumed beverages globally, with its consumption influenced by socio-economic factors, such as income levels, pricing, and regional preferences. This study examined the relationships between income and coffee consumption across different regions to analyze whether coffee behaves as a normal good. Using an unbalanced panel dataset from 53 countries, we incorporated key economic variables including Gross Domestic Product (GDP) per capita, coffee and tea consumption, and the prices of ground coffee and tea. A fixed-effects regression model was employed to assess the impact of income variations on coffee intake. The findings revealed significant regional disparities. For the European and African & Middle Eastern Regions, income showed a positive effect on coffee consumption when grouped with all variables. For the Asia–Pacific (APAC) and American regions, income within the regression showed no statistical significance whatsoever. Therefore, income appears, for half the regions, to be significant in determining coffee consumption, i.e., the more money one has, the more coffee they are able to consume, which reiterates that coffee is a normal good. These results contribute to the existing literature by providing a comparative regional analysis of income-driven coffee consumption. The findings also have practical implications for coffee producers, policymakers, and businesses seeking to understand market demands. Understanding regional coffee trends can support demand forecasting and pricing strategies. However, future studies should also examine consumer behavior and marketing dynamics.

咖啡是全球消费最广泛的饮料之一,其消费受到社会经济因素的影响,如收入水平、价格和地区偏好。这项研究考察了不同地区的收入和咖啡消费之间的关系,以分析咖啡是否作为一种正常商品。使用来自53个国家的不平衡面板数据集,我们纳入了关键的经济变量,包括人均国内生产总值(GDP)、咖啡和茶的消费量,以及磨碎咖啡和茶的价格。采用固定效应回归模型来评估收入变化对咖啡摄入量的影响。研究结果揭示了显著的地区差异。对于欧洲和非洲和中东地区,收入对咖啡消费的影响是正向的。对于亚太地区(APAC)和美洲地区,回归内的收入没有统计学意义。因此,对于一半的地区来说,收入在决定咖啡消费方面似乎很重要,也就是说,一个人的钱越多,他们能消费的咖啡就越多,这重申了咖啡是一种正常商品。这些结果通过提供收入驱动的咖啡消费的比较区域分析,有助于现有文献。这些发现对咖啡生产商、政策制定者和寻求了解市场需求的企业也有实际意义。了解区域咖啡趋势可以支持需求预测和定价策略。然而,未来的研究还应该检查消费者行为和营销动态。
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引用次数: 0
Urban air quality modeling and health impact analysis using geospatial methods and machine learning algorithms 使用地理空间方法和机器学习算法的城市空气质量建模和健康影响分析
IF 1.7 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2025-07-09 DOI: 10.1007/s41685-025-00387-5
Chetan Rathod, Aneesh Mathew, Abhilash T. Nair

This study utilized geospatial techniques and machine learning (ML) algorithms, viz. Random Forest and XGBoost, for predicting the air quality and the AirQ+ model for assessing health risks in urban environments. We analyzed the annual variations in sulfur dioxide (SO2) and nitrogen dioxide (NO2) levels of five Indian metropolitan cities from 2019 to 2022. Preliminary analysis indicated the highest levels of NO2 and SO2 in Delhi and Kolkata as compared to other metropolises. Kolkata had an 11% increase in SO2 concentrations in 2022 compared to 2019, while Delhi had a 20% increase in NO2 concentrations in 2022 compared to 2019. The air pollutant levels predicted by ML algorithms were analyzed in the AirQ+ model for health risks. The health impact assessment conducted using the AirQ+ model revealed concerning trends. In 2023, particulate matter (PM2.5) was attributed to 20.26% of respiratory disease cases per 100,000 population in Delhi, followed by NO2, accounting for 11.01%. In Kolkata, SO2 was responsible for 3.21% of respiratory disease cases. By implementing this approach, policymakers can estimate the air pollution levels and potential respiratory disease health risks. This knowledge can help them formulate targeted interventions, such as implementing pollution control measures, managing health risks, and issuing health advisories, to protect public health and improve air quality in cities.

本研究利用地理空间技术和机器学习算法(即Random Forest和XGBoost)来预测空气质量,并利用AirQ+模型来评估城市环境中的健康风险。我们分析了2019年至2022年印度五个大城市二氧化硫(SO2)和二氧化氮(NO2)水平的年度变化。初步分析表明,与其他大都市相比,德里和加尔各答的二氧化氮和二氧化硫水平最高。与2019年相比,加尔各答2022年的二氧化硫浓度增加了11%,而德里2022年的二氧化氮浓度比2019年增加了20%。在AirQ+健康风险模型中分析ML算法预测的空气污染物水平。使用AirQ+模型进行的健康影响评估揭示了相关趋势。2023年,德里每10万人呼吸系统疾病病例中,颗粒物(PM2.5)占20.26%,其次是二氧化氮,占11.01%。在加尔各答,3.21%的呼吸道疾病病例是由二氧化硫引起的。通过实施这一方法,决策者可以估计空气污染水平和潜在的呼吸系统疾病健康风险。这些知识可以帮助他们制定有针对性的干预措施,例如实施污染控制措施、管理健康风险和发布健康咨询,以保护公众健康和改善城市空气质量。
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引用次数: 0
Evidence of the effects of ethnic diversity, years of residence, and location on migrant bridging, bonding, and linking, social capital: a New Zealand synthesis 种族多样性、居住年限和地点对移民桥梁、纽带和联系、社会资本的影响的证据:新西兰综合
IF 1.7 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2025-06-29 DOI: 10.1007/s41685-025-00386-6
Matthew Roskruge, Jacques Poot

New Zealand has one of the highest immigration rates in the developed world, resulting in a high share of foreign-born residents. Its population is highly urbanized, spatially uneven, ethnically diverse, and includes a significant indigenous Māori population. This paper synthesizes two decades of research on migrant social capital in New Zealand, drawing on data from multiple waves of the New Zealand General Social Survey and the Adult Literacy and Life Skills Survey. These datasets provide insights into community participation, volunteering, perceptions of safety and inclusion, and electoral engagement. We draw two main conclusions from our synthesis. First, although migrants arrive with limited local social capital, they gradually build bonding, bridging, and linking, social capital over time. In addition, reported experiences of discrimination decline with longer residence. However, pooled survey data reveal variation in these patterns across time. Second, social capital investment is shaped by the spatial distribution of ethnic groups. Migrants are more likely to engage in bridging social capital in regions where their group is underrepresented, and in bonding social capital in communities where ethnic clustering occurs.

新西兰是发达国家中移民率最高的国家之一,因此外国出生居民的比例很高。它的人口高度城市化,空间不均匀,种族多样化,包括大量的土著Māori人口。本文综合了二十年来对新西兰移民社会资本的研究,借鉴了新西兰综合社会调查和成人识字和生活技能调查的多波数据。这些数据集提供了对社区参与、志愿服务、对安全和包容的看法以及选举参与的见解。我们从我们的综合中得出两个主要结论。首先,尽管移民抵达时当地的社会资本有限,但随着时间的推移,他们逐渐建立起社会资本的纽带、桥梁和联系。此外,报告的歧视经历随着居住时间的延长而减少。然而,综合调查数据揭示了这些模式在不同时间的变化。第二,社会资本投资受族群空间分布的影响。在其群体代表性不足的地区,移民更有可能参与社会资本的桥接,在发生种族聚集的社区,移民更有可能参与社会资本的纽带。
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引用次数: 0
Tanneries in Kanpur, India, water pollution in the Ganges, and unitization 印度坎普尔的制革厂,恒河的水污染和统一
IF 1.7 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2025-06-25 DOI: 10.1007/s41685-025-00383-9
Amitrajeet A. Batabyal

We analyzed water pollution in the Ganges River caused by tanneries in Kanpur, India. Specifically, we examined the merits of a claim made recently in the literature that unitizing or merging polluting tanneries can improve water quality in the Ganges. We modeled the (nge 2) polluting tanneries in Kanpur as a Cournot oligopoly and derived the equilibrium output of leather, profits, and social welfare. Second, we permitted (m<n) tanneries to merge and determined when the (m)-tannery unitization is profitable to the unitized entity. Third, the ((n-m)) non-unitized tanneries were better off with unitization. Finally, our findings demonstrated that (m)-tannery unitization increases the industry price of leather and lowers social welfare. In conclusion, we discuss the implications of these findings for improved water quality in the Ganges.

我们分析了印度坎普尔制革厂造成的恒河水污染。具体来说,我们研究了最近在文献中提出的一项主张的优点,即统一或合并污染皮革厂可以改善恒河的水质。我们将坎普尔的(nge 2)污染皮革厂建模为古诺寡头垄断,并推导出皮革、利润和社会福利的均衡产出。其次,我们允许(m<n)制革厂合并,并确定(m) -制革厂合并对合并后的实体有利的时间。第三,((n-m))非单元化的制革厂在单元化后情况更好。最后,我们的研究结果表明(m) -制革一体化提高了皮革的行业价格,降低了社会福利。总之,我们讨论了这些发现对改善恒河水质的影响。
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引用次数: 0
Assessing the impacts of economic growth, stringent environmental policies, renewable energy, and non-renewable energy on environmental sustainability in G-7 economies: Insights from the Method of Moments Quantile Regression 评估七国集团经济增长、严格的环境政策、可再生能源和不可再生能源对环境可持续性的影响:矩量分位数回归方法的见解
IF 1.7 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2025-06-24 DOI: 10.1007/s41685-025-00388-4
Huri Gül Aybudak, Waqar Khalid, Muhammad Usman, Mehdi Seraj, Abdul Rafay, Qazi Shahzad Ali

Amid growing concerns about global environmental sustainability, increasing attention has been directed toward the relationships between economic growth, stringent environmental policies, and energy consumption patterns. However, a critical gap remains in understanding how these factors collectively influence environmental sustainability in G-7 economies. This empirical study sought to bridge this gap by examining the heterogenous effects of economic growth, environmental policy stringency, energy intensity, foreign direct investment, renewable energy consumption, and non-renewable energy consumption on environmental sustainability. Load capacity factors were employed as an innovative metric to assess ecological demands relative to biocapacity. Utilizing a non-parametric Method of Moments Quantile Regression (MMQR) approach on panel data spanning 1993–2023, the findings revealed that environmental policy stringency, energy intensity, renewable energy consumption, and foreign direct investment have positive and significant impacts on environmental sustainability across heterogenous quantiles. Conversely, economic growth and non-renewable energy consumption exerted negative and significant influences on environmental sustainability across most quantiles. In conclusion, we recommend prioritizing policies that promote a transition from non-renewable to renewable energy sources through incentives such as tax reductions and subsidies. Additionally, increased investments in green technologies and enforcement of stringent environmental regulations, including carbon taxes on excessive greenhouse gas emissions, are needed to enhance environmental sustainability in the G-7 economies.

在对全球环境可持续性的日益关注中,人们越来越关注经济增长、严格的环境政策和能源消费模式之间的关系。然而,在了解这些因素如何共同影响七国集团经济体的环境可持续性方面,仍然存在一个重大差距。本实证研究试图通过考察经济增长、环境政策严格程度、能源强度、外国直接投资、可再生能源消费和不可再生能源消费对环境可持续性的异质效应来弥合这一差距。负荷能力因子作为一种创新的度量来评估相对于生物承载力的生态需求。利用非参数矩分位数回归(MMQR)方法对1993-2023年的面板数据进行分析,结果表明,环境政策严格程度、能源强度、可再生能源消费和外国直接投资对异质性分位数的环境可持续性具有显著的正向影响。相反,在大多数分位数中,经济增长和不可再生能源消费对环境可持续性产生了负面且显著的影响。总之,我们建议优先制定政策,通过减税和补贴等激励措施,促进从不可再生能源向可再生能源的过渡。此外,需要增加对绿色技术的投资和执行严格的环境法规,包括对过量温室气体排放征收碳税,以提高七国集团经济体的环境可持续性。
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引用次数: 0
One Kazakhstan, multiple nations: on a growing regional divide amidst economic dynamism 一个哈萨克斯坦,多个国家:在经济活力中日益扩大的地区鸿沟
IF 1.7 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2025-06-17 DOI: 10.1007/s41685-025-00385-7
Andrés Rodríguez-Pose, Federico Bartalucci, Genadiy Rau

This article provides a comprehensive analysis of the growing regional divide in Kazakhstan, examining the dimensions and implications of spatial inequality in a country that has experienced robust economic growth in recent decades. We employ convergence analysis, a Regional Development Trap Index, and a Regional Competitiveness Index to measure territorial inequalities across Kazakhstan. Our findings reveal that whilst the country has achieved relatively rapid aggregate economic growth, this has been accompanied by a widening territorial divide. Wealth and economic activities are becoming increasingly concentrated in major urban centres, such as Almaty and Astana, whilst other regions—particularly those in the south—continue to lag significantly behind. These results highlight an increasingly polarised nation, where certain regions benefit from economic dynamism and Kazakhstan’s international integration, whilst others remain trapped in low-growth equilibria. The article concludes by offering targeted policy recommendations aimed at promoting inclusive growth, enhancing regional competitiveness, and reducing spatial disparities throughout Kazakhstan.

本文全面分析了哈萨克斯坦日益扩大的区域鸿沟,考察了这个近几十年来经济强劲增长的国家空间不平等的维度和影响。我们采用趋同分析、区域发展陷阱指数和区域竞争力指数来衡量哈萨克斯坦的地域不平等。我们的研究结果表明,虽然该国实现了相对较快的总体经济增长,但伴随着不断扩大的领土鸿沟。财富和经济活动越来越集中在主要城市中心,如阿拉木图和阿斯塔纳,而其他地区,特别是南方地区,继续明显落后。这些结果突显了一个日益两极分化的国家,其中某些地区受益于经济活力和哈萨克斯坦的国际一体化,而其他地区仍然陷入低增长平衡。文章最后提出了有针对性的政策建议,旨在促进包容性增长,增强区域竞争力,缩小哈萨克斯坦的空间差距。
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引用次数: 0
期刊
Asia-Pacific Journal of Regional Science
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