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How to Reshape the Selection Boundaries between Traditional and Digital Supply Chain Finance Based on the Pledge Rate and Default Loss: Two Tripartite Game Models 如何基于质押率和违约损失重塑传统供应链金融和数字供应链金融的选择边界:两个三方博弈模型
IF 1.9 4区 社会学 Q1 SOCIAL SCIENCES, INTERDISCIPLINARY Pub Date : 2024-07-13 DOI: 10.3390/systems12070253
Xiang Sun, Yue Wang, Yinzi Huang, Yue Zhang
The development of digital technologies such as blockchain has provided new possibilities for solving the financing difficulties of small and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs). In order to explore the mutual influence of the participants in the supply chain, this paper constructs two static tripartite game models for traditional and digital supply chain finance, including a small and medium-sized enterprise (SME), a core enterprise (CE), and a financial institution (FI). The conditions for SME, CE, and FI to participate in digital supply chain finance, and the equilibrium strategy (repayment, repayment, loan) after participating in digital supply chain finance, are figured out. It is found that compared with the traditional supply chain, the digital supply chain expands the probability range of repayment for SME and CE by the change of pledge rate and default loss and broadens the probability range of repayment for CE by the change of default loss. Further, compared with the traditional supply chain finance, the greater the pledge rate of digital supply chain finance and the smaller the default loss, the stronger the willingness of the SME and CE to participate in the digital supply chain and the lower the willingness of the FI. After the three parties participate in the digital supply chain, however, the conclusion is the opposite. The smaller the pledge rate and the greater the default loss, the stronger the repayment willingness for the SME and CE and the stronger the loan willingness of the FI. Therefore, it is suggested to find the critical values of pledge rate and default loss and raise these two variables to an appropriate range to encourage all parties to voluntarily and consistently participate in digital supply chain financing.
区块链等数字技术的发展为解决中小企业融资难问题提供了新的可能。为了探讨供应链中各参与方的相互影响,本文构建了传统供应链金融和数字供应链金融的两个静态三方博弈模型,包括中小企业(SME)、核心企业(CE)和金融机构(FI)。研究了中小企业、核心企业和金融机构参与数字供应链金融的条件,以及参与数字供应链金融后的均衡策略(还款、还贷、贷款)。研究发现,与传统供应链相比,数字供应链通过质押率和违约损失的变化扩大了中小企业和行政长官的还款概率范围,通过违约损失的变化扩大了行政长官的还款概率范围。此外,与传统供应链金融相比,数字供应链金融的质押率越高,违约损失越小,中小企业和行政长官参与数字供应链的意愿就越强,金融机构的意愿就越低。然而,三方参与数字供应链后,结论却恰恰相反。质押率越小,违约损失越大,中小企业和行政长官的还款意愿越强,金融机构的贷款意愿越强。因此,建议找到质押率和违约损失的临界值,并将这两个变量提高到适当的范围,以鼓励各方自愿、持续地参与数字供应链融资。
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引用次数: 0
Exploring Domestic Violence Causes in Saudi Arabia: Factor Analysis Approach 探索沙特阿拉伯的家庭暴力原因:因素分析法
IF 1.9 4区 社会学 Q1 SOCIAL SCIENCES, INTERDISCIPLINARY Pub Date : 2024-07-13 DOI: 10.3390/systems12070252
Marwan H. Alhelali, Osama Abdulaziz Alamri, Alanazi Talal Abdulrahman, Mohammed Ahmed Alomair, Basim S. O. Alsaedi
The objective of this research is to ascertain the elements that have an impact on and drive domestic violence in Saudi Arabia, a phenomenon that has a prevalence rate of around 35% among women globally. The researchers administered a survey to a sample of 550 individuals and used exploratory factor analysis (EFA) to analyze the collected data. The findings revealed three factors: a lack of familial unity, encouragement of detrimental characteristics, and economic turmoil. The authors examined the consequences of these characteristics on preventive and intervention programs and proposed suggestions for policymakers and researchers. This research enhances the existing body of knowledge on domestic violence by conducting a statistical analysis to examine the factors that lead to it and the resulting outcomes within a particular cultural setting.
本研究的目的是确定影响和驱动沙特阿拉伯家庭暴力的因素,这种现象在全球妇女中的发生率约为 35%。研究人员对 550 人进行了抽样调查,并使用探索性因素分析法(EFA)对收集到的数据进行了分析。研究结果显示了三个因素:缺乏家庭团结、鼓励有害特征和经济动荡。作者研究了这些特征对预防和干预计划的影响,并为政策制定者和研究人员提出了建议。这项研究通过统计分析,研究了导致家庭暴力的因素以及在特定文化背景下产生的结果,从而丰富了现有的家庭暴力知识。
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引用次数: 0
Research on Privacy-by-Design Behavioural Decision-Making of Information Engineers Considering Perceived Work Risk 考虑工作风险的信息工程师隐私设计决策行为研究
IF 1.9 4区 社会学 Q1 SOCIAL SCIENCES, INTERDISCIPLINARY Pub Date : 2024-07-11 DOI: 10.3390/systems12070250
Fei Bu, Nengmin Wang, Qi Jiang, Xiang Tian
Privacy by design (PbD) has attracted considerable attention from researchers and information security experts due to its enormous potential for protecting private information and improving the privacy and security quality of information technology products. The adoption of PbD among information engineers is currently limited owing to its innovativeness and the distinctive traits of the information technology industry. Utilising the Technology Acceptance Model as a framework, this study innovatively explores the pivotal factors and mechanisms that influence information engineers’ decision-making in the adoption of PbD from the viewpoint of the perceived work risk. In this empirical research, professional information engineers were invited to complete a questionnaire survey. After analysing the data using partial least squares structural equation modelling, the results reveal that information engineers’ perceived work risk in PbD (PWRP) negatively affects their perceptions of the usefulness and ease of use of PbD. This negative perception subsequently reduces their intention to implement PbD (INTP) and adversely impacts their attitudes towards implementing PbD (ATTP). Furthermore, the study findings reveal that a positive ATTP among engineers boosts their INTP and positively influences their behaviours regarding information security. This study provides an in-depth examination of these findings and lays a solid theoretical groundwork for the further promotion and implementation of PbD in information technology enterprises. Moreover, the findings offer invaluable support for management decisions in both information technology companies and information security regulatory authorities, significantly contributing to the expansion and deepening of research in the field of PbD.
隐私保护设计(PbD)在保护私人信息、提高信息技术产品的隐私和安全质量方面具有巨大潜力,因此受到研究人员和信息安全专家的广泛关注。由于 PbD 的创新性和信息技术行业的独特性,目前信息工程师对其的采用还很有限。本研究以技术接受模型为框架,从感知工作风险的角度,创新性地探讨了影响信息工程师采用 PbD 决策的关键因素和机制。本实证研究邀请专业信息工程师完成问卷调查。在使用偏最小二乘法结构方程模型对数据进行分析后,研究结果表明,信息工程师感知到的工作风险(PWRP)会对他们感知到的 PbD 的有用性和易用性产生负面影响。这种负面感知会降低他们实施项目设计的意愿(INTP),并对他们实施项目设计的态度(ATTP)产生不利影响。此外,研究结果表明,工程师积极的 ATTP 会增强他们的 INTP,并对他们的信息安全行为产生积极影响。本研究对这些发现进行了深入探讨,为信息技术企业进一步推广和实施 PbD 奠定了坚实的理论基础。此外,研究结果还为信息技术企业和信息安全监管机构的管理决策提供了宝贵的支持,极大地促进了 PbD 领域研究的拓展和深化。
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引用次数: 0
An Integrated CREAM for Human Reliability Analysis Based on Consensus Reaching Process under Probabilistic Linguistic Environment 基于概率语言环境下达成共识过程的人类可靠性分析集成 CREAM
IF 1.9 4区 社会学 Q1 SOCIAL SCIENCES, INTERDISCIPLINARY Pub Date : 2024-07-10 DOI: 10.3390/systems12070249
Xue-Guo Xu, Ling Zhang, Si-Xuan Wang, Hua-Ping Gong, Hu-Chen Liu
Human reliability analysis (HRA) is widely used to evaluate the impact of human errors on various complex human–machine systems for enhancing their safety and reliability. Nevertheless, it is hard to estimate the human error probability (HEP) in reality due to the uncertainty of state assessment information and the complex relations among common performance conditions (CPCs). In this paper, we aim to present a new integrated cognitive reliability and error analysis method (CREAM) to solve the HRA problems under probabilistic linguistic environment. First, the probabilistic linguistic term sets (PLTSs) are utilized to handle the uncertain task state assessments provided by experts. Second, the minimum conflict consensus model (MCCM) is employed to deal with conflict task state assessment information to assist experts reach consensus. Third, the entropy weighting method is used to determine the relative objective weights of CPCs. Additionally, the CPC effect indexes are introduced to assess the overall effect of CPCs on performance reliability and obtain the HEP estimation. Finally, the reliability of the proposed CREAM is demonstrated via a healthcare practical case. The result shows that the new integrated CREAM can not only effectively represent experts’ uncertain task state assessments but also determine more reliable HEP estimation in HRA.
人为可靠性分析(HRA)被广泛用于评估人为错误对各种复杂人机系统的影响,以提高其安全性和可靠性。然而,由于状态评估信息的不确定性和常见性能条件(CPC)之间的复杂关系,现实中很难估算人为错误概率(HEP)。本文旨在提出一种新的认知可靠性和误差综合分析方法(CREAM),以解决概率语言环境下的人为错误概率问题。首先,利用概率语言术语集(PLTS)来处理专家提供的不确定任务状态评估。其次,采用最小冲突共识模型(MCCM)处理冲突任务状态评估信息,帮助专家达成共识。第三,采用熵权法确定 CPC 的相对目标权重。此外,还引入了 CPC 效果指数,以评估 CPC 对性能可靠性的整体影响,并获得 HEP 估计值。最后,通过一个医疗保健实际案例证明了所提出的 CREAM 的可靠性。结果表明,新的集成 CREAM 不仅能有效代表专家的不确定任务状态评估,还能在 HRA 中确定更可靠的 HEP 估计。
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引用次数: 0
A Conceptual Model of Rural Tourism in Bali to Build Up Global Competitiveness 巴厘岛乡村旅游概念模型,打造全球竞争力
IF 1.9 4区 社会学 Q1 SOCIAL SCIENCES, INTERDISCIPLINARY Pub Date : 2024-07-09 DOI: 10.3390/systems12070245
Agung Suryawan Wiranatha, I Gusti Ayu Oka Suryawardani, I Gusti Raka Purbanto, I Gusti Bagus Arya Yudiastina, Tajuddin Bantacut
Rural tourism, in the form of small-scale, locally owned tourism businesses, has become a priority that must be supported by the government to be more beneficial for the local community. The objective of this study was to develop a conceptual model of rural tourism in order to make rural tourism in Bali more competitive globally. This research was conducted in Bali during April–June 2020 by following a systems thinking approach. The methodology employed was a soft systems methodology and utilized interpretive structural modeling (ISM). Twenty persons were chosen purposively as key informants (experts). Data collection was carried out through focus group discussions (FGDs) and questionnaires. The results indicated that the goals of sustainable rural tourism are to improve local community welfare, to conserve the environment, and to preserve culture and heritage. Managing rural tourism requires efforts in destination quality, service excellence, hospitality, reasonable pricing, and ease of access. Finally, this paper proposes methods to support sustainable rural tourism in Bali.
乡村旅游以当地拥有的小型旅游企业的形式出现,已成为政府必须支持的优先事项,以便为当地社区带来更多益处。本研究的目的是建立一个乡村旅游概念模型,以提高巴厘岛乡村旅游的全球竞争力。本研究于 2020 年 4 月至 6 月在巴厘岛进行,采用了系统思维方法。采用的方法是软系统方法,并利用了解释性结构建模(ISM)。有目的地选择了 20 人作为关键信息提供者(专家)。数据收集通过焦点小组讨论(FGDs)和问卷调查进行。结果表明,可持续乡村旅游的目标是改善当地社区福利、保护环境、保护文化和遗产。管理乡村旅游需要在目的地质量、优质服务、热情好客、合理定价和便捷交通等方面做出努力。最后,本文提出了支持巴厘岛可持续乡村旅游的方法。
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引用次数: 0
Strategic Dimensions of Eco-Innovation Adoption in Manufacturing SMEs in the Context of Mexico City 墨西哥城制造业中小企业采用生态创新的战略维度
IF 1.9 4区 社会学 Q1 SOCIAL SCIENCES, INTERDISCIPLINARY Pub Date : 2024-07-09 DOI: 10.3390/systems12070246
Andrés David Barragán-Hernández, Mario Aguilar-Fernández
This paper investigates the strategic dimensions influencing the adoption of environmental innovations (EIs) in small and medium-sized manufacturing enterprises (SMEs) in Mexico City. The study aims to understand the fundamental strategic dimensions defining eco-innovation and examine how SMEs manage the complexities of incorporating these practices. Employing a mixed-methods approach with documentary analysis and expert interviews, the study identifies key factors influencing EI adoption through causal maps and the viable system model. Findings highlight the significance of external and internal factors such as competitive pressure, economic constraints, technological capabilities, political support, and social influence. This integrative approach emphasizes the importance of adaptability and responsiveness, presenting eco-innovation as a source of sustainable competitive advantage for SMEs.
本文研究了影响墨西哥城中小型制造企业(SMEs)采用环境创新(EIs)的战略因素。研究旨在了解定义生态创新的基本战略维度,并考察中小型企业如何管理纳入这些实践的复杂性。本研究采用文献分析和专家访谈的混合方法,通过因果关系图和可行系统模型确定了影响采用生态创新的关键因素。研究结果强调了竞争压力、经济限制、技术能力、政治支持和社会影响等外部和内部因素的重要性。这种综合方法强调了适应性和响应能力的重要性,将生态创新视为中小企业可持续竞争优势的来源。
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引用次数: 0
Spatial and Temporal Dynamics of Homestays on Chongming Island: A Systemic Analysis in the Context of World-Class Eco-Island Development 崇明岛民宿的时空动态:世界级生态岛开发背景下的系统分析
IF 1.9 4区 社会学 Q1 SOCIAL SCIENCES, INTERDISCIPLINARY Pub Date : 2024-07-09 DOI: 10.3390/systems12070244
Xiangxiang Fu, Xiang Kong
As the development of world-class eco-islands progresses, the homestay sector on Chongming Island has burgeoned, emerging as a pivotal catalyst for rural tourism and economic prosperity. This study, leveraging Chongming Island as a case study, systematically analyzes the spatiotemporal distribution of homestays across island-wide, township, and village scales, employing methodologies such as the spatiotemporal evolutionary tree model. It delves into the intricate systemic framework underpinning homestay development, elucidating the dynamics of interaction mechanisms. Furthermore, it examines the evolving roles of diverse stakeholders throughout various developmental phases, grounded in stakeholder theory. The study reveals that (1) Chongming’s homestays on the island, townships, and village scales show very obvious agglomeration characteristics, mainly concentrated in the A-level scenic spots and in and out of the island traffic junction. (2) The growth of homestays in Chongming shows an increasing trend year by year, with the growth rate slowing down after 2020, and can be divided into four main phases, which are closely related to the construction phase of the eco-island. (3) The evolution of Chongming Island’s homestay is a multifaceted natural–human system intricately shaped by a confluence of five interdependent subsystems: natural ecology, social culture, multiple stakeholders, geographical location, and transport infrastructure. At different stages of development, under the synergistic effect of multiple stakeholders, the homestays on Chongming Island eventually formed a governance structure led by the government and co-managed by the development company, external entrepreneurs, and local villagers. These insights not only augment the scholarly discourse on stakeholder dynamics within the homestay industry but also offer pragmatic enlightenment for strategic planning and the advancement of holistic urban–rural integration in Chongming and the broader Shanghai region.
随着世界级生态岛建设的推进,崇明岛民宿业蓬勃发展,成为乡村旅游和经济繁荣的重要催化剂。本研究以崇明岛为案例,运用时空演化树模型等方法,系统分析了民宿在全岛、乡镇和村庄范围内的时空分布。报告深入探讨了支撑民宿发展的错综复杂的系统框架,阐明了互动机制的动态变化。此外,研究还以利益相关者理论为基础,考察了不同利益相关者在各个发展阶段不断演变的角色。研究发现:(1)崇明民宿在岛、乡、村三级呈现出非常明显的集聚特征,主要集中在A级景区和进出岛交通枢纽。(2)崇明民宿增长呈逐年递增趋势,2020 年后增速放缓,主要分为四个阶段,与生态岛建设阶段密切相关。(3)崇明岛民宿的演变是一个多元的自然-人文系统,由自然生态、社会文化、多方利益相关者、地理位置和交通基础设施五个相互依存的子系统交汇而成,错综复杂。在不同的发展阶段,在多方利益相关者的协同作用下,崇明岛上的民宿最终形成了由政府主导,开发公司、外部企业家和当地村民共同管理的治理结构。这些见解不仅丰富了关于民宿产业利益相关者动态的学术论述,也为崇明乃至整个上海地区的战略规划和推进城乡一体化提供了务实的启迪。
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引用次数: 0
Performance Study on the Use of Genetic Algorithm for Reducing Feature Dimensionality in an Embedded Intrusion Detection System 在嵌入式入侵检测系统中使用遗传算法降低特征维度的性能研究
IF 1.9 4区 社会学 Q1 SOCIAL SCIENCES, INTERDISCIPLINARY Pub Date : 2024-07-08 DOI: 10.3390/systems12070243
João Lobo Silva, Rui Fernandes, Nuno Lopes
Intrusion Detection Systems play a crucial role in a network. They can detect different network attacks and raise warnings on them. Machine Learning-based IDSs are trained on datasets that, due to the context, are inherently large, since they can contain network traffic from different time periods and often include a large number of features. In this paper, we present two contributions: the study of the importance of Feature Selection when using an IDS dataset, while striking a balance between performance and the number of features; and the study of the feasibility of using a low-capacity device, the Nvidia Jetson Nano, to implement an IDS. The results, comparing the GA with other well-known techniques in Feature Selection and Dimensionality Reduction, show that the GA has the best F1-score of 76%, among all feature/dimension sizes. Although the processing time to find the optimal set of features surpasses other methods, we observed that the reduction in the number of features decreases the GA processing time without a significant impact on the F1-score. The Jetson Nano allows the classification of network traffic with an overhead of 10 times in comparison to a traditional server, paving the way to a near real-time GA-based embedded IDS.
入侵检测系统在网络中发挥着至关重要的作用。它们可以检测到不同的网络攻击并发出警告。基于机器学习的 IDS 是在数据集上进行训练的,由于数据集可能包含不同时间段的网络流量,而且通常包含大量特征,因此数据集的规模本身就很大。在本文中,我们做出了两项贡献:研究了使用 IDS 数据集时特征选择的重要性,同时在性能和特征数量之间取得平衡;研究了使用低容量设备 Nvidia Jetson Nano 实现 IDS 的可行性。结果显示,在所有特征/维度大小中,GA 的 F1 分数最高,达到 76%。虽然找到最佳特征集所需的处理时间超过了其他方法,但我们观察到,特征数量的减少会减少 GA 的处理时间,而不会对 F1 分数产生显著影响。Jetson Nano 可对网络流量进行分类,其开销是传统服务器的 10 倍,为实现基于 GA 的近实时嵌入式 IDS 铺平了道路。
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引用次数: 0
Simulation Analysis of Artificial Intelligence Technology Diffusion under Market Competition and Policy Incentives Based on Complex Network Evolutionary Game Models 基于复杂网络演化博弈模型的市场竞争和政策激励下的人工智能技术扩散仿真分析
IF 1.9 4区 社会学 Q1 SOCIAL SCIENCES, INTERDISCIPLINARY Pub Date : 2024-07-07 DOI: 10.3390/systems12070242
Xiaofei Ma, Jia Wang
The relationship network between enterprises will change their adoption behavior of AI technology and this micro-decision-making mechanism will eventually decide whether AI technology can diffuse and the extent of diffusion on the macro level. However, the existing AI technology diffusion research mostly focuses on the integration of AI technology with other industries from the industrial level, ignoring the complexity of the micro-complex game process and interactions within the enterprise network on the macro technology diffusion. In this regard, this paper builds a game model of AI technology diffusion in core and non-core enterprises from the levels of market competition and policy incentives based on complex network evolutionary game theory. It does this through simulation analysis that examines the mechanism of key factors affecting the diffusion of AI technology, as well as the influence and combination effects of pertinent policies. The study shows that (1) AI technology diffuses more effectively in non-core enterprises than it does in core enterprises; (2) changes in parameters like technology cost and policy regimes have a more evident impact on core enterprises than non-core ones; (3) in market competition, increasing the network average degree, the proportion of AI technology products in the mainstream market, the opportunity cost, the cost reduction factor, or decreasing the cost of AI technology can all promote the diffusion of AI technology; (4) under policy incentives, increasing the proportion of AI technology subsidies and the influence of high-tech identification of enterprises can both promote the diffusion of AI technology.
企业间的关系网络会改变企业对人工智能技术的采用行为,这种微观决策机制最终将决定人工智能技术能否扩散以及在宏观层面的扩散程度。然而,现有的人工智能技术扩散研究多从产业层面关注人工智能技术与其他产业的融合,忽视了宏观技术扩散的微观复杂博弈过程和企业网络内部互动的复杂性。为此,本文基于复杂网络演化博弈理论,从市场竞争和政策激励两个层面构建了核心企业与非核心企业人工智能技术扩散的博弈模型。本文通过模拟分析,研究了影响人工智能技术扩散的关键因素的作用机理,以及相关政策的影响和组合效应。研究表明:(1) 人工智能技术在非核心企业的扩散比在核心企业更有效;(2) 技术成本和政策制度等参数的变化对核心企业的影响比非核心企业更明显;(3)在市场竞争中,提高网络平均程度、人工智能技术产品在主流市场中的比例、机会成本、成本降低系数或降低人工智能技术成本都能促进人工智能技术的扩散;(4)在政策激励下,提高人工智能技术补贴比例和企业高新技术认定的影响力都能促进人工智能技术的扩散。
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引用次数: 0
Facilities Sites Selection Optimization for Food Emergency Logistics to Meet Urgent Demands 优化食品应急物流设施选址,满足紧急需求
IF 1.9 4区 社会学 Q1 SOCIAL SCIENCES, INTERDISCIPLINARY Pub Date : 2024-07-05 DOI: 10.3390/systems12070241
Xiaoqing Zeng, Yanping Chen, Liming Liu
Effective emergency logistics facility site selection is vital for ensuring prompt and fair food supply during crises. This study tackles the intricate task of choosing optimal sites for emergency food logistics facilities by considering varying urgency levels of needs, uncertain demands, and potential facility interruptions. A novel weighted Mahalanobis distance–gray relational analysis–TOPSIS method is devised to evaluate demand urgency and guide site selection decisions. The proposed location model aims to minimize total cost and unmet demand while integrating discrete scenario strategies to address interruption events. Leveraging the Social Network Search (SNS) algorithm, the model is solved, and its effectiveness is validated through a case study analysis. The results highlight the accuracy of the urgency level determination method in capturing demand characteristics and the model’s provision of an objective and practical framework for formulating rational facility location strategies. This approach holds significant promise for enhancing the promptness and fairness of food supply assurance during emergencies.
有效的应急物流设施选址对于确保危机期间及时、公平的食品供应至关重要。本研究通过考虑不同的需求紧急程度、不确定的需求和潜在的设施中断,解决了为应急食品物流设施选择最佳地点的复杂任务。研究设计了一种新颖的加权马哈拉诺比距离-灰色关系分析-TOPSIS 方法,用于评估需求紧迫性并指导选址决策。所提出的选址模型旨在最大限度地降低总成本和未满足需求,同时整合离散情景策略以应对中断事件。利用社交网络搜索(SNS)算法对模型进行求解,并通过案例分析验证其有效性。结果凸显了紧急程度确定方法在捕捉需求特征方面的准确性,以及该模型为制定合理的设施选址策略提供了一个客观实用的框架。这种方法有望在紧急情况下提高食品供应保障的及时性和公平性。
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引用次数: 0
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