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Low-voltage ride-through capability improvement of Type-3 wind turbine through active disturbance rejection feedback control-based dynamic voltage restorer 基于自抗扰反馈控制的动态电压恢复器提高3型风力发电机组低压穿越能力
4区 环境科学与生态学 Q3 ENERGY & FUELS Pub Date : 2023-10-01 DOI: 10.1093/ce/zkad050
El Mahfoud Boulaoutaq, Asma Aziz, Abdelmounime El Magri, Ahmed Abbou, Mohamed Ajaamoum, Azeddine Rachdy
Abstract Disconnections due to voltage drops in the grid cannot be permitted if wind turbines (WTs) contribute significantly to electricity production, as this increases the risk of production loss and destabilizes the grid. To mitigate the negative effects of these occurrences, WTs must be able to ride through the low-voltage conditions and inject reactive current to provide dynamic voltage support. This paper investigates the low-voltage ride-through (LVRT) capability enhancement of a Type-3 WT utilizing a dynamic voltage restorer (DVR). During the grid voltage drop, the DVR quickly injects a compensating voltage to keep the stator voltage constant. This paper proposes an active disturbance rejection control (ADRC) scheme to control the rotor-side, grid-side and DVR-side converters in a wind–DVR integrated network. The performance of the Type-3 WT with DVR topology is evaluated under various test conditions using MATLAB®/Simulink®. These simulation results are also compared with the experimental results for the LVRT capability performed on a WT emulator equipped with a crowbar and direct current (DC) chopper. The simulation results demonstrate a favourable transient and steady-state response of the Type-3 wind turbine quantities defined by the LVRT codes, as well as improved reactive power support under balanced fault conditions. Under the most severe voltage drop of 95%, the stator currents, rotor currents and DC bus voltage are 1.25 pu, 1.40 pu and 1.09 UDC, respectively, conforming to the values of the LVRT codes. DVR controlled by the ADRC technique significantly increases the LVRT capabilities of a Type-3 doubly-fed induction generator-based WT under symmetrical voltage dip events. Although setting up ADRC controllers might be challenging, the proposed method has been shown to be extremely effective in reducing all kinds of internal and external disturbances.
如果风力涡轮机(WTs)对电力生产有重大贡献,则不能允许因电网电压下降而断开,因为这会增加生产损失的风险并使电网不稳定。为了减轻这些情况的负面影响,wt必须能够在低压条件下运行,并注入无功电流以提供动态电压支持。本文研究了利用动态电压恢复器(DVR)增强3型小波变换的低压穿越(LVRT)能力。在电网电压下降时,DVR快速注入补偿电压以保持定子电压恒定。本文提出了一种自抗扰控制(ADRC)方案,用于控制风- dvr综合网络中的转子侧、电网侧和dvr侧变流器。使用MATLAB®/Simulink®在各种测试条件下对具有DVR拓扑的Type-3 WT的性能进行了评估。仿真结果还与在装有撬棍和直流斩波器的小波模拟器上进行的LVRT性能实验结果进行了比较。仿真结果表明,LVRT规范所定义的3型风电机组数量具有良好的暂态和稳态响应,并改善了平衡故障条件下的无功支持。最严重电压降为95%时,定子电流为1.25 pu,转子电流为1.40 pu,直流母线电压为1.09 UDC,符合LVRT规范的值。采用自抗扰技术控制的DVR显著提高了基于3型双馈感应发电机的小波在对称电压下降事件下的LVRT能力。尽管设置自抗扰控制器可能具有挑战性,但所提出的方法已被证明在减少各种内部和外部干扰方面非常有效。
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引用次数: 0
Strategic recommendations for financing green and sustainable energy projects 为绿色和可持续能源项目融资的战略建议
4区 环境科学与生态学 Q3 ENERGY & FUELS Pub Date : 2023-10-01 DOI: 10.1093/ce/zkad052
Arindam Dutta, Akash Samanta
Abstract The main hindrances to the large-scale development of renewable-energy projects are the lack of bankability and the inability to align investments and investors with suitable financial instruments or robust policy measures. To illustrate a bankable project, this paper presents a research-based case study on the installation of solar photovoltaic panels on the rooftops of 195 trains of the Indian Railways. Detailed information on the annual running hours, exposure to sunlight, efficiency of solar photovoltaic generation and electrical power demands of each rail coach is considered to conduct a quantitative measure of the tentative amount of fossil fuel savings. The purpose is to provide insight into the types of renewable-energy projects that can be highly attractive to financial institutions and promoters due to their lucrative internal return on investment. As seen in this case study, there are annual savings in diesel of 12 323 088 litres and a CO2 reduction of 32 755 tonnes, with return on investment of 1.3 years. Furthermore, this study conducts a comprehensive analysis of the limitations of existing renewable-energy project financing mechanisms in India. Subsequently, three policy measures are recommended to develop a robust financial mechanism that can effectively meet the needs of investors and investors. These measures include increasing equity injection through a buy-and-hold strategy, providing direct tax benefits to promoters and financing through real-estate investment trusts. The findings are highly relevant to address the challenges associated with bridging the financial gap between access to finance and capital investment in the renewable-energy sector, especially for Asian countries.
可再生能源项目大规模发展的主要障碍是缺乏可融资性,以及无法将投资和投资者与合适的金融工具或强有力的政策措施结合起来。为了说明一个可投资的项目,本文提出了一个基于研究的案例研究,在印度铁路的195列火车的车顶上安装太阳能光伏板。每节火车车厢的年运行时间、日照、太阳能光伏发电效率和电力需求等详细信息被认为是对化石燃料节省的暂定数量进行定量衡量。其目的是深入了解可再生能源项目的类型,这些项目由于其丰厚的内部投资回报而对金融机构和发起人具有高度吸引力。从这个案例研究中可以看出,每年可以节省12 323 088升柴油,减少32 755吨二氧化碳,投资回报为1.3年。此外,本研究对印度现有可再生能源项目融资机制的局限性进行了全面分析。随后,建议采取三项政策措施,以建立健全的金融机制,有效满足投资者和投资者的需求。这些措施包括通过买入并持有策略增加股权注入,向发起人提供直接税收优惠,以及通过房地产投资信托基金提供融资。研究结果对于解决与弥合可再生能源领域融资和资本投资之间的资金差距相关的挑战具有高度相关性,特别是对亚洲国家而言。
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引用次数: 0
What would a US green hydrogen energy economy look like? 美国绿色氢能源经济会是什么样子?
4区 环境科学与生态学 Q3 ENERGY & FUELS Pub Date : 2023-10-01 DOI: 10.1093/ce/zkad047
Thomas Tonon
Abstract Detailed description is given for a hypothetical US hydrogen economy with solar and wind energy supplying virtually all current energy needs and with electrolytic hydrogen the energy carrier and storage medium. Fossil fuels provide nonfuel products (plastics, chemicals, cement and asphalt). Only current technologies are considered and hydrogen storage accommodates generation intermittency and variability, using pit storage of high-pressure vessels in open air, yielding daily storage round-trip energy installation costs of 722 and 538 $/kWh for electric and thermal, respectively; and for power, 2351 and 2240 $/kW for electric and thermal, respectively. For long-duration storage, the costs are 94.1 and 23.8 $/kWh and 937 and 845 $/kW, respectively. Increased energy generation 20% over baseline accommodates low-season generation, obviates much required storage and ensures that reserves are topped off; 96% of US 2022 total energy consumption is provided for. In the default scenario (demand energy portions: half photovoltaic, quarter onshore wind and quarter offshore wind), the surface area for the farms (including offshore surface) requires ~4.6% of the US 48-state land area. About 350 pit storage sites provide both daily and long-duration storage, with the latter accounting for complete loss of generation for 4 days over a quarter of the nation. Hydrogen pipelines and a renewed electric grid transmit and distribute energy. The installation cost of the public infrastructure is ~$27.8 trillion for the default scenario. Alternative scenarios show significant infrastructure and cost savings when batteries are used for transportation and/or utility storage, provided current insufficiencies can be overcome. Broadly, cost levels in money, surface and infrastructure are within existing levels already achieved in historical events and modern living.
摘要详细描述了一个假设的美国氢经济,其中太阳能和风能提供几乎所有当前的能源需求,并以电解氢作为能量载体和储存介质。化石燃料提供非燃料产品(塑料、化学品、水泥和沥青)。仅考虑目前的技术,氢气储存可以适应发电的间歇性和可变性,使用露天高压容器的坑式储存,每天的电力和热能储存往返能源安装成本分别为722美元和538美元/千瓦时;电力方面,电和热分别为2351美元和2240美元/千瓦。对于长时间储能,成本分别为94.1和23.8美元/千瓦时和937和845美元/千瓦时。在基线基础上增加20%的发电量,以适应淡季发电,避免了大量需要的储存,并确保储备被填满;美国2022年总能源消耗的96%是提供的。在默认情况下(需求能源部分:一半光伏,四分之一陆上风电和四分之一海上风电),农场的表面积(包括海上表面)需要约占美国48个州土地面积的4.6%。大约有350个蓄水池提供日常和长期储存,后者占全国四分之一以上的4天完全损失发电。氢气管道和更新的电网传输和分配能源。在默认情况下,公共基础设施的安装成本约为27.8万亿美元。当电池用于运输和/或公用事业存储时,其他方案显示出显著的基础设施和成本节约,前提是电流不足可以被克服。总的来说,金钱、地面和基础设施的成本水平在历史事件和现代生活中已经达到的现有水平之内。
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引用次数: 0
Development and assessment of a novel integrated system powered by parabolic trough collectors for combined power, heating and freshwater production 一种新型集成系统的开发和评估,该系统由抛物面槽集热器驱动,用于联合发电、供热和淡水生产
4区 环境科学与生态学 Q3 ENERGY & FUELS Pub Date : 2023-10-01 DOI: 10.1093/ce/zkad051
Mohd Asjad Siddiqui, Eydhah Almatrafi
Abstract Hybrid solar-based integrated systems represent a viable solution for countries with abundant solar radiation, as they provide energy needs in an environmentally friendly way, offering a sustainable and economically advantageous energy solution that utilizes a free source of energy. Therefore, this research offers a thermodynamic evaluation of a novel integrated system driven by solar energy that aims to produce power, heating and freshwater. The integrated system consists of a parabolic trough collector that uses CO2 as its working fluid and implements the supercritical carbon dioxide cycle to generate power and heating. The integrated system also includes an adsorption desalination system with heat recovery between the condenser and evaporator, which employs a cutting-edge material called an aluminium fumarate metal–organic framework to produce fresh water. For the modelling of a novel system, an engineering equation solver, which is considered a reliable tool for thermodynamic investigations, is employed. The effectiveness of an integrated system is evaluated using a mathematical model and different varying parameters are examined to ascertain their influence on thermal and exergy efficiency, specific daily water production and gained output ratio. The results revealed that the parabolic trough collector achieved a thermal efficiency of 67.2% and an exergy efficiency of 41.2% under certain conditions. Additionally, the thermal efficiencies for electrical and heating were obtained 24.68% and 9.85%, respectively. Finally, the specific daily water production was calculated, showing promising results and an increase from 7.1 to 12.5 m3/ton/day, while the gain output ratio increased from 0.395 to 0.62 when the temperature of hot water increased from 65°C to 85°C, under the selected conditions.
基于太阳能的混合集成系统为太阳辐射丰富的国家提供了一种可行的解决方案,因为它们以一种环保的方式满足能源需求,提供了一种利用免费能源的可持续和经济上有利的能源解决方案。因此,本研究对一种新型太阳能驱动综合系统进行了热力学评估,该系统旨在产生电力、供暖和淡水。集成系统由一个抛物线槽收集器组成,该收集器以CO2作为工作流体,并实现超临界二氧化碳循环发电和加热。集成系统还包括一个吸附脱盐系统,该系统在冷凝器和蒸发器之间具有热回收功能,该系统采用一种称为富马酸铝金属有机框架的尖端材料来生产淡水。对于新系统的建模,工程方程求解器被认为是热力学研究的可靠工具。利用数学模型对综合系统的有效性进行了评价,并对不同的变化参数进行了检验,以确定它们对热效率和火用效率、比日产水量和获得的产出比的影响。结果表明,在一定条件下,抛物槽集热器的热效率为67.2%,火用效率为41.2%。电热效率为24.68%,加热热效率为9.85%。最后,计算出了具体的日产水量,结果令人满意,在选定条件下,当热水温度从65℃升高到85℃时,产水量从7.1 m3/t /day增加到12.5 m3/t /day,产水量比从0.395增加到0.62。
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引用次数: 0
Adaptive neural network observer for proton-exchange membrane fuel cell system 质子交换膜燃料电池系统的自适应神经网络观测器
4区 环境科学与生态学 Q3 ENERGY & FUELS Pub Date : 2023-10-01 DOI: 10.1093/ce/zkad048
Abdelaziz El Aoumari, Hamid Ouadi, Jamal El-Bakkouri, Fouad Giri
Abstract This paper develops an adaptive neural network (NN) observer for proton-exchange membrane fuel cells (PEMFCs). Indeed, information on the oxygen excess ratio (OER) value is crucial to ensure optimal management of the durability and reliability of the PEMFC. The OER indicator is computed from the mass of oxygen and nitrogen inside the PEMFC cathode. Unfortunately, the measurement process of both these masses is difficult and costly. To solve this problem, the design of a PEMFC state observer is attractive. However, the behaviour of the fuel cell system is highly non-linear and its modelling is complex. Due to this constraint, a multilayer perceptron neural network (MLPNN)-based observer is proposed in this paper to estimate the oxygen and nitrogen masses. One notable advantage of the suggested MLPNN observer is that it does not require a database to train the NN. Indeed, the weights of the NN are updated in real time using the output error. In addition, the observer parameters, namely the learning rate and the damping factor, are online adapted using the optimization tools of extremum seeking. Moreover, the proposed observer stability analysis is performed using the Lyapunov theory. The observer performances are validated by simulation under MATLAB®/Simulink®. The supremacy of the proposed adaptive MLPNN observer is highlighted by comparison with a fixed-parameter MLPNN observer and a classical high-gain observer (HGO). The mean relative error value of the excess oxygen rate is considered the performance index, which is equal to 1.01% for an adaptive MLPNN and 3.95% and 9.95% for a fixed MLPNN and HGO, respectively. Finally, a robustness test of the proposed observer with respect to measurement noise is performed.
摘要开发了一种用于质子交换膜燃料电池(pemfc)的自适应神经网络观测器。事实上,关于氧过剩比(OER)值的信息对于确保PEMFC的耐久性和可靠性的最佳管理至关重要。OER指标是由PEMFC阴极内氧和氮的质量计算得出的。不幸的是,这两个质量的测量过程既困难又昂贵。为了解决这一问题,PEMFC状态观测器的设计很有吸引力。然而,燃料电池系统的行为是高度非线性的,其建模是复杂的。基于这一约束,本文提出了一种基于多层感知器神经网络(MLPNN)的观测器来估计氧和氮的质量。建议的MLPNN观测器的一个显著优点是它不需要数据库来训练神经网络。实际上,神经网络的权重是利用输出误差实时更新的。此外,利用极值搜索优化工具在线调整观测器参数,即学习率和阻尼因子。此外,利用李亚普诺夫理论进行了观测器稳定性分析。在MATLAB®/Simulink®下通过仿真验证了观测器的性能。通过与固定参数MLPNN观测器和经典高增益观测器(HGO)的比较,突出了所提自适应MLPNN观测器的优越性。以过量氧率的平均相对误差值作为性能指标,自适应MLPNN的平均相对误差值为1.01%,固定MLPNN和HGO的平均相对误差值分别为3.95%和9.95%。最后,对所提出的观测器进行了关于测量噪声的鲁棒性测试。
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引用次数: 0
An analysis of the implementation of a hybrid renewable-energy system in a building by considering the reduction in electricity price subsidies and the reliability of the grid 在考虑电价补贴减少和电网可靠性的情况下,对建筑物中可再生能源混合系统的实施进行了分析
4区 环境科学与生态学 Q3 ENERGY & FUELS Pub Date : 2023-10-01 DOI: 10.1093/ce/zkad053
Rahmat Adiprasetya Al Hasibi, Abdul Haris
Abstract This article discusses the implementation of a hybrid renewable-energy system to satisfy the electricity requirements of a building. The analysis is based on optimization calculations performed using HOMER software. The components of the simulated hybrid renewable-energy system include photovoltaics, generators powered by biogas, converters and a grid. The input data utilized by the HOMER software are derived from measurements and surveys. The electric load curve is obtained through measurements at the location of the case study. Through surveys, parameters pertaining to the components of the hybrid renewable-energy system were gathered. The analysis was carried out using two sensitivity variables, namely electricity price and grid reliability. On the basis of these two sensitivity variables, optimal system configuration, net present cost, energy cost, return on investment, internal rate of return and payback period were analysed. The results of the analysis indicated that reducing subsidies, which results in higher electricity prices, provided opportunities for economically competitive hybrid renewable-energy systems. With electricity prices of US$0.094/kWh, the return of investment and the internal rate of return increased to 15% and 19%, respectively, and the payback period decreased to 5.3 years. When a hybrid renewable-energy system is implemented in regions with low grid reliability, the same phenomenon occurs.
摘要:本文讨论了一种混合可再生能源系统的实现,以满足建筑物的电力需求。分析是基于使用HOMER软件进行的优化计算。模拟混合可再生能源系统的组成部分包括光伏、沼气发电机、转换器和电网。HOMER软件使用的输入数据来自测量和调查。电负荷曲线是通过在案例研究的位置测量得到的。通过调查,收集了混合可再生能源系统各组成部分的参数。采用电价和电网可靠性两个敏感变量进行分析。在这两个敏感变量的基础上,分析了最优系统配置、净现值成本、能源成本、投资回报率、内部收益率和投资回收期。分析结果表明,减少补贴导致电价上涨,为具有经济竞争力的混合可再生能源系统提供了机会。在电价为0.094美元/千瓦时,投资回报率和内部收益率分别提高到15%和19%,投资回收期减少到5.3年。当混合可再生能源系统在电网可靠性较低的地区实施时,也会出现同样的现象。
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引用次数: 0
Impact of different kinds of biomass mixtures on combustion performance, interaction and synergistic effects in cofiring of coal and biomass in steam power plants 不同种类生物质混合物对火力发电厂煤与生物质共烧燃烧性能的影响、相互作用和协同效应
4区 环境科学与生态学 Q3 ENERGY & FUELS Pub Date : 2023-10-01 DOI: 10.1093/ce/zkad049
Mochamad Soleh, Azaria Haykal Ahmad, Firman Bagja Juangsa, Prihadi Setyo Darmanto, Ari Darmawan Pasek
Abstract The cofiring of biomass and coal may be one of the most effective methods to improve energy utilization efficiency and reduce greenhouse gas emissions. This study aims to investigate combustion performance, interaction and synergistic effects in the cofiring of coal and three types of biomass. Blended fuel consisting of coal and three types of biomass such as sawdust, rice husk and solid recovery fuel was selected as the research object. Ultimate and proximate analysis and differential thermogravimetric analysis with heating rates of between 10°C and 40°C/minute are used to analyse combustion characteristics. Simulation of combustion in a 600-MWe steam power plant with a Carolina-type boiler is also carried out with the help of computational fluid dynamic (CFD) analysis to see the effect of the interaction and synergy of the mixed fuel on the performance of the steam generator. The effect on the combustion process in the combustion chamber of a steam power plant is also simulated. Based on the analysis of several test results of parameters such as ignition temperature, burnout temperature, calorific value of the fuel mixtures as well as CFD simulation, the results of the study show a strong indication of a positive synergy in mixing some of these biomasses as compared with a fuel mixture consisting only of coal and one type of biomass. Practically no power derating of the boiler occurs until the biomass content in the fuel mixture is ~30% on a mass basis. The reduction in greenhouse gas emissions also appears significant from the results of the CFD simulation of this study, which is characterized by a decrease in the fraction of CO2 in flue gas from 21.5% for coal alone as fuel to 15.9% in the case of cofiring excluding the CO2 attributed to the biomass.
生物质与煤共烧可能是提高能源利用效率和减少温室气体排放的最有效方法之一。本研究旨在研究煤与三种生物质共烧时的燃烧性能、相互作用和协同效应。选择煤与木屑、稻壳、固体回收燃料等三种生物质混合燃料作为研究对象。最终和近似分析和差热重分析,加热速率在10°C和40°C/分钟之间,用于分析燃烧特性。利用计算流体动力学(CFD)分析方法,对一台600mwe的卡罗莱纳式锅炉蒸汽发电厂进行了燃烧模拟,考察了混合燃料的相互作用和协同作用对蒸汽发生器性能的影响。对某蒸汽发电厂燃烧室燃烧过程的影响进行了模拟。基于几种燃料混合物的点火温度、燃尽温度、热值等参数的测试结果分析以及CFD模拟,研究结果表明,与仅由煤和一种生物质组成的燃料混合物相比,混合其中一些生物质具有积极的协同作用。直到燃料混合物中的生物质含量在质量基础上达到30%左右,锅炉才会发生功率降额。从本研究的CFD模拟结果来看,温室气体排放的减少也显着,其特征是烟气中的二氧化碳含量从仅作为燃料的煤炭的21.5%下降到共烧情况下的15.9%,不包括归因于生物质的二氧化碳。
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引用次数: 0
Effects of magnet shapes on total harmonic distortion and cogging torque in a permanent magnet synchronous generator for wind turbines 磁体形状对风力发电机永磁同步发电机总谐波畸变和齿槽转矩的影响
4区 环境科学与生态学 Q3 ENERGY & FUELS Pub Date : 2023-09-26 DOI: 10.1093/ce/zkad046
Erol Kurt, Adem Dalcalı
Abstract This paper explores and theoretically reports the effects of different magnet structures on the cogging torque and the total harmonic distortion of the output waveforms from a permanent magnet generator. The generator is a radial flux machine and four different structures are considered for the magnet arrangement in the rotor component and modelled in the Ansys/Maxwell electromagnetic simulation program. This three-phase machine exhibits different behaviours towards various magnet structures, i.e. rectangular, inclined slotted rectangular, skewed double rectangular and inclined slotted skewed double rectangular, respectively. It has been proven by finite element analysis and Fourier analysis that both the cogging and total harmonic distortion values vary significantly for all models. The cogging torque values change in the range of 89.95 to 436.75 mNm and the lowest cogging torque is measured for the inclined slotted skewed double rectangular magnet geometry, while the conventional rectangular magnet geometry yields the worst value with 436.75 mNm. Furthermore, the total harmonic distortion values varies between 1.63 and 3.55 for different magnetic orientations. While the worst total harmonic distortion value is obtained from the inclined slotted rectangular magnet, the best total harmonic distortion is acquired from the skewed double rectangular magnet. All these results will provide scientists and engineers with important information in order to obtain more efficient machines.
摘要本文从理论上研究了不同磁铁结构对永磁发电机齿槽转矩和输出波形总谐波畸变的影响。发电机是一种径向磁通机,转子部件的磁体布置考虑了四种不同的结构,并在Ansys/Maxwell电磁仿真程序中进行了建模。该三相电机分别对矩形、斜槽矩形、斜双矩形、斜槽斜双矩形等不同磁铁结构表现出不同的行为。有限元分析和傅立叶分析表明,各模型的齿槽数和总谐波畸变值变化很大。齿槽转矩在89.95 ~ 436.75 mNm范围内变化,斜槽斜双矩形磁体齿槽转矩最小,常规矩形磁体齿槽转矩最大,为436.75 mNm。不同磁取向的总谐波畸变值在1.63 ~ 3.55之间。斜开槽矩形磁体的总谐波畸变值最差,斜开双矩形磁体的总谐波畸变值最好。所有这些结果将为科学家和工程师提供重要信息,以获得更高效的机器。
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引用次数: 0
Wind power forecasting based on improved variational mode decomposition and permutation entropy 基于改进变分模态分解和置换熵的风电预测
4区 环境科学与生态学 Q3 ENERGY & FUELS Pub Date : 2023-09-20 DOI: 10.1093/ce/zkad043
Zhijian Qu, Xinxing Hou, Wenbo Hu, Rentao Yang, Chao Ju
Abstract Due to the significant intermittent, stochastic and non-stationary nature of wind power generation, it is difficult to achieve the desired prediction accuracy. Therefore, a wind power prediction method based on improved variational modal decomposition with permutation entropy is proposed. First, based on the meteorological data of wind farms, the Spearman correlation coefficient method is used to filter the meteorological data that are strongly correlated with the wind power to establish the wind power prediction model data set; then the original wind power is decomposed using the improved variational modal decomposition technique to eliminate the noise in the data, and the decomposed wind power is reconstructed into a new subsequence by using the permutation entropy; with the meteorological data and the new subsequence as input variables, a stacking deeply integrated prediction model is developed; and finally the prediction results are obtained by optimizing the hyperparameters of the model algorithm through a genetic algorithm. The validity of the model is verified using a real data set from a wind farm in north-west China. The results show that the mean absolute error, root mean square error and mean absolute percentage error are improved by at least 33.1%, 56.1% and 54.2% compared with the autoregressive integrated moving average model, the support vector machine, long short-term memory, extreme gradient enhancement and convolutional neural networks and long short-term memory models, indicating that the method has higher prediction accuracy.
由于风力发电具有明显的间歇性、随机性和非平稳性,很难达到预期的预测精度。为此,提出了一种基于改进的带置换熵变分模态分解的风电功率预测方法。首先,基于风电场的气象数据,采用Spearman相关系数法对与风电强相关的气象数据进行过滤,建立风电预测模型数据集;然后利用改进的变分模态分解技术对原始风电功率进行分解,消除数据中的噪声,并利用置换熵将分解后的风电功率重构为新的子序列;以气象数据和新子序列为输入变量,建立了层叠深度集成预测模型;最后通过遗传算法对模型算法的超参数进行优化,得到预测结果。利用西北某风电场的实测数据验证了模型的有效性。结果表明,与自回归综合移动平均模型、支持向量机模型、长短期记忆模型、极值梯度增强模型和卷积神经网络与长短期记忆模型相比,该方法的平均绝对误差、均方根误差和平均绝对百分比误差分别提高了33.1%、56.1%和54.2%,表明该方法具有更高的预测精度。
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引用次数: 0
Multi-objective energy management of island microgrids with D-FACTS devices considering clean energy, storage systems and electric vehicles 考虑清洁能源、储能系统和电动汽车的海岛微电网D-FACTS多目标能量管理
4区 环境科学与生态学 Q3 ENERGY & FUELS Pub Date : 2023-09-20 DOI: 10.1093/ce/zkad045
Mahyar Moradi, Mohamad Hoseini Abardeh, Mojtaba Vahedi, Nasrin Salehi, Azita Azarfar
Abstract The development of microgrids is progressing due to intelligent load demands, clean energy, batteries and electric vehicles. The presence of such systems in microgrids causes power balance inconsistency, leading to increased power losses and deviation in voltage. In this paper, a mixed-integer non-linear programming model is proposed for modelling island microgrid energy management considering smart loads, clean energy resources, electric vehicles and batteries. Similarly, a flexible distributed AC transmission system device is proposed to prevent voltage deviation and reduce power losses. A scenario-based multi-objective function has been proposed to decrease energy losses and voltage deviations and energy outages of clean energy resources, reduce emissions from fossil-fired distributed generation and finally decrease load outages to reduce the vulnerability of the islanded microgrid. Regarding the proposed mixed-integer non-linear model and the high number of variables and constraints, a modified evolutionary algorithm based on particle swarm optimization has been proposed to solve the proposed model, which can be more efficient than other algorithms to achieve global optimal solutions. The model presented is implemented on a 33-node island microgrid and the results illustrate that the proposed algorithm and model are effective in reducing energy losses and voltage deviation, as well as reducing the vulnerability of the microgrid. The simulation results demonstrate that the proposed approach can lead to significant improvements in the performance of the microgrid. Specifically, the approach can result in a 27% reduction in losses, a 6% reduction in pollution and a 31% improvement in voltage. Additionally, the approach allows maximum utilization of renewable energy sources, making it a promising solution for sustainable energy management.
智能负荷需求、清洁能源、电池和电动汽车的发展推动了微电网的发展。这种系统在微电网中的存在导致功率平衡不一致,导致功率损耗增加和电压偏差。本文提出了一种考虑智能负荷、清洁能源、电动汽车和电池的海岛微电网能量管理混合整数非线性规划模型。同样,提出了一种灵活的分布式交流输电系统装置,以防止电压偏差,减少功率损耗。提出了一种基于场景的多目标函数,以减少清洁能源的能量损失、电压偏差和能源中断,减少化石燃料分布式发电的排放,最终减少负荷中断,降低孤岛微电网的脆弱性。针对所提出的混合整数非线性模型以及变量和约束较多的问题,提出了一种改进的基于粒子群优化的进化算法来求解所提出的模型,该算法比其他算法更有效地获得全局最优解。在33节点孤岛微电网上实现了该模型,结果表明该算法和模型在降低能量损失和电压偏差以及降低微电网脆弱性方面是有效的。仿真结果表明,该方法可以显著改善微电网的性能。具体来说,这种方法可以减少27%的损耗,减少6%的污染,提高31%的电压。此外,该方法允许最大限度地利用可再生能源,使其成为可持续能源管理的有前途的解决方案。
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Clean Energy
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