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Mapping the Irish Policy Space: Voter and Party Spaces in Preferential 绘制爱尔兰政策空间:优惠政策中的选民和政党空间
Pub Date : 2005-06-01 DOI: 10.2139/SSRN.922017
K. Benoit, M. Laver
In this note we map the Irish policy space, locating both voters and parties on the most salient policy dimensions in Ireland. Estimates of the voter locations are based on the Irish National Election Survey (INES), conducted in 2002. Estimates of the party positions are based on an expert survey of party positions conducted by the authors in late 2002. We show that respondent self-placements on a priori policy scales are highly biased and difficult to interpret, and we rely instead on building scale positions for respondents from their answers to relevant attitude questions in the INES. The results provide a methodological template for locating voters and parties in a common space – a significant problem for any analyst who wants to create an empirical elaboration of a spatial model of party competition.
在本文中,我们绘制了爱尔兰政策空间图,将选民和政党定位在爱尔兰最突出的政策维度上。选民地点的估计是根据2002年进行的爱尔兰全国选举调查得出的。这些职位的估计是根据作者在2002年底进行的一项专家调查得出的。我们表明,受访者在先验政策尺度上的自我定位是高度偏见的,难以解释,我们依赖于从受访者对INES中相关态度问题的回答中建立受访者的尺度定位。这些结果为在一个共同空间中定位选民和政党提供了一个方法论模板——对于任何想要创建一个政党竞争空间模型的实证阐述的分析师来说,这是一个重大问题。
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引用次数: 29
Corruption as a Legacy of the Medieval University: Financial Affairs 腐败作为中世纪大学的遗产:财务
Pub Date : 2004-11-01 DOI: 10.2139/SSRN.1124711
Ararat L. Osipian
Looking back upon the centuries one would suspect that in earlier ages universities of medieval France and Italy were very different from the multiplicity of organizational and institutional forms of higher education institutions in modern times, and yet one would be surprised how much these old universitas and modern universities have in common. One of the common features may be corruption and academic misconduct that can often bee seen in universities. The increasing scale and scope of corruption in higher education in the former Soviet Bloc as well as numerous other countries urges a better understanding of the problem within the context of socio-economic transformations. Corruption in higher education is deeply rooted in the organizational structure of each higher education institution. Corruption has a long history and a proud tradition. Corruption in higher education is an organic part of corruption overall, with its culture, traditions, functions, and mechanisms. The goal of this paper is to present a description of modern day higher education corruption from a historical perspective. This paper is based on the techniques of positive analysis along with some elements of comparative analysis, and withstands from normative or moral judgments. A well-structured description of higher education corruption in a historical context is helpful in developing strategies for its eradication or prevention. This paper first presents the concept of corruption as a historical category and then analyzes corrupt legacies at the stages of admission, teaching and learning, and graduation. It also addresses issues of funding, discrimination against foreign nationals, publishing, and state-university relations. The genesis of forms of corruption and the determination of corruption as such is understood in a changing historical context.
回顾这几个世纪,人们会怀疑中世纪法国和意大利的早期大学与现代高等教育机构的组织和制度形式的多样性有很大的不同,然而人们会惊讶于这些古老的大学和现代大学有多少共同之处。其中一个共同特征可能是大学中经常出现的腐败和学术不端行为。在前苏联集团以及许多其他国家,高等教育中腐败的规模和范围日益扩大,这促使人们在社会经济变革的背景下更好地了解这一问题。高等教育中的腐败深深植根于每个高等教育机构的组织结构中。腐败有着悠久的历史和令人自豪的传统。高等教育腐败是腐败整体的有机组成部分,有其文化、传统、功能和机制。本文的目的是从历史的角度来描述现代高等教育的腐败。本文以实证分析的方法和比较分析的一些元素为基础,不受规范或道德判断的影响。在历史背景下对高等教育腐败进行结构良好的描述有助于制定根除或预防高等教育腐败的战略。本文首先提出了腐败的概念作为一个历史范畴,然后分析了在入学、教学和毕业阶段的腐败遗产。它还涉及资金、对外国人的歧视、出版和州与大学的关系等问题。腐败形式的起源和腐败的决定是在不断变化的历史背景下理解的。
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引用次数: 3
Diamonds are Forever, Wars are Not. Is Conflict Bad for Private Firms? 钻石恒久远,战争却不是。冲突对私营企业有害吗?
Pub Date : 2004-10-01 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.586485
Eliana La Ferrara, Massimo Guidolin
This Paper studies the relationship between civil war and private investment in a poor, resource abundant country using microeconomic data for Angola. We focus on diamond mining firms and conduct an event study on the sudden end of the conflict, marked by the death of the rebel movement leader in 2002. We find that the stock market perceived this event as ‘bad news’ rather than ‘good news’ for companies holding concessions in Angola, as their abnormal returns declined by 4 percentage points. The event had no effect on a control portfolio of otherwise similar diamond mining companies. This finding is corroborated by other events and by the adoption of alternative methodologies. We also use nonparametric techniques with daily data on the intensity of conflict, and find that moderate levels of violence increased the abnormal returns of the ‘Angolan’ portfolio. We interpret our results in the light of the widespread rent seeking in the Angolan mineral industry.
本文利用安哥拉的微观经济数据,研究了一个贫穷、资源丰富的国家的内战与私人投资之间的关系。我们把重点放在钻石开采公司上,并对2002年反叛运动领袖死亡为标志的冲突突然结束进行了事件研究。我们发现,对于在安哥拉拥有特许权的公司来说,股市将这一事件视为“坏消息”而不是“好消息”,因为它们的异常回报下降了4个百分点。这一事件对其他类似钻石矿业公司的控股投资组合没有影响。其他事件和采用其他方法证实了这一发现。我们还对冲突强度的日常数据使用了非参数技术,并发现适度的暴力水平增加了“安哥拉”投资组合的异常回报。我们根据安哥拉矿产行业普遍存在的寻租现象来解释我们的结果。
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引用次数: 255
Four Simple Tests of Campaign Contributions and Trade Policy Preferences 竞选捐款和贸易政策偏好的四个简单测试
Pub Date : 2004-07-01 DOI: 10.1111/J.1468-0343.2004.00136.X
Eugene Beaulieu, C. Magee
This paper uses campaign contribution data to examine trade policy preferences among political action committees. With perfect factor mobility, as the Heckscher-Ohlin (HO) model assumes, interest group trade positions should depend on their factor of production but not on their industry. We show, consistent with the 2 × 2 HO model, that capital groups consistently back representatives supporting trade liberalization while labor groups favor protectionists. Unlike previous work, we also measure the variation in trade policy preferences within capital and labor groups. We find evidence that the industry net export position significantly affects labor unions' trade policy preferences. Industry characteristics have no impact on capital group lobbying. The former result suggests that empirical analyses of labor PAC contributions that exclude industry characteristics may be misspecified. Copyright Blackwell Publishing Ltd 2004.
本文使用竞选捐款数据来检验政治行动委员会之间的贸易政策偏好。在要素流动性完美的情况下,正如Heckscher-Ohlin (HO)模型所假设的那样,利益集团的贸易头寸应该取决于其生产要素,而不取决于其行业。我们表明,与2x2 HO模型一致,资本集团始终支持支持贸易自由化的代表,而劳工集团则支持保护主义者。与之前的工作不同,我们还测量了资本和劳动力群体之间贸易政策偏好的变化。我们发现证据表明,行业净出口地位显著影响工会的贸易政策偏好。行业特征对资本集团游说没有影响。前者的结果表明,排除行业特征的劳动力PAC贡献的实证分析可能是错误的。版权所有布莱克威尔出版有限公司2004。
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引用次数: 48
Why Anglo Corporations Should Not Be Trusted: And How They Could Be Trusted 为什么英美公司不应该被信任:他们应该如何被信任
Pub Date : 2004-02-01 DOI: 10.22495/CBV1I1ART1
S. Turnbull
This paper identifies eight reasons why it is rational not to trust large complex Anglo corporations and how these reasons could be removed. Two reasons are that directors are overloaded with information but also lack information independent of management to evaluate management and the business. A third reason is that directors do not have systemic processes to discover if their trust in management is misplaced. A fourth and fifth reason is that directors have absolute power to manage their own conflicts of interest and a dominant shareholder can enter into related party transactions that can unfairly extract value. The sixth and seventh reasons are the incentive for directors not to blow the whistle on their colleagues and the impotence of a director to act alone. The eighth reason is that shares can be manipulated and traded covertly. Four changes in corporate constitutions are identified that could remove these concerns. These are to establish a watchdog board, introduce cumulative voting for directors, establish stakeholder councils and introducing sunlight share trading.
本文确定了不相信大型复杂的盎格鲁公司是合理的八个原因,以及如何消除这些原因。两个原因是,董事信息过载,但缺乏独立于管理层的信息来评估管理层和企业。第三个原因是,董事们没有系统性的流程来发现他们对管理层的信任是否错位。第四个和第五个原因是,董事拥有管理自身利益冲突的绝对权力,占主导地位的股东可以参与可能不公平地榨取价值的关联方交易。第六个和第七个原因是,董事不愿向同事告发,以及董事无法单独行动。第八个原因是股票可以被操纵和秘密交易。公司章程的四项变化可以消除这些担忧。这些措施包括建立监督委员会、引入董事累积投票权、建立利益相关者委员会以及引入阳光股票交易。
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引用次数: 24
Endogenous Financial Openness: Efficiency and Political Economy Considerations 内生金融开放:效率与政治经济学考量
Pub Date : 2003-12-01 DOI: 10.3386/W10144
J. Aizenman, Ilan Noy
This paper studies the endogenous determination of financial openness. We outline a framework where financial openness is endogenously determined by the authority's choice of financial repression as a taxation device, and where the private sector determines endogenously the magnitude of capital flight. The optimal financial repression is shown to depend on the openness of the economy to international trade, the efficiency of the tax system (which in turn may be affected by political economy considerations), and on political polarization and the degree of opportunism. Similar predictions are obtained in a model where authorities pursue an opportunistic policy representing the interest of a narrow pressure group that engages in capital flight due to political uncertainty. We confirm the predictions of the models, showing that de-facto financial openness [measured by (gross private capital inflows + outflows)/GDP] depends positively on lagged trade openness, and GDP/Capita. For developing countries, we find that a one standard deviation increase in commercial openness is associated with a 9.5 percent increase in de-facto financial openness (% of GDP), a one standard deviation increase in the democratization index reduces financial openness by 3.5%, and a one standard deviation increase in corruption is associated with a 3% reduction of financial openness. Similar negative dependence applies for measures of political competition. The impact of a budget surplus on financial openness is negative for developing countries, but positive for the OECD. The theoretical and empirical analysis leads us to conclude that a more openly competitive, free and inclusive political system will lead to lower levels of de-facto financial openness after controlling for incomes, macroeconomic policy (inflation and budget surpluses), interest rates and commercial openness.
本文研究了金融开放的内生决定。我们概述了一个框架,其中金融开放是由当局选择金融抑制作为税收手段内生决定的,私营部门内生地决定资本外逃的规模。研究表明,最优金融抑制取决于经济对国际贸易的开放程度、税收制度的效率(这反过来可能受到政治经济学因素的影响),以及政治两极分化和机会主义的程度。在另一种模型中也可以得到类似的预测,即当局奉行机会主义政策,代表少数压力集团的利益,这些压力集团由于政治不确定性而进行资本外逃。我们证实了模型的预测,表明事实上的金融开放度[以(私人资本流入+流出总额)/GDP衡量]正依赖于滞后的贸易开放度和GDP/人均。对于发展中国家,我们发现商业开放度每增加一个标准差,实际金融开放度(占GDP的百分比)就会增加9.5%;民主化指数每增加一个标准差,金融开放度就会降低3.5%;腐败程度每增加一个标准差,金融开放度就会降低3%。类似的负依赖关系也适用于政治竞争的衡量标准。预算盈余对金融开放的影响对发展中国家是消极的,但对经合组织是积极的。理论和实证分析使我们得出结论,在控制了收入、宏观经济政策(通货膨胀和预算盈余)、利率和商业开放之后,一个更加开放竞争、自由和包容的政治体制将导致较低水平的事实上的金融开放。
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引用次数: 34
Non-Welfaristic Policy Assessment and the Pareto Principle 非福利主义政策评估与帕累托原则
Pub Date : 2003-11-01 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.892621
P. Pattanaik, Yongsheng Xu
A welfaristic method of policy evaluation focuses exclusively on the effect of the policy on individuals' utilities. In contrast, a non-welfaristic way of assessing policies attaches some importance to factors other than the effects of policies on individuals' utilities. This paper develops a general framework to examine alternative approaches to policy assessment and their compatibility with the dominance rule underlying the weak Pareto principle.
福利主义的政策评估方法只关注政策对个人效用的影响。相比之下,一种非福利主义的评估政策的方法在一定程度上重视政策对个人效用的影响以外的因素。本文开发了一个一般框架来检验政策评估的替代方法及其与弱帕累托原则下的优势规则的兼容性。
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引用次数: 3
Is Institutional Efficiency in Independent Central Banking a Communicative Matter? 独立央行的制度效率是一个交流问题吗?
Pub Date : 2003-10-16 DOI: 10.32468/BE.263
Carlo Tognato
Political economists have traditionally been indifferent to the communicative construction of money and central banking in the public sphere. It does not matter to them whether monetary affairs become a rational game aimed at preserving the value of currency or take on the form of a medieval morality play. This paper suggests that the very political economy of central bank independence requires a departure from such practice. It is argued that communicative coordination of the monetary game is relevant to understanding how independent central banks can achieve institutional efficiency and why they face no trade-off between institutional efficiency and democratic legitimacy. It is particularly suggested that an institutionally efficient central bank cannot but act as an agent of communicative empowerment for the audience providing the local context for its operation.
传统上,政治经济学家对公共领域中货币和中央银行的沟通结构漠不关心。对他们来说,货币事务是成为一场旨在保持货币价值的理性游戏,还是采取中世纪道德剧的形式,都无关紧要。本文认为,央行独立性的政治经济学本身就要求央行放弃这种做法。本文认为,货币博弈的沟通协调与理解独立的中央银行如何实现制度效率以及为什么它们不会在制度效率和民主合法性之间做出权衡有关。特别指出的是,一个制度上有效的中央银行必须充当沟通授权的代理人,为其操作提供当地背景。
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引用次数: 5
The Presidential Puzzle: Political Cycles and the Stock Market 总统之谜:政治周期与股市
Pub Date : 2003-10-01 DOI: 10.1111/1540-6261.00590
Pedro Santa-clara, Rossen Valkanov
The excess return in the stock market is higher under Democratic than Republican presidencies: 9 percent for the value-weighted and 16 percent for the equal-weighted portfolio. The difference comes from higher real stock returns and lower real interest rates, is statistically significant, and is robust in subsamples. The difference in returns is not explained by business-cycle variables related to expected returns, and is not concentrated around election dates. There is no difference in the riskiness of the stock market across presidencies that could justify a risk premium. The difference in returns through the political cycle is therefore a puzzle.
在民主党总统任期内,股市的超额回报率高于共和党:价值加权投资组合为9%,等加权投资组合为16%。这种差异来自较高的实际股票回报率和较低的实际利率,在统计上是显著的,并且在子样本中是稳健的。回报的差异不能用与预期回报相关的商业周期变量来解释,也不能集中在选举日期上。在历任总统任期内,股市的风险性并无差异,无法证明风险溢价是合理的。因此,不同政治周期的回报差异是一个谜。
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引用次数: 537
A Short History of the Global Economy Since 1800 《1800年以来全球经济简史
Pub Date : 2003-06-01 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.951929
M. Shahid Alam
This paper presents a schematic history of the global economy since 1800. The economic and political logic of global capitalism in this period is defined by its ability to derive a growing share of its energy from fossil fuels. The explosive growth of this period, the dominance of capital, the growing military superiority of centers of capitalist growth, and the widening disparities in the global economy are ultimately driven by the logic of fossil-based capitalism. From 1800 to 1950, the global economy experienced growing centralization of capital and power, dividing the global economy into an advanced and dominant Center and a backward and subordinate Periphery. A period of decentralization follows from 1950 to 1990, when most segments of the Periphery regained various levels of control over their economies. Since the early 1990s, the forces of centralization have gained the upper hand.
本文介绍了自1800年以来全球经济的简史。在这一时期,全球资本主义的经济和政治逻辑是由其从化石燃料中获得越来越多的能源份额的能力所决定的。这一时期的爆炸性增长,资本的主导地位,资本主义增长中心日益增长的军事优势,以及全球经济中日益扩大的差距,最终都是由以化石为基础的资本主义逻辑驱动的。从1800年到1950年,全球经济经历了资本和权力的日益集中,将全球经济划分为先进的、占主导地位的中心和落后的、从属的边缘。从1950年到1990年是权力下放的时期,当时外围国家的大多数部分重新获得了对其经济的不同程度的控制。自20世纪90年代初以来,中央集权的力量占据了上风。
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引用次数: 3
期刊
Political Economy (Topic)
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