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Rumor Has It: Sensationalism in Financial Media 谣言四起:金融媒体的哗众取宠
Pub Date : 2014-12-12 DOI: 10.1093/RFS/HHV006
K. Ahern, D. Sosyura
The media has an incentive to publish sensational news. We study how this incentive affects the accuracy of media coverage in the context of merger rumors. Using a novel dataset, we find that accuracy is predicted by a journalist's experience, specialized education, and industry expertise. Conversely, less accurate stories use ambiguous language and feature well-known firms with broad readership appeal. Investors do not fully account for the predictive power of these characteristics, leading to an initial target price overreaction and a subsequent reversal, consistent with limited attention. Overall, we provide novel evidence on the determinants of media accuracy and its effect on asset prices.
媒体有发表耸人听闻的新闻的动机。我们研究了在并购谣言的背景下,这种激励如何影响媒体报道的准确性。使用一个新的数据集,我们发现准确性是由记者的经验、专业教育和行业专业知识来预测的。相反,不太准确的故事使用模棱两可的语言,并以具有广泛读者吸引力的知名公司为特色。投资者没有充分考虑到这些特征的预测能力,导致最初的目标价反应过度,随后出现逆转,与有限的注意力一致。总的来说,我们为媒体准确性的决定因素及其对资产价格的影响提供了新的证据。
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引用次数: 163
Military Historiography, Warriors and Soldiers: The Normative Impact of Epistemological Choices 军事史学,战士和士兵:认识论选择的规范影响
Pub Date : 2013-09-16 DOI: 10.3138/9781442624986-010
J. Leclair
In this paper, the author shows how the epistemological lens through which one examines reality entails momentous normative consequences and that, quite often, these are not fully appreciated — or else they are wilfully ignored — by intellectuals interested in finding political and constitutional solutions to the aboriginal/non-aboriginal or Quebec/Canada conundrums. Some constitutionalists or political theorists, reflecting upon the place of Quebeckers or of aboriginal peoples within the Canadian State, oftentimes take for granted the ontological materiality of abstractions such as "nations", "peoples" and "cultural communities." These are implicitly conceptualized as endowed with a subjectivity of their own and their constituent members ideated as immersed in a sea of homogeneity and unanimity. Other authors, at the other end of the spectrum, conceptualize "individuals" as isolated monads capable of making significant choices in cultural vacuums, and impervious to any primordial attachments.
在这篇论文中,作者展示了人们通过认识论的视角来审视现实是如何带来重大的规范性后果的,而这些后果往往没有得到知识分子的充分认识,或者被有意忽视,这些知识分子对寻找原住民/非原住民或魁北克/加拿大难题的政治和宪法解决方案感兴趣。一些立宪主义者或政治理论家,在反思魁北克人或加拿大国家内土著人民的地位时,经常理所当然地认为诸如“国家”、“人民”和“文化社区”等抽象概念的本体论物质性。它们被含蓄地概念化,被赋予了自己的主观性,它们的组成部分被想象为沉浸在同质性和一致性的海洋中。另一些作者则持另一种观点,他们将“个体”概念化为能够在文化真空中做出重大选择的孤立的单体,并且不受任何原始依恋的影响。
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引用次数: 1
Kitchen Confidential? Norms for the Use of Transferred Knowledge in Gourmet Cuisine 厨房的秘密吗?在美食烹饪中使用转移知识的规范
Pub Date : 2013-08-06 DOI: 10.1002/SMJ.2179
Giada Di Stefano, Andrew A. King, Gianmario Verona
When will knowledge holders share their knowledge with peers? Several studies suggest that norms of knowledge disclosure encourage knowledge transfer. More recently, scholars have hypothesized that norms of knowledge use may indirectly promote it. In this article, we synthesize a theoretical framework of the effect of norms of knowledge use and test its predictions by means of a field experiment involving more than 500 Italian chefs. For the literature on knowledge transfer, we confirm the importance of norms, but we also show that they are not complete substitutes for other means of protecting private knowledge. For the literature on social norms, we provide evidence of how actors assess others’ propensity to conform and how this influences the intention to participate in the norm-regulated exchange.
知识持有者何时会与同行分享他们的知识?一些研究表明,知识披露规范促进了知识转移。最近,学者们假设知识使用规范可能会间接促进它。在本文中,我们综合了知识使用规范效应的理论框架,并通过涉及500多名意大利厨师的现场实验对其预测进行了测试。对于有关知识转移的文献,我们肯定了规范的重要性,但我们也表明规范不能完全替代其他保护私有知识的手段。对于社会规范的文献,我们提供了行动者如何评估他人的顺从倾向,以及这种倾向如何影响参与规范规范交换的意愿的证据。
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引用次数: 55
The Choice of Interpretation as a Problem of Social Epistemology 作为社会认识论问题的解释选择
Pub Date : 2013-04-15 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.2251111
V. Porus
Social epistemology is a set of attempts to assign a philosophical meaning to sociological studies of cognitive processes within their social context. These attempts are being made through competition of philosophical interpretations. The choice of interpretation is governed by the desire to bring value orientations of science in line with the challenges from a changing cultural-historical environment. Robert Merton’s “normative ethos of scientists” is reviewed here as an illustration to this thesis
社会认识论是一套试图赋予认知过程在其社会背景下的社会学研究以哲学意义的尝试。这些尝试是通过哲学解释的竞争来实现的。解释的选择是由科学的价值取向与不断变化的文化历史环境的挑战相一致的愿望所支配的。罗伯特·默顿(Robert Merton)的“科学家的规范精神”在此作为本论文的例证进行回顾
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引用次数: 0
My Wage is Unfair! Just a Feeling or Comparison with Peers? 我的工资不公平!只是一种感觉还是与同伴的比较?
Pub Date : 2013-02-28 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.2226258
Stefan Schneck
This paper analyzes the nexus between income comparisons and perceptions of unfair pay. We apply a large German household survey and conduct wage regressions to conclude whether individuals who perceive their wages as unfair earn significantly lower wages than fairly paid individuals with similar characteristics. We find that unfairly paid individuals earn significantly less than fairly paid counterparts. This suggests that unfairness perceptions with respect to wages are based on sound income comparisons with peers. We also contribute findings to the literature on reference points. When asked about a subjectively fair amount in Euros, unfairly paid individuals tend to claim much higher wages than fairly paid individuals with identical characteristics. Wage claims, thus, rest on additional factors.
本文分析了收入比较与不公平薪酬观念之间的关系。我们采用了一项大型德国家庭调查,并进行了工资回归,以得出结论,认为工资不公平的个人的工资是否明显低于具有相似特征的收入公平的个人。我们发现,薪酬不公平的人的收入明显低于薪酬公平的人。这表明,工资方面的不公平观念是基于与同行的合理收入比较。我们也为参考点的文献提供研究结果。当被问及以欧元计算的主观公平金额时,薪酬不公平的人往往会要求比具有相同特征的薪酬公平的人高得多的工资。因此,工资要求取决于其他因素。
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引用次数: 6
Nimble Knowledge Transfer in High Velocity/Turbulent Environments 在高速/动荡的环境中灵活的知识转移
Pub Date : 2012-09-07 DOI: 10.1108/13673271211262808
Nory B. Jones, J. Mahon
Purpose – This paper aims to clarify the relationship between explicit and tacit knowledge in specific organizational environments. It seeks to explore processes and strategies currently being deployed as best practices in the military to see what can be learnt from them and to improve the use of knowledge assets in large‐scale organizations in high‐velocity and/or turbulent environments.Design/methodology/approach – High velocity/turbulent environments are defined. The paper uses examples from the public sector and the private sector and provides a model for knowledge management in high velocity/turbulent environments (HVTE) and offers several propositions for further exploration.Findings – The paper provides insights into how and why tacit knowledge is more important to decision making and strategic positioning in high velocity/turbulent environments. The complexity of knowledge management is enormous.Practical implications – What the authors learned from the military can serve as lessons for businesses...
目的:本文旨在阐明特定组织环境中显性知识与隐性知识的关系。它旨在探索目前在军事中作为最佳实践部署的流程和策略,以了解可以从中学到什么,并改善在高速和/或动荡环境中的大型组织中对知识资产的使用。设计/方法/方法-定义高速/湍流环境。本文以公共部门和私营部门为例,为高速/湍流环境(HVTE)中的知识管理提供了一个模型,并提出了一些进一步探索的建议。研究结果-本文提供了关于隐性知识如何以及为什么在高速/动荡的环境中对决策和战略定位更重要的见解。知识管理的复杂性是巨大的。实际意义——作者从军队中学到的东西可以作为企业的经验教训……
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引用次数: 40
The Strategic Impact of Higher-Order Beliefs 高阶信念的战略影响
Pub Date : 2012-09-06 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.2142497
Yi-Chun Chen, A. Di Tillio, E. Faingold, Siyang Xiong
Previous research has established that the predictions made by game theory about strategic behavior in incomplete information games are quite sensitive to the assumptions made about the players' infinite hierarchies of beliefs. We evaluate the severity of this robustness problem by characterizing conditions on the primitives of the model -- the players’ hierarchies of beliefs -- for the strategic behavior of a given Harsanyi type to be approximated by the strategic behavior of (a sequence of) perturbed types. This amounts to providing characterizations of the strategic topologies of Dekel, Fudenberg, and Morris (2006) in terms of beliefs. We apply our characterizations to a variety of questions concerning robustness to perturbations of higher-order beliefs, including genericity of common priors, and the connections between robustness of strategic behavior and the notion of common p-belief of Monderer and Samet (1989).
先前的研究已经证实,博弈论对不完全信息博弈中策略行为的预测对参与者的无限信念等级假设非常敏感。我们通过描述模型的基本条件(参与者的信念层次)来评估这个鲁棒性问题的严重性,因为给定的Harsanyi类型的策略行为可以被(一系列)扰动类型的策略行为所近似。这相当于提供Dekel, Fudenberg和Morris(2006)在信念方面的战略拓扑特征。我们将我们的描述应用于关于高阶信念扰动的鲁棒性的各种问题,包括共同先验的一般性,以及策略行为的鲁棒性与Monderer和Samet(1989)的共同p信念概念之间的联系。
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引用次数: 9
Knowledge Problem 知识问题
Pub Date : 2012-02-08 DOI: 10.1093/OXFORDHB/9780199811762.013.3
L. Kiesling
Hayek's (1945) elaboration of the difficulty of aggregating diffuse private knowledge is the best-known articulation of the knowledge problem, and is an example of the difficulty of coordinating individual plans and choices in the ubiquitous and unavoidable presence of dispersed, private, subjective knowledge; prices communicate some of this private knowledge and thus serve as knowledge surrogates. The knowledge problem has a deep provenance in economics and epistemology. Subsequent scholars have also developed the knowledge problem in various directions, and have applied it to areas such as robust political economy. In fact, the knowledge problem is a deep epistemological challenge, one with which several scholars in the Austrian tradition have grappled. This essay analyzes the development of the knowledge problem in its two main categories: the complexity knowledge problem (coordination in the face of diffuse private knowledge) and the contextual knowledge problem (some knowledge relevant to such coordination does not exist outside of the market context). It also provides an overview of the development of the knowledge problem as a concept that has both complexity and epistemic dimensions, the knowledge problemʼs relation to and differences from modern game theory and mechanism design, and its implications for institutional design and robust political economy.
哈耶克(1945)对聚集分散的私人知识的困难的阐述是对知识问题最著名的阐述,并且是在分散的、私人的、主观的知识无处不在和不可避免的存在下协调个人计划和选择的困难的一个例子;价格传达了这些私人知识中的一部分,因此充当了知识的替代品。知识问题在经济学和认识论中有着深刻的渊源。随后的学者们也从不同的方向发展了知识问题,并将其应用于稳健的政治经济学等领域。事实上,知识问题是一个深刻的认识论挑战,奥地利学派传统的一些学者已经解决了这个问题。本文将知识问题的发展分为两大类:复杂性知识问题(面对分散的私有知识的协调)和情境性知识问题(与这种协调相关的一些知识在市场环境之外不存在)。它还概述了知识问题作为一个具有复杂性和认识论维度的概念的发展,知识问题与现代博弈论和机制设计的关系和差异,以及它对制度设计和稳健政治经济学的影响。
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引用次数: 26
Hayek’s Post-Positivist Empiricism: Experience Beyond Sensation 哈耶克的后实证经验主义:超越感觉的经验
Pub Date : 2011-12-06 DOI: 10.1108/S1529-2134(2011)0000015012
J. Lindemans
Purpose – To answer the following questions: Is all knowledge based on “experience” in Hayek's view? Was he an “empiricist” or a “Kantian”? In what sense? Methodology/approach – Starting from a thorough analysis of Hayek's explicit ideas about empiricism and experience in The Sensory Order and some related writings, I reconstruct his epistemology but also try to improve on it with the help of some other philosophers. Findings – Empiricism has many meanings depending on how you define “experience.” Hayek is not a “sensationalist empiricist” because he does not believe that all knowledge is based on “sense experience.” However, given his ideas of “pre-sensory experience” and “experience of the race,” Hayek is a “post-positivist empiricist.” His empiricism can be improved upon by privileging what I call “selective experience.” Research implications – The next step is to analyze Hayek's market economics and philosophy of science to see which kind of experience guides Hayekian entrepreneurs and scientists. If this line of research is continued, practical and social implications might follow. Originality/value of the chapter – The question whether Hayek was an “empiricist” or a “Kantian” is an old question. However, this chapter is the first systematic analysis of his “empiricist” epistemology and his concept of “experience.” Moreover, it has value beyond Hayek scholarship since, in the general empiricism debate, epistemologists have almost ubiquitously assumed that “experience” means “sense experience.”
目的:回答以下问题:在哈耶克看来,所有的知识都是基于“经验”吗?他是“经验主义者”还是“康德主义者”?在什么意义上?方法论/方法——从对哈耶克在《感官秩序》和一些相关著作中关于经验主义和经验的明确观点的彻底分析开始,我重构了他的认识论,并试图在其他哲学家的帮助下对其进行改进。经验主义有很多含义,这取决于你如何定义“经验”。哈耶克不是一个“感觉主义的经验主义者”,因为他不相信所有的知识都是基于“感觉经验”。然而,从他的“前感官经验”和“种族经验”的观点来看,哈耶克是一个“后实证主义的经验主义者”。他的经验主义可以通过赋予我所谓的“选择性经验”特权而得到改进。研究意义:下一步是分析哈耶克的市场经济学和科学哲学,看看哪种经验指导了哈耶克式的企业家和科学家。如果这条研究路线继续下去,可能会产生实际和社会影响。本章的原创性/价值——哈耶克是“经验主义者”还是“康德主义者”是一个古老的问题。然而,本章是第一次系统地分析他的“经验主义”认识论和他的“经验”概念。此外,它的价值超越了哈耶克的学识,因为在一般的经验主义辩论中,认识论家几乎无处不在地假设“经验”意味着“感觉经验”。
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引用次数: 3
The Evolution of Cooperation in One-Shot Prisoner’s Dilemma Game 单次囚徒困境博弈中合作的演化
Pub Date : 2010-05-03 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.1599889
F. Buendía
Prisoner’s Dilemma provides a formal representation of a ubiquitous type of situations that arises when individual interests undermine the collective welfare of the group. Essentially, the pessimistic result of this game is due to the fact that defecting is the dominating strategy for every player, and the “cooperative” strategy profile (R,R) for the one-shot game Pareto-dominates the “no-cooperative” strategy equilibrium (P,P), where the payoffs obey T>R>P>S. This paper suggests and formalizes a theoretical alternative to escape from the Prisoner Dilemma’s non-cooperation trap. Specifically, it argues that if a critical mass of highly interested individuals with heterogeneous and interdependent preferences for a given public good and certain level of geographical, and social proximity among them are reached, full cooperation is achieved and collective action takes place which in turns leads to the acquisition of a specific public good.
囚徒困境提供了一种普遍存在的情况的正式表述,这种情况发生在个人利益损害群体的集体福利时。从本质上讲,这个博弈的悲观结果是由于背叛是每个参与人的主导策略,而帕累托单次博弈的“合作”策略profile (R,R)优于“不合作”策略均衡(P,P),后者的收益服从T>R>P>S。本文提出并形式化了一种摆脱囚徒困境非合作陷阱的理论选择。具体来说,它认为,如果高度感兴趣的个人达到临界质量,他们对某一公共利益具有异质和相互依赖的偏好,并且他们之间具有一定程度的地理和社会接近性,则可以实现充分的合作,并发生集体行动,从而导致获得特定的公共利益。
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引用次数: 0
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Epistemology eJournal
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