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Assessment of the impact of macroeconomic factors on housing price level: Lithuanian case 评估宏观经济因素对房价水平的影响:立陶宛案例
Pub Date : 2016-08-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.intele.2017.03.005
Ligita Gasparėnienė , Rita Remeikienė , Arjan Skuka

The aim of this article is to assess the impact of macroeconomic factors on housing price level in Lithuania over the period 2008–2015. The results of the research revealed statistically significant interdependence between aggregation of the major macroeconomic factors and the average annual housing price level in Lithuania over the researched period. Interest rate and availability of bank loans were established as the factors that have the most significant impact on housing price level in Lithuania.

本文的目的是评估宏观经济因素对立陶宛2008-2015年期间房价水平的影响。研究结果显示,在研究期间,立陶宛主要宏观经济因素的总和与平均年住房价格水平之间存在统计学上显著的相互依存关系。利率和银行贷款的可得性被确定为对立陶宛房价水平影响最大的因素。
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引用次数: 39
The challenge of innovative method of culture more sustainable on the social aspect of rural areas: Empirical evidence from Mediterranean countries 创新文化方法在农村地区社会方面更具可持续性的挑战:来自地中海国家的经验证据
Pub Date : 2016-08-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.intele.2017.03.007
Rachida Khaled

This aim of the paper is to estimate a bioeconomic model for analyzing, the impact of technological innovation on social sustainability of rural middle in 21 Mediterranean countries by using a bioeconomic model during the period 2000–2011.Our empirical results show that the technological innovation has a positive impact on social sustainability.

本文旨在利用生物经济模型估算2000-2011年期间21个地中海国家技术创新对农村中部社会可持续性的影响。实证结果表明,技术创新对社会可持续性具有正向影响。
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引用次数: 4
Migration aspirations & decisions: A comparative study of Turkey and Ukraine 移民愿望与决定:土耳其与乌克兰的比较研究
Pub Date : 2016-04-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.intele.2016.05.001
Wadim Strielkowski , Yuriy Bilan

Our paper analyses the intellectual perspectives of international migration based on its biases and underdeveloped aspects. We employ the empirical data from the survey questionnaire conducted in Turkey and Ukraine within the framework of the EU-funded EUMAGINE project with over 8.000 respondents. The aim of the research was to determine how Europe is perceived from outside the EU, and how these perceptions affect migration aspirations and decisions of potential migrants.

We assess the impact of demographic, structural and socio-cultural determinants of migration expectations, and draw the prospects for future studies on non-economic determinants of external migration.

Our main findings show that potential migrants can be divided into two streams of “euro-optimists” and “euro-pessimists” depending on such factors as social background, human and intellectual characteristics as well as other factors.

本文从国际移民的偏见和不发达方面分析了国际移民的知识视角。我们采用了在欧盟资助的EUMAGINE项目框架内在土耳其和乌克兰进行的问卷调查的经验数据,调查对象超过8000人。这项研究的目的是确定欧盟以外的人对欧洲的看法,以及这些看法如何影响移民的愿望和潜在移民的决定。我们评估了移民预期的人口、结构和社会文化决定因素的影响,并展望了未来研究外部移民的非经济决定因素的前景。我们的主要研究结果表明,根据社会背景、人文和智力特征以及其他因素的不同,潜在移民可以分为“欧洲乐观主义者”和“欧洲悲观主义者”两大流派。
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引用次数: 9
Pension fund participants and fund managing company shareholder relations in Lithuania second pillar pension funds 立陶宛第二支柱养老基金的基金参与者与基金管理公司股东关系
Pub Date : 2016-04-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.intele.2016.06.004
Mindaugas Strumskis, Artūras Balkevičius

Results achieved by the pension fund depend on how well they are managed or more specifically – on whether all decisions taken by the management are in favour of the fund participants. The goal of this paper is to examine how to harmonize interests of second pillar pension fund participants and fund managing company shareholders.

An interview with executives of all pension funds managing companies was performed twice – in 2011 and 2016. The answers allow to make conclusions about possible conflict of interest in pension fund management and measures taken by the companies and the state to minimize the risk. A survey of 507 pension fund participants was performed in order to obtain information on participants’ attitude and expectations. Despite the fact that most of participants are dissatisfied with the pension fund performance results, they would not agree to allocate additional resources to hire more competent managers.

To protect the interests of pension fund participants the stability of the pension accumulation system as a whole must be ensured. Also it is important to promote mutual confidence of all interested parties, to provide participants with easily understandable information, reflecting real performance results.

养老基金取得的成果取决于它们管理得如何,或者更具体地说,取决于管理层做出的所有决定是否对基金参与者有利。本文的目的是研究如何协调第二支柱养老基金参与者和基金管理公司股东的利益。对所有养老基金管理公司的高管进行了两次采访,分别在2011年和2016年。通过这些问题的答案,可以得出养老基金管理中可能存在的利益冲突,以及公司和国家为最大限度地降低风险所采取的措施。为了获得参与者的态度和期望信息,对507名养老基金参与者进行了调查。尽管大多数参与者对养老基金的业绩结果不满意,但他们不会同意拨出额外的资源来雇用更有能力的经理。为了保障养老金参与人的利益,必须保证养老金积累制度的整体稳定性。此外,重要的是促进所有有关各方的相互信任,为参与者提供易于理解的信息,反映真实的业绩结果。
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引用次数: 5
Design thinking as a business tool to ensure continuous value generation 设计思维作为一种商业工具,以确保持续的价值创造
Pub Date : 2016-04-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.intele.2016.06.003
Tatjana Volkova , Inga Jākobsone

As never before, turbulent business environments, scarcity of resources, hyper-competition and globalization have put significant competitive pressures on many businesses. Rapid specialized technology developments and increased global access to geographically unlimited markets allow consumers seemingly to have infinite choices for the best satisfaction of their needs in choosing desired products. Providing value to customers becomes vital to any organization to sustain the business in future. As a main task of design through design thinking is to seek value to customers, fosters management thinking from chaotic fluctuations in external turbulence and enables sustainable order in actions. This is why awareness of extended design application is becoming crucial hot topic nowadays among academics and practitioners.

The aim of this paper is to analyze awareness of design application and design thinking in Latvia, to highlight potentials of these innovative management methods and tools to build new organizational capabilities and sustain competitiveness in the challenging business conditions, to improve the welfare of society and create better environment for living.

Research was conducted to find out the stage of design application in broader sense leading to design thinking and design driven innovations was carried out in Latvia. 374 responses were collected from randomly selected companies in Latvia and as a results, due to national and regional specifics based on development level of micro and macro factors influencing entire innovation ecosystem, majority of business managers still focus on short-term business decisions and cost-reduction with limited awareness of design broader usage as a powerful innovation method for product development, improvement of business processes and renewal of business models.

Research findings prove the necessity to change thinking model of business management in order to develop the skills and capabilities to recognize emerging new driving forces of innovation unfolded through design thinking to ensure continuous value generation, order in external chaos and sustainable competitiveness.

动荡的商业环境、资源匮乏、激烈竞争和全球化给许多企业带来了前所未有的巨大竞争压力。快速的专业技术发展和越来越多的地理上不受限制的全球市场使消费者在选择所需产品时似乎有无限的选择,以最好地满足他们的需要。为客户提供价值对于任何组织在未来维持业务至关重要。通过设计思维进行设计的主要任务是为客户寻求价值,从外部动荡的混沌波动中培养管理思维,在行动中实现可持续的秩序。这就是为什么扩展设计应用意识成为当今学术界和实践者的重要热点。本文的目的是分析拉脱维亚的设计应用和设计思维意识,突出这些创新管理方法和工具的潜力,以建立新的组织能力,在具有挑战性的商业条件下保持竞争力,提高社会福利,创造更好的生活环境。在拉脱维亚进行了研究,以找出更广泛意义上的设计应用导致设计思维和设计驱动创新的阶段。随机选择拉脱维亚公司收集了374份回复,结果,由于国家和地区的具体情况,基于影响整个创新生态系统的微观和宏观因素的发展水平,大多数企业管理者仍然关注短期业务决策和降低成本,而对设计的认识有限,设计作为产品开发、改进业务流程和更新业务模式的有力创新方法。研究结果证明了改变企业管理思维模式的必要性,以培养识别通过设计思维展开的新兴创新驱动力的技能和能力,以确保持续的价值创造、外部混乱中的秩序和可持续的竞争力。
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引用次数: 21
Consumer acceptance of apparel e-commerce–Ethiopia 消费者对服装电子商务的接受程度——埃塞俄比亚
Pub Date : 2016-04-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.intele.2016.06.001
Nagender Singh , Manisha Yadav , Omprakash Sahu

In Ethiopia e-commerce for apparel products is growing by leaps and bounds among customers. It plays a significant role in the development and economic growth of country. Moreover, many companies are more active in focusing on online trade. It is very important to focus on the consumer acceptance towards e-commerce for apparel. According to famous researches consumer acceptance is one important ingredient for the companies to be successful and profitable. An investigation has been made to identify the key factors related to acceptance of e-commerce for apparel products in Ethiopia. An online survey has been used for this research to obtain the feedback from the customers all around Ethiopia; their feedback/response has been assessed using statistical analysis techniques. The results revealed that the inability to physically interact with an item, fear of risk security and privacy and lack of e-commerce infrastructure are the main barriers that prevent the consumers from online apparel product shopping. Acceptance levels are likely to be influenced by offering infrastructure like encouraging the use of Information and Communication Technology (ICT), improving the level of information on clothing sizes and fit on product web pages, trailing different checkout processes and different levels of information on product web pages, adding customer ratings and reviews to the website, offering free returns, providing virtual fitting, robotic mannequin which can adopt their precise, individual body shape and Substantial changes have been identified in this work to broaden the acceptance of e-commerce for apparel in Ethiopia.

在埃塞俄比亚,服装产品的电子商务正在客户中突飞猛进。它在国家的发展和经济增长中起着重要的作用。此外,许多公司更积极地关注在线贸易。关注消费者对服装电子商务的接受程度是非常重要的。根据著名的研究,消费者的接受度是公司成功和盈利的一个重要因素。已经进行了一项调查,以确定埃塞俄比亚服装产品接受电子商务的关键因素。本研究采用了在线调查,以获得埃塞俄比亚各地客户的反馈;使用统计分析技术评估了他们的反馈/反应。调查结果显示,无法与商品进行实际互动、担心安全风险和隐私以及缺乏电子商务基础设施是阻碍消费者在线购买服装产品的主要障碍。接受程度可能会受到基础设施的影响,如鼓励使用信息和通信技术(ICT),提高产品网页上服装尺寸和合身程度的信息水平,在产品网页上跟踪不同的结账流程和不同级别的信息,在网站上添加客户评级和评论,提供免费退货,提供虚拟试衣,机器人模型,可以采用他们的精确,在这项工作中已经确定了实质性的变化,以扩大对埃塞俄比亚服装电子商务的接受程度。
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引用次数: 15
Improvement of customs statistics in Georgia 改进格鲁吉亚海关统计
Pub Date : 2016-04-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.intele.2016.06.002
Nino Abesadze, Meri Daushvili

Purpose of the article

Purpose of the present article is to identify drawbacks in the field of customs statistics of Georgia and to formulate concrete steps for their correction.

Methodology/methods

The methods of induction, deduction, analysis, synthesis, statistical observation and grouping have been used in the research process. The aim of the scientific work is to determine the principles for improving the statistical registration of commodity at the customs in Georgia.

Results

Countries of origin are not yet completely reflected in the cargo-customs declaration at the Georgian customs; the field ``means of transport at the border'' in the cargo-customs declaration is not filled in; data on estimated market value of the means of transport in the databases of Service Agency of the Ministry of Internal Affairs of Georgia is not complete; detailed coding of imported vehicles is carried out incorrectly; the simplified customs declarations are not completely filled in with reference to countries, 11-digit item coding and value. In terms of registration, certain problems are caused by the fact that a sender and a country of final destination are not always filled out in the declaration. Problems exist in producing foreign trade price indices, the issue being that he information on foreign trade statistics is classified according to the Harmonized Commodity Description and Coding System while price indices are calculated according to the classification of types of economic activity on the 4-digit level; in filling in declarations there are frequent errors related to registration of commodity code, weight and additional units of measurement.

Conclusions

Empirical data related to production of Foreign Trade Statistics are characterized with certain errors, as a part of foreign trade operations remains unregistered. It means that registered value of exports and imports does not fully correspond to the value of actual flows.

本文的目的是确定格鲁吉亚海关统计领域的缺陷,并制定纠正这些缺陷的具体步骤。方法在研究过程中采用了归纳、演绎、分析、综合、统计观察、分组等方法。科学工作的目的是确定改进格鲁吉亚海关商品统计登记的原则。结果:格鲁吉亚海关的货物报关单尚未完全反映原产国;未填写货物报关单“过境运输工具”一栏的;格鲁吉亚内务部服务局数据库中关于运输工具估计市场价值的数据不完整;进口车辆详细编码不正确;简化报关单没有完整填写国家、11位项目编码和价值。在登记方面,由于申报单中并不总是填写发件人和最终目的地国家,因此造成了某些问题。外贸价格指数编制中存在问题,主要是外贸统计信息按《商品名称编码协调制度》分类,而价格指数按经济活动类型分类,按四位数字计算;在填写申报单时,经常出现与商品代码、重量和附加计量单位的登记有关的错误。结论《对外贸易统计》编制过程中的实证数据存在一定的误差,存在部分外贸业务未登记的情况。这意味着出口和进口的登记价值与实际流量的价值不完全对应。
{"title":"Improvement of customs statistics in Georgia","authors":"Nino Abesadze,&nbsp;Meri Daushvili","doi":"10.1016/j.intele.2016.06.002","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.intele.2016.06.002","url":null,"abstract":"<div><h3>Purpose of the article</h3><p>Purpose of the present article is to identify drawbacks in the field of customs statistics of Georgia and to formulate concrete steps for their correction.</p></div><div><h3>Methodology/methods</h3><p>The methods of induction, deduction, analysis, synthesis, statistical observation and grouping have been used in the research process. The aim of the scientific work is to determine the principles for improving the statistical registration of commodity at the customs in Georgia.</p></div><div><h3>Results</h3><p>Countries of origin are not yet completely reflected in the cargo-customs declaration at the Georgian customs; the field ``means of transport at the border'' in the cargo-customs declaration is not filled in; data on estimated market value of the means of transport in the databases of Service Agency of the Ministry of Internal Affairs of Georgia is not complete; detailed coding of imported vehicles is carried out incorrectly; the simplified customs declarations are not completely filled in with reference to countries, 11-digit item coding and value. In terms of registration, certain problems are caused by the fact that a sender and a country of final destination are not always filled out in the declaration. Problems exist in producing foreign trade price indices, the issue being that he information on foreign trade statistics is classified according to the Harmonized Commodity Description and Coding System while price indices are calculated according to the classification of types of economic activity on the 4-digit level; in filling in declarations there are frequent errors related to registration of commodity code, weight and additional units of measurement.</p></div><div><h3>Conclusions</h3><p>Empirical data related to production of Foreign Trade Statistics are characterized with certain errors, as a part of foreign trade operations remains unregistered. It means that registered value of exports and imports does not fully correspond to the value of actual flows.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":37115,"journal":{"name":"Intellectual Economics","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2016-04-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://sci-hub-pdf.com/10.1016/j.intele.2016.06.002","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"54439661","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 1
Comparative analysis of bureaux de change and official exchange rates volatility in Nigeria 尼日利亚外汇兑换局和官方汇率波动的比较分析
Pub Date : 2016-04-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.intele.2016.04.001
Kalu O. Emenike

Exchange rates stability is an important monetary policy target. Hence monetary authorities aim at avoiding wide divergence between the official exchange rate and parallel exchange rates in most developing economies. This paper employs GARCH (1,1) and GJR-GARCH (1,1) models to estimate and compare volatilities of official, interbank, and bureaux de change markets Naira/US$ exchange rates for the January 1995–December 2014 period. The results of the study show that the volatilities of interbank and bureaux de change exchange rates in the previous periods influence current volatility of exchange rates. The results also show evidence of volatility clustering in the interbank market and bureaux de change Naira/US$ exchange rates. Sum of the ARCH and GARCH coefficients indicates evidence of volatility persistence in the exchange rates returns series. Comparative analysis between the exchange rates volatilities shows that the magnitude of impact of volatility shocks on current volatility as well as volatility clustering are greater in bureaux de change than in other exchange rates in Nigeria. The asymmetric parameter indicates that exchange rates depreciation tends to produce higher volatility in the immediate future than appreciation of the same magnitude in both the interbank and bureaux de change markets in Nigeria.

汇率稳定是一项重要的货币政策目标。因此,在大多数发展中经济体,货币当局的目标是避免官方汇率与平行汇率之间的巨大差异。本文采用GARCH(1,1)和GJR-GARCH(1,1)模型来估计和比较1995年1月至2014年12月期间官方、银行间和外汇市场奈拉/美元汇率的波动。研究结果表明,前期银行间汇率和外汇交易所汇率的波动影响当前汇率的波动。研究结果还显示,银行间市场和外汇交易所的奈拉/美元汇率存在波动性聚集的迹象。ARCH和GARCH系数的总和表明汇率收益序列中波动性持续存在的证据。汇率波动率之间的比较分析表明,波动率冲击对当前波动率的影响程度以及波动率聚类在尼日利亚的外汇兑换中比在其他汇率中更大。非对称参数表明,在不久的将来,在尼日利亚银行间和外汇交易所市场,汇率贬值往往比同等幅度的升值产生更大的波动性。
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引用次数: 14
Determinants of efficiency in the malaysian banking sector: Does bank origins matter? 马来西亚银行业效率的决定因素:银行起源重要吗?
Pub Date : 2016-04-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.intele.2016.04.002
Fadzlan Sufian , Fakarudin Kamarudin , Annuar md. Nassir

The paper follows Simar and Wilson's (2007) two-stage procedure to analyze the efficiency of the Malaysian banking sector. In the first stage, we employ the bootstrap Data Envelopment Analysis (DEA) method to compute the efficiency of individual banks during the period 1999–2008. We then use bootstrap regression to examine the impact of origins on bank efficiency, while controlling for the potential influence of contextual variables. The DEA results indicate that the Malaysian banking sector has exhibited increase in efficiency over the sample period. We find that banks from the Asian countries to be relatively more efficient compared to foreign banks from other regions and their domestic bank peers. In essence, the empirical evidence rejects the home field advantage hypothesis, but lends support to the “limited form” of the global advantage and the liability of unfamiliarness hypotheses.

本文遵循Simar和Wilson(2007)的两阶段程序来分析马来西亚银行业的效率。在第一阶段,我们采用自举数据包络分析(DEA)方法计算1999-2008年期间单个银行的效率。然后,我们使用自举回归来检查起源对银行效率的影响,同时控制上下文变量的潜在影响。DEA结果表明,马来西亚银行业在样本期内效率有所提高。我们发现,与其他地区的外资银行及其国内同行相比,亚洲国家的银行相对效率更高。从本质上讲,经验证据否定了主场优势假说,但支持了全球优势的“有限形式”和不熟悉的责任假说。
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引用次数: 62
Determining the EUR/USD exchange rate with U.S. and German government bond yields in the post-crisis period 决定后危机时期欧元/美元与美国和德国政府债券收益率的汇率
Pub Date : 2015-08-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.intele.2016.02.006
Natalja Lace , Irena Mačerinskienė , Andrius Balčiūnas

This research shows how U.S. and German government bond yields can determine the EUR/USD exchange rate in the short run. After presenting the discussion on fundamental, technical and microstructure approach exchange rate determination models, a conclusion is made that out of the components of fundamental models the interest rates could be the best determinants for explaining exchange rate fluctuations in the short term. For the research the mostly traded currency pair, the EUR/USD, was chosen and 2-year, 10-year U.S. and German government bond yields were selected as determinants of the exchange rate. After performing the linear regression procedure it has shown that the model can determine 5 per cent of the daily EUR/USD fluctuations with a change in 2-year U.S. government debt yield being the greatest determinant in the model. It affects the exchange rate as it is stated in the uncovered interest rate parity model – when the yield increases, the USD declines against the euro and vice versa. Another finding is that an increase in the German 10-year government bond yield increases the price of the euro and the increase in the U.S. 10-year debt yield leads to an appreciation of the USD.

这项研究显示了美国和德国政府债券收益率如何在短期内决定欧元/美元汇率。在对基本、技术和微观结构方法的汇率决定模型进行讨论后,得出的结论是,在基本模型的组成部分中,利率可能是解释短期汇率波动的最佳决定因素。在研究中,我们选择了交易最频繁的货币对欧元/美元,并选择了2年期、10年期美国和德国政府债券收益率作为汇率的决定因素。在执行线性回归程序之后,它表明该模型可以确定5%的欧元/美元每日波动,其中2年期美国政府债券收益率的变化是模型中最大的决定因素。正如未覆盖利率平价模型所述,它会影响汇率——当收益率上升时,美元兑欧元下跌,反之亦然。另一个发现是,德国10年期国债收益率的上升会推高欧元价格,而美国10年期国债收益率的上升会导致美元升值。
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引用次数: 6
期刊
Intellectual Economics
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