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The ASEAN Economic Community and ASEAN economic integration 东盟经济共同体与东盟经济一体化
Q1 AREA STUDIES Pub Date : 2021-01-02 DOI: 10.1080/24761028.2021.1891702
Koichi Ishikawa
ABSTRACT ASEAN realized the ASEAN Economic Community (AEC) at the end of 2015. The AEC is an economic integration whose goals are free movement of goods, services, investment, and skilled workers, and freer movement of capital. Following the establishment of the ASEAN Free Trade Area (AFTA), ASEAN deepened its economic integration through the AEC. Evaluations of ASEAN’s economic integration are mixed. While highly praised for its steady integration progress, there are also assessments suggesting there is little progress in integration. This study examines the AEC’s economic integration and evaluates ASEAN economic integration, including the AFTA. The AEC is an “FTA-plus” economic integration, and its target and level of market integration are similar to those of the Economic Partnership Agreement. The AEC’s greatest achievement is using tariff elimination to realize a free trade area with a high level of trade liberalization. Liberalizing trade in services, eliminating non-tariff barriers, and facilitating trade have been delayed and have become issues for AEC2025. AEC2025 aims to participate in the global value chain, and its measure is the attraction of foreign direct investment. Although ASEAN’s economic integration has various issues, as a whole, it can be evaluated as successful because of its implementation of flexible liberalization over time. ASEAN’s economic integration is a successful example of economic integration by developing countries; other developing countries can learn lessons from ASEAN’s experiences.
摘要东盟于2015年底成立东盟经济共同体。AEC是一种经济一体化,其目标是商品、服务、投资和技术工人的自由流动,以及资本的自由流动。东盟自由贸易区成立后,东盟通过东盟经济共同体深化了经济一体化。对东盟经济一体化的评价好坏参半。尽管其稳步的一体化进展受到高度赞扬,但也有评估表明,一体化进展甚微。本研究考察了东盟经济共同体的经济一体化,并评估了包括东盟自由贸易区在内的东盟经济一体化。AEC是“自由贸易协定+”的经济一体化,其市场一体化的目标和水平与《经济伙伴关系协定》类似。AEC最大的成就是利用取消关税来实现贸易自由化程度高的自由贸易区。服务贸易自由化、消除非关税壁垒和促进贸易已被推迟,并已成为AEC2025的问题。AEC2025旨在参与全球价值链,其措施是吸引外国直接投资。尽管东盟的经济一体化有各种各样的问题,但作为一个整体,它可以被评价为成功,因为它随着时间的推移实施了灵活的自由化。东盟经济一体化是发展中国家经济一体化的成功范例;其他发展中国家可以从东盟的经验中吸取教训。
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引用次数: 27
When did the ROC abandon “Retaking the Mainland”? The transformation of military strategy in Taiwan 中华民国什么时候放弃了“收复大陆”?台湾军事战略的转变
Q1 AREA STUDIES Pub Date : 2021-01-02 DOI: 10.1080/24761028.2021.1904599
T. Igarashi
ABSTRACT The question of when the government of the Republic of China abandoned “Retaking the Mainland” has not been clearly answered in previous studies. In this article, I attempt to address this by reexamining the transformation of Taiwan’s military strategy. I focus on the preparations for the “Retaking the Mainland” operation, which have been studied extensively, and the efforts to increase defensive capabilities as part of the “Taiwan Defense” operation, which has lesser scholarship. With respect to this period of transformation of Taiwan’s military strategy, a now broadly accepted interpretation was laid out in the 2006 National Defense Report. However, a different perspective was outlined in a 2013 book jointly compiled by Taiwan’s Ministry of National Defense and Academia Historia. The result is that, with respect to the historical shift in military strategy, the official view of the Ministry of National Defense has become somewhat ambiguous. In this article, I advance an alternative view on this period by highlighting two points at which new policies were adopted. There was a move from a strategy of “Offensive Posture” that had been in place since 1949 to a strategy of “Unity of the Offensive and Defensive,” in the Spring of 1969. Subsequently, after the establishment of the “Guidelines for National Unification” in 1991, there was another shift, to a strategy of “Defensive Posture.” As I suggest, the ROC government abandoned the concept of using military force to “Retake the Mainland” in 1991, when it moved to a strategy of “Defensive Posture.”
摘要对于民国政府何时放弃“收复大陆”的问题,以往的研究并未给出明确的答案。在这篇文章中,我试图通过重新审视台湾军事战略的转变来解决这个问题。我的重点是“夺回大陆”行动的准备工作,这已经得到了广泛的研究,以及作为“台湾防御”行动的一部分,为提高防御能力所做的努力,这方面的研究较少。关于台湾军事战略转型的这一时期,《2006年国防报告》提出了一种现在被广泛接受的解释。然而,2013年由台湾国防部和史学界联合编撰的一本书中概述了不同的观点。其结果是,对于军事战略的历史性转变,国防部的官方观点变得有些模糊。在这篇文章中,我通过强调新政策被采纳的两点,提出了关于这一时期的另一种观点。从1949年开始实行的“进攻态势”战略,到1969年春,转变为“攻守统一”战略。随后,在1991年“国家统一方针”确立之后,又发生了另一次转变,即转向“防御态势”战略。正如我所建议的,中华民国政府在1991年放弃了使用武力“夺回大陆”的概念,当时它转向了“防御态势”的战略。
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引用次数: 0
Cooperation between China and ASEAN under the building of ASEAN Economic Community 东盟经济共同体建设下的中国与东盟合作
Q1 AREA STUDIES Pub Date : 2021-01-02 DOI: 10.1080/24761028.2021.1888410
Shihong Bi
ABSTRACT Since the establishment of China-ASEAN strategic partnership, and the acceleration of the ASEAN Economic Community (AEC) building, China-ASEAN economic cooperation relationship has entered a new era. In the building of the “Belt and Road Initiative” (BRI), ASEAN has a pivotal position and role, and ASEAN countries are key cooperation partners. In order to achieve the building goals of the BRI and AEC, China not only attaches great importance to the cooperative relationship with ASEAN, establishing and upgrading the China-ASEAN Free Trade Area, advocating the establishment of a China-ASEAN community with a shared future, and agrees that ASEAN maintaining its leadership role in East Asia regional cooperation. At the same time, China and ASEAN are gradually implementing the BRI to dock with the ASEAN Community Blueprint and the Master Plan on ASEAN Connectivity, and speeding up cooperation in trade, investment, and production capacity for win-win cooperation. However, China-ASEAN economic cooperation also faces challenges such as trade and investment competition, trade surplus, competition for dominance in economic cooperation, and the “China Threat” theory. In this regard, China and ASEAN need to coordinate the relationship among various cooperation mechanisms, optimize the structure of bilateral economic cooperation, implement a competitive negative list system, adjust the division of labor to achieve complementary advantages, so as to lay a solid foundation for building a China-ASEAN community with a shared future.
自中国-东盟建立战略伙伴关系以来,随着东盟经济共同体建设的加快,中国-东盟经济合作关系进入了一个新的时代。在“一带一路”建设中,东盟具有举足轻重的地位和作用,东盟国家是重要合作伙伴。为实现“一带一路”和东盟经济共同体建设目标,中国高度重视发展与东盟的合作关系,推动中国-东盟自贸区建设升级,倡导构建中国-东盟命运共同体,赞同东盟在东亚区域合作中保持领导地位。与此同时,中国和东盟正在逐步落实“一带一路”倡议,与《东盟共同体蓝图》、《东盟互联互通总体规划》对接,加快贸易、投资、产能合作,实现合作共赢。但中国-东盟经济合作也面临着贸易投资竞争、贸易顺差、经济合作主导权竞争、“中国威胁论”等挑战。为此,中国和东盟应协调好各合作机制之间的关系,优化双边经济合作结构,实行竞争性负面清单制度,调整分工,实现优势互补,为构建中国-东盟命运共同体奠定坚实基础。
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引用次数: 14
The ASEAN Economic Community and the RCEP in the world economy 东盟经济共同体和RCEP在世界经济中的作用
Q1 AREA STUDIES Pub Date : 2021-01-02 DOI: 10.1080/24761028.2021.1907881
Kazushi Shimizu
ABSTRACT The Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN) has been leading economic integration within many structural changes in the world economy. ASEAN, established in 1967, has promoted regional economic integration since 1976. It started to work toward realizing the ASEAN Free Trade Area (AFTA) in 1992 and the ASEAN Economic Community (AEC) in 2003. ASEAN finally established the AEC at the end of 2015. The AEC is the most developed and advanced economic integration in East Asia. ASEAN is deepening the AEC for the next goal, AEC 2025. ASEAN also led East Asian cooperation initiatives, including ASEAN+3 and ASEAN+6, and ASEAN+1 FTAs. ASEAN proposed the Regional Comprehensive Economic Partnership (RCEP) and led the RCEP negotiations. Currently, rising protectionism and the US–China trade friction has great negative impacts on ASEAN and East Asia. Furthermore, the outbreak of COVID-19 has done great damage to ASEAN and East Asia. ASEAN is responding to the COVID-19 pandemic and strengthening the AEC steadily amidst growing protectionism and COVID-19 pandemic. The RCEP agreement was finally signed in November 2020. The RCEP is the first East Asian mega FTA. The RCEP has great meaning in ASEAN and East Asia. ASEAN secured ASEAN centrality in East Asian economic integration. The AEC and the RCEP will become more important amidst rising protectionism, and during and in the post-pandemic era.
东南亚国家联盟(东盟)在世界经济的许多结构性变化中一直引领着经济一体化。东盟成立于1967年,自1976年以来一直推动区域经济一体化。它于1992年开始为实现东盟自由贸易区(AFTA)和2003年东盟经济共同体(AEC)而努力。东盟最终于2015年底成立东盟经济共同体。东盟经济共同体是东亚地区最发达、最先进的经济一体化。东盟正在为下一个目标——东盟经济共同体2025深化东盟经济共同体建设。东盟还主导了“10 +3”、“10 +6”、“10 +1”等东亚合作倡议。东盟提出区域全面经济伙伴关系协定(RCEP)并主导谈判。当前,保护主义抬头,中美贸易摩擦加剧,给东盟和东亚地区带来很大负面影响。此外,新冠肺炎疫情给东盟和东亚造成了巨大损失。东盟正在应对新冠肺炎大流行,在保护主义和新冠肺炎大流行加剧的背景下,稳步加强东盟经济共同体建设。RCEP最终于2020年11月签署。RCEP是东亚首个大型自贸协定。RCEP在东盟和东亚地区具有重要意义。东盟确保了东盟在东亚经济一体化中的中心地位。东盟经济共同体和区域全面经济伙伴关系将在保护主义抬头的背景下,在疫情爆发后的时代和时期变得更加重要。
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引用次数: 38
Ethnic minorities in China under Japanese occupation: the Muslim campaign and education during the Second Sino-Japanese War 日占下的中国少数民族:第二次甲午战争时期的穆斯林运动与教育
Q1 AREA STUDIES Pub Date : 2021-01-02 DOI: 10.1080/24761028.2021.1888409
Atsuko Shimbo
ABSTRACT The aim of this paper is twofold. First, I explain the nature of the education and engagement of young Chinese minorities in north China under Japanese occupation during the Second Sino-Japanese War. Second, I examine what influence the occupation policy of Japanese puppet government had on forming Hui identity. During the Republic of China, the minority Hui were facing social inequality. Japan focused on the affairs of the Hui people and implemented a policy that gave them preferential treatment to advance the division and control of China. In 1938 the General Federation of Islam in China was founded under the Provincial Government of the Republic of China to advance the “Muslim campaign” of the Japanese Army. Its objectives were to support the regime, oppose communism, and the Young Muslim Association of China was established, training of young Muslims for military service. But young Hui trained in such association often rebelled against the Japanese occupation, and the Hui people who received modern education used education as a tool to fulfill their own goals instead. Therefore, the Hui established a dual identity of being Muslim and Chinese, and they chose to side with China rather than Japan. This study explores the complex process by which the minority Hui formed their double identity. This study is based primarily on literature review.
本文的目的是双重的。首先,我解释了第二次中日战争期间,在日本占领下的华北地区,中国年轻少数民族的教育和参与的性质。其次,考察了日伪政府的占领政策对回族身份形成的影响。民国时期,少数民族回族面临着社会不平等的问题。日本重视回族事务,实行优待政策,推进对中国的分裂和控制。1938年,中华民国省政府成立了中国伊斯兰教总联合会,以推进日本军队的“穆斯林运动”。其目的是支持政权,反对共产主义,并成立了中国穆斯林青年协会,培训穆斯林青年服兵役。但在这种社团中培养的年轻回族经常反抗日本占领,而接受现代教育的回族人则将教育作为实现自己目标的工具。因此,回族确立了穆斯林和中国人的双重身份,他们选择站在中国一边而不是日本一边。本研究探讨了回族形成双重身份的复杂过程。本研究主要基于文献综述。
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引用次数: 0
Can ASEAN retain centrality in Indo-Pacific region? - From a GVC point of view 东盟能否在印太地区保持中心地位?-从全球价值链的角度
Q1 AREA STUDIES Pub Date : 2021-01-02 DOI: 10.1080/24761028.2021.1892964
Masataka Fujita
ABSTRACT The crucial determinant factor for ASEAN to support the Indo-Pacific strategy is whether ASEAN can retain and exercise the centrality. This paper addresses the issue on the centrality as to whether ASEAN can retain its centrality in the Indo-Pacific region. The issue is whether ASEAN can continue to assume an important position in Indo-Pacific economic transactions, more specifically in global value chains (GVCs) in the Indo-Pacific region. As GVC is expected to reflect the economic integration and interconnectivity of the region, higher participation of ASEAN in the Indo-Pacific GVC as compared with its own GVC, or at least a similar level of participation, is considered as retention of centrality. However, the reality is not such the case, and ASEAN is losing its centrality in the Indo-Pacific region in terms of GVC participation. This is partly due to the fact that Indo-Pacific is less integrated than ASEAN. Under this situation, the paper provides some policy implications for ASEAN to retain the centrality in Indo-Pacific. One of such policies is to increase and promote foreign direct investment (FDI) as it is the key to create GVCs. FDI flows as percentage of GDP in Indo-Pacific is much smaller in Indo-Pacific than in ASEAN.
东盟能否保持和行使其中心地位,是东盟支持印太战略的关键决定因素。本文讨论了东盟能否在印太地区保持中心地位的中心性问题。问题是东盟能否继续在印太经济交易中,特别是在印太地区的全球价值链中发挥重要作用。由于全球价值链预计将反映该地区的经济一体化和互联性,与东盟自身的全球价值链相比,东盟在印太全球价值链中的参与程度更高,或者至少参与程度相似,被视为保持中心地位。然而,事实并非如此,东盟在全球价值链参与方面正在失去其在印太地区的中心地位。这在一定程度上是由于印度-太平洋地区的一体化程度低于东盟。在这种情况下,本文为东盟保持在印太地区的中心地位提供了一些政策启示。其中一项政策是增加和促进外国直接投资,因为这是创造全球价值链的关键。印度-太平洋地区的外国直接投资流量占GDP的百分比远小于东盟。
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引用次数: 5
Use of legal instruments in the ASEAN Economic Community building 法律文书在东盟经济共同体建设中的使用
Q1 AREA STUDIES Pub Date : 2021-01-02 DOI: 10.1080/24761028.2021.1905199
Yoshifumi Fukunaga
ABSTRACT Using the official data of the ASEAN Secretariat, this paper applies a data-based approach to present the general trends of use of legal instruments in building the ASEAN Economic Community and ASEAN integration as a whole. ASEAN has intensified the use of legal instruments in the last five decades to reach 240 signed legal instruments by December 2020. With the frequent use of supplementary instruments, ASEAN takes a gradual and practical approach to integration. Consensus remains the key principle of decision-making in making legal instruments. There is no single legal instrument signed without consensus, even in the economic pillar. By contrast, ASEAN allows phased implementation. While a majority of ASEAN legal instruments enter into force only with full membership, many instruments also allow flexible participation (i.e., effective only among certain members). Such mechanism of flexibility is probably a way to progress integration in a group of diversity while continuing to respect the consensus principle in decision-making.
摘要本文利用东盟秘书处的官方数据,采用基于数据的方法,介绍了在建立东盟经济共同体和整个东盟一体化过程中使用法律文书的总体趋势。东盟在过去五十年中加强了法律文书的使用,到2020年12月已签署240项法律文书。随着补充文书的频繁使用,东盟对一体化采取了渐进和务实的做法。协商一致仍然是制定法律文书的关键决策原则。没有任何一项法律文书是在没有协商一致的情况下签署的,即使是在经济支柱领域也是如此。相比之下,东盟允许分阶段实施。虽然大多数东盟法律文书只有在正式成员国的情况下才生效,但许多文书也允许灵活参与(即仅在某些成员国之间有效)。这种灵活性机制可能是在一个多元化群体中推进一体化的一种方式,同时在决策中继续尊重协商一致原则。
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引用次数: 3
ASEAN’s initiatives for free trade in East Asia under AEC 东盟在东盟经济共同体框架下的东亚自由贸易倡议
Q1 AREA STUDIES Pub Date : 2021-01-02 DOI: 10.1080/24761028.2021.1902068
S. Sukegawa
ABSTRACT The greatest achievement of ASEAN’s intra-regional economic cooperation since its inception in 1976 is the realization of the ASEAN Free Trade Area (AFTA), which started with tariff cuts in 1993. AFTA was completed in January 2018 with the elimination of intra-regional tariffs. The AFTA itself is an FTA of an unusually high standard internationally, with the level of liberalization exceeding even that of the TPP 11. However, when examined from the aspect of utilization, in the case of Thailand’s exports to ASEAN, more than 30% do not use AFTA for one reason or another. This indicates that there are points of improvement in the system of the AFTA and in the customs procedures that are indispensable in using the AFTA. Furthermore, some member countries have introduced non-tariff barriers to protect their domestic industries while eliminating tariffs, which is contrary to the principles of AFTA. ASEAN has been expanding the scope of its economic cooperation since 2008 with the aim of establishing the ASEAN Economic Community (AEC), but even so, what the industrial world is seeking in the “post-AFTA” periods are trade-related measures such as the “facilitation of customs procedures” and the “elimination of non-tariff barriers.” Nowadays, when mega FTAs such as RCEP and TPP11 is being constructed one after another, ASEAN needs to transform itself into the most advanced regional cooperation organization in terms of liberalization level, scope, and rules if it is to maintain its centripetal force for direct investment.
自1976年成立以来,东盟区域内经济合作的最大成就是实现了东盟自由贸易区(AFTA),并于1993年开始削减关税。东盟自由贸易协定于2018年1月完成,取消了区域内关税。东盟自由贸易协定本身在国际上是一个标准异常高的自由贸易协定,其自由化程度甚至超过了TPP。然而,从利用的角度来看,以泰国对东盟的出口为例,超过30%的泰国由于这样或那样的原因没有使用AFTA。这表明东盟自由贸易协定的制度和使用东盟自由贸易协定所不可缺少的海关程序都有改进之处。此外,一些成员国在取消关税的同时引入非关税壁垒以保护其国内产业,这违背了非洲自由贸易协定的原则。自2008年以来,东盟一直在扩大其经济合作的范围,旨在建立东盟经济共同体(AEC),但即便如此,工业世界在“后东盟自由贸易区”时期寻求的是与贸易有关的措施,如“海关手续便利化”和“消除非关税壁垒”。在RCEP、TPP11等大型自贸协定相继建设的今天,东盟要保持其对直接投资的向心力,就需要从自由化水平、范围、规则等方面向最先进的区域合作组织转型。
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引用次数: 4
The Belt and Road Initiative as continuity in Chinese foreign policy “一带一路”倡议是中国外交政策的延续
Q1 AREA STUDIES Pub Date : 2020-07-02 DOI: 10.1080/24761028.2020.1848370
Laura-Anca Parepa
ABSTRACT The emergence of China as a major power has been accompanied by an unprecedented level of external activism, concretized in several regional and transcontinental projects among which the Belt and Road Initiative (BRI) is the most comprehensive one. This article aims to assess the contribution of previous foreign policy initiatives to the BRI, and to evaluate potential implications for Chinese strategic autonomy. It argues that while the Chinese-led initiative based on increasing interdependence and connectivity has a high potential to contribute to common development and regional integration, it also presents some destabilizing risks. The cooperation patterns promoted within the BRI strengthen Chinese strategic autonomy by enhancing its key positions along networks of capital and infrastructure around the world, foster asymmetric partnerships, maximize its influence and consolidate its control over land routes from Central Asia to Europe and the SLOC beyond the South China Sea. In discussing the implications raised by these aspects the article contends that in the long term, the BRI offers China significant opportunities to shape geo-economic landscape and the security architecture.
摘要中国作为一个大国的崛起伴随着前所未有的外部行动主义,具体体现在几个区域和跨洲项目中,其中“一带一路”倡议倡议(BRI)是最全面的一个。本文旨在评估以往外交政策举措对“一带一路”倡议的贡献,并评估其对中国战略自主的潜在影响。报告认为,尽管中国领导的基于日益相互依存和互联互通的倡议有很大潜力促进共同发展和区域一体化,但也存在一些破坏稳定的风险。“一带一路”倡议中倡导的合作模式通过加强中国在世界各地资本和基础设施网络中的关键地位、促进不对称伙伴关系、最大限度地扩大其影响力以及巩固其对中亚至欧洲陆路和南中国海以外SLOC的控制,加强了中国的战略自主性。在讨论这些方面的影响时,文章认为,从长远来看,“一带一路”倡议为中国塑造地缘经济格局和安全架构提供了重要机遇。
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引用次数: 7
Xi Jinping’s diplomacy and the rise of his political authority
Q1 AREA STUDIES Pub Date : 2020-07-02 DOI: 10.1080/24761028.2020.1843217
Masafumi Iida
ABSTRACT Xi Jinping’s political authority was not preeminent among cadres of the Communist Party of China when he assumed the General Secretary of the Central Committee in November 2012. After his inauguration, Xi advocated a slogan of “Chinese Dream” for realizing the “great rejuvenation of the Chinese nation” and pursued the policies for expanding the “core interests,” which appealed to growing nationalism among the party and the society, resulting in enhancing their support to Xi. China’s assertive behavior to claim territorial sovereignty and maritime interests in the East and South China Seas caused tension with the regional countries, but Xi took advantage of the conflictive relations with neighbors to strengthen his leadership in the Chinese politics. Xi administration achieved the integration of four maritime law enforcement agencies into the China Coast Guard and the establishment of the Central National Security Commission, which needed to overcome persistent opposition within the party. Xi also launched “Major Country Diplomacy with Chinese Characteristics” as a new direction of Chinese foreign policies, seeking for greater leadership of China as a major power in the international community, which helped Xi to consolidate political authority. Xi cleverly employed assertive diplomacy to raise his authority in the Chinese politics.
Xi就职后,倡导实现“中华民族伟大复兴”的“中国梦”口号,推行扩大“核心利益”的政策,引发了党和社会日益高涨的民族主义情绪,增强了对Xi的支持。中国在东海和南海主张领土主权和海洋利益的强硬行为导致了与该地区国家的紧张关系,但Xi利用与邻国的冲突关系加强了他在中国政治中的领导地位。Xi政府实现了四个海上执法机构并入中国海警,并成立了中央国家安全委员会,这需要克服党内的顽固反对。Xi还将“中国特色大国外交”作为中国外交政策的新方向,寻求中国在国际社会中的更大领导地位,这有助于Xi巩固政治权威。Xi巧妙地运用了强硬的外交手段来提高他在中国政治中的权威。
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引用次数: 5
期刊
Journal of Contemporary East Asia Studies
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