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Classification of Non-pharmacological Interventions for Managing Pandemics 管理流行病的非药物干预措施分类
Pub Date : 1900-01-01 DOI: 10.54364/aaiml.2021.1116
P. Goldschmidt
Pandemics have altered the course of human history. The overarching goal of pandemic response management is to contain pandemogen spread as quickly and as completely as possible; it is not only the first line of defense, it is the only defense. At the start, only non-pharmaceutical interventions (NPI) may be available. There is no classification scheme for NPI. This article 1) proposes both a classification scheme for NPI and a functional way of coding them for descriptive and analytic purposes and 2) by describing the classification scheme, builds an initial inventory of NPI. For classification purposes, NPI can be organized according to the following broad categories: 1) community control, 2) moving and mixing, 3) testing and tracing, 4) personal performance, 5) environmental engineering, 6) bodies and burials, and 7) infection interdiction. Classification facilitates describing and analyzing NPI (eg, comparing how countries used different NPI to respond to Covid-19 and to evaluate their effectiveness). Next steps may include 1) elaborating the classification scheme and coding structure in operation detail as an international standard and 2) maintaining a corresponding set of standard definitions. In the interim, any entity could apply the scheme to suit its purposes.
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引用次数: 0
How Accurate Are Fuzzy Control Recommendations: Interval-Valued Case 模糊控制建议有多准确:区间值案例
Pub Date : 1900-01-01 DOI: 10.54364/aaiml.2021.1102
J. C. García, V. Kreinovich
As a result of applying fuzzy rules, we get a fuzzy set describing possible control values. In automatic control systems, we need to defuzzify this fuzzy set, i.e., to transform it to a single control value. One of the most frequently used defuzzification techniques is centroid defuzzification. From the practical viewpoint, an important question is: how accurate is the resulting control recommendation? The more accurately we need to implement the control, the more expensive the resulting controller. The possibility to gauge the accuracy of the fuzzy control recommendation follows from the fact that, from the mathematical viewpoint, centroid defuzzification is equivalent to transforming the fuzzy set into a probability distribution and computing the mean value of control. In view of this interpretation, a natural measure of accuracy of a fuzzy control recommendation is the standard deviation of the corresponding random variable. Computing this standard deviation is straightforward for the traditional [0, 1]-based fuzzy logic, in which all experts’ degree of confidence are represented by numbers from the interval [0, 1]. In practice, however, an expert usually cannot describe his/her degree of confidence by a single number, a more appropriate way to describe his/her confidence is by allowing to mark an interval of possible degrees. In this paper, we provide an efficient algorithm for estimating the accuracy of fuzzy control recommendations under such interval-valued fuzzy uncertainty.
由于应用模糊规则,我们得到一个描述可能控制值的模糊集。在自动控制系统中,我们需要对该模糊集进行去模糊化,即将其转化为单个控制值。最常用的去模糊化技术之一是质心去模糊化。从实际的角度来看,一个重要的问题是:得出的控制建议有多准确?我们越需要精确地实现控制,生成的控制器就越昂贵。衡量模糊控制推荐精度的可能性来自于这样一个事实,从数学的角度来看,质心去模糊化相当于将模糊集转换为概率分布并计算控制的平均值。鉴于这种解释,模糊控制推荐的准确度的自然度量是相应随机变量的标准差。对于传统的基于[0,1]的模糊逻辑,计算该标准差很简单,其中所有专家的置信度由区间[0,1]中的数字表示。然而,在实践中,专家通常不能用一个数字来描述他/她的信心程度,一个更合适的描述他/她的信心的方法是允许标记一个可能程度的间隔。本文给出了在区间值模糊不确定性下模糊控制推荐精度估计的一种有效算法。
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引用次数: 0
Generation of Head Mirror Behavior and Facial Expression for Humanoid Robots 类人机器人头部镜像行为和面部表情的生成
Pub Date : 1900-01-01 DOI: 10.54364/aaiml.2021.1110
Yizhou Chen, Xiaofeng Liu, Jie Li, Tingting Zhang, A. Cangelosi
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引用次数: 2
Missing Data Recovery in the E-health Context Based on Machine Learning Models 基于机器学习模型的电子医疗环境中缺失数据恢复
Pub Date : 1900-01-01 DOI: 10.54364/aaiml.2022.1135
Inès Rahmany, Sami Mahfoudhi, Mushira Freihat, T. Moulahi
Diabetes mellitus is a set of metabolic illnesses characterized by abnormally high blood sugar levels. In 2017, 8.8% of the world’s population had diabetes. By 2045, it is expected that this percentage will have risen to approximately 10%. Missing data, a prevalent problem even in a well-designed and controlled study, can have a major impact on the conclusions that can be derived from the available data. Missing data may decrease a study’s statistical validity and lead to erroneous results due to distorted estimations. In this study, we hypothesize that (a) replacing missing values using machine learning techniques rather than the mean value and group mean value and (b) using SVM kernel RBF classifier will result in the highest level of accuracy in comparison to traditional techniques such as DT, RF, NB, SVM, AdaBoost, and ANN. The classification results improved significantly when using regression to replace the missing values over the group median or the mean. This is a 10% improvement over previously developed strategies that have been reported in the literature.
糖尿病是一组以异常高血糖为特征的代谢疾病。2017年,全球8.8%的人口患有糖尿病。到2045年,预计这一比例将上升到10%左右。即使在设计良好和控制良好的研究中,数据缺失也是一个普遍存在的问题,它可能对从现有数据中得出的结论产生重大影响。缺失的数据可能会降低研究的统计有效性,并导致由于扭曲的估计而导致错误的结果。在本研究中,我们假设(a)使用机器学习技术取代缺失值,而不是平均值和组平均值;(b)使用SVM核RBF分类器,与DT、RF、NB、SVM、AdaBoost和ANN等传统技术相比,将获得最高的准确率。当使用回归替换组中位数或平均值上的缺失值时,分类结果显着改善。这比文献中报道的先前开发的策略提高了10%。
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引用次数: 0
Using Neural Architectures to Model Complex Dynamical Systems 利用神经结构对复杂动力系统建模
Pub Date : 1900-01-01 DOI: 10.54364/aaiml.2022.1124
N. Gabriel, Neil F Johnson
The natural, physical and social worlds abound with feedback processes that make the challenge of modeling the underlying system an extremely complex one. This paper proposes an end-to-end deep learning approach to modelling such so-called complex systems which addresses two problems: (1) scientific model discovery when we have only incomplete/partial knowledge of system dynamics; (2) integration of graph-structured data into scientific machine learning (SciML) using graph neural networks. It is well known that deep learning (DL) has had remarkable successin leveraging large amounts of unstructured data into downstream tasks such as clustering, classification, and regression. Recently, the development of graph neural networks has extended DL techniques to graph structured data of complex systems. However, DL methods still appear largely disjointed with established scientific knowledge, and the contribution to basic science is not always apparent. This disconnect has spurred the development of physics-informed deep learning, and more generally, the emerging discipline of SciML. Modelling complex systems in the physical, biological, and social sciences within the SciML framework requires further considerations. We argue the need to consider heterogeneous, graph-structured data as well as the effective scale at which we can observe system dynamics. Our proposal would open up a joint approach to the previously distinct fields of graph representation learning and SciML.
自然界、物理世界和社会世界充斥着反馈过程,这使得对底层系统建模的挑战变得极其复杂。本文提出了一种端到端的深度学习方法来对这种所谓的复杂系统进行建模,该方法解决了两个问题:(1)当我们只有不完整/部分系统动力学知识时发现科学模型;(2)使用图神经网络将图结构数据集成到科学机器学习(SciML)中。众所周知,深度学习(DL)在利用大量非结构化数据进行下游任务(如聚类、分类和回归)方面取得了显著的成功。近年来,图神经网络的发展将深度学习技术扩展到复杂系统的图结构数据。然而,深度学习方法在很大程度上仍然与已建立的科学知识脱节,对基础科学的贡献并不总是显而易见的。这种脱节刺激了基于物理的深度学习的发展,更广泛地说,刺激了新兴学科scil的发展。在SciML框架内对物理、生物和社会科学中的复杂系统进行建模需要进一步考虑。我们认为有必要考虑异构的、图形结构的数据,以及我们可以观察系统动力学的有效尺度。我们的建议将为之前不同的图表示学习和scil领域开辟一个联合的方法。
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引用次数: 0
Managing the Bottleneck with PCB - Consequences of a Comprehensive Field Study 管理PCB的瓶颈——综合实地研究的结果
Pub Date : 1900-01-01 DOI: 10.54364/aaiml.2023.1154
Bernd Langer, Bernd Gems, Maik Mussler, K. Schmahl, C. Roser
Purpose - Increasing productivity continues to be essential for survival. With the Production Cultural Biorhythm (PCB) we enable the recognition and use of previously hidden potentials of up to 80% additional performance. Design/methodology/approach - This paper describes the results of a quantitative field study conducted in over 100 manufacturing companies. Critical metrics were recorded at short time intervals over months, then averaged to produce a standard day. Findings - Specific patterns emerged that make corporate cultural behavior visible. The field study also identified six basic patterns across companies. Working with these basic patterns, in combination with a developed visualization especially at bottlenecks, enables a phase-centered and thus simplified leadership style.
目的-提高生产力仍然是生存的必要条件。通过生产文化生物节律(PCB),我们能够识别和利用以前隐藏的潜力,提高高达80%的额外性能。设计/方法论/方法-本文描述了在100多家制造公司中进行的定量实地研究的结果。在几个月的短时间间隔内记录关键指标,然后取平均值以产生一个标准日。研究发现——出现了使企业文化行为可见的特定模式。实地研究还确定了公司间的六种基本模式。使用这些基本模式,并结合成熟的可视化(尤其是在瓶颈处),可以实现以阶段为中心的领导风格,从而简化领导风格。
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引用次数: 0
Strengthening Machine Learning Reproducibility for Image Classification 增强机器学习图像分类的再现性
Pub Date : 1900-01-01 DOI: 10.54364/aaiml.2022.1132
G. Shao, H. Zhang, J. Shao, K. Woeste, Lina Tang
Machine learning (ML) reproducibility needs to be informed with reliable evaluation measures. However, routine image classification is evaluated using metrics that are highly sensitive to class prevalence. Consequently, the reproducibility of ML models remains unclear due to class imbalance-induced noise. We suggest regularly using class imbalance-resistant evaluation metrics, including balanced accuracy, area under precision-recall curve, and image classification efficacy, for the evaluation of the reproducibility of ML models. Each of these evaluation metrics is conceptually consistent with and logically complements the others, and their joint use can help explain different aspects of classification performance at the whole-class level and individual class level. These metrics can be used for the validation, testing, and/or transfer of ML classifiers. Comprehensive analysis using these metrics as a routine approach strengthens the reproducibility of ML models.
机器学习(ML)的再现性需要可靠的评估措施。然而,常规图像分类是使用对分类流行率高度敏感的指标进行评估的。因此,由于类别不平衡引起的噪声,ML模型的可重复性仍然不清楚。我们建议定期使用抗类不平衡评价指标,包括平衡精度、精确召回曲线下面积和图像分类效率,来评估ML模型的可重复性。这些评估指标中的每一个在概念上都是一致的,并且在逻辑上是互补的,它们的联合使用可以帮助解释整个类水平和单个类水平上分类性能的不同方面。这些指标可用于ML分类器的验证、测试和/或传输。使用这些指标作为常规方法的综合分析增强了ML模型的可重复性。
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引用次数: 0
Improving the Pedestrian Detection Performance in the Absence of Rich Training Datasets: A UK Case Study 在缺乏丰富训练数据集的情况下提高行人检测性能:一个英国案例研究
Pub Date : 1900-01-01 DOI: 10.54364/aaiml.2022.1121
Juliana Negrini de Araujo, V. Palade, Tabassom Sedighi, A. Daneshkhah
The World Health Organization estimates that well in excess of one million of lives are lost each year due to road traffic accidents. Since the human factor is the preeminent cause behind the traffic accidents, the development of reliable Advanced Driver Assistance Systems (ADASs) and Autonomous Vehicles (AVs) is seen by many as a possible solution to improve road safety. ADASs rely on the car perception system input that consists of camera(s), LIDAR and/or radar to detect pedestrians and other objects on the road. Hardware improvements as well as advances done in employing Deep Learning techniques for object detection popularized the Convolutional Neural Networks in the area of autonomous driving research and applications. However, the availability of quality and large datasets continues to be a most important contributor to the Deep Learning based model’s performance. With this in mind, this work analyses how a YOLO-based object detection architecture responded to limited data available for training and containing low-quality images. The work focused on pedestrian detection, since vulnerable road user’s safety is a major concern within AV and ADAS research communities. The proposed model was trained and tested on data gathered from Coventry, United Kingdom, city streets. The results show that the original YOLOv3 implementation reaches a 42.18% average precision (AP) and the main challenge was in detecting small objects. Network modifications were made and our final model, based on the original YOLOv3 implementation, achieved 51.6% AP. It is also demonstrated that the employed data augmentation approach is responsible for doubling the average precision of the final model.
世界卫生组织估计,每年因道路交通事故而丧生的人数远远超过100万人。由于人为因素是导致交通事故的主要原因,因此开发可靠的高级驾驶辅助系统(ADASs)和自动驾驶汽车(AVs)被许多人视为改善道路安全的可能解决方案。ADASs依靠由摄像头、激光雷达和/或雷达组成的汽车感知系统输入来检测道路上的行人和其他物体。硬件的改进以及使用深度学习技术进行目标检测的进步使卷积神经网络在自动驾驶研究和应用领域得到普及。然而,高质量和大型数据集的可用性仍然是基于深度学习的模型性能的最重要贡献者。考虑到这一点,本工作分析了基于yolo的目标检测架构如何响应用于训练和包含低质量图像的有限数据。这项工作的重点是行人检测,因为弱势道路使用者的安全是自动驾驶和ADAS研究界关注的主要问题。所提出的模型在英国考文垂城市街道收集的数据上进行了训练和测试。结果表明,原始的YOLOv3实现达到42.18%的平均精度(AP),主要挑战是检测小目标。我们对网络进行了修改,最终模型在原始的YOLOv3实现的基础上实现了51.6%的AP。还表明,采用数据增强方法可以使最终模型的平均精度提高一倍。
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引用次数: 0
Development of a Pre-Diagnosis Tool Based on Machine Learning Algorithms on the BHK Test to Improve the Diagnosis of Dysgraphia 基于机器学习算法的BHK测试预诊断工具的开发以提高对书写困难的诊断
Pub Date : 1900-01-01 DOI: 10.54364/aaiml.2021.1108
Louis Deschamps, Louis Devillaine, C. Gaffet, R. Lambert, Saifeddine Aloui, J. Boutet, Vincent Brault, E. Labyt, C. Jolly
Dysgraphia is a writing disorder that affects a significant part of the population, especially school aged children and particularly boys. Nowadays, dysgraphia is insufficiently diagnosed, partly because of the cumbersomeness of the existing tests. This study aims at developing an automated pre-diagnosis tool for dysgraphia allowing a wide screening among children. Indeed, a wider screening of the population would allow a better care for children with handwriting deficits. This study is based on the world’s largest known database of handwriting samples and uses supervised learning algorithms (Support Vector Machine). Four graphic tablets and two acquisition software solutions were used, in order to ensure that the tool is not tablet dependent and can be used widely. A total of 580 children from 2nd to 5th grade, among which 122 with dysgraphia, were asked to perform the French version of the BHK test on a graphic tablet. Almost a hundred features were developed from these written tracks. The hyperparameters of the SVM and the most discriminating features between children with and without dysgraphia were selected on the training dataset comprised of 80% of the database (461 children). With these hyperparameters and features, the performances on the test dataset (119 children) were a sensitivity of 91% and a specificity of 81% for the detection of children with dysgraphia. Thus, our tool has an accuracy level similar to a human examiner. Moreover, it is widely usable, because of its independence to the tablet, to the acquisition software and to the age of the children thanks to a careful calibration and the use of a moving z-score calculation.
书写困难症是一种影响很大一部分人的书写障碍,尤其是学龄儿童和男孩。如今,书写困难症的诊断不够充分,部分原因是现有的测试过于繁琐。本研究旨在开发一种自动化的预诊断工具,用于书写困难症,允许在儿童中进行广泛的筛查。事实上,对人群进行更广泛的筛查可以更好地照顾有书写缺陷的儿童。这项研究基于世界上已知最大的手写样本数据库,并使用监督学习算法(支持向量机)。使用了四个图形平板电脑和两个采集软件解决方案,以确保该工具不依赖平板电脑,可以广泛使用。共有580名二年级至五年级的儿童,其中122名患有书写困难症,被要求在写字板上进行法语版的BHK测试。几乎有一百种特征是从这些书面音轨发展而来的。在由80%的数据库(461名儿童)组成的训练数据集上选择支持向量机的超参数和有和没有书写障碍儿童之间最具区别性的特征。有了这些超参数和特征,在测试数据集(119名儿童)上检测书写困难儿童的灵敏度为91%,特异性为81%。因此,我们的工具具有与人类审查员相似的准确性水平。此外,由于它独立于平板电脑,采集软件和儿童的年龄,由于仔细校准和使用移动z分数计算,它被广泛使用。
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引用次数: 5
Discriminating Beef Producing Countries by Multi-Element Analysis and Machine Learning 基于多要素分析和机器学习的牛肉生产国鉴别
Pub Date : 1900-01-01 DOI: 10.54364/aaiml.2021.1101
E. A. N. Fernandes, Yuniel T. Mazola, G. A. Sarriés, M. Bacchi, P. Bode, Cláudio L. Gonzaga, Silvana R. V. Sarriés
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引用次数: 2
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