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Corruption and Political Support: The Case of Peru’s Vacuna-gate Scandal 腐败与政治支持:以秘鲁瓦库纳门丑闻为例
IF 3.6 Q1 POLITICAL SCIENCE Pub Date : 2023-03-09 DOI: 10.1017/xps.2023.7
Oscar Castorena, Noam Lupu, Adam D. Wolsky, Elizabeth J. Zechmeister
Classic theories of public opinion suggest that negative shocks can undermine system support in weak democracies, but scant work has systematically assessed this thesis. We identify Peru’s explosive Vacuna-gate scandal as a most-likely case for finding a connection between corruption and political support. The scandal’s unexpected revelation in the middle of the 2021 AmericasBarometer Peru survey created conditions for a natural experiment. Applying an unexpected-event-during-survey design, we consider the consequences of the scandal for perceptions of corruption, system support, and support for democracy. We find robust evidence that the scandal increased even already high perceptions of corruption and lowered system support. Contrary to expectations derived from prior theories, we find no effect on explicit support for democracy. In the conclusion, we discuss the nuanced ways that scandal may shape democratic stability.
经典的舆论理论表明,负面冲击会破坏薄弱民主国家的制度支持,但很少有研究对这一论点进行系统评估。我们认为,秘鲁爆发的瓦库纳门丑闻是最有可能在腐败和政治支持之间找到联系的案例。这起丑闻在2021年美国晴雨表秘鲁调查中期意外曝光,为自然实验创造了条件。在调查设计中应用一个意外事件,我们考虑丑闻对腐败、制度支持和民主支持的影响。我们发现强有力的证据表明,这起丑闻甚至增加了人们对腐败的高度认知,降低了系统支持。与先前理论的预期相反,我们发现对明确支持民主没有任何影响。在结论中,我们讨论了丑闻可能影响民主稳定的微妙方式。
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引用次数: 0
Welcome from the Editors 欢迎来自编辑
IF 3.6 Q1 POLITICAL SCIENCE Pub Date : 2023-03-01 DOI: 10.1017/XPS.2023.5
Jennifer Jerit, Scott Clifford
We are excited to take the helm at JEPS and honored to follow previous editorial teams, who collectively have established JEPS as the journal of record for experimental research in political science. We are especially grateful to Kevin (Vin) Arceneaux who served as editor for 5 years. Under Vin’s leadership, the journal introduced new article formats and adopted a “strong” associate editor model. These policies have elevated the quality of the research that ultimately appears in the journal, and we plan to continue them. Before describing journal policies in more detail, we would like to introduce the team of Associate Editors who will serve with us. They are Bert Bakker (Senior Associate Editor), Claire Adida, Matthew Hayes, Holger Kern, Jonathan Renshon, John Barry Ryan, Beth Simas, and Gijs Schumacher. This is an impressive group of scholars whose expertise in different areas of experimental research will help ensure the methodological diversity of the journal. Consistent with the previous editorship, Associate Editors will have complete autonomy over manuscripts that have been assigned to them. The two Editors will share the task of reviewing with the Associate Editors, taking on submissions that are relevant to their expertise. The Senior Associate Editor will serve as Acting Editor when a submission presents a conflict of interest for either Editor. Since JEPS was founded in 2014, experiments have “evolved from an emergent method to an accepted method to a primary method” (Druckman and Green 2021, p. 1). This evolution reflects the distinctive advantages of experimentation when it comes to identifying causal effects. There’s no denying that it also is easier to conduct experiments today than it was two decades ago (e.g., in terms of data availability and technological advances). Yet, the ease of conducting experiments belies the challenges of using this method effectively. A high-quality experiment must provide: (1) a theoretical and/or empirical contribution, (2) appropriate comparisons in a well-powered design, and (3) statistical analyses that are informative and transparent. While JEPS takes a broad view of what counts as an experiment, authors must articulate how their design identifies the causal effect that they are studying. To preserve an already overburdened reviewer pool, submissions that do not meet the above criteria will be desk-rejected. Past practice at the journal has demonstrated that desk rejects can be used in a fair manner, and we strive to do the same.
我们很高兴能执掌《政治学实验研究》,也很荣幸能追随之前的编辑团队,他们共同将《政治学研究》确立为政治学实验性研究的记录期刊。我们特别感谢Kevin(Vin)Arceneaux,他担任了5年的编辑。在Vin的领导下,该杂志引入了新的文章格式,并采用了“强大”的副主编模式。这些政策提高了最终发表在杂志上的研究的质量,我们计划继续这样做。在更详细地描述期刊政策之前,我们想介绍一下将与我们一起服务的副主编团队。他们是Bert Bakker(高级副主编)、Claire Adida、Matthew Hayes、Holger Kern、Jonathan Renshon、John Barry Ryan、Beth Simas和Gijs Schumacher。这是一个令人印象深刻的学者群体,他们在不同实验研究领域的专业知识将有助于确保期刊方法的多样性。与之前的编辑职位一致,副编辑将对分配给他们的稿件拥有完全的自主权。两位编辑将与副编辑分担审查任务,接受与其专业知识相关的投稿。当提交的稿件与任何一位编辑存在利益冲突时,高级副编辑将担任代理编辑。自2014年JEPS成立以来,实验已经“从一种新兴方法演变为一种可接受的方法,再演变为初级方法”(Druckman和Green 2021,第1页)。这种演变反映了实验在识别因果效应方面的独特优势。不可否认,今天进行实验也比20年前更容易(例如,在数据可用性和技术进步方面)。然而,进行实验的容易性掩盖了有效使用这种方法的挑战。高质量的实验必须提供:(1)理论和/或经验贡献,(2)在强大的设计中进行适当的比较,以及(3)信息丰富且透明的统计分析。虽然JEPS对什么是实验有着广泛的看法,但作者必须阐明他们的设计是如何识别他们正在研究的因果效应的。为了保留已经不堪重负的审查人员库,不符合上述标准的提交将被桌面拒绝。该杂志过去的实践表明,桌面拒绝可以以公平的方式使用,我们也努力做到这一点。
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引用次数: 0
Do Survey Questions Spread Conspiracy Beliefs? 调查问题会传播阴谋论吗?
IF 3.6 Q1 POLITICAL SCIENCE Pub Date : 2023-02-15 DOI: 10.1017/XPS.2023.1
Scott Clifford, Brian W. Sullivan
Abstract Conspiracy theories and misinformation have become increasingly prominent in politics, and these beliefs have pernicious effects on political behavior. A prominent line of research suggests that these beliefs are promoted by repeated exposure. Yet, as scholars have rushed to understand these beliefs, they have exposed countless respondents to conspiratorial claims, raising the question of whether researchers are contributing to their spread. We investigate this possibility using a pre-registered within-subjects experiment embedded in a panel survey. The results suggest that exposure to a standard conspiracy question causes a significant increase in the likelihood of endorsing that conspiracy a week later. However, this exposure effect does not occur with a question format that offers an alternative, non-conspiratorial explanation for the target event. Thus, we recommend that researchers reduce the likelihood of spreading conspiracy beliefs by adopting a question format that asks respondents to choose between alternative explanations for an event.
阴谋论和错误信息在政治中越来越突出,这些信念对政治行为产生了有害影响。一项突出的研究表明,这些信念是通过反复暴露来促进的。然而,随着学者们急于理解这些信念,他们让无数受访者暴露在阴谋论中,这引发了一个问题,即研究人员是否在助长这些信念的传播。我们使用嵌入小组调查中的预注册受试者内部实验来研究这种可能性。研究结果表明,暴露在标准的阴谋问题中,一周后支持该阴谋的可能性显著增加。然而,这种暴露效应不会发生在为目标事件提供替代性、非阴谋性解释的问题格式中。因此,我们建议研究人员采用问题形式,要求受访者在事件的替代解释之间做出选择,以降低传播阴谋信念的可能性。
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引用次数: 1
Using Citizen Voice to Evaluate Experiments on Politicians: A UK Survey Experiment 利用公民声音评价政客实验——英国调查实验
IF 3.6 Q1 POLITICAL SCIENCE Pub Date : 2023-02-15 DOI: 10.1017/xps.2023.3
P. John, Kristina Kim, Luis Soto-Tamayo
Experiments on the responsiveness of elected officials highlight the tension between the freedom to carry out research and the right of subjects to be treated with respect. Controversy emerges from the power of politicians to block or object to experimental designs using identity deception. One way to resolve this conundrum is to consult citizens who, as constituents of politicians, have an interest in promoting the accountability of elected representatives. Building on the work of Desposato and Naurin and Öhberg, this survey experiment presented research designs to UK citizens for their evaluation. The findings show that citizens strongly approve of experimental research on Members of Parliament (MPs) and are glad to see their representatives participate. There are no differences in support whether designs use identity deception, debriefing, confederates or pre-agreement from MPs. Linked to high interest in politics, more citizens are glad their MPs participate in studies using identity deception than those deploying confederates.
关于民选官员反应能力的实验突显了开展研究的自由与受试者受到尊重的权利之间的紧张关系。争论源于政客阻止或反对使用身份欺骗的实验设计的权力。解决这一难题的一种方法是咨询公民,他们作为政治家的选民,有兴趣促进民选代表的问责制。在Desposato、Naurin和Öhberg工作的基础上,这项调查实验向英国公民提供了研究设计,供他们评估。调查结果表明,公民强烈赞成对国会议员的实验研究,并很高兴看到他们的代表参与其中。无论设计是使用身份欺骗、汇报、联盟还是国会议员的预先同意,支持率都没有差异。与对政治的高度兴趣有关,与部署邦联的议员相比,更多的公民很高兴他们的议员参与使用身份欺骗的研究。
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引用次数: 0
The Limits of Lobbying: Null Effects from Four Field Experiments in Two State Legislatures 游说的极限:来自两个州立法机构的四个实地实验的无效效应
IF 3.6 Q1 POLITICAL SCIENCE Pub Date : 2023-02-08 DOI: 10.1017/xps.2022.25
Matthew J. Camp, Michael Schwam-Baird, Adam Zelizer
It is widely thought that lobbyists exert influence over legislators’ policy positions and, as a result, over policy outcomes. One mechanism of influence is the provision of policy expertise. Yet, there is little credible empirical evidence that lobbyists’ expertise influences legislative outcomes. Across four experiments fielded with three lobbyists in two state legislatures that examine two public measures of legislators’ positions, we find no evidence that lobbyists’ expertise influences legislators’ policy positions. We do find, in contrast, that the same policy expertise treatment is influential when provided by a legislative staffer. We conclude that policy information can influence legislators’ positions, but that legislators are cautious when that information is provided by lobbyists.
人们普遍认为,游说者对立法者的政策立场施加影响,从而影响政策结果。一种影响机制是提供政策专门知识。然而,几乎没有可靠的经验证据表明游说者的专业知识会影响立法结果。通过对两个州立法机构的三名游说者进行的四个实验,考察了立法者立场的两种公共衡量标准,我们发现没有证据表明游说者的专业知识影响立法者的政策立场。相比之下,我们确实发现,当立法工作人员提供同样的政策专业知识待遇时,这种待遇是有影响力的。我们的结论是,政策信息可以影响立法者的立场,但当这些信息是由游说者提供时,立法者是谨慎的。
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引用次数: 1
Political and Social Discussion Network Survey Items Are Not Interchangeable 政治和社会讨论网络调查项目不可互换
IF 3.6 Q1 POLITICAL SCIENCE Pub Date : 2023-01-16 DOI: 10.1017/XPS.2022.34
J. Reilly, Jack K. Belk
Abstract Experimentalists and survey researchers regularly measure the makeup and size of respondent personal discussion networks to learn about the social context in which citizens make political choices. When measuring these personal networks, some scholars use question prompts that specifically ask respondents about whom they discuss “politics” with, while others use more general prompts that ask respondents about whom they discuss “important matters” with. Prior research suggests that “political” discussion network prompts create self-reported networks that are substantively similar to “important matters” prompts. We conduct a nationally representative survey experiment to re-evaluate this question. Our results suggest that, although the size of networks generated by the two questions may be similar on average, the two questions generate different response distributions overall. In particular, respondents interested in politics report larger political discussion networks than general discussion networks, and respondents uninterested in politics report smaller political discussion networks than general discussion networks.
摘要实验学家和调查研究人员定期测量受访者个人讨论网络的组成和规模,以了解公民做出政治选择的社会背景。在衡量这些个人网络时,一些学者使用问题提示,专门询问受访者与谁讨论“政治”,而另一些学者则使用更一般的提示,询问受访者与哪些人讨论“重要事项”。先前的研究表明,“政治”讨论网络提示创建了与“重要事项”提示实质上相似的自我报告网络。我们进行了一项具有全国代表性的调查实验来重新评估这个问题。我们的研究结果表明,尽管这两个问题产生的网络规模平均可能相似,但这两个主题总体上产生了不同的响应分布。特别是,对政治感兴趣的受访者报告的政治讨论网络比一般讨论网络大,对政治不感兴趣的调查对象报告的政治论述网络比一般论述网络小。
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引用次数: 0
XPS volume 10 issue 3 Cover and Back matter XPS第10卷第3期封面和封底
Q1 POLITICAL SCIENCE Pub Date : 2023-01-01 DOI: 10.1017/xps.2023.38
An abstract is not available for this content so a preview has been provided. As you have access to this content, a full PDF is available via the ‘Save PDF’ action button.
此内容的摘要不可用,因此提供了预览。当您可以访问此内容时,可以通过“保存PDF”操作按钮获得完整的PDF。
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引用次数: 0
XPS volume 10 issue 1 Cover and Back matter XPS第10卷第1期封面和封底
IF 3.6 Q1 POLITICAL SCIENCE Pub Date : 2023-01-01 DOI: 10.1017/xps.2023.9
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引用次数: 0
XPS volume 10 issue 1 Cover and Front matter XPS第10卷第1期封面和封面问题
IF 3.6 Q1 POLITICAL SCIENCE Pub Date : 2023-01-01 DOI: 10.1017/xps.2023.2
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引用次数: 0
XPS volume 10 issue 3 Cover and Front matter XPS第10卷第3期封面和封面问题
Q1 POLITICAL SCIENCE Pub Date : 2023-01-01 DOI: 10.1017/xps.2023.37
An abstract is not available for this content so a preview has been provided. As you have access to this content, a full PDF is available via the ‘Save PDF’ action button.
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引用次数: 0
期刊
Journal of Experimental Political Science
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