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Early Humidity Measurements by Louis Morin in Paris between 1701 and 1711—Data and Metadata 1701年至1711年间Louis Morin在巴黎的早期湿度测量——数据和元数据
IF 3.7 Q2 METEOROLOGY & ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES Pub Date : 2023-07-23 DOI: 10.3390/cli11070156
Thomas Pliemon, U. Foelsche, C. Rohr, C. Pfister
This paper discusses what is, to our knowledge, the oldest subdaily measurement series of humidity taken over several years. Louis Morin performed the measurements in Paris, three times a day, between May 1701 and June 1711. A correlation analysis of Morin’s humidity measurements with various meteorological variables yields results comparable to those of a parallel analysis of the relative humidity measurements of the E-OBS data: the Spearman correlation coefficient between the humidity and the daily minimum temperature is −0.43 (p < 0.01); with the mean temperature, it is −0.54 (p < 0.01); with the maximum temperature, it is −0.59 (p < 0.01); with the diurnal temperature range, it is −0.65 (p < 0.01); and with the total cloud cover, 0.33 (p < 0.01). However, with a Spearman correlation coefficient of 0.11 (p < 0.01), no correlation is found with the precipitation data. Further evidence for the plausibility of the measurements is shown by a day-by-day analysis of the first half-year of 1709. Here, abrupt changes in the humidity measurements of Morin can be explained by the other measurements/observations of Morin. According to the correlation analysis, indirect notes in his journal, and others, we argue that Morin used the hygrometer developed by Vincenzo Viviani. However, the conversion of the data to common units is not performed and is subject to further research.
据我们所知,本文讨论了几年来最古老的亚日湿度测量系列。1701年5月至1711年6月,路易斯·莫林在巴黎进行了一天三次的测量。Morin湿度测量值与各种气象变量的相关性分析得出的结果与E-OBS数据相对湿度测量值的平行分析结果相当:湿度与日最低温度之间的Spearman相关系数为-0.43(p<0.01);平均温度为−0.54(p<0.01);最高温度为−0.59(p<0.01);在昼夜温度范围内为−0.65(p<0.01);与总云量的相关系数为0.33(p<0.01)。然而,Spearman相关系数为0.11(p<0.01),与降水数据没有相关性。1709年上半年的逐日分析显示了测量结果合理性的进一步证据。在这里,Morin湿度测量的突然变化可以用Morin的其他测量/观测来解释。根据相关分析、其期刊上的间接注释以及其他内容,我们认为Morin使用了Vincenzo Viviani开发的湿度计。然而,没有将数据转换为通用单位,有待进一步研究。
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引用次数: 1
Scale Dependence of Errors in Snow Water Equivalent Simulations Using ERA5 Reanalysis over Alpine Basins 高山盆地ERA5再分析雪水当量模拟误差的尺度相关性
IF 3.7 Q2 METEOROLOGY & ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES Pub Date : 2023-07-21 DOI: 10.3390/cli11070154
Susen Shrestha, M. Zaramella, M. Callegari, F. Greifeneder, M. Borga
This study aims to evaluate the potential of ERA5 precipitation and temperature reanalysis for snow water equivalent (SWE) simulation by considering the role of catchment spatial scale in controlling the errors obtained by comparison with corresponding SWE simulations from ground stations. This is obtained by exploiting a semi-distributed snowpack model (TOPMELT) implemented over the upper Adige River basin in the Eastern Italian Alps, where 16 sub-catchments of varying sizes are considered. The comparison is carried out from 1992 to 2019. The findings show that ERA5 precipitation overestimated low-intensity rainfall (drizzle problem) and underestimated high-intensity rainfall, while ERA5 temperature underestimated observations. The overestimation of low-intensity rainfall created fictitious low-intensity snowfall events, which, when combined with colder ERA5 temperature, resulted in delayed snowmelt and increased fictitious snow-cover days over the study area. The quantile mapping (QM) technique was used to remove errors in ERA5 variables. It was shown that ERA5 could struggle to resolve the orographic enhancement in precipitation, which may be particularly important during high-SWE years. This reduces the positive precipitation bias during those years, thus reducing comparatively the ability of the quantile mapping technique to correct for bias homogeneously during all years. This study highlighted the importance of temperature correction over precipitation correction in SWE simulation, particularly for smaller basins.
本研究旨在通过考虑集水区空间尺度在控制误差方面的作用,评估ERA5降水和温度再分析在雪水当量(SWE)模拟中的潜力,该误差是通过与地面站的相应SWE模拟进行比较而获得的。这是通过利用在意大利阿尔卑斯山脉东部阿迪格河上游流域实施的半分布积雪模型(TOPMELT)获得的,该模型考虑了16个不同大小的子流域。该比较是在1992年至2019年期间进行的。研究结果表明,ERA5降水高估了低强度降雨(细雨问题),低估了高强度降雨,而ERA5温度低估了观测结果。对低强度降雨的高估造成了虚构的低强度降雪事件,当与较冷的ERA5温度相结合时,导致融雪延迟,并增加了研究区域的虚构积雪天数。使用分位数映射(QM)技术来消除ERA5变量中的错误。研究表明,ERA5可能难以解决降水的地形增强问题,这在SWE高年份可能尤为重要。这减少了这些年份的正降水偏差,从而相对降低了分位数映射技术在所有年份均匀校正偏差的能力。这项研究强调了SWE模拟中温度校正相对于降水校正的重要性,特别是对于较小的盆地。
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引用次数: 0
Evaluation of the 3DVAR Operational Implementation of the Colombian Air Force for Aircraft Operations: A Case Study 哥伦比亚空军飞机作战3DVAR作战实施评估:一个案例研究
IF 3.7 Q2 METEOROLOGY & ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES Pub Date : 2023-07-20 DOI: 10.3390/cli11070153
Jhon E. Hinestroza-Ramirez, Juan Ernesto Soto Barbosa, Andrés Yarce Botero, Danilo Andrés Suárez Higuita, Santiago Lopez-Restrepo, Lisseth Milena Cruz Ruiz, Valeria Sólorzano Araque, Andres Céspedes, Sara Lorduy Hernandez, Richard Caceres, Giovanni Jiménez‐Sánchez, O. Quintero
This manuscript introduces an exploratory case study of the SIMFAC’s (Sistema de Información Meteorológica de la Fuerza Aérea Colombiana) operational implementation of the Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) model with a 3DVAR (three-dimensional variational) data assimilation scheme that provides meteorological information for military, public, and private aviation. In particular, it investigates whether the assimilation scheme in SIMFAC’s implementation improves the prediction of the variables of interest compared to the implementation without data assimilation (CTRL). Consequently, this study compares SIMFAC’S 3DVAR-WRF operational implementation in Colombia with a CTRL with the same parameterization (without 3DVAR assimilation) against the ground and satellite observations in two operational forecast windows. The simulations are as long as an operational run, and the evaluation is performed using the root mean square error, the mean fractional bias, the percent bias, the correlation factor, and metrics based on contingency tables. It also evaluates the model’s results according to the regions of Colombia, accounting for the country’s topographical differences. The findings reveal that, in general, the operational forecast (3DVAR) is similar to the CTRL without data assimilation, indicating the need for further improvement of the 3DVAR-WRF implementation.
本文介绍了SIMFAC(Sistema de Información Meteorológica de la Fuerza Aérea Colombiana)利用3DVAR(三维变分)数据同化方案实施天气研究和预测(WRF)模型的探索性案例研究,该方案为军事、公共和私人航空提供气象信息。特别是,它调查了与没有数据同化(CTRL)的实施相比,SIMFAC实施中的同化方案是否改进了对感兴趣变量的预测。因此,本研究将SIMFAC在哥伦比亚的3DVAR-WRF操作实施与具有相同参数化(没有3DVAR同化)的CTRL在两个操作预测窗口中的地面和卫星观测进行了比较。模拟与操作运行一样长,使用均方根误差、平均分数偏差、百分比偏差、相关系数和基于列联表的指标进行评估。它还根据哥伦比亚的地区评估了该模型的结果,考虑到该国的地形差异。研究结果表明,总体而言,在没有数据同化的情况下,作战预测(3DVAR)与CTRL相似,这表明需要进一步改进3DVAR-WRF的实施。
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引用次数: 0
Artificial Neural Network (ANN)-Based Long-Term Streamflow Forecasting Models Using Climate Indices for Three Tributaries of Goulburn River, Australia 基于人工神经网络的澳大利亚古尔本河三支流气候指数长期径流预测模型
IF 3.7 Q2 METEOROLOGY & ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES Pub Date : 2023-07-19 DOI: 10.3390/cli11070152
S. Oad, M. Imteaz, F. Mekanik
Water resources systems planning, and control are significantly influenced by streamflow forecasting. The streamflow in northern and north-central regions of Victoria (Australia) is influenced by different climate indices, such as El Niño Southern Oscillation, Interdecadal Pacific Oscillation, Pacific Decadal Oscillation, and Indian Ocean Dipole. This paper presents the development of the ANN model using machine learning with the multi-layer perceptron and Levenberg algorithm for long-term streamflow forecasting for three tributaries of Goulburn River located within Victoria through establishing relationships between climate indices and streamflow. The climate indices were used as input predictors and the models’ performances were analyzed through best fit correlation. The higher correlation values of the developed models evident from Pearson regression (R) values ranging from 0.61 to 0.95 reveal the models’ acceptability. The accuracies of ANN models were evaluated using statistical measures such as Root Mean Square Error (RMSE), Mean Absolute Error (MAE) and Mean Absolute Percentage Error (MAPE). It is found that considering R, RMSE, MAE and MAPE values, the ENSO has more influence (61% to 95%) on the streamflow of Goulburn River tributaries than other climate drivers. Moreover, it is concluded that Acheron ANN models are the best models that can be confidently used to forecast the streamflow even six-months ahead.
水流预报对水资源系统的规划和控制具有重要影响。澳大利亚维多利亚州北部和中北部地区的水流受到El Niño南方涛动、太平洋年代际涛动、太平洋年代际涛动和印度洋偶极子等不同气候指数的影响。本文介绍了利用多层感知器和Levenberg算法的机器学习发展人工神经网络模型,通过建立气候指数与流量之间的关系,对位于维多利亚境内的古尔本河三条支流进行长期流量预测。以气候指数作为输入预测因子,通过最佳拟合相关分析模型的性能。Pearson回归(R)值在0.61 ~ 0.95之间,表明模型的可接受性较高。采用均方根误差(RMSE)、平均绝对误差(MAE)和平均绝对百分比误差(MAPE)等统计指标评估人工神经网络模型的准确性。研究发现,考虑R、RMSE、MAE和MAPE值,ENSO对古尔本河支流流量的影响大于其他气候驱动因子(61% ~ 95%)。此外,还得出结论,Acheron人工神经网络模型是最好的模型,可以自信地用于预测未来6个月的流量。
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引用次数: 1
Upwelling in Marginal Seas and Its Association with Climate Change Scenario—A Comparative Review 边缘海上升流及其与气候变化情景的关系——比较回顾
IF 3.7 Q2 METEOROLOGY & ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES Pub Date : 2023-07-18 DOI: 10.3390/cli11070151
Muhammad Satar, M. Akhir, Zuraini Zainol, J. Chung
After Bakun proposed his hypothesis in 1990 regarding upwelling under climate change, researchers conducted intensive studies to obtain the trends, current status, and future predictions of upwelling. Numerous studies have mainly focused on four major upwelling areas, which are part of the Eastern Boundary Upwelling System (EBUS). However, despite its importance, little attention has been given to the marginal seas upwelling areas such as the South China Sea (SCS), Arabian Sea, Baltic Sea, and other small-scale upwelling locations. Here, we combined several published studies to develop a new synthesis describing climate change impacts on these areas. There had been uncertainty regarding the intensification of upwelling, depending on the locations, data type, and method used. For the SCS, Vietnam and the northern SCS showed intensifying upwelling trends, while the Taiwan Strait showed a decreasing trend. Separate studies in eastern Hainan and the Arabian Sea (Somali and Oman) showed contrasting results, where both increasing and decreasing trends of upwelling had been recorded. Like the SCS, the Baltic Sea showed different results for different areas as they found negative trends along the Polish, Latvian and Estonian, and positive trends along the Swedish coast of the Baltic Sea and the Finnish coast of the Gulf of Finland. While small scales upwelling in La Guajira and southern Java showed increasing and decreasing trends, respectively. All of these limited studies suggest that researchers need to conduct a lot more studies, including the future projection of upwelling, by using climate models to develop a new understanding of how the upwelling in the SCS responds to climate change.
在1990年Bakun提出关于气候变化下上升流的假说后,研究人员进行了深入的研究,以获得上升流的趋势、现状和未来预测。大量研究主要集中在东部边界上升流系统(EBUS)的四个主要上升流区域。然而,尽管它很重要,但对边缘海上升流区域如南海、阿拉伯海、波罗的海和其他小规模上升流区域的关注却很少。在这里,我们结合了几项已发表的研究,开发了一个新的综合描述气候变化对这些地区的影响。由于地点、数据类型和使用的方法不同,上升流的强度存在不确定性。南海方面,越南和南海北部上升流趋势增强,台湾海峡上升流趋势减弱。在海南东部和阿拉伯海(索马里和阿曼)分别进行的研究显示了相反的结果,上升流既有增加趋势,也有减少趋势。与南海一样,波罗的海在不同地区也显示出不同的结果,他们发现波兰、拉脱维亚和爱沙尼亚沿岸呈负趋势,而波罗的海的瑞典海岸和芬兰湾的芬兰海岸呈正趋势。而拉瓜希拉和爪哇南部的小尺度上升流则分别呈现增加和减少的趋势。所有这些有限的研究都表明,研究人员需要进行更多的研究,包括通过使用气候模型来预测上升流的未来,从而对南海的上升流如何响应气候变化有一个新的认识。
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引用次数: 0
Potentiality of Charcoal as a Dendrochronological and Paleoclimatic Archive: Case Study of Archaeological Charcoal from Southeastern Altai, Russia 木炭作为树木年代学和古气候档案的潜力:以俄罗斯阿尔泰东南部考古木炭为例
IF 3.7 Q2 METEOROLOGY & ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES Pub Date : 2023-07-16 DOI: 10.3390/cli11070150
A. Agatova, R. Nepop, V. Myglan, V. Barinov, A. Tainik, M. Filatova
Archaeological charcoal from ancient nomad iron-smelting furnaces collected in the highland southeastern Russian Altai has great potential as a material for tree ring analysis. Dendrochronological dating was applied to 355 viable samples (>80% of the 448 collected ones), prepared using a new protocol. Individual tree ring series of 155 (~43%) samples were used to construct nine floating chronologies from 76 to 290 rings long. The archaeological and radiocarbon data on charcoal that fueled the hearths of the Kosh-Agach type bracket the floating tree ring chronologies between the second and tenth centuries AD. The results demonstrate that long tree ring “steppe” chronologies can be obtained for intermontane basins in the arid zone of Southern Siberia, using the analysis of charcoal samples. A strong climate signal imprinted in the annual growth of trees allowed for crossdating samples with relatively few rings. The revealed common climate signal for larches from different locations indicates similar paleoclimate conditions of their growth despite the strong modern southeastward aridization trend in the region, which was not so pronounced ca. 1.5 ka ago. The further matching of these chronologies to the calendar timeline will provide reference for the precise comparison of climatic conditions in the floors of intermontane basins and in the flanking mountains.
在俄罗斯阿尔泰东南部高地采集的古代游牧铁冶炼炉的考古木炭作为树木年轮分析的材料具有很大的潜力。使用新方案制备的355个活样本(448个样本中的80%以上)进行了树木年代测定。155个(~43%)样本的单个树木年轮系列被用于构建从76到290个年轮长的九个浮动年表。为科什-阿加赫类型的壁炉提供燃料的木炭的考古和放射性碳数据将公元2世纪至10世纪之间的浮动树木年轮年表纳入其中。结果表明,通过对木炭样本的分析,可以获得西伯利亚南部干旱区山间盆地的长树木年轮“草原”年表。强烈的气候信号印在树木的年度生长中,可以用相对较少的年轮对样本进行年代测定。来自不同地区的落叶松所揭示的共同气候信号表明,尽管该地区存在强烈的现代东南干旱趋势,但其生长的古气候条件相似,而这一趋势在大约1.5卡前并不明显。这些年表与日历时间线的进一步匹配将为山间盆地底部和两侧山脉的气候条件的精确比较提供参考。
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引用次数: 0
Extreme Recreational Conditions in the Black Sea Resorts Associated with the North Atlantic Climate 与北大西洋气候有关的黑海度假胜地的极端娱乐条件
IF 3.7 Q2 METEOROLOGY & ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES Pub Date : 2023-07-14 DOI: 10.3390/cli11070148
Anna A. Stefanovich, E. Voskresenskaya, V. Maslova
The tourist and recreational conditions of the Mediterranean-Black Sea resorts are closely related to hydrometeorological anomalies, which in turn are largely associated with the North Atlantic climate. The aim of this paper was to study the change and variability of the bioclimatic indices and their extremes at the Black Sea resorts (on the example of Yalta, Southern coast of Crimea, and Sochi, Caucasian coast) associated with the North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) and East Atlantic Oscillation (EAO). Using daily NCEP/NCAR (2.5° × 2.5°) and E-OBS (0.25° × 0.25°) reanalysis datasets, bioclimatic indices (wind cooling index, weight oxygen content, and equivalent-effective temperature) were calculated for January and July in 1950–2013/2018. The extreme index values were obtained using the 5th and 95th percentile relative thresholds. The results suggest that bioclimatic indices in Yalta are more sensitive to the global warming effect than those in Sochi, likely due to the geographical features. As a result, Yalta is becoming a year-round resort. It was shown for both resorts that negative EAO phase is significantly manifested in the increase of windy days in July versus the increase of windless days in the positive phase, and in the more frequent fresh and cold days in July (versus the opposite conditions in the positive phase only in Yalta). The NAO manifestations are mostly less pronounced than those of the EAO and are more significant in Sochi (mostly in January and in the negative NAO phase). Thus, it was shown that extreme values of bioclimatic indices occur at both resorts on the interannual scale depending on the NAO and EAO phases, but the conditions remain in the comfort range for now, even with the significant linear trends. The study can be expanded to other Mediterranean–Black Sea resorts for their sustainable development in a changing climate.
地中海-黑海度假胜地的旅游和娱乐条件与水文气象异常密切相关,而水文气象异常又在很大程度上与北大西洋气候有关。本文的目的是研究黑海度假胜地(以克里米亚南部海岸雅尔塔和高加索海岸索契为例)与北大西洋涛动(NAO)和东大西洋涛动(EAO)相关的生物气候指数及其极端值的变化和可变性。利用每日NCEP/NCAR(2.5°×2.5°)和E-OBS(0.25°×0.25°)再分析数据集,计算了1950-2013/2018年1月和7月的生物气候指数(风冷却指数、重氧含量和等效有效温度)。使用第5和第95百分位的相对阈值获得极端指数值。研究结果表明,与索契相比,雅尔塔的生物气候指数对全球变暖影响更敏感,这可能是由于地理特征。因此,雅尔塔正成为一个全年开放的度假胜地。研究表明,对于这两个度假村,负EAO阶段显著表现为7月有风天数的增加,而正阶段无风天数的减少,以及7月更频繁的新鲜和寒冷天数(而正阶段只有雅尔塔的情况相反)。NAO的表现大多不如EAO明显,在索契更为显著(主要在1月份和NAO阴性阶段)。因此,研究表明,根据NAO和EAO阶段,这两个度假胜地的生物气候指数在年际尺度上都会出现极值,但目前情况仍处于舒适范围内,即使存在显著的线性趋势。这项研究可以扩展到其他地中海-黑海度假胜地,以促进它们在气候变化中的可持续发展。
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引用次数: 0
Emission and Reduction of Air Pollutants from Charcoal-Making Process in the Vietnamese Mekong Delta 越南湄公河三角洲制炭过程中大气污染物的排放与减少
IF 3.7 Q2 METEOROLOGY & ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES Pub Date : 2023-07-14 DOI: 10.3390/cli11070149
P. V. Toan, Lavane Kim, N. Thành, Huynh Long Toan, Le Anh Tuan, Huỳnh Vương Thu Minh, Pankaj Kumar
Charcoal is a fuelwood commonly used for domestic purposes on the household scale in Africa and Southeast Asia. Earnings from charcoal production contribute to the income of local inhabitants in rural areas. Unfortunately, airborne emissions from the traditional charcoal-making process affect both human health and the ambient environment. A series of studies were performed at a charcoal-making village in the Vietnamese Mekong Delta (VMD) to assess: (i) air pollutant emissions from the traditional charcoal-making process; (ii) the impacts on human well-being and the environment of traditional charcoal production; (iii) the loading of carbon dioxide from a charcoal-making kiln; and (iv) the efficiency in reducing contaminants of an air pollution-controlling method developed at a charcoal-making kiln. Study results revealed that the traditional charcoal-making method causes a substantial loss of carbon from fuelwood materials and emits the products of incomplete combustion. These contaminants negatively impact human well-being and the environment. Carbon dioxide and incomplete combustion substances emitted from the charcoal-making kiln are potential causes of the global warming phenomenon. The installation of an air pollution-controlling system at the charcoal-making kiln is recommended as an urgent solution before alternatives would be found to control the impacts of charcoal production.
木炭是一种薪材,通常用于非洲和东南亚家庭规模的家庭用途。木炭生产的收入有助于农村地区当地居民的收入。不幸的是,传统制炭过程的空气排放既影响人类健康,也影响周围环境。在越南湄公河三角洲(VMD)的一个制炭村进行了一系列研究,以评估:(i)传统制炭过程产生的空气污染物排放;(ii)传统木炭生产对人类福祉和环境的影响;(iii)从制炭窑装载二氧化碳;(四)在制炭窑开发的空气污染控制方法在减少污染物方面的效率。研究结果表明,传统的制炭方法造成薪材碳的大量损失,并排放不完全燃烧的产物。这些污染物对人类福祉和环境产生负面影响。炭窑排放的二氧化碳和不完全燃烧物质是造成全球变暖现象的潜在原因。在找到控制木炭生产影响的替代办法之前,建议在制炭窑安装空气污染控制系统作为紧急解决办法。
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引用次数: 0
The Drought Regime in Southern Africa: A Systematic Review 非洲南部的干旱状况:系统回顾
IF 3.7 Q2 METEOROLOGY & ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES Pub Date : 2023-07-13 DOI: 10.3390/cli11070147
Fernando Maliti Chivangulula, M. Amraoui, M. Pereira
Drought is one natural disaster with the greatest impact worldwide. Southern Africa (SA) is susceptible and vulnerable to drought due to its type of climate. In the last four decades, droughts have occurred more frequently, with increasing intensity and impacts on ecosystems, agriculture, and health. The work consists of a systematic literature review on the drought regime’s characteristics in the SA under current and future climatic conditions, conducted on the Web of Science and Scopus platforms, using the PRISMA2020 methodology, with usual and appropriate inclusion and exclusion criteria to minimize/eliminate the risk of bias, which lead to 53 documents published after the year 1987. The number of publications on the drought regime in SA is still very small. The country with the most drought situations studied is South Africa, and the countries with fewer studies are Angola and Namibia. The analysis revealed that the main driver of drought in SA is the ocean–atmosphere interactions, including the El Niño Southern Oscillation. The documents used drought indices, evaluating drought descriptors for some regions, but it was not possible to identify one publication that reports the complete study of the drought regime, including the spatial and temporal distribution of all drought descriptors in SA.
干旱是世界范围内影响最大的自然灾害之一。南部非洲由于其气候类型,易受干旱影响。在过去的四十年里,干旱发生的频率越来越高,对生态系统、农业和健康的影响越来越大。这项工作包括在科学网和Scopus平台上使用PRISMA2020方法对SA在当前和未来气候条件下的干旱状况特征进行的系统文献综述,以及通常和适当的纳入和排除标准,以最大限度地减少/消除偏差风险,这导致1987年后发表了53份文件。关于南非干旱状况的出版物数量仍然很少。研究干旱情况最多的国家是南非,研究较少的国家是安哥拉和纳米比亚。分析表明,南半球干旱的主要驱动因素是海洋-大气相互作用,包括厄尔尼诺南方涛动。这些文件使用了干旱指数,评估了一些地区的干旱描述符,但无法确定一份报告干旱状况完整研究的出版物,包括SA中所有干旱描述符的空间和时间分布。
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引用次数: 1
The Changing Climate Is Changing Safe Drinking Water, Impacting Health: A Case in the Southwestern Coastal Region of Bangladesh (SWCRB) 气候变化正在改变安全饮用水,影响健康:孟加拉国西南沿海地区(SWCRB)的一例
IF 3.7 Q2 METEOROLOGY & ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES Pub Date : 2023-07-12 DOI: 10.3390/cli11070146
M. Ashrafuzzaman, C. Gomes, João Guerra
This study focuses on investigating the impact of climate change on the availability of safe drinking water and human health in the Southwest Coastal Region of Bangladesh (SWCRB). Additionally, it explores local adaptation approaches aimed at addressing these challenges. The research employed a combination of qualitative and quantitative methods to gather data. Qualitative data were collected through various means such as case studies, workshops, focus group discussions (FGDs), interviews, and key informant interviews (KIIs). The study specifically collected qualitative data from 12 unions in the Shyamnagar Upazila. On the other hand, through the quantitative method, we collected respondents’ answers through a closed-ended questionnaire survey from 320 respondents from nine unions in the first phase of this study. In the next phase, we also collected data from the three most vulnerable unions of Shyamnagar Upazila, namely Poddo Pukur, Gabura, and Burigoalini, where 1579 respondents answered questions regarding safe drinking water and health conditions due to climate change. The findings of the study indicate that local communities in the region acknowledge the significant impact of sea-level rise (SLR) on freshwater sources and overall well-being, primarily due to increased salinity. Over 70% of the respondents identified gastrointestinal issues, hypertension, diarrhea, malnutrition, and skin diseases as major waterborne health risks arising from salinity and lack of access to safe water. Among the vulnerable groups, women and children were found to be particularly susceptible to waterborne diseases related to salinity. While the study highlights the presence of certain adaptation measures against health-related problems, such as community clinics and health centers at the upazila level, as well as seeking healthcare from local and paramedical doctors, it notes that these measures are insufficient. In terms of safe drinking water, communities have adopted various adaptation strategies, including pond excavation to remove saline water (partially making it potable), implementing pond sand filters, rainwater harvesting, and obtaining potable water from alternative sources. However, these efforts alone do not fully address the challenges associated with ensuring safe drinking water.
本研究的重点是调查气候变化对孟加拉国西南沿海地区安全饮用水供应和人类健康的影响。此外,它还探讨了旨在应对这些挑战的地方适应方法。这项研究采用了定性和定量相结合的方法来收集数据。定性数据是通过各种方式收集的,如案例研究、研讨会、焦点小组讨论、访谈和关键线人访谈。该研究专门收集了Shyamnagar Upazila的12个结合的定性数据。另一方面,在本研究的第一阶段,我们通过定量方法,对来自九个工会的320名受访者进行了封闭式问卷调查,收集了受访者的答案。在下一阶段,我们还收集了Shyamnagar Upazila三个最脆弱的工会的数据,即Poddo Pukur、Gabura和Burigoalini,其中1579名受访者回答了有关气候变化导致的安全饮用水和健康状况的问题。研究结果表明,该地区的当地社区认识到海平面上升对淡水来源和整体福祉的重大影响,主要是由于盐度增加。超过70%的受访者认为,胃肠道问题、高血压、腹泻、营养不良和皮肤病是由盐度和缺乏安全水引起的主要水传播健康风险。在弱势群体中,妇女和儿童特别容易感染与盐度有关的水传播疾病。尽管该研究强调了针对健康相关问题的某些适应措施的存在,如乌帕齐拉级别的社区诊所和卫生中心,以及向当地和辅助医疗医生寻求医疗保健,但它指出,这些措施是不够的。在安全饮用水方面,社区采取了各种适应策略,包括挖掘池塘以去除盐水(部分使其成为饮用水)、实施池塘砂滤器、雨水收集以及从替代来源获得饮用水。然而,仅凭这些努力并不能完全解决与确保安全饮用水相关的挑战。
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