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Global Riverine Archaeology and Cultural Heritage: Flood-Risk Management and Adaptation for the Anthropogenic Climate Change Crisis 全球河流考古与文化遗产:人为气候变化危机的洪水风险管理与适应
Q2 METEOROLOGY & ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES Pub Date : 2023-09-25 DOI: 10.3390/cli11100197
Bethune Carmichael, Cathy Daly, Sandra Fatorić, Mark Macklin, Sue McIntyre-Tamwoy, Witiya Pittungnapoo
Significant riverine archaeological sites around the world are vulnerable to flooding associated with climate change. However, identifying sites most at risk is not straightforward. We critically review the parameters used in 22 published analyses of risk to riverine archaeology from climate change (ARRACC). Covering 17 countries globally, the ARRACC’s risk parameters are highly variable. Proximity to rivers and projected changes to extreme flood frequency are the most commonly employed. However, to be robust, future ARRACC should select from a wider range of hazard parameters, including channel mobility/type, erosion/sedimentation patterns, land use and engineering works, as well as parameters for site sensitivity to flooding and heritage significance. To assist in this, we propose a basic field survey for ARRACC, to be treated primarily as a conceptual checklist or as a starting point for a bespoke ARRACC method adapted for a particular river and the objectives of local stakeholders. The framework proposes a pathway to optimal prioritisation of sites most in need of adaptation so that scarce management resources can be targeted.
世界各地重要的河流考古遗址都很容易受到与气候变化有关的洪水的影响。然而,确定最危险的地点并不简单。我们严格审查了22篇已发表的关于气候变化对河流考古风险的分析(ARRACC)中使用的参数。ARRACC覆盖全球17个国家,其风险参数变化很大。最常用的方法是靠近河流和预测极端洪水频率的变化。然而,未来的ARRACC应该从更广泛的危险参数中进行选择,包括渠道流动性/类型、侵蚀/沉积模式、土地使用和工程,以及对洪水和遗产意义的地点敏感性参数。为此,我们建议对ARRACC进行基本的实地调查,主要作为概念性清单或作为定制ARRACC方法的起点,该方法适用于特定河流和当地利益相关者的目标。该框架提出了一个最需要适应的地点的最佳优先次序的途径,以便可以针对稀缺的管理资源。
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引用次数: 0
Credible Pathways to Catching Up with Climate Goals in Nigeria 尼日利亚实现气候目标的可靠途径
Q2 METEOROLOGY & ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES Pub Date : 2023-09-21 DOI: 10.3390/cli11090196
Samuel Chukwujindu Nwokolo, Edson L. Meyer, Chinedu Christian Ahia
This paper seeks to address Nigeria’s challenges in meeting its climate objectives by investigating feasible pathways that can be implemented to accelerate progress and ensure credibility in meeting these targets. By examining the current policies and practices in place as well as successful strategies employed by other countries, this paper aims to provide strategies and policy implications recommendations for Nigeria to enhance its climate action efforts. The potential scenarios developed in this study ranged from increasing renewable energy capacity to implementing stricter regulations and standards for industries to reduce their carbon footprint, promote sustainable production processes, and strengthen climate governance and policy frameworks. The authors further investigated these measures and discovered that implementing stricter regulations and standards for industries would reduce their carbon footprint, promote sustainable production processes, and strengthen climate governance and policy frameworks. As such, Nigeria will be able to meet its climate goals more quickly as a result of the following factors: preventing environmental degradation, funding environmentally friendly infrastructure, and improving public transportation systems that can reduce vehicle-related greenhouse gas emissions. The authors developed policy measures based on the proposed twelve credible pathways to catching up with climate goals in Nigeria, thereby promoting faster progress by the Nigerian government in achieving climate goals. By adopting these measures, Nigeria’s progress toward the proposed zero net by 2060 will be significantly accelerated. It will position Nigeria as a continental leader in sustainable development and contribute to the overall global efforts to mitigate climate change. This will not only benefit the environment but also lead to financial development and an improved standard of living for its citizens.
本文试图通过调查可行的途径来解决尼日利亚在实现其气候目标方面面临的挑战,这些途径可以加快进展并确保实现这些目标的可信度。通过研究当前的政策和实践以及其他国家采用的成功战略,本文旨在为尼日利亚提供战略和政策建议,以加强其气候行动努力。本研究提出的潜在情景包括增加可再生能源产能,实施更严格的行业法规和标准,以减少碳足迹,促进可持续生产过程,加强气候治理和政策框架。作者进一步调查了这些措施,发现对行业实施更严格的法规和标准将减少碳足迹,促进可持续生产过程,并加强气候治理和政策框架。因此,由于以下因素,尼日利亚将能够更快地实现其气候目标:防止环境恶化,为环境友好型基础设施提供资金,改善公共交通系统,减少与车辆相关的温室气体排放。这组作者根据提出的12条可信的途径制定了政策措施,以赶超尼日利亚的气候目标,从而促进尼日利亚政府在实现气候目标方面取得更快的进展。通过采取这些措施,尼日利亚到2060年实现拟议的零净排放的进程将大大加快。它将使尼日利亚成为非洲大陆可持续发展的领导者,并为减缓气候变化的全球总体努力作出贡献。这不仅有利于环境,而且会促进金融发展,提高公民的生活水平。
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引用次数: 1
Survey on Fungi in Antarctica and High Arctic Regions, and Their Impact on Climate Change 南极和北极高纬度地区真菌调查及其对气候变化的影响
Q2 METEOROLOGY & ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES Pub Date : 2023-09-20 DOI: 10.3390/cli11090195
Masaharu Tsuji
The Antarctica and High Arctic regions are extreme environments, with average maximum temperatures below 0 °C for most days of the year. Interestingly, fungi inhabit these regions. This review describes the history of fungal surveys near the Syowa Station and the fungal diversity in this region. In the High Arctic region, I summarize the changes in the fungal communities of the glacial retreat areas of Ny-Ålesund, Norway and Ellesmere Island, Canada, in response to climate change. In addition, the ability of Antarctic and Arctic fungi to secrete enzymes at sub-zero temperatures is presented. Finally, the future directions of Antarctic and Arctic fungal research are provided.
南极洲和高北极地区是极端环境,一年中大部分时间的平均最高气温低于0°C。有趣的是,真菌栖息在这些区域。本文介绍了Syowa站附近真菌调查的历史和该地区真菌的多样性。在高北极地区,我总结了挪威Ny-Ålesund和加拿大埃尔斯米尔岛冰川退缩地区真菌群落的变化,以应对气候变化。此外,还介绍了南极和北极真菌在零下温度下分泌酶的能力。最后,对今后南极和北极真菌研究的方向进行了展望。
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引用次数: 0
Microeconomics of Nitrogen Fertilization in Boreal Carbon Forestry 北方碳林氮肥微观经济学研究
Q2 METEOROLOGY & ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES Pub Date : 2023-09-18 DOI: 10.3390/cli11090194
Petri P. Kärenlampi
The nitrogen fertilization of boreal forests is investigated in terms of microeconomics as a tool for carbon sequestration. The effects of nitrogen fertilization’s timing on the return rate on capital and the expected value of the timber stock are investigated within a set of semi-fertile, spruce-dominated boreal stands using an inventory-based growth model. Early fertilization tends to shorten rotations, reducing timber stock and carbon storage. The same applies to fertilization after the second thinning. Fertilization applied ten years before stand maturity is profitable and increases the timber stock, but the latter effect is small. The fertilization of mature stands, extending any rotation by ten years, effectively increases the carbon stock. Profitability varies but is increased by fertilization instead of merely extending the rotation.
从微观经济学的角度研究了北方森林氮肥作为固碳工具的作用。利用基于库存的生长模型,在一组半肥沃、云杉为主的北方林分中研究了氮肥施肥时间对资本回报率和木材储量期望值的影响。早期施肥往往缩短轮作,减少木材储量和碳储量。这同样适用于第二次间伐后的施肥。在林分成熟前10年施肥有利于增加木材蓄积量,但后者的效果较小。对成熟林分施肥,延长每轮10年,有效地增加了碳储量。盈利能力各不相同,但通过施肥而不是仅仅延长轮作可以提高盈利能力。
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引用次数: 0
Early Meteorological Observations in Almada (Portugal) for the Period 1788–1813 by Medical Doctors 1788-1813年医生在葡萄牙阿尔马达的早期气象观测
Q2 METEOROLOGY & ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES Pub Date : 2023-09-15 DOI: 10.3390/cli11090193
Nieves Bravo-Paredes, María Cruz Gallego, Ricardo M. Trigo, José Manuel Vaquero
Early meteorological observations have been found for the period 1788–1813 in a collection of historical documents entitled “Medical and meteorological observation books” (Livros de observações médicas e meteorológicas) that is preserved nowadays in the Municipal Historical Archive of Almada. Almada is a Portuguese city located on the southern bank of the Tagus River, near the mouth of the river, in front of the capital city of Lisbon, which is located on the northern bank. In this work, more than 5000 meteorological readings for the period 1788–1813 have been recovered and analyzed. Daily values have been preserved for the period 1788–1789. However, only monthly values have stood the test of time for the period 1792–1813. The meteorological variables recovered are temperature, pressure, wind direction and the state of the sky. A quality control was carried out to find possible errors, either in the original data or in the digitization process. Unfortunately, there is no information in the metadata about the instruments or the observational methodology. Pressure and temperature data from modern and reanalysis datasets were used as references to study the agreement between these datasets and the Almada dataset. Daily pressure and temperature values from the Almada dataset were used to study, in particular, the meteorological conditions of the winter of 1788/1789 in Almada because this season was one of the coldest in the last 300 years in Central Europe. The complete dataset of early meteorological observations in Almada is freely available to the scientific community.
1788-1813年期间的早期气象观测是在题为"医学和气象观测书" (Livros de observações m dicas e meteorológicas)的历史文献集中发现的,这些文献集现在保存在阿尔马达市历史档案馆。阿尔马达是葡萄牙的一座城市,位于塔霍河南岸,靠近河口,在位于北岸的首都里斯本的前面。在这项工作中,已经恢复和分析了1788-1813年期间的5000多个气象读数。1788年至1789年期间的日摄入量一直保持不变。然而,在1792年至1813年期间,只有月值经受住了时间的考验。恢复的气象变量是温度、气压、风向和天空状态。进行了质量控制,以发现原始数据或数字化过程中可能出现的错误。不幸的是,元数据中没有关于仪器或观测方法的信息。利用现代和再分析数据集的压力和温度数据作为参考,研究了这些数据集与Almada数据集的一致性。Almada数据集的日压力和温度值被用于研究,特别是1788/1789年冬季Almada的气象条件,因为这个季节是中欧近300年来最冷的季节之一。Almada早期气象观测的完整数据集免费提供给科学界。
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引用次数: 0
Analysis of the Composite Risk Grade for Multi Extreme Climate Events in China in Recent 60 Years 近60年来中国多次极端气候事件的综合风险等级分析
Q2 METEOROLOGY & ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES Pub Date : 2023-09-14 DOI: 10.3390/cli11090191
Cunjie Zhang, Chan Xiao, Shuai Li, Yuyu Ren, Siqi Zhang, Xiuhua Cai, Zhujie Sangbu
Much attention has been given to the change rule of a single extreme event, and there are few reports on comprehensive characteristics of multiple extreme events in a certain region. Based on the analyzes of annual frequency of extreme high temperature, extreme low temperature, extreme drought, extreme precipitation, and extreme typhoon events in China from 1961 to 2020, a multi extreme events composite risk grade index (MXCI) was constructed and applied to the comprehensive characteristics analyzes of multiple extreme events in China. The results show that the high value areas of MXCI were mainly located in southeast China and southwest China. Over the past 60 years, the MXCI has shown a decreasing trend in western China and most of southeastern China, and an increasing trend in the middle zone from southwest China to northeast China. Through comparative analysis, MXCI can objectively reflect the comprehensive characteristics of multiple extreme climate events in a region, which is helpful to understand regional extreme climate characteristics and effectively cope with extreme climate risks.
以往对单个极端事件变化规律的研究较多,对某一地区多个极端事件综合特征的研究较少。在分析1961 - 2020年中国极端高温、极端低温、极端干旱、极端降水和极端台风事件发生频次的基础上,构建了多极端事件综合风险等级指数(MXCI),并将其应用于中国多极端事件的综合特征分析。结果表明,MXCI的高值区主要分布在中国东南部和西南部。近60年来,中国西部和东南部大部分地区的MXCI呈下降趋势,西南至东北中部呈上升趋势。通过对比分析,MXCI能够客观反映一个区域内多个极端气候事件的综合特征,有助于了解区域极端气候特征,有效应对极端气候风险。
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引用次数: 0
Specifying the Gap between Nations’ Outward-Looking and Domestic Climate Policies: A Call for Measures of Domestic Climate Policy Stringency 明确各国对外气候政策与国内气候政策之间的差距:呼吁采取国内气候政策严格措施
Q2 METEOROLOGY & ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES Pub Date : 2023-09-14 DOI: 10.3390/cli11090192
Todd A. Eisenstadt, Jennifer Lopez
As nations fail to meet their climate emission mitigation goals, the ambition gap is widening between international climate policy (enacted by the United Nations) and domestic climate policy (what nations propose and enact). A widely held but little verified conventional wisdom exists that nations over-promise internationally and under-deliver domestically. While little data exist to directly test this hypothesis, we documented this gap by constructing heuristic indexes of domestic and international climate policy performance, showing that nations tend to “lead with the international”. We found that nations’ domestic policies are not significant in explaining emissions, although their international policies are significant. We concluded that beyond identifying this gap, analysts must devise metrics to assess domestic climate policy across a range of issue areas, as domestic policies are the foundation of any global effort to manage climate change.
由于各国未能实现其气候减排目标,国际气候政策(由联合国制定)与国内气候政策(各国提出并实施的政策)之间的雄心差距正在扩大。人们普遍认为,一些国家在国际上承诺过多,在国内兑现不足,但这一传统观点很少得到证实。虽然很少有数据可以直接验证这一假设,但我们通过构建国内和国际气候政策绩效的启发式指数来记录这一差距,表明各国倾向于“与国际接轨”。我们发现,各国的国内政策在解释排放方面并不重要,尽管它们的国际政策很重要。我们得出的结论是,除了确定这一差距之外,分析人员还必须设计指标,在一系列问题领域评估国内气候政策,因为国内政策是任何全球应对气候变化努力的基础。
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引用次数: 0
How Does Climate Change Worry Influence the Relationship between Climate Change Anxiety and Eco-Paralysis? A Moderation Study 气候变化担忧如何影响气候变化焦虑与生态瘫痪的关系?适度研究
Q2 METEOROLOGY & ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES Pub Date : 2023-09-13 DOI: 10.3390/cli11090190
Matteo Innocenti, Alessio Perilli, Gabriele Santarelli, Niccolò Carluccio, Doris Zjalic, Daniela Acquadro Maran, Lorenzo Ciabini, Chiara Cadeddu
Climate change (CC) has a significant impact on human health, resulting in both physical and mental illnesses. Eco-anxiety—the excessive and pervasive fear about the consequences of CC—is the most studied psychoterratic state. This study presents the validation of Italian versions of Hogg’s Eco-Anxiety Scale (HEAS) and the Eco-Paralysis Scale. It also investigates the effects of worry on eco-anxiety and eco-paralysis. The study was conducted on 150 Italian individuals who responded to the two scales and to other questionnaires to make comparisons with the two above. Internal consistency and factorial structure were assessed through Cronbach’s alpha, Confirmatory Factor Analysis and Exploratory Factor Analysis. A median regression was used to assess the association between the EPS and the HEAS and Climate Change Worry Scale (CCWS) and their interaction. HEAS and EPS showed good psychometric properties: HEAS resulted in good internal consistency (Cronbach’s α = 0.986), and the Eco-Paralysis scale had good test-retest reliability (r = 0.988). In both cases, a one-factor structure was suggested to be retained. The interaction terms between HEAS and CCWS (β = −0.02; 95% CI: −0.03, −0.01; p < 0.001) and between HEAS and education (β = −0.05; 95% CI: −0.08, −0.02; p < 0.001) were significant. Therefore, the feeling of worry seems to act as a moderator between climate change anxiety and eco-paralysis since it may appear to influence individuals and their ability to transform anxiety into action. Education plays a role in reducing the risk of Eco-Paralysis in subjects affected by climate change anxiety. Thus, data suggest that working on reinforcing a more cognitive concern might result in more problem-solving-focused strategies to face climate change anxiety and eco-paralysis.
气候变化对人类健康产生重大影响,导致身体和精神疾病。生态焦虑——对cc后果的过度和普遍的恐惧——是研究最多的精神状态。本研究提出了意大利版霍格生态焦虑量表(HEAS)和生态瘫痪量表的验证。研究了担忧对生态焦虑和生态麻痹的影响。这项研究对150名意大利人进行了调查,他们回答了两个量表和其他问卷,以与上述两个量表进行比较。通过Cronbach 's alpha、验证性因子分析和探索性因子分析评估内部一致性和因子结构。采用中位数回归评估EPS与HEAS和气候变化担忧量表(CCWS)的相关性及其相互作用。HEAS和EPS具有良好的心理测量性质:HEAS具有良好的内部一致性(Cronbach’s α = 0.986),生态麻痹量表具有良好的重测信度(r = 0.988)。在这两种情况下,建议保留单因素结构。HEAS与CCWS的相互作用项(β = - 0.02;95% ci:−0.03,−0.01;p & lt;0.001),高等教育与教育之间存在差异(β = - 0.05;95% ci:−0.08,−0.02;p & lt;0.001)显著。因此,担心的感觉似乎在气候变化焦虑和生态瘫痪之间起着调节作用,因为它可能会影响个人及其将焦虑转化为行动的能力。教育在减少受气候变化焦虑影响的主体的生态瘫痪风险方面发挥着作用。因此,数据表明,加强认知关注的工作可能会导致更多以解决问题为重点的策略,以应对气候变化焦虑和生态瘫痪。
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引用次数: 1
Farmers Feel the Climate Change: Variety Choice as an Adaptation Strategy of European Potato Farmers 农民感受气候变化:品种选择作为欧洲马铃薯农民的适应策略
Q2 METEOROLOGY & ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES Pub Date : 2023-09-09 DOI: 10.3390/cli11090189
Philipp von Gehren, Svenja Bomers, Tanja Tripolt, Josef Söllinger, Noémie Prat, Berta Redondo, Romans Vorss, Markus Teige, Anita Kamptner, Alexandra Ribarits
Effects associated with a changing climate could severely threaten potato production in Europe. Hence, farmers need to take up adaptation measures to safeguard agricultural production. Collecting data from 553 farmers from 22 different European countries, our survey evaluates European potato farmers’ perceptions regarding the influence of climate change on local potato production, and their willingness to implement adaptation strategies. An overwhelming majority of survey respondents had already experienced the effects of climatic changes on their potato production. Specifically, drought and heat were identified as the most significant threats. The planting of an adapted variety was the preferred adaptation strategy, while farmers were also willing to take up changes in agricultural management practices. Survey respondents predominantly considered yield stability as the most important characteristic of an adapted variety, closely followed by heat tolerance, disease resistance, drought tolerance, and yield potential. When choosing a variety, the personal experience of the survey respondents as well as the experience of their peers were identified as the most important sources of information. Our survey gives valuable insights into the challenges European potato farmers are facing in times of climate change. Supplying farmers with better-adapted varieties would be a well-targeted and well-accepted measure to advance climate change adaptation.
与气候变化相关的影响可能严重威胁欧洲的马铃薯生产。因此,农民需要采取适应措施来保障农业生产。我们的调查收集了来自22个不同欧洲国家的553名农民的数据,评估了欧洲马铃薯农民对气候变化对当地马铃薯生产影响的看法,以及他们实施适应策略的意愿。绝大多数受访者已经经历了气候变化对其马铃薯生产的影响。具体来说,干旱和炎热被认为是最严重的威胁。种植适应品种是首选的适应策略,而农民也愿意改变农业管理做法。调查对象主要认为产量稳定性是适应品种最重要的特征,其次是耐热性、抗病性、耐旱性和产量潜力。在选择品种时,调查对象的个人经验以及同龄人的经验被确定为最重要的信息来源。我们的调查为欧洲马铃薯种植者在气候变化时期面临的挑战提供了宝贵的见解。向农民提供适应性更好的品种将是一项目标明确、被广泛接受的促进气候变化适应的措施。
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引用次数: 0
Thermodynamic Conditions during August 2022 in Catalonia: The Monthly Record of Hail Days, Hail Size and the Differences in the Climatic Values 2022年8月加泰罗尼亚的热力条件:冰雹日数、冰雹大小和气候值差异的月记录
IF 3.7 Q2 METEOROLOGY & ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES Pub Date : 2023-09-08 DOI: 10.3390/cli11090185
T. Rigo
The hailstorm of 30 August 2022 in the NE of Catalonia (NE of the Iberian Peninsula) produced the largest hail size, with diameters exceeding 10 cm. Furthermore, hail occurrence exceeded 2 cm in fourteen days and 4 cm in seven days during August 2022. The size and the days number constituted new records in Catalonia for at least the last 30 years. The analysis has compared the thermodynamic values derived from the sounding of Barcelona with the climatic data for 1998–2022 (25 years of data). This fact has allowed the selection and evaluation of different thermodynamic parameters’ behaviour during hail days in Catalonia. In this research, the precipitable water mass provided the best results as a hail forecaster. Second, the study has evaluated if the different parameters have a significant trend during the study period. The answer is yes in all cases, but some parameters presented a stepped rise while others increased smoothly. Finally, the research has analysed if the parameter values during August 2022 were extraordinary compared with the rest of the period. In this case, the thermodynamic parameters nature was well correlated with the hail size and occurrence maximums of August 2022.
2022年8月30日在加泰罗尼亚东北部(伊比利亚半岛东北部)的冰雹产生了最大的冰雹大小,直径超过10厘米。2022年8月,冰雹发生天数14天超过2厘米,7天超过4厘米。规模和天数构成了加泰罗尼亚至少30年来的新纪录。该分析将巴塞罗那探空所得的热力学值与1998-2022年(25年的数据)的气候数据进行了比较。这一事实允许选择和评估不同的热力学参数的行为在加泰罗尼亚冰雹日。在本研究中,可降水水团提供了最好的结果作为冰雹预报。其次,研究评估了不同参数在研究期间是否具有显著的趋势。在所有情况下,答案都是肯定的,但有些参数呈阶梯式上升,而其他参数则平稳增长。最后,该研究分析了2022年8月的参数值与同期其他时间相比是否异常。在这种情况下,热力学参数性质与2022年8月冰雹大小和发生最大值有很好的相关性。
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引用次数: 0
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